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Economy => Securities => Topic started by: Entropy-uc on June 28, 2013, 06:06:41 PM



Title: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Entropy-uc on June 28, 2013, 06:06:41 PM
So Ken's big announcement is out, and his pump and dump is failing.

He needs to sell another 3 Million shares at 0.0025 to raise the money he is going to gift to VMC, his privately held company, for chip NRE.  But Bitcoiners aren't buying a $25 Million dollar valuation for a $300k company.  So the party is over for Ken right?

Wrong.  Shortly he is going to hit all the bids on BTCT.co and Bitfunder so that he can give himself that million dollar gift.

How do I know?  Well if you read his contracts, you would know too.

From the summary page on Bitfunder:

Quote
Notes On The IPO:

As long as AMC does not sell it's shares below 0.0005 then they may do as they please with their shares. It is their company, their ownership, and their shares.

During the IPO, not all shares may be posted as an ASK.

So expect Ken to start hitting bids, and keep hitting them all the way down to 0.0005 if that's what he needs to do.  Because who wouldn't when every dollar they raise goes to benefit their company rather than the company they are selling the shares in?


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: ThickAsThieves on June 28, 2013, 06:16:34 PM
The sad thing is that this could happen without any involvement from Ken at all.

1. Day 1 of the BTCT IPO saw share price drop below sale price. This has now provided opportunity for any bidder to buy low and sell high, creating a slowly lowering ceiling of asks.
2. Bitfunder shareholders are staring down an opportunity to flip their shares for 200-300% profit. You'd have to be insane to skip that opportunity. The more people realize this, the more the share price could push back down to .0005-.0008

These situations thus create an even more pressing choice for Ken to start selling into high bids while he can.

Even more twisted, is that it is more likely he will use this week's raised funds to buy up sub-.0025 shares instead, in an attempt to manipulate the price back into his wall at .0025

End result?

Likely only 1 of 2 outcomes here.

1. Ken MUST sell shares below .0025 going forward
2. Idiots MUST trust Ken enough to buy up every single share at .0025 to have any hope of it being the new norm.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: usagi on June 28, 2013, 06:17:42 PM
So Ken's big announcement is out, and his pump and dump is failing.

He needs to sell another 3 Million shares at 0.0025 to raise the money he is going to gift to VMC, his privately held company, for chip NRE.  But Bitcoiners aren't buying a $25 Million dollar valuation for a $300k company.  So the party is over for Ken right?

Wrong.  Shortly he is going to hit all the bids on BTCT.co and Bitfunder so that he can give himself that million dollar gift.

How do I know?  Well if you read his contracts, you would know too.

From the summary page on Bitfunder:

Quote
Notes On The IPO:

As long as AMC does not sell it's shares below 0.0005 then they may do as they please with their shares. It is their company, their ownership, and their shares.

During the IPO, not all shares may be posted as an ASK.

So expect Ken to start hitting bids, and keep hitting them all the way down to 0.0005 if that's what he needs to do.  Because who wouldn't when every dollar they raise goes to benefit their company rather than the company they are selling the shares in?

Good work, I clearly misjudged your capacity for analysis.

So, while this clearly hurts existing shareholders, anyone who has read the contract like you could have shorted or waited it out until the crash and then invested. My question to you now is, do you think AMC is a worthwhile investment at 0.0005? At what price is it a reasonable investment, 1x book? 1x forward earnings?


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Surprise on June 28, 2013, 06:21:57 PM
Many prophets of doom yet no one is selling me call options... I am willing to negotiate on all details if someone wants to send me a counter offer...


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: ronaldlee0917 on June 28, 2013, 06:32:32 PM
They should just merge VMC and AMC, using the money of AMC's shareholders to fund another separate company does not make much sense to me, loan made to startup is too huge of a risk to ignore and they didn't mention this until the recent announcement. People buying the walls @0.0025 are essentially lending their money to VMC, a separate entity to AMC, which means they aren't investing in the company they apparently are putting their money into. I can't predict whether the price will rise or fall, but I feel completely betrayed, so I decided to exit with a fairly satisfactory profit instead of putting my money at stake.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Entropy-uc on June 28, 2013, 06:35:51 PM
They should just merge VMC and AMC, using the money of AMC's shareholders to fund another separate company does not make much sense to me, loan made to startup is too huge of a risk to ignore and they didn't mention this until the recent announcement. People buying the walls @0.0025 are essentially lending their money to VMC, a separate entity to AMC, which means they aren't investing in the company they apparently are putting their money into. I can't predict whether the price will rise or fall, but I feel completely betrayed, speaking of a former shareholder, so I decided to exit with a fairly satisfactory profit instead of putting my money at stake.

Smart move.  The shell company structure is designed to benefit Ken and no one else.  I don't even understand why the listing was allowed.

There a lots of epic statements in the company contracts.  Like the copy/paste error that makes a completely unrelated (?) company arbitrator for any disputes.  Or this little gem: "AMC is a wholly owned subsidiary of VMC".  Wholly owned?  Then what are you buying with these shares?


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Entropy-uc on June 28, 2013, 06:42:44 PM
So Ken's big announcement is out, and his pump and dump is failing.

He needs to sell another 3 Million shares at 0.0025 to raise the money he is going to gift to VMC, his privately held company, for chip NRE.  But Bitcoiners aren't buying a $25 Million dollar valuation for a $300k company.  So the party is over for Ken right?

Wrong.  Shortly he is going to hit all the bids on BTCT.co and Bitfunder so that he can give himself that million dollar gift.

How do I know?  Well if you read his contracts, you would know too.

From the summary page on Bitfunder:

Quote
Notes On The IPO:

As long as AMC does not sell it's shares below 0.0005 then they may do as they please with their shares. It is their company, their ownership, and their shares.

During the IPO, not all shares may be posted as an ASK.

So expect Ken to start hitting bids, and keep hitting them all the way down to 0.0005 if that's what he needs to do.  Because who wouldn't when every dollar they raise goes to benefit their company rather than the company they are selling the shares in?

Good work, I clearly misjudged your capacity for analysis.

So, while this clearly hurts existing shareholders, anyone who has read the contract like you could have shorted or waited it out until the crash and then invested. My question to you now is, do you think AMC is a worthwhile investment at 0.0005? At what price is it a reasonable investment, 1x book? 1x forward earnings?

I think that in general, 2-3 x book would be compelling for a venture like this.

But AMC has multiple, never touch, dealbreakers:

1) IP rights go to VMC not AMC, so you really own nothing for the risk
2) Ken has manipulated share prices - do not trust
3) Ken seriously estimated he would earn more Bitcoin than the protocol allows for in 1 year - proof of incompetence or fraud, take your pick
4) Ken knows squat about semiconductors
5) Ken is domiciled in the United States.  This makes him a fat stupid target for the SEC.  Your investment disappears when the guys in black suits arrive at his door.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: lysr on June 28, 2013, 06:45:00 PM
latest price = 0.0012
50% drop within a single day!
Will it go back to the IPO price?
Oh, I've forgot the IPO is not technically over, so that is totally possible.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Deprived on June 28, 2013, 06:48:20 PM

SSo, while this clearly hurts existing shareholders, anyone who has read the contract like you could have shorted or waited it out until the crash and then invested. My question to you now is, do you think AMC is a worthwhile investment at 0.0005? At what price is it a reasonable investment, 1x book? 1x forward earnings?

It's not a worthwhile investment at all.

The cash raised is mainly being loaned to VM which is totally owed by Ken.  If everything works well then at best they get back 10% of the profit made with their capital.  But VMC gets to decide what is profit - so Ken can skim off even more by paying himself a wage from VMC.

To make ANY profit on this $1 million Ken has to make over $1 million profit selling sub-standard ASICs that won't even be delivered until early next year.  That's not a good investment at pretty much any price - even below the .005 initial IPO.

You can't value it based on book - as its main assets will be debt from a dodgy company with no assets (VMC).  You can't value it based on forward earnings as there almost certainly won't be any from the $1 million.  The small earnings from a handful of Avalons are just dust in comparison.

Remember this is the guy whose first projections had AMC mining more bitcoins per day than get generated in total - so relying on any predictions he makes would be daft.

AMC's great for flipping shares on but don't get caught holding them when the dust settles.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: bbxx on June 28, 2013, 07:17:58 PM
I hope he didnt cash out all btc he got from community.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: kslaughter on June 28, 2013, 07:32:02 PM
So Ken's big announcement is out, and his pump and dump is failing.

He needs to sell another 3 Million shares at 0.0025 to raise the money he is going to gift to VMC, his privately held company, for chip NRE.  But Bitcoiners aren't buying a $25 Million dollar valuation for a $300k company.  So the party is over for Ken right?

Wrong.  Shortly he is going to hit all the bids on BTCT.co and Bitfunder so that he can give himself that million dollar gift.

How do I know?  Well if you read his contracts, you would know too.

From the summary page on Bitfunder:

Quote
Notes On The IPO:

As long as AMC does not sell it's shares below 0.0005 then they may do as they please with their shares. It is their company, their ownership, and their shares.

During the IPO, not all shares may be posted as an ASK.

So expect Ken to start hitting bids, and keep hitting them all the way down to 0.0005 if that's what he needs to do.  Because who wouldn't when every dollar they raise goes to benefit their company rather than the company they are selling the shares in?

We do not need to sale any more shares to fund the chip, see spreadsheet below:

http://i41.tinypic.com/aa9k5j.png


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: auto2nr1 on June 28, 2013, 08:16:27 PM
They should just merge VMC and AMC, using the money of AMC's shareholders to fund another separate company does not make much sense to me, loan made to startup is too huge of a risk to ignore and they didn't mention this until the recent announcement. People buying the walls @0.0025 are essentially lending their money to VMC, a separate entity to AMC, which means they aren't investing in the company they apparently are putting their money into. I can't predict whether the price will rise or fall, but I feel completely betrayed, speaking of a former shareholder, so I decided to exit with a fairly satisfactory profit instead of putting my money at stake.

Smart move.  The shell company structure is designed to benefit Ken and no one else.  I don't even understand why the listing was allowed.

There a lots of epic statements in the company contracts.  Like the copy/paste error that makes a completely unrelated (?) company arbitrator for any disputes.  Or this little gem: "AMC is a wholly owned subsidiary of VMC".  Wholly owned?  Then what are you buying with these shares?

I am a shareholder of AMC and i think the same. I addressed this here just recently.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=158806.msg2606230#msg2606230

What do you guys think? There's a lot of text in the company's contract with the shareholder which is a complete waste.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: EskimoBob on June 28, 2013, 08:46:56 PM
I hope you guys are starting to understand why balance sheets etc are important stuff BEFORE the IPO and also after the IPO.
Only you can put the pressure on issuers and exchanges.



Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Birdy on June 28, 2013, 09:28:47 PM
It has begun


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Ozymandias on June 28, 2013, 09:45:59 PM
Many prophets of doom yet no one is selling me call options... I am willing to negotiate on all details if someone wants to send me a counter offer...

Check your thread please, the option is listed on btct.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Entropy-uc on June 29, 2013, 02:09:01 AM
"He who panics first, panics best."

From Ken's own data above, AMC only has at best, BTC6 000 to support a market cap of BTC200 000.  And that is before you account for his plan to make a no recourse, zero interest loan to himself of BTC10 000.

It's going to be a long painful death for holders of this mess.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Factory on June 29, 2013, 02:15:07 AM
It's going to be a long painful death for holders of this mess.

Did you honestly expect anything less?


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: burnside on June 29, 2013, 02:33:09 AM
It's going to be a long painful death for holders of this mess.

Did you honestly expect anything less?

I expected burnside to examine the self dealing built into the stock, which guarantees loses for everyone but the owner of VMC and reject the listing.

Since that didn't happen, people are going to learn the expensive way.

Sometimes I wish I was the only gatekeeper.  It's better though that I am not, I was wrong on so many different things back in the GLBSE days that I when I setup btct.co I knew I needed to get other people involved somehow.  I really hope they're right on this one.





Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Entropy-uc on June 29, 2013, 02:39:21 AM
So Ken's big announcement is out, and his pump and dump is failing.

He needs to sell another 3 Million shares at 0.0025 to raise the money he is going to gift to VMC, his privately held company, for chip NRE.  But Bitcoiners aren't buying a $25 Million dollar valuation for a $300k company.  So the party is over for Ken right?

Wrong.  Shortly he is going to hit all the bids on BTCT.co and Bitfunder so that he can give himself that million dollar gift.

How do I know?  Well if you read his contracts, you would know too.

From the summary page on Bitfunder:

Quote
Notes On The IPO:

As long as AMC does not sell it's shares below 0.0005 then they may do as they please with their shares. It is their company, their ownership, and their shares.

During the IPO, not all shares may be posted as an ASK.



So expect Ken to start hitting bids, and keep hitting them all the way down to 0.0005 if that's what he needs to do.  Because who wouldn't when every dollar they raise goes to benefit their company rather than the company they are selling the shares in?

We do not need to sale any more shares to fund the chip, see spreadsheet below:


Since you don't need any more money, you are going to close the IPO, withdraw your ASKs, retire all the unneeded shares, and remove the IPO terms from your company contract right?

Any rational businessman would stop selling equity once his capital needs are filled.

Except if his business was selling shares in a worthless company, that is...


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: hak8or on June 29, 2013, 02:47:42 AM
Sometimes I wish I was the only gatekeeper.  It's better though that I am not, I was wrong on so many different things back in the GLBSE days that I when I setup btct.co I knew I needed to get other people involved somehow.  I really hope they're right on this one.

Are there any plans or thoughts so that in the future any companies or other entities which wish to be put on your exchange will be required to be vetted first? Or will it continue to be a wild west sort of situation still?


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: burnside on June 29, 2013, 02:55:00 AM
Sometimes I wish I was the only gatekeeper.  It's better though that I am not, I was wrong on so many different things back in the GLBSE days that I when I setup btct.co I knew I needed to get other people involved somehow.  I really hope they're right on this one.

Are there any plans or thoughts so that in the future any companies or other entities which wish to be put on your exchange will be required to be vetted first? Or will it continue to be a wild west sort of situation still?

Depends on your definition of vetted.  I'd argue that we're one of the harder ones to get listed on at the moment.  Aside from MPEx we certainly have the most documented minimum requirements.  (Check out the Asset Issuers ToS.)





Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: DeathAndTaxes on June 29, 2013, 02:57:11 AM
Any rational businessman would stop selling equity once his capital needs are filled.

Except if his business was selling shares in a worthless company, that is...

This.  It seems many never really consider what equity is.  Equity is selling off future profits of an enterprise.  If one believes their enterprise is profitable AND they have sufficient funds to ensure that profit what rational reason would there be to sell off more future profit?

Hint: there isn't one.   Companies sell enough equity to meet their capital needs and not a penny more.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: burnside on June 29, 2013, 03:13:20 AM
Plus you have Garr taking an existing company, rewriting the contract and relisting without review.

Cripes.  Fixed that.  :/



Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Deprived on June 29, 2013, 05:58:18 AM
Any rational businessman would stop selling equity once his capital needs are filled.

Except if his business was selling shares in a worthless company, that is...

This.  It seems many never really consider what equity is.  Equity is selling off future profits of an enterprise.  If one believes their enterprise is profitable AND they have sufficient funds to ensure that profit what rational reason would there be to sell off more future profit?

Hint: there isn't one.   Companies sell enough equity to meet their capital needs and not a penny more.

Well AMC's a bit different.  Here's what happens with the cash.

Shares are sold to the public - and immediately diluted in value by 50% or more due to Ken's personal holdings + the way he deals with unsold shares.

Those then buy miners that mine.

From what Ken just posted, mined income gos into a pot that once it gets to $1 million the cash will be loaned to VMC (wholly owned by Ken).

VMC then makes chips and repays the principal to AMC using 100% of profits.  That means that for the first $1 million of profit AMC doesn't even get its 10% royalty - as the royalties it was due are treated as repayment on capital (rather than repayment coming solely out of VMC's 90%).

So after $1 million of profit AMC has received 0% profit.
After $2 million profit it would have received 5% of profits.
After $4 million if would have increased to 7.5%

But how likely is that much PROFIT will be made on sales of ASICs that only get produced end of this year/beginning of next?  By then demand will largely have been satisfied by existing producers - and sales prices will have been driven down by competiton.  If that chip line never makes $1 million proft then investors bear all 100% loss - Ken only takes the lion's share of profits not losses.

So the best result for investors is that they get, as profit 0-5% of all cash funnelled through VMC - with VMC (Ken) deciding what counts as profit.  Even the mined coins get passed through VMC to make sure Ken gets at least 95% rather than the 50% share distribution would suggest.

So it's an entirely rational decidion for Ken to sell more shares - as he gets at least 95% of any profits from the capital with no risk.  Having decided he's going to skin investors (rather than just fleece them) it's the logical thing to do.  It is, of course, entirely irrational for investors to send him any cash.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: carnitastaco on June 29, 2013, 06:11:01 AM
Its actually a lot worse because kslaughter cuts himself in on the dividends as well.  The whole thing has been amazing to watch.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: dhenson on June 29, 2013, 06:30:37 AM
Cognitive dissidence is a powerful thing and causes people to only listen to the posts/news that supports their desires.   Everyone wants to catch the next AM at the bottom.

Once you realize logic isn't always the primary driving factor, you can predict the moves and make a lot of btc.  I don't think this ride is over.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: ryantw on June 29, 2013, 08:46:26 AM
It's going to be a long painful death for holders of this mess.

Did you honestly expect anything less?

I expected burnside to examine the self dealing built into the stock, which guarantees loses for everyone but the owner of VMC and reject the listing.

Since that didn't happen, people are going to learn the expensive way.

Sometimes I wish I was the only gatekeeper.  It's better though that I am not, I was wrong on so many different things back in the GLBSE days that I when I setup btct.co I knew I needed to get other people involved somehow.  I really hope they're right on this one.





Well I appreciate that you care.  And the idea of peer review is a good one.

But some things, like the extreme conflict of interest in this case, just shouldn't be allowed at all.  It really pains me how badly naive newbs are fleeced by this community.  It is going to cost us all in terms of slowing the adoption of bitcoin.

I agree 100%. I hold the exchanges, specifically their owners, responsible. This get rich quick method of opening a "company" and then listing it on an exchange is going to hurt bitcoin investing in the long run.

The first time I read the description of AMC I was extremely disappointed that exchanges would even allow such a concoction to be listed. Shame on the exchanges. The ridiculous business model and rules, especially that AMC and VMC are owned by the same entity, should have been an instant no-go for the exchange. Burnside/Ukyo/whoeverelse, please tell me how you can possibly read the description of AMC and allow such a thing to exist on your exchange.

Exchanges: enjoy your fee's now, because this method of doing business will hurt you in the long run. However, if you gain the reputation as a diligent exchange that does not allow these type of "securities" you will gain the respect and confidence of investors. Please do not use the "investor ignorance is not our fault" copout. Its your responsibility to disallow these types of schemes from being listed in the first place. You are a pseudo accessory by allowing it to be listed.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Kyune on June 29, 2013, 09:08:43 AM
Cognitive dissidence is a powerful thing and causes people to only listen to the posts/news that supports their desires.
I agree 100%.  This is what I've been trying to tell everyone but they just wouldn't listen.  I had to put them all on ignore.

 ;)



Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: empoweoqwj on June 29, 2013, 09:11:03 AM
Cognitive dissidence is a powerful thing and causes people to only listen to the posts/news that supports their desires.   Everyone wants to catch the next AM at the bottom.

Once you realize logic isn't always the primary driving factor, you can predict the moves and make a lot of btc.  I don't think this ride is over.

Absolutely right. Humans filter out stuff that doesn't agree with their current "world view". Its a horrible fault, and why its good to not take "snap" decisions. At a minimum, sleep on stuff before diving in.

I came across AMC and thought "I want to get in on this before it becomes another AM" and was completely blinkered, bought in at 0.0025 and within 48 hrs sold out again at a loss after realizing what mess the whole thing was.

Lesson learned. "Fools rush in where angels fear to tread". I've put the bitcoins I clawed back into AM :)

Sure lots of people have something to learn from this episode.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: empoweoqwj on June 29, 2013, 09:16:09 AM
By the way, I blame myself primarily. Perhaps this offering shouldn't have been listed, but in the end, do your own research.

Plenty of terrible / fraudulent stocks have been listed at major exchanges. I won't bother to list them.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Kyune on June 29, 2013, 09:30:34 AM
I agree 100%. I hold the exchanges, specifically their owners, responsible. This get rich quick method of opening a "company" and then listing it on an exchange is going to hurt bitcoin investing in the long run.

The first time I read the description of AMC I was extremely disappointed that exchanges would even allow such a concoction to be listed. Shame on the exchanges. The ridiculous business model and rules, especially that AMC and VMC are owned by the same entity, should have been an instant no-go for the exchange. Burnside/Ukyo/whoeverelse, please tell me how you can possibly read the description of AMC and allow such a thing to exist on your exchange.

Exchanges: enjoy your fee's now, because this method of doing business will hurt you in the long run. However, if you gain the reputation as a diligent exchange that does not allow these type of "securities" you will gain the respect and confidence of investors. Please do not use the "investor ignorance is not our fault" copout. Its your responsibility to disallow these types of schemes from being listed in the first place. You are a pseudo accessory by allowing it to be listed.
It is a bit disappointing, isn't it?  Zero negative votes against the AMC-PT on BTCT -- I would have thought this was an opportunity for BTCT to distinguish itself from the crowd.  Sort of demonstrates how a financial sector, left to its own devices, can't self-regulate effectively when all the individual players, including the exchanges, act in their narrow self-interest.

Somewhere down the line, months or years from now, it will be situations like this that cause government agencies to wave their arms and insist that more regulation is needed over this space.  (Whether enforcement is feasible is a separate question.)




Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Birdy on June 29, 2013, 11:44:00 AM
I wish people who are really good in those analytics like Deprived would be included in the valuation of new securities, it really hurts btct.co's and Bitcoins reputation when you include crappy moneygrabs in there.

I was also tempted to put money in this as I saw it got zero "no"-votes and people buying lots of this. (But then I saw this big wall and thought, well better wait a while and take your time to read what this is about)


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: empoweoqwj on June 29, 2013, 12:25:58 PM
I wish people who are really good in those analytics like Deprived would be included in the valuation of new securities, it really hurts btct.co's and Bitcoins reputation when you include crappy moneygrabs in there.

