Bitcoin Forum

Predictions 2019: 3 potential triggers for the next Bitcoin bull run

So far, the price of bitcoin has decreased, many people ask questions, what catalyst is needed to trigger the next increase?

1.   The rollout of a security token ecosystem
2.   BAKKT dan munculnya pasar berjangka institusional baru
3.   SEC approval of a Bitcoin ETF

What do you think about this.
source: https://bravenewcoin.com/insights/predictions-2019-3-potential-triggers-for-the-next-bitcoin-bull-run


I agree Of all the potential catalysts floating close to the surface, the general consensus is that these three are the most likely candidates.

I agree with the BAKKT and the Bitcoin ETF approval. However, I doubt that both of them can be approved specially the Bitcoin ETF, eventually though we might see approval but not this year though. The market is still in a messy situation and whales continue to manipulate it. We all know that SEC's number one concern is that 'market is prone to manipulation', so that alone looks very pessimistic for an approval, of course I'm no expert but this is just my honest opinion.

I think that approval will solve the problem, the market is messy because people are speculating on that ETF and if it gets disapproved, the more the market will not work fine. I believe its timely that it will be approve this year.

1. pig will start flying
2. lord voldemort will return
3. bigfoot kills the loch ness monster

An increase in usage could bring about change in the perspective of using cryptocurrency and it is possible that once people will be using it a bull run will never be impossible. For now we are awaiting the mass adoption of cryptocurrency so that it everything will just flow and follow as easy.

Large capital injections will also cause a lot of volatility and uncertainty in the Bitcoin scene, so the next pump might be big, but the dump or correction might even be bigger, once these institutional investors start dumping their investments.

You have to remember that these institutional investors are not the same as Bitcoin hoarders that believe in this technology. They want to make quick profits and huge returns on their investments and they could care less about the technology.  ::)

We do require people to accept it as much as possible and use it in daily life as well so that it keep rolling and more the people use it demand will contribute to rise and leads to price rise easily and we would see back the happy days like Btc crossings 10k easily .

Every coming of new year is always been a good indication for bitcoin because there are lots of potential good news will be circulating online and this will surely help start a good and prosperous for bitcoin currency. BAKKT and ETF approval are one of the good reasons for bitcoin since it's one of the anticipated decision will be hearing for past months that could start an ignition for bull run in coming months for the year 2019.

I think it really boils down to Bakkt and Bitcoin ETF to get the market going in 2019. However, I'm leaning towards Bakkt early to push the price to significant levels and start the bull run again. Yeah it might cause a lot of volatility as @Kakmakr  has pointed out, that's why I say it has its pros and cons. Just like what we see when CBoE and CME enter the picture the price grow exponentially short term, but long term it really didn't do any good because we have the bubble. I do hope that we learn our lessons that time and we should be smarter when 2019 arrives and specially if institutional money poured once more, IMHO.

What you say is true, even investment institutions don't care about technology and they will always make a profit. This will cause a price war between exchanges with the stock trading platform. Even in some time the trade will be short and a long straight line will appear. Manipulation of prices will tend to fall because what happens will be a price war.

The approval of Bitcoin ETF is most likely be the one that would trigger the next bull run. This was once caused the decline of bitcoin last 2018. Now, the approval is highly anticipated to bring back the interest back to bitcoin. SEC really plays an important role to bring stability.

A lot of people are really waiting for those to happen that are hoping that it could really help the market to recover a lot from it down side movement.

as far as I know there is news that the bakkt will be postponed again, which is the initial plan on January 24. indeed the news provided hope for bitcoiners, but was a little disappointed by the resignation of the schedule

These news may affect the price of bitcoin to spike. Even until now we experience decrease price of bitcoin but we must expect this coming 2019 there will be another bull run. I hope those news really trigger the price of bitcoin to spike again.

The introduction of the platform BAKKT, and Approval of the SEC for a Bitcoin ETF two of the most anticipated event in 2019, which I hope the traders. But it seems to me that a close solution of the issues should not be expected.
In January BAKKT-Will not start-it is unambiguous.
And the Approval of the SEC for a Bitcoin ETF - I think I will carry a couple of times at least until the summer.
Until that time, the price of bitcoin will fall to the area of 2000 dollars and the last passengers will be upset, will sell everything and will fall from this market and then you should wait for a turn.

