Title: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: philipma1957 on May 03, 2015, 07:33:27 PM Congrats to zebedee winner with +0.01 to 0.25% a carryover so 0.20 btc is due.
the actual number was +0.07% a lot of fast late blocks and he closed in for the win with a rush. Self modded due to seriouscoin. New contest is not yet confirmed by suchmoon. last thread is open as suchmoon and zebedee have not arranged prize payment as of now. link to the thread. https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1031765.0;all I am leaving this for revisions and changes. Suchmoon and I will do a new promo OFFICIAL RULES FOR THE MOST ACCURATE GUESS REWARD are here: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=964922.msg10550525#msg10550525 Rule changes are no pick switches. One pick and stick with the pick. Picking only between blocks 301 and 1000------------------- . The close out deadline is flexible as the site can be down so we will make sure everyone has some grace time. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: philipma1957 on May 03, 2015, 07:34:50 PM results were:
2.26 to -2.50% Bittings -2.01 to -2.25% RoadStress -1.76 to -2.00% Lboss -1.51 to -1.75% RubyPaul1 -1.26 to -1.50% gallery2000 -1.01 to -1.25% philipma1957 -0.76 to -1.00% Jamphone -0.50 to -0.75% eretron -0.26 to -0.50% shapeshift -0.01 to -0.25% Amph 0.00 EMIF +0.01 to 0.25% zebedee +0.26 to 0.50% crazyivan +0.51 to 0.75% hellfrozenow +0.76 to 1.00% coinits +1.01 to 1.25% mavericklm +1.26 to 1.50% SunnyIgor +1.51 to 1.75% Korbman +1.76 to 2.00% HerbPean +2.01 to 2.25% armedmilitia +2.26 to 2.50% notlist3d Difficulty History Date Difficulty Change Hash Rate May 03 2015 47,643,398,018 0.07% 341,044,727 GH/s Apr 19 2015 47,610,564,513 -3.71% 340,809,696 GH/s Apr 05 2015 49,446,390,688 5.84% 353,951,052 GH/s Mar 22 2015 46,717,549,645 -1.50% 334,417,246 GH/s Mar 08 2015 47,427,554,951 1.59% 339,499,662 GH/s Feb 22 2015 46,684,376,317 5.01% 334,179,783 GH/s Feb 09 2015 44,455,415,962 7.71% 318,224,263 GH/s Jan 27 2015 41,272,873,895 -6.14% 295,442,739 GH/s Jan 12 2015 43,971,662,056 8.20% 314,761,417 GH/s Dec 30 2014 40,640,955,017 3.00% 290,919,288 GH/s Dec 17 2014 39,457,671,307 -1.37% 282,449,013 GH/s Dec 02 2014 40,007,470,271 -0.73% 286,384,627 GH/s Nov 18 2014 40,300,030,328 1.76% 288,478,854 GH/s Nov 05 2014 39,603,666,252 10.05% 283,494,086 GH/s Oct 23 2014 35,985,640,265 2.81% 257,595,247 GH/s Oct 09 2014 35,002,482,026 0.98% 250,557,526 GH/s Sep 25 2014 34,661,425,924 16.20% 248,116,151 GH/s Sep 13 2014 29,829,733,124 8.75% 213,529,547 GH/s Aug 31 2014 27,428,630,902 15.03% 196,341,788 GH/s Aug 19 2014 23,844,670,039 20.86% 170,686,797 GH/s Aug 08 2014 19,729,645,941 5.30% 141,230,307 GH/s Jul 25 2014 18,736,441,558 8.08% 134,120,673 GH/s Jul 12 2014 17,336,316,979 3.08% 124,098,191 GH/s Jun 29 2014 16,818,461,371 24.93% 120,391,236 GH/s Jun 18 2014 13,462,580,115 14.51% 96,368,902 GH/s Jun 05 2014 11,756,551,917 12.44% 84,156,677 GH/s May 24 2014 10,455,720,138 18.10% 74,844,960 GH/s May 12 2014 8,853,416,309 10.66% 63,375,223 GH/s Apr 29 2014 8,000,872,136 14.64% 57,272,474 GH/s Apr 17 2014 6,978,842,650 14.04% 49,956,502 GH/s Apr 05 2014 6,119,726,089 22.23% 43,806,706 GH/s Mar 24 2014 5,006,860,589 17.80% 35,840,504 GH/s Mar 13 2014 4,250,217,920 11.39% 30,424,245 GH/s Feb 28 2014 3,815,723,799 21.92% 27,314,015 GH/s Feb 17 2014 3,129,573,175 19.39% 22,402,357 GH/s Feb 05 2014 2,621,404,453 19.49% 18,764,744 GH/s Jan 24 2014 2,193,847,870 22.59% 15,704,175 GH/s Jan 13 2014 1,789,546,951 26.16% 12,810,076 GH/s Jan 02 2014 1,418,481,395 20.12% 10,153,885 GH/s Dec 21 2013 1,180,923,195 30.01% 8,453,378 GH/s Dec 10 2013 908,350,862 28.41% 6,502,229 GH/s Nov 29 2013 707,408,283 16.07% 5,063,826 GH/s Nov 17 2013 609,482,680 19.29% 4,362,847 GH/s Nov 05 2013 510,929,738 30.70% 3,657,378 GH/s Oct 26 2013 390,928,788 46.02% 2,798,377 GH/s Oct 16 2013 267,731,249 41.45% 1,916,495 GH/s Oct 06 2013 189,281,249 27.19% 1,354,928 GH/s Sep 25 2013 148,819,200 32.13% 1,065,289 GH/s Sep 14 2013 112,628,549 29.56% 806,227 GH/s Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. not open for picks yet. Post by: philipma1957 on May 04, 2015, 01:19:54 AM Early numbers are okay:
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (-1.53%) https://www.coinbase.com 240 usd More trivia last 12 adjustments : 6 Negative 6 Positive http://btc.blockr.io/charts 140 blocks made on 5/3/2015 about 59 in this adjustment. sooooo we are a bit behind pace -1 or so. only 59 blocks do not give a pick until 300 blocks. no changing your pick. Comments are now open. No picks yet. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. not open for picks yet. Post by: notlist3d on May 04, 2015, 03:43:15 AM Pretty amazing on how slow hash rate is moving at this point.
Seems like were at a pretty slow move on hashrate. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. not open for picks yet. Post by: philipma1957 on May 04, 2015, 03:51:34 AM Pretty amazing on how slow hash rate is moving at this point. Seems like were at a pretty slow move on hashrate. yeah lots of time , but boy we all seem to be threading water big miners and little miners. No new gear just level prices. MMmmmm not bad if your power is 8 cents or lower Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. not open for picks yet. Post by: armedmilitia on May 04, 2015, 04:50:11 AM Hey, as long as the diff stays exactly the same, all of us currently mining (at even a tiny profit) will hit 100% ROI.
Wheeeee. I'm happy with the current state of things ;) Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. not open for picks yet. Post by: notlist3d on May 04, 2015, 11:51:31 AM Morning bitwisdom:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,643,398,018 Estimated Next Difficulty: 46,981,273,423 (-1.39%) Adjust time: After 1912 Blocks, About 13.4 days Biggest thing we actually have passed 240 on btc. Were at 241 with a little upward trend. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. not open for picks yet. Post by: jonnybravo0311 on May 04, 2015, 02:21:41 PM Biggest thing we actually have passed 240 on btc. Were at 241 with a little upward trend. I'm hoping the trend continues. My S3s are well beyond my initial expected lifespan for them at this point. When I first got them I figured I'd be lucky to make it until December of last year before they became unprofitable.Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. not open for picks yet. Post by: ezeminer on May 04, 2015, 03:06:44 PM Biggest thing we actually have passed 240 on btc. Were at 241 with a little upward trend. I'm hoping the trend continues. My S3s are well beyond my initial expected lifespan for them at this point. When I first got them I figured I'd be lucky to make it until December of last year before they became unprofitable.Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. not open for picks yet. Post by: jonnybravo0311 on May 04, 2015, 03:15:14 PM Biggest thing we actually have passed 240 on btc. Were at 241 with a little upward trend. I'm hoping the trend continues. My S3s are well beyond my initial expected lifespan for them at this point. When I first got them I figured I'd be lucky to make it until December of last year before they became unprofitable.Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. not open for picks yet. Post by: philipma1957 on May 04, 2015, 04:07:16 PM Biggest thing we actually have passed 240 on btc. Were at 241 with a little upward trend. I'm hoping the trend continues. My S3s are well beyond my initial expected lifespan for them at this point. When I first got them I figured I'd be lucky to make it until December of last year before they became unprofitable.With my summer power price kicking in. I am down to a pair os s-3's batch 1 mining since July 23-26th 2014. This pair of miners have done both positive btc roi and usd roi . I have them in a very low power cost spot. 2.4 cents a kwatt If growth is 3% and price is 240 usd these will earn money into the year 2017 http://imagizer.imageshack.us/v2/1280x1024q90/910/ZbdA56.png Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. not open for picks yet. Post by: jeffy1021 on May 04, 2015, 04:09:52 PM Until next gen hardware comes out, we probably would only expect nominal difficulty increases right?
Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. not open for picks yet. Post by: notlist3d on May 04, 2015, 04:19:58 PM Until next gen hardware comes out, we probably would only expect nominal difficulty increases right? This would be our hope. If it is true we get a little extra mining time out of current gen. On BTC price it slid down to 238 so the 240+ party is already over. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. not open for picks yet. Post by: philipma1957 on May 04, 2015, 04:37:03 PM Until next gen hardware comes out, we probably would only expect nominal difficulty increases right? I have done a lot of research on this. My guess is 2% over the next 6 months. A big price jump makes that go up more. I think a new gen with 0.2 watts would increase diff to 7% the first 6 adjustments or 3 months after it comes out. I think a new gen with 0.35 watts would increase diff to 4% the first 6 adjustments or 3 months after it comes out. I guess 2% since I do not see new gear anytime soon. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. not open for picks yet. Post by: Mikestang on May 04, 2015, 04:43:58 PM Until next gen hardware comes out, we probably would only expect nominal difficulty increases right? I'm expecting nominal difficulty decreases, actually. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. not open for picks yet. Post by: philipma1957 on May 04, 2015, 05:09:51 PM Until next gen hardware comes out, we probably would only expect nominal difficulty increases right? I'm expecting nominal difficulty decreases, actually. This could be true. At least for the next 4 or 5 jumps as the summer heat is coming and down-clocking gear will be necessary for many miners. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. not open for picks yet. Post by: alh on May 04, 2015, 07:34:55 PM This last difficulty adjust could have easily been a negative .07% if the blocks had fallen slight differently. A stable difficulty is great, a stagnant BTC price of $230 may well tend to keep it there a while longer. Even if you are manufacturer of the ASIC gear, doubling your farm hashrate doesn't really help much, because a couple of weeks later a positive difficulty adjustment just washes away any gain you had in your hashrate. And unless you installed more efficient gear, you doubled your electric bill, however large or small that may be.
It's possible that the mining community at large has figured out that an ASIC "Arms Race" doesn't really help anyone for very long, unless the BTC price also increases. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. not open for picks yet. Post by: notlist3d on May 04, 2015, 07:37:41 PM Until next gen hardware comes out, we probably would only expect nominal difficulty increases right? I'm expecting nominal difficulty decreases, actually. This could be true. At least for the next 4 or 5 jumps as the summer heat is coming and down-clocking gear will be necessary for many miners. This could really benefit us miners if we keep getting such low jumps. I would agree summer heat will be a issue for some miners. It's coming fast on the heat. I guess we will see but I'm hoping for low jumps, negative would be a bonus. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. not open for picks yet. Post by: philipma1957 on May 04, 2015, 09:29:58 PM This last difficulty adjust could have easily been a negative .07% if the blocks had fallen slight differently. A stable difficulty is great, a stagnant BTC price of $230 may well tend to keep it there a while longer. Even if you are manufacturer of the ASIC gear, doubling your farm hashrate doesn't really help much, because a couple of weeks later a positive difficulty adjustment just washes away any gain you had in your hashrate. And unless you installed more efficient gear, you doubled your electric bill, however large or small that may be. It's possible that the mining community at large has figured out that an ASIC "Arms Race" doesn't really help anyone for very long, unless the BTC price also increases. Yeah if your farm has 1000 s-5's standing pat works if you power is low cost. Lets say the s-7 comes out in sept 2015. and lets say it does .35 watts slowly replacing those s-5's and keep your hash exactly the same works since your power drops quite a bit. In the mature Asic market this is a sensible money move ie 1ph burning 520,000 kwatts vs 1 ph burning 350,000 means my profit goes up the price of 170,000 kwatts Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. not open for picks yet. Post by: mavericklm on May 04, 2015, 10:02:39 PM +1.896666667% is the adjustment for each jump of this year!
Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. not open for picks yet. Post by: philipma1957 on May 04, 2015, 11:10:07 PM +1.896666667% is the adjustment for each jump of this year! yeah that big price drop we had in Jan to under 185 usd really has kept growth in check. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. not open for picks yet. Post by: philipma1957 on May 05, 2015, 03:14:50 AM Early numbers are okay:
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (-2.18%) https://www.coinbase.com 240 usd More trivia last 12 adjustments : 6 Negative 6 Positive http://btc.blockr.io/charts 140 blocks made on 5/3/2015 about 59 in this adjustment. sooooo we are a bit behind pace -1 or so. 130 blocks made on 5/4/2015 this puts us at 15 behind pace we have made 185 blocks we should be at 200 blocks this is (-7.25%) only 185 blocks do not give a pick until 300 blocks. I will let you know when Also no changing your pick. Just too much work. No picks yet. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. not open for picks yet. Post by: Kexkey on May 05, 2015, 03:18:58 AM Until next gen hardware comes out, we probably would only expect nominal difficulty increases right? Pretty soon... https://bitcoinmagazine.com/20247/new-mining-chip-developed-sfards-becomes-efficient-chip-produced/ Hopefully the giant mining farms don't grab them before everyone else. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. not open for picks yet. Post by: philipma1957 on May 05, 2015, 03:25:04 AM Until next gen hardware comes out, we probably would only expect nominal difficulty increases right? Pretty soon... https://bitcoinmagazine.com/20247/new-mining-chip-developed-sfards-becomes-efficient-chip-produced/ Hopefully the giant mining farms don't grab them before everyone else. We will have to wait and see if it does well at the wall. I also suspect if it mines well btc-ltc. ltc will take a solid price hit. Still they made a nice chip for ltc last year. It was not good for btc or btc + ltc maybe it has the same issues as last year. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. not open for picks yet. Post by: notlist3d on May 05, 2015, 05:39:55 AM Night bitwisdom:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,643,398,018 Estimated Next Difficulty: 46,457,530,981 (-2.49%) Adjust time: After 1819 Blocks, About 13.0 days Hashrate(?): 332,013,210 GH/s Price of btc taken a little dive to 234. So not the way we wanted it to move. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. not open for picks yet. Post by: alh on May 05, 2015, 07:00:22 AM The tables I saw for the SFARDS chip make it look like a step, but not a leap in efficiency. I don't mean this as a knock, just a recognition of the situation.
My bet is that they will try and get a serious premium for it's "LTC feature", and it will make it appear "overpriced" as a Bitcoin miner only. Thank goodness this is a speculation thread and I don't have to reveal my overall ignorance of the LTC universe and it's machinations. :) Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. not open for picks yet. Post by: davejh on May 05, 2015, 07:58:42 AM +1.896666667% is the adjustment for each jump of this year! I've been making a working assumption of about 2% for quite a while now. Of course it's difficult to test this theory over the short term because of variance issues (the variance is larger than the trend). The only thing that would change this would be a major shift in the BTC price again. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. not open for picks yet. Post by: notlist3d on May 05, 2015, 08:22:32 AM The tables I saw for the SFARDS chip make it look like a step, but not a leap in efficiency. I don't mean this as a knock, just a recognition of the situation. My bet is that they will try and get a serious premium for it's "LTC feature", and it will make it appear "overpriced" as a Bitcoin miner only. Thank goodness this is a speculation thread and I don't have to reveal my overall ignorance of the LTC universe and it's machinations. :) LTC has been a tough game. I know i got out of the scrypt mining after having a A2 for a while. Profits just were crazy low, and many took loses. I am hoping they base their miner or the BTC side, if they do go scrypt I think profitable is much much harder. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. not open for picks yet. Post by: philipma1957 on May 05, 2015, 12:23:18 PM https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (-2.18%) Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,643,398,018 Estimated Next Difficulty: 46,606,398,388 (-2.18%) Adjust time: After 1772 Blocks, About 12.6 days Hashrate(?): 336,061,940 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 10.2 minutes 3 blocks: 30.6 minutes 6 blocks: 1.0 hours Updated: 8:20 (1.3 minutes ago) We have 244 blocks made. At 300 we can start picking. Still negative at the moment. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. not open for picks yet. Post by: Mikestang on May 05, 2015, 06:14:34 PM I hope it stays negative all summer, woo! :o
Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: philipma1957 on May 05, 2015, 07:44:41 PM okay we are at block 1723 which means we did 293 blocks
At block 1716 we will have done 300 and picks will open up https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty ........................... (-2.71%) http://www.bitcoincharts.com/ .............................................. (-1.66%) I stick with my -1.01 to -1.25% with my real pick as -1.11% As I will give homage to seriouscoin. So picks will open very soon. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. not open for picks yet. Post by: Mikestang on May 05, 2015, 08:55:51 PM If you look at the 9 month display you can see that difficulty is definitely plateauing off as this year progresses. I wonder if we'll ever see a downward trend for network diff? These next two years will be interesting, both with the halving coming up and with improvements in hardware efficiency (I think we've see all the significant speed increases we will see for ASICs).
http://i60.tinypic.com/n221r6.jpg http://i60.tinypic.com/154zrxl.jpg Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: philipma1957 on May 05, 2015, 09:03:31 PM If you look at the 9 month display you can see that difficulty is definitely plateauing off as this year progresses. I wonder if we'll ever see a downward trend for network diff? These next two years will be interesting, both with the halving coming up and with improvements in hardware efficiency (I think we've see all the significant speed increases we will see for ASICs). yeah price will be the ruler not diff. if demand goes up and price goes up more gear will come on line. You don't need great math skills to see swapping old gear for new gear and maintaining your hashrate works. ie 2 s-3's = 1th burns 800 watts 1 s-5 = 1.15th burns 680 watts very small hash increase but a solid watts decrease now it is hotter down clock the s-5 to 1th drop watts to 520 exact same hash rate and 280 watts drop. Big companies are not stupid now that they don't sell to miners that much they need to follow the formula above to make money. 300 block in picks are now open -1.01 to -1.25% ------------------ Philipma1957 Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. not open for picks yet. Post by: ezeminer on May 05, 2015, 09:04:27 PM Bitcoinwisdom says that we are 300 blocks into the cycle.
I would like to start off by picking -5.49 to -5.25% with a pick at -5.27% Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: philipma1957 on May 05, 2015, 09:08:40 PM WE ARE 300 blocks in picks are now open!
-5.26% to -5.50%---------------------- ezeminer------------------- note I corrected from -5.49 to -5.25% -3.01% to -3.25% ----------------------jonnybravo0311 -1.01% to -1.25% ------------------ Philipma1957 -0.76% TO -1.00% --------------------- Lboss right now we are a solid neg (-3.04%) at bitcoinwisdom Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,643,398,018 Estimated Next Difficulty: 46,196,179,808 (-3.04%) Adjust time: After 1715 Blocks, About 12.4 days Hashrate(?): 335,688,740 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 10.4 minutes 3 blocks: 31.1 minutes 6 blocks: 1.0 hours Updated: 17:10 (2.8 minutes ago) lots of time to pick about 4.5 days. blocks 1000 in with blocks 1016 left Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: Lboss on May 05, 2015, 09:16:58 PM I want to pick (-0.76) - (-1.00)%
Thanks Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: jonnybravo0311 on May 05, 2015, 09:17:48 PM -3.01 to -3.25
Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: Jamphone on May 05, 2015, 09:20:49 PM -0.51 to -0.75 please!
Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: Mikestang on May 05, 2015, 09:21:56 PM You don't need great math skills to see swapping old gear for new gear and maintaining your hashrate works. And, in the long run, makes Bitcoin more environmentally friendly, especially since a huge majority of the electricity poured into the network comes from burning coal. My pick: -1.76% to -2.00% Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: notlist3d on May 05, 2015, 09:23:16 PM -2.01% to -2.25 please! Man people guess quick once this opens.
Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: philipma1957 on May 05, 2015, 09:31:17 PM WE ARE 300 blocks in picks are now open!
-5.26% to -5.50%---------------------- ezeminer------------------- note I corrected from -5.49 to -5.25% -3.01% to -3.25% ----------------------jonnybravo0311 -2.26% to -2.51% ---------------------- shapeshift -2.01% to -2.25% --------------------- notlist3d -1.76% to-2.00% ---------------------- Mikestang -1.01% to -1.25% ------------------ Philipma1957 -0.76% to -1.00% --------------------- Lboss -0.51% to -0.75% ---------------------- Jamphone right now we are a solid neg (-3.04%) at bitcoinwisdom Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,643,398,018 Estimated Next Difficulty: 46,196,179,808 (-3.04%) Adjust time: After 1715 Blocks, About 12.4 days Hashrate(?): 335,688,740 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 10.4 minutes 3 blocks: 31.1 minutes 6 blocks: 1.0 hours Updated: 17:10 (2.8 minutes ago) lots of time to pick about 4.5 days. blocks 1000 in with blocks 1016 left Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: shapeshift on May 05, 2015, 09:34:43 PM Again very quick guesses. As a double misser I want to take -2.26% to -2.50% ;D
I dont want to be triple misser :D Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: philipma1957 on May 05, 2015, 09:40:08 PM Again very quick guesses. As a double misser I want to take -2.26% to -2.50% ;D I dont want to be triple misser :D You got it Odo look right above your post. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: shapeshift on May 05, 2015, 09:45:55 PM Again very quick guesses. As a double misser I want to take -2.26% to -2.50% ;D I dont want to be triple misser :D You got it Odo look above this post. Thanks philipma1957. I believe , this time we will see a negative one but dont think it will be over -3%. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: Kexkey on May 05, 2015, 10:44:29 PM -2.51 to -2.75%
Thanks! :) Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: Biodom on May 05, 2015, 10:45:32 PM hi
-2.76 to -3.00 Thanks Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: philipma1957 on May 05, 2015, 11:44:45 PM Picks are now open!
-5.26% to -5.50%---------------------- ezeminer------------------- note I corrected from -5.49 to -5.25% -3.01% to -3.25% ----------------------jonnybravo0311 -2.76% to -3.00% ---------------------- Biodom -2.51% to --2.75% --------------------- Kexkey -2.26% to -2.51% ---------------------- shapeshift -2.01% to -2.25% --------------------- notlist3d -1.76% to-2.00% ---------------------- Mikestang -1.01% to -1.25% ------------------ Philipma1957 -0.76% to -1.00% --------------------- Lboss -0.51% to -0.75% ---------------------- Jamphone right now we are a solid negative with lots of time to pick about 4.5 days. http://www.bitcoincharts.com/ (-2.03%) https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (-2.68%) https://bitcoinwisdom.com/markets/coinbase/btcusd = 236 usd Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. not open for picks yet. Post by: Jammalan the Prophet on May 06, 2015, 12:35:34 AM Biggest thing we actually have passed 240 on btc. Were at 241 with a little upward trend. I'm hoping the trend continues. My S3s are well beyond my initial expected lifespan for them at this point. When I first got them I figured I'd be lucky to make it until December of last year before they became unprofitable.I assume the owner was talking about the time for making a ROI , but that made me curios. What is going to be the average real lifespan of those machines? I assume most of those ASIC will run with no problems for 1-2 years but are they designed and built to last much more than that? I ask this because a lot of machines are running now because running cost < reward but a lot of owners won't purchase a new one if their miner will go kaboom Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: zebedee on May 06, 2015, 01:53:00 AM +0.01% to 0.25% (again!) please.
Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: valkir on May 06, 2015, 02:00:20 AM -1.26% to -1.50% Please! Thanks you
Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: suchmoon on May 06, 2015, 02:18:20 AM +0.01% to 0.25% (again!) please. Congrats on the win in the previous round, betting on the winning horse is as a good strategy as any other :) Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: wpt1wpt1 on May 06, 2015, 02:31:10 AM I will take -1.26% to -1.50% if still available
Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: wpt1wpt1 on May 06, 2015, 02:32:04 AM Acch make it -1.52% to -2.00
Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: philipma1957 on May 06, 2015, 03:13:10 AM Picks are now open!
-5.26% to -5.50%---------------------- ezeminer------------------- note I corrected from -5.49 to -5.25% -3.01% to -3.25% ----------------------jonnybravo0311 -2.76% to -3.00% ---------------------- Biodom -2.51% to --2.75% --------------------- Kexkey -2.26% to -2.51% ---------------------- shapeshift -2.01% to -2.25% --------------------- notlist3d -1.76% to -2.00% ---------------------- Mikestang -1.51% to -1.76% ---------------------- wpt1wpt1 ----------------note I corrected this from -1.52% to -2.00% -1.26% to -1.50% ----------------------valkir -1.01% to -1.25% ------------------ Philipma1957 -0.76% to -1.00% --------------------- Lboss -0.51% to -0.75% ---------------------- Jamphone +0.01% to +0.25%-------------------- zebedee right now we are a solid negative with lots of time to pick about 4.5 days. http://www.bitcoincharts.com/ (-2.03%) https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (-2.68%) https://bitcoinwisdom.com/markets/coinbase/btcusd = 236 usd and http://btc.blockr.io/charts 5/3/2015 140 blocks----------- that is - 2 since about half were the last adjustment and half were this adjustment 5/4/2015 130 blocks---------- that is - 14 5/5/2015 154 blocks---------- that is +10 so maybe -6 blocks after 335 are made that is (-1.75%) for a real number. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: ezeminer on May 06, 2015, 03:54:44 AM Thanks Phillip. I just can never do numbers :D
Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: notlist3d on May 06, 2015, 04:01:21 AM I still am amazed at how we are slowing down with so many negatives. Here was last year in may:
May 24 2014 10,455,720,138 18.10% 74,844,960 GH/s May 12 2014 8,853,416,309 10.66% 63,375,223 GH/s A year ago I thought we would almost always see double digit changes. But we seem hit pretty slow on growth. Btc still is not extremely high I wonder how long till next gen. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: Last of the V8s on May 06, 2015, 05:32:25 AM +0.51% to +0.75% please and thanks
Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: ezeminer on May 06, 2015, 06:00:14 AM I still am amazed at how we are slowing down with so many negatives. Here was last year in may: May 24 2014 10,455,720,138 18.10% 74,844,960 GH/s May 12 2014 8,853,416,309 10.66% 63,375,223 GH/s A year ago I thought we would almost always see double digit changes. But we seem hit pretty slow on growth. Btc still is not extremely high I wonder how long till next gen. Well Bitcoin was still pretty high at that point, and all the hardware that kept being introduced made mining nuts. Businesses made some good profit while their hardware lasted... Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: SunnyIgor on May 06, 2015, 09:53:43 AM -0,26 to -0,50 please
Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: Zorrocoin on May 06, 2015, 10:08:27 AM There are a few slots in negative range. I would like to get from -0.01% to -0.25%.
Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: eretron on May 06, 2015, 11:04:50 AM I would like:
+0,26 - +0,50 Thanks Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: philipma1957 on May 06, 2015, 12:10:28 PM Picks are now open!
-5.26% to -5.50% ---------------------- ezeminer------------------- note I corrected from -5.49 to -5.25% -3.01% to -3.25% ----------------------jonnybravo0311 -2.76% to -3.00% ---------------------- Biodom -2.51% to --2.75% --------------------- Kexkey -2.26% to -2.51% ---------------------- shapeshift -2.01% to -2.25% --------------------- notlist3d -1.76% to -2.00% ---------------------- Mikestang -1.51% to -1.76% ---------------------- wpt1wpt1 ----------------note I corrected this from -1.52% to -2.00% -1.26% to -1.50% ----------------------valkir -1.01% to -1.25% ------------------ Philipma1957 -0.76% to -1.00% --------------------- Lboss -0.51% to -0.75% ---------------------- Jamphone -0.26% to -0.50% ---------------------- SunnyIgor -0.01% to -0.25% ---------------------- Zorrocoin +0.01% to +0.25% -------------------- zebedee +0.26% to +0.50% -------------------- eretron +0.51% to +0.75% -------------------- Last of the V8s right now we are a solid negative with lots of time to pick about 4.5 days. http://www.bitcoincharts.com/ (-1.92%) https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (-2.48%) https://bitcoinwisdom.com/markets/coinbase/btcusd = 235 usd and http://btc.blockr.io/charts 5/3/2015 140 blocks----------- that is - 2 since about half were the last adjustment and half were this adjustment 5/4/2015 130 blocks---------- that is - 14 5/5/2015 154 blocks---------- that is +10 so maybe -6 blocks after 335 are made that is (-1.75%) for a real number. [/quote] Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: davejh on May 06, 2015, 12:53:08 PM Looks like the good guesses are gone :-) I'll go with +0.76 to 1.0!
Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: kenscho on May 06, 2015, 01:08:53 PM I think
+ 0.35 to +0.65% Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: philipma1957 on May 06, 2015, 02:17:01 PM Picks are now open!
-5.26% to -5.50% ---------------------- ezeminer------------------- note I corrected from -5.49 to -5.25% -3.01% to -3.25% ----------------------jonnybravo0311 -2.76% to -3.00% ---------------------- Biodom -2.51% to --2.75% --------------------- Kexkey -2.26% to -2.51% ---------------------- shapeshift -2.01% to -2.25% --------------------- notlist3d -1.76% to -2.00% ---------------------- Mikestang -1.51% to -1.76% ---------------------- wpt1wpt1 ----------------note I corrected this from -1.52% to -2.00% -1.26% to -1.50% ----------------------valkir -1.01% to -1.25% ------------------ Philipma1957 -0.76% to -1.00% --------------------- Lboss -0.51% to -0.75% ---------------------- Jamphone -0.26% to -0.50% ---------------------- SunnyIgor -0.01% to -0.25% ---------------------- Zorrocoin 0.00 -------------------------------------- EMIF +0.01% to +0.25% -------------------- zebedee +0.26% to +0.50% -------------------- eretron +0.51% to +0.75% -------------------- Last of the V8s +0.76% to +1.00% -------------------- davejh +1.01% to +1.25% ----------------- kenscho---------- Note this is a placeholder his pick of + 0.35 to +0.65% is not correct +2.00% to 2.25% ---------------------- mavericklm right now we are a solid negative with lots of time to pick about 4.5 days. http://www.bitcoincharts.com/ (-1.92%) https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (-2.48%) https://bitcoinwisdom.com/markets/coinbase/btcusd = 235 usd and http://btc.blockr.io/charts 5/3/2015 140 blocks----------- that is - 2 since about half were the last adjustment and half were this adjustment 5/4/2015 130 blocks---------- that is - 14 5/5/2015 154 blocks---------- that is +10 so maybe -6 blocks after 335 are made that is (-1.75%) for a real number. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: philipma1957 on May 06, 2015, 02:19:41 PM I think + 0.35 to +0.65% look at the pick I gave you. as your pick is not legit and even though it used parts of 2 ranges and was .3% wide both ranges were covered. +0.26% to + 0.50% covered +0.51% to + 0.75% covered +1.01% to +1.25% was what I gave you as it is the closest to your pick open. Please let me know if you are okay with it!! Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: EMIF on May 06, 2015, 02:39:26 PM I want to take "0" again , if possible :)
Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: mavericklm on May 06, 2015, 02:48:48 PM i'll be a dick and say 2 to 2.25 ::) ;D :D
Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: tlhIlwI on May 06, 2015, 03:06:17 PM +1.26 to +1.50 please.
Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: zubelutte on May 06, 2015, 03:09:51 PM I want -3.26% -3.50%
Thanks Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: kenscho on May 06, 2015, 04:36:37 PM I think + 0.35 to +0.65% look at the pick I gave you. as your pick is not legit and even though it used parts of 2 ranges and was .3% wide both ranges were covered. +0.26% to + 0.50% covered +0.51% to + 0.75% covered +1.01% to +1.25% was what I gave you as it is the closest to your pick open. Please let me know if you are okay with it!! +1.01% to +1.25% its ok! Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: philipma1957 on May 06, 2015, 06:09:37 PM Picks are now open!
-5.26% to -5.50% ---------------------- ezeminer -3.26% to 3.50% --------------------- zubelutte -3.01% to -3.25% ----------------------jonnybravo0311 -2.76% to -3.00% ---------------------- Biodom -2.51% to --2.75% --------------------- Kexkey -2.26% to -2.51% ---------------------- shapeshift -2.01% to -2.25% --------------------- notlist3d -1.76% to -2.00% ---------------------- Mikestang -1.51% to -1.76% ---------------------- wpt1wpt1 -1.26% to -1.50% ----------------------valkir -1.01% to -1.25% ------------------ Philipma1957 -0.76% to -1.00% --------------------- Lboss -0.51% to -0.75% ---------------------- Jamphone -0.26% to -0.50% ---------------------- SunnyIgor -0.01% to -0.25% ---------------------- Zorrocoin 0.00% ---------------------------------- EMIF +0.01% to +0.25% -------------------- zebedee +0.26% to +0.50% -------------------- eretron +0.51% to +0.75% -------------------- Last of the V8s +0.76% to +1.00% -------------------- davejh +1.01% to +1.25% -------------------- kenscho +1.26% to +1.50% -------------------- tlhIlwI +2.00% to 2.25% ---------------------- mavericklm right now we are a solid negative with lots of time to pick about 4.5 days. http://www.bitcoincharts.com/ (-1.71%) https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (-1.93%) https://bitcoinwisdom.com/markets/coinbase/btcusd = 236 usd and http://btc.blockr.io/charts 5/3/2015 140 blocks----------- that is - 2 since about half were the last adjustment and half were this adjustment 5/4/2015 130 blocks---------- that is - 14 5/5/2015 154 blocks---------- that is +10 so maybe -6 blocks after 335 are made that is (-1.75%) for a real number. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: Mikestang on May 06, 2015, 09:00:42 PM Negative negative negative, looking good.
Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: RealMalatesta on May 06, 2015, 10:44:12 PM Shuut, if I look at the spike to come, I'd guess +3.25% to +3.5%
Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: notlist3d on May 07, 2015, 01:38:32 AM It's went up pretty much:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,643,398,018 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,408,223,886 (-0.49%) Adjust time: After 1529 Blocks, About 10.5 days Price also dropped around 6 dollars to around 230. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: philipma1957 on May 07, 2015, 02:22:05 AM Picks are now open!