I was also tempted to put money in this as I saw it got zero "no"-votes and people buying lots of this. (But then I saw this big wall and thought, well better wait a while and take your time to read what this is about)

Wiser than me! Fortunately AMC's shares are so "cheap" I bought a few thousand and thought "that's enough" for now. When I realized how dodgy an investment it was, I sold them at a loss and put them in ASICIMINER, who incidentally have just announced they will be releasing "800-1000T hashing power this year". And what they announce historically normally happens.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: hl5460 on June 29, 2013, 01:35:55 PM
So Ken's big announcement is out, and his pump and dump is failing.

He needs to sell another 3 Million shares at 0.0025 to raise the money he is going to gift to VMC, his privately held company, for chip NRE.  But Bitcoiners aren't buying a $25 Million dollar valuation for a $300k company.  So the party is over for Ken right?

Wrong.  Shortly he is going to hit all the bids on BTCT.co and Bitfunder so that he can give himself that million dollar gift.

How do I know?  Well if you read his contracts, you would know too.

From the summary page on Bitfunder:

Quote
Notes On The IPO:

As long as AMC does not sell it's shares below 0.0005 then they may do as they please with their shares. It is their company, their ownership, and their shares.

During the IPO, not all shares may be posted as an ASK.

So expect Ken to start hitting bids, and keep hitting them all the way down to 0.0005 if that's what he needs to do.  Because who wouldn't when every dollar they raise goes to benefit their company rather than the company they are selling the shares in?

We do not need to sale any more shares to fund the chip, see spreadsheet below:

http://i41.tinypic.com/aa9k5j.png

Oh, according to Asicminer's estimate, network hashrate will reach 0.8-1P by the end of 2013.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: canth on June 29, 2013, 02:19:44 PM
Many prophets of doom yet no one is selling me call options... I am willing to negotiate on all details if someone wants to send me a counter offer...

Eh, because the highest risk anyone is willing to take on is actually buying AMC at the IPO price. From Wikipedia:

"A naked call occurs when a speculator writes (sells) a call option on a security without ownership of that security. It is one of the riskiest options strategies because it carries unlimited risk as opposed to a naked put where the maximum loss occurs if the stock falls to zero."

For bearish call option sellers, the same is true when the price rises. No one should be writing naked call options - that makes investing in BTC securities look conservative.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: ronaldlee0917 on June 29, 2013, 02:30:19 PM
So Ken's big announcement is out, and his pump and dump is failing.

He needs to sell another 3 Million shares at 0.0025 to raise the money he is going to gift to VMC, his privately held company, for chip NRE.  But Bitcoiners aren't buying a $25 Million dollar valuation for a $300k company.  So the party is over for Ken right?

Wrong.  Shortly he is going to hit all the bids on BTCT.co and Bitfunder so that he can give himself that million dollar gift.

How do I know?  Well if you read his contracts, you would know too.

From the summary page on Bitfunder:

Quote
Notes On The IPO:

As long as AMC does not sell it's shares below 0.0005 then they may do as they please with their shares. It is their company, their ownership, and their shares.

During the IPO, not all shares may be posted as an ASK.

So expect Ken to start hitting bids, and keep hitting them all the way down to 0.0005 if that's what he needs to do.  Because who wouldn't when every dollar they raise goes to benefit their company rather than the company they are selling the shares in?

We do not need to sale any more shares to fund the chip, see spreadsheet below:

http://i41.tinypic.com/aa9k5j.png

Oh, according to Asicminer's estimate, network hashrate will reach 0.8-1P by the end of 2013.
I think AMC would struggle with 10TH at that time.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: ryantw on June 29, 2013, 04:20:07 PM
I agree 100%. I hold the exchanges, specifically their owners, responsible. This get rich quick method of opening a "company" and then listing it on an exchange is going to hurt bitcoin investing in the long run.

The first time I read the description of AMC I was extremely disappointed that exchanges would even allow such a concoction to be listed. Shame on the exchanges. The ridiculous business model and rules, especially that AMC and VMC are owned by the same entity, should have been an instant no-go for the exchange. Burnside/Ukyo/whoeverelse, please tell me how you can possibly read the description of AMC and allow such a thing to exist on your exchange.

Exchanges: enjoy your fee's now, because this method of doing business will hurt you in the long run. However, if you gain the reputation as a diligent exchange that does not allow these type of "securities" you will gain the respect and confidence of investors. Please do not use the "investor ignorance is not our fault" copout. Its your responsibility to disallow these types of schemes from being listed in the first place. You are a pseudo accessory by allowing it to be listed.
It is a bit disappointing, isn't it?  Zero negative votes against the AMC-PT on BTCT -- I would have thought this was an opportunity for BTCT to distinguish itself from the crowd.  Sort of demonstrates how a financial sector, left to its own devices, can't self-regulate effectively when all the individual players, including the exchanges, act their in their narrow self-interest.

Somewhere down the line, months or years from now, it will be situations like this that cause government agencies to wave their arms and insist that more regulation is needed over this space.  (Whether enforcement is feasible is a separate question.)




Very true. Having a poorly run investment exchange is just welcoming government problems. Look at what happened to mtgox. Obviously that is a different scenario, but it shows that you have to run a tight ship. Having a bitcoin securities exchange that is irresponsible as far as assets it allows is asking for problems. The concept of wild west investing when using bitcoin should be abandoned when it is obvious that the asset is a delusion investment.

Bitfunder/BTCTC/others: please be responsible in what you allow to be listed. Fancy spreadsheets, "estimates" and big promises should be considered worthless. At least have a warning on specific assets that (a) do not have hardware in hand (b) are heavily based on research/development before profit occurs (c) cashflow will not occur for over 3 months.

I keep seeing these assets being listed that are basically "Ordered asic chips from xyc. They are expected to be here in 3-6 months. Pay off my initial cost, believe my estimates and share in the mined bitcoin". Its awful.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: lysr on June 29, 2013, 04:40:04 PM
Another imminent crash coming, if the support at 0.0008 does not hold, it would be a freefall back to IPO price!


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Entropy-uc on June 29, 2013, 04:56:15 PM
Another imminent crash coming, if the support at 0.0008 does not hold, it would be a freefall back to IPO price!

Ken is free under his contract to crash it to 0.0005 whenever he chooses.

Based on the assets of the company it is worth about 0.00006  (that is 60 millionths of a BTC).  But the self dealing terms make it worth zero in my eyes.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: auto2nr1 on June 29, 2013, 05:12:17 PM
What if Ken re-wrote the contract to give him less power in AMC in regards to controlling the share prices and issuing shares. Do you guys think that would help AMC and it's investors?


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Entropy-uc on June 29, 2013, 05:15:11 PM
What if Ken re-wrote the contract to give him less power in AMC in regards to controlling the share prices and issuing shares. Do you guys think that would help AMC and it's investors?

Of course it could.  But you would have to ask why he would do so.  He's already grabbed $500 000 for himself.  Why would he change direction now.

Based on his actions, I would examine any 'gifts' from Ken carefully.  They are likely to be more trojan horse than attempts to make things fair for his investors.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Entropy-uc on June 29, 2013, 08:02:59 PM
The AMC thread has become such a train wreck I am going to preserve this here.  It's informative to see how much value Ken is skimming before you even consider the gift of IP rights to himself.

Essentially shareholders provide all the capital, take all the risk, get no IP rights, and 8% of the profits from AMC.

I think I might understand the dividend situation now.  It's all very confusing since Ken likes to confuse himself and AMC, never mind VMC which scoops the cream of this farm in the first place.

So dividends look like so:
Code:
Shares outstanding
Ken:               60 000 0000
AMC capital fund:  20 000 000
Treasury shares :  12 000 000 (?)
Shareholders:       8 000 000 (?)

Treasury + Shareholders should be equal to 20 000 000 but I have no idea of the current split.

1 BTC in dividends delivers

Ken:  0 *  - until he repays the planned $1M no interest, no recourse loan to his other company VMC
AMC capital:   0.5 BTC
Treasury:      0.3 BTC
Shareholders:  0.2 BTC
 

Note that Ken is 60% owner of AMC, as well as 100% owner of VMC.  Each dividend pays 80% back to AMC at present.

Far from not getting any compensation as Ken claims, 48% of income goes to his pocket.

If he ever pays back the $1M gift, the dividends will be:

Code:
1 BTC in dividends delivers

Ken:           0.60 BTC
AMC capital:   0.2 BTC
Treasury:      0.12 BTC
Shareholders:  0.08 BTC
 

That's one hell of an investment you've got going.  If you are Ken Slaughter.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: lysr on June 29, 2013, 08:26:54 PM
Lol, Ken and his accomplice are trying really hard to work the price up again, but smart investors have learnt the lesson and not fall to his trap again, no one is buying his shit anymore.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: EskimoBob on June 29, 2013, 10:51:27 PM
Quote
Treasury:      0.12 BTC ?

What is that?


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Kushedout on June 29, 2013, 10:55:37 PM
Quote
Treasury:      0.12 BTC ?

What is that?

Probably a family member.

Quote
Kenneth E. Slaughter, CEO/CTO. Gerald L. Slaughter, COO/CFO. Micha Slaughter, VP Manufacturing OperationsDarin Carolus, VP Marketing


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Entropy-uc on June 29, 2013, 11:18:11 PM
https://i.imgur.com/iAhcfWw.png

There wasn't much flash to it, but it sure as hell crashed.

It's nice to know folks read my posts.   ;D

I'm going to go out on a limb here and make another prediction:

Within 2 weeks AMC will break below the 0.0005 early investor price if Ken doesn't restructure the company.

Assets only support a price of 1/10 of that level, and that is before we consider the self dealing to VMC that bleeds value out of AMC.  Even the newbs are reading the fine print and realizing what a ripoff the stock is at this point.  It's no longer just Minor Miner, Deprived and myself beating the drum.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: razorfishsl on June 29, 2013, 11:33:03 PM
Paying dividends to 'unsold' shares in this manner is actually illegal... it can be classed as money laundering, the  corporate profit is being pumped out of the company via a back door into a privately controlled external entity.
This would get you 10-15 in Hong Kong....

Normally the exchange should sanction the directors, but again they have no actual 'legal power' other than say 'don't do it again'.
A possible option would be to prevent further listings by the people involved, but to do that the exchange would need the status of  be something that people WANT to be listed on, unfortunately allowing such behavior is just undermining the whole system.

Bitcoin is not going to get anywhere fast as regards adoption, if it is considered a haven for drug dealers, money launders and dodgy business practices.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: lysr on June 29, 2013, 11:39:29 PM
AMC isn't even a company, it is only a unit under VMC. How could it be approved for public trading?


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Entropy-uc on June 30, 2013, 01:38:52 AM
AMC isn't even a company, it is only a unit under VMC. How could it be approved for public trading?

Most sites just charge a fee and you are listed.  Your contract could say that you will use the money to 'Kill Whitey' and you could still be trading.

I had thought BTCT.co would be different as they do have a review process, but they failed miserably in this instance.  It looks like buyers there lost 750 BTC in the last 2 days so maybe changes will be made.

More likely not though.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: dhenson on June 30, 2013, 02:48:07 AM
Two points:

1)  In no way does bitcoin security performance effect bitcoin overall.  Unfortunately, the only thing holding bitcoin back at the moment is public acceptance.  The problem is, every time the public gets involved, the price bubbles, pops and scares the public off.  We need to diversify the exchanges enough so that arbitrage can calm the market to a minimum level of stability.

2) All fun aside, Ken really thinks AMC is a real company and a solid investment.  Will it be Asicminer 2.0? No, most definitely not.  Is it profitable @ .0008 / share? Yes.  Is it a scam? No.  Might the U.S. Gov. crack down on AMC/VMC for the multiple questionable business practices? Yes.

I'm no longer an AMC share holder.  I will admit that I made quite a bit of BTC off of this roller coaster ride.  However, in my heart, I believe Ken is being truthful and has only the best intentions in mind.  His business plan however admittedly is faulty.

I will say however that I have a sneaking suspicion that VBS and Lewiki are both part of AMC and not 'normal' share holders.

Also.. Please stop holding burnside in some way responsible.  That's just stupid.  He leaves it up to the shareholders to approve new securities.  AMC was already trading on bitfunder, there was at the time no compelling reason to deny the listing.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Entropy-uc on June 30, 2013, 02:53:54 AM
Two points:

1)  In no way does bitcoin security performance effect bitcoin overall.  Unfortunately, the only thing holding bitcoin back at the moment is public acceptance.  The problem is, every time the public gets involved, the price bubbles, pops and scares the public off.  We need to diversify the exchanges enough so that arbitrage can calm the market to a minimum level of stability.

2) All fun aside, Ken really thinks AMC is a real company and a solid investment.  Will it be Asicminer 2.0? No, most definitely not.  Is it profitable @ .0008 / share? Yes.  Is it a scam? No.  Might the U.S. Gov. crack down on AMC/VMC for the multiple questionable business practices? Yes.

I'm no longer an AMC share holder.  I will admit that I made quite a bit of BTC off of this roller coaster ride.  However, in my heart, I believe Ken is being truthful and has only the best intentions in mind.  His business plan however admittedly is faulty.

I will say however that I have a sneaking suspicion that VBS and Lewiki are both part of AMC and not 'normal' share holders.

Price bubbles aren't the only thing turning people against bitcoin.  Getting ripped off while using bitcoin tends to make people blame bitcoin, not the con artist who cheated them.

I would have to dispute one of your claims.  Buying AMC shares at 0.0008 will not be profitable in the long run.  One tenth of that price might be a good buy, if you can trust Ken with money.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: mandroid on June 30, 2013, 02:58:39 AM
I will say however that I have a sneaking suspicion that VBS and Lewiki are both part of AMC and not 'normal' share holders.

I think they an a few others that frequent the AMC thread and the various freenode IRC channels started out as unlucky kids falling for Ken's scams, but as more and more people showed them the scam they transformed into monsters. Now they're soulless husks who truly believe AMC is the second coming, and they think acting like everything is nice and dandy will attract the new money they desperately need to pump their share price up.

Besides, they wouldn't be so obvious if they were part of AMC.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: dhenson on June 30, 2013, 03:01:24 AM
You are correct that in the long run the security will not be worth it's current price.  Ken has no hope of getting in front of the ball on this project.  Although he does have just enough going for him to pump the price back up to .002 for a short time.  You could buy now at .0008, ride it until .0019 or so and then dump for a quick profit.

At the moment, long money is in AM, short is in AMC.  The trick is when to roll AMC profits into AM shares.

Good luck everyone!

**disclaimer: I'm currently invested in KnC mining rigs and AM shares for long term hedge against USD/BTC exchange.  I have no plans of re-purchasing AMC shares.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Entropy-uc on June 30, 2013, 03:40:43 AM
Another imminent crash coming, if the support at 0.0008 does not hold, it would be a freefall back to IPO price!

It broke.  Now 0.00073 at Bitfunder.

2 weeks to break the 0.0005 price might have been optimistic.  Everything happens faster with Bitcoin!


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: freedomno1 on June 30, 2013, 03:41:13 AM
Was observing this myself and thinking I still prefer AM but if the news hypes up sentiment then a holding position at a very low price range will result in a nice return of course AM keeps going up so need to stalk it for this news  
That said I don't think this downdrop is done either and by far we will not reach that starting price unless we see shipping or something on a large scale.
Of course the exposing risk to price dropping and lower liquidity make it harder to execute but it is interesting nonetheless
It has only been on btct a few days so the true trading activity will take some time to observe on one exchange and likely explains the significant price difference between the two that or IPO buyers are holding since executing would be a fairly large loss.
As for the exchange listing there are worse out there was thinking well its on bitfunder mentality
Either way as always do your diligence
They are listed as a competitor to AM but as we know competition hasn't been delivering so Do your diligence again
If AM produces weak units but competitors offer better units at lower costs in the future that can undercut AM it's worth checking everything out
Either way I am guessing the market considers the true value at 0.0005 until proven otherwise and would agree no more no less until results appear


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: freedomno1 on June 30, 2013, 03:54:32 AM
Was observing this myself and thinking I still prefer AM but if the news hypes up sentiment then a holding position at a very low price range will result in a nice return of course AM keeps going up so need to stalk it for this news  ;D
Of course the exposing risk to price dropping and lower liquidity make it harder to execute but it is interesting nonetheless
It has only been on btct a few days so the true trading activity will take some time to observe on one exchange and likely explains the significant price difference between the two that or IPO buyers are holding since executing would be a fairly large loss

The spread is quite brutal for anyone looking to profit from a dead cat bounce.  You have to make a 25% gain just to cover the bid-ask spread right now.

Volume on btct.co has dropped to essentially nothing.  Folks on there are eating huge losses since all the shares trading there were issued at 0.0025.  It will take time for them to digest the mess, and cut their losses by selling.

I know burnside is monitoring things.  I hope it causes serious changes to be made.

Fell for the its on one exchange so I guess it passed some test fallacy myself of course I sold out noticing the spread between the two exchanges was huge.
That said it is possible we will see a dead cat bounce or two but a company should be less speculation more investing
Of course speculation is fine as well with AM but its with good reasons
Speculation on how badly something is flaming out is different

Maybe it will cause some changes to be made but the question is what criteria should be met that AMC had and what else should be added being listed on another exchange has a value getting burned is the fault of the investors unfortunately
So really three choices
Dollar Cost averaging those expensive shares and hoping on a small bounce to cut losses
Cashing out and taking the hard loss
Hold and wait

Lol speaking of Suspicious here is another one but they promise videos not pics so ponders that lols
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=213172.msg2573945#msg2573945


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: ronaldlee0917 on June 30, 2013, 03:58:39 AM
Another imminent crash coming, if the support at 0.0008 does not hold, it would be a freefall back to IPO price!

It broke.  Now 0.00073 at Bitfunder.

2 weeks to break the 0.0005 price might have been optimistic.  Everything happens faster with Bitcoin!
It is painful to see over 50% loss within a few days.
But people got to learn and move on, be wary of any "Asicminer 2.0 scam" in the future.
It is their last chance to sell the shares before they are worth nothing...


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: furuknap on June 30, 2013, 04:11:51 AM
Sometimes I wish I was the only gatekeeper.  It's better though that I am not, I was wrong on so many different things back in the GLBSE days that I when I setup btct.co I knew I needed to get other people involved somehow.  I really hope they're right on this one.

Sometimes, I wish there were more gatekeepers who bothered to take a look at new assets. But like I've said before, why should they?

"Hey, here's 5BTC, go mad. Oh, and if you have plenty of time, feel free to spend your time reading this elaborate document for no further benefit"

.b


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: freedomno1 on June 30, 2013, 04:12:32 AM
Another imminent crash coming, if the support at 0.0008 does not hold, it would be a freefall back to IPO price!

It broke.  Now 0.00073 at Bitfunder.

2 weeks to break the 0.0005 price might have been optimistic.  Everything happens faster with Bitcoin!
It is painful to see over 50% loss within a few days.
But people got to learn and move on, be wary of any "Asicminer 2.0 scam" in the future.
It is their last chance to sell the shares before they are worth nothing...

There is still value there.  AMC owns 6 avalons.  That's probably worth 900 BTC.

Maybe Ken will invest in ASICMINER with his cash hoard.  That could increase value.   :D

Well there is an old saying
If you can't beat them
Join them


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: burnside on June 30, 2013, 06:31:21 AM
Very true. Having a poorly run investment exchange is just welcoming government problems. Look at what happened to mtgox. Obviously that is a different scenario, but it shows that you have to run a tight ship. Having a bitcoin securities exchange that is irresponsible as far as assets it allows is asking for problems. The concept of wild west investing when using bitcoin should be abandoned when it is obvious that the asset is a delusion investment.

Bitfunder/BTCTC/others: please be responsible in what you allow to be listed. Fancy spreadsheets, "estimates" and big promises should be considered worthless. At least have a warning on specific assets that (a) do not have hardware in hand (b) are heavily based on research/development before profit occurs (c) cashflow will not occur for over 3 months.

I keep seeing these assets being listed that are basically "Ordered asic chips from xyc. They are expected to be here in 3-6 months. Pay off my initial cost, believe my estimates and share in the mined bitcoin". Its awful.


To me it is definitely important to maintain the integrity of the exchange.  If you look through the AMC thread, (if it hasn't been self-moderated out?) you'll see that myself and many of those involved with BTC-TC have been asking questions and pointing out problems.  We tend to get drowned out in the excitement, and as you can see by how quickly the asset was approved, it's obvious to me that at least some of the (there are 20+ now) mods were also excited.

I'm not sure yet how this will ultimately pan out.  Ken seems to be putting in the man hours, trying to get things together.  I really don't feel like this is an outright Pirateat40 kind of deal.  Does that mean I think it will succeed?  I'm not sure.  I believe they already hash, I believe they will make a chip, I believe they'll probably even get their unit out the door.  What I'm not sure of is if they can do it before everyone else does, or if they can do it in sufficient volume.

This is undeniably extremely high risk to be investing in.  When I bought my first 100 ASICMINER shares on GLBSE I was almost certain I was going to lose it.  When I bought my first 100 shares of NYAN.B I was almost certain I would not lose it.  So go figure.  Those 100 ASICMINER shares have made up for all my GLBSE losses.

AMC isn't even a company, it is only a unit under VMC. How could it be approved for public trading?

Most sites just charge a fee and you are listed.  Your contract could say that you will use the money to 'Kill Whitey' and you could still be trading.

I had thought BTCT.co would be different as they do have a review process, but they failed miserably in this instance.  It looks like buyers there lost 750 BTC in the last 2 days so maybe changes will be made.

More likely not though.

My understanding is that AMC and VMC are two separate companies, with contractual agreements between each other.  This structure is not unlike the ASICMINER arrangement, though I have not picked apart all the details.  (read Deprived's posts on this, they are fairly informative.)

I'm not sure yet this is a complete failure.  What the investors paid 0.0025 per share for has not fundamentally changed, so what they wanted when they paid that they got.  There is no loss unless you sell, at which point you no longer have whatever it is you wanted at 0.0025.  Ken definitely seems to have misjudged the market around the IPO, but SDICE did the same thing, and many other issues have had the same problem.  I think the mods that approved it believe that Ken will do his best to fulfill his contract and the obligations he has laid out.  Unfortunately after that there is no "IPO management" behind the process, so Ken was free to post the shares at whatever he wanted.

What I really don't get is:

  Why did people think 2 days ago that 0.0025 was a great deal?
  And now, two days later, with minimal changes to the underlying issue, think it's not a great deal?
  On an asset that per stated plans, will take months to deliver?

The market really doesn't make any sense to me sometimes and trying to make sense of it really hurts my brain.

If there are changes to be made it's going to require more manpower to help filter better and to help the issuers plan their IPO's better.  I've been discussing getting more people involved lately, I will continue to pursue those avenues.