Like in 2017 year everyone was waiting for ETF approval and even when the ETF got extended and did not got approved the market moved up in last quarter of 2017, so their is no perfect source of bull movement in market , this are all supporting excuses to tell market moved up due to this reasons. Even in 2019 till half off the year the market would not be going in high and panic sellers and other low patience traders will get fed up and start selling and making market go down.

The three are really reasons why bitcoin should go up or down this 2019! We are to expect fruitful year this year and any of the three triggers mentioned by the op is capable of transforming this market to another thing entirely.  I hope ETF should be approved by sec this year and institutionals investors should come into the market and fully push the price upwards.

Security token system will be a great breath of new life to crypto markets, I have ben waiting for them to get rolling out soon because at this point everyone is fearing something is fake or something is shady and all that trust issues for everything in crypto even for bitcoin.

With this securities token things people will finally start to enjoy investing with the comfort that they are not getting screwed because companies will be liable for damage if they ever try to run away and there will be big legal consequences if they try something like that. Actually all great things we are waiting for are "trust" solvers, Bakkt allowing people to buy and sell from a professional legal place instead of some shady place like coinbase, and SEC approving makes it double trustworthy. All 2019 is promising us is less scams and shady corporations for crypto space.

These things don't provide much, just new channels for investment. That's not going to trigger a new bull run. That will come when investor confidence returns, either through the passage of time or because of some big breakthrough for bitcoin.

There is a reason why the bull market happens in 2017. The first Winklevoss application proposal in first quarter was the reason in anticipation of a possible ETF application and even push the price to 4 digits. However, when it was rejected the price goes below $1K again and then Japan entered the picture in April pushing the price and the start of the massive bull run. So a catalyst is needed to propel the price to rally.

So right one we are in the correction or accumulation phase. So we needed news to wake up the investors interest and probably a BAKKT approval and going live will at least get the ball rolling again.

The biggest trigger that will push the market to the next bull run is going to be an economic collapse of an economy that directly affects the global indices. If an economy will be in trouble, then the citizens of this country will probably turn to Bitcoin in order to avoid inflationary trends. Have a look at what happened when the Turkish Lira dropped during summer 2018.

That number won’t make the price of Bitcoin or any cryptocurrency at all to go up. I’m betting on the number two and the number three, cause that’s definitely what everyone is waiting for and once they are approved, you will see that the price will begin to go up immediately.

Lots of sources has claimed that ETF is likely to be approved this year, and I’m hoping that will be true, cause if it happens, you will see the price of Bitcoin going up really fast.

None of the factors your mentioned will be a catalyst for a new big bull run.You should search for the "crypto catalyst" somewhere else.Security tokens won't pump BTC,they will pump the altcoins.Bakkt won't benefit the crypto world,because it's the same as btc futures.SEC won't approve the ETF anyway,so it's pointless to discuss this.

ETF applications got extended last time which is a good sign that they are taking it seriously. Perhaps they were checking the volatility of the price, which sadly went downhill proving that bitcoin is indeed volatile

I did not understand, so I'll comment on BAKKT and ETF.


you need to post in English, about BAKKT, it may be that they do not have a great success and with that the price also does not increase a lot or may be they have a great success and with that the price increases considerably. people should do not deceive and think that we can see prices of $ 20,000 this year


the chances of approval are very small, we should not place high expectations

A security token is a utility token created by the ICO ecosystem and is built using the ERC-20 whose plan will function as a method of providing incentives/prizes for its platform customers. That's according to their side.


For me, BAKKT and ETF are almost the same as CME and CBOE, both are only vehicles or robots, which will eventually be controlled by big whales and leave severe damage afterward. For a moment (for example, when they got permission from the SEC) maybe both of them will make the price of bitcoin go up, but then they will leave deeper and longer damage like that that happened in 2018.

Maybe. Is there not a series of security-conscious tokens out there? What makes something an "ecosystem", what qualifies?



