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If someone told you a guaranteed sports bet that had a 100% chance of winning, how much would you bet on it?

If you had a $10,000 bankroll, would you go all in? We’re talking 100% can’t lose bet.

Would you take out a loan? How would you go about acquiring a large sum of money if you didn’t have the capital.

Let’s say the match is starting 24 hours from now, what would be your plan to maximize your profit?

Asking for a friend  ;)

I don't understand...if the odds are well and truly 100℅, that means there is 0℅ chance of losing...

However, the market wouldn't be available for you to bet on if the odds were 100℅ in your favor, the casino or sports book would be handing money out especially if there is a larger payout to be made on the bet.

If the outcome is not determined before you make the bet, it's not truly 100% and there is definitely risk that you aren't aware of. If you are so certain that you want to risk your livelihood on something where the odds aren't truly 100%, that would be unwise.

If the odds are actually 100% and there is provably 0% chance of losing...then why not. The outcome is certain? This is entirely unrealistic though

A better question to ask is if you had a $10k bankroll and the bet is 90% chance to win how much would you bet?

and then reask the question again if you had 100k, then 1m, then 10m how much would you bet and at what stage would your approach be to protect your networth instead of growing it. :P I think that would be much more interesting.

Depends on who exactly said 100% chance of winning. If it was the organization that held the sports event, I'd go all in. If it's just someone who overheard that the fight is a fixed fight, then probably just 10%. But this is if I see people are actually betting on that team as well.

When it's a fixed fight people usually know but still leave doubt like Ngannou vs Fury. Pretty sure this is a fixed fight but it may still depend on who is running the show and sometimes politics are involved.

No never, there is no guaranteed win in sports betting. How does your friend know with 100% certainty that one team is going to win? I would be very sceptical when it comes to such statements and don't believe it. Why would anybody give you the information for free? The more people know about it the higher the chance the scam will be uncovered. Taking out a loan short term without collateral will lead to very high interest rate and you could be stuck with repaying the loan for many years if things go wrong.

I wouldn't bet all my money, I will still keep some, just in case, because we all know that in gambling there is no 100% chance of winning.


No, I wouldn't go all in, sorry, I will simply walk away and not bet anything.


I will not take a loan just to gamble, simply as that.


Just weigh the risk, but then again, this is just me, I will just put a bet that I can afford to lose, easy as that. No regrets whether I win or lose.

nothing at all

even $1 I would not bet

will never torture my own life just to gamble

there is no other way than just betting for happy fun. not all bettors put money first but at least for most gamblers there is still space left for gamblers looking for fun.

maybe my answer is a little more like a person who is skeptical of other people betting predictions because no matter how good other people predictions or analysis I will never trust and spend my money just to bet after being told if it guarantees a win. for me any gambling will never give a 100% guarantee which gives me positive thoughts to bet according to my own analysis even though its always not right but this is about satisfaction not a matter of money.

If I had $10k in capital I probably wouldn't risk it all, even though people say it's a bet with 100% chance of winning, still I wouldn't believe it because I would still find risks so I would avoid big bets, because I'm a small gambler so it's better to split the money into many small bets, why not try it with $ 500 if lucky it's good but if I lose I still keep the rest of my money. lol

I also won't get stuck with fomo let alone borrow money to bet in large amounts, I know that it will be a high risk, the higher the bet, the higher the risk, I often find someone who bets big with a 99% chance of winning Of course, you can lose, no matter how you bet, you have to use calculations. Don't be rash to bet big, let alone follow someone's predictions. It's best to follow your own research. After all, to get big profits, it all depends on how we do research, as well as luck. because everything can not be separated from luck. unless I'm the richest person in the world I'd bet over $10k  ;D

Hmm, there is no guarantee in anything gambling, since gambling has a higher risk there is also no guarantee of Winning in it is just luck that own everything in gambling, instead of me taking a loan that I will use in staking any bet I rather use all my money to bet so if by any means the bet get lost I will not have to hide from anybody and I will not look for a story to tell anyone as well.
If I have the $10k I will bet according to the odds provided for the game if the the odd is a 2 odd game I will put $5k on it so I can win times two (2×) of it and if I won the bet I will not still complain about me not putting all the money I have on the bet because I don't know if when I stake the whole money I have maybe that's when I will loss the bet.

This is assuming the 100% chance of winning is factual, and not the person themself "assuming" that the chance of winning is 100%. If so, then yes, I'd bet 100% on it. No I won't take a loan, I don't see the need to do so, assuming that the $10k was my bankroll. I don't aim to maximize profit in the first place in gambling, I just play for fun so I don't really have strategies or avenues in trying to actually aim for something, regardless of whether it's guaranteed or not. I set bets on increments that I think appeal to my confidence level, I don't set bets assuming I'd hit X amount if I bet Y amount, it sounds like a rather dumb way to bet.

I will not risk a penny of my money, especially if I have to borrow money to make this bet.

it would be stupid if I had to risk a large amount of my money. And I realized that there's no such thing as a perfect chance until it reaches 100%. Even if there are people who are able to analyze until they reach a 100% chance, they will not tell other people about it and that person will try their best to get capital, including by borrowing money.

and when someone offers this, it is clear that this is an attempted fraud.

Hypothetically answering here  ;D.If it is a sure thing that the sport match is a guaranteed win,I would go put all the money I have available in my bank account and if it is not enough I would even borrow money from the bank so I can add up and put the maximum amount that the sport book would allow me to bet.I would not be that much greedy as it is enough for me if the sport bet odd is well over 2,let's suppose is 2.5 and I would be very happy if I put the max amount that I am supposing is 100.000 dollars and I would get an extra 150.000 dollars profit,right now that profit is the average pay rate of a good profession in all Europe and even better than average after this lay offs crisis in technology where I happen to work.

Zero amount, then ask him how much did he stake on same bet? how did he know there's a guarantee in that bet? if he truly knows that it's a sure bet then he would have go for it first before telling me, they do this to pull us in when they know that there's no more hope for them and they don't have enough money to bet for themselves, there's no sure vet in gambling, we all take risk for betting to win or loose, if you think it's worth taking a risk on then stake the amount of money you could afford to loose on the bet.


The more you're being desperate for winning is the more the increase in the chances of loosing the entire for on that bet, no guarantee on any bet as 100% newbie should not be decieved


Sometimes trouble will be sleeping and we will be going around disturbing it to wake up on our request, did i just heard you with an alternative of taking a loan? any person involved in this kind of mess should definitely be a novice in gambling and needs to be oriented before they enter into debt which is a big time trouble.

It's a bit of a nonsensical question really, because a bet would naturally involve some degree - even the tiniest fraction - of risk involved. Otherwise you're just carrying out a transaction, like getting paid an interest rate from a bank for storing money their for a certain time period. The answer would be yes to such a proposition, because as you state - a hundred percent chance of winning guaranteed, is a zero risk proposition. However, what you're really like to be asking is if you have a bet that has a 97% or even 99% chance of winning, would you take it? In which case the answer would be no, because from personal experience I have seen such bets fail several times and fortunately only had tiny amounts at stake.

