thanks for the detailed response. so if i understand you correctly, getting 2 orphan blocks is really rare, but more likely in my scenario?
also i am on a home connection ~10mbps. i guess the pools have higher bandwidth and thus a better chance of getting a block into the chain before i do, so im at a disadvantage mining solo. well i guess thats ok, ill just go back to mining as usual as see how things go.
well orphans are rare, as we understand we are looking for a needle in a haystack the chances of 2 needles being found in 2 separate haystacks pretty much simultaneously is rare
as an example for Bitcoin there is a 7% chance of 2 blocks being found within a minute (I haven't checked the LTC stats on this)
It is only at these rare times you are at a this disadvantage.
Hope that is a help