Not a clue. I haven't heard of it, don't speak the language, but need to check into it.



Absolutely! At a minimum this would open a new door to big investment dollars seeking participation in the next big market. And getting the endorsement from the SEC would be a huge boost to hodler morale and confidence.

I think that is the big thing that we should be waiting for the approval this year.
SEC gives their comment after every rejection so most likely the next application will be improve and they add things that are necessary to get approved.

These events will attract a lot of crypto investors if pushes through and the whole market will recover again. SEC approval of bitcoin ETF is still uncertain after many postponements because of price manipulations and other security reasons. But it still unclear if these events will start another like what happened in 2017.

Ohw, that would be great news if all these catalysts will be approved. Soon bitcoin will boost the economy if all these triggers are done and settled.

Hey you seemed to have missed out on Nasdaq Bitcoins Futures which is confirmed to be launched on 24th January 2019, I feel people should consider it as an important event. As for Bakkt is concerned there have been many delays, and yet there's no official approval in sight, however once it's approved we shall definitely see its effect on the prices. It's pertinent to note that the Sec verdict on Bitcoins Etf is scheduled for February 2019 end, and there's just a slim chance of it being approved, and if it's approved it's surely will boost bitcoins prices upwards.

Don't forget that ETF only works as a "betting" system as far as I know, which means those billions or trillions of dollars won't be coming directly into bitcoin and buy it, it will be more like "I bet 10 dollars bitcoin will go up" instead of "I want to buy 10 dollars worth of bitcoin".

I could be wrong but thats what I read on this forum and if thats the case even tough it would create a huge hype and people would be really happy about it and even price would go up because of all those things, it actually wouldn't have a sudden reason to keep it high and get billions of dollars into it making it skyrocket to some place.

Don't get me wrong it is a great thing for all of us and I would be thrilled about it, I just want to get this misunderstanding of billions of dollars put into bitcoin thing.

Launching of bitcoin platform in Bakkt is more realistic unlike SEC approval of bitcoin ETF at least the former will definitely make an impact towards having a bullish runs while the latter might likely be postponed again however I am quite optimistic this year the market sentiment will be bullish having consolidated for a very long period.

Hopely that happen. If SEC approve bitcoin ETF, it will bring a lot money in crypto market and could lead market cap value to trillion dollar. I am confident, bitcoin is long term investment and will become a safe haven asset beside gold. If bitcoin traded in reputable stocks market and regulated by government, investor will more confident and makes bitcoin price reach new high

These are great weapon to increase the price, although some of them will lead to the more centralised things, but for now we need to make the bull run so the investors could gain trust and it could bring positive trend for the growth, hopefully everything could work smoothly and we can see the bitcoin keep on rising

Even there are lot of news and update that will happen in this year we are not sure that the price of bitcoin will increase. But, I still expecting for changes in the price of bitcoin and still believing that the price of bitcoin will increase and may go to the moon again.

There a lot of triggers that can help to get a new bitcoin bull run (bitcoin ETF, ...) but there are also a lot of triggers that can create another huge drop of the BTC price (ongoing MT Gox situation,...)
I guess we will wait and see what happens in 2019, but I hope price can rise again!

We really need those catalyst to lift prices but still its in the hands of regulators to decide. Crypto markets is still very young and there’s a lot of space for growth, I believe mass adoption will lead to its growth ETF’s are just portion of it.

I am not fully aware of what security token ecosystem will be doing with bitcoin markets. But, I believe just any one of positive news will be more than enough to have another strong bull run. I believe there are many possibility of a big crypto related event to happen this year that may be approval of bitcoin ETF or launch and success of bakkt. But, I believe as of now we just need any one positive news and that will be more than enough to stir up the bulls.

Because, when bitcoin market into rising mode, it will automatically start attracting more number of new investors and they are real need of having strong bull run. Yes, we must need to attract lot of new investors to take care of another bull run. Waiting for good news ::).

2 and 3 is what we are hoping to start kicking for this 1st quarter. And if it does, we'll see the effect through prices which we have been waiting to have a very good start for this year.