Cheers.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Kyune on June 30, 2013, 06:42:03 AM
My understanding is that AMC and VMC are two separate companies, with contractual agreements between each other.

Eh, I do not see how it can be accurate to call them separate companies.  I'll post the same info here that I posted in the main AMC thread.

AMC is described as a wholly-owned subsidiary of VMC in the listing that they themselves prepared for both both Bitfunder and BTCT. 

From the "Details" tab on BTCT for the passthrough shares:

Quote
Active Mining Corporation (AMC) is a Belize International Business Company DBA Active Mining Cooperative and
is a wholly owned subsidiary of Virtual Mining Corporation (VMC) a Delaware Corporation.

And from the "Private Placement Memorandum" on Bitfunder (https://bitfunder.com/asset/AMC#pane_profile, which is only presented as a jpg, so I have to retype the content):

PPM, page 2: "AMC is a business unit of VMC"
PPM, page 6: "Shares of AMC on Bitfunder do not represent real world shares of the company.  The shares are solely a distribution mechanism for rights to profits."





Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: furuknap on June 30, 2013, 06:48:33 AM
There doesn't appear to have been any oversight on this pricing, which really seems silly.  How can your moderators vote on an asset when they don't even know the valuation the security will come to market at?

Mods do not evaluate the profitability of an asset, or at least shouldn't.

Ask yourself, however, why should they _not_ vote in favor of something that will give them lots of money? The listing fee, the trade fee, whether loss or profit; all of that goes straight into the pocket of those voters. Of course they want that money! That's why they bought the LTC-G shares!

.b


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: burnside on June 30, 2013, 06:58:57 AM
My understanding is that AMC and VMC are two separate companies, with contractual agreements between each other.

Eh, I do not see how it can be accurate to call them separate companies.  I'll post the same info here that I posted in the main AMC thread.

AMC is described as a wholly-owned subsidiary of VMC in the listing that they themselves prepared for both both Bitfunder and BTCT. 

From the "Details" tab on BTCT for the passthrough shares:

Quote
Active Mining Corporation (AMC) is a Belize International Business Company DBA Active Mining Cooperative and
is a wholly owned subsidiary of Virtual Mining Corporation (VMC) a Delaware Corporation.

And from the "Private Placement Memorandum" on Bitfunder (https://bitfunder.com/asset/AMC#pane_profile, which is only presented as a jpg, so I have to retype the content):

PPM, page 2: "AMC is a business unit of VMC"
PPM, page 6: "Shares of AMC on Bitfunder do not represent real world shares of the company.  The shares are solely a distribution mechanism for rights to profits."

That makes the shares essentially a PT issued by Ken connecting the "BTC-TC Virtual Exchange Game" and his real world company.  I'm not sure how else you can connect a real world company based in the US.  I don't think you can buy real, direct, legal shares in one on an exchange outside the US.  You have to connect up the virtual company in the game to the performance of the real company in a way that emulates it's successes and failures.  This is not unlike how EA scales and emulates the stats of the various players and teams in it's annual releases of Madden Football or how many of the NYSE/NASDAQ stock trading games out there emulate the successes and failures of the real underlying companies.

BitFunder may have a different take on things, but BTC-TC does not trade real shares of real US companies.  Period.  This is part of the risk you assume and you agreed to when you registered on BTC-TC.

Cheers.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Entropy-uc on June 30, 2013, 07:01:52 AM
There doesn't appear to have been any oversight on this pricing, which really seems silly.  How can your moderators vote on an asset when they don't even know the valuation the security will come to market at?

Mods do not evaluate the profitability of an asset, or at least shouldn't.

Ask yourself, however, why should they _not_ vote in favor of something that will give them lots of money? The listing fee, the trade fee, whether loss or profit; all of that goes straight into the pocket of those voters. Of course they want that money! That's why they bought the LTC-G shares!

.b

Such a cynical view might be appropriate for a mature and established exchange.  But for a startup trying to establish itself, such an approach would be self defeating.

An exchange exists to provide startup capital to businesses.  If the investors in those businesses are not rewarded with dividends and capital gains appropriate for the risks taken, there will be no new capital available, and the exchange will die.

The history of bitcoin securities is one of lost investor capital, and ASICMINER as the exception that proves the rule.  Until there are numerous examples to contradict that statement, any investor or operator of an exchange is likely to lose all of their capital as well.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: burnside on June 30, 2013, 07:02:07 AM
There doesn't appear to have been any oversight on this pricing, which really seems silly.  How can your moderators vote on an asset when they don't even know the valuation the security will come to market at?

Mods do not evaluate the profitability of an asset, or at least shouldn't.

Ask yourself, however, why should they _not_ vote in favor of something that will give them lots of money? The listing fee, the trade fee, whether loss or profit; all of that goes straight into the pocket of those voters. Of course they want that money! That's why they bought the LTC-G shares!

.b

IF they are smart, they will see the mountain of BTC in the distance that comes from building a trustworthy platform, over the mole-hill of BTC that comes out of a few days of trading.  (I hope some are reading this?)



Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: burnside on June 30, 2013, 07:06:36 AM
Thanks for sharing your views burnside.

I am heading off to bed, so I will think about what you have said and respond tomorrow sometime.

Before I go, I want to make one point.

A share issue that trades below it's offering price in the first few days of trading is considered a broken IPO.  It is always a disaster for the stock and investors, and a black mark for the exchange and the syndicate that brought the offering.  In this case, not only did the price break but the issuing shares were only 25% subscribed.  That is a huge failure.

On the ~512k shares that did sell, folks on your site are now eating a 870 BTC loss.  All of that loss is a result of Ken pumping up the price arbitrarily in the offering to 0.0025 from the 0.0008 it was trading around before listing on your site.

There doesn't appear to have been any oversight on this pricing, which really seems silly.  How can your moderators vote on an asset when they don't even know the valuation the security will come to market at?

I agree that there needs to be an IPO plan that gets evaluated as part of each issue.  This IPO makes that fairly obvious.  We'll add to the issuers template some text around this.  It's definitely not going to prevent it 100% of the time though.  I don't think you can prevent failed IPO's entirely.  It's such a guessing game in terms of demand.  I think that's partly why the MPEx tranched IPO worked so well, but you still have to be careful to issue in manageable increments that make sense.

Cheers.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: burnside on June 30, 2013, 07:18:03 AM
An exchange exists to provide startup capital to businesses.  If the investors in those businesses are not rewarded with dividends and capital gains appropriate for the risks taken, there will be no new capital available, and the exchange will die.

The history of bitcoin securities is one of lost investor capital, and ASICMINER as the exception that proves the rule.  Until there are numerous examples to contradict that statement, any investor or operator of an exchange is likely to lose all of their capital as well.

I do tend to disagree with this.  There are a lot more successes out there than just ASICMINER.  Just none with such fantastic returns.  ;)  There are also a good sized subset of issues that are setup to hedge against a cryptocoin drop, such as the gold and silver assets, or the fixed fiat return ones like esecurity.



Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: burnside on June 30, 2013, 07:22:48 AM
In the real world there is a syndicate of investment banks that take on filling the IPO.  They spend a few months getting interest from large customers and determining a reasonable valuation.  On the IPO date the first trades are all filling earlier commitments to buy at the price finally set by the banks.  All of the banks have money on the line themselves and are expecting to support the share price.

Maybe if mods voting yes were required to hold some amount of stock for 30 days or so you would both get better reviews, and have a clear signal of investors appetite for a particular issue.

That's a great idea.  Maybe when investors vote they could plug in the number of shares they'd be willing to commit.  Their vote wouldn't be tied to it, but it could be used as a weighing mechanism, and whatever they plug in they would be bound to.  (site would reserve it and auto-execute somehow at ipo.)

Maybe even better would be to allow ALL users to pre-commit on pending assets.  The amounts designated would go in reserve before the IPO, and the shares purchased would be locked after IPO for some specific time frame.  Then IPO's would be limited to some percentage of the pre-commitments.  IE, an IPO would not be allowed to release more than 150% or 200% of the pre-committed share count.

It'd also be a great way to prevent the situations where an issuer needs XXX amount to get started, then only raises 50% of that in the IPO.

Lots to think about.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: lysr on June 30, 2013, 07:28:40 AM
Hey Burnside, since you are reading this thread, would you please look into this issue for us?
Darin Carolus, one of the managing members of AMC/VMC was involved in scamming before, we have yet received any answer or confirmation from AMC or Ken. I think it is within your power to force an explanation or answer from them and protect all investors from potential scam.

I would like to know more about Darin Carolus, VP Marketing for AMC (mentioned in the details on BTCT.co)

And the accusations of him scamming clients when he was building illusions for Magicians in Reno, and apparently investigated by the Secret Service....?

http://www.magicnewzealand.com/ezine-archive/2007-Jan-to-Dec-2007/488-Apr01-2007.txt
http://www.magicnewzealand.com/ezine-archive/2007-Jan-to-Dec-2007/489-Apr08-2007.txt
http://www.magicnewzealand.com/ezine-archive/2007-Jan-to-Dec-2007/490-Apr15-2007.txt
http://www.magicnewzealand.com/ezine-archive/2007-Jan-to-Dec-2007/491-Apr22-2007.txt
http://www.magicnewzealand.com/ezine-archive/2007-Jan-to-Dec-2007/499-May13-2007.txt

Same Darin Carolus?

Read below:

Registrant:
MagicColosseum
6891 Sonterra Ln
Reno, Nevada 89523
United States


ref: http://www.themagiccafe.com/forums/viewtopic.php?topic=200093&forum=7


This site shows all the domains registered under the IP: 184.73.156.39:

http://whoisrequest.org/reverse-ip/184.73.156.39

Which include:

tahoeultimaterentals.com   (Mentioned in AMC Profile)
shopping-cart-now.com           (Mentioned in AMC Profile)
z4solutions.com                  (Mentioned in article relating to Darin Carolus)

and

darin.info

Which whois shows:

Registrant ID:CR48982096
Registrant Name:Darin Carolus
Registrant Organization:MagicColosseum
Registrant Street1:6891 Sonterra Ln
Registrant Street2:
Registrant Street3:
Registrant City:Reno
Registrant State/Province:Nevada

ref: http://whoisrequest.org/whois/darin.info


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Deprived on June 30, 2013, 07:43:19 AM
In the real world there is a syndicate of investment banks that take on filling the IPO.  They spend a few months getting interest from large customers and determining a reasonable valuation.  On the IPO date the first trades are all filling earlier commitments to buy at the price finally set by the banks.  All of the banks have money on the line themselves and are expecting to support the share price.

Maybe if mods voting yes were required to hold some amount of stock for 30 days or so you would both get better reviews, and have a clear signal of investors appetite for a particular issue.

That's a great idea.  Maybe when investors vote they could plug in the number of shares they'd be willing to commit.  Their vote wouldn't be tied to it, but it could be used as a weighing mechanism, and whatever they plug in they would be bound to.  (site would reserve it and auto-execute somehow at ipo.)

Maybe even better would be to allow ALL users to pre-commit on pending assets.  The amounts designated would go in reserve before the IPO, and the shares purchased would be locked after IPO for some specific time frame.  Then IPO's would be limited to some percentage of the pre-commitments.  IE, an IPO would not be allowed to release more than 150% or 200% of the pre-committed share count.

It'd also be a great way to prevent the situations where an issuer needs XXX amount to get started, then only raises 50% of that in the IPO.

Lots to think about.


For IPOs where the issuer needs XXX amount you could apply two simple rules:

1.  The funds raised from sales are escrowed by the site until XXX is raised - or reversed to all shares (and the IPO closed) if XXX isn't raised in Y days/weeks.
2.  Issuer account is locked against transferring shares or selling at below a declared IPO price until 1. is met.

Number 2 is a problem (as happened in the past with Ken) where the issuer gets impatient and starts selling cheap.
Number 1 would only apply where there was a minimum needed to achieve their goals.  If they fail to reach that in a reasonable time period (weeks not months) then the IPO has failed - so just return the cash, delist it and move on.  You have to lock a lot of account functionality to do that - otherwise issuer an just transfer funds to an alt account and reuse it to buy more shares inflating the count of what was actually sold.

I think you're still not clearly understanding the main problem with AMC btw.  The problem is that its structure so that even if it DOES make profit from hardware sales under 5% of it ends up with investors.  How much less than 5% depends on a definition of 'profit' imposed by VMC (which shareholders have no say in or oversight of) - which makes the 'no salary' clause of AMC worthless (as Ken can give whatever he wants as salary to himself/friends/family before profit comes anywhere near AMC) and on how much profit is made.  To get 2.5% return on capital requires $2 million profit on sales to be made - that's sales of ASICs that won't even be out until end of this year/early next by KEN's estimate.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: burnside on June 30, 2013, 08:18:13 AM
Hey Burnside, since you are reading this thread, would you please look into this issue for us?
Darin Carolus, one of the managing members of AMC/VMC was involved in scamming before, we have yet received any answer or confirmation from AMC or Ken. I think it is within your power to force an explanation or answer from them and protect all investors from potential scam.

I would like to know more about Darin Carolus, VP Marketing for AMC (mentioned in the details on BTCT.co)

And the accusations of him scamming clients when he was building illusions for Magicians in Reno, and apparently investigated by the Secret Service....?

http://www.magicnewzealand.com/ezine-archive/2007-Jan-to-Dec-2007/488-Apr01-2007.txt
http://www.magicnewzealand.com/ezine-archive/2007-Jan-to-Dec-2007/489-Apr08-2007.txt
http://www.magicnewzealand.com/ezine-archive/2007-Jan-to-Dec-2007/490-Apr15-2007.txt
http://www.magicnewzealand.com/ezine-archive/2007-Jan-to-Dec-2007/491-Apr22-2007.txt
http://www.magicnewzealand.com/ezine-archive/2007-Jan-to-Dec-2007/499-May13-2007.txt

Same Darin Carolus?

Read below:

Registrant:
MagicColosseum
6891 Sonterra Ln
Reno, Nevada 89523
United States


ref: http://www.themagiccafe.com/forums/viewtopic.php?topic=200093&forum=7


This site shows all the domains registered under the IP: 184.73.156.39:

http://whoisrequest.org/reverse-ip/184.73.156.39

Which include:

tahoeultimaterentals.com   (Mentioned in AMC Profile)
shopping-cart-now.com           (Mentioned in AMC Profile)
z4solutions.com                  (Mentioned in article relating to Darin Carolus)

and

darin.info

Which whois shows:

Registrant ID:CR48982096
Registrant Name:Darin Carolus
Registrant Organization:MagicColosseum
Registrant Street1:6891 Sonterra Ln
Registrant Street2:
Registrant Street3:
Registrant City:Reno
Registrant State/Province:Nevada

ref: http://whoisrequest.org/whois/darin.info

I read through all of the references.  It all seems to mesh.  We'll definitely seek clarity with Ken, though I suspect he'll respond in the original thread when he sees it.

For IPOs where the issuer needs XXX amount you could apply two simple rules:

1.  The funds raised from sales are escrowed by the site until XXX is raised - or reversed to all shares (and the IPO closed) if XXX isn't raised in Y days/weeks.
2.  Issuer account is locked against transferring shares or selling at below a declared IPO price until 1. is met.

Number 2 is a problem (as happened in the past with Ken) where the issuer gets impatient and starts selling cheap.
Number 1 would only apply where there was a minimum needed to achieve their goals.  If they fail to reach that in a reasonable time period (weeks not months) then the IPO has failed - so just return the cash, delist it and move on.  You have to lock a lot of account functionality to do that - otherwise issuer an just transfer funds to an alt account and reuse it to buy more shares inflating the count of what was actually sold.

1) Definitely makes sense in the situations that fit.

2) In this case I suspect he'd just plug in a "minimum share value" of 0.0005 on the form, then sell at 0.0025 anyway.  That's essentially what he's done contractually with BitFunder.  So it would seem a maximum is required as well.  And ultimately you realize as you're plugging all this code in that you're just trying to get around the issue that you don't trust the issuer to make good decisions.  I'm starting to lean toward asking new issuers to seek guidance from consultants prior to IPO.  Maybe even develop a list of trusted consultants, then require all issues to be represented by a consultant on the list.

I think you're still not clearly understanding the main problem with AMC btw.  The problem is that its structure so that even if it DOES make profit from hardware sales under 5% of it ends up with investors.  How much less than 5% depends on a definition of 'profit' imposed by VMC (which shareholders have no say in or oversight of) - which makes the 'no salary' clause of AMC worthless (as Ken can give whatever he wants as salary to himself/friends/family before profit comes anywhere near AMC) and on how much profit is made.  To get 2.5% return on capital requires $2 million profit on sales to be made - that's sales of ASICs that won't even be out until end of this year/early next by KEN's estimate.

Definitely does not sound good for investors.  Though my understanding was that most of their returns would come from the mining that AMC would be doing.  Either way, a return seems a long, long way off.



Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: ryantw on June 30, 2013, 08:25:08 AM
Very true. Having a poorly run investment exchange is just welcoming government problems. Look at what happened to mtgox. Obviously that is a different scenario, but it shows that you have to run a tight ship. Having a bitcoin securities exchange that is irresponsible as far as assets it allows is asking for problems. The concept of wild west investing when using bitcoin should be abandoned when it is obvious that the asset is a delusion investment.

Bitfunder/BTCTC/others: please be responsible in what you allow to be listed. Fancy spreadsheets, "estimates" and big promises should be considered worthless. At least have a warning on specific assets that (a) do not have hardware in hand (b) are heavily based on research/development before profit occurs (c) cashflow will not occur for over 3 months.

I keep seeing these assets being listed that are basically "Ordered asic chips from xyc. They are expected to be here in 3-6 months. Pay off my initial cost, believe my estimates and share in the mined bitcoin". Its awful.


To me it is definitely important to maintain the integrity of the exchange.  If you look through the AMC thread, (if it hasn't been self-moderated out?) you'll see that myself and many of those involved with BTC-TC have been asking questions and pointing out problems.  We tend to get drowned out in the excitement, and as you can see by how quickly the asset was approved, it's obvious to me that at least some of the (there are 20+ now) mods were also excited.

I'm not sure yet how this will ultimately pan out.  Ken seems to be putting in the man hours, trying to get things together.  I really don't feel like this is an outright Pirateat40 kind of deal.  Does that mean I think it will succeed?  I'm not sure.  I believe they already hash, I believe they will make a chip, I believe they'll probably even get their unit out the door.  What I'm not sure of is if they can do it before everyone else does, or if they can do it in sufficient volume.

This is undeniably extremely high risk to be investing in.  When I bought my first 100 ASICMINER shares on GLBSE I was almost certain I was going to lose it.  When I bought my first 100 shares of NYAN.B I was almost certain I would not lose it.  So go figure.  Those 100 ASICMINER shares have made up for all my GLBSE losses.

AMC isn't even a company, it is only a unit under VMC. How could it be approved for public trading?

Most sites just charge a fee and you are listed.  Your contract could say that you will use the money to 'Kill Whitey' and you could still be trading.

I had thought BTCT.co would be different as they do have a review process, but they failed miserably in this instance.  It looks like buyers there lost 750 BTC in the last 2 days so maybe changes will be made.

More likely not though.

My understanding is that AMC and VMC are two separate companies, with contractual agreements between each other.  This structure is not unlike the ASICMINER arrangement, though I have not picked apart all the details.  (read Deprived's posts on this, they are fairly informative.)

I'm not sure yet this is a complete failure.  What the investors paid 0.0025 per share for has not fundamentally changed, so what they wanted when they paid that they got.  There is no loss unless you sell, at which point you no longer have whatever it is you wanted at 0.0025.  Ken definitely seems to have misjudged the market around the IPO, but SDICE did the same thing, and many other issues have had the same problem.  I think the mods that approved it believe that Ken will do his best to fulfill his contract and the obligations he has laid out.  Unfortunately after that there is no "IPO management" behind the process, so Ken was free to post the shares at whatever he wanted.

What I really don't get is:

  Why did people think 2 days ago that 0.0025 was a great deal?
  And now, two days later, with minimal changes to the underlying issue, think it's not a great deal?
  On an asset that per stated plans, will take months to deliver?

The market really doesn't make any sense to me sometimes and trying to make sense of it really hurts my brain.

If there are changes to be made it's going to require more manpower to help filter better and to help the issuers plan their IPO's better.  I've been discussing getting more people involved lately, I will continue to pursue those avenues.

Cheers.


Good to know you take exchange integrity seriously. There are lots of people watching bitcoin. There is the general public, private sector and governments. If you don't run a tight ship and protect the average investor, certain entities will find a way to cause your business to suffer. Regardless of what country you live in, their reach is far and wide.

Perhaps your list of questions and problems that you pointed out must be directly addressed by the asset and posted before it is listed. A sort of exchange owner Q&A for each individual asset that investors can read before making a decision. For instance, if a question or concern you had, you being the exchange, was lost in the excitement it should at least be addressed in full regardless of excitement or moderator approval.

There are so many holes in the business structure for AMC that it invites theories/accusations/negativity, which is obviously occurring now. Then the exchanges face public discontent as having listed the asset. The business structure of AMC is the main reason why it should never have been allowed as an asset.

Hopefully everyone will learn from this particular issue an avoid such problems in the future.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: EskimoBob on June 30, 2013, 08:52:59 AM
Quote
Treasury:      0.12 BTC ?

What is that?

He pays dividends to unsold shares, so they go back to the company on top of the 'reinvestment shares'.

I know, both concepts are ridiculous, and would never pass muster with an accountant.  It's just another mechanism to bleed the shareholders.

Seriously? Only that is enough to never list stuff like that.
You are correct it ridiculous and you do not have to be accountant to understand this. Is it possible, he has no idea wtf treasury stock is and just used a fancy word? :)

Every share bought back by the Co becomes treasury stock - no divs, no voting. Period! Those share can be later canceled.
When shares are bought back - number of outstanding shares must be reduced (btc-tc supports that) and there is also reduction of company assets (_cash_ used to buy the shares). This is usually done when Co shares are undervalued for what ever reason and it actually makes sense to buy them back.

If Co has 1000 outstanding shares and 1000 coins
Co buys back 100 shares for 100 coins, they are left with 900 shares outstanding and 900 coins as cash.

Now, if that same Co makes 50 in profit and has 900 shares outstanding and 100 in treasury, 50 gets divided by 900 shares and NOT by 1000 (900+100)

"reinvestment share"? I hope they mean the % of profits reinvested. Nothing wrong with that because the coin stays in the Co as an asset.

I do not have enough LTC shares to be part of the official voting process. Regardless, we need to do everything to keep scams like this off the exchange(s).