I don't think that we can see such wins,for it to be 100% true. It is better that you gamble with the amount of money that you can afford to loss so that if the game doesn't turn out as expected,you have nothing to worry about. The answer to your question is that if I can get someone to lend me a good sum of money,I will do that, so that after the game is over and I have withdrawn my wins,I will payback the lender.

So are you involved in fixed matches? Let's say you are directly in contact with the player or team, there is still no such thing as a 100% sure win. I heard about basketball-fixed matches in our local league here after a player made a confession. But there is still no 100% guarantee because not all of the players and coaches are part of the shameful acts. Fixed matchmaking is a little near 100% correct on individual sports since the player has 99% control over his own results.

If I have a $10k bankroll and I have direct connections with the player or the team itself then I'll go all in. But I will never take a loan or even withdraw all possible savings because educated bettors don't believe in a 100% sure win.

No, I won't be tempted on the offer,  I experience this kind of stuff when someone DM me on telegram giving me an offer to win 100% on some gambling platform.  He said that all I need is to agree and he can even give me credit on the platform.  The only condition is that I will give him half of the winnings.  Although his offer is convincing, I did not accept the offer because of the possible trouble that lie ahead if I accept the deal.


No, I won't try to be greedy, what if the promise is just bait?  Then I f*cked up big time.


Nothing, in a hypothetical situation everything is possible.  Even conning the other party is also possible.  So better not greedy to avoid any troubles.

Obviously, at first I would be extremely skeptical of that option having a 100% of chance of being correct, but assuming I got convinced I think I would go in with about 25% of my capital or even up to 50% of it.

I would not go all in or take a loan to take advantage of such scenario, because I have seen and read so many cases online of how people end up losing everything to a bet which was an easy guess.

It does not matter how high the chances are in a bet, one is never supposed to take a loan or sell one's stuff to gamble or bet, there is always a tiny chance things won't go as intended, even in those so-called "fixed" matches. Always use common sense.

Is it really possible to have a 0% chance of losing I don't think so and if there is I don't think I can take a loan, I will check the credibility of that someone if he is someone who can guarantee what I will put in then I'll go for it.
I have seen people almost committing suicide because they trust a person to tell them that they cannot lose and they should put everything, they have put all their savings only to lose everything.

When it comes to we should always be on the safe side. There is no such thing as guaranteed winning in gambling, it's not gambling if it's guaranteed to win.  

In such situation what will come to my mind is no gambling stake has a 100% winning chance and no guarantee to that and I would reflect on the past incidence of such thing happening when someone beat his chest that it was a sure game but it never happened that way. So if someone is telling me that it is a 100% certainty, I will still bet reasonably. I won't go for loan because it is not advised, I won't empty my account either but I will put a bet to my satisfaction that if I lose it will be like the usual occurrence too.

If it guarantees a 100% win, I'll do it, provided I do thorough research before doing it to make sure the odds are right and reasonable.
and besides that it depends on who informs the 100% chance of winning, and whether they are one of the organizers and also have influence on the sporting event, and that's all after I do research to make a decision. Because if I bet 10k it's not a small amount, so it really needs consideration and I have to be careful until I'm really sure and do it.

Wait, what? Is there anything like a 100% guarantee in sports betting, not even the sports bookies will tell me to go all in and will do that, the same way there are chances of winning so there are high chances of losing, and if you lose, you will have no one t blame but yourself, and you know what, whenever I have a bankroll on $10,000, I will never use that on a bet, life is not all about betting, I will take my chances on other aspects of life; Bettin $10k for a bet is not even fun to me, that's more like a stupid idea.

In a real clause, whenever I hear anyone say a bet is 100% guaranteed to win, I do ignore them but in this situation, I will give it a try with another shot at funds that I don't need that time, perhaps max is going to be $100 and if that happens, I will be giving it a shot when there is a called but I wouldn't raise my wager, better to play safe and win for tomorrow or wager all your capital and go home without any means of having another money to play the next day.

Since this is a hypothetical question. The correct answer is 100% of your bankroll assuming that the bankroll amount that you provide is just dedicated for gambling purposes and not a life savings or something that has an important use. We are talking about guaranteed 100% winning chance rate bet here.

I might add up some micro loan for this bet if I will experience this kind of golden opportunity. I knew this bet is only possible with fixed match but there’s no really a 100% can’t lose bet even on fixed match since there’s a chance that the match will be caught as fixed match and your bets will be confiscated for being involved.

That means there is no loss, which means 0% chance of losing? Wouldn't bet on it I think the guarantee of nothing is accurate.
Don't understand why can't lose. I'm not a lot of money spending in gambling I won't do that.
Loan I don't think so. It's too risky to conclude on a loan when you don't have the capital to do it.
Looking for opportunities by looking at statistics, but it will not be 100% accurate.

Fortunately this is a hypothetical question. in fact I will not believe, if there is someone who tells that he guarantees to have a 100% tip to win the chance of winning in betting. so you see, theoretically, in sports betting nothing is certain and therein lies the uniqueness of sports betting. in principle, if there is someone who claims he has a 100% winning tip for sure. i would say, if he is a liar. in theory, if that person has 100% accuracy of winning in his sports betting. why should he share it with others, he can keep it to himself.

Well, therefore, I can't answer what you are asking from this thread. anyway, this is a hypothetical question. in fact, we're talking only on an "IF" basis. I would like to ask otherwise, in case, if this someone just wants to set us up. and we gamble with all the money we have, then we are in trouble. but let's be honest, there is no gambler who doesn't want to win from his bet. but if someone claims to have a 100% tip to win the bet, then its legitimacy should be questioned.
on the other hand, if this tip is given from an unscrupulous athlete, coach, or management of a sports team, maybe we can consider it. but that way, automatically there is an arrangement that occurs in the match.

No, that's ridiculous, no one can guarantee that bets can win up to 100%, that's impossible. If that existed, we would see gamblers winning millions of dollars every day. did you see it, no.

You are asking questions in phenomena, scientific or theoretical terms, isn't that theory different in the field from the reality that actually happened, for me gambling is not based on a hypothesis, it's based solely on luck, you bet and win was luck and as good luck for you that day, you gamble today to win, tomorrow you may not necessarily suffer the same fate, for that in gambling there is no guarantee whatsoever for you to win, remember that.

There is no such thing, this is just a misuse of words and it's not safe, even if someone knows the best bet on a game there is still a chance that it is wrong, not until the game is over and you see the end result.

So I won't advice anyone to use big money they can't afford to lose to place a bet because they believe someone is a pro at prediction, the truth is it's still prediction.

Also even if that person is very good at prediction they won't always make the right decision, there will be times where they will be wrong, what happens if you use a large amount of money that you aren't ready to lose and that bet comes unlucky? That means you lose it all.