Bakkt is fine and will launch it soon, as per reports they raised $182 million which is a good start up amount. It will go up later on and as for the bitcoin etf approval, it depends on SEC but they have rejected it many times before. We may not know if there's a positive reason why they keep on delaying it from the past but this February it was said that no more delays.

Nobody going to say anything about the second one ? It seems like a foreign language which I have no idea what it means.
I can see its about Bakkt so all of us here assumed that BAKKT is one of the three things that potentially could trigger the next bitcoin bull run but it would be nice to actually know what I am commenting on first.

Aside from that those three just the start, if nasdaq manages to put bitcoin ETF on their system and people will be capable of buying and selling bitcoin ETF directly from nasdaq like they buy stocks that will open up a million possibilities with 27 trillion dollars in their market potentially capable of trading bitcoin whenever they want.

All of it will not be into bitcoin of course but even %1 would be a huge huge change for us, right now volume is like 2-3 billion, if we can get only %0.1 of the 27 trillion thats about 27 billion in volume and that would make bitcoin insanely high right away.

These 3 things are at least waiting for us in February. and if it's all approved, maybe the bull run will start in March or so on. so don't be surprised if at the beginning of this year there hasn't been a bull run.

I am not too sure if this new drop is really legit or not. I know we have been around these prices for many times in the past 2 months however this time we are really close to the SEC and Bakkt deals so if the price drops now it makes me question the drop. Normally we have reached these levels constantly but just as ETH increased due to the upcoming hard fork I was expecting bitcoin to go up because of the SEC/Bakkt deals.

Right now, maybe whales are dropping the price and creating a chaos where panic sellers and stop loss are broken and they are collecting from cheap until the triggers happen and than they can sell for much more, which one would you prefer going from 4 to 5 or going from 3.5 to 5 if you had the money, I would prefer 3.5 to 5 personally since its more money. That could be one of the reasons why we are lower again.

We should add this list payments can be done by cryptocurrencies. Some of online shopping sites may start to accept payments in bitcoin. This is going to be realized before ETF. I think, the most effective measure on the price of bitcoin will be ways of making bitcoin closer to ordinary people.

I am agree that those are catalyst needed to trigger the next bull run. If SEC approve bitcoin ETF, investment institution will think cryptocurrency is secure investment and it will bring billion dollar to market. I am believe Bitcoin ETF will be good for cryptomarket including altcoin

right, the existing criteria are the initial stimulus for the development of the next cryptocurrency. therefore, investors' trust will be opened with the implementation of the plan. even though for bakkt, the schedule is delayed

I think this is not give big effect to bitcoin price. We know that a few country already regulating bitcoin and allowing merchant and restaurant to accept bitcoin like Japan. But we know that its not give big effect to the price. I think if SEC approve Bitcoin ETF, it will give big impact to the price

The launching of BAKKT is possible in this quarter but the bitcoin ETF is yet to be decided by SEC and there is still no assurance of its approval early this year. These developments may have really the potential to trigger another wave of  large bitcoin buying by the whales but this rally will not last long and turn into dump later. Uncertainty still cloud the market and we had to wait some clearer signs of future uptrends.

I doubt these three will initiate an actual "bull run" Though. A nudge to the upper levels perhaps, probably enough to get us to 5 to 6k but it'll be hardpressed to get sustained. Not trying to be a pessimist but just want to be practical.

It’s daily life schedules neither initial not final one. There are so many ways to make prediction but the truth is anything can happen. As much as I know bull run will be next month because recently in white paper number of investors has shown improvement so I am hopeful about coming bull that it will get start just month after January 2019.

I think for the sake of the goodness of Bitcoin what I enforced I agree, what's more to boost the price of Bitcoin, be it the BAKKT and ETF markets, provided that it is for the good of all Bitcoin users, I hope that in 2019 this will be the most beautiful moment for bitcoin users in particular price.

I don’t know about the first, but as for Bakkt and ETF, those two can eventually trigger the next bull run. But I don’t know if that ETF is going to be approved. Even if it’s going to be approved it might take a long time, though some people has said that it will be approved this year. But we shall all see if it will be approved before the year ends.

