Nice thread, but so far, the odds have been pretty low, so there is no value in the bets. Betting is about value, atleast if you plan on betting for a long time.
Picking games with 1.3 odds will screw you in the length(soto-arsenal)
Here is what im betting at today:
Game 1:
West-Ham vs Swansea
-West-Ham@2.30 (going more down the sooner the match start)
Game 1 reason: West Ham is in great position and have momentum the last games. Very good troop with many good players. Tough to beat home.
West ham have won the last two matches, including 1-0 victory over Newcastle. The last 3 standings at Upton Park vs Swansea 2-1-0 to West ham.
Bet value: 7
Game 2:
Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla
-Sevilla@2.15Game 2 reason: Rayo played last Thursday and lost during Spanish cup. Many key players was used. Standings #10 in the league.
Sevilla good performance the last two games, netting 5-1 two times against Sabadell and Granada. Currently at #4 in the league. Last six away games is showing 3-0-3 which means its either hit or miss for this Sevilla team when playing away. The 3 victories have been achived vs teams of lower standings and losts vice-versa.
They have an importent match this coming Thursday in EL, which they must atleast get 1 point from to advance from the group. They won EL last year. The coming match on Thursday may force Sevillas manager to rethink on using the first squad the full 90 min, something to keep in mind.
Disclaimer: I have my own rules that I usually follow strictly, and that is to never bet against home teams unless there is very good value in the bet. Unlike PL, spanish teams dont play for 1-0 results, they are always going hard and trying to get the 3 points, especially teams from lower standings vs teams from higher standings. Also, since Primera Divison is not based on goal difference, it does not matter for teams to lose 0-1 or 0-5, thats why you see teams sometimes lose big, because they gamble and have nothing to lose.
Bet value: 8
What do OP think?
Sorry for bad English.
Poll