I do not believe that anyone is a professional gambler and they don't used to losing, the only way to be a professional gambler is to manage to stay safe.

Many lose everything they've had because of that someone and it is possible that the game is fixed and there's always a possibility of change of mind from players that they are not going to fix anymore.

I would like to do my own analysis for me to bet my $10k bankroll and I will never take a loan I will bet with an amount I'm comfortable with losing and I always maintain that it's still 50/50.
For gambling addicts, this is a big temptation that is hard to ignore because they are very greedy to make money and regain their losses, but not for a responsible gambler

I don't think adding a micro loan for such bet is reasonable. Taking a loan is like a leverage and that is risky, it is better to bet base on your capacity and not relying on what additional loan for it. Worse of it is that there is no guarantee that you will have the winning so why thinking of adding loan, some match are fixed which could be discovered. Like the example you gave, some times you see matches stopped on the way or suspended if the organizer believe there is fixing on it, so in such case you either lose your bet money or it is returned to you.

If the source is legitimate then I might take it. But I still won't bet at that large sum especially if I don't know anything about the sport. Increase the chance even though they said it's 100% guaranteed by researching if it's really possible.
You cannot just blindly take the bet because someone said so. It's not different from those tipsters who always say their picks are guaranteed.
$10k is not a joke money. Better to just be in safety first by testing it out. If it wins, then good, but I won't go as far as taking a loan from the bank or borrowing from a friend just for this. What if it's a loss? Then, you just dug your own grave.

0, none, nada.

When someone offers something that is too good to be true, it usually is a scam.

That's basic, every gambler must know about that.

It's not actually a bad idea to take a loan for such a purpose, people who would do this I guess are more than 100% sure. While it is risky, he plans to make money out of thin air. I'm sure he'd enjoy it if the fixed fight is right.

I'd be tempted to do this as well if there is just someone who will lend some without collateral and hope it will return 2x at least to pay for the interest. However, it feels like the question is meant for us to dream a bit while it can't hardly be real.

To make sure that I will not lose I will ask for a loan from someone who told me about that 100% winning, with the deal that I will only pay him with interest if the bet is really true, now I'll know if he is not bluffing, it's hard to believe on something that is too good to be true.
I have been a victim of false or fake tips and false news, even the best tipster makes a mistake and you are left with a bad loan we should not be tempted to take things that are presented to us without investigating first.

Once I got an opportunity to play a fixed match. Through some signal providers I received the confirmed odds. I don't know how those signal providers got it. Maybe this could be a coincidence. Believing in them I just placed small amount around $10. End of the match it was a winning bet and I wasn't able to believe it is an insider information. So, I never go for big money into such assured bets, because we're believing someone without reason.

The problem with your hypothetical question is that it is so hypothetical that it is impossible. In this life there is no 100% certainty of anything except that you will die.



That's right.

So, since there is always a chance of being cheated or that for some reason the bet doesn't come out as expected, depending on the probability I would assign, I would bet more. I would never ask for a loan, though. With my own money, if for example I thought the probability of winning was 99% I would bet everything I have in my bankroll, that is to say the $10,000 you say, and apart from that I would probably deposit everything I have available in cash and I would probably liquidate part of some investments I have to bet on it.

But for the sake of argument, let's assume that there is a 100% probability, i.e. you are like God and you know you are going to win the bet for sure. So apart from the $10,000 I'd take out loans or whatever, I'd bet as much money as I could get my hands on until the deadline for placing the bet.

Lol I believe you're joking thou but truly no matter how certain and promising the game look, I can not stake my whole savings talk more of borrowing money to stake on a game. By the way, betting is spiritual that even the seers can not tell the exact outcome result but rather provide a mere prediction just like some of us which can be accurate some time or otherwise as well. Bookmakers would have been bankrupt if 100% guarantee games exit as we use to see on social media.

I do forecast my games and as well play the ones share by friends but on no circumstance I stake above my limit. If you can control your greediness, you can control your lose.

You can never predict an outcome, especially in gambling which is played by luck. But since it is a hypothetical question and you've mentioned that there is a 100% chance of winning, then I would probably bet all I have in my bankroll. Simply because a 100% chance means a guaranteed win. But again, a 100% chance of winning in gambling is impossible, maybe in a skilled game it can be, but in gambling it can never happen.

it is not a guaranteed win of course. I mean, You make a valid point about the unpredictability of betting outcomes. It's indeed true that no matter how promising a game might seem, there's always an element of uncertainty involved. Responsible gambling is crucial, and setting limits to avoid going beyond your means is a very smart approach. Greedinesses can often lead to more losses than gains, and maintaining a level-headed perspective is essential when engaging in any form of gambling. It's good to hear that you're being cautious and pragmatic in your approach to betting. Remember, gambling should be seen as entertainment rather than a surefire way to make money.

There is no "100% guaranteed bet." Why would I follow to someone else's "surefire" advice, even if it were available and I had the funds? I only rely on my insights, analysis, and abilities

If I had $10,000 in the bank? Financially speaking, going all in on a single wager, even if it is purportedly 100 percent guaranteed, is not prudent. It's not about the quantity or the guarantee; it's about the concept of prudent financial management. Obtaining a loan? This is a rabbit hole you should avoid, particularly for something as volatile as gambling

Nonetheless, if I were to entertain this hypothetical scenario and the match begins in 24 hours, I would first verify the source's credibility. Then, perhaps, I would leverage a small portion of my capital. But remember, betting based on someone else's word? It never goes my way

Of course I would, since it's an hypothetical question where the outcome is 100% assured to be favourable to me. Who wouldn't go all in? I think it's pretty obvious... The point is that it doesn't apply to reality, since this person who told you about the guaranteed bet may be deceiving you or may be deceived by someone else as well.

If it were simple like that, a loan would be very welcome. I wouldn't bother borrowing money, making huge easy profit and paying it back on the next day.

To take a volumous loan. :D

Some information was not filled by you correctly and it's kind of confusing too if how did you know about these things in the first place.
I mean, did you have something an interesting detail that only the inner circle knows about? Perhaps an insider? Because the bookies will certainly not publish a bet that will give them the 100 percent of the opposite while you as the bettor have the 100 percent chance of winning.

Either way, only bet the money that you can afford to lose because even if these things are true, it will not guarantee you that the projected outcome will happen. In sports, the front offices may decide but it's the players who will make it happen and there are some instances that they are not in-favor of it.

First of all we are dealing with gambling here and there’s no way for us to know if any predictions is 100% or not and the fact that a game will always have some possibility of losing then I won’t want to risk a lot of money that I can’t afford to lose.

No manager who’s giving me the prediction I’m still going to stick with betting with the money I can afford to lose and if perhaps something happens and I stake more than I can afford and it turned out that the game turned out to be a shit game I’ll only end up being called a greedy bettor for wanting to get bet a large amount on a prediction that I’m not sure of.

