Bitcoin Forum
July 19, 2024, 06:52:01 PM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 27.0 [Torrent]
 
   Home   Help Search Login Register More  
Pages: [1]
  Print  
Author Topic: Four Punch Raiders?  (Read 1868 times)
Morecoin Freeman (OP)
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 854
Merit: 503


Legendary trader


View Profile
February 14, 2015, 09:36:04 PM
 #1

Where did this originate? Who are they? Anyone know anything?

Ask the stranger he knows who you really are.
billyjoeallen
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1106
Merit: 1007


Hide your women


View Profile WWW
February 14, 2015, 09:40:06 PM
 #2

Where did this originate? Who are they? Anyone know anything?

It's a term I made up to describe the tactics some one or group uses to maximize returns using loss aversion psychology.  there has been a pattern that has repeated five times now in the last fourteen months:

1) crash/bounce
2) stutter step
3) spike/short squeeze
4) second bounce at much higher level


thennnn....crash, bounce, rinse and repeat.

We are getting close to the short squeeze.

insert coin here:
Dash XfXZL8WL18zzNhaAqWqEziX2bUvyJbrC8s



1Ctd7Na8qE7btyueEshAJF5C7ZqFWH11Wc
oda.krell
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1470
Merit: 1007



View Profile
February 14, 2015, 09:57:17 PM
 #3

Hey, why write something original when you can just quote yourself Cheesy From the wall thread...

Can we eventually let this "FPR" meme die gracefully?

Not saying it's a completely bad way to visualize the market forces, especially to drive home a certain point to the "permahodling" crowd, but a much more accurate way (imo) of saying what has been going on since around July/August is that we're in a traders' market, while previously, since about late 2012/early 2013, we've been in a market that favored holders.

Not sure which Bitcoin wallet you should use? Get Electrum!
Electrum is an open-source lightweight client: fast, user friendly, and 100% secure.
Download the source or executables for Windows/OSX/Linux/Android from, and only from, the official Electrum homepage.
billyjoeallen
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1106
Merit: 1007


Hide your women


View Profile WWW
February 14, 2015, 10:16:48 PM
 #4

Hey, why write something original when you can just quote yourself Cheesy From the wall thread...

Can we eventually let this "FPR" meme die gracefully?

Not saying it's a completely bad way to visualize the market forces, especially to drive home a certain point to the "permahodling" crowd, but a much more accurate way (imo) of saying what has been going on since around July/August is that we're in a traders' market, while previously, since about late 2012/early 2013, we've been in a market that favored holders.

There is a pattern that repeats and the pattern is not random; therefor someone is causing it, someone with the ability to move a multi-billion dollar market.

insert coin here:
Dash XfXZL8WL18zzNhaAqWqEziX2bUvyJbrC8s



1Ctd7Na8qE7btyueEshAJF5C7ZqFWH11Wc
oda.krell
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1470
Merit: 1007



View Profile
February 14, 2015, 10:31:35 PM
 #5

^ Agreed. But in my opinion, "someone" is a group, and they're not guided by some coordinated goal to move the market in this or that direction. What we see is more likely an emergent phenomenon, arising from the combination of a (pretty understandable, currently) desire of profit taking at the obvious resistances (target based trading), followed by panicky momentum to the downside (emotional traders and investors "losing hope"), followed by some real buying pressure at "low prices" (i.e. new money getting in) plus the initial traders covering their shorts at the sign of a significant capitulation bottom.

It's what the 2011 capitulation *should* have looked like, imo. That weird almost uninterrupted fall from $32 to $2 was before a sufficiently large amount of capital was in the hands of traders that knew what they're doing (EDIT: also, before large scale margin trading was possible).

I don't see a strategy here, only cause and effect, plus emotion driven overshoot. But, yes, I admit: I can't prove my hypothesis either.

Not sure which Bitcoin wallet you should use? Get Electrum!
Electrum is an open-source lightweight client: fast, user friendly, and 100% secure.
Download the source or executables for Windows/OSX/Linux/Android from, and only from, the official Electrum homepage.
Wandererfromthenorth
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 742
Merit: 500



View Profile
February 14, 2015, 10:46:15 PM
Last edit: February 26, 2015, 03:34:53 PM by Wandererfromthenorth
 #6

Hey, why write something original when you can just quote yourself Cheesy From the wall thread...

Can we eventually let this "FPR" meme die gracefully?

Not saying it's a completely bad way to visualize the market forces, especially to drive home a certain point to the "permahodling" crowd, but a much more accurate way (imo) of saying what has been going on since around July/August is that we're in a traders' market, while previously, since about late 2012/early 2013, we've been in a market that favored holders.

There is a pattern that repeats and the pattern is not random; therefore someone is causing it, someone with the ability to move a multi-billion dollar market.
You lost me there. "If a pattern is not random it means a small group is responsible for it"?
The market forces are causing it. Not a bunch of chinamen dudes or something.
billyjoeallen
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1106
Merit: 1007


Hide your women


View Profile WWW
February 14, 2015, 10:53:50 PM
 #7

Hey, why write something original when you can just quote yourself Cheesy From the wall thread...

Can we eventually let this "FPR" meme die gracefully?

Not saying it's a completely bad way to visualize the market forces, especially to drive home a certain point to the "permahodling" crowd, but a much more accurate way (imo) of saying what has been going on since around July/August is that we're in a traders' market, while previously, since about late 2012/early 2013, we've been in a market that favored holders.

There is a pattern that repeats and the pattern is not random; therefore someone is causing it, someone with the ability to move a multi-billion dollar market.
You lost me there. "If a pattern is not random it means a small group is responsible for it"?
The market forces are causing it. Not a bunch of chinamen dudes or something.

I didn't say a "small" group. I have no idea how many there are. Hell, in a sense because I am front-running them, you could say I'm a FPR, only I'm really more of a three punch raider because I will not participate in the long squeeze.

EDIT: I also didn't say they are Chinese, although they do have accounts on the Chinese exchanges. I suspect they are not, judging by the bull and bear FUD from dummy accounts that comes in waves with the moves.

insert coin here:
Dash XfXZL8WL18zzNhaAqWqEziX2bUvyJbrC8s



1Ctd7Na8qE7btyueEshAJF5C7ZqFWH11Wc
Dump3er
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 1442
Merit: 584



View Profile
February 15, 2015, 12:19:04 AM
 #8

Where did this originate? Who are they? Anyone know anything?

It's a term I made up to describe the tactics some one or group uses to maximize returns using loss aversion psychology.  there has been a pattern that has repeated five times now in the last fourteen months:

1) crash/bounce
2) stutter step
3) spike/short squeeze
4) second bounce at much higher level


thennnn....crash, bounce, rinse and repeat.

We are getting close to the short squeeze.

Such investigator!

Keep the good work on and in a few years you will not only have made up the term of an ABC correction, no!, you will make up the terms of all Elliot Waves!  Roll Eyes

SOMETIMES YOU WIN, SOMETIMES YOU LEARN!
Pages: [1]
  Print  
 
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!