-5.26% to -5.50% ---------------------- ezeminer -3.26% to 3.50% --------------------- zubelutte -3.01% to -3.25% ----------------------jonnybravo0311 -2.76% to -3.00% ---------------------- Biodom -2.51% to --2.75% --------------------- Kexkey -2.26% to -2.51% ---------------------- shapeshift -2.01% to -2.25% --------------------- notlist3d -1.76% to -2.00% ---------------------- Mikestang -1.51% to -1.76% ---------------------- wpt1wpt1 -1.26% to -1.50% ----------------------valkir -1.01% to -1.25% ------------------ Philipma1957 -0.76% to -1.00% --------------------- Lboss -0.51% to -0.75% ---------------------- Jamphone -0.26% to -0.50% ---------------------- SunnyIgor -0.01% to -0.25% ---------------------- Zorrocoin 0.00% ---------------------------------- EMIF +0.01% to +0.25% -------------------- zebedee +0.26% to +0.50% -------------------- eretron +0.51% to +0.75% -------------------- Last of the V8s +0.76% to +1.00% -------------------- davejh +1.01% to +1.25% -------------------- kenscho +1.26% to +1.50% -------------------- tlhIlwI +2.00% to 2.25% ---------------------- mavericklm +3.25% to +3.5% ---------------------- RealMalatesta right now we are a solid negative with lots of time to pick about 4.5 days. http://www.bitcoincharts.com/ (-0.63%) https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (-1.46%) https://bitcoinwisdom.com/markets/coinbase/btcusd = 231 usd and http://btc.blockr.io/charts 5/3/2015 140 blocks----------- that is - 2 since about half were the last adjustment and half were this adjustment 5/4/2015 130 blocks---------- that is - 14 5/5/2015 154 blocks---------- that is +10 5/6/2015 157 blocks---------- that is +13 so maybe +7 blocks after 488 are made that is (+1.45%) for a 'real' time number. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: gallery2000 on May 07, 2015, 02:52:18 AM +1.51 TO 1.75
Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: philipma1957 on May 07, 2015, 02:54:00 AM Picks are now open!
-5.26% to -5.50% ---------------------- ezeminer -3.26% to 3.50% --------------------- zubelutte -3.01% to -3.25% ----------------------jonnybravo0311 -2.76% to -3.00% ---------------------- Biodom -2.51% to --2.75% --------------------- Kexkey -2.26% to -2.51% ---------------------- shapeshift -2.01% to -2.25% --------------------- notlist3d -1.76% to -2.00% ---------------------- Mikestang -1.51% to -1.76% ---------------------- wpt1wpt1 -1.26% to -1.50% ----------------------valkir -1.01% to -1.25% ------------------ Philipma1957 -0.76% to -1.00% --------------------- Lboss -0.51% to -0.75% ---------------------- Jamphone -0.26% to -0.50% ---------------------- SunnyIgor -0.01% to -0.25% ---------------------- Zorrocoin 0.00% ---------------------------------- EMIF +0.01% to +0.25% -------------------- zebedee +0.26% to +0.50% -------------------- eretron +0.51% to +0.75% -------------------- Last of the V8s +0.76% to +1.00% -------------------- davejh +1.01% to +1.25% -------------------- kenscho +1.26% to +1.50% -------------------- tlhIlwI +1.51% to +1.75% -------------------- gallery2000 +2.00% to +2.25% -------------------- mavericklm +3.25% to +3.50% -------------------- RealMalatesta right now we are a solid negative with lots of time to pick about 4.5 days. http://www.bitcoincharts.com/ (-0.63%) https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (-1.46%) https://bitcoinwisdom.com/markets/coinbase/btcusd = 231 usd and http://btc.blockr.io/charts 5/3/2015 140 blocks----------- that is - 2 since about half were the last adjustment and half were this adjustment 5/4/2015 130 blocks---------- that is - 14 5/5/2015 154 blocks---------- that is +10 5/6/2015 157 blocks---------- that is +13 so maybe +7 blocks after 488 are made that is (+1.45%) for a 'real' time number. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: tss on May 07, 2015, 03:32:33 AM i will take +1.76 to +2.00 please
do you need to correct? from +2.00% to + 2.25% ------------------- mavericklm to +2.01% to + 2.25% ------------------- mavericklm Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: philipma1957 on May 07, 2015, 04:12:34 AM Picks are now open!
-5.26% to -5.50% ---------------------- ezeminer -3.26% to 3.50% --------------------- zubelutte -3.01% to -3.25% ----------------------jonnybravo0311 -2.76% to -3.00% ---------------------- Biodom -2.51% to --2.75% --------------------- Kexkey -2.26% to -2.51% ---------------------- shapeshift -2.01% to -2.25% --------------------- notlist3d -1.76% to -2.00% ---------------------- Mikestang -1.51% to -1.76% ---------------------- wpt1wpt1 -1.26% to -1.50% ----------------------valkir -1.01% to -1.25% ------------------ Philipma1957 -0.76% to -1.00% --------------------- Lboss -0.51% to -0.75% ---------------------- Jamphone -0.26% to -0.50% ---------------------- SunnyIgor -0.01% to -0.25% ---------------------- Zorrocoin 0.00% ---------------------------------- EMIF +0.01% to +0.25% -------------------- zebedee +0.26% to +0.50% -------------------- eretron +0.51% to +0.75% -------------------- Last of the V8s +0.76% to +1.00% -------------------- davejh +1.01% to +1.25% -------------------- kenscho +1.26% to +1.50% -------------------- tlhIlwI +1.51% to +1.75% -------------------- gallery2000 +1.76% to +2.00% -------------------- tss +2.01% to +2.25% -------------------- mavericklm +3.25% to +3.50% -------------------- RealMalatesta right now we are a solid negative with lots of time to pick about 4.5 days. http://www.bitcoincharts.com/ (-0.63%) https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (-1.46%) https://bitcoinwisdom.com/markets/coinbase/btcusd = 231 usd and http://btc.blockr.io/charts 5/3/2015 140 blocks----------- that is - 2 since about half were the last adjustment and half were this adjustment 5/4/2015 130 blocks---------- that is - 14 5/5/2015 154 blocks---------- that is +10 5/6/2015 157 blocks---------- that is +13 so maybe +7 blocks after 488 are made that is (+1.45%) for a 'real' time number. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: notlist3d on May 07, 2015, 04:39:51 AM It's went up pretty much: Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,643,398,018 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,408,223,886 (-0.49%) Adjust time: After 1529 Blocks, About 10.5 days Price also dropped around 6 dollars to around 230. It went down some... so not all bad news Bitwisdom: Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,643,398,018 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,032,106,525 (-1.28%) Adjust time: After 1517 Blocks, About 10.6 days Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: ACCTseller on May 07, 2015, 05:37:46 AM I would guess -3.51% to 3.75%. The stagnant price of BTC plus the lack of availability of new hardware (especially that of more/better efficiency) means that little new hardware is going to be brought online and some amount of hardware will be taken offline because of costs, warmer weather, ect
Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: tertius993 on May 07, 2015, 10:56:57 AM I think it'll edge up this time, so I'll stick with my usual slot please - +3.01 to +3.25
Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: philipma1957 on May 07, 2015, 02:38:33 PM Picks are now open!
-5.26% to -5.50% ---------------------- ezeminer -3.51% to 3.75% --------------------- ACCTseller -3.26% to 3.50% --------------------- zubelutte -3.01% to -3.25% ----------------------jonnybravo0311 -2.76% to -3.00% ---------------------- Biodom -2.51% to --2.75% --------------------- Kexkey -2.26% to -2.51% ---------------------- shapeshift -2.01% to -2.25% --------------------- notlist3d -1.76% to -2.00% ---------------------- Mikestang -1.51% to -1.76% ---------------------- wpt1wpt1 -1.26% to -1.50% ----------------------valkir -1.01% to -1.25% ------------------ Philipma1957 -0.76% to -1.00% --------------------- Lboss -0.51% to -0.75% ---------------------- Jamphone -0.26% to -0.50% ---------------------- SunnyIgor -0.01% to -0.25% ---------------------- Zorrocoin 0.00% ---------------------------------- EMIF +0.01% to +0.25% -------------------- zebedee +0.26% to +0.50% -------------------- eretron +0.51% to +0.75% -------------------- Last of the V8s +0.76% to +1.00% -------------------- davejh +1.01% to +1.25% -------------------- kenscho +1.26% to +1.50% -------------------- tlhIlwI +1.51% to +1.75% -------------------- gallery2000 +1.76% to +2.00% -------------------- tss +2.01% to +2.25% -------------------- mavericklm +3.01% to +3.25% -------------------- tertius993 +3.25% to +3.50% -------------------- RealMalatesta right now we are about 0% with time left to pick about 3 days. http://www.bitcoincharts.com/ (-0.90%) I have never seen 0 but there it is at the 1452 block mark https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty ( -0.00% ) https://bitcoinwisdom.com/markets/coinbase/btcusd = 232 usd and http://btc.blockr.io/charts 5/3/2015 140 blocks----------- that is - 2 since about half were the last adjustment and half were this adjustment 5/4/2015 130 blocks---------- that is - 14 5/5/2015 154 blocks---------- that is +10 5/6/2015 157 blocks---------- that is +13 so maybe +7 blocks after 488 are made that is (+1.45%) for a 'real' time number. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: notlist3d on May 07, 2015, 06:40:53 PM Bitwisdom is now showing a positive:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,643,398,018 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,746,031,738 (+0.22%) Adjust time: After 1426 Blocks, About 9.8 days Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: ezeminer on May 07, 2015, 08:57:55 PM -2.26% to -2.51% ---------------------- shapeshift
& +3.25% to +3.50% -------------------- RealMalatesta Should be corrected to -2.26% to -2.50% ---------------------- shapeshift & +3.26% to +3.50% -------------------- RealMalatesta Just noticed those small one off decimals :D Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: cakir on May 07, 2015, 09:00:09 PM I'm picking +2.26% to +2.50% ;D
Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: philipma1957 on May 07, 2015, 09:58:20 PM Picks are now open!
-5.26% to -5.50% ---------------------- ezeminer -3.51% to 3.75% --------------------- ACCTseller -3.26% to 3.50% --------------------- zubelutte -3.01% to -3.25% ----------------------jonnybravo0311 -2.76% to -3.00% ---------------------- Biodom -2.51% to -2.75% --------------------- Kexkey -2.26% to -2.50% ---------------------- shapeshift -2.01% to -2.25% --------------------- notlist3d -1.76% to -2.00% ---------------------- Mikestang -1.51% to -1.76% ---------------------- wpt1wpt1 -1.26% to -1.50% ----------------------valkir -1.01% to -1.25% ------------------ Philipma1957 -0.76% to -1.00% --------------------- Lboss -0.51% to -0.75% ---------------------- Jamphone -0.26% to -0.50% ---------------------- SunnyIgor -0.01% to -0.25% ---------------------- Zorrocoin 0.00% ---------------------------------- EMIF +0.01% to +0.25% -------------------- zebedee +0.26% to +0.50% -------------------- eretron +0.51% to +0.75% -------------------- Last of the V8s +0.76% to +1.00% -------------------- davejh +1.01% to +1.25% -------------------- kenscho +1.26% to +1.50% -------------------- tlhIlwI +1.51% to +1.75% -------------------- gallery2000 +1.76% to +2.00% -------------------- tss +2.01% to +2.25% -------------------- mavericklm +2.26% to +2.50% -------------------- cakir +2.51% to +2.76% -------------------- alh +3.01% to +3.25% -------------------- tertius993 +3.26% to +3.50% -------------------- RealMalatesta right now we are about 0% with time left to pick about 3 days. http://www.bitcoincharts.com/ (-0.90%) I have never seen 0 but there it was at the 1452 block mark https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty ( +0.19% ) https://bitcoinwisdom.com/markets/coinbase/btcusd = 238 usd and http://btc.blockr.io/charts 5/3/2015 140 blocks----------- that is - 2 since about half were the last adjustment and half were this adjustment 5/4/2015 130 blocks---------- that is - 14 5/5/2015 154 blocks---------- that is +10 5/6/2015 157 blocks---------- that is +13 so maybe +7 blocks after 488 are made that is (+1.45%) for a 'real' time number. we are at the 1406 block mark. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: notlist3d on May 07, 2015, 10:57:48 PM Looks like it will be a positive change. But we are gaining on btc worth some. So I don't see it as to bad. I just want to cross the 240 number and stay over.
Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: notlist3d on May 08, 2015, 02:57:45 AM Bitwisdom tonight:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,643,398,018 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,748,034,075 (+0.22%) Adjust time: After 1376 Blocks, About 9.4 days Hashrate(?): 359,862,539 GH/s Looks like we will be having a positive. Price of BTC slightly under 238. And slight movement up. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: philipma1957 on May 08, 2015, 03:38:23 AM http://btc.blockr.io/charts 5/3/2015 140 blocks----------- that is - 2 since about half were the last adjustment and half were this adjustment 5/4/2015 130 blocks---------- that is - 14 5/5/2015 154 blocks---------- that is +10 5/6/2015 157 blocks---------- that is +13 5/7/2015 148 blocks---=-------that is +4 so maybe +11 blocks after 742 blocks are made at the moment so 742 vs 731 = that is (+1.504%) for a 'real' time number. we are at the 1374 block mark. basically pretty flat very hard to predict up or down -2 to +3 could all happen. We are kind of in a prolonged flat spell. I feel many companies want to do something but are afraid to drop a bomb. I still go back to the new gear is out and about and some companies just kept hash flat while cutting power costs. Waiting for someone to make a sprint and add 25 ph ot 50 ph but this may not happen. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: alh on May 08, 2015, 04:49:25 AM Please put me down for +2.51 to +2.75
While positive, I don't think this is much more than variance/luck. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: notlist3d on May 08, 2015, 07:27:59 PM Bitwisdom is making it look like were in for a positive change:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,643,398,018 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,997,937,980 (+0.74%) Adjust time: After 1275 Blocks, About 8.7 days Hashrate(?): 357,301,719 GH/s And price..... 245! We have gone over 240 for the moment. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: notlist3d on May 09, 2015, 01:30:21 AM Bitwisdom is making it look like were in for a positive change: Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,643,398,018 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,997,937,980 (+0.74%) Adjust time: After 1275 Blocks, About 8.7 days Hashrate(?): 357,301,719 GH/s And price..... 245! We have gone over 240 for the moment. Showing a little down right now compared to morning. Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,643,398,018 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,892,767,017 (+0.52%) Adjust time: After 1241 Blocks, About 8.5 days Best thing is 245 is staying steady right now. Pointed up on price... so good day I would say. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: philipma1957 on May 09, 2015, 03:13:10 AM http://btc.blockr.io/charts 5/3/2015 140 blocks----------- that is - 2 since about half were the last adjustment and half were this adjustment 5/4/2015 130 blocks---------- that is - 14 5/5/2015 154 blocks---------- that is +10 5/6/2015 157 blocks---------- that is +13 5/7/2015 148 blocks---=-------that is +4 5/ 8/2015 143 blocks-----------that is -1 so maybe +10 blocks after 784 blocks are made at the moment so 784 vs 774 = that is (+1.29%) for a 'real' time number. we are at the 1232 block mark. basically pretty flat very hard to predict up or down -2 to +3 could all happen. We are kind of in a prolonged flat spell. I feel many companies want to do something but are afraid to drop a bomb. I still go back to the new gear is out and about and some companies just kept hash flat while cutting power costs. Waiting for someone to make a sprint and add 25 ph ot 50 ph but this may not happen. flat works very well as price creeps upward near the 250 usd mark. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: notlist3d on May 09, 2015, 04:38:00 AM We are kind of in a prolonged flat spell. I feel many companies want to do something but are afraid to drop a bomb. I still go back to the new gear is out and about and some companies just kept hash flat while cutting power costs. Waiting for someone to make a sprint and add 25 ph ot 50 ph but this may not happen. I feel that they don't want to spend money without needing to. Right now kinda riding old investment's. They are using equipment likely longer then they planned, which could mean additional income. I think it will be next gen tech before we see a ton of new PH coming online. Once next gen comes out I think we will finnaly see some expansion. Question is how long till chips hit the market and widespread... we will see no one is to talking to much about dates. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: notlist3d on May 09, 2015, 01:11:44 PM Last night: Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,643,398,018 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,892,767,017 (+0.52%) Adjust time: After 1241 Blocks, About 8.5 days Best thing is 245 is staying steady right now. Pointed up on price... so good day I would say. Morning bitwisdom now shows a negative: Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,643,398,018 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,166,192,116 (-1.00%) Adjust time: After 1185 Blocks, About 8.3 days Hashrate(?): 342,661,719 GH/s Price is around 240. Can we get lucky enough to have negative and price above 240? Guess we will see. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: philipma1957 on May 09, 2015, 02:19:11 PM Okay we are at block 836 made with 1180 to go.
Picks end at block 1000 made 1016 to go. So about 164 blocks left for your picks. So since this is a free contest. I would think -5.01% to -5.25% -4.76% to -5.00% -4.51% to -4.75% -4.26% to -4.50% -4.01% to -4.25% and +3.51% to =3.75% +3.76% to +4.00% All will get picked over the next day. Picks are now open! -5.26% to -5.50% ---------------------- ezeminer -3.76% to -4.00% ----------------------- RoadStress -3.51% to -3.75% --------------------- ACCTseller -3.26% to -3.50% --------------------- zubelutte -3.01% to -3.25% ----------------------jonnybravo0311 -2.76% to -3.00% ---------------------- Biodom -2.51% to -2.75% --------------------- Kexkey -2.26% to -2.50% ---------------------- shapeshift -2.01% to -2.25% --------------------- notlist3d -1.76% to -2.00% ---------------------- Mikestang -1.51% to -1.76% ---------------------- wpt1wpt1 -1.26% to -1.50% ----------------------valkir -1.01% to -1.25% ------------------ Philipma1957 -0.76% to -1.00% --------------------- Lboss -0.51% to -0.75% ---------------------- Jamphone -0.26% to -0.50% ---------------------- SunnyIgor -0.01% to -0.25% ---------------------- Zorrocoin 0.00% ---------------------------------- EMIF +0.01% to +0.25% -------------------- zebedee +0.26% to +0.50% -------------------- eretron +0.51% to +0.75% -------------------- Last of the V8s +0.76% to +1.00% -------------------- davejh +1.01% to +1.25% -------------------- kenscho +1.26% to +1.50% -------------------- tlhIlwI +1.51% to +1.75% -------------------- gallery2000 +1.76% to +2.00% -------------------- tss +2.01% to +2.25% -------------------- mavericklm +2.26% to +2.50% -------------------- cakir +2.51% to +2.76% -------------------- alh +3.01% to +3.25% -------------------- tertius993 +3.26% to +3.50% -------------------- RealMalatesta Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: RoadStress on May 09, 2015, 02:22:20 PM -3.76% to -4%
Thanks. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: philipma1957 on May 09, 2015, 02:32:29 PM -3.76% to -4% Thanks. No problem you have been marked in look above. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: notlist3d on May 09, 2015, 06:18:13 PM Were still above 240 but it's going awful close to under. I really want it to switch directions and 240+ stay.
I guess we will see tonight what happens. I think we might be under 240 again. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: philipma1957 on May 10, 2015, 02:35:50 AM http://btc.blockr.io/charts 5/3/2015 140 blocks----------- that is - 2 since about half were the last adjustment and half were this adjustment 5/4/2015 130 blocks---------- that is - 14 5/5/2015 154 blocks---------- that is +10 5/6/2015 157 blocks---------- that is +13 5/7/2015 148 blocks---------- that is +4 5/8/2015 143 blocks---------- that is -1 5/9/2015 140 blocks---------- that is -4 so maybe +6 blocks after 907 blocks are made at the moment so 907 vs 901 = that is (+0.66%) for a 'real' time number. we are at the 1109 block mark. basically pretty flat very hard to predict up or down -1.5 to +2 could all happen. We are kind of in a prolonged flat spell. I feel many companies want to do something but are afraid to drop a bomb. I still go back to the new gear is out and about and some companies just kept hash flat while cutting power costs. Waiting for someone to make a sprint and add 25 ph ot 50 ph but this may not happen. Boy more of that same -1 to +1 week after week. But flat works very well as price stays neat the 240 usd mark---- S3's can turn a profit at .09 cents a kwatt----- pretty amazing a 10 month old asic can still make money Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: philipma1957 on May 10, 2015, 02:37:35 AM One more thing the 1000 block mark should be here in about 15 hours close to 12 noon EST on Mom's day. I will post a warning when we get really close.
Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: notlist3d on May 10, 2015, 02:46:40 AM we are at the 1109 block mark. basically pretty flat very hard to predict up or down -1.5 to +2 could all happen. I would agree with this. It's hard to tell and some of it could be luck. I am hoping we get negative but small plus is ok. With BTC staying above 240 right now anything in that range is not to bad for trade in higher btc price. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: notlist3d on May 10, 2015, 12:01:22 PM Morning is looking even better on bitwisdom:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,643,398,018 Estimated Next Difficulty: 46,742,492,731 (-1.89%) Adjust time: After 1062 Blocks, About 7.5 days Hashrate(?): 328,513,627 GH/s And were at 242 per btc. So nice to stay above the 240 mark. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: philipma1957 on May 10, 2015, 05:13:26 PM We have 1030 blocks left which = 976 made So 24 blocks left to closing time for your picks.
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (-1.76%) Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. picks are NOW closed. Post by: philipma1957 on May 10, 2015, 06:55:56 PM five more blocks to cut off point https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
we are at 1021 blocks left when this goes to 1016 blocks we cut off. current list is below------------ please check it for your pick or add a pick if you have not done so Picks are now open! -5.26% to -5.50% ---------------------- ezeminer -4.01% to -4.25% ----------------------- Bittings -3.76% to -4.00% ----------------------- RoadStress -3.51% to -3.75% --------------------- ACCTseller -3.26% to -3.50% --------------------- zubelutte -3.01% to -3.25% ----------------------jonnybravo0311 -2.76% to -3.00% ---------------------- Biodom -2.51% to -2.75% --------------------- Kexkey -2.26% to -2.50% ---------------------- shapeshift -2.01% to -2.25% --------------------- notlist3d -1.76% to -2.00% ---------------------- Mikestang -1.51% to -1.76% ---------------------- wpt1wpt1 -1.26% to -1.50% ----------------------valkir -1.01% to -1.25% ------------------ Philipma1957 -0.76% to -1.00% --------------------- Lboss -0.51% to -0.75% ---------------------- Jamphone -0.26% to -0.50% ---------------------- SunnyIgor -0.01% to -0.25% ---------------------- Zorrocoin 0.00% ---------------------------------- EMIF +0.01% to +0.25% -------------------- zebedee +0.26% to +0.50% -------------------- eretron +0.51% to +0.75% -------------------- Last of the V8s +0.76% to +1.00% -------------------- davejh +1.01% to +1.25% -------------------- kenscho +1.26% to +1.50% -------------------- tlhIlwI +1.51% to +1.75% -------------------- gallery2000 +1.76% to +2.00% -------------------- tss +2.01% to +2.25% -------------------- mavericklm +2.26% to +2.50% -------------------- cakir +2.51% to +2.76% -------------------- alh +3.01% to +3.25% -------------------- tertius993 +3.26% to +3.50% -------------------- RealMalatesta Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: Bittings on May 10, 2015, 07:06:12 PM Just before closing, I want to try a long shot ;D
Can I take -4.01% to -4.25% ? Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: philipma1957 on May 10, 2015, 07:12:18 PM Just before closing, I want to try a long shot ;D yes you canCan I take -4.01% to -4.25% ? look below: Picks are now open! -5.26% to -5.50% ---------------------- ezeminer -4.01% to -4.25% ----------------------- Bittings -3.76% to -4.00% ----------------------- RoadStress -3.51% to -3.75% --------------------- ACCTseller -3.26% to -3.50% --------------------- zubelutte -3.01% to -3.25% ----------------------jonnybravo0311 -2.76% to -3.00% ---------------------- Biodom -2.51% to -2.75% --------------------- Kexkey -2.26% to -2.50% ---------------------- shapeshift -2.01% to -2.25% --------------------- notlist3d -1.76% to -2.00% ---------------------- Mikestang -1.51% to -1.76% ---------------------- wpt1wpt1 -1.26% to -1.50% ----------------------valkir -1.01% to -1.25% ------------------ Philipma1957 -0.76% to -1.00% --------------------- Lboss -0.51% to -0.75% ---------------------- Jamphone -0.26% to -0.50% ---------------------- SunnyIgor -0.01% to -0.25% ---------------------- Zorrocoin 0.00% ---------------------------------- EMIF +0.01% to +0.25% -------------------- zebedee +0.26% to +0.50% -------------------- eretron +0.51% to +0.75% -------------------- Last of the V8s +0.76% to +1.00% -------------------- davejh +1.01% to +1.25% -------------------- kenscho +1.26% to +1.50% -------------------- tlhIlwI +1.51% to +1.75% -------------------- gallery2000 +1.76% to +2.00% -------------------- tss +2.01% to +2.25% -------------------- mavericklm +2.26% to +2.50% -------------------- cakir +2.51% to +2.76% -------------------- alh +3.01% to +3.25% -------------------- tertius993 +3.26% to +3.50% -------------------- RealMalatesta Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: notlist3d on May 10, 2015, 07:20:12 PM Bitwisodom:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,643,398,018 Estimated Next Difficulty: 46,900,803,905 (-1.56%) Adjust time: After 1016 Blocks, About 7.1 days Looks like my -2.01 was to wishful of thinking I dont think we will hit that low at this point now. Price dropping slightly to 239. Hopefully it will switch directions, but guess we will see. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: philipma1957 on May 11, 2015, 02:46:11 AM Picks are now CLOSED!
