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10521  Economy / Speculation / Re: Warning: How many of you Bears have ever been a victim of a Short Squeeze? on: October 27, 2011, 05:43:20 AM
...
what is needed is an influx of new money whether it be from speculators, investors, or merchants start up capital.  this will improve the economy and i would argue a slowly rising price of Bitcoin would create a virtuous upward spiral of everything Bitcoin related.

I'm just going to take advantage of opportunities to demonstrate the Bitcoin is usable for interesting things.  Like yesterday when there was a relatively highly watched segment about Wikileaks, I and some other people pointed out that Bitcoin make it so I don't have to be a slave to the big financial interests.

I expect that many people will have heard vaguely of Bitcoin, and at some point something will spark their interest enough, and they will be at a point in their lives when, they will go ahead and have a look.  That is what happened to me in fact.  Being a geek with a long term interest in cryptography, I had heard of Bitcoin by at least early this year, but happened to have been busy with other stuff until around June.  And the Occupy-X protests have brought out a lot of interest in and education about in financial sector shenanigans in the last few months.

Anyway, as long as the network remains sound I would anticipate a trickle of people entering (and a trickle of people exiting for that matter.)  Because there was a run-up already, I imagine that at some point on some minor spike there could be a flurry of interest by people who don't want to be left behind again and we could be off to the races.  Or not.   Who knows.   One way or another, I accumulate because BTC is something I like to have.
10522  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Coming Soon! impossible to steal wallets on: October 27, 2011, 03:21:56 AM
I already have such a utility on my linux box, and I use if regularly:

  shred -u ~/.bitcoin/wallet.dat

Nobody's stealing that fucker!
10523  Economy / Speculation / Re: BIDWALL MELTS!!! on: October 26, 2011, 10:49:49 PM
the BIDWALL grows!

Let me tell you what I've learned from the past 4 months of watching market depth.  When bids outnumber asks, then the price goes down.  When bids vastly outnumber asks, then the price goes down a lot.  When asks outnumber bids, then the price goes down.  When asks vastly outnumber bids, then the price goes down a lot.

Reminds me of the rather absurd 'mappers' vs. 'packers' thread.  I don't even remember whether this make you a 'mapper' or 'packer'.  The latter I think.

Your observation is amusing, though.  Probably because it has that certain truth that makes things amusing to me.
10524  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Casascius phishers demanding a ransom on: October 26, 2011, 09:54:56 PM
Call me vindictive, but if I got an extortion letter it would inspire me to go on the offensive. Instead of sending him 300BTC, I would pay 600BTC to a very bad man willing to get vengeance for me.
Getting even is one area that I split from logical cost/benefit analysis.   Cool

Revenge does not strike me as illogical from a cost/benefit analysis given that the same scam could happen again and again and end up costing a lot.  But it is something of a slippery slope which could easily land a person in one (or more) of several pools of hot liquid.  Probably best avoided unless one is quite savvy with such things.

A friend of mine who knew a lot about big cats once explained what to me was a mystery about why leopard would risk life and limb to 'get even' with a park ranger who poked him with a stick.  He says that with overlapping ranges, competing animals (hyenas, leopards, etc) will run across the same individual numerous times.  So there is a distinct net benefit to having it be known that a specific individual is not to be fucked with.  I could see such a thing happening in the Bitcoin Serengeti at these early times.
10525  Economy / Speculation / Re: Has anyone reported bitcoin capital gains or losses on their taxes? on: October 26, 2011, 09:20:39 PM
I think governments will need to go to a consumption based tax in future because of bitcoin.

I think it would be more likely that they instruct people to declare their Bitcoin activity in the same way they do with other things like PM's.  People who fail to do so will simply be breaking the law.  I hope so at least since a consumption tax is highly regressive and thus unfair and damaging to society (in my opinion.)
10526  Economy / Speculation / Re: Warning: How many of you Bears have ever been a victim of a Short Squeeze? on: October 26, 2011, 06:25:48 PM

Not only that, sold his gold to invest in btc.  True believer bagholder right here.   

yes, bought silver btwn $9-12 and sold at $44.  bought gold at $550 and sold btwn $1550 and $1650.  nice healthy returns all plowed into Bitcoin.  play money.

First $1000 bag at around $4.30 iirc, and more thereafter.  The yellow one I started in at the 'big decline' at around $375 if my memory serves, and had to take a loss for some number of months.  I've not sold almost any, so I'm still a 'bag holder' in a fairly literal sense.  Switched over to property this year although I expect to sit on a loss there for a few years but kind of break even on rental income.

But the salary keeps rolling in so I've been taking a position in BTC to see what happens there.  It's a much more exciting investment and it is my fondest hope that 1) it will live and become a game-changer, and 2) that I will have enough of a position to contribute to making the game go the right way even if it means a personal monetary loss.  Both are what I consider to be very long shots.

If I sell BTC or PM's, I will end up with USD which I don't need and tax hassles which I don't want so it is pointless to me.  Plus, I don't think that the fireworks in PM's have even started yet.  BTC...not so sure Smiley
10527  Bitcoin / Project Development / Re: mtgox requires physical identification on: October 26, 2011, 06:35:15 AM
I upload notarized translations (that cost me ~30 BTC equivalent as a reward to the translator and notarius) and reopen ticket.
Ticket was closed with comment:
Quote
Unfortunately, we are not the AML team. Please contact aml@mtgox.com if you have questions about getting your account reviewed.
Thanks,
MtGox.com Team
Oct-26 2011 10:44
I wrote a letter to that email address.
Start waiting for five days.

