Daily Bitcoin Update
As the end of 2014 approaches, we can reflect on a year that sees the current bitcoin price at its lowest level for the year and on a market which offered fewer and fewer bitcoin trading opportunities as the year went on, with December in particular a difficult month for traders. May the Bitcoin Gods bring us better luck in 2015!
There was little change in the bitcoin market over the last 24 hours, with the price continuing to trend sideways in a tight trading range and no hint of a substantial move either up or down. Trading volumes for the last week are markedly down on previous weeks and on this time last year, all of which points to a market firmly focused on New Year’s Eve festivities.
December 30th Bitcoin Trading Volume
The bitcoin bears are continuing their march into year end. The bitcoin price opened at 314 on the Bitfinex 4H charts, continuing its prevailing neutral stance. The price was pushed down on the back of some moderate selling and once again tested the 304 support level before retracing after some belated buying emerged.
At press time, the bitcoin price sits around 312 and is trading below the daily moving average.
What to Expect Today?
The bitcoin price continues to trade below its 200, 100 and 50 hour SMAs, while the RSI is stuck near 44. All of this points to a continuation of the prevailing bearish bias and momentum in the market, with rumors that US traders are cutting losses for tax purposes further fueling the bearish flames. We therefore expect the price and volume to remain choppy for the entirety of today’s session.
A technical reading of the Bitfinex charts shows that the price is forming a head-and-shoulder pattern, with the 337 resistance line establishing a near-term rising speed line towards a downtrend. This suggests a bearish continuation that will likely crush any near-term bullish correction attempts.
The bitcoin price is currently testing 302 as its next support level, with downside risk towards the October low of 275. These areas offer the potential to kick off a long overdue rally, this time towards the key resistance area around 340; any attempt to cross above the 50 hour SMA at 321 could ignite a short-term bullish correction, the best case scenario for the next few hours given current conditions. Only a break above 340 will be able to properly entrench a bullish bias, with the potential to push 360-365 as the next key resistance area.
Conclusion (On Daily Charts)
Current Mood: Strongly Bearish
Moving Averages: Strong Sell (0 Buy 12 Sell)
Technical Indicators: Strong Sell (0 Buy 10 Sell 1 Neutral)
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Happy New Year from the Team at Coinarch