Now, this scam has happened. Guy has the coin and it's probably all transferred to his wallet. Only way to fix this mess is if he fixes the contract so shareholders do not get ripped off.

Ken, are you willing to do that?


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: kslaughter on June 30, 2013, 03:19:53 PM
Quote
Treasury:      0.12 BTC ?

What is that?

He pays dividends to unsold shares, so they go back to the company on top of the 'reinvestment shares'.

I know, both concepts are ridiculous, and would never pass muster with an accountant.  It's just another mechanism to bleed the shareholders.

Seriously? Only that is enough to never list stuff like that.
You are correct it ridiculous and you do not have to be accountant to understand this. Is it possible, he has no idea wtf treasury stock is and just used a fancy word? :)

Every share bought back by the Co becomes treasury stock - no divs, no voting. Period! Those share can be later canceled.
When shares are bought back - number of outstanding shares must be reduced (btc-tc supports that) and there is also reduction of company assets (_cash_ used to buy the shares). This is usually done when Co shares are undervalued for what ever reason and it actually makes sense to buy them back.

If Co has 1000 outstanding shares and 1000 coins
Co buys back 100 shares for 100 coins, they are left with 900 shares outstanding and 900 coins as cash.

Now, if that same Co makes 50 in profit and has 900 shares outstanding and 100 in treasury, 50 gets divided by 900 shares and NOT by 1000 (900+100)

"reinvestment share"? I hope they mean the % of profits reinvested. Nothing wrong with that because the coin stays in the Co as an asset.

I do not have enough LTC shares to be part of the official voting process. Regardless, we need to do everything to keep scams like this off the exchange(s).

Now, this scam has happened. Guy has the coin and it's probably all transferred to his wallet. Only way to fix this mess is if he fixes the contract so shareholders do not get ripped off.

Ken, are you willing to do that?


Yes, I understand some of the raised issues could have been better formulated in the original contract. My intention is not to rip off anyone, but to build value for AMC's shareholders. I am open to any thoughtful changes on how to proceed for making any necessary adjustments.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Birdy on June 30, 2013, 03:27:38 PM
Yes, I understand some of the raised issues could have been better formulated in the original contract. My intention is not to rip off anyone, but to build value for AMC's shareholders. I am open to any thoughtful changes on how to proceed for making any necessary adjustments.

Okey, here is my suggestion:
Give shareholders at least 40-50% of the possible overall profit for all the risk they take, not like ~8%.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: kslaughter on June 30, 2013, 03:39:44 PM
Yes, I understand some of the raised issues could have been better formulated in the original contract. My intention is not to rip off anyone, but to build value for AMC's shareholders. I am open to any thoughtful changes on how to proceed for making any necessary adjustments.

Okey, here is my suggestion:
Give shareholders at least 40-50% of the possible overall profit for all the risk they take, not like ~8%.

At the momeent shareholder are getting 50% of the profit.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Deprived on June 30, 2013, 04:31:00 PM
Yes, I understand some of the raised issues could have been better formulated in the original contract. My intention is not to rip off anyone, but to build value for AMC's shareholders. I am open to any thoughtful changes on how to proceed for making any necessary adjustments.

Okey, here is my suggestion:
Give shareholders at least 40-50% of the possible overall profit for all the risk they take, not like ~8%.

At the momeent shareholder are getting 50% of the profit.

No, they're only getting a share of the 10% of profits that VML passes to AMC.  90% of the profit made using their capital is syphoned off to VML - they take the risk (or has VML got $1 million in assets to repay even if sales of hardware doesn't make enough?) and only get a portion of 10% of profits.

To add insult to injury on the first $1 million of profit AMC's 10% is counted as being repayment of principal - reducing the effective royalties percentage to anywhere from 0-10%.

VML only exists to enrich you rather than those putting up the cash.  Everyone knows it now.  Unless that's fixed there's no hope of any decent return for investors - certainly not enough to justify risking the capital on joining the ASIC manufacturers club late.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: ajk on June 30, 2013, 04:38:44 PM
as someone who was a share holder the dividends went

20million to reinvestment
15million Kens possession
5million were fighting for the small bit of dividends,

Im sorry to say it but I got rid of the rest of what I had yesterday after s_stylez P.I. - like post, dhenson's post of the virtual office box and Ken's absolutely horrible way of handling the current situation mostly by staying quiet or when answering giving only mediocre answers and more promise I had enough,

I like to give people the benefit of the doubt but in this case I was blinded mostly in the huge raise in share price, I am just thankful that I got out in the green but the people who bought in out of the large wall are the ones who are really suffering right now,

Ken until everything is changed from the bottom up everyone in this thread who was calling pump and dump was on point, some handled it way more professionally and like adults than others but the point was brought to surface, I wish you the best but things are definitely in need of changing,


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: auto2nr1 on June 30, 2013, 04:45:27 PM
Yes, I understand some of the raised issues could have been better formulated in the original contract. My intention is not to rip off anyone, but to build value for AMC's shareholders. I am open to any thoughtful changes on how to proceed for making any necessary adjustments.

This is definitely the right attitude and some changes should be made.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Minor Miner on June 30, 2013, 04:54:20 PM
In the real world there is a syndicate of investment banks that take on filling the IPO.  They spend a few months getting interest from large customers and determining a reasonable valuation.  On the IPO date the first trades are all filling earlier commitments to buy at the price finally set by the banks.  All of the banks have money on the line themselves and are expecting to support the share price.

Maybe if mods voting yes were required to hold some amount of stock for 30 days or so you would both get better reviews, and have a clear signal of investors appetite for a particular issue.

That's a great idea.  Maybe when investors vote they could plug in the number of shares they'd be willing to commit.  Their vote wouldn't be tied to it, but it could be used as a weighing mechanism, and whatever they plug in they would be bound to.  (site would reserve it and auto-execute somehow at ipo.)

Maybe even better would be to allow ALL users to pre-commit on pending assets.  The amounts designated would go in reserve before the IPO, and the shares purchased would be locked after IPO for some specific time frame.  Then IPO's would be limited to some percentage of the pre-commitments.  IE, an IPO would not be allowed to release more than 150% or 200% of the pre-committed share count.

It'd also be a great way to prevent the situations where an issuer needs XXX amount to get started, then only raises 50% of that in the IPO.

Lots to think about.

there are also rules that the issuer and syndicate CANNOT break.   One of them is buying shares above the issue price for a certain period.   While you sell 15% more shares than the offering, these shares (the greenshoe) are either a short to protect the bid at and ONLY at IPO price or in the case of the successful IPO, the greenshoe is exercised and more shares are issued.
the reason you CANNOT buy above the offering price is because that is what pump n dumpers do.   And as I posted, I think that is what was (admitted to in thread) happening here.    This is illegal for a good reason.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: lysr on June 30, 2013, 04:57:00 PM
as someone who was a share holder the dividends went

20million to reinvestment
15million Kens possession
5million were fighting for the small bit of dividends,

Im sorry to say it but I got rid of the rest of what I had yesterday after s_stylez P.I. - like post, dhenson's post of the virtual office box and Ken's absolutely horrible way of handling the current situation mostly by staying quiet or when answering giving only mediocre answers and more promise I had enough,

I like to give people the benefit of the doubt but in this case I was blinded mostly in the huge raise in share price, I am just thankful that I got out in the green but the people who bought in out of the large wall are the ones who are really suffering right now,

Ken until everything is changed from the bottom up everyone in this thread who was calling pump and dump was on point, some handled it way more professionally and like adults than others but the point was brought to surface, I wish you the best but things are definitely in need of changing,
Wise decision.
The AMC bubble reminds me of the recent Bitcoin bubble, expect to see similar pattern in price movement.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: furuknap on June 30, 2013, 05:37:13 PM
What I really don't get is:

  Why did people think 2 days ago that 0.0025 was a great deal?
  And now, two days later, with minimal changes to the underlying issue, think it's not a great deal?
  On an asset that per stated plans, will take months to deliver?

The market really doesn't make any sense to me sometimes and trying to make sense of it really hurts my brain.

As an exchange operator, these are questions you should never ask except in cases where you suspect foul play in the free trade of assets. In fact, you're putting people in more danger by offloading their responsibility and risk.

What the vote system allows, but sadly doesn't, is a peer review of the contract, the terms, the seriousness of the issuer, whether the important questions investors need answered are properly answered, and so on.

Right now, and with your questions even related to the valuation of a company, the vote system is a vote about whether someone thinks they could make money off an asset.

Some voters take their responsibility seriously and judge listings based on merits that will put responsibility, risk, and reward solely on investors, as a free market should. However, apparently the majority would only vote on listings they find interesting, profitable, or something to that effect. The result is that new or radically different types of assets would have a hard time being listed.

There is no accountability for voters, as they can vote anonymously. There's no transparency because their interests are not disclosed (think voters that do not want assets competing with their own held assets). In fact, we don't even know the usernames, much less the names of half of the voters. Asset issuers have no way to reach the voters directly, except to post to their own discussion threads and hope voters are interested enough to monitor that, post in the News thread on the site (polluting that even further), or similar, which is public and could disclose confidential information.

For example, and specific to my pending listing, I am working on a new plan as a backup in case LTC Global voters can't be bothered to do what I pay them to do. That plan contains sensitive information about the asset that I do not want publicized until the plan has come together. Still, voters may need to know about this information and I have no way of reaching them.

The result is that voters based their votes on valuation, not on the asset. For new assets, this makes it virtually impossible to get an asset listed, as it turns into a speculation game from voters, not a factual review that would give the market the ability to decide valuation of a company. Voters take away investor's ability to invest in whatever they wish and basically say "wee don't think you'll make money on this so we're going to prevent you from having the chance".

Finally, why on earth would there be a clause about voter participation being above a certain level? Do you US types postpone the election of a new president until at least X have voted? No! You set a date, and at that date, you tally the votes. Whoever has the most votes is said to win. There would be riot in the streets if you included a clause saying that the democratic candidate needs at least X votes to win.

The way the system works now, only one type of vote is counted. The rest are at best guidelines for investors who happen to buy through that particular website.  Only Yes votes matter and you need 5 of them. You could have 3000 No votes; as long as you get 5 Yes votes, you win the election. It's not even half of the voters; according to your 20+ voter comment, 25% of the voters need to somehow be encouraged to vote favorably. If the rest scream their lungs out about real problems in the contract, who cares? You get listed if you can bribe, threaten, over-promise, or otherwise get 5 people to supprt you.

It's actually even worse because you can even buy one vote yourself and that seems somehow to be quite OK.

If there are changes to be made it's going to require more manpower to help filter better and to help the issuers plan their IPO's better.  I've been discussing getting more people involved lately, I will continue to pursue those avenues.

The exchange needs to either dispose of the voting system or it needs clear, transparent guidelines for voters to follow, guidelines that are enforced by you or a team of yous. You don't need more people to keep a system that's already broken.

.b


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Kyune on June 30, 2013, 05:50:17 PM
Only Yes votes matter and you need 5 of them. You could have 3000 No votes; as long as you get 5 Yes votes, you win the election. It's not even half of the voters; according to your 20+ voter comment, 25% of the voters need to somehow be encouraged to vote favorably. If the rest scream their lungs out about real problems in the contract, who cares? You get listed if you can bribe, threaten, over-promise, or otherwise get 5 people to supprt you.

It's actually even worse because you can even buy one vote yourself and that seems somehow to be quite OK.
This does seem like a design flaw.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Deprived on June 30, 2013, 06:27:07 PM
Only Yes votes matter and you need 5 of them. You could have 3000 No votes; as long as you get 5 Yes votes, you win the election. It's not even half of the voters; according to your 20+ voter comment, 25% of the voters need to somehow be encouraged to vote favorably. If the rest scream their lungs out about real problems in the contract, who cares? You get listed if you can bribe, threaten, over-promise, or otherwise get 5 people to supprt you.

It's actually even worse because you can even buy one vote yourself and that seems somehow to be quite OK.
This does seem like a design flaw.

It actually used to be different - the requirement used to be that you had to get a score of +5.  So if you had 2 no votes you'd need 9 Yes votes to pass.

In theory I much prefer that (old) way - but there's a few problems with it :

Number of voters changes as people buy and sell shares.
Some voters don't vote at all - or aren't very active.
Counting NOs as double gives undue weight when some people may vote NO for invalid reasons (e.g. they run a competitive asset or they don't understand a contract or they just don't like the issuer).

Unfortunately pretty much ANY voting system is going be flawed when the criteria for voting is unrelated to capability to properly assess securities.  And that ends up where we are now:

People criticise assets that were approved.
Those whose assets aren't approved (or take a long time) blame the voters.

I'm not going to get into whether your asset should be approved or not (I've previously indicated that I'd have voted YES if I had a vote).  But let's just say that I've yet to see someone who had problems getting votes come here and say "This time the voters were right and I'm cancelling my security as it wasn't up to scratch."  ALL issuers who don't get votes as fast as they'd like are going to blame the voters - so when it happens (as is the case here) it doesn't actually shed any light on the situation - as you'd be saying it whether your asset should have been approved or not.

At root the problem is money.  To have securities properly checked is potentially expensive - you need multiple people doing it (to avoid bias) and those capable of doing it properly aren't going to be cheap.  If some panel of suitable people were to be paid to screen securities then the registration fee would need to rise significantly.  And that's where the problem comes - because most issuers believe their contract is already fine.  So why would they pay a large fee to BTC-TC to have some panel agree with them when they could list on Bitfunder much cheaper?

BTC-TC and Bitfunder compete with one another in part on price - neither can afford to raise their listing fees if the other doesn't.

The starting point for improved standards (both in approving worthy listings and rejecting bad ones) would, in my view, be for burnside and Ukyo to agree that they'll BOTH raise their listing fees significantly.  Then they'd have the budget to do more DD on listings.  Until then BTC-TC is limited to doing whatever can be done for free - which means unpaid volunteers who may well not be competent.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: furuknap on June 30, 2013, 06:38:05 PM
I'm not going to get into whether your asset should be approved or not (I've previously indicated that I'd have voted YES if I had a vote).  But let's just say that I've yet to see someone who had problems getting votes come here and say "This time the voters were right and I'm cancelling my security as it wasn't up to scratch."  ALL issuers who don't get votes as fast as they'd like are going to blame the voters - so when it happens (as is the case here) it doesn't actually shed any light on the situation - as you'd be saying it whether your asset should have been approved or not.

I would actually appreciate if there was even sensible No-votes. I wish to offer a good asset (and even suggested to implement a sort of guarantee, as described in my thread) but there simply isn't feedback beyond "I wouldn't buy, it's too expensive". The comments beyond that have been addressed (No immediate hashing explained by a bonus period, bonds never returning principal explained by explicit contract change, rebranding to mining contract, etc).

I react to the feedback I'm given; in fact, if I was actually willing to 'cheat' I would just have bought the final vote myself.

Right now, however, 80% of voters say Yes. Which means nothing.

At root the problem is money.  To have securities properly checked is potentially expensive - you need multiple people doing it (to avoid bias) and those capable of doing it properly aren't going to be cheap.  If some panel of suitable people were to be paid to screen securities then the registration fee would need to rise significantly.  And that's where the problem comes - because most issuers believe their contract is already fine.  So why would they pay a large fee to BTC-TC to have some panel agree with them when they could list on Bitfunder much cheaper?

This is a valid point, but on the other hand, I would much rather pay 5 peole 1BTC (of three people 1.6BTC) to have a guaranteed outcome than to throw 5BTC to someone who doens't have to bother and still get my money. In fact, I would double my payment if I knew there was an outcome (even if it wasn't positive).

BTC-TC and Bitfunder compete with one another in part on price - neither can afford to raise their listing fees if the other doesn't.

The starting point for improved standards (both in approving worthy listings and rejecting bad ones) would, in my view, be for burnside and Ukyo to agree that they'll BOTH raise their listing fees significantly.  Then they'd have the budget to do more DD on listings.  Until then BTC-TC is limited to doing whatever can be done for free - which means unpaid volunteers who may well not be competent.

It still doesn't address the question of what the listing fee gets you. Right now, it gets you nothing, unless someone happens to be interested or thinks that the volume will give them personal benefits. Right now, there is no incentive to vote at all except for guaranteed high-volume assets.

.b


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: iCEBREAKER on June 30, 2013, 08:31:00 PM
2010 is an impressively early signup date.  Good to know Ken is a very early adapter, way ahead of the curve kind of guy.  He may have paid for our Avalons with his cheap old coins.

In contrast, btc megamouth has been here all of 4 months.   ::)

Ken has contributed to the community by giving AM some badly needed competition, while providing us Joe Sixcoin types with an excellent investment opportunity.  I've already doubled my money a couple of times and am now playing entirely with the money given to me by scared little speculators waving their weak hands around. 

In contrast, btc megamouth's main contribution is to ride our coattails with yet another crummy cafepress t-shirt.

I support family businesses.  The proprietors have extra incentives to succeed and benefit from dealing with less HR issues. 

6 Avalons, 20k chips, and a lot of capital represent a substantial amount of "substance."  Certainly more than AM began with and more than btc megamouth's t-shirts will ever amount to.

No risk, no reward; if you can't take the heat GTFO the kitchen.   8)


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Deprived on June 30, 2013, 08:35:40 PM
I'm not going to get into whether your asset should be approved or not (I've previously indicated that I'd have voted YES if I had a vote).  But let's just say that I've yet to see someone who had problems getting votes come here and say "This time the voters were right and I'm cancelling my security as it wasn't up to scratch."  ALL issuers who don't get votes as fast as they'd like are going to blame the voters - so when it happens (as is the case here) it doesn't actually shed any light on the situation - as you'd be saying it whether your asset should have been approved or not.
At root the problem is money.  To have securities properly checked is potentially expensive - you need multiple people doing it (to avoid bias) and those capable of doing it properly aren't going to be cheap.  If some panel of suitable people were to be paid to screen securities then the registration fee would need to rise significantly.  And that's where the problem comes - because most issuers believe their contract is already fine.  So why would they pay a large fee to BTC-TC to have some panel agree with them when they could list on Bitfunder much cheaper?

This is a valid point, but on the other hand, I would much rather pay 5 peole 1BTC (of three people 1.6BTC) to have a guaranteed outcome than to throw 5BTC to someone who doens't have to bother and still get my money. In fact, I would double my payment if I knew there was an outcome (even if it wasn't positive).


There's two problems with that :

1.  If the 5 BTC fee gos to the people reviewing the contract then there's nothing left for the Exchange.
2.  1 BTC doesn't buy much time.

Expanding on point 2 - what would you expect for your 1 BTC?  Say I was a reviewing your contract and I found a few things unclear or objectionable (but fixable) do I reject it?  Or do you amend it pay another 1 BTC and try again?

Could anyone properly review, say, my DMS contract for 1 BTC?  It's pretty complicated - and HAS to be to properly cover all the bases.  Is the reviewer expected to write up a critique if they fail it?  How long do you think it would take to review AMC's contract and point out all the problems with it.

As soon as the process gos beyond "Read it, approve it if it's perfect otherwise reject it" time taken rapidly escalates.  Yours isn't actually a great example - as it's pretty straightforward.  But some apparently simple contracts/IPO plans have issues that would take quite a lot of explaining just to get the issuer to understand what the problem was - things like exchange-rate exposure and why they can't have fixed price in BTC when their assets and revenue are all in USD.

The fee for reviewing either has to be high or it has to be variable.  With small IPOs such as yours (no offence intended) the bulk of fees the exchange will EVER receive is the listing fee.  Listing fee is 5 BTC.  You're having 100K shares at .04 BTC each - so 400 BTC total value.   The exchange makes 1.6 BTC if you sell them all via the market and they all need to change hands again more than 2 times each before trade fees would exceed the lsiting fee.  That's why reviewers can't be paid from the current listing fee.

And without significantly raising the fee there's just no way to get a group of competent people to review IPOs/contracts with any complexity.  About the only way to do it without raising the fee IS a "perfect or fail" approach - where ANY signficant defect in the contract causes a fail without any feedback provided other than that reason.  So on AMC it would get failed immediately because the contract explicitly created a conflict of interest with Ken representing both AMC/VML.  Then if that got fixed and he resubmitted again it may get failed because his projections showed him mining more bitcoins than the total netowrk could mine (which was in his original draft).  That would minimise the time taken on reviews - as you could just stop reading as soon as you found a serious problem or a contradiction.  And it would force people to get it right first time - either by being competent themself or by paying someone competent to avoid having to keep paying 5 BTC fees trying to list.

But of course then they'd just run over to Bitfunder instead - as there if the contract had one fairly minor flaw they wouldn't have to pay 2 fees.  Competition between multiple exchanges is great on many levels - but because it's perceived as being on price it leads to a race to the bottom.  Meaning on Bitfunder you just have to persuade Ukyo - why doesn't seem to pay attention to detail at all - and on BTC-TC you're at the mercy of a bunch of randoms voting on whatever criteria they want.  And that means ones that should be rejected getting accepted and ones that should be accepted getting delayed or rejected - think we all agree on that, just maybe not so much on which ones fit in each category.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: oaxaca on June 30, 2013, 08:49:39 PM
a guy who is proven scammer and failed magician.

"proven"?  Did you even read these postings from New Zealand?

http://www.magicnewzealand.com/ezine-archive/2007-Jan-to-Dec-2007/488-Apr01-2007.txt
http://www.magicnewzealand.com/ezine-archive/2007-Jan-to-Dec-2007/489-Apr08-2007.txt
http://www.magicnewzealand.com/ezine-archive/2007-Jan-to-Dec-2007/490-Apr15-2007.txt
http://www.magicnewzealand.com/ezine-archive/2007-Jan-to-Dec-2007/491-Apr22-2007.txt
http://www.magicnewzealand.com/ezine-archive/2007-Jan-to-Dec-2007/499-May13-2007.txt

Let me summarize:

April 2007 - Some guy says "I have been RIPPED OFF. I paid U.S. $1225.00"

Then - Same guy says "I filed a complaint with the Reno PD, but they aren't able to help me much"

Then - The editor of the zine says "Suggest that anyone having similar problems with Mr.Darin Carolus
          should lay a complaint with the Ethics Committee of both Societies."

Then - Dude says "Received this message from Darin Carlous..."

May 2007 - Department of Business and Industry, Nevada Consumer Affairs Division says "A careful
                evaluation of your complaint has been made. The intake officer has determined that
                the proper agency that may be able to assist you in resolving the issues in your complaint is:
                U.S. Secret Service"

Translation "We're not interested, talk to somebody else".  

The Secret Service says: "The mission of the United States Secret Service is to safeguard the nation's
financial infrastructure and payment systems to preserve the integrity of the economy, and to protect
national leaders, visiting heads of state and government, designated sites and National Special Security Events.