There is never a guarantee in any bet its always a 50: 50, chance anybody that tell you that a bet is 100% sure bet can not be trusted of course it involved taking a risk, with reference to your question I think I will rather risk 50% of my total fund to play the bet whatever the outcome of the bet win or lose  I would be contended and satisfied, I would never take a loan to play any bet because I had experienced such a scenario where  someone came with some bet slips with guarantee of winning if I staked with all my funds, of course I told him bettings is a risky and a game of chance I only played with 50% of my fund Lo and Behold the bet was lost.

Your topics are almost all the time on the same topic  ;)
Have you already several times (if I'm not mistaken) known the outcome of a sporting event in advance, but still haven't been able to generate significant income from it?
As for me, I would bet maybe 10% of my investment money, but I know that this would not happen because the sports outcome has a probability exactly less than 100%.

I don't understand what you mean. In the world of gambling, no one wins 100%. Unless you organize gambling behind the scenes. But I don't think anyone is stupid enough to tell someone that the bet is guaranteed to win 100%

But, because I think this is just imagination, what will I do if I know a bet that is guaranteed to win 100%, then I will make as much money as possible. I'll borrow from everyone I know, maybe even borrow from a bank. I think everyone would do something like that. But it's a shame that this is just imagination, no bookmaker can guarantee a 100% win.

Even the David and Goliath boxing match still has the kind of possibility that Goliath will lose. I never have a connection to someone who informs me about a match that will offer me a 100% win but I'm sure not gonna trust that someone. OP didn't mention what kind of sport is this. It will help gamblers to decide how to bet if it's specified.

This is just an example though so I will go all in so long as it is 100% that it's Goliath they chose to win. As long as it's the obvious winning team they plan to win, I will bet.

Whether it is a confirmed bet or something else, at any point we should not think of spending through loan or as a whole. We don't have anything proven, when there is something related to the money involved. What we can do, just understand how good is the sports and the inner minds thinking. Sometimes our feel will be positive and mostly it'll be against the reality. So, just spend few dollars on these confirmed bets.

The classic question that originates from a friend of a friend's friend.

Man, you do not have to do anything different from what you have been doing, it is still a bet and the probability that something happens , so, You must be handled in the same way that you would make your traditional bets.

 It's a mistake to make a different move, you don't need to change anything.

Now, after that, what can change is your life because a 100% guaranteed bet does not come alone, there are interests that charge your life, justice or your morality.

If that is 100% chance of winning in the game, I would still only take it with the amount of money I am willing to lose. I am not going to take a load, sell any property in return. Why? Because 100% winning is not a 100% withdrawing your money and wins. Did you get my point? What if all bettors win? Is the company or the casino pay it all? What if it is just a glitch and the casino, takes your money and also not give you your win? Can you stomach that?

Not because it is 100% win does mean it no longer have any risk. There's always risk in anything. So for me, I will only risk the mount of money I can lose.

It sounds like you're pretty sure about that 100% chance of winning. If I were in your shoes, I'd go all-in on that too. And hey, if you've already got the $10k ready to roll, then why not, it was meant for gambling anyway, right? But I wouldn't take a loan or go over my gambling budget. I'm not such a risk-taker!

But, honestly, it's tough to imagine a scenario where you're guaranteed a 100% win. Especially in sports betting, that's almost like trying to catch a unicorn. Even if a match is rigged and you've got some insider info, surprises can still pop up. There's always that tiny possibility things might not swing your way, no matter how slim.

I have a family friend who doesn't gamble or play pools but he's has been receiving numbers in his dream. When I heard about this initially from my brother I never believed it but one sunday evening when he came to my house, I and my brother were talking about football. He looked at us and was like I got a game, I asked him how he got it and he told me from his dream. I smiled and asked for the games, he dipped his hands into his pocket and brought out a piece of paper. I cross-checked the numbers on a pool site and all 5 games drew that weekend. He got the game on saturday morning and did not play it. I showed him how much he would have won depending on the amount he staked. It's been more than 3 years and he hasn't had that encounter in his dream.

So if I should get such game again from him I would go all in with a very good stake. I don't need to get a loan somewhere and I will never advise anyone to borrow to gamble.

This is not something good I guess this started from having a small amount of bet and they will just simply give you the final result so when you decide to finally bet a huge amount of money, that's when the problem starts because it won't be like the last time anymore rather you just simply lose your money and might gonna be just put your self in a situation where you cannot find any peace after it. I think this is a scam and you shouldn't believe that when they send you messages they know the outcome of any match or results because it may be a trap that they are luring you to take their baits.

There are actually two answers for this question despite you mentioned that the bet is a 100% win ( impossible in real life) for the sake for finding the what we do.

Option A: Play safe

I mean even if I know I can double or triple or whatever the amount I bet, simply I will approach in the safest choice like always which is only bet with the money that you can afford to lose. So lets say you bet $1000 and won $10000 still you made $9K with no risk at all.

Option B : Do or Die

Just get whatever money you can like asking from a friend, your entire life savings, taking a quick loan with huge interest and everything of that kind then you make a bet with $1 million dollar and made 10 times of it which seems good but what if the thing is not 100% cause it is actually 99.999% so technically you can say 100 but still there is a possibility for a lose but you went for it and got backfired now what, possibly the end of your life?

I will prefer A but I don't know how others react to the same situation. :D

I probably wouldn't if I don't have a proof that the chance of winning is 100%. If your friend has some kind of track record on having a very good winning streak, I probably would try to bet on the tip he just gave me. Though I wouldn't take a loan, borrowing money is not my thing even if it's a 100% chance. I will just probably ask the friend to give me another tip if the bet somehow won and roll the initial capital and the profit that I use from the first betting tip he gave me.

If you really trust your friend and you really want to maximize the amount of money to be won, try selling things that you don't use, declutter for quick cash and use it to bet on the tip that your friend gave.

This question really traps gamblers into acting greedy ;D

I won't take the risk even if there is a 100% chance of winning. But I could use $10-$100 to see the truth. But I don't want to go all in because I don't know if there is a 100% chance of winning.

And I won't take out any loans because betting $100-$1000 alone is too big for me. I usually bet less than $5-$10. There may be people who want to take out loans, and those who are used to borrowing will be able to find loans quickly.

From the point of view of mathematics, if we know that the victory is 100% guaranteed, we must bet all our money plus borrow as much money as possible to earn as much as possible. The problem is that reality is different from mathematical reasoning and loss can happen even with a supposedly 100% chance of winning. Therefore, sober-minded people will limit their risk in any case and will not play with borrowed money.

As in 100% guaranteed? How am I going to verify that it's a sure 100% win bet and it's not going to lose? Even I, when someone tells about guarantees and things, I don't want to feel 100% secured with their words.

Maybe if I've got a spare and not $10k, I'll place a bet to test that and if I win then I won't try it again. That's usually how it goes like? They're like going to give you the confidence you've won and then will make you bet more.

