Football(soccer) Bets with arguments, no blind bets - Streak to $5k

[SamedamnBTC]

Hello, I will be betting on PL, Serie-A, Primera Division, CL, EL and some INT.

I have been gambling for over 5 years now, on and off. I have had some pretty insane streaks and wins.

Biggest win on a single bet: $14k

Longest streak transfered to $: $20k

Biggest loss on single bet: $2k


My strategi is simple and logical. I use statestics and teams recent form to decide a bet. Never bet more than 2 combo, mostly singles. Most tips gonna be on home wins, as in my experience teams are very unpredictable when playing away. But if there is value on the bet, I will bet on away teams.

-Never bet on odds lower than 1.4
-Never combo more than 2
-High risk bets in a controlled envoirment


My start bankroll is 225$

For every bet I will write, I will reason the bet with why I think the outcome gonna this or that, I hope we can start a discussion and you can also learn and not just blind bet. Blind bets is the most stuped thing one can do, as you never know who or what my motives are, therefor all bets will be given reason, if you disagree, please explain why.

Value bets!


Start bank: .64BTC Won: .33BTC Current bank: 1.24BTC


For business related questions, please send me a PM.

[SamedamnBTC]

Bet of the day:

West-Ham vs Swansea

-West-Ham@2.30

West Ham is in great position and have momentum the last games. Very good troop with many good players. Tough to beat home.
West ham have won the last two matches, including 1-0 victory over Newcastle. The last 3 standings at Upton Park vs Swansea 2-1-0 to West ham.

Bet value: 7

[SamedamnBTC]

West Ham won 3-1.

Bankroll is up by 50% new bankroll $340

[SamedamnBTC]

One good match tomorrow; Soto vs Manchester United, Koeman vs LVG, the two dutch face for the first time against eachother in PL.

This will be a very close match. Soto have been struggling lateley, while Manu have had a nice 4 in a row. Experts have not redeemed Manu yet.
Both teams with some injuries, but I think Manu have more important key players out. Di Maria, also Rooney is unsure.

When both teams release the 16 man squad I will make a final decision.

Potential bets: x2 or x.

Will update if I decide to bet before the match starts, if not, than I did not gamble.

Looking forward to CL this Thursday and Wednsday, many good picks with high odds and value.

I hope someone followed my bets today. I wrote in another thread, Seviall to win @2.4 and West Ham @ 2.3.

I only included Westham in this thread since Sevilla was over when I realized I could rather make my own thread and goal.

[casinobitcoin]

Are you using any CasinoBitco.in odds?

[SamedamnBTC]

Casino: No


I did not bet on Manu, so the bank is still the same. Today there are many good matches in CL, look for them.

[SamedamnBTC]

Todays Match:


Monaco vs Zenit

X halftime@1.94

Monaco have scored only two goals in this group. The last 4 have ended draw into halftime, same with Zenit.

Bet value: 8

Bet size: .27BTC

Potential bank with win: 1.24BTC

Potential bank with loss: .7BTC

[Wendigo]

Todays Match:


Monaco vs Zenit

X halftime@1.94

Monaco have scored only two goals in this group. The last 4 have ended draw into halftime, same with Zenit.

Bet value: 8

Bet size: .27BTC

Potential bank with win: 1.24BTC

Potential bank with loss: .7BTC

Actually I really like this bet and going to use it for tonight's game. Good luck

[SamedamnBTC]

Todays Match:


Monaco vs Zenit

X halftime@1.94

Monaco have scored only two goals in this group. The last 4 have ended draw into halftime, same with Zenit.

Bet value: 8

Bet size: .27BTC

Potential bank with win: 1.24BTC

Potential bank with loss: .7BTC

Actually I really like this bet and going to use it for tonight's game. Good luck

I forgot to add, Monaco have only conceived 1 goal during the 4 matches. ONE GOAL! that is insane tight. Also they need a win or draw to advance, based on how they play, they are going for the draw.

[canary]

I appreciate your betting strategy, that looks professional, keep going like that... Good luck on your bets!

[SamedamnBTC]

I appreciate your betting strategy, that looks professional, keep going like that... Good luck on your bets!

