Surprise Factor Analysis

[okthen]

So, I too stare daily at the pretty green and red lines at bitcoinwisdom.
I have no idea what to make of them, and I see them analysed in so many different ways that I won't even try another.

But what I recently realised, reading this forum, is that the most consistent thing I hear, from many users, is "bitcoin always surprises us all".

Thus this poll: what would surprise you if it happened in 2015?
You can choose multiple options, and let me know if you want me to add any.

My personal opinion: in 2014 I was supper sure there would be a big rise by the end of summer. Boo at ridiculous past me. This year, I feel quite confident that we'll have a generally flat market.
Let's see if I get booed at my myself in 2016.

Cheers

[RyNinDaCleM]

So, I too stare daily at the pretty green and red lines at bitcoinwisdom.
I have no idea what to make of them, and I see them analysed in so many different ways that I won't even try another.

But what I recently realised, reading this forum, is that the most consistent thing I hear, from many users, is "bitcoin always surprises us all".

Thus this poll: what would surprise you if it happened in 2015?
You can choose multiple options, and let me know if you want me to add any.

My personal opinion: in 2014 I was supper sure there would be a big rise by the end of summer. Boo at ridiculous past me. This year, I feel quite confident that we'll have a generally flat market.
Let's see if I get booed at my myself in 2016.

Cheers

Heh, I read through the options and I can't find one that surprises me. The only one that would come close is the slow rise. Bitcoin has too much FOMO to have a slow rise. A little bit of rise will trigger a cascade effect and everyone thinks they're missing the train. I guess the two higher prices would be a little surprise because I'm thinking the next bull run may get $5k MAYBE, but that may take a year and a half or so after a bottom is found. But ultimately, Bitcoin never ceases to amaze, and it will do the same for years to come.

[bigtimespaghetti]

So, I too stare daily at the pretty green and red lines at bitcoinwisdom.
I have no idea what to make of them, and I see them analysed in so many different ways that I won't even try another.

But what I recently realised, reading this forum, is that the most consistent thing I hear, from many users, is "bitcoin always surprises us all".

Thus this poll: what would surprise you if it happened in 2015?
You can choose multiple options, and let me know if you want me to add any.

My personal opinion: in 2014 I was supper sure there would be a big rise by the end of summer. Boo at ridiculous past me. This year, I feel quite confident that we'll have a generally flat market.
Let's see if I get booed at my myself in 2016.

Cheers

Heh, I read through the options and I can't find one that surprises me. The only one that would come close is the slow rise. Bitcoin has too much FOMO to have a slow rise. A little bit of rise will trigger a cascade effect and everyone thinks they're missing the train. I guess the two higher prices would be a little surprise because I'm thinking the next bull run may get $5k MAYBE, but that may take a year and a half or so after a bottom is found. But ultimately, Bitcoin never ceases to amaze, and it will do the same for years to come.

Just from speaking with friends about bitcoin (who invested on my advice, but did not sell on my advice), the average joe has been burned pretty bad- think silver stackers *20... I would be surprised for them to enter the market once more. Maybe we are heading for a choppy down market for a year or two before any major uptrend?

[Q7]

Not to put on too much hope.....I'll be surprised if it ever ever again reach 1200 with this time no more Mt Gox around.

[okthen]

So, I too stare daily at the pretty green and red lines at bitcoinwisdom.
I have no idea what to make of them, and I see them analysed in so many different ways that I won't even try another.

But what I recently realised, reading this forum, is that the most consistent thing I hear, from many users, is "bitcoin always surprises us all".

Thus this poll: what would surprise you if it happened in 2015?
You can choose multiple options, and let me know if you want me to add any.

My personal opinion: in 2014 I was supper sure there would be a big rise by the end of summer. Boo at ridiculous past me. This year, I feel quite confident that we'll have a generally flat market.
Let's see if I get booed at my myself in 2016.