I don't mind maximizing the profit, it's all about a test and if I win then thanks but I'll go away after.

First, i would really be that skeptical since there's no such thing about 100% sure bet and those kind of fixed matches information that would easily surfaced out from nowhere.Unless if that person who you do able to meet

is part of mafia but how you would be able to know? This is why on the time that you would really be hearing this out then i would definitely be that skeptical with the validity or the legitimacy of such information but we cant really blind ourselves that fixed matches do really exist and it could really happen. This is why if you are that someone who do easily get hooked up with these kind of claims then you would really be doing your best and tons of method on getting that $10k which you might really be ending up on getting some loan but i would say that this is really just that suicide. If you do able to hit up then thats luck and not something came from legitimate source about match fixing.

So this would be entirely be depending on how someone would be taking up seriously with these kind of claims on which not all would really be that easily believe about this thing because
just like i said that such informations arent something that you could easily be able to obtain or attain.

Of course and obviously, NO. Who the hell is this "someone"? How come they will know the result?

Aside from that, these guys won't just talk to random people saying "Hey bet on this and you won't lose". And for you, how come you will believe easily in a "guaranteed bet with 100% chance of winning"? There's no such thing as 100% winning even if there's an inside job.

Better just ignore those guys. That's not even a question in the first place.

I would be skeptical as hell if someone had guaranteed a 100% chance of getting a win on a sports bet. And if I had 10k to play with, I may test the waters with about 1k. Taking out a loan would be out of the question as taking out a loan from the bank to gamble irrespective of how much of a guarantee I get.
I would be curious, no doubt and that’s why I just might be tempted to part with a little to place the bet on the so called guaranteed game.
Unless it’s a fixed game, i don’t see how it could be guaranteed a 100% to be a win.

The reality will often be different than what was said before, where a 100% guaranteed win will be difficult to get. It's still profitable if we can still win, say 40%, but it's not worth doing if we lose it all. For this reason, we have to think rationally that getting a 100% guaranteed win is difficult, so we better keep placing as big bets as we can afford. By doing that, even if we lose, that amount won't make us regret it and be sad because it's the amount we can really afford.

But some people are tempted to hear offers of 100% guaranteed winning because they rarely get offers like that, so they will try to bet all in, plus borrow as much money from other people as possible. They really hope they can get a big win this time because they bet with big money. They don't predict what will happen if the bet is lost, and they lose all their money, including the borrowed money. Oh boy, they would be in very big trouble.

The profitability of a bet depends not only on the probability of guessing the outcome, but also on what the win multiplier is. For example, if we guess with a probability of only 1%, but the multiplier is x500, then we are in a huge plus.


I think anyone who interacts with people (leads a socially active life) very often encounters such proposals. Fraudsters, advertisers, etc. always promise a lot. It seems to me that any adult should get used to weeding out such proposals immediately.

If it is a source that I really trust, I think I will invest all my spare money. Of course, this may change depending on my situation at the time, but it is not possible to say anything for sure. I don't think the bets will be sure, but if it was a sure thing I would take a big bet. What have I got to lose?
The only thing I will learn from this is not to trust anything even 100%.
If I had 10K dollars, yes I would bet it all, but I wouldn't take a loan because it's not in my personal opinion to do that with borrowed money. It doesn't make sense for me to take these bets with borrowed money.
To maximize my profit, I think I would tell my friends and acquaintances that this bet is a sure thing and that I would like to make some profit on my bet.

If you're 100% of it then betting all of it would be a good thing to do. A hundred percent means no risk of losing in comparison with just having high chances of winning; these are two different things. Bit if it is jist a subjective claim then  betting on it won't have a 100% guarantee so betting just a portion would be best in this instance. Taking a loan is not necessary, it'll just put you in more trouble, also being greedy won't put you to somewhere better. I do agree that it depends on that someonw who would ckaim a no chance of losing bet. Bottomline lies between a subjective claim and an assured statement. Asking for his assurance would be best as well and if he would be able to support that claim of his/her with facts, then going all out would be good but never to push you to put more into that bet.

If it is a 100% chance then why wouldn't I go all in on it?
But we all know that there is no such thing as 100% sure win in gambling, even those who have a small chance or what we call underdogs could win.
So if someone would tell me that there is a 100% chance to win in a bet or gambling I would just ignore it.

Well, first thing i would ask from you that how do you know it's 100%? Would i need to trust that friend on that or would i have confirmed it somehow? Would it be a rigged game? And even if it would be how could i be sure that i have been given accurate information about it?

If i knew or a fact i have 100% probability to win i obviously bet everything i have and would take high interest loan. But there's no such thing as knowing something 100%. This is a gambling we are talking about and anything can happen in a game or a fight what you are betting on. You don't know many things in your life that happens in 100% certainty, so how would you do that in gambling?

I would first of all see the source that has given me the tip about the game because there can never be a guaranteed bet unless a match has already been fixed someone from the inside knows about it and you have received the tip directly from that person so that you can be sure that it is not a joke or it has 100% guarantee of being right. Once that is done, then I will start thinking about how much I would like to place on that bet since I know I will win.

There is one more thing that one needs to make sure about, if you have been making normal bets on a sportsbook and you suddenly make a very high bet, that will surely be a red flag for the management and they can confiscate your funds and ban or block your account right at that moment.

"guaranteed bets". There is no such thing as a guaranteed thing, unless you have an inside connection, which I would not recommend for obvious reasons. As you correctly pointed out, confirming the source is crucial. But consider, even if you have inside information, isn't that against the game's spirit?

Now, regarding bet amounts. Making a sudden, large bet is like showing up to a quiet dinner party with a marching band. Everyone is going to notice particularly the sportsbook management. And if you're too apparent, well, let's just say they'll kick you out without hesitation.

However, why would anyone consider taking such a risk? That is the essence of gambling: the unique adrenaline of uncertainty. Although... one could argue that winning is the true objective. Anyway, play it safe, be intelligent, and always, always trust your instincts - or don't, I could be incorrect.

If the odds are too far away from each other, then sports bookies will certainly know what you're up to or at least they will make an assumption judging from the bet you've taken because you're siding with the heavy underdog. You know, a huge bet with the impossible team that looks so clear that came out of nowhere.
Regarding to your question if it's not against the game's spirit? Big time rollers who are only in for the money and not the sport itself will certainly go with it without thinking twice.

That's obvious, but we will have difficulty getting the multiplier. And of the many people who play, maybe some people can get a big multiplier but can't even reach maxwin. Maxwin only comes to people who are so lucky that they deserve it.

They don't need to try it even though the promotion is very attractive, especially if it is from a casino we don't know about or even a shady casino. If we still want to try it with all the risks that can occur, we must use the money we can afford so that the risk of losing the money could be better.

