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Author Topic: Don't invest in Bitcoin until August 2015 (at least)  (Read 1452 times)
David Latapie (OP)
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January 13, 2015, 04:46:55 AM
Last edit: January 15, 2015, 02:44:14 PM by David Latapie
 #1

This is my conclusion after reading this (Gartner's Hype Cycle of Emerging Technologies 2014 - next one is due in August 2015, full report is priced 1,999 USD)



I usually read it every year. I did not this year, my mistake.

Wait at least until August (next Gartner Hype Cycle of emerging technologies). And considering the place cryptocurrencies in the 5-10 years segment to maturity, I think we have one-two years before it becomes profitable.

That being said, you shall research and prepare on crypto. Just don't expect it to be profitable. In the meantime, you have ample opportunities to become an expert who could sell his proficiency to companies once crypto become mature enough.
.

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January 13, 2015, 05:03:48 AM
 #2

Invest/don't invest because chart. Seems legit.

Any significantly advanced cryptocurrency is indistinguishable from Ponzi Tulips.
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January 13, 2015, 05:15:44 AM
 #3

Where it says:
"Cryptocurrencies"

it should say:
"Unexamined hype surrounding the amorphous notion of 'blockchain tech' promulgated by entrepreneurs and investors who do not fundamentally understand the set of problems that are most effectively solved by decentralized blockchains."


That's different than Bitcoin, but alas, people conflate.

Bitcoin is the first monetary system to credibly offer perfect information to all economic participants.
David Latapie (OP)
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January 13, 2015, 02:53:05 PM
Last edit: January 13, 2015, 03:08:02 PM by David Latapie
 #4

That's different than Bitcoin, but alas, people conflate.
Hype is about perception, not accuracy. So it fits well. Hype around "cryptocurrencies".

What I expect to see at plateau of productivity: http://unenumerated.blogspot.fr/2014/12/the-dawn-of-trustworthy-computing.html

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January 13, 2015, 06:28:17 PM
 #5

David,
Where'd you get this chart?

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  Website
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January 13, 2015, 07:17:39 PM
 #6

David,
Where'd you get this chart?
I am also interested to know where you got the chart. Very interesting, I want to read more about.
thank you!

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January 13, 2015, 08:14:14 PM
 #7

Gartner Hype Cycle of emerging technologies

http://www.gartner.com/newsroom/id/2819918
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January 14, 2015, 12:48:15 AM
 #8

We are just crossing the peak right now?
That feels horrible.  Cry

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January 14, 2015, 05:59:24 AM
 #9

thanks for the chart.

i will not get into the game until see some up trend in anytime.
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