Thanks.

I was really surprised seeing other only post bets without a reason, I think that what differs me from them, not only the picks, but I give a logical statement of why I think that outcome is gonna favour me. It does not make the bet any better, but it shows how a person have to think to beat the bookies.

[SamedamnBTC]

Game win!

New bank: 1.24BTC

[SamedamnBTC]

Two goal scorer tips, no good 1X2 tips unfortantly.

Tip 1:

Diego Costa to score anytime:

@2.08

Diego have not scored in CL yet, but he have 11 goals in 12 matches in PL. Chelsea will rest many 1st team players, but we Costa will start according to fcChelsea.com. If Fabregas also plays, I think this is the best bet for today. Diego and Fabregas have good chemistery and they match perfect.

Bet value: 4

L. Messi to score anytime:

Scored the last 3 times these teams have played eachother. Winner takes first place and will be seeded, which is VERY important for both teams if they plan on heading far in this tournament. Messi tends to score in big matches, he is also FK taker, and PK taker, which helps.

@1.85

Bet value: 4

Disclaimer, I havent decided how much or if im gonna bet on these bets yet. Not sure if my bookie void(return the money if player dont start) the bets, so be carefull and find out if the player starts or not.

I will update on how much I will bet as soon as I have decided

[SamedamnBTC]

This is my only bet: PSG + 1.25 @1.92

Bet value: 7

real value here, dont have time to explain, sorry, have to hurry to a pub and watch the game.

GL if you follow.

Bet size: .3BTC

[SamedamnBTC]

PSG lost, unlucky. The bet had great value though.

Todays bets:

Lec vs MAN city

MAN city - 1.5

Burnley - Southampton

Southampton

Double/combo@ 3.76

Bet value: 5

Bet size: .303


Match 1:

City proved themselves over Roma without Aguero. They beat the Italians 0-2 and advanced. That is good momentun to carry on to this match. Yaya Toure is back to this match(suspended in CL) he is almost gurantee one goal. The reason I believe in City today, Chelsea have a pretty easy match, and so far city is only 3p behind Chelsea. I think City will destroy Leciester, which are at the bottom of the leaderboard.

Match 2:

Soto have been very unlucky the last games vs top leadboard. Lost vs City, then unlucky against Arsenal, then even more unlucky results vs Manu. If you judge by how they play, they have played excellent vs top teams and bottom teams. I think the momentum will switch and help them in this match.

Burnley have really nothing to add. They play tight to avoid goals, but as soon as Soto will score this match will be fun and open.

Potential win today: 1.13BTC

When we win, I have other matches.

[SamedamnBTC]

Soto just missed a penalty...

Well the are pusing, lets hope they get the goal. Same with City

[SamedamnBTC]

Both bets is failing. Im sorry for those who followed!

This time of the year is very unpredictable, with many matches.

When I return is gonna be good bets, but I will stop posting bets for 1 week.

See ya

[jjc326]

Unfortunately South lost the match!  Missed penalty by Tadic

[Wendigo]

Both bets is failing. Im sorry for those who followed!

This time of the year is very unpredictable, with many matches.

When I return is gonna be good bets, but I will stop posting bets for 1 week.

See ya

Alright mate, see you again in 1 week 

[SamedamnBTC]

Back again.

Lets turn 100$ to min: 500$

First match: 

Liverpool vs City: City wins + Over 2.5 goals in total match @ 3.3

Bookie: Directbet.eu

Reason: Liverpool played 120min on thursday and lost away vs Besiktas, the match is still hanging behind their heads and body. Lucas and Gerrard not playing.

City just got back Yaya, been playing good the last 2 matches and scoring a total of 9 goals. Liverpool tend to play goal rich matches, vs Arsenal and Tottenham is a proof of that. City is trailing Chelsea and the only logical way of looking at the match is them going for 3p, the same can be said about pool, who is only 3 behind Arsenal and 4 behind United, while Arsenal have one match less and playing later this afternoon vs Everton. This match will also be included if things go good today.

I think City will win because of better squad and more rested and focused players, and the value in the odds presented above.

Bet size: 100% of todays betting