Then nothing for 6 years?

I think you should stop throwing around words like "proven scammer".  Do you see any proof?

I'm sure (I hope) that Ken will explain who this guy is and is not since he is listed as an officer.



Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: oaxaca on June 30, 2013, 09:12:51 PM
I'm sure (I hope) that Ken will explain who this guy is and is not since he is listed as an officer.

Well, dumb people never figure out anything themselves. That is why they usualy got scammed by people like Ken.

OK, so you take the word of a random person who has been rebuffed by the Police, and the Nevada Consumer
Affairs Division as gospel?  Just because somebody posts something to an ezine is good enough proof for you?

and you call me dumb?


Keith Garrett writes: "blah, blah, blah" and it is God's Truth.

Ken writes: "blah, blah, blah" and it is a scam.

Really?


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: oaxaca on June 30, 2013, 09:29:42 PM
"Mr. Carolus is a recent subscriber to Magic New Zealand"

Guy comes to this forum today, makes an account, scams me for some coins and log off. An example. You wanna tell me you will trust him?

Your example is nonsense.  How can you claim Mr. Carolus is a scammer without any shred of proof and still retain any form of self respect?


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: themagicdrake on June 30, 2013, 10:02:30 PM
For you it is "without any shred of proof" but for me it is all proof I've ever need. Get out of the (mental) cave and deal with all sort of people
for few decades. Do not miss dealing with worst of mankind. You'll get a lot of experience out of it and your intuition might start working finaly.

http://cdn.meme.li/instances/400x/27345166.jpg


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: oaxaca on June 30, 2013, 10:09:28 PM
but for me it is all proof I've ever need.

Case Closed!

http://s24.postimg.org/5jw80fgb9/Judge.jpg


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Entropy-uc on June 30, 2013, 10:37:43 PM
I think you're still not clearly understanding the main problem with AMC btw.  The problem is that its structure so that even if it DOES make profit from hardware sales under 5% of it ends up with investors.  How much less than 5% depends on a definition of 'profit' imposed by VMC (which shareholders have no say in or oversight of) - which makes the 'no salary' clause of AMC worthless (as Ken can give whatever he wants as salary to himself/friends/family before profit comes anywhere near AMC) and on how much profit is made.  To get 2.5% return on capital requires $2 million profit on sales to be made - that's sales of ASICs that won't even be out until end of this year/early next by KEN's estimate.

Definitely does not sound good for investors.  Though my understanding was that most of their returns would come from the mining that AMC would be doing.  Either way, a return seems a long, long way off.


This is my major objection to the whole offering.  If you take Ken's own projections of hashrate, plug in a realistic model for the network power (he seems to assume that every Avalon chip but his get dropped in a shredder), and value the company as what it is, a mining company with all it's IP stripped by the operator you will get something close to $5M as the value 6 month from now if he executes on everything he says he will do, and no nasty surprises appear in the market.

$5M is 0.0005 per share.  So his original offering price already was extracting essentially all the value of the company before it has ever executed on anything.  There was no margin for an investor to gain anything if he succeeded! And from that level he raised the price.

When it was at 0.0008 he was touting that the true value of the company was 10-15x higher.  15x higher would be $120M - more than the annual value of all bitcoins available to miners.  Yes ASICMINER is getting that valuation, but they have the hardware business and a dominant position in the mining space.  There is zero chance anyone will capture as strong a position as ASICMINER has today.  Most likely Ken will be one of a dozen consortia that scramble to capture 2 or 3% market share of the network.

That would be ok, and a decent company.  But not when the IPO lists at a price that would only be supported by more than 10% share.



Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: carnitastaco on June 30, 2013, 10:39:02 PM
2010 is an impressively early signup date.  Good to know Ken is a very early adapter, way ahead of the curve kind of guy.  He may have paid for our Avalons with his cheap old coins.

In contrast, btc megamouth has been here all of 4 months.   ::)

Ken has contributed to the community by giving AM some badly needed competition, while providing us Joe Sixcoin types with an excellent investment opportunity.  I've already doubled my money a couple of times and am now playing entirely with the money given to me by scared little speculators waving their weak hands around. 

In contrast, btc megamouth's main contribution is to ride our coattails with yet another crummy cafepress t-shirt.

I support family businesses.  The proprietors have extra incentives to succeed and benefit from dealing with less HR issues. 

6 Avalons, 20k chips, and a lot of capital represent a substantial amount of "substance."  Certainly more than AM began with and more than btc megamouth's t-shirts will ever amount to.

No risk, no reward; if you can't take the heat GTFO the kitchen.   8)


L.      O.        L.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Entropy-uc on June 30, 2013, 10:44:14 PM
Let's try to keep things constructive and informative here.

The idea is to help people avoid losing their shirt to a fast talking huckster by providing facts.  And to provide constructive input on how to avoid this kind of situation in the future.

Baiting folks that view the investment in a different light isn't helpful.  Ultimately a lot of people are going to lose money in this situation.  Some of the pro AMC folks might even have perspectives that we can learn from.

And the ignore button helps me with those that don't contribute in a constructive way on both sides.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: furuknap on June 30, 2013, 10:56:48 PM
This is a valid point, but on the other hand, I would much rather pay 5 peole 1BTC (of three people 1.6BTC) to have a guaranteed outcome than to throw 5BTC to someone who doens't have to bother and still get my money. In fact, I would double my payment if I knew there was an outcome (even if it wasn't positive).

There's two problems with that :

1.  If the 5 BTC fee gos to the people reviewing the contract then there's nothing left for the Exchange.
2.  1 BTC doesn't buy much time.

Expanding on point 2 - what would you expect for your 1 BTC?  Say I was a reviewing your contract and I found a few things unclear or objectionable (but fixable) do I reject it?  Or do you amend it pay another 1 BTC and try again?

I used 5BTC as an example because it's what's being charged now. We're accustomed to western level salaries, however, and I can tell you that I could hire a skilled person to work for five hours reading contracts and looking for issues for 1BTC where I currently live. That's far less time than I spent reading (and I think understanding) the DMS.* contracts. The degree to which one needs to be a lawyer is still in question; I certainly don't expect to account for every legal loophold that exists with my reading of the contracts.

On the other hand, I would trust your vote if you voted because I've come to know that you seem to have rational arguments and a good understanding. I would build a similar trust with other voters if I came to understand their thought process too. Right now, however, I barely know who votes and it's open for purchase effectively.

If there was a panel, say consisting of five trusted people, where upon listing a new asset, three of those would be picked at random to review the listing, I think it would serve both the investors, the asset issuers, and the exchange much better. Prices may have to go up but so would the quality.

I don't think the exchanges have yet reached a stage of commoditization. I think there's still a huge market to be taken and trying to save pennies to win a war is a bit like trying to win at Le Mans by not starting your engine too much prior to the race to save gas.

I've said it before; I think the exchange that wins this race is the one that implements the most reasonable way that secures investors, themselves, and asset issuers the best. I really don't think pricing is part of it to the extent you think.

.b


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: carnitastaco on June 30, 2013, 11:05:45 PM
Let's try to keep things constructive and informative here.

The idea is to help people avoid losing their shirt to a fast talking huckster by providing facts.  And to provide constructive input on how to avoid this kind of situation in the future.

Baiting folks that view the investment in a different light isn't helpful.  Ultimately a lot of people are going to lose money in this situation.  Some of the pro AMC folks might even have perspectives that we can learn from.

And the ignore button helps me with those that don't contribute in a constructive way on both sides.

yes, and at some point, after all those facts have been provided ad infinitum and the asset issuer has proved over and over and over again that there's no reason to trust him, and the contract was horribly written and terrible for investors from the very beginning, and it's all explained in simple words and the math has been shown very clearly all you can do is laugh at defenses of the scam that ignore all the analysis and numbers.

I was very very surprised that this asset made it to BTCTCO, but in any securities market there's always going to be some amount of survival of the fittest going on, and I'm not sure how you stop someone determined to throw away their money from throwing away their money.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: hamiltino on June 30, 2013, 11:57:50 PM
I don't understand why bitFunder and BTCT arn't doing anything about this. Why don't i see an entourage of people discussing the biggest scam in bitcoin investment history???


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: freedomno1 on July 01, 2013, 12:04:00 AM
I don't understand why bitFunder and BTCT arn't doing anything about this. Why don't i see an entourage of people discussing the biggest scam in bitcoin investment history???

BFL  ;)


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: hamiltino on July 01, 2013, 12:09:28 AM
I don't understand why bitFunder and BTCT arn't doing anything about this. Why don't i see an entourage of people discussing the biggest scam in bitcoin investment history???

BFL  ;)

BFL are shipping operational ASIC Miners though. Eventhough they ship 1 miner per year with an order que of 100000000000


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: burnside on July 01, 2013, 01:05:22 AM
Only Yes votes matter and you need 5 of them. You could have 3000 No votes; as long as you get 5 Yes votes, you win the election. It's not even half of the voters; according to your 20+ voter comment, 25% of the voters need to somehow be encouraged to vote favorably. If the rest scream their lungs out about real problems in the contract, who cares? You get listed if you can bribe, threaten, over-promise, or otherwise get 5 people to supprt you.

It's actually even worse because you can even buy one vote yourself and that seems somehow to be quite OK.
This does seem like a design flaw.

I kind of missed the boat on this part of the conversation but I should clarify the current voting setup.  It hasn't changed since it was first rolled out.  To get approved you must:

- have over 5 YES votes
- have a higher YES score than NO score
    (Where no votes count 2x)

I think our next step is to limit the voting timeframe to two weeks.  If we do not have at least 8 votes after two weeks we will refund 50% of the signup fee.  That will motivate voters I am pretty sure.

Step after that I think is to put together a team of 3-5 trusted community mods and somehow compensate them for reviewing contracts and voting according to some exchange determined guidelines.

Cheers

Edit/add: And even with this setup, issues will still fail and people will still lose bitcoins... But at least we will have done proper diligence on the initial business plans.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: furuknap on July 01, 2013, 01:12:12 AM
I think our next step is to limit the voting timeframe to two weeks.  If we do not have at least 8 votes after two weeks we will refund 50% of the signup fee.  That will motivate voters I am pretty sure.

I don't think you'll get rid of the problem, you're just getting a different problem. Now voters will vote to get compensated (or rather to not be punished for not voting), which contradicts the purpose of having peers review anything.

Step after that I think is to put together a team of 3-5 trusted community mods and somehow compensate them for reviewing contracts and voting according to some exchange determined guidelines.

This sounds much better. In fact, you can even split the listings in two groups; a high-volume asset like ASICMiner or AMC, which will impact the community far more in case of scams or defaults, would require more careful review, more votes, or something like that. 10BTC for listing, 5 goes to reviewers, 5 go to exchange.

Smaller assets like mine (market cap <1KBTC for example) would require less of issuers. Listing fees could also be lower, but still require approval for example by the exchange itself (you or someone from your future team). 5BTC for listing, 2BTC goes to you, 3BTC goes to exchange.

Just examples, but a separation like this may make it easier to get listed for smaller issuers and earn more money for larger assets.

.b


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: lysr on July 01, 2013, 03:30:44 AM
Quote
YES 4 / 1 NO    (1 ABSTAINING -- Users with 10 or more shares of LTC-GLOBAL are allowed to vote.)

Anonymous voted NO with comment: Errors in calculating difficulty when making estimates of projected returns does not instill confidence.

Great, at least one of the moderators of BTCT is aware of how deceiving the contract is.
Hope its will be suspended or delisted entirely for the good of all investors.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: ryantw on July 01, 2013, 03:51:46 AM
If you are an exchange: have a check and balance with separation when new assets apply. Example:

5 trusted mods review a potential asset in private. The asset pays BTC5 (non-refundable) to the exchange and in turn the exchange pays BTC1 to each mod reviewer. The exchange should not receive a fee in the beginning for this mod review process. This will ensure that the exchange won't waste time on assets that it feels aren't even worth a review.

Asset owner does not know who mods are. Any questions the mods may have are routed through exchange owner to asset owner, then then answer routed back to mods. This ensures separation.

If majority of mods approve the asset (minimum 3/5), then the asset proceeds to final veto stage. The exchange has veto-only power. It can decide to not list the asset even if the mods voted in favor. However, it cannot decide to list the asset if the mods did not vote in favor as it would defeat the purpose of having a mod review in the first place.

If the exchange waives its veto power, thus it agrees to list, then public investors will know that 5 trusted mods reviewed the asset, it was voted in favor by the mods and the exchange was given a chance to veto the listing as well. The exchange will earn fee's once the asset is being traded.

Obviously this isn't a foolproof solution, but maybe a starting point. It will at least include separation of parties and place responsibility on the exchange for ensuring a thorough "vetting" process was followed. Kickbacks, bribes, etc. should not occur since the mods will agree to not contact the asset owner directly, and the asset owner will not know the mods during the review/voting process.

It will be a good thing for the public to know that a structured process is used when assets apply for listing on an exchange. It will also be a good thing for the exchange to have it's investors confidence and a good reputation.



Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: EskimoBob on July 01, 2013, 07:45:20 AM
If you are an exchange: have a check and balance with separation when new assets apply. Example:

5 trusted mods review a potential asset in private. The asset pays BTC5 (non-refundable) to the exchange and in turn the exchange pays BTC1 to each mod reviewer. The exchange should not receive a fee in the beginning for this mod review process. This will ensure that the exchange won't waste time on assets that it feels aren't even worth a review.

Asset owner does not know who mods are. Any questions the mods may have are routed through exchange owner to asset owner, then then answer routed back to mods. This ensures separation.

If majority of mods approve the asset (minimum 3/5), then the asset proceeds to final veto stage. The exchange has veto-only power. It can decide to not list the asset even if the mods voted in favor. However, it cannot decide to list the asset if the mods did not vote in favor as it would defeat the purpose of having a mod review in the first place.

If the exchange waives its veto power, thus it agrees to list, then public investors will know that 5 trusted mods reviewed the asset, it was voted in favor by the mods and the exchange was given a chance to veto the listing as well. The exchange will earn fee's once the asset is being traded.

Obviously this isn't a foolproof solution, but maybe a starting point. It will at least include separation of parties and place responsibility on the exchange for ensuring a thorough "vetting" process was followed. Kickbacks, bribes, etc. should not occur since the mods will agree to not contact the asset owner directly, and the asset owner will not know the mods during the review/voting process.

It will be a good thing for the public to know that a structured process is used when assets apply for listing on an exchange. It will also be a good thing for the exchange to have it's investors confidence and a good reputation.


ryantw, good starting points. Can you please post this to https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=125629.0  and http://forum.litecoin.net/index.php/topic,551.0.html ?


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Minor Miner on July 01, 2013, 08:22:24 AM
Burnside;
I know it was not on your exchange but I do not see the other guy posting here so I will ask you if you could have seen this.
I pointed out early on that the market in AMC was getting "pumped" and how little money it was possibly costing the pumper to do this.   There were huge offers put up at 0.0008 and then bids at 0.00079999 basically pumping a completely illiquid and unheard of stock to new levels.   If any of the early IPO purchasers managed to get in the flip this would not cost that much (just like in a ponzi scheme) AND from the discourse on the AMC thread it would seem that this was the "reward" to certain people to spread crazy projections.
So, my question is, cannot the exchange see blatant manipulation like this (taking at 0.0005 IPO up 60% in minutes by someone trading with themselves)?


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: lolstate on July 01, 2013, 11:16:53 AM
Let's try to keep things constructive and informative here.

There are some really great comments on this thread, especially when compared to the spammed hell that is the official AMC thread. A hell, you helped create, Entropy before you deleted your posts to hide the evidence. Still, we all make mistakes we later regret, I guess.

My take on this thread is it shows a subset of posters talking their book, ie they are short AMC and long AM as suggested above. It doesn't take rocket science to conclude this is likely, just look at the order books and the behaviour of the trolls on the official thread.

I'm impressed with Burnside, he seems to be the most sensible person in this whole discussion. He is trying to be reasonable whereas many of the critics are simply over the top in their assessment of AMC's prospects, or are working to an agenda.

I'm in AMC for the long term. I suppose we can meet up in a few months to compare outcomes eg AMC vs AM price. I don't think I'll be disappointed with my investment, but I am hedged accordingly.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: DeathAndTaxes on July 01, 2013, 03:23:32 PM
I wanted to thank you Megamouth,

You are the sole reason why I'm going to be sticking with AMC, nothing will make me more happy than to rub it in your face at the end of this.

I've actually purchased more shares simply because of you. If you do the complete opposite of what you post you can actually make some decent money.

That is some awesome investing insight you have.  Throw money into a project for emotional reasons.  What possibly could go wrong?  I don't know if AMC is a bad deal, good deal, or scam but your rational for investing is seriously the stupidest I have ever seen.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: oaxaca on July 01, 2013, 05:44:49 PM
I officially nominate Bitcoin Megastore as the hardest working person in show business.  Move over James Brown.  Look at the posting times.  That guy only needs 5 hours of sleep a day, the rest of the time he is hard at work.

http://i41.tinypic.com/64nlgg.jpg


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Vbs on July 01, 2013, 06:04:44 PM
AMC's F.A.Q.: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=158806.msg1687176#msg1687176

[AMC] Hardware discussion and F.A.Q.

So, what do shares represent? Ownership?
Shares do not represent ownership, they are "solely a distribution mechanism for rights to profits", and used as a means to liquidation.
Quote
1 share of AMC on BitFunder represents 1/100,000,000th of 100% of the monthly profits after all expenses. AMC shares offer no voting rights. Shares of AMC on BitFunder do not represent real world shares of the company. The shares are solely a distribution mechanism for rights to profits.

Should the Cooperative be sold or closed, the full amount of the purchase price, liquidated income, and any mining revenue not distributed will be evenly distributed to the 100,000,000 shares.

Wait a minute... I'm not "owning" a part of AMC, just a piece of the "profits" ???
Welcome to the bitcoin stock exchange game. Learn the risks, and stay, or get out. Please read https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=245713.msg2616979#msg2616979

So, shares represent a part of profits then. How are they distributed?
Until at least May 2014, on the initial 40M, a minimum of 20M are retained for growth and expansion and a maximum of 20M can be sold to investors.
In May 2014, or when 0.0005 is payed by share, whichever happens later, an extra 60M are created, for the final total of 100M. On these remaining 60M, a minimum of 20M are retained for growth and expansion and a maximum of 40M can be sold to investors, with a 40M being retained by AMC/Ken.
Quote
20,000,000 shares will be retained by AMC to maintain a growth and expansion fund.
As of the time of this writing, up to 40,000,000 will be released over time to the public on a varying time scale as capital is required to complete the project. Any remaining shares not included in the IPO are owned/maintained/controlled by AMC. These shares will be used at the issuers discretion for any uses deemed fit. These uses are not limited to, but may include employment.
So, I heard I am earning a lot from AMC right now, by bagging the dividends from all the unsold shares out of the 40M?
Wrong. The contract specifies that all dividends from issued shares still on AMC's hands are retained by the growth and expansion fund (the contract was originally written using correct terminology, but BF considers all shares "issued").
Quote
Dividends paid on unissued shares after the early-adopter phase will be retained by AMC and added to AMC's growth and expansion fund above until the shares are issued.
The first time I get a piece of the pie will be after a year of work (May 2014), when the rest of the 60M are issued. At that time, more 20M can be sold to investors, and I retain the remaining 40M.

I've read a lot of announcements, but have yet to see real documents. Can you please provide some?
Engineering Firm quote for Avalon machines: http://axs.net/AMC/SB-Prototype-Quote.jpg
eASIC NDA: http://axs.net/AMC/eAsic-NDA0001.jpg and http://axs.net/AMC/eAsic-NDA0002.jpg


So, how will the division between AMC and VMC be implemented, in respect to chip/machine sales?
Roughy, AMC takes care of the chips, VMC takes care of the machines:
- AMC develops the chip, pays the chip's NRE and sells the chip in bulk to customers (using VMC as intermediary).
- VMC uses AMC's chip (or any other chips) and builds bitcoin miners, paying a royalty cost to AMC whenever its IP is used.

Chip sales: AMC holds IP rights on the Fast-Hash-ONE chips, so AMC contracts with VMC the following services: (a) the representation services to negotiate chip production with eASIC and (b) the re-selling of AMC's chips in bulk. AMC also guarantees chip exclusivity to VMC, so that AMC won't negotiate a chip supply contract to any other bitcoin systems manufacturer. AMC gets 70% back from the profits on the sale of bulk chips, while VMC gets 30%. All of VMC's expenses, including representation, chip stock management and re-shipping expenses to final customers are taken from their 30% profit.

System sales: AMC also allows VMC to buy chips directly from eASIC at the lowest cost, for the manufacturing of bitcoin mining systems. On every sale of these systems or parts of it that contain AMC chips or IP, AMC receives a 10% royalty fee from the total gross sales revenue. Example: if a customer purchases a system for ฿100, AMC receives ฿10, whatever the profit margins for VMC are.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: ChefBorjan on July 01, 2013, 06:46:38 PM
I officially nominate Bitcoin Megastore as the hardest working person in show business.  Move over James Brown.  Look at the posting times.  That guy only needs 5 hours of sleep a day, the rest of the time he is hard at work.

http://i41.tinypic.com/64nlgg.jpg

I find this both hilarious and depressing at the same time.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Entropy-uc on July 01, 2013, 09:23:48 PM
An updated evaluation of profit sharing based on the FAQ:

VMC makes 1 BTC.

0.9 BTC is Kens

0.1 BTC goes to AMC and is further split up:

0.04 BTC to Ken
0.04 BTC to the reinvestment fund (for more free loans to VMC)
0.012 to the treasury fund
0.008 to shareholders

Summing it all up:

0.94 to Ken
0.052 to lend or buy more stuff from VMC
0.008 for the people who paid for, and risked everything.

Of course, as Deprived pointed out all of that depends on VMC making a profit, which is up to Ken's to use Hollywood accounting to skim the profits before they see the balance sheet.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Birdy on July 01, 2013, 09:27:47 PM
I can offer a better deal:
Selling Birdy Awesome investment shares now!
Only 1000 a 1 Btc aviable.
Send me your BTC, I will try to make more with them!
I will then give you 10% of all profit made with those Btc.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Vbs on July 01, 2013, 09:38:02 PM
An updated evaluation of profit sharing based on the FAQ:

VMC makes 1 BTC.

0.9 BTC is Kens

0.1 BTC goes to AMC and is further split up:

0.04 BTC to Ken
0.04 BTC to the reinvestment fund (for more free loans to VMC)
0.012 to the treasury fund
0.008 to shareholders

Summing it all up:

0.94 to Ken
0.052 to lend or buy more stuff from VMC
0.008 for the people who paid for, and risked everything.