It's true that we all know this about gambling that whenever we make a bet, there's no guarantee for winning on it and therefore we are taking the risk of either winning or loosing, also if it were to be true, why didn't he take the first advantage in betting it than bringing it forward for his friend, some things are not easily convincing enough due to the circumstances around, we should not be decieved.


I think this depends on their their ToS on the gambling platform, they would have disallow the function instead of placing a restriction on any gambler after giving an attempt.

If the bet had a 100% chance of winning, I'd definitely go all in. However, I'd still have that lingering feeling of a potential loss even if the bet is guaranteed.

Events in the future aren't ever truly guaranteed at 100%, IMO anything could change. OK To be honest, I'd aim to wager as much as possible but not absolutely everything. I prefer to avoid potential trouble in case that something impossible occurs. So I'd likely use the money that I could afford to lose only for that one specific bet.

There’s really no 100% guaranteed win bet but since this is a hypothetical question then you should consider is as guaranteed which in realistically speaking, I will go all-in including loans to increase my bet size since this is one time opportunity of your life.

Why the need to worried if the bet is guaranteed? We are not talking about real life bets here. I think the main point on this thread if will user follow human behavior for doing all in bet or will still doubt in the presence of opportunity like this.

LOL. If you think that any sports bet has a 100% chance of winning then why think how much money we need to bet. Until you die, you will never get a 100% guarantee when involved in gambling. It's called betting, how can there be a full percentage for a win.

Not for me and maybe it's up to others, loans and gambling are two issues that need to be responsible to get involved in. So far, have you thought about this impact?

Don't have any plans and only want to bet when I have confidence in winning each bet?

@NAPK1NS_RA3, what happened to your prediction of this "guaranteed bet"?


You locked the thread too soon, so we couldn't comment on the match result.  ;)

You would really be always having those kind of doubts considering we do know on how reality works and on how it do moves on which gambling is certain that no 100% assurance of winning unless if it is really that been
fixed but just like on what most people been saying here that this kind of information isnt something that you could really get easily and on which that certain poster above me ^^ showing OP's recent bet picks
and locking up the thread so that people cant make a comment or post in case it would be a losing bet?  ;D Clever one.

There are insiders that give hint to their client.  They have information about a fights that are getting rigged.  Though I can't prove it that way, but I believe that there is something the same happening inside a league.  Those that have authority, influence and money can manipulate the result of the game reason why there had been an endless rumor about several sports game being rigged.  Anyway, this is hypothetical questions so being realistic about the event is out of the question.


But as I said this is hypothetical question, so it doesn't need to be entirely true since the question already present itself as not possible and is a matter of "just in case".

This is a mind tempting question because this alone can test our ability to make decisions. The question can also test our greediness level and see if we can make proper decisions in time of challenges. If this eventually be a scenerio which I am involved, I would rather us like $100 to make the bet so that I can weigh my risk to reward ratio than using big fund to make the bet and the worse now happens. I have been in similar conditions like this before and I knew what I passed through because of my greediness to bet with funds I can't afford to lose.

Knowing fully well that there is no guarantee bet, and also there is nothing like sure odds, so if anyone is so convinced about his bet and wants men to risk an amount on it, I will try not to put my two feet, so I will only stake an amount I can afford to lose and that is all about that because I have hard several of experiences of those sure games and sometime some of them will even go as far as asking for a fee before giving out such sure odds.
So the ultimate goal is to win and in winning there is a high level of luck and there is nothing like sure games, any game can either lose or win, so it can go both ways for games.

Would I have known that it is a guaranteed win? The fact that you'd have to trust the person's best intentions about it is already a dealbreaker for me, but at the same time I may humor the idea especially if it's someone who was able to prove that what they are trying to say is indeed true. In which case, I may gamble all my bankroll for that bet and take my winnings, however high they must be. Losses are off the table anyway and the only thing that's preventing me from getting that win is the confidence to trust in someone I barely know. Otherwise if they weren't able to prove their credibility by showing me past eventualities or at least evidences that lead me to think that they are correct, I'm inclined to not believe them and not gamble. I still would humor the idea and I may put in a couple hundred dollars on it though.

I wouldn't take a loan from the bank, but perhaps from close friends and family in order to increase my bet size and claim the free money. Though for sure if it's a 100% guaranteed win, the odds will be extremely low or even close to 1 to which only those who have huge bets will profit. I'm also sure that the oddsmakers also know about this and will surely be shifting the advantage to those whom they work for, so it's only a worthwhile bet to those who have deep pockets, for sure.

Thats a big risk. Though it is a confirmed bet I believe we need luck to win bets. I've come across articles in which a person placed bet @1.01 lost the bet. Here he had place a big amount as bet, if he had won he could've got 12k as profit. This means the bet value is more than a million. What he had taken is a risk but on something like a confirmed winning bet. What happened at the end. The same could happen, so better is to examine with small fund that doesn't affect the living even when the bet is lost.

I've heard someone say something like that a few times in the world of gambling and I think it's just a strategy to trick gamblers into making bigger bets.
If I master a bet that is said, I better analyze the odds first. I will not easily believe someone if he says big odds and 100% if we bet on that bet even though I know someone who says that well.
I will still bet with the capital I have, if I don't have enough capital I won't take the risk of taking out any loans to bet.

Obviously there is no such thing as a bet with a 100% chance of winning, so I imagine that there is some irregularity in this that could be:
- A bug detected on the website;
- Bribing a player so that he commits a foul, an own goal, or even causes an expulsion, etc.

Thinking about these hypotheses, I would certainly not even make that bet, because first:
It's illegal... although money is never too much, you need to understand the morality of this issue and also the risks involved. Certainly my imprisonment for justice is not worth the money earned.
Consequently, because it is doing something illegal, there is a possibility that the site will detect the fraud and block all the money invested in the bet, money that will never return to the player.

If your 100% winning bet isn't illegal, I would certainly bet good money (not my entire investment, let alone loans). But I don't see that this is possible.

Hmm so this sound like a match-fixing? But after I verify that it's legit, of course I will bet most of my money and I can even sell my house and everything only for it. I will also borrow money because happenings like this can be once in a lifetime only so I should use all of my chances now.

I'm not a selfish type of a person so I will  spread the word to my family, relatives, and friends so that they can make a quick profit as well. I know you OP, you are the guy who likes to bet huge and you also win most of your games. It looks like you are serious with this one huh? But maybe you can share the blessings with us here? Come on don't be shy ;D .

This hypothetical question OP is real to him but sadly he becomes a victim of false information since he literally lose big time amount by betting huge bets on the match that was supposed to be 100% win according to this https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5465213.msg62775177#msg62775177.

Lesson learned is to never trust somone offering a 100% sure win on sportsbook since fixed match is very rare and you don’t know if the player will follow or not because it’s their choice and they have the chance to backout when they are about to be caught.

a bet with a 100% winning chance? Imagine that. As 'imaginative' as they may be, your theories offer a plethora of entertaining nonsense. Bribing players due to a bug on the website. You make an accurate appraisal of the morality and legality. Nonetheless, there's a noticeable lack of maturity. Gambling is all about excitement, risk, and uncertainty. Maybe one should stick to bonds and fixed deposits if they want guarantees?