Cheers

Heh, I read through the options and I can't find one that surprises me. The only one that would come close is the slow rise. Bitcoin has too much FOMO to have a slow rise. A little bit of rise will trigger a cascade effect and everyone thinks they're missing the train. I guess the two higher prices would be a little surprise because I'm thinking the next bull run may get $5k MAYBE, but that may take a year and a half or so after a bottom is found. But ultimately, Bitcoin never ceases to amaze, and it will do the same for years to come.

Just from speaking with friends about bitcoin (who invested on my advice, but did not sell on my advice), the average joe has been burned pretty bad- think silver stackers *20... I would be surprised for them to enter the market once more. Maybe we are heading for a choppy down market for a year or two before any major uptrend?

I start to doubt if the average Joe will have such a part on the next developments.
And if big money comes in and there's a huge rise, don't you think they'd buy again? (Even if probably late, again)

[mlferro]

Even with the current downturn (which do not want stop) still I believe that there will be a high this year

[bigtimespaghetti]

So, I too stare daily at the pretty green and red lines at bitcoinwisdom.
I have no idea what to make of them, and I see them analysed in so many different ways that I won't even try another.

But what I recently realised, reading this forum, is that the most consistent thing I hear, from many users, is "bitcoin always surprises us all".

Thus this poll: what would surprise you if it happened in 2015?
You can choose multiple options, and let me know if you want me to add any.

My personal opinion: in 2014 I was supper sure there would be a big rise by the end of summer. Boo at ridiculous past me. This year, I feel quite confident that we'll have a generally flat market.
Let's see if I get booed at my myself in 2016.

Cheers

Heh, I read through the options and I can't find one that surprises me. The only one that would come close is the slow rise. Bitcoin has too much FOMO to have a slow rise. A little bit of rise will trigger a cascade effect and everyone thinks they're missing the train. I guess the two higher prices would be a little surprise because I'm thinking the next bull run may get $5k MAYBE, but that may take a year and a half or so after a bottom is found. But ultimately, Bitcoin never ceases to amaze, and it will do the same for years to come.

Just from speaking with friends about bitcoin (who invested on my advice, but did not sell on my advice), the average joe has been burned pretty bad- think silver stackers *20... I would be surprised for them to enter the market once more. Maybe we are heading for a choppy down market for a year or two before any major uptrend?

I start to doubt if the average Joe will have such a part on the next developments.
And if big money comes in and there's a huge rise, don't you think they'd buy again? (Even if probably late, again)

No, I think they would stay out of it. But no doubt there would be plenty of others to fill their shoes.

[inca]

So, I too stare daily at the pretty green and red lines at bitcoinwisdom.
I have no idea what to make of them, and I see them analysed in so many different ways that I won't even try another.

But what I recently realised, reading this forum, is that the most consistent thing I hear, from many users, is "bitcoin always surprises us all".

Thus this poll: what would surprise you if it happened in 2015?
You can choose multiple options, and let me know if you want me to add any.

My personal opinion: in 2014 I was supper sure there would be a big rise by the end of summer. Boo at ridiculous past me. This year, I feel quite confident that we'll have a generally flat market.
Let's see if I get booed at my myself in 2016.

Cheers

Heh, I read through the options and I can't find one that surprises me. The only one that would come close is the slow rise. Bitcoin has too much FOMO to have a slow rise. A little bit of rise will trigger a cascade effect and everyone thinks they're missing the train. I guess the two higher prices would be a little surprise because I'm thinking the next bull run may get $5k MAYBE, but that may take a year and a half or so after a bottom is found. But ultimately, Bitcoin never ceases to amaze, and it will do the same for years to come.

Just from speaking with friends about bitcoin (who invested on my advice, but did not sell on my advice), the average joe has been burned pretty bad- think silver stackers *20... I would be surprised for them to enter the market once more. Maybe we are heading for a choppy down market for a year or two before any major uptrend?

I start to doubt if the average Joe will have such a part on the next developments.
And if big money comes in and there's a huge rise, don't you think they'd buy again? (Even if probably late, again)

No, I think they would stay out of it. But no doubt there would be plenty of others to fill their shoes.

Average joe will steer clear until the media start reporting the revival of bitcoin's fortune later this year. The price can double and we are still below 600!

