Bitcoin Forum

Just a little bit of lighthearted fun for a change; Who will be the first user to reach 10,010 activity?

Activity 10,010 will take 715 fortnights and equates to roughly 27.5 years

Some members have been here since 2010, so will come up to 7.5 years with just another 20 years to go very soon.  I myself have been here for about 3.5 years with activity 1022 have chalked up just on 10% of the time. There are actually a few UID's that have alread chalked up 10,000 posts, so all they would have to do is log back in once per fortnight for the next 20 years and post just once per fortnight from now on.

Can you make it?  Will the forum still be here?  Will BitCoin?  Time will tell.

Who would really know right? As you have said time well tell. Anyways do you have any participants right now for those top 10 highest current activity or i guess the potential activities are still counted xD

Hopefully by the time users 10k activity, the price of bitcoin is over 10k

I plan to be here till the site is no more, but I have a long way to go to 1k activity let alone 10k

My guess is that it will directly correlate with whether bitcoin price continues to rise.  I have noticed when price is not changing much, the older users posts and logins start to slow down.  But if things keep increasing year after year, you can bet there will be some dedicated users around as long as things remain interesting.

Hopefully by then crypto technologies, and societies, have evolved into much more than just mainly price speculation

Top 10 highest activity:

theymos   2534
HostFat   2324
molecular   2170
RodeoX   2142
marcus_of_augustus   2128
Syke           2128
Luke-Jr   2100
OgNasty   2058
gmaxwell   2058
-ck           2030

I'm currently ranked #33.  :(

By the time that users hit 10,000 activity Bitcoin will either be over $10k or worthless I expect.

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Logically thinking, if the forum is still here then I would expect that theymos would also be here with it. Considering that he currently has the highest activity by a decent margin, he would likely be the first to hit it providing the first case happens.
However, I would personally be very surprised if the forum was still here by the time users could reach 10k activity. Prove me wrong though :D

Vod  your list a little inaccurate....:)

Looking at some of the current posts, we need to copy some of the features in Bitcoin. As the activity increases, we need to increase the level of difficulty, and halve the rewards.

Of course I am talking about posters with an activity level below 1,000 here. :)

This a very interesting question. I am going to follow this and hopefully 20 years (or so) later, we will know the result. Some people currently on the top list may forgot to post, go coma or (worst) die suddenly (not pointing at anyone) so the top few people may not be the first one. I am sure this thread is going to be a very hot topic in the coming years - as long as Bitcointalk continue.

!remindme 20 years;

How so?  The info is based on Jan 15 - the last time I scanned your profile.  I see your activity has jumped up a few since then, and that will be updated.

How'd you make the list? I couldn't find a way to sort on activity. I think I might have secured 5th place. /flex

27 years is a long time I dont know if I would be here or even alive but if I would live till then,I would definitely be one among those who have 10k activities

Interesting exercise... If it depends on me, Bitcoin, the forum and myself will be here :) However 27 years is too much of a stretch for us to predict anything based on anything more than a feeling or a supposition... :D

You might be able to get 10k activity, but will you be able to answer this question - Will it be in the new forum or old forum?  ;)

or a minute for theymos ;D

How about the other admins were they not part of the top 10?

Lol i just also realized that i would still have to wait more than 25 years before i could get that certain activity that is pretty hard and aside from that i would also be very old to post here lol

introduce some kind of a prize to stimulate people :)
like: post for the next 20 years every 2 weeks and get a free Amazon card!
also topics like this are usually fun to read after several years have passed,just look at the pizza for bitcoins topic

I consider your idea rather smart or stupid. Yes you can stimulate their motivation for the prize but thinking about you will gwt it for what? 20 years?! Who can wait that long for an amazon card! You can earn here by signature campaign and buy yourself that card in less than 20 years. Plus, who runs a contest for 20years? Maybe the dares you and your buddies take.

I'm just about to overtake some other legendary UID's who've gone silent in recent times.

Positions can change over time, even BitCoin is having something of a Renaissance of sorts nudging closer to $ 2,000 USD every day.

The new forum software might be ready before then meaning old activity measures may well be retired.  :P

I might have to rename the thread "Who will reach Merit of 10,000 ??" ;)

As far as I know BCT will keep both Activity and Merit.
Correct me if I am wrong, even a Newbie with 1 quality post can reach 10k merit if 1k people gave 10 merit each but reaching 10,010 activity is still exclusive to active Legendary members.

In my opinion, instead of renaming the thread, it is more relevant to have a new thread instead.  ;D

Let me be the first one to guess. I guess it will be ...

(1) theymos
(2) satoshi - any random topic
(3) Pizza Bitcoiner (laszlo)


You're right. I actually didn't think of this until you said it. You deserve a merits. And maybe this post will be the first post to break theymos topic and reach ten thousand merits - well, the chances isn't that high though. xD.