-5.26% to -5.50% ---------------------- ezeminer -4.01% to -4.25% ----------------------- Bittings -3.76% to -4.00% ----------------------- RoadStress -3.51% to -3.75% --------------------- ACCTseller -3.26% to -3.50% --------------------- zubelutte -3.01% to -3.25% ----------------------jonnybravo0311 -2.76% to -3.00% ---------------------- Biodom -2.51% to -2.75% --------------------- Kexkey -2.26% to -2.50% ---------------------- shapeshift -2.01% to -2.25% --------------------- notlist3d -1.76% to -2.00% ---------------------- Mikestang -1.51% to -1.76% ---------------------- wpt1wpt1 -1.26% to -1.50% ----------------------valkir -1.01% to -1.25% ------------------ Philipma1957 -0.76% to -1.00% --------------------- Lboss -0.51% to -0.75% ---------------------- Jamphone -0.26% to -0.50% ---------------------- SunnyIgor -0.01% to -0.25% ---------------------- Zorrocoin 0.00% ---------------------------------- EMIF +0.01% to +0.25% -------------------- zebedee +0.26% to +0.50% -------------------- eretron +0.51% to +0.75% -------------------- Last of the V8s +0.76% to +1.00% -------------------- davejh +1.01% to +1.25% -------------------- kenscho +1.26% to +1.50% -------------------- tlhIlwI +1.51% to +1.75% -------------------- gallery2000 +1.76% to +2.00% -------------------- tss +2.01% to +2.25% -------------------- mavericklm +2.26% to +2.50% -------------------- cakir +2.51% to +2.76% -------------------- alh +3.01% to +3.25% -------------------- tertius993 +3.26% to +3.50% -------------------- RealMalatesta This should be full set of picks. And mom's day was very slow for blocks: http://btc.blockr.io/charts 5/ 3/2015 140 blocks----------- that is - 2 since about half were the last adjustment and half were this adjustment 5/ 4/2015 130 blocks---------- that is - 14 5/ 5/2015 154 blocks---------- that is +10 5/ 6/2015 157 blocks---------- that is +13 5/ 7/2015 148 blocks---------- that is +4 5/ 8/2015 143 blocks---------- that is -1 5/ 9/2015 140 blocks---------- that is -4 5/10/2015 122 blocks---------- that is -22 we are down about 18 blocks at the moment. we have made 1041 blocks -18 means we should be at 1059 So we has a 'real number of (-1.69%) I wonder if we pop a second 120 block day on monday . Maybe lots of guys were too busy to mine and were doing moms day instead. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: notlist3d on May 11, 2015, 07:02:01 AM Bitwisdom please keep going down!
Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,643,398,018 Estimated Next Difficulty: 46,746,955,892 (-1.88%) Adjust time: After 945 Blocks, About 6.7 days I alway's seem to pick horrible picks. This week I actually was not horrible at speculating! Maybe thanks to philipma1957 and his thread I'm starting to learn. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: philipma1957 on May 11, 2015, 12:49:36 PM Bitwisdom please keep going down! Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,643,398,018 Estimated Next Difficulty: 46,746,955,892 (-1.88%) Adjust time: After 945 Blocks, About 6.7 days I alway's seem to pick horrible picks. This week I actually was not horrible at speculating! Maybe thanks to philipma1957 and his thread I'm starting to learn. Well whether I am your obi wan kenobi or your Yoda I simply don't know, but I do know right now you are close to the leaders. I have been finding out one thing with this thread long term stable Diff knocks out a lot of speculation. I have to thank suchmoon for adding the promo part as it keeps things interesting. These threads would have ended without the promo. week after week of flatness would have been boring to guess on: below the last 16 adjustments = +2.1% Difficulty History Date Difficulty Change Hash Rate May 03 2015 47,643,398,018 0.07% 341,044,727 GH/s Apr 19 2015 47,610,564,513 -3.71% 340,809,696 GH/s Apr 05 2015 49,446,390,688 5.84% 353,951,052 GH/s Mar 22 2015 46,717,549,645 -1.50% 334,417,246 GH/s Mar 08 2015 47,427,554,951 1.59% 339,499,662 GH/s Feb 22 2015 46,684,376,317 5.01% 334,179,783 GH/s Feb 09 2015 44,455,415,962 7.71% 318,224,263 GH/s Jan 27 2015 41,272,873,895 -6.14% 295,442,739 GH/s Jan 12 2015 43,971,662,056 8.20% 314,761,417 GH/s Dec 30 2014 40,640,955,017 3.00% 290,919,288 GH/s Dec 17 2014 39,457,671,307 -1.37% 282,449,013 GH/s Dec 02 2014 40,007,470,271 -0.73% 286,384,627 GH/s Nov 18 2014 40,300,030,328 1.76% 288,478,854 GH/s Nov 05 2014 39,603,666,252 10.05% 283,494,086 GH/s Oct 23 2014 35,985,640,265 2.81% 257,595,247 GH/s Oct 09 2014 35,002,482,026 0.98% 250,557,526 GH/s This would mean this rate in 16 more jumps 66664 M now I am not so sure we stay at this rate but if we do an s-3 with 9 cent power would still be a money earner. I have to think builders of asics understand expanding hash via farms or stand alone home miners is not the way to do it. The risks are very high. Miner's make heat the world needs heat in many places so using a miner for winter heating. using a miner as a swimming pool heater. = future ideas. Bick says as an addon device yeah it could work. I agree. My piece of advice is plan for this old school way of mining to change. A farm with 5 or 10 ph in a cold place wasting the heat is not going to work. Saving the heat for useful purposes is a new BTC goal. Well at least I think so. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: alh on May 11, 2015, 05:48:51 PM My recollection is that when we got down to 1000 blocks remaining, the contest would close to further picks for this round. Do I have that right Phillip? If so, you might want to adjust the title to reflect that further picks are closed.
I can't recall a time when difficulty has just been "bumping along" at a more or less constant value, but I didn't join the mining party until the summer of 2013. Any others recall such a "calm" period? Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. OPEN for picks NOW! Post by: notlist3d on May 11, 2015, 08:45:27 PM Bitwisdom is starting to jump a little less:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,643,398,018 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,259,632,360 (-0.81%) Adjust time: After 861 Blocks, About 6.0 days Looking like good chance of difficulty as a small negative. Price seems to hoover around 240 which is not bad. Right now were at 242 per BTC. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: philipma1957 on May 11, 2015, 09:02:08 PM My recollection is that when we got down to 1000 blocks remaining, the contest would close to further picks for this round. Do I have that right Phillip? If so, you might want to adjust the title to reflect that further picks are closed. I can't recall a time when difficulty has just been "bumping along" at a more or less constant value, but I didn't join the mining party until the summer of 2013. Any others recall such a "calm" period? this will be fixed thanks. and now fixed. No we are very stable super growth is over. Basically 2 reasons asics no longer cut efficiency much. The 2 watt level s-1 Became the .8 watt level s-3 Became the .52 watt level s-5. An s-3 in a 8 cent power spot still earns money. Hash growth is worthless power cutting is not worthless > This appears to be the new mantra. I believe the gear exists but that the major players do not want a hash rate war. If you think a hash rate war hurts a guy like me so what 3-5k in gear. In my case I now own 3 s-3's that's it. spot rent from nicehash to mine. So if the big players jack hash up and up and up. I do not lose much. I can rent gear or buy coins. They get cut. They are not stupid they do not want that to happen. Just a guess as to why ,but it is a spec thread ;D Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are Now closed! Post by: philipma1957 on May 12, 2015, 03:26:11 AM http://btc.blockr.io/charts 5/ 3/2015 140 blocks----------- that is - 2 since about half were the last adjustment and half were this adjustment 5/ 4/2015 130 blocks---------- that is - 14 5/ 5/2015 154 blocks---------- that is +10 5/ 6/2015 157 blocks---------- that is +13 5/ 7/2015 148 blocks---------- that is +4 5/ 8/2015 143 blocks---------- that is -1 5/ 9/2015 140 blocks---------- that is -4 5/10/2015 122 blocks---------- that is -22 5/11/2015 147 blocks---------- that is +3 we are down about 15 blocks at the moment. we have made 1213 blocks -15 means we should be at 1228 So we has a 'real number of (-1.22%) I wonder if we pop a second 122 block day on monday . Answer was no we did a 147 block day. Maybe lots of guys were too busy to mine and were doing moms day instead. I suspect some variance and I suspect some miners were busy for mom's day. the current -1.22% puts me in the lead with about 6 days left. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: notlist3d on May 12, 2015, 04:45:07 AM Bit wisdom has changed in since morning:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,643,398,018 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,936,563,004 (+0.62%) Adjust time: After 796 Blocks, About 5.4 days We will see still a low positive even then. I hope to see a small neg still. Price is hanging on by a thread at 240. Seems we have trouble keeping price above 240 lately. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: philipma1957 on May 12, 2015, 12:15:32 PM https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (+0.03%)
Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,643,398,018 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,657,860,053 (+0.03%) Adjust time: After 753 Blocks, About 5.2 days Hashrate(?): 336,413,480 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.9 minutes 3 blocks: 29.7 minutes 6 blocks: 59.4 minutes Updated: 8:10 (3.8 minutes ago) price = 241 usd from: https://www.coinbase.com/charts Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: notlist3d on May 12, 2015, 03:32:56 PM https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (+0.03%) Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,643,398,018 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,657,860,053 (+0.03%) Adjust time: After 753 Blocks, About 5.2 days Hashrate(?): 336,413,480 GH/s Block Generation Time(?): 1 block: 9.9 minutes 3 blocks: 29.7 minutes 6 blocks: 59.4 minutes Updated: 8:10 (3.8 minutes ago) price = 241 usd from: https://www.coinbase.com/charts Price almost 243. I'm starting to think we will be able to stay around 240 for a bit. Which is a jump from the 220 we were stuck at for a while. That is a decent jump in a month or so. If we an continue this trend it will be very very nice. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: notlist3d on May 12, 2015, 09:02:14 PM It could be luck pushing hash difficulty of low negative to low positive.