My view is that if the ETF is going to be announced that it will be front run by big money. Given we know everything is corrupt then it wouldn't surprise me if this extended bear market is being helped by miners colluding with people in-the-know prior to it being announced.

Bitcoin does not need average joe for the next run, it just needs average 401k investor this time.

[NotLambchop]

...
Bitcoin does not need average joe for the next run, it just needs average 401k investor this time.

[the_sunship]

if it goes to 0 i will wonder what the hell happened to the internet.

[bigtimespaghetti]

if it goes to 0 i will wonder what the hell happened to the internet.

It will not go to 0, but we could grind lower. We are still in a down trend. It will be interesting to see where the bottom is.

[okthen]

if it goes to 0 i will wonder what the hell happened to the internet.

It will not go to 0, but we could grind lower. We are still in a down trend. It will be interesting to see where the bottom is.

Interesting and a bit scary!
People have called the bottom so many times in 2014 that's getting really hard to predict what will the real one be. I thought we were through when the week MACD briefly turned free in December, but the damn thing is just a giant red wave now...

[600watt]

i'd be surprised if i sell btc & price would fall or i buy btc & price would rise afterwards. because it has always been other way around. 

[okthen]

i'd be surprised if i sell btc & price would fall or i buy btc & price would rise afterwards. because it has always been other way around. 

Hahaha that's why I'm Mr. Scaredballs and never trade, the same thing would happen to me!

Hope that your theory sticks when you sell @$10000

[bigtimespaghetti]

if it goes to 0 i will wonder what the hell happened to the internet.

It will not go to 0, but we could grind lower. We are still in a down trend. It will be interesting to see where the bottom is.

Interesting and a bit scary!
People have called the bottom so many times in 2014 that's getting really hard to predict what will the real one be. I thought we were through when the week MACD briefly turned free in December, but the damn thing is just a giant red wave now...

To be honest I wish the market would hurry up and decide. I can't see any reason for the market to go up, like others, I'd just like a confirmation of the trend to change then I can get back to whatever I did before Bitcoin

[Meuh6879]

goes to 0 ...  seriously ... after 3 years of prosperity ? (need to view : "The Rise and Rise of Bitcoin")

[600watt]

i'd be surprised if i sell btc & price would fall or i buy btc & price would rise afterwards. because it has always been other way around. 

Hahaha that's why I'm Mr. Scaredballs and never trade, the same thing would happen to me!

Hope that your theory sticks when you sell @$10000

Ok, i promise to sell @10000

[NotLambchop]

goes to 0 ...   seriously ... after 3 years of prosperity ? (need to view : "The Rise and Rise of Bitcoin")

Nah.  After 3 years of obscurity, one year of scam & one year of bubble.  (need to view:  Reality)

[picolo]

So, I too stare daily at the pretty green and red lines at bitcoinwisdom.
I have no idea what to make of them, and I see them analysed in so many different ways that I won't even try another.

But what I recently realised, reading this forum, is that the most consistent thing I hear, from many users, is "bitcoin always surprises us all".

Thus this poll: what would surprise you if it happened in 2015?
You can choose multiple options, and let me know if you want me to add any.

My personal opinion: in 2014 I was supper sure there would be a big rise by the end of summer. Boo at ridiculous past me. This year, I feel quite confident that we'll have a generally flat market.
Let's see if I get booed at my myself in 2016.

Cheers

I felt the same thing last few months, Bitcoin is very unpredictible. Good traders are successfully riding the price up and down but there is a big surprise factor.

[Stargazer]

if it goes to 0 i will wonder what the hell happened to the internet.

It will not go to 0, but we could grind lower. We are still in a down trend. It will be interesting to see where the bottom is.

Interesting and a bit scary!
People have called the bottom so many times in 2014 that's getting really hard to predict what will the real one be. I thought we were through when the week MACD briefly turned free in December, but the damn thing is just a giant red wave now...

To be honest I wish the market would hurry up and decide. I can't see any reason for the market to go up, like others, I'd just like a confirmation of the trend to change then I can get back to whatever I did before Bitcoin

It seems the majority is waiting for the trend to show signs of reversal and that's exactly why there is none.