Of course, as Deprived pointed out all of that depends on VMC making a profit, which is up to Ken's to use Hollywood accounting to skim the profits before they see the balance sheet.


Glad to see that you ignored the whole chip sales profits with 70% to AMC, and that you expect VMC to build machines with parts that materialize out of thin air and free leprecon workers. You should also learn the diference between 10% of the net income vs 10% of the gross revenue.

Treasury shares? Nice, get to read the first part too. Shares represent a split of profits, not ownership.

Are we in May 2014? Must be, since it's only at that time AMC has 100M shares.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Diamondstarfall on July 01, 2013, 09:42:16 PM
I officially nominate Bitcoin Megastore as the hardest working person in show business.  Move over James Brown.  Look at the posting times.  That guy only needs 5 hours of sleep a day, the rest of the time he is hard at work.

http://i41.tinypic.com/64nlgg.jpg

I find this both hilarious and depressing at the same time.


Wow a true addict right here.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Deprived on July 01, 2013, 09:43:21 PM
An updated evaluation of profit sharing based on the FAQ:

VMC makes 1 BTC.

0.9 BTC is Kens

0.1 BTC goes to AMC and is further split up:

0.04 BTC to Ken
0.04 BTC to the reinvestment fund (for more free loans to VMC)
0.012 to the treasury fund
0.008 to shareholders

Summing it all up:

0.94 to Ken
0.052 to lend or buy more stuff from VMC
0.008 for the people who paid for, and risked everything.

Of course, as Deprived pointed out all of that depends on VMC making a profit, which is up to Ken's to use Hollywood accounting to skim the profits before they see the balance sheet.


Actually looking at the new FAQ it appears he's not taking quite so much now.  AMC it getting 10% of gross not net.

That he can change the terms at all (even in the favour of investors) shows just how bent the whole scheme is.  Things like the split of profits should have been subject to a signed contract before they were ever announced in the first place. He seems to have changed the split of cash and also changed it from AML lending the money to VMC to produce the chips to AML doing it itself (but, wierdly, VMC doing the negotiating with manufacturers - which makes little sense).  That change isn't necessarily a good thing - as it essentially protects VMC from taking any of the loss if things go wrong (I'd assume the change was made so AMC had no claim on VML if $1 million profit never arrived to repay the capital).

Unfortunately a LOT of the things wrong with this are pretty common ones in BTC land - such as giving a fixed block of shares to the issuer (beyond any for which actual assets existed) regardless of what does/doesn't sell at IPO.  That led to scenario where after 5 million shares had sold, Ken had 40 million with only 5 million beloning to those who put up most of the capital (all bar his few Avalons).  Even when 20 million have sold he'll still have 2/3 of the active shares.  He's not along in this sort of stupidity - nor in the pathetic use of shares to represent reinvestment : is it REALLY that hard if you want to reinvest 20% of profits to only dividend out 80% of profits?

Why is it in AMC's interest to give exclusive rights to VML?

"AMC also guarantees chip exclusivity to VMC, so that AMC won't negotiate a chip supply contract to any other bitcoin systems manufacturer. AMC gets 70% back from the profits on the sale of bulk chips, while VMC gets 30%."

If VML is going to sell them in bulk then clearly it has no objection in principle to others buying them.  So why do they need a 30% cut from sales?  If AMC is going to pay for the chipos up front then they should take a leaf from VML's book - and take cash for pre-orders from VML.  Somehow I don't think Ken would be quite so keen on preorders going in that direction ..  At a minimum there's no reason for AMC to pay VML upfront for preorders if AMC is fronting all the cost for the chips - the expensive part of NRE.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: auto2nr1 on July 01, 2013, 10:42:24 PM
An updated evaluation of profit sharing based on the FAQ:

VMC makes 1 BTC.

0.9 BTC is Kens

0.1 BTC goes to AMC and is further split up:

0.04 BTC to Ken
0.04 BTC to the reinvestment fund (for more free loans to VMC)
0.012 to the treasury fund
0.008 to shareholders

Summing it all up:

0.94 to Ken
0.052 to lend or buy more stuff from VMC
0.008 for the people who paid for, and risked everything.

Of course, as Deprived pointed out all of that depends on VMC making a profit, which is up to Ken's to use Hollywood accounting to skim the profits before they see the balance sheet.


Actually looking at the new FAQ it appears he's not taking quite so much now.  AMC it getting 10% of gross not net.

That he can change the terms at all (even in the favour of investors) shows just how bent the whole scheme is.  Things like the split of profits should have been subject to a signed contract before they were ever announced in the first place. He seems to have changed the split of cash and also changed it from AML lending the money to VMC to produce the chips to AML doing it itself (but, wierdly, VMC doing the negotiating with manufacturers - which makes little sense).  That change isn't necessarily a good thing - as it essentially protects VMC from taking any of the loss if things go wrong (I'd assume the change was made so AMC had no claim on VML if $1 million profit never arrived to repay the capital).

Unfortunately a LOT of the things wrong with this are pretty common ones in BTC land - such as giving a fixed block of shares to the issuer (beyond any for which actual assets existed) regardless of what does/doesn't sell at IPO.  That led to scenario where after 5 million shares had sold, Ken had 40 million with only 5 million beloning to those who put up most of the capital (all bar his few Avalons).  Even when 20 million have sold he'll still have 2/3 of the active shares.  He's not along in this sort of stupidity - nor in the pathetic use of shares to represent reinvestment : is it REALLY that hard if you want to reinvest 20% of profits to only dividend out 80% of profits?

Why is it in AMC's interest to give exclusive rights to VML?

"AMC also guarantees chip exclusivity to VMC, so that AMC won't negotiate a chip supply contract to any other bitcoin systems manufacturer. AMC gets 70% back from the profits on the sale of bulk chips, while VMC gets 30%."

If VML is going to sell them in bulk then clearly it has no objection in principle to others buying them.  So why do they need a 30% cut from sales?  If AMC is going to pay for the chipos up front then they should take a leaf from VML's book - and take cash for pre-orders from VML.  Somehow I don't think Ken would be quite so keen on preorders going in that direction ..  At a minimum there's no reason for AMC to pay VML upfront for preorders if AMC is fronting all the cost for the chips - the expensive part of NRE.

I wonder how AMC can  pledge exclusivity to VMC for chip orders?

That is clearly not in AMC's best interests, as they should be free to seek the best prices.  That sort of conflict of interest is why the separate company charade is not allowed in the real world.
Also AMC has already broken the deal.  Chips were bought from Avalon.  Unless VMC owns the chips, and AMC merely paid for them.  There is no paperwork showing that loan to VMC that I have seen.  That would reduce AMC's valuation even further.

Until I see contracts that change the terms to gross from net, I am sticking by my analysis. 

+1 - I support the change of terms. This is why we need to flip the table and have things benefit AMC investors as we are risking and funding VMC. Ken can keep his VMC and do what he wants with it. AMC should put up the funds for NRE and use the chips to build AMC machines to hash with. VMC can get funding elsewhere and be it's seperate entity with no affiliation with AMC. AMC bought chips from avalon and AMC should continue buying chips from from other vendors if pricing is cheap or just develop AMC's chip and make hardware.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: keepinithamsta on July 01, 2013, 11:14:31 PM

+1 - I support the change of terms. This is why we need to flip the table and have things benefit AMC investors as we are risking and funding VMC. Ken can keep his VMC and do what he wants with it. AMC should put up the funds for NRE and use the chips to build AMC machines to hash with. VMC can get funding elsewhere and be it's seperate entity with no affiliation with AMC. AMC bought chips from avalon and AMC should continue buying chips from from other vendors if pricing is cheap or just develop AMC's chip and make hardware.

So what happens when he changes the terms and just misrepresents the profit going back to AMC and just keeps what his original share would have been regardless?


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: auto2nr1 on July 01, 2013, 11:31:24 PM

+1 - I support the change of terms. This is why we need to flip the table and have things benefit AMC investors as we are risking and funding VMC. Ken can keep his VMC and do what he wants with it. AMC should put up the funds for NRE and use the chips to build AMC machines to hash with. VMC can get funding elsewhere and be it's seperate entity with no affiliation with AMC. AMC bought chips from avalon and AMC should continue buying chips from from other vendors if pricing is cheap or just develop AMC's chip and make hardware.

So what happens when he changes the terms and just misrepresents the profit going back to AMC and just keeps what his original share would have been regardless?

I guess we can only wait and hope for the best. With investments there is no thing at a 100% guarantee. But we can try our best to minimize risks as much as possible given the situation.

=(


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: burnside on July 02, 2013, 12:03:32 AM
Burnside;
I know it was not on your exchange but I do not see the other guy posting here so I will ask you if you could have seen this.
I pointed out early on that the market in AMC was getting "pumped" and how little money it was possibly costing the pumper to do this.   There were huge offers put up at 0.0008 and then bids at 0.00079999 basically pumping a completely illiquid and unheard of stock to new levels.   If any of the early IPO purchasers managed to get in the flip this would not cost that much (just like in a ponzi scheme) AND from the discourse on the AMC thread it would seem that this was the "reward" to certain people to spread crazy projections.
So, my question is, cannot the exchange see blatant manipulation like this (taking at 0.0005 IPO up 60% in minutes by someone trading with themselves)?


Was this on BitFunder or on BTC-TC?  I thought most of the volume on BTC-TC was around the 0.0025 "IPO"?

That's a good point though, both BitFunder and BTC-TC have low enough volume that the price is easy to manipulate up or down.  That's not really new info.  I think that people are learning a hard lesson here.  When making a decision to buy or sell and at what price you need to do some of your own math.  With the underlying info that is available, what's it worth to you?  Guys like Warren Buffet make their money by learning everything they can about a business before making a very educated decision to buy in.

It's a different game for day traders.  I'd hate to be those guys on something volatile like this, but for those guys they're essentially in a battlefield, trying to outsmart each other. 



Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Vbs on July 02, 2013, 12:11:05 AM
I understand that there is always a good possibility that new assets are scams, but there has to be a line in the sand for considering that it may indeed not be a scam.

I only expect that once more confirmed info comes out about AMC, the first-impression of Ken being a scammer can be retracted.

Thinking everything is a scam/lie is just as bad as thinking everything is trustworthy.

Q: Why could I trust you?
A: In principle, like scientific theories, trustworthiness can only be
disproved. However some facts might contribute to more confidence: My ID, phone and email have all
been verified in GLBSE. I started running the fund called MU on GLBSE before it updated to version
2. I am also responsible for the GLBSE-listed bond MOORE.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Entropy-uc on July 02, 2013, 01:05:57 AM
I understand that there is always a good possibility that new assets are scams, but there has to be a line in the sand for considering that it may indeed not be a scam.

I only expect that once more confirmed info comes out about AMC, the first-impression of Ken being a scammer can be retracted.

Thinking everything is a scam/lie is just as bad as thinking everything is trustworthy.

Q: Why could I trust you?
A: In principle, like scientific theories, trustworthiness can only be
disproved. However some facts might contribute to more confidence: My ID, phone and email have all
been verified in GLBSE. I started running the fund called MU on GLBSE before it updated to version
2. I am also responsible for the GLBSE-listed bond MOORE.


I don't think it's a scam.  I think Ken intends to do what he says.  But if he succeeds, he will profit handsomely, and shareholders will see no capital gains, and greatly diluted dividends.  And even a few mis-steps will leave buyers at todays level (0.001 ) with losses.

Here's a few things Ken has done that Friedcat did not:

1.  Pass the IP paid for by stockholders to his own company in exchange for a pittance of a royalty
2.  Mark up the assets of his company 35x before offering shares
3.  Hire a PR person with a history of scamming people
4.  Claim that his company will mine more bitcoins than are available
5.  Post lies about his business relationships (e-ASIC is not a major semiconductor company by any metric)


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: FloatesMcgoates on July 02, 2013, 05:06:23 AM
Well guys, after sitting through various people in this thread launch attacks at each other in the official AMC thread not accomplishing anything, Me in combination with some other forum members seem to have had a constructive conversation with Kenneth and he now appears very likely to be merging AMC with VMC. This will likely cause the share price to rise quite a bit, as the merger is pure value added.


Now we just need someone to actually visit them onsite to ensure the operation exists, and then I believe that we would have ourselves an actual worthy company for us to invest in.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: ArcticWolf on July 02, 2013, 06:08:36 AM
Well guys, after sitting through various people in this thread launch attacks at each other in the official AMC thread not accomplishing anything, Me in combination with some other forum members seem to have had a constructive conversation with Kenneth and he now appears very likely to be merging AMC with VMC. This will likely cause the share price to rise quite a bit, as the merger is pure value added.


Now we just need someone to actually visit them onsite to ensure the operation exists, and then I believe that we would have ourselves an actual worthy company for us to invest in.

Finally some actual forward momentum on the situation!
The official thread has devolved into name calling and wild speculation, good to see some actual constructive movement.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: auto2nr1 on July 02, 2013, 07:03:10 AM
It's good to see we are making progress after a few days of chaos on that thread. All the people wanted was a response and a step forward towards a resolution by Ken. As soon as Ken started typing away and responding all the posts have been positive.

#1 MERGE AMC/VMC OR FIND A WAY FOR THE HARDWARE/MINING BUSINESS TO COEXIST
#2 CREATE A CAP ON SHARES ISSUED TO PREVENT DILUTING OF SHARES


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Deprived on July 02, 2013, 08:30:54 AM
It's good to see we are making progress after a few days of chaos on that thread. All the people wanted was a response and a step forward towards a resolution by Ken. As soon as Ken started typing away and responding all the posts have been positive.

#1 MERGE AMC/VMC OR FIND A WAY FOR THE HARDWARE/MINING BUSINESS TO COEXIST
#2 CREATE A CAP ON SHARES ISSUED TO PREVENT DILUTING OF SHARES

You're horribly misguided with point 2.

It's actually in the interest of shareholders for Ken to sell more shares.  You need to look carefully at who owns waht shares and what each share is entitled to - then maybe you'll agree.  Work out what share of profit you get now and what share of the company you own.  Then work it out again if more shares are sold (bear in mind those sales generate capital).  The results are NOT what you seem to think.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Deprived on July 02, 2013, 08:34:31 AM
An updated evaluation of profit sharing based on the FAQ:

VMC makes 1 BTC.

0.9 BTC is Kens

0.1 BTC goes to AMC and is further split up:

0.04 BTC to Ken
0.04 BTC to the reinvestment fund (for more free loans to VMC)
0.012 to the treasury fund
0.008 to shareholders

Summing it all up:

0.94 to Ken
0.052 to lend or buy more stuff from VMC
0.008 for the people who paid for, and risked everything.

Of course, as Deprived pointed out all of that depends on VMC making a profit, which is up to Ken's to use Hollywood accounting to skim the profits before they see the balance sheet.


Actually looking at the new FAQ it appears he's not taking quite so much now.  AMC it getting 10% of gross not net.

That he can change the terms at all (even in the favour of investors) shows just how bent the whole scheme is.  Things like the split of profits should have been subject to a signed contract before they were ever announced in the first place. He seems to have changed the split of cash and also changed it from AML lending the money to VMC to produce the chips to AML doing it itself (but, wierdly, VMC doing the negotiating with manufacturers - which makes little sense).  That change isn't necessarily a good thing - as it essentially protects VMC from taking any of the loss if things go wrong (I'd assume the change was made so AMC had no claim on VML if $1 million profit never arrived to repay the capital).

Unfortunately a LOT of the things wrong with this are pretty common ones in BTC land - such as giving a fixed block of shares to the issuer (beyond any for which actual assets existed) regardless of what does/doesn't sell at IPO.  That led to scenario where after 5 million shares had sold, Ken had 40 million with only 5 million beloning to those who put up most of the capital (all bar his few Avalons).  Even when 20 million have sold he'll still have 2/3 of the active shares.  He's not along in this sort of stupidity - nor in the pathetic use of shares to represent reinvestment : is it REALLY that hard if you want to reinvest 20% of profits to only dividend out 80% of profits?

Why is it in AMC's interest to give exclusive rights to VML?

"AMC also guarantees chip exclusivity to VMC, so that AMC won't negotiate a chip supply contract to any other bitcoin systems manufacturer. AMC gets 70% back from the profits on the sale of bulk chips, while VMC gets 30%."

If VML is going to sell them in bulk then clearly it has no objection in principle to others buying them.  So why do they need a 30% cut from sales?  If AMC is going to pay for the chipos up front then they should take a leaf from VML's book - and take cash for pre-orders from VML.  Somehow I don't think Ken would be quite so keen on preorders going in that direction ..  At a minimum there's no reason for AMC to pay VML upfront for preorders if AMC is fronting all the cost for the chips - the expensive part of NRE.

I wonder how AMC can  pledge exclusivity to VMC for chip orders?

That is clearly not in AMC's best interests, as they should be free to seek the best prices.  That sort of conflict of interest is why the separate company charade is not allowed in the real world.
Also AMC has already broken the deal.  Chips were bought from Avalon.  Unless VMC owns the chips, and AMC merely paid for them.  There is no paperwork showing that loan to VMC that I have seen.  That would reduce AMC's valuation even further.

Until I see contracts that change the terms to gross from net, I am sticking by my analysis. 

+1 - I support the change of terms. This is why we need to flip the table and have things benefit AMC investors as we are risking and funding VMC. Ken can keep his VMC and do what he wants with it. AMC should put up the funds for NRE and use the chips to build AMC machines to hash with. VMC can get funding elsewhere and be it's seperate entity with no affiliation with AMC. AMC bought chips from avalon and AMC should continue buying chips from from other vendors if pricing is cheap or just develop AMC's chip and make hardware.

Think both of you (aito and Entropy) are misreading/misunderstanding the exclusivity clause.

It does NOT stop AMC buying chips from elsewhere.
It DOES stop AMC selling the chips they pay to develop to anyone other than VML.  If AMC are paying the NRE then they should be allowed to sell the chips wherever they want - it's basically none of VML's business.  Tieing yourself to an unproven manufacturer is foolishness - and giving away 30% of chip sales profit is charity.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: auto2nr1 on July 02, 2013, 08:31:38 PM
It's good to see we are making progress after a few days of chaos on that thread. All the people wanted was a response and a step forward towards a resolution by Ken. As soon as Ken started typing away and responding all the posts have been positive.

#1 MERGE AMC/VMC OR FIND A WAY FOR THE HARDWARE/MINING BUSINESS TO COEXIST
#2 CREATE A CAP ON SHARES ISSUED TO PREVENT DILUTING OF SHARES

You're horribly misguided with point 2.

It's actually in the interest of shareholders for Ken to sell more shares.  You need to look carefully at who owns waht shares and what each share is entitled to - then maybe you'll agree.  Work out what share of profit you get now and what share of the company you own.  Then work it out again if more shares are sold (bear in mind those sales generate capital).  The results are NOT what you seem to think.

Yes, i understand now. As long as the value of each share holds upon the release of more shares and it is not diluted that is my main concern. Thanks.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: pikeadz on July 02, 2013, 10:18:09 PM
Hmmm, so much for that flash crash.  You guys look pretty silly right now as the price climbs higher and higher.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: carnitastaco on July 02, 2013, 10:21:28 PM
Hmmm, so much for that flash crash.  You guys look pretty silly right now as the price climbs higher and higher.

you do realize right after entropy posted, the share price started falling from .0025 to as low as .0009, and it still has yet to recover to the .0025 people bought it at?


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: pikeadz on July 02, 2013, 10:31:00 PM
Hmmm, so much for that flash crash.  You guys look pretty silly right now as the price climbs higher and higher.

you do realize right after entropy posted, the share price started falling from .0025 to as low as .0009, and it still has yet to recover to the .0025 people bought it at?

Of course.  I'm enjoying the climb up as we speak.  Once it passes .0025 I will be back to smear it in his face even more.  This is just the beginning.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: carnitastaco on July 02, 2013, 10:35:06 PM
Hmmm, so much for that flash crash.  You guys look pretty silly right now as the price climbs higher and higher.

you do realize right after entropy posted, the share price started falling from .0025 to as low as .0009, and it still has yet to recover to the .0025 people bought it at?


Actually it crashed before he posted.

But I guess we all get to choose the gods we pray to.

Hmmm, so much for that flash crash.  You guys look pretty silly right now as the price climbs higher and higher.

you do realize right after entropy posted, the share price started falling from .0025 to as low as .0009, and it still has yet to recover to the .0025 people bought it at?

Of course.  I'm enjoying the climb up as we speak.  Once it passes .0025 I will be back to smear it in his face even more.  This is just the beginning.


Entropy, am I still not allowed to LOL at these fools?


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: CMMPro on July 02, 2013, 10:35:12 PM
Except for that tiny 1.5m share wall at 0.0025....my guess is it will be tough to find that many suckers.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: carnitastaco on July 02, 2013, 10:38:33 PM
Hmmm, so much for that flash crash.  You guys look pretty silly right now as the price climbs higher and higher.

you do realize right after entropy posted, the share price started falling from .0025 to as low as .0009, and it still has yet to recover to the .0025 people bought it at?


Actually it crashed before he posted.

But I guess we all get to choose the gods we pray to.

heres the bitfunder chart, with the time the thread started:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=245713.msg2615254#msg2615254

and I made one for BTCTCO (thread started at the green circle)

https://i.imgur.com/aJbH12E.jpg


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: carnitastaco on July 02, 2013, 10:41:38 PM
Except for that tiny 1.5m share wall at 0.0025....my guess is it will be tough to find that many suckers.

wall is more like 3 mill, between both sites...whats 7,500 BTC between friends though, amirite?


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: pikeadz on July 02, 2013, 10:41:57 PM
Except for that tiny 1.5m share wall at 0.0025....my guess is it will be tough to find that many suckers.

You forget that there were almost a million "suckers" who bought at that price before the dip.  Once people start seeing it rebound, it will get eaten away pretty quickly.  Especially once people figure out all the fears in this thread were nonsense.  Discuss amongst yourselves though and I will be back on the day it passes .0025 so I can hear you say I was right. ;)


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: canth on July 03, 2013, 12:53:51 AM
I'm still concerned about the valuation. What so far gives us a reason to believe that the combined value of VMC + AMC is worth 100M shares x .0025 or $25M? That seems like a lofty valuation given what we know so far. Am I missing something? Is Ken going to restrict the total number of shares issued?