After all these 3 triggers, I believe some government are going to legalize bitcoin so that we are going to have wild bull run in coming months. I guess if some government will be approving bitcoin for legal transactions then probably bitcoin etf will not be having big impacts into bitcoin markets as ETF from other countries will be doing the most expected job.

Well i agree with BAKKT and ETF if this two got an approval from SEC then it may cause a great bullrun. However we really don't know what will happen in the market, let's just hope for the best and wait for the bulls to comeback.

I agree with the approval of a bitcoin ETF, and also BAKKT. it is better to have bitcoin approval especially in a bitcoin ETF. and so far the market has been struggling for its performance since it is still being manipulated at all times, and I'm not even an expert at all but im sure that I'm telling the truth and being able to approve everything on The return of these years is back in 2019.

these was main trigger for bitcoin and cryptocurrency to get their power back.if ETF already approved and BAKKT launched their trade platform i am sure large investors will coming soon to this market.

I agree with the three where it is very potential, especially the big impact on the SEC approval of a Bitcoin ETF. Why has a big impact? because with an ETF, investors would be relieved of the hassle of shifting BTC between addresses, memorizing long private keys, or having to consider unpredictable transaction costs and times when making deposits or withdrawal.

It has been a long waiting game for all of us. Ethereum postponed their hard fork if I am not wrong, we are still waiting on SEC, we are still waiting on Bakkt. I mean 2019 is just 17 days old however we have been waiting for something to happen for the past 17 days with NOTHING moving at all. I mean I understand 17 days is nothing in a 365 day year and we should be seeing something proper in the next 1 month or so but I was expecting the price to get up in the anticipation of the upcoming news.

Usually when something this big happens the price doesn't go up or down after the deal goes through, it usually happens BEFORE the deal happens which means since SEC and Bakkt is so close there should have been some sort of increase by now because it is getting closer and people would be getting ready for it.

This year is really testing our patience, we did have a good run at $4000-$4200, but as always, it didn't sustained. Again, the market seems to trade sideways, I'm expecting this to be the norm at least this month if we haven't heard anything specially the Bakkt launch.


Most probably investors are not sold or majority thinks that a approval is not likely to happen. That's why everyone was still on the waiting game. I don't want to put high expectations because chances of it happening this month is slim, IMHO.

The three things which you are referring might get delayed as well.

1- BaKKT  may be delayed till mid 2019 as I don't see it launching first quarter 2019
2- ETF may be delayed as well as SEC may need some more time to approve it.

I am seeing steady price till mid of this year. After that we will see how much is the progress on above two events.

I can't do much about that problem, but there is hope that the market can recover but not with a short amount of time, I just think now is the best time for long-term investment with cryptocurrency

I also hope so, hopefully in 2019 this bitcoin will return to a bull run and buy mouths that underestimate and push the bitcoin in the previous year, in fact this will definitely happen if we look at the pattern carefully, the pattern always repeats but in the not can be determined, many newcomers who cannot read the pattern and market situation only enter and damage the price without thinking that what they are doing (panic selling) will only damage market prices.

You cannot pin point one reason for any rise and fall in the market, there must other reasons attached to it for that to happen, the SEC approval of bitcoin ETF might not happen anytime soon and we are hearing about this for a long time, there is a lot of discussions going around security token ecosystem but i am not sure how it will impact the market yet.


The best time to invest is always when the market is down and in fact this the best time to invest if anyone is having any plans to invest in this market for the long term hoping that the regulations will be clear in major financial nations in a couple of years and the market will start the recovery process by that time.

Correct. It's always a good timing when we see downfall still ongoing, though we can't tell the exact dip but by simply buying little by little will build a good portfolio after, we need to evaluate and assess how far we can go and what will be our alternatives while waiting for the bounce back, we need to consider every possibilities, this market really unpredictable patience and be calm while waiting.

I agree. by buying in stages when the price goes down can reduce the risk rather than we buy at just one price. therefore on the potential coin, when the price goes down is an opportunity

I think this is more than just a few of these problems, the longer we face things that are bigger than manipulation, regulation, approval, rejection. Just be realistic, the market can't hold anymore to face this condition because there are no new investors despite the many agreements in this matter