Bitwisdom now shows: Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,643,398,018 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,422,978,687 (-0.46%) Adjust time: After 704 Blocks, About 4.9 days Hashrate(?): 339,798,574 GH/s I would be extremely happy with a negative this week. If we got a negative and price over 240 I would consider it pretty great week. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: philipma1957 on May 12, 2015, 10:52:42 PM It could be luck pushing hash difficulty of low negative to low positive. Bitwisdom now shows: Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,643,398,018 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,422,978,687 (-0.46%) Adjust time: After 704 Blocks, About 4.9 days Hashrate(?): 339,798,574 GH/s I would be extremely happy with a negative this week. If we got a negative and price over 240 I would consider it pretty great week. It would be even greater if we get -1.11% diff drop--------------------I win the promo to be close with 700 blocks is good. 251 usd a coin------------------------ We all win on our held coins Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: notlist3d on May 13, 2015, 01:33:44 AM It could be luck pushing hash difficulty of low negative to low positive. Bitwisdom now shows: Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,643,398,018 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,422,978,687 (-0.46%) Adjust time: After 704 Blocks, About 4.9 days Hashrate(?): 339,798,574 GH/s I would be extremely happy with a negative this week. If we got a negative and price over 240 I would consider it pretty great week. It would be even greater if we get -1.11% diff drop--------------------I win the promo to be close with 700 blocks is good. 251 usd a coin------------------------ We all win on our held coins I would agree 250 would be a huge win for us if we can get it stable. If you look 220 compared to 250 we would have gained around a 12 percent increase in price. I hope we get to 250. 240 seems to be happening pretty stable at this point. Which is also a win for us miners. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: notlist3d on May 13, 2015, 04:48:02 AM Were ending the night with slightly positive number on bitwisdom:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,643,398,018 Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,745,939,659 (+0.22%) Adjust time: After 647 Blocks, About 4.4 days Hashrate(?): 349,235,122 GH/s Price is hanging around 241. So still not bad overall. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are Now closed! Post by: philipma1957 on May 13, 2015, 12:19:42 PM http://btc.blockr.io/charts 5/ 3/2015 140 blocks----------- that is - 2 since about half were the last adjustment and half were this adjustment 5/ 4/2015 130 blocks---------- that is - 14 5/ 5/2015 154 blocks---------- that is +10 5/ 6/2015 157 blocks---------- that is +13 5/ 7/2015 148 blocks---------- that is +4 5/ 8/2015 143 blocks---------- that is -1 5/ 9/2015 140 blocks---------- that is -4 5/10/2015 122 blocks---------- that is -22 5/11/2015 147 blocks---------- that is +3 5/12/2015 154 blocks---------- that is +10 we are down about 5 blocks at the moment. we have made 1406 blocks -5 means we should be at 1411 So we have a 'real number of (-0.35%) I suspect some variance has been in charge this entire adjustment period other then Mother's Day which was the lowest day. I think that day was the miners had do do Mom's da thus some gear was turned down. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: Mikestang on May 13, 2015, 05:21:24 PM Isn't mother's day a US only "holiday"? Since the majority of hash power is overseas I don't see how Mom's day would contribute.
Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: philipma1957 on May 13, 2015, 05:32:46 PM Isn't mother's day a US only "holiday"? Since the majority of hash power is overseas I don't see how Mom's day would contribute. Well we did 122 blocks then jumped up hard on mon and tues. so 122 is a lot for variance . if we are truly flat 134 to 154 is more then likely variance. Some mining gear needs baby sitting and on a day like mom's day miners in the usa could be too busy to maintain gear . the network is 340ph and should make 144 blocks so if 10ph got shut off due to holiday business that is about 4 or 5 blocks. the rest is variance . I figure most of europe lost home mining due to power prices. I think 80ph is USA . I think 10 ph is Canada http://www.statutoryholidays.com/mothers-day.php USA Canada a few other countries see wiki http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mother%27s_Day China is in the list for Sun the 10th of 2015 Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: notlist3d on May 13, 2015, 11:00:58 PM Price appears to be taking a nose dive. Were around 335. Seems like we are not able to keep 240 for long.
Hopefully it goes back up, guess we will see. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: notlist3d on May 14, 2015, 02:57:43 AM Bitwisdom seems to be shooting up right now:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,643,398,018 Estimated Next Difficulty: 48,140,287,735 (+1.04%) Adjust time: After 504 Blocks, About 3.4 days Hashrate(?): 368,349,354 GH/s So looks like we might be looking at a positive number. Price dropped around 5 dollars to around 235. So not the best of day's on changes. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are Now closed! Post by: philipma1957 on May 14, 2015, 03:06:15 AM http://btc.blockr.io/charts 5/ 3/2015 140 blocks----------- that is - 2 since about half were the last adjustment and half were this adjustment 5/ 4/2015 130 blocks---------- that is - 14 5/ 5/2015 154 blocks---------- that is +10 5/ 6/2015 157 blocks---------- that is +13 5/ 7/2015 148 blocks---------- that is +4 5/ 8/2015 143 blocks---------- that is -1 5/ 9/2015 140 blocks---------- that is -4 5/10/2015 122 blocks---------- that is -22 5/11/2015 147 blocks---------- that is +3 5/12/2015 154 blocks---------- that is +10 5/13/2015 170 blocks---------- that is +26!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! we are up about 21 blocks at the moment. we have made 1513 blocks +21 means we should be at 1492 So we have a 'real number of (+1.41%) Antpool is fire cracker smoking hot… they made 37 blocks on the 13th!!!! normal for them is 23 they are 60% more then normal luck look at the blocks for 5/13/2015 https://www.antpool.com/poolStats.htm 37 in 24 hours! smoking hot opinions on wtf they are doing? Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are Now closed! Post by: ezeminer on May 14, 2015, 05:52:18 AM http://btc.blockr.io/charts 5/ 3/2015 140 blocks----------- that is - 2 since about half were the last adjustment and half were this adjustment 5/ 4/2015 130 blocks---------- that is - 14 5/ 5/2015 154 blocks---------- that is +10 5/ 6/2015 157 blocks---------- that is +13 5/ 7/2015 148 blocks---------- that is +4 5/ 8/2015 143 blocks---------- that is -1 5/ 9/2015 140 blocks---------- that is -4 5/10/2015 122 blocks---------- that is -22 5/11/2015 147 blocks---------- that is +3 5/12/2015 154 blocks---------- that is +10 5/13/2015 170 blocks---------- that is +26!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! we are up about 21 blocks at the moment. we have made 1513 blocks +21 means we should be at 1492 So we have a 'real number of (+1.41%) Antpool is fire cracker smoking hot… they made 37 blocks on the 13th!!!! normal for them is 23 they are 60% more then normal luck look at the blocks for 5/13/2015 https://www.antpool.com/poolStats.htm 37 in 24 hours! smoking hot opinions on wtf they are doing? Cheating the system ofc. They found the golden key to bitcoin :D ...made of pure bitcoin Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: HerbPean on May 14, 2015, 05:28:09 PM Big jump in the hashrate at the moment as we always see since a few weeks or more.
Antpool are just lucky I guess. They still have a steady 64-67 PH. EDIT: they just pulled another 4 block on 32 minutes Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: philipma1957 on May 14, 2015, 06:57:05 PM Big jump in the hashrate at the moment as we always see since a few weeks or more. Antpool are just lucky I guess. They still have a steady 64-67 PH. EDIT: they just pulled another 4 block on 32 minutes they have been super hot for a week. and we are getting a solid drift upwards in diff the last few days matches with antpool quite a bit. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: notlist3d on May 14, 2015, 08:54:47 PM Midday bitwisdom:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,643,398,018 Estimated Next Difficulty: 48,300,290,967 (+1.38%) Adjust time: After 390 Blocks, About 2.7 days Hashrate(?): 368,183,662 GH/s Definitely looking like low positive at this point on difficulty change still around 2 days left though. Price is around 236, so approaching 240 again. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: philipma1957 on May 14, 2015, 09:08:31 PM Midday bitwisdom: Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,643,398,018 Estimated Next Difficulty: 48,300,290,967 (+1.38%) Adjust time: After 390 Blocks, About 2.7 days Hashrate(?): 368,183,662 GH/s Definitely looking like low positive at this point on difficulty change still around 2 days left though. Price is around 236, so approaching 240 again. Well antpool did 37 blocks yesterday out of 170 they should do 23 blocks and the networks should do 144 they were 14 over the network was 26 over. they are at 31 today with 3.5 hours to go. the network has done 131 blocks with 3.5 hours to go. we are on pace for 165 blocks antpool is on pace for 38 blocks truly amazing numbers for them. In 2 days time 3 days worth of blocks! Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: notlist3d on May 15, 2015, 03:26:38 AM Bitwisdom closing up the night:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,643,398,018 Estimated Next Difficulty: 48,424,481,111 (+1.64%) Adjust time: After 347 Blocks, About 2.4 days Hashrate(?): 371,233,205 GH/s So it's looking pretty for sure on positive. Price around 237 so a little recovery of the drop from 240. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are Now closed! Post by: philipma1957 on May 15, 2015, 04:41:32 AM http://btc.blockr.io/charts 5/ 3/2015 140 blocks----------- that is - 2 since 1/2 were the last adjustment and 1/2 were this adjustment 5/ 4/2015 130 blocks---------- that is - 14 5/ 5/2015 154 blocks---------- that is +10 5/ 6/2015 157 blocks---------- that is +13 5/ 7/2015 148 blocks---------- that is +4 5/ 8/2015 143 blocks---------- that is -1 5/ 9/2015 140 blocks---------- that is -4 5/10/2015 122 blocks---------- that is -22 5/11/2015 147 blocks---------- that is +3 5/12/2015 154 blocks---------- that is +10 5/13/2015 170 blocks---------- that is +26!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! 5/14/2015 148 bocks----------- that is +4 we are up about 25 blocks at the moment. we have made 1677 blocks +25 means we should be at 1652 So we have a 'real number of (+1.51%) with only 339 blocks left we would need a 130 block day and a 130 block day back to back to go just a little negative. We have had 4 really good block days since moms day. I do think we go slow on Fri and Sat finishing up close to 0 on Sun only time will tell. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: Mikestang on May 15, 2015, 04:05:35 PM No Friday morning update yet? You sleep in, philipma1957? :P
Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: HerbPean on May 15, 2015, 06:05:11 PM No Friday morning update yet? You sleep in, philipma1957? :P I think he's out until saturday or sunday. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: judypug1956 on May 15, 2015, 06:09:23 PM philipma1957 here with my secondary account.
I am running around FRI. SAT. and Sun. I like using this secondary account when not in my home. I was looking at block count for the day. https://blockchain.info/blocks we are at block 356582 -356467 = 115 blocks made from 00:00:00 to 18:06:31 so in 18.1 hours x 6 = 108.6 or 109 blocks we are 6 over for today. 31 over for the adjustment period. 1766 vs 1735 the 'real' number is (+1.78%) bitcoinwisdom's number of (+2.25%) is assuming continued high block days for the rest of today sat and part of sun. 31 over is pretty hard to drop back to under since we have just 250 blocks left. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: akashamar on May 15, 2015, 07:46:56 PM Looks like a positive bump this time :-\ ... interesting to see how diff is jumping up&down since Dec 2014 ...
Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: notlist3d on May 15, 2015, 08:13:48 PM Looks like a positive bump this time :-\ ... interesting to see how diff is jumping up&down since Dec 2014 ... Yea most likely a small bump in difficulty this week. Price is around 237 so we did gain price compared the the 220 we were at for a long time. So it's still not all bad. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: philipma1957 on May 15, 2015, 08:54:18 PM Looks like a positive bump this time :-\ ... interesting to see how diff is jumping up&down since Dec 2014 ... Yea most likely a small bump in difficulty this week. Price is around 237 so we did gain price compared the the 220 we were at for a long time. So it's still not all bad. yes we did gain more in price then diff so it is a good deal. I am wondering if avalon is going to put out a new 5 chip miner. maybe they read sidehacks thread and ck solo pool thead. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: notlist3d on May 15, 2015, 09:45:17 PM Looks like a positive bump this time :-\ ... interesting to see how diff is jumping up&down since Dec 2014 ... Yea most likely a small bump in difficulty this week. Price is around 237 so we did gain price compared the the 220 we were at for a long time. So it's still not all bad. yes we did gain more in price then diff so it is a good deal. I am wondering if avalon is going to put out a new 5 chip miner. maybe they read sidehacks thread and ck solo pool thead. I'm wondering the same. Will be interesting if they do release one. I also wonder on SFards since they did show a dev kit. It seems like they should have a miner in not to long if they really do have prototypes/devkit's. I don't think i've seen anyone with one yet so guess it cold be a bit. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are Now closed! Post by: philipma1957 on May 16, 2015, 01:13:43 AM http://btc.blockr.io/charts
5/ 3/2015 140 blocks----------- that is - 2 since 1/2 were the last adjustment and 1/2 were this adjustment 5/ 4/2015 130 blocks---------- that is - 14 5/ 5/2015 154 blocks---------- that is +10 5/ 6/2015 157 blocks---------- that is +13 5/ 7/2015 148 blocks---------- that is +4 5/ 8/2015 143 blocks---------- that is -1 5/ 9/2015 140 blocks---------- that is -4 5/10/2015 122 blocks---------- that is -22 5/11/2015 147 blocks---------- that is +3 5/12/2015 154 blocks---------- that is +10 5/13/2015 170 blocks---------- that is +26!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! 5/14/2015 148 blocks---------- that is +4 5/15/2015 147 blocks---------- that is +3 5/16/2015 132 blocks---------- that is -12 we have made 1953 blocks we are plus 18 so 1953 vs 1935 = and we are a real number of (+0.93%) bitcoinwisdom says (+1.36%) there are only 63 blocks left about 10 to 11 hours from now we adjust. Going down to 0 is tough. I would say +0.50% to 1.25% make sense. We have not had any new gear since 2014 the s-5 the sp20 the avalon 4.1 all came out in 2014 stuff is happening soon I think or I spec. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: mavericklm on May 16, 2015, 02:57:46 AM at least we don't have +45% like at the end of 2013 :))
Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: notlist3d on May 16, 2015, 03:34:05 AM Bitwisdom tonight:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,643,398,018 Estimated Next Difficulty: 48,547,361,322 (+1.90%) Adjust time: After 196 Blocks, About 1.3 days Looking pretty solid it will be around +2 this week at the end of it. Price is slipping slightly at 236 we have a lot of trouble getting to and stay above 240 it seems. I'm hoping next difficulty change we can see it go above 240 and stay. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: alh on May 16, 2015, 07:43:10 AM Yeah, it looks like the folks that picked a decrease are out of luck this time. I am beginning to wonder if this is more than just variance. For some reason it almost feels like something real got added. Nothing real to back that up, just that it seems like this may be a permanent +2% addition, rather than a transient one.
On the upside, I am in the running for a win this time! :) Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: notlist3d on May 16, 2015, 12:08:27 PM Morning Bitwisdom:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,643,398,018 Estimated Next Difficulty: 48,379,245,717 (+1.54%) Adjust time: After 152 Blocks, About 1.0 days Hashrate(?): 355,017,678 GH/s And price is on slightly downward trend at 236. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: philipma1957 on May 16, 2015, 12:29:01 PM Yeah, it looks like the folks that picked a decrease are out of luck this time. I am beginning to wonder if this is more than just variance. For some reason it almost feels like something real got added. Nothing real to back that up, just that it seems like this may be a permanent +2% addition, rather than a transient one. On the upside, I am in the running for a win this time! :) here is my guess avalon has built the mini 4's and is burning some in. I also think the same of sfards…. If we did not have the very low block count on mom's day we would have done 3 or 4 % I think we may slide over 2 by sunday. as for a daily count https://blockchain.info/blocks 356681 - 356614 = 67 blocks in 12 hours and 10 minutes which is down as 12 hours =72 +1 so 73 would be 'normal' Down six for this half day. so that would be about up 24 for the entire 1865 blocks made so far so 1865 vs 1841 = a real time number of (+1.30%) with 151 blocks left Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: valkir on May 17, 2015, 04:24:56 AM The retarget of the diff was not suppoce to be the 14 ??
We are the 17 and still no update. I probably didnt see something?? Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: notlist3d on May 17, 2015, 04:40:23 AM Price around the night is around 236 and moving up very slightly tonight. Still not over the 240 again.
My goal for near future is solid over 240. But I'm not sure how long it will take us. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: alh on May 17, 2015, 07:21:03 AM Late update before bed:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 47,643,398,018 Estimated Next Difficulty: 48,687,107,184 (+2.19%) Adjust time: After 25 Blocks, About 3.9 hours Hashrate(?): 351,779,589 GH/s BTC price: 237 Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: philipma1957 on May 17, 2015, 10:41:34 AM a mad rush of blocks jumped us to 2.44%
the winner is cakir ! +1.26% to +1.50% -------------------- tlhIlwI +1.51% to +1.75% -------------------- gallery2000 +1.76% to +2.00% -------------------- tss +2.01% to +2.25% -------------------- mavericklm fixed it +2.26% to +2.50% -------------------- cakir +2.51% to +2.76% -------------------- alh Difficulty History Date Difficulty Change Hash Rate May 17 2015 48,807,487,245 2.44% 349,377,603 GH/s May 03 2015 47,643,398,018 0.07% 341,044,727 GH/s Apr 19 2015 47,610,564,513 -3.71% 340,809,696 GH/s Apr 05 2015 49,446,390,688 5.84% 353,951,052 GH/s Mar 22 2015 46,717,549,645 -1.50% 334,417,246 GH/s Mar 08 2015 47,427,554,951 1.59% 339,499,662 GH/s Feb 22 2015 46,684,376,317 5.01% 334,179,783 GH/s Feb 09 2015 44,455,415,962 7.71% 318,224,263 GH/s Jan 27 2015 41,272,873,895 -6.14% 295,442,739 GH/s Jan 12 2015 43,971,662,056 8.20% 314,761,417 GH/s Dec 30 2014 40,640,955,017 3.00% 290,919,288 GH/s Dec 17 2014 39,457,671,307 -1.37% 282,449,013 GH/s Dec 02 2014 40,007,470,271 -0.73% 286,384,627 GH/s Nov 18 2014 40,300,030,328 1.76% 288,478,854 GH/s Nov 05 2014 39,603,666,252 10.05% 283,494,086 GH/s Oct 23 2014 35,985,640,265 2.81% 257,595,247 GH/s Oct 09 2014 35,002,482,026 0.98% 250,557,526 GH/s Sep 25 2014 34,661,425,924 16.20% 248,116,151 GH/s Sep 13 2014 29,829,733,124 8.75% 213,529,547 GH/s Aug 31 2014 27,428,630,902 15.03% 196,341,788 GH/s Aug 19 2014 23,844,670,039 20.86% 170,686,797 GH/s Aug 08 2014 19,729,645,941 5.30% 141,230,307 GH/s Jul 25 2014 18,736,441,558 8.08% 134,120,673 GH/s Jul 12 2014 17,336,316,979 3.08% 124,098,191 GH/s Jun 29 2014 16,818,461,371 24.93% 120,391,236 GH/s Jun 18 2014 13,462,580,115 14.51% 96,368,902 GH/s Jun 05 2014 11,756,551,917 12.44% 84,156,677 GH/s May 24 2014 10,455,720,138 18.10% 74,844,960 GH/s May 12 2014 8,853,416,309 10.66% 63,375,223 GH/s Apr 29 2014 8,000,872,136 14.64% 57,272,474 GH/s Apr 17 2014 6,978,842,650 14.04% 49,956,502 GH/s Apr 05 2014 6,119,726,089 22.23% 43,806,706 GH/s Mar 24 2014 5,006,860,589 17.80% 35,840,504 GH/s Mar 13 2014 4,250,217,920 11.39% 30,424,245 GH/s Feb 28 2014 3,815,723,799 21.92% 27,314,015 GH/s Feb 17 2014 3,129,573,175 19.39% 22,402,357 GH/s Feb 05 2014 2,621,404,453 19.49% 18,764,744 GH/s Jan 24 2014 2,193,847,870 22.59% 15,704,175 GH/s Jan 13 2014 1,789,546,951 26.16% 12,810,076 GH/s Jan 02 2014 1,418,481,395 20.12% 10,153,885 GH/s Dec 21 2013 1,180,923,195 30.01% 8,453,378 GH/s Dec 10 2013 908,350,862 28.41% 6,502,229 GH/s Nov 29 2013 707,408,283 16.07% 5,063,826 GH/s Nov 17 2013 609,482,680 19.29% 4,362,847 GH/s Nov 05 2013 510,929,738 30.70% 3,657,378 GH/s Oct 26 2013 390,928,788 46.02% 2,798,377 GH/s Oct 16 2013 267,731,249 41.45% 1,916,495 GH/s Oct 06 2013 189,281,249 27.19% 1,354,928 GH/s Sep 25 2013 148,819,200 32.13% 1,065,289 GH/s © 2013-2014 Bitcoin Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: notlist3d on May 17, 2015, 10:47:45 AM I was a little disappointed. It seemed like we would be between 1-2 percent. But it did jump at the end for sure.
Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: mavericklm on May 17, 2015, 11:01:11 AM what???
it's cakir man! not me ;) Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: judypug1956 on May 17, 2015, 11:06:23 AM what??? it's cakir man! not me ;) yeah 2.44 not 2,.24 Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: judypug1956 on May 17, 2015, 11:06:58 AM what??? it's cakir man! not me ;) yeah 2.44 not 2,.24 congrats to cakir Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: philipma1957 on May 17, 2015, 11:10:58 AM Fixed it I had a long day yesterday.
cakir please put a btc addy up for suchmoon to pay the btc. Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: Kexkey on May 17, 2015, 01:16:53 PM Fixed it I had a long day yesterday. cakir please put a btc addy up for suchmoon to pay the btc. Congrats cakir! That was a last minute sprint! Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: cakir on May 17, 2015, 01:37:29 PM Fixed it I had a long day yesterday. cakir please put a btc addy up for suchmoon to pay the btc. Thanks a lot guyz! I was lucky :) it was a lucky guess. Here's my addy: 1JCFkExwyVWNL7QuL4q7htTJ8qkDFwdBm9 Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: suchmoon on May 17, 2015, 03:38:01 PM Fixed it I had a long day yesterday. cakir please put a btc addy up for suchmoon to pay the btc. Thanks a lot guyz! I was lucky :) it was a lucky guess. Here's my addy: 1JCFkExwyVWNL7QuL4q7htTJ8qkDFwdBm9 Congratulations! The payment is on its way: https://blockchain.info/tx/1efedcd38d538d93d6170f7c3c7d55f15c2f22d49cb9f72d46d39fcbc05bfece Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: cakir on May 17, 2015, 04:02:24 PM Fixed it I had a long day yesterday. cakir please put a btc addy up for suchmoon to pay the btc. Thanks a lot guyz! I was lucky :) it was a lucky guess. Here's my addy: 1JCFkExwyVWNL7QuL4q7htTJ8qkDFwdBm9 Congratulations! The payment is on its way: https://blockchain.info/tx/1efedcd38d538d93d6170f7c3c7d55f15c2f22d49cb9f72d46d39fcbc05bfece Thanks a lot suchmoon! I got payment. I'm looking forward to the next contest :) Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: Mikestang on May 18, 2015, 08:18:53 PM Congrats, not many saw a positive change coming.
Is there a link to the new diff thread yet? Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: suchmoon on May 18, 2015, 08:25:09 PM Congrats, not many saw a positive change coming. Is there a link to the new diff thread yet? https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1063816.0 Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: alh on May 18, 2015, 08:32:25 PM Maybe Phillip should lock this one?
Title: Re: May 3rd to May 14th diff thread. Picks are now closed! Post by: philipma1957 on May 18, 2015, 09:11:41 PM Maybe Phillip should lock this one? yeah got busy with the solo pool and forgot . We hit 2 blocks in under 3 hours! |