And then there's this gem - "If your 100% winning bet isn't illegal, I would certainly bet good money". Wow, what faulty reasoning. Even if betting were a science, I doubt its theorem would state that anything is 100% certain. Hey, everyone enjoys a good laugh sometimes. I toast to your novel perspective on the unlikely

This often happens in the gambling world because saying something like that will change a person's psychology drastically, and he will think that it is possible to get something. But they don't think about whether it's really possible, let alone the words they get from the world of gambling, where losses will occur more often than wins. And rather than experiencing something we don't want, it's better if we keep betting with the capital we have and don't need to take any bigger risks. That is enough for us because if we lose, we have to accept the risk of losing a very large amount of money, which people usually cannot afford.

Bribing any players is a reality for some smaller leagues but that information are mostly classified and just for the inner circle only because they are the ones who will benefit best from it as for them, it's a business day and for some reasons, they might need that loss or win, either way, we just don't know why.

And for simple terms, to us, the gambler, there's a slight chance that we will have this kind of information as it's not that shared on the outside. And if you're a bettor, then you surely aren't from the inner circle because if you are already benefitting from it in the first place then surely you don't have to wager any money towards it. Makes sense right.

This kind of "inner circle" information is usually kept very secret. As a "semi-professional gambler", my advice? Always approach betting as a game of skill, not insider info.

People who know? Most likely, they're not betting. So, we regular gamblers have to play with the cards we're given. We work on our skills, learn about statistics and chances, and come up with plans. Putting your money on secret goals? Risky business! Instead, pay attention to facts and chances. In gambling, being right isnt about what people say; its about what you know. Its not about how many tricks you know, but how you use them.

You forgot to mention the main point in your "hypothetical" question guy, at which odds you can take this bet precisely? In other words how much you could expect to win from your stake? Because if it's less than <1.10 I wouldn't take the risk, it could be a scam, or sportbooks could spot something strange, cancel the bet and lock your funds while asking many questions and documents in order to get back your deposit even if you've been cautious, if some other guys haven't been so cautious and have made mistakes.

If there is someone telling me that there is 100% winning bet, I will not trust it in the first place.
There is no such thing in this gambling industry, no 100% winning chance so I cant imagine how to deal with it.
However even if I'm sure for a bet, I will not go all in, it is better to safe than sorry later.
Taking a loan for it? Of course not, that's too risky and I can even say that it is dumb.

It will be a big risk for sure because in gambling, there wouldn't be any guarantee that the result would be 100% sure and accurate. It could change anytime no matter what basis we may have for prediction. Also, it wouldn't be wise to take loans just to gamble. We should still know our limitations especially in taking risks. Don't go all in if you can't deal with the possible result of losing. It's better to allocate only the funds that we could afford in gamble and don't listen too much to hearsays because everyone can easily say that there would be best results but there will never be any assurance.

Totally that something an information that wont really go out so easily or would really be known if ever there would really be some plans in speaking about rigging or fixing a match.This is why if ever we do see someone

who do make out some claims that they do have some insider information then i wouldn't really be tending on buying out if ever we do see these things around.Its true that its not an information that you could really be able to see on public places or social medias. This is why 99% or even 100% of them are just pretending or simply faking out and luring in people to believe on what he's been saying.This is why it is really that totally risky when you do maximize out your potential profit and taking up some loan just to bet on a certain game just because you've been saying that there is really that match fixing? You dont even know about its source.

Also, when it comes to total gambling or betting experience then it would really be that enjoyable and thrilling if you are the ones who do make out such bet choice rather than on relying into others.
Its not really that something that could assure out some win and also it wont really be that much regretable if ever you had made out the wrong choice.

Exactly my point. These kind of information aren't shared to someone who is not a part of their circle and if you as the bettor, know about it, then it's just a mere rumor and there is a big chance that it might be a trap meant to drive the gamblers from their supposed fighter/team to bet.

Moreover, don't let yourself to be swayed from the information that aren't really relevant to you and just focus on what you think because gambling is always about the guts and ability to think ahead so that our bets will have a much higher chances even if it's not guaranteed.

You shouldn't go all in and you already said the reasons for it. And if let us say we can win, there is still no guarantees that we can withdraw our winnings because I'm sure that the betting place will question us on why we bet so much money. Not only us but there are others who did the same thing, so it will also be hard for them to pay us all if ever they ( gambling place ) will just accept their defeats easily.

If someone tells me the same thing ( about 100 percent sure win bet ), I will also do the same response. I remember there were couple of threads like that before in the forum but I never opened it because I know they are only a scam, if not illegal.

There's no such thing about 100% on real or legit games on which you do bet on (unless if its fixed) then it would be 100% sure that it would win. This is why it would really be that so hard to make out bets despite on knowing on which team or player does have the upperhand or simply which one is the favorite on which this is where it mostly people would really be betting on. If there's such thing about 100% winning rate and then you do get a loan of $10k on which you do believe that it would gonna hit? It would really be totally risky whenever what angle we would really be looking on. We know that it cant really be just that possible that there's a sure bet and it cant be called gambling in the first place if it was 100% sure win rate. Also, its never been that recommendable on making use of a loan money when you do gamble on which it would really be just that
putting you out on great danger on the time those amount would really be totally vanished in thin air if the best was a lose. Therefore, its always recommended that you should really be making use of the amount
on which you can really that afford to lose.

This kind of event is just like an imagination because everyone knows that nothing is 100% certain in sport betting or casino. the only thing that can make me go all in on a bet is if the person that told me agrees to refund me if it loses. if this is agreed upon then i can borrow some money to play but these things dosent really happen like that. i have seen some people being scammed with this kind of idea that a game is 100%  sure in the name of fixed game and they pay for it but eventually lose.

That's true, so we as gamblers also have to think that even though he says his predictions that he can really achieve a 100% chance of winning, that doesn't guarantee that we can win. Maybe you can, but you can't win continuously because this is gambling where changes make betting uncertain. But if he can agree to return the money if we lose, we can bet big money because he is guaranteed to return the money if the prediction is wrong. So be careful if we see offers like this because nothing is certain in gambling.

No. Never. Why would you trust somebody who gives you a tip which includes 100% chance of winning? That is so sketchy. At some point your common sense starts ringing alarms and if you do not see anything wrong with taking out a loan just because someone told you that you have a 100% chance of winning, then you should stay away from gambling altogether, because that with that level of naivety, you will definitely lose 100% of you money, 100% of all the time.

Instead, you need to start questioning yourself. Why would someone give you a such a tip? What is their goal? Could they be working together with somebody else to take all your money and play you like a fool?

Because that sounds more realistic to me.

It's like imagining Bitcoin turn centralized, would you still trust Bitcoin? when the answer Bitcoin is impossible to become centralized.