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: lysr on July 03, 2013, 11:40:16 AM
I'm still concerned about the valuation. What so far gives us a reason to believe that the combined value of VMC + AMC is worth 100M shares x .0025 or $25M? That seems like a lofty valuation given what we know so far. Am I missing something? Is Ken going to restrict the total number of shares issued?
Of course, 6 Avalons + 20000 chips worth $25M :D


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: canth on July 03, 2013, 11:45:33 AM
I'm still concerned about the valuation. What so far gives us a reason to believe that the combined value of VMC + AMC is worth 100M shares x .0025 or $25M? That seems like a lofty valuation given what we know so far. Am I missing something? Is Ken going to restrict the total number of shares issued?
Of course, 6 Avalons + 20000 chips worth $25M :D

Heh, which is obviously far from the case. Companies are valued at what their future profits will be. If AMC they can take up even 5% of the total hashrate + sales of hardware then they will be worth $25M. The problem is that this is an enormous IF. For that risk, we should be rewarded with a higher reward - not a break even prospect. For those that bought in at .0005, this seems like a reasonable risk/reward ratio. At .0025? That's just too little reward for the risk.

Unless the total number of shares to be issued is reduced drastically, I feel the price is just way too high.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Vbs on July 03, 2013, 11:52:39 AM
I'm still concerned about the valuation. What so far gives us a reason to believe that the combined value of VMC + AMC is worth 100M shares x .0025 or $25M? That seems like a lofty valuation given what we know so far. Am I missing something? Is Ken going to restrict the total number of shares issued?

Yep, probably going into something around ~25M total shares.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: canth on July 03, 2013, 11:53:28 AM
I'm still concerned about the valuation. What so far gives us a reason to believe that the combined value of VMC + AMC is worth 100M shares x .0025 or $25M? That seems like a lofty valuation given what we know so far. Am I missing something? Is Ken going to restrict the total number of shares issued?

Yep, probably going into something around ~25M total shares.

Ahh, good to know. OK - as long as it's being addressed, then that makes more sense. Thanks!


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Alphi on July 03, 2013, 05:17:11 PM
+1, It seems really hard for these guys to understand that we're betting on the future, not the now.

They have a NDA with eASIC and their own chips will eventually be made. If you think they will fail this then don't buy, if you think they will succeed and be able to scale their mining operations similar to ASICMiner then purchase shares because this is the cheapest they are going to be if that happens.


this I believe is the fundamental lack of understanding that AMC shareholders face.

They seem to believe that if a certain Hash capacity is claimed on paper that it will be delivered and delivered quickly.

Firstly... Butterfly labs has already demonstrated the difficulties that companies face when trying to produce ASICs for bitcoins.
there is nothing to suggest that AMC/VMC won't experience the same difficulties and delays faced by the other major players and everything to suggest they will.

Secondly due to the finite rate of production of bitcoins a second behemoth player in the game doesn't merely have to ramp up to the Hashing power of ASICMiner they would essentially have to more than double it in order to produce the number of bitcoins that ASICMiner is currently producing.

Thirdly ASICMiner is not the only game in town.. there are 3 Major players in this field and the other 2 (Avalon and Butterfly Labs) haven't YET ramped up to full production capacity... when they do (and they will long before AMC/VMC does) expect the difficulty to skyrocket and mining profits to diminish significantly.


Now I'm not saying that AMC cannot succeed but the Risks here have been vastly understated and the rewards have been vastly over stated.
IMO if you want a better ROI then buy your own ASIC gear... that way you will be helping to secure your future along with the future of the bitcoin network itself.

just my 2c




Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: sebastienurbain on July 03, 2013, 05:19:45 PM

IMO if you want a better ROI then buy your own ASIC gear... that way you will be helping to secure your future along with the future of the bitcoin network itself.

just my 2c




I would if I could  :)


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Alphi on July 03, 2013, 05:29:30 PM

IMO if you want a better ROI then buy your own ASIC gear... that way you will be helping to secure your future along with the future of the bitcoin network itself.

just my 2c


I would if I could  :)

oh believe me you will be able to much sooner than you think...
even though the big players have huge order backlogs and wait times of  6+mths...  the market will very soon be flooded with build your own ASIC kits.. not to mention a plethora of cheaper Chinese knockoff rigs....

ive been waiting more than 8 months for my bitfoce SC... im still waiting... so I know only too well how production delays can cripple ones plans.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: canth on July 03, 2013, 06:01:35 PM


Already ahead of you, should have around 8 TH myself come October.

My point is that as long as you have a Chip that can be ordered at cost from a Foundry, you will be ahead of anyone that orders a machine from another company.

The current price reflects the risk involved in getting this chip, if they succeed the price will most definitely go up. If they fail, it will most definitely go way down. Not sure how else you can look at it.

Waiting on BFL minirigs? No, I remember - you're in the KnC thread. Good deal! Go big or go home.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: MPOE-PR on July 03, 2013, 07:05:55 PM
This thread is pretty funny in that the point was dispatched within the first two posts and yet there's endless pages of just-made accounts discussing matters they don't grasp with an aplomb they couldn't justify.

Perhaps the best-of-"community" thread of the week. (And no, it wouldn't be fair to pin the stupidity on the forum, reddit for instance is shockingly worse, and the pretentious press (UK Guardian et al) shockingly below that even.)


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Vbs on July 03, 2013, 07:06:49 PM
Already ahead of you, should have around 8 TH myself come October.

My point is that as long as you have a Chip that can be ordered at cost from a Foundry, you will be ahead of anyone that orders a machine from another company.

The current price reflects the risk involved in getting this chip, if they succeed the price will most definitely go up. If they fail, it will most definitely go way down. Not sure how else you can look at it.

Exactly. In the end, what matters is performance/cost.

When new players arrive with better performance for the same cost, it's bye bye after a while. Like Asicminer showed to any large GPU farm holder.

When someone can do with $100 what you need $200 for, it's only a matter of time.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Alphi on July 03, 2013, 11:49:18 PM

Already ahead of you, should have around 8 TH myself come October.

My point is that as long as you have a Chip that can be ordered at cost from a Foundry, you will be ahead of anyone that orders a machine from another company.

The current price reflects the risk involved in getting this chip, if they succeed the price will most definitely go up. If they fail, it will most definitely go way down. Not sure how else you can look at it.

going back to my original point that all depends on whether what is claimed on paper can actually be delivered in a timely manner... only fools count their eggs before they hatch.

Ofcourse I agree that the people who fab their own chips and mine will have a competitive advantage if the chips they produce are comparable in performance to those already on the market. ASICMiner has already proven this.

but right now AMC has little more than a long wish list.
currently the stock is trading on positive sentiment alone.

and sure, sentiment is enough to trade on the swings and make a little money.. but sentiment alone is not enough to generate any sustained longterm growth for shareholders.

I have been investing in chip stocks for more than 10 years and let me tell you from experience.... even companies with 100s of millions of dollars in financial backing fail on their delivery targets...
if you want a good example of what I am talking about then go and read up on a company called Transmeta.

They were a stealth company working on a superior more efficient low power x86 chip.. which could beat intel to a pulp in small form factor environments.
the Crusoe (and later Astro) was a beautiful little chip.. a true work of art.. so so nice.. you need only look at the OQO to see how many years ahead of intel Transmeta were and with 100% x86 compatability....

so why did Transmeta fail so miserably?

firstly they over promised and under delivered.
secondly they underestimated how much operating capital they would need so they ended up having to cut R&D and beg for scraps to keep the company going.
thirdly they over estimated the market demand AND revenues they would get.
and thirdly they took on an already established monopoly who, as soon as they saw the threat, adapted with their own products to squeeze TMTA out of the market.

sound like a familiar story? well it should because this story has played out time and time again with various small time chip companies.

the point I'm trying to make in case you missed it again.. is that when well funded companies staffed with the brightest engineers cannot even carve out a tiny niche in a highly competitive and well regulated industry as the PC industry.. what makes you think that a completely random stranger with a pipe dream operating in a completely virtual and unregulated environment is going to be able design and build better chips and systems than already established players who have far more resources and skills at their disposal...

there has been  a huge amount of talk over the last few days about how shareholders are going to restructure the company and carve up the profits.. but virtually no talk about the actual product..

if I read things correctly so far people have effectively paid something like 25 million dollars for 6 Avalon machines and the hope that somehow in the next 5 weeks they are going to be producing their own machines...

my advice to cautious investors would be.... wait and see the actual product then do your sums and see if its worthwhile to make the investment.
buying off the spec sheet from some random guy on the internet is as dangerous as buying a house off the plans from a nigerian..

just my 2c as usual... i cut and ran as soon as I couldn't verify the references and photos on the website..

and sure I could have made some money trading on the swings and positive sentiment.. but I find it just a little bit too unethical for me to profit from the misery of others.

but good luck anyways.. sounds like you are onto a winner if your mining gear turns up on October regardless of what happens with this virtual company.



Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Vbs on July 04, 2013, 01:06:07 AM
Comments plz! :)

[VMC/AMC] Merger

This is a Pre-Merger VMC Offering.

(This Is For Community Review Only)

The Final Offering May Be DIFFERENT

(This Document Is For Community Review Only And May Contain Errors)

========================================================================================================

Virtual Mining Corporation (VMC) will be incorporated as a Belize International Business Company
and will be exchanged for 15 million shares to purchase Virtual Mining Corporation (VMC) a Delaware Corporation.

VMC is made up of a team of dedicated Bitcoin mining professionals with over 30 years of combined
experience in the ISP Business including Internet Access and Web Hosting, Graphics Design,
Cloud Development, Computer Programming in Multiple Languages, FPGA Hardware And Software Design,
Complete Systems Design, Web Design, and System Administration.
  
The team has been involved with Bitcoins since 2009.  VMC will be manfacturing Bitcoin Mining Machines.
VMC has agreed with  Active Mining Corporation (AMC) is a Belize International Business Company
DBA Active Mining Cooperative to sell the first 100 machines manufactured in the machines listed below
to AMC.  AMC will have the first right of refusal on the below units developed by VMC and any future
developed units.  Investors in VMC will have the second right of refusal on units manufactured by VMC.

VMC will manufacture Application Specific Integrated Circuit (ASIC) Bitcoin mining machines
and is working with AMC to develope an ASIC chip and PCB that it will license from AMC for use in their
Fast-Hash series of Bitcoin Mining Machines.  VMC is using AMC's technology to develope an ASIC chips on
28nm process which is estimited to run at 16 GH/s with it's partner eASIC (www.easic.com).  VMC's ASIC
has very fast speeds of 16 to 20 GH/s with low power usage.  The 28nm chip is expected to run faster after
it is put through the eASIC's easicopy process and will be used in VMC's Fast-Hash-One series of machines.
VMC may purchase ASIC chips from different vendors if available to use in it's manufactured machines.

VMC will be using the most innovative technology available to manufacture their Fast-Hash(tm) series of
Bitcoin Mining Machines.  Investors in VMC will receive the benefits of having dividends paid out as
soon as VMC starts shipping machines to the public and making a profit.  Investors in VMC will see
big benefits when VMC using AMC's technology develops it's own ASIC chip and AMC licenses its technology
to VMC to use in its Fast-Hash series of Bitcoin mining machines.  VMC will pay license fees in the form
of Bitcoin mining machines at cost and royalties to AMC for it's technology.

VMC is in the process of getting an agreement with eASIC to produce an ASIC bitcoin mining chips on the
28nm process.  This chip will be available in limited Low Volume/Sample quanities in the 4th quarter of
2013 and full production quanities in the 1st quarter of 2014.

VMC will provide the Bitcoin Mining Equipment below ("Mining Equipment") to AMC at VMC's manufacturing
cost for the use of AMC's developed technology for the equipment below as a licensed fee for
VMC to use all of AMC's developed technology.  VMC will also pay AMC a 10% royalty on all other sales
using AMC's developed technology.

Web Site:    www.virtualminingcorp.com
Facebook:   https://www.facebook.com/pages/Fast-Hash/319110168218206
Twitter:    @VirtualMiningCo
Phone:      1+(855) ONE-BITCOIN (663-2482)
  
*** Business Experience:

Slaughter Vending and Amusement, Pegasus Business Systems, Advanced Learning Systems, Advanced Software
Solutions, Active Internet Communications - ISP Business axs(tm).net which produced over 2.5 Million
in revenue and over 10,000 customers in 49 states, Canada, and Puerto Rico with over 10 employees.
Turn-key Web Hosting Business running on Amazon.com, Started Bitcoin mining in 2009.
 
*** Software packages developed:

Internet Cruiser(tm) web browser, Virtual 3D Environments, Individual Profile System(tm) (IPS), Neural
Network, Anonymous Bitcoin Exchange software, Automobile Collision Repair System(tm) (ACRS)

*** Cloud Development:

Web Hosting Business: shopping-cart-now.com running on Amazon.com
 
*** Web Sites Developed With Graphics:

TahoeUltimateRentals.com, shopping-cart-now.com, votecliffyoung.com, and votecliffyoung.com plus many
more over the years.

*** ASIC Development:

AMC has Synthesized it's Bitcoin Mining source code to create RTL for the xc6xlt150 FPGA.  VMC has had
the code ported to eASIC Nextreme-2 family of ASIC chips.  eASIC will then close timing on the design
for the ASIC chip.  After timing closure, Prototype and Low Volume production of the ASIC chips will begin.
High volume production of the chip will begin in 3-6 months after the project starts.

After production begins, the ASIC chips can be delivered to VMC in a 3 to 6 month time frame.  VMC will-at
the same time-start the high production process for 28nm chip using eASIC's easicopy process which takes
as little as 12 months.  VMC has also received licenses on Printed Circuit Board (PCB) designs for
xc6xlt150 FPGA Boards.  VMC has hired an Electronic Engineering and Manufacturing Services to design
the PCB boards for its Fast_Hash series of bitcoin mining machines.  VMC may purchase Bitcoin Mining Chips
or PCB from other vendors if available for its machines.  

=============================================================================================================

VMC Manufactures ASIC Bitcoin mining equipment which it provides to AMC and the public.

Bitcoin ASIC Mining Equipment To Be Purchased:      

Units to be provided to AMC by VMC at manufacturers cost:

The following will be ordered from VMC if funds are available from AMC and the units are developed.
AMC will have the first right of refusal on the below units developed by VMC and any future
developed units.  Additional units will be provided at lowest retail value minus the 10%
royalty fee.    Investors in VMC on bitfunder.com will have the second right of refusal on units
manufactured by VMC.

100 Fast-Hash-80's**   @  80 GH/s each for a total of: 8 TH/s
                        Specifications: 110nm 282 MH/s chip 75 chips per board 4 boards per unit
                        Estimated retail value @ ~$6,000 each for a total of $600,000
                        (Estimated to be delivered August 2013)

100 Fast-Hash-80's**   @  80 GH/s each for a total of: 8 TH/s
                        Specifications: 110nm 282 MH/s chip 75 chips per board 4 boards per unit
                        Estimated retail value @ ~$6,000 each for a total of $600,000
                        (Estimated to be delivered October 2013)

100 Fast-Hash-80's**   @  80 GH/s each for a total of: 8 TH/s
                        Specifications: 110nm 282 MH/s chip 75 chips per board 4 boards per unit
                        Estimated retail value @ ~$6,000 each for a total of $600,000
                        (Estimated to be delivered December 2013)

100 Fast-Hash-80's**   @  80 GH/s each for a total of: 8 TH/s
                        Specifications: 110nm 282 MH/s chip 75 chips per board 4 boards per unit
                        Estimated retail value @ ~$6,000 each for a total of $600,000
                        (Estimated to be delivered February 2013)

100 Fast-Hash-400's**   @  400 GH/s each for a total of: 40 TH/s
                        Specifications: 45nm 6 GH/s chip 75 chips per board 1 board per unit
                        Estimated retail value @ ~$30,000 each for a total of $3,000,000
                        (Estimated to be delivered March 2014)

100 Fast-Hash-800's**   @ 800 GH/s each for a total of: 80 TH/s
                        Specifications: 45nm 6 GH/s chip 75 chips per board 2 boards per unit
                        Estimated retail value @ ~$60,000 each for a total of $6,000,000
                        (Estimated to be delivered May 2013)

100 Fast-Hash-1.2T's**   @  1.2 TH/s each for a total of: 120 TH/s
                        Specifications: 28nm 9 GH/s chip 75 chips per board 1 board per unit  
                        Estimated retail value @ ~$100,000 each for a total of $10,000,000
                        (Estimated to be delivered July 2014)

100 Fast-Hash-2.4T's**   @  2.4 TH/s each for a total of: 240 TH/s
                        Specifications: 28nm 9 GH/s chip 75 chips per board 2 board per unit  
                        Estimated retail value @ ~$200,000 each for a total of $20,000,000
                        (Estimated to be delivered September 2014)

100 Fast-Hash-4.8T's**   @  4.8 TH/s each for a total of: 480 TH/s
                        Specifications: 28nm 9 GH/s chip 75 chips per board 4 board per unit  
                        Estimated retail value @ ~$400,000 each for a total of $40,000,000
                        (Estimated to be delivered December 2014)



VMC has a contract with AMC to repay to AMC 100% of the Non Recuring Engeering (NRE) fee that
AMC provides to VMC to develope an ASIC for bitcoin mining.  VMC will pay to AMC 100% of the profits
from bulk chips sales after AMC's royalty payment, cost of goods sold, and all direct expenses required
to sale the chips.  

We will also be buying shares of AMC on any stock exchange as they become reasonably priced to
provide dividend income to VMC share holders.  These shares will be sold if VMC needs capital to
for any purpose.

VMC currently own 0 shares of AMC as of the Initial Public Offering date.  Check the reports
in the bitcointalk VMC thread for the current number of AMC shares owned.

* Different quantities or other Bitcoin Mining Machines may be provided if the above are not
available, developed, specification changes, or the market changes.  All specifications and delivery
dates are subject to change.

** Fast-Hash-XXX, Fast-Hash-One are trademarks of VMC developed Bitcoin Mining Machines.  AMC will receive the
above machines at manufacturers cost.  AMC will also receive a 10% royalty from VMC on all other
VMC sales using AMC's technologies.

=============================================================================================================
=============================================================================================================

VMC Offering:

VMC's offering is comprised of 25,000,000 shares in total. VMC may issue these shares on any exchange it
deems fit for trading of VMC's shares as long as the total shares issued does not exceed 25,000,000
shares.  This offering may me modified with a majorty vote of the shares holders.

VMC will provide a method for shareholders to vote.  The method will provide that only shareholders can vote
and shareholders will only have 1 vote for each share that is held.  Any motion to bring a vote before the
shareholders will require 10% of the shareholders votes on a petition with 1 vote for each share held.
VMC will provide a method for motions should the need arise, if the exchange does not provide a method.
VMC will be run by a 7 member board of directors, the board of directors will be elected within three months
of the initial IPO of VMC.  The board of directors shall adopt a set of by-laws within the first 6 months.
Until the first board of directors are elected, the current management of VMC, Delaware will manage VMC Belize.  

1 share of VMC on the exchange represents 1/25,000,000th of 100% of the monthly profits after all expenses.

VMC shares offer no voting rights. Shares of VMC on the exchange do not represent real world shares of the
company.  The shares are solely a distribution mechanism for rights to profits.

As of the time of this writing, up to 10,000,000 shares will be released to the public through a swap of
1 share of Active Mining Corporation dba Active Mining Cooperative (AMC) for 1 share of VMC.  AMC is traded on
bitfunder.com.  Any remaining shares not included in the IPO are owned/maintained/controlled by VMC.
These shares will be used at the issuers discretion for any uses deemed fit. These uses are not limited to,
but may include employment.

The funds from the IPO will be used to manufacture VMC's products, research and development,
deposits, chip production and development, PCB production and development, licensing fees, eASIC NRE to
create a 28nm bitcoin mining chip, and other necessary needs for manufacturing VMC's products.  
The IPO funds may also be used to purchase AMC shares.  VMC will also exchange its shares for AMC
shares, the rate of exchange will be determined by the board of directors of VMC.

Should VMC be sold or closed, the full amount of the purchase price, liquidated income,
liquidated assets will be evenly distributed to the 25,000,000 shares.

AMC Swap Shares:

VMC will issue up to 10,000,000 "AMC Swap" shares which may be used in an exchange for AMC shares.
Any shares not exchange for AMC shares may be sold by VMC.  VMC will set the deadline date that
AMC shares have to be tendered to VMC for a swap to be effective.  Shares of AMC tendered after
the deadline will not be swapped for VMC shares and will be returned.


Additional shares may be sold at no less than .005 BTC each.

Statements and Accounting:

Detailed statement and accounting will be provided on VMC's Bitcointalk thread if avilable or any other
forum which VMC's chooses.  Forum will be posted on VMC's website at www.virtualminingcorp.com

Dividends:

Dividends will be paid on all issued shares.  Dividends will be declared by the board of directors.
Dividends will be paid each week as declared by the board of directors.  
Reports will be posted on VMC's Thread on a forum of VMC's choosing.

Forced Buy Back:

No forced buyback may be enforced for shares of VMC.  VMC may purchase it's own shares on any
exchange where VMC shares are traded.

Equipment:

All equipment listed in this offer will be sold to AMC at the average manufacturing cost for
the unit or a like unit.

After VMC's initial delivery of the above mining equipment, AMC will have first right
of refusal on any equipment manufactured by VMC and said equipment will be paid for by AMC.  
VMC will not charge AMC a price which is higher than the lowest price VMC has sold the
equipment or like equipment to any other customer or if the equipment has not been sold
before, then the posted price on VMC's web site.

Estimated VMC 12 Months Projections:

==========================================================================================================
**********************************************************************************************************

Total Estimated Gross Sales                                                                                                                                  479,000 BTC

Total Estimated Cost Of Goods Sold BTC                                                                                                                201,000 BTC

Total Estimated Expenses BTC                                                                                                                               113,000 BTC

Total Estimated Profit BTC                                                                                                                                     165,000 BTC

Estmated AMC Revenue (Next 12 Months)                                                                                                              112,000 BTC

Total Combined Profit And Revenue                                                                                                                       277,000 BTC                  

**********************************************************************************************************

25,000,000 Issued Shares
Estimated Gross Combined Profit and Revenue / Share                                                                                           0.01108 BTC

**********************************************************************************************************

Return on Investment(ROI) Fully Diluted: 25,000,000 Issued Shares

  Net Estimated ROI/12 Months AMC Swap shares @ .0025 BTC/Share                                                                             443 %

**********************************************************************************************************
==========================================================================================================
VMC130307-1

Update:

Investors must have 100,000 shares before getting a second right of refusal.



Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: pikeadz on July 22, 2013, 12:53:14 PM
Hmmm, so much for that flash crash.  You guys look pretty silly right now as the price climbs higher and higher.

you do realize right after entropy posted, the share price started falling from .0025 to as low as .0009, and it still has yet to recover to the .0025 people bought it at?

As I said, you look really silly right now.

.00396 on bitfunder today.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: statdude on July 22, 2013, 05:03:58 PM
Would anyone be interested in writing some puts? I'd buy some. Will come back with calculated fair price if there's interest.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Minor Miner on July 22, 2013, 05:05:28 PM
What is the market capitalization of the AMC currently (and does it change after a certain quantity of dividends are paid)?   Can anyone show me these two simple calculations since the structure has changed?


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: LordMeowMeow on July 22, 2013, 05:20:58 PM
So with the merger terms, are investors still only getting ~8% as pointed out before by another poster? Ken came in and said we get 50% and then they posted a FAQ/merger news and since then no rebuttal from the community. Wondering if we're still in "getting stiffed" territory.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: canth on July 22, 2013, 05:24:29 PM
So with the merger terms, are investors still only getting ~8% as pointed out before by another poster? Ken came in and said we get 50% and then they posted a FAQ/merger news and since then no rebuttal from the community. Wondering if we're still in "getting stiffed" territory.

25M shares in total. Investors are getting 10M shares, of which 8,525,349 have been issued. The remaining 15M are owned by Ken (and family members, etc). That does mean that at .0037 * 23,525,349 issued shares, the company is valued at BTC87,043 or $7,833,941 @ $90/BTC.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: vlaoou321 on July 22, 2013, 05:42:42 PM
So with the merger terms, are investors still only getting ~8% as pointed out before by another poster? Ken came in and said we get 50% and then they posted a FAQ/merger news and since then no rebuttal from the community. Wondering if we're still in "getting stiffed" territory.

25M shares in total. Investors are getting 10M shares, of which 8,525,349 have been issued. The remaining 15M are owned by Ken (and family members, etc). That does mean that at .0037 * 23,525,349 issued shares, the company is valued at BTC87,043 or $7,833,941 @ $90/BTC.
Profits can now say no, the price is expensive


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: canth on July 22, 2013, 06:28:36 PM
So with the merger terms, are investors still only getting ~8% as pointed out before by another poster? Ken came in and said we get 50% and then they posted a FAQ/merger news and since then no rebuttal from the community. Wondering if we're still in "getting stiffed" territory.

25M shares in total. Investors are getting 10M shares, of which 8,525,349 have been issued. The remaining 15M are owned by Ken (and family members, etc). That does mean that at .0037 * 23,525,349 issued shares, the company is valued at BTC87,043 or $7,833,941 @ $90/BTC.
Profits can now say no, the price is expensive

*shrug* at the end of the day, the markets will decide whether it's overpriced or not. I am in no way comparing ASICMiner and ActiveMiner, except to say that people have been calling ASICMiner overpriced for a long time now.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: carnitastaco on July 22, 2013, 07:12:00 PM
Hmmm, so much for that flash crash.  You guys look pretty silly right now as the price climbs higher and higher.

you do realize right after entropy posted, the share price started falling from .0025 to as low as .0009, and it still has yet to recover to the .0025 people bought it at?

As I said, you look really silly right now.

.00396 on bitfunder today.

strange, I don't feel silly.  I doubt entropy does either- he posted it would crash, it DID crash by 2/3, then only recovered once the entire business was re-organized and many of the most obviously glaring problems were sort of fixed?  You bulls should really be more thankful to the skeptics, or do you miss your little VMC-AMC multi-level clusterfuck?

I bought a whole bunch at .0025 when the wall was falling and sold them at a range of ~.003-.0034, then did it again with the 2nd wall, buying @.0025 and selling @.0035-.004.  I expect the chance to do it again when Ken feels like dumping more shares.  Guess what- even skeptics are allowed to make money off of absurdly valued securities and asset price bubbles.  Maybe this company is worth a fraction of its current market cap, or maybe one guy who can barely read and write english and continually makes the same mistakes plus a few family members is actually a secret genius who has super mega awesome mining code and will be pumping out millions of dollars of the BESTEST MACHINES EVAR and is going to make a bunch of millionaires out of all of us.

I'm completely over analyzing this company in any depth in public...it's been a FANTASTIC trading vehicle for me from the moment it debuted on BTCT and I will continue following it closely and trading in it, and good luck to those who want to hold for the long term.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: canth on July 22, 2013, 07:21:32 PM
Hmmm, so much for that flash crash.  You guys look pretty silly right now as the price climbs higher and higher.

you do realize right after entropy posted, the share price started falling from .0025 to as low as .0009, and it still has yet to recover to the .0025 people bought it at?

As I said, you look really silly right now.

.00396 on bitfunder today.

strange, I don't feel silly.  I doubt entropy does either- he posted it would crash, it DID crash by 2/3, then only recovered once the entire business was re-organized and many of the most obviously glaring problems were sort of fixed?  You bulls should really be more thankful to the skeptics, or do you miss your little VMC-AMC multi-level clusterfuck?

I bought a whole bunch at .0025 when the wall was falling and sold them at a range of ~.003-.0034, then did it again with the 2nd wall, buying @.0025 and selling @.0035-.004.  I expect the chance to do it again when Ken feels like dumping more shares.  Guess what- even skeptics are allowed to make money off of absurdly valued securities and asset price bubbles.  Maybe this company is worth a fraction of its current market cap, or maybe one guy who can barely read and write english and continually makes the same mistakes plus a few family members is actually a secret genius who has super mega awesome mining code and will be pumping out millions of dollars of the BESTEST MACHINES EVAR and is going to make a bunch of millionaires out of all of us.

I'm completely over analyzing this company in any depth in public...it's been a FANTASTIC trading vehicle for me from the moment it debuted on BTCT and I will continue following it closely and trading in it, and good luck to those who want to hold for the long term.

LOL. I think that BESTEST MACHINES EVAR is pretty close to the new marketing material, actually.  "World's Fastest Bitcoin Mining Chip"  the Fast-Hash-One 28nm 16 GH/s chip. ... The Fast-Hash-One series of bitcoin mining machines are  "The Gold Standard Of Bitcoin Mining Machines"™


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: dhenson on July 22, 2013, 07:22:47 PM
Hmmm, so much for that flash crash.  You guys look pretty silly right now as the price climbs higher and higher.

you do realize right after entropy posted, the share price started falling from .0025 to as low as .0009, and it still has yet to recover to the .0025 people bought it at?

As I said, you look really silly right now.

.00396 on bitfunder today.

strange, I don't feel silly.  I doubt entropy does either- he posted it would crash, it DID crash by 2/3, then only recovered once the entire business was re-organized and many of the most obviously glaring problems were sort of fixed?  You bulls should really be more thankful to the skeptics, or do you miss your little VMC-AMC multi-level clusterfuck?

I bought a whole bunch at .0025 when the wall was falling and sold them at a range of ~.003-.0034, then did it again with the 2nd wall, buying @.0025 and selling @.0035-.004.  I expect the chance to do it again when Ken feels like dumping more shares.  Guess what- even skeptics are allowed to make money off of absurdly valued securities and asset price bubbles.  Maybe this company is worth a fraction of its current market cap, or maybe one guy who can barely read and write english and continually makes the same mistakes plus a few family members is actually a secret genius who has super mega awesome mining code and will be pumping out millions of dollars of the BESTEST MACHINES EVAR and is going to make a bunch of millionaires out of all of us.

I'm completely over analyzing this company in any depth in public...it's been a FANTASTIC trading vehicle for me from the moment it debuted on BTCT and I will continue following it closely and trading in it, and good luck to those who want to hold for the long term.

Don't count on ken dropping any more shares on the market.  Less than 150k unsold shares remain of the 10,000,000 public shares.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: statdude on July 22, 2013, 07:39:52 PM
I will pay
Premium of .0004 per
.003 strike put,
60 days expiration

My options model values these at .000179-.00029, so this is a nice premium, and 11.6% return in 60 days.

BTCT or BitFunder preferred.

20 BTC ready. Pm when live.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: neilol on July 23, 2013, 02:25:08 PM
Drop was due to btct being locked and panic. I don't see any real news


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: canth on July 23, 2013, 02:29:26 PM
Yep - it's light volume right now while most people seem to be waiting to see where things will go. If you wanted to sell or buy >10K shares, you're going to drive the price pretty significantly.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: CMMPro on July 23, 2013, 03:10:35 PM
I was just waiting for an opportunity to grab some back at a lower price....

There was no bad news, jut a panic for the door when BTCT came back and by now everyone has figured out it. 



Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: stereotype on July 23, 2013, 03:17:43 PM
How come it didn't happen for any other security?

Lots of self-denial here.

Oh, the irony!


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: ChefBorjan on July 23, 2013, 03:37:32 PM
There was a sell off on Bitfunder during the BTC-TC trading freeze, by someone who was looking to cash in a decent amount of shares. Investors getting spooked is the most likely answer.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: stereotype on July 23, 2013, 03:43:44 PM
There was a sell off on Bitfunder during the BTC-TC trading freeze, by someone who was looking to cash in a decent amount of shares. Investors getting spooked is the most likely answer.

I was thinking, a stolen laptop with access to running passwords/sites and a knowledge of Bitcoin, or a jealous girlfriend trying to gain some attention, while he is in the shower!


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: freedomno1 on July 24, 2013, 01:27:06 AM
There was a sell off on Bitfunder during the BTC-TC trading freeze, by someone who was looking to cash in a decent amount of shares. Investors getting spooked is the most likely answer.

I was thinking, a stolen laptop with access to running passwords/sites and a knowledge of Bitcoin, or a jealous girlfriend trying to gain some attention, while he is in the shower!

I was looking for a time to use this one the cat knows all

http://s23.postimg.org/bwg05yraz/server_room.jpg


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Stringer Bell on July 27, 2013, 03:08:00 AM
http://img35.imageshack.us/img35/5166/0e1j.jpg


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: dhenson on July 27, 2013, 03:10:59 AM
He's paying the NRE.  It's time to give it a rest.  If this were a con, that 1,000,000 would not be spent on chip NRE.

This thread served a very important purpose and led to the restructuring of the company.  Investors now receive 40% of all profits instead of simply 8%.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: freedomno1 on July 27, 2013, 04:39:49 AM
For future archiving


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Stringer Bell on July 27, 2013, 05:10:35 AM
He's paying the NRE.  It's time to give it a rest.  If this were a con, that 1,000,000 would not be spent on chip NRE.

Awesome. I must have missed that one, is there any proof?


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: statdude on July 27, 2013, 05:54:11 AM
Buying 30-90 day puts..


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: deizel on July 27, 2013, 10:28:15 AM
He's paying the NRE.  It's time to give it a rest.  If this were a con, that 1,000,000 would not be spent on chip NRE.

Awesome. I must have missed that one, is there any proof?

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1707;sa=showPosts


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: dexX7 on July 27, 2013, 10:36:04 AM
He's paying the NRE.  It's time to give it a rest.  If this were a con, that 1,000,000 would not be spent on chip NRE.

Awesome. I must have missed that one, is there any proof?

I caution everyone that it will take us a couple of weeks to complete the painstaking process of getting all the funds converted and on to eASIC.

 ;)


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: iCEBREAKER on July 27, 2013, 02:42:57 PM
ZOMG the flash crash has started.

AMC has flash crashed straight up, to .005 on BF and .006 on BTCT! 

I thought it was supposed to flash crash down, but whatever.

Quick everybody, panic buy.  Or panic sell if that's easier.

As long you are panicking you are doing it right and being a wise investor.

Just like the OP.   :D


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: pheaonix on July 27, 2013, 05:32:47 PM
ZOMG the flash crash has started.

AMC has flash crashed straight up, to .005 on BF and .006 on BTCT! 

I thought it was supposed to flash crash down, but whatever.

Quick everybody, panic buy.  Or panic sell if that's easier.

As long you are panicking you are doing it right and being a wise investor.

Just like the OP.   :D

+1

panic panic fud fud buy sell do it now :D



Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: matuszed on July 29, 2013, 01:53:27 AM
ZOMG the flash crash has started.

AMC has flash crashed straight up, to .005 on BF and .006 on BTCT! 

I thought it was supposed to flash crash down, but whatever.

Quick everybody, panic buy.  Or panic sell if that's easier.

As long you are panicking you are doing it right and being a wise investor.

Just like the OP.   :D

+1

panic panic fud fud buy sell do it now :D



.009  This thread might have to get restarted.  This price action is too much too fast.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: freedomno1 on July 29, 2013, 02:43:58 AM
I would buy 2 BTC worth of puts just to hedge a bit on the downtrend if this is rising too high.
Near where it started today and where its at is the strike + premium seems fair enough.
0.006 - 0.009 range
Strike 0.0075 Premium 0.0015 duration 18 day term
Valid for 12 hours since its a bit wild the market is free if someone wants to offer a better deal :)

(EDIT: Yes selling puts in a flash-crash thread why because I can XD)


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: zy02264 on July 29, 2013, 08:18:31 AM
I would buy 2 BTC worth of puts just to hedge a bit on the downtrend if this is rising too high.
Near where it started today and where its at is the strike + premium seems fair enough.
0.006 - 0.009 range
Strike 0.0075 Premium 0.0015 duration 18 day term
Valid for 12 hours since its a bit wild the market is free if someone wants to offer a better deal :)

(EDIT: Yes selling puts in a flash-crash thread why because I can XD)

Hi, I could write 1500 or 2000 puts on BTCT at Strike 0.0075 Premium 0.0015, but duration 11 days term. Let me know if interested in


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: hl5460 on July 29, 2013, 08:39:25 AM
I would buy 2 BTC worth of puts just to hedge a bit on the downtrend if this is rising too high.
Near where it started today and where its at is the strike + premium seems fair enough.
0.006 - 0.009 range
Strike 0.0075 Premium 0.0015 duration 18 day term
Valid for 12 hours since its a bit wild the market is free if someone wants to offer a better deal :)

(EDIT: Yes selling puts in a flash-crash thread why because I can XD)

Hi, I could write 1500 or 2000 puts on BTCT at Strike 0.0075 Premium 0.0015, but duration 11 days term. Let me know if interested in

Just place the puts and see what happened.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: freedomno1 on July 29, 2013, 08:42:48 AM
I would buy 2 BTC worth of puts just to hedge a bit on the downtrend if this is rising too high.
Near where it started today and where its at is the strike + premium seems fair enough.
0.006 - 0.009 range
Strike 0.0075 Premium 0.0015 duration 18 day term
Valid for 12 hours since its a bit wild the market is free if someone wants to offer a better deal :)

(EDIT: Yes selling puts in a flash-crash thread why because I can XD)

Hi, I could write 1500 or 2000 puts on BTCT at Strike 0.0075 Premium 0.0015, but duration 11 days term. Let me know if interested in

Was about to say I would take them ^^
Sending a PM
Please reply back when you receive it :)


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: zy02264 on July 29, 2013, 09:59:13 AM
I would buy 2 BTC worth of puts just to hedge a bit on the downtrend if this is rising too high.
Near where it started today and where its at is the strike + premium seems fair enough.
0.006 - 0.009 range
Strike 0.0075 Premium 0.0015 duration 18 day term
Valid for 12 hours since its a bit wild the market is free if someone wants to offer a better deal :)

(EDIT: Yes selling puts in a flash-crash thread why because I can XD)

Hi, I could write 1500 or 2000 puts on BTCT at Strike 0.0075 Premium 0.0015, but duration 11 days term. Let me know if interested in

Was about to say I would take them ^^
Sending a PM
Please reply back when you receive it :)

They are on BTCT already. Please take action ;D


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: freedomno1 on July 29, 2013, 07:19:53 PM
I would buy 2 BTC worth of puts just to hedge a bit on the downtrend if this is rising too high.
Near where it started today and where its at is the strike + premium seems fair enough.
0.006 - 0.009 range
Strike 0.0075 Premium 0.0015 duration 18 day term
Valid for 12 hours since its a bit wild the market is free if someone wants to offer a better deal :)

(EDIT: Yes selling puts in a flash-crash thread why because I can XD)

Hi, I could write 1500 or 2000 puts on BTCT at Strike 0.0075 Premium 0.0015, but duration 11 days term. Let me know if interested in

Was about to say I would take them ^^
Sending a PM
Please reply back when you receive it :)

They are on BTCT already. Please take action ;D

Action taken worst case scenario secured for 1500 strike at 0.06 seems low but I got 11 days to see if it goes up to 2 or back to 0.05 ^^
Thanks


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: vlaoou321 on July 30, 2013, 04:57:53 AM
I would buy 2 BTC worth of puts just to hedge a bit on the downtrend if this is rising too high.
Near where it started today and where its at is the strike + premium seems fair enough.
0.006 - 0.009 range
Strike 0.0075 Premium 0.0015 duration 18 day term
Valid for 12 hours since its a bit wild the market is free if someone wants to offer a better deal :)

(EDIT: Yes selling puts in a flash-crash thread why because I can XD)

Hi, I could write 1500 or 2000 puts on BTCT at Strike 0.0075 Premium 0.0015, but duration 11 days term. Let me know if interested in

Was about to say I would take them ^^
Sending a PM
Please reply back when you receive it :)

They are on BTCT already. Please take action ;D

Action taken worst case scenario secured for 1500 strike at 0.06 seems low but I got 11 days to see if it goes up to 2 or back to 0.05 ^^
Thanks
wow


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: freedomno1 on July 31, 2013, 12:48:38 AM
Well that was fun options got eaten at 25% premium and were back to 0.075
Someone bought one lol
1 x 0.00187500
Then
1499 x 0.00187500
Someone bought the rest
And were back to the mid range between the prices I mentioned fun stuff.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Entropy-uc on December 09, 2013, 05:52:34 AM
There have been some requests that I post a link to the post where Ken admits being under SEC investigation.

Since the moderated thread is getting random deletes, here it is
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=297503.msg3434356#msg3434356


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: iCEBREAKER on December 14, 2013, 09:22:36 PM
ZOMG the flash crash has started.

AMC has flash crashed straight up, to .005 on BF and .006 on BTCT! 

I thought it was supposed to flash crash down, but whatever.

Quick everybody, panic buy.  Or panic sell if that's easier.

As long you are panicking you are doing it right and being a wise investor.

Just like the OP.   :D

How'd this work out for you Ice?

:-D

I got out of AMC at about .0045, back in early August.   8)  Easiest 100BTC I ever made!   8)

I told the cultists and cheerleads to stop drinking LabKen's Kool-Aid.

They didn't listen.

/true story bro


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Entropy-uc on December 14, 2013, 10:51:12 PM
I told the cultists and cheerleads to stop drinking LabKen's Kool-Aid.

They don't believe it actually. What they believe is that cheerleading, and censorship, will get their shares to be worth more. (Also, hiding bad information makes them scammers, but I doubt they care about what's right.)
What they don't realize is that anyone with a brain can read their circlejerk, see that it's a madhouse, and GTFO.

Checking back in after a few months sanity rest, I am shocked that there are no chips.  With the millions that were raised a competent crew would have delivered (as a few others have in the same time frame).  I criticized this whole venture for the outrageous valuation and lack of qualification of the operator.  I didn't expect it to degenerate into an outright swindle.

Given the pitifully low liquidity that will be available on the new exchange, I expect folks will be able to delude themselves into being bitcoin millionaires for a few more months.  Good f*cking luck actually swapping any volume of worthless shares for valuable bitcoins though.

As an aside, profiting off a garbage stock doesn't make you a genius, just a fortunate fool.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: iCEBREAKER on December 14, 2013, 11:01:13 PM
Checking back in after a few months sanity rest, I am shocked that there are no chips.  With the millions that were raised a competent crew would have delivered (as a few others have in the same time frame).  I criticized this whole venture for the outrageous valuation and lack of qualification of the operator.  I didn't expect it to degenerate into an outright swindle.

Given the pitifully low liquidity that will be available on the new exchange, I expect folks will be able to delude themselves into being bitcoin millionaires for a few more months.  Good f*cking luck actually swapping any volume of worthless shares for valuable bitcoins though.

As an aside, profiting off a garbage stock doesn't make you a genius, just a fortunate fool.

It was genius to invest when Actm was a viable competitor, then sell at a huge profit when it became clear they couldn't compete with HashFast.

You're a deluded fool for being "shocked that there are no chips" and being surprised it would "degenerate into an outright swindle."

This kitchen is obviously too hot for your limited mental resources.  I suggest you GTFO and stay TFO for the sake of your sanity.


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: iCEBREAKER on December 14, 2013, 11:26:40 PM
It was genius to invest when Actm was a viable competitor
It never was. You profited from the hype, congratulations, but don't lie to yourself.
Your other investment still has to prove itself.

I bought ACTM shares before their first Avalons arrived, because I knew the shares would spike when they started paying dividends.  Genius, right?   8)

ACTM had a narrow window of opportunity to be viable, which slammed closed when HashFast de-cloaked.

They had a second chance to focus on building a mine with HashFast instead wasting our BTC finishing their own obsolete, leapfrogged chip.

I advised them to take this course of action, but was Ignored.   :P

I know my other investment has yet to prove itself.

Did I ever say "my other investment has proven itself?"

No, I didn't.  So don't put words in my mouth.   ;)


Title: Re: The coming flash crash in AMC
Post by: Entropy-uc on December 15, 2013, 07:18:49 PM
It was genius to invest when Actm was a viable competitor
It never was. You profited from the hype, congratulations, but don't lie to yourself.
Your other investment still has to prove itself.

I bought ACTM shares before their first Avalons arrived, because I knew the shares would spike when they started paying dividends.  Genius, right?   8)

ACTM had a narrow window of opportunity to be viable, which slammed closed when HashFast de-cloaked.

They had a second chance to focus on building a mine with HashFast instead wasting our BTC finishing their own obsolete, leapfrogged chip.

I advised them to take this course of action, but was Ignored.   :P

I know my other investment has yet to prove itself.

Did I ever say "my other investment has proven itself?"

No, I didn't.  So don't put words in my mouth.   ;)

I don't participate in obvious scams because to profit you have to sell to someone.  That someone becomes a bagholder and you are in part responsible for it.  Your money was used to pump up the scam.  Some people are comfortable taking advantage of strangers.  I am not.

It is more than a moral issue.  The law sees things the same way, and does on occasion force those that profit from scams to return their gains to compensate the ultimate victims.  Many of Bernie Madoff's investors ended up with bills from the SEC and lost in court when they fought the issue.

Only an idiot would advertise profiting off a scam, even if he was unaware he was participating in one initially.

Maybe the SEC will get around to forcing Theymos to refund the money he made 'investing' with Pirateat40  :-)