Thanks for the merit! Really appreciate it, I'm now 9997 merits away from being the 1st member to reach 10k merit LOL :D

This needs more precise numbers, dates, and times.  On the unverified assumption that theymos (uid 35) has the oldest consistently active, still-active account, I have calculated based on him.  In addition to the precise timestamp at or after which theymos may exceed 10k activity, I have also included that at which theymos will become eligible to exceed one million activity:  24 November 4748 (a Wednesday) at 12:40:00 UTC.  Rank:  The Mega-Activity Club!

(Dang.  Now, theymos will make garbage posts whining about how slow it is to rank up.)

The following states the timestamps at or after which theymos could instantly reach the stated activity level, if his post count exceeds his activity by not less than 14.  On that condition, his activity would actually reach the stated level upon his next post at or after that time.

1046	2010-02-08 20:13:20 (Monday)	Start of activity period 1046
	2010-02-09 12:49:38 (Tuesday)	theymos’ account registered (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=35):  uid 35 forum birthday!
	2010-02-10 06:31:40 (Wednesday)	theymos’ first post (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=48.msg310#msg310)
1047	2010-02-22 20:20:00 (Monday)	Start of activity period 1047
...	...	...
1254	2018-01-30 19:20:00 (Tuesday)	theymos became elgible to reach 2926 activity, his actual current activity, at start of activity period 1254 (1046 + 209 - 1).  Calculated to confirm that he thus far has not missed nor underfilled any activity periods.
...	...	...
1760	2037-06-26 03:33:20 (Friday)	theymos may become eligible to reach 10010 activity at the start of activity period 1760 (1046+715-1).
...	...	...
72474	4748-11-24 12:40:00 (Wednesday)	theymos may become eligible to reach 1000006 activity at the start of activity period 72474 (1046 + 71429 - 1).

Activity epochs are as calculated using a little C program I whipped up.  All times are given in UTC.

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That’s setting the bar too low.

There are users such as theymos whose leadership status naturally draws (and deserves) floods of merit; theymos will probably reach 10k merit in a matter of months.

Even ignoring such special cases:  In my experience, an excellent poster who can devote huge amounts of time to the forum should conservatively expect to average about 20–25 merits per day.  That equates to 10k merits in 400–500 days.  Unless I need to reduce the time I spend on the forum (as is quite possible), I will be disappointed in myself if I fail to surpass 10k merit before I reach Hero rank.

(It is for this reason I advocate at least doubling or trebling the merit threshold to achieve Legendary rank.  Even for people who can’t devote so much time to posting, to earn 1000 merit in a few years is far too easy to be considered “Legendary”.)

To match the spirit of the original question about 10k activity, it is necessary to kick it up an order of magnitude:  Who will be the first user to achieve 100k merit?  Again excluding special cases such as theymos, estimating at the above-stated rate, and rounding very roughly, that should take about 11–14 years.

Bear in mind that theymos will reach his eighth forum-birthday next week, and there should be some other consistently active accounts of comparable age.  With that perspective—or really, an adult perspective, 11–14 years is not terribly long.

(I will be horrifically disappointed if I fail to achieve one megamerit by the year 2155!  —Well, actually not.  But it’s a fun thought.)

Infrequent bump.

When someone reach the threshold at 10.010 activity count, they will get the new rank / badge, something like 'Elite'?
I think that the threshold at 10.010 is more appropriate one, than 2000.
Why?
Even, by now, Hero and Ledgendary ranks have same rights in the forum, so I think we should have an extremely high threshold for next rank.
The next rank, probably gives forum members who have it, a more respectful view from others (no more rights/ priviledges).

I am much much behind you people.
Though I do not expect and do not see any possibility to become number one in achieving this goal.  But today I have determined that I will try my best to visit the forum daily without fail.  And I pray that both I and the forum are alive after 27 years (I pray for all of you friends too), then I maybe able to complete the task in  say 28 years or more provided I am present and posting here daily.

 In a few decades when the reward gets too small, the merit will become the main compensation for users.  I'm sure that in 20 years there will either be very large active or no activity.

author=satoshi link= https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=48.msg310

Wow, glad to see some users that are doing well in the forum. This is not very common thing to happen in the forum with this users around that is already in the doing here from the start of the bitcoin forum. Well just wish to know also who were the users with huge activities in the forum. It will definitely help especially in their feedback with the changes regarding with the past and present of the forum.

You can have a look at Vod's BPIP site (https://bpip.org/profile.aspx?p=Timelord2067) for information - check it out.

With the Internet, we can all indulge our fantasies.
http://jetcash.com/images/activity-10010.jpg

[REALITY CHECK]
It isn't going to be me if I continue to make rubbish posts like this.

I found something probably wrong:
- shitposters will not able to get thousands of merits (15k) like this.
- making thousands of posts (583k) likely cause permanent ban due to plagiarism. Most of shitposters end with permanent bans.

If you turn into someone like this, you should ask theymos to change the account name from Jet Cash to Jet Trash. I just kidding.  ::)

The problem seems to be that the name "Get Cash" may be more apposite. This is the unfortunate state of the modern Internet.