I will not use all of my money or taking a loan, there's no one can be trusted except yourself. Human creature is greedy, no one will tell someone including their family if they can make a lot money in short time/easy.

I doubt someone will refund you the money even if he agrees to refund it once the bet loses. Most of the time people that offering this kind of bet lies just to get money from you. With or without agreement to refund, you should not accept this kind of offer since it’s obvious that this is just a scam since you knew that there’s no guarantee bet.

Interesting facts about this thread is the OP lose big time by following the bet tips of his friend that was supposed match fixed but it turns out that the tipster is fraud. So this proves that there’s really no guarantee bet.  ;D

It is crucial to highlight that in the real world, there is no such thing as a 100% guaranteed sports bet. Even in the seemingly safest circumstances, there is always an element of risk involved. Accidents, surprises, and unforeseen moments are integral to sports.

That said, even in a hypothetical scenario where a bet is purported to be 100% sure, practicing prudent money management and never wagering more than one can afford to lose is vital. Taking out a loan or betting all your savings, even on what seems to be a "sure thing", is never a good idea and contradicts the fundamental principles of responsible gambling.

Gambling, in all its forms, should be entertaining and not a means to make money reliably. If you or someone you know is considering betting a significant amount of money or taking financial risks for gambling, it might be helpful to speak to a professional or seek resources on responsible gambling.

Nah, I won't take the risk of course. You said "if someone told you a guaranteed sport bet that has a 100% chance of winning" which does not exist in real life then you have to be skeptical about that. But if that "someone" showed you proof of legitimacy then that is the time you have to find ways to maximize your bet. Unfortunately, there is no such thing as 100% chance of winning in gambling because it is always a matter of luck just to get the jackpot.

First of all, I would definitely doubt it. If someone told me that there is a 100% chance of winning, I would definitely be skeptical about it given that no such thing exists in the realm of gambling.

Personally, I would try to bet perhaps ~$1,000 and consider it as money wasted. People who claim that a 100% guaranteed win is happening are either the greatest predicter or the worst people. In a heartbeat, I would avoid and just tell to myself that I avoided a scam that pretty much guaranteed to lose my money in the process.

For future reference, beware people! These things do not exist unless some shenanigans are involved in the activity.

Firstly there is no such thing as a 100% assurance with gambling not even on stimulated games, especially in sports betting were the games are been played by humans, it's never a 100% of what the performance of the players will possibly be as uncertainties could take place on the field of play and the results turns out otherwise so at that point you may have yourself to blame.

If I happen to be in such a position where I have a Bank roll of $10k I wouldn't place a cent on such games I will rather put few bucks on a game I predicted instead because I will rather be fair on my self if the game I predicted turns out a loss than I would be when it was a game given me by someone else who gave me false assurance and I did followed.

Going to get a loan to place a bet on a game some presented to you with an assurance that it's a sure win, is the worse mistake you can ever make in life as you may even find it difficult forgiving yourself self if it turns out against you because your creditors will definitely come after you regardless of what happened to the money they did give you.

From my experience, in gambling, the reality is that no one can make predictions that can achieve a 100% success rate. Especially in sports betting, sometimes predictions that can be said to have a fairly convincing success rate, sometimes these predictions can still be off the mark. A common example is in the world of football. Sometimes the favorite team in a match can lose. This means that initially the predictions made were very confident in the favorite team. But in the end the weak team won.
So the result is that even though the predictions made are really mature and have great potential for success. But in reality it's not all that simple.

But if I followed the hypothesis you outlined here, I would definitely spend more money on those sports bets. Because I don't need to think much, because in the context here there is great certainty that the prediction will definitely win and be successful. So what's there to doubt hahaha. 8)

As always said, bet as you can bear the risk and like you rightly said, it is luck with gambling and to hit jackpot is not certain all the time. So to have a 100% chance of winning a bet is not guaranteed. We have different prediction sites especially for soccer games but all of them are just there for the business and not that they are giving 100% winning results, they are only surviving from the subscription of gamblers who sheepishly sign up with them. A gambler always rely on his luck to win and that is why they are happy if they win because if you are sure to win then the happiness will not be there since it will be seen as normal. So there are no guarantee bet for winning.

I'll doubt it of course and wouldn't put even a dime on that bet. I think taking out a loan to take a bet that is just pure speculation, that would really be the stupidest idea to take on. Besides, a $10k worth of bet would be too risky for someone who's just been told. In gambling and in life there's someone out there who'll tell you a certainty of things but tbh no one will know the outcome until it happens.

Isn't human thought funny? A pattern is trusted, and then the unexpected happens. Everyone has wagered on the favorite team and lost. Part of the game. It's not guaranteed that a "favorite" club will win. This applies to predictions. No matter how "mature" they are, they can't account for every variable. Sports and life operate that way.

If you're considering betting more due to "certainty", think again. Bets are entertaining and adrenaline-pumping, but be careful. Gambling should never be your main income or entertainment.

How can we remember ourselves that 99% certainty isn't 100% when betting? We're typically surprised by that 1%, right?\

There is no sport where a 100% winner is guaranteed. Even if you know which of the teams will win the game, it is not advisable to go all in on that bet. What if, on that day, the results came unexpectedly, the team that was supposed to win and everyone was hoping to win would end up on the losing side?

If that is a bad luck day for you and you had gone all in, and you lose that bet, its scary to even imagine this situation.

I would only ask one question, if the result is 100% granted, why not each and every human being on earth sell all their assets and put all their money on that bet? I wish betting and gambling was so easy  ::)

Many times I had received the message from many spammer like,the was the partner of the gambling site or they working in the gambling site.Then they ask me to create a account and he will credited the winning to my account.So after money received the money should be split to two equal half.So this was the scam from my knowledge,because who do this credit of the win to unknown person.He can use the same to his real friend and enjoy the benefit.So like this scammer may try to scam your money,you should be more cautious.

While the OP's hypothetical question is indeed impossible and any guarantee of profit would be an instant lie.

Maybe your example with bitcoin isn't as valid comparison.

2 mining pools (that require kyc to use) had over 50% of the mining power for over year now (https://mempool.space/graphs/mining/pools). And in 2014 one pool had almost over 50% mining power. So it's not impossible that bitcoin could be more centralized in the future then you are implying. I am certain that it won't be a threat of any kind but people always forget that pools are not evenly distributed.

What the OP is talking about is sometimes possible but if we are talking about BTC to become fully centralized?
I highly doubt it. But if let say it's possible, I think I will still trust Bitcoin because the coin never fails me before. Though I will observed its latest performances. If something shady comes in, I might slowly pack my bags.

I think being greedy is different from being selfish. There's actually people who will encourage others to join them even for the good stuffs. It's fine if you will not use all your money. I understand that not all are confident when it comes to these matters. I can in fact do the same thing. I will still be happy and thankful if my earnings are only small.