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Author Topic: ✪ E-SPORTS PICKS : CSGO/LoL : 420 WINS - 69 LOSSES : MIDDLEMAN SERVICES  (Read 26503 times)
michinzx (OP)
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February 28, 2015, 06:29:18 AM
Last edit: February 28, 2015, 06:19:31 PM by michinzx
 #81

Picks for the new games:

Bet on the overdogs for CLG v Affnity and Liquid v ASC, odds too low for me to bet. Also, there is speculation of GGWP v Exploders being a throw..
NOTE: Luminosity (LG) are former Mythic
michinzx (OP)
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February 28, 2015, 06:19:17 PM
 #82

some games popped up while I was sleeping
michinzx (OP)
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March 01, 2015, 10:07:54 AM
 #83

too drunk to update good night
michinzx (OP)
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March 01, 2015, 08:36:16 PM
 #84

slept through a lot of the games
michinzx (OP)
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March 02, 2015, 01:17:56 AM
 #85

results: got a nice return from that liquid v CLG
michinzx (OP)
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March 02, 2015, 01:22:53 AM
 #86

Neat plugin that shows rosters and map for matches on lounge, as well as the ESEA picks:

I don't think SKDC can take a bo1 nuke off C9, and odds arent good enough for me to bet on C9. All three of the ESEA matches are bo1 nuke.
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March 02, 2015, 01:59:28 AM
Last edit: March 02, 2015, 02:14:34 AM by michinzx
 #87

Some stats since the creation of this thread (2/19) and some before:
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March 02, 2015, 02:07:25 AM
 #88

Well, I've bet on a few games myself, but it's been something along the lines of +0.9 value, assuming that you're using CSGOLounge.

ESports is just too risky, since there are fewer regulations in place for activities such as throwing, and players can easily have off days with no warning what-so-ever.

For those of you who HAVE made a profit, however, I congratulate you, since a majority of people I see are losing their bets as opposed to winning. Keep it up!
michinzx (OP)
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March 02, 2015, 02:13:03 AM
 #89

Well, I've bet on a few games myself, but it's been something along the lines of +0.9 value, assuming that you're using CSGOLounge.

ESports is just too risky, since there are fewer regulations in place for activities such as throwing, and players can easily have off days with no warning what-so-ever.

For those of you who HAVE made a profit, however, I congratulate you, since a majority of people I see are losing their bets as opposed to winning. Keep it up!

its about making a substantial long term profit, not +value over a few games. ive garnered enough to buy a bs asiimov from just selling small returns. I take just about every factor from off days to ddos when making a decision for these games.
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March 02, 2015, 02:23:42 AM
 #90

Well, I've bet on a few games myself, but it's been something along the lines of +0.9 value, assuming that you're using CSGOLounge.

ESports is just too risky, since there are fewer regulations in place for activities such as throwing, and players can easily have off days with no warning what-so-ever.

For those of you who HAVE made a profit, however, I congratulate you, since a majority of people I see are losing their bets as opposed to winning. Keep it up!

its about making a substantial long term profit, not +value over a few games. ive garnered enough to buy a bs asiimov from just selling small returns. I take just about every factor from off days to ddos when making a decision for these games.
If you're able to do that, please, tell me how you find all that information, and what your decision process is. I've always been interested in betting skins, but I've been to nervous due to all the variables that are applicable.

And a bs Asiimov is very good to be honest. I think I've only ever pulled some stickers and a MW P250
michinzx (OP)
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March 02, 2015, 03:06:25 AM
 #91

Well, I've bet on a few games myself, but it's been something along the lines of +0.9 value, assuming that you're using CSGOLounge.

ESports is just too risky, since there are fewer regulations in place for activities such as throwing, and players can easily have off days with no warning what-so-ever.

For those of you who HAVE made a profit, however, I congratulate you, since a majority of people I see are losing their bets as opposed to winning. Keep it up!

its about making a substantial long term profit, not +value over a few games. ive garnered enough to buy a bs asiimov from just selling small returns. I take just about every factor from off days to ddos when making a decision for these games.
If you're able to do that, please, tell me how you find all that information, and what your decision process is. I've always been interested in betting skins, but I've been to nervous due to all the variables that are applicable.

And a bs Asiimov is very good to be honest. I think I've only ever pulled some stickers and a MW P250

wont disclose my decision process for free, and some of the information i take into consideration is gathered from from hltv (match history / rosters). the bulk of the information comes from the information i gather from watching countless games. seeing as how several people have pmed me asking for in-depth analysis or to disclose my decision making process i might set up some premium thing if enough people ask.

note: denial just took the game against liquid.
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March 02, 2015, 04:08:35 AM
 #92

results:

feel like A51 could have taken it or made it insanely close if summit showed up
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March 02, 2015, 04:28:56 AM
 #93

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March 02, 2015, 04:40:49 AM
 #94

Nitrogensports had an e-sports category? wow

I can't find CS:G there but I'd be super interested to know if there are other websites that accept bets for e-sport matches.

..Stake.com..   ▄████████████████████████████████████▄
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..PLAY NOW..
michinzx (OP)
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March 02, 2015, 07:55:19 AM
Last edit: March 02, 2015, 07:03:02 PM by michinzx
 #95

Nitrogensports had an e-sports category? wow

I can't find CS:G there but I'd be super interested to know if there are other websites that accept bets for e-sport matches.

Theyre listed for a few hours before the matches actually start; I think CEVO and FACEIT matches are listed there, don't remember about ESEA matches. I would post bets from there on here too but lounge just lists a lot more games in comparison.
michinzx (OP)
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March 02, 2015, 01:10:23 PM
 #96

Do you keep of a record of Wins/Losses and +/- Units?

loungestats does this for me now
michinzx (OP)
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March 02, 2015, 08:22:57 PM
Last edit: March 02, 2015, 09:06:29 PM by michinzx
 #97

x6tence takes the match v Volgare, GPlay looks like they might upset dig.
virtus.plow also seem to be on point v navi atm, Orbit also looking strong on map 1 vs x6tence
this orbit v x6tence match is nuts, fuck studying watch counter strike
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March 02, 2015, 09:03:33 PM
 #98

Bored so I threw a few bucks on this VP/Titan match.  Never watched a CSGO match before.  It looks like two guys are sitting in their bedrooms talking on webcams.  Seems interesting.

I'm curious, do you just bet chalk or is there a modicum of handicapping going on?
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March 02, 2015, 09:07:37 PM
 #99

Bored so I threw a few bucks on this VP/Titan match.  Never watched a CSGO match before.  It looks like two guys are sitting in their bedrooms talking on webcams.  Seems interesting.

I'm curious, do you just bet chalk or is there a modicum of handicapping going on?

i bet an amount I feel is optimal for my total bankroll compared to the risk and reward of the odds on the match
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March 02, 2015, 09:15:20 PM
 #100

Bored so I threw a few bucks on this VP/Titan match.  Never watched a CSGO match before.  It looks like two guys are sitting in their bedrooms talking on webcams.  Seems interesting.

I'm curious, do you just bet chalk or is there a modicum of handicapping going on?

i bet an amount I feel is optimal for my total bankroll compared to the risk and reward of the odds on the match

Right, that's BRM though.  I'm asking about handicapping.  For example, I tailed your VP bet @ -253.  Now even though VP seems like the better team, and will win >50% of the time, it's only a +ev bet if they win >71.6% of the time.  I'm wondering if it's a situation where you feel they win the match >75% of the time, or do you just think they are the better team and that's the extent of it?
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