Looking at BitcoinCharts.com, it seems like Mt. Gox RUB exchange stopped on the 24th.  I'm not a customer so I don't follow their boards and I suppose it has been announced somewhere there, but I didn't notice discussion of it in this forum.

Then I see that you, presumably a Russian, seem to be getting a fair amount of grief from Mt. Gox on this.

It seems to at least one conspiratorial minded person (namely, me) that perhaps there is some desire to cut out the Russian block from as much of the Bitcoin fun as practical.  Could it be that the amount of financial visibility within the Russian sphere is limited enough to make it worthwhile to exert significant pressure on Mt. Gox to cut them out?  Or perhaps that the user base within that sphere could sustain Bitcoin even if it were effectively quashed in the West?
10528  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Wikileak's Survival now Depends on Bitcoin on: October 26, 2011, 04:14:22 AM
BTW, The Young Turks just uploaded a segment about Wikileaks, but did not mention Bitcoin.

I went ahead and made the donation I was planning on, and stated so on the comments.  Several other people have also mentioned Bitcoin in the comments and thumb'd up one another enough to get these comments on the top.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l5KkmcMonY4&noredirect=1
10529  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Robert Prechter calls Bitcoin "Brilliant" on: October 25, 2011, 10:32:07 PM
"In fact it probably has already, but so have just about every other damn thing so I've lost track."

How many people do you know who have been arrested for terrorism?  Since just about every other damn thing is a terrorist act you must know hundreds if not thousands of terrorists.  Right?

Possibly, but it's that would be 'secret' which is vital to 'national security.'

http://www.aclu.org/technology-and-liberty/terror-watch-list-counter-million-plus

Seems like an onion article, but it's apparently not.

All this stuff is such an obscene joke I cannot believe that people take it seriously.  I hope someday people wake up and realize what is happening to them, and why, but I'm not holding my breath.
10530  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Robert Prechter calls Bitcoin "Brilliant" on: October 25, 2011, 08:55:01 PM
No problem.  I wasn't sure of your assertion but I do know many people think any private currency is auto-illegal in the US and that is simply a misconception.
...

Anything which could be remotely stretched into 'terrorism' is auto-illegal in the US as soon as it is convenient to make it so.  Bitcoin certainly could be called a 'unique form of domestic terrorism'.  In fact it probably has already, but so have just about every other damn thing so I've lost track.
10531  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: The Bitcoin deflation annoyance on: October 25, 2011, 08:14:08 PM
Despite the current trend of Bitcoins losing value against the dollar I think long term the greater annoyance is going to be a constant rise in value. As more crypto currency is used its value will increase and since the quantity of coins is limited at 21 million the value of each coin will keep increasing. This will be annoying for two reasons:

(1) the prices of things will be constantly changing since the currency will keep deflating

price volatility is hardly an unheard of phenomenon in any currency system.

(2) we will be dealing in decimal units. Quoting ridiculous prices like BC0.000013 or whatever will be very annoying and a lot of invoicing systems are not designed to handle cents values below 1/100

They can adapt or die.  It isn't rocket science.  Indeed, having decimal places already makes the jump that much easier.  It's not like (most) people are forced into using base-e or something.

I think ultimately we will have to make a competing client that breaks the 21 million limit and uses a more practical value scale and rate of inflation.
The more the merrier in my opinion.  People can choose which one suites them and exchanges can do a good business automatically adjusting for people so they won't need to care that much, though they could save the exchange fee by operating within their chosen block-chain.  My hope is mostly that each alternate chain is backed by value in the 'satoshi block-chain'.
10532  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Wikileak's Survival now Depends on Bitcoin on: October 25, 2011, 06:10:29 PM
good old julian assange, well...............i'll give him only one credit, he knows how to protect himself.

I find it inspirational that a severe underdog can come up on top against the might of the corpgov system by employing some cleverness.  So it seems at this point.

I'm sitting on some BTC with Wikileaks name on it in hopes that the price spikes a bit from the current levels, but I'll send it as soon as I feel that the noose is tightening around conversion systems so much that people as cagey as those at Wikileaks will have troubles.
10533  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: There's nothing wrong with trading Bitcoins on: October 25, 2011, 02:17:39 AM
There's nothing wrong with trading Bitcoins, just like there's nothing wrong with exchanging USD to EUR to buy a glass of wine.

Yes, but if you are spending a lot of time or effort trying to make money on an essentially unproductive activity then I think you should ask yourself if there's something else you could be doing that would be more effective at making the world a better place.

I think a lot of buy-low-sell-high, there-is-always-a-bigger-fool, or high-frequency trading fits into the "isn't making the world a better place" category. If you're competing for a bigger slice of a fixed-sized pie, I think you should think hard about what you could do instead to make the pie bigger for everybody.

Mmmm.... pie......


Maybe I spend to much time on the speculation board, but it seems to me that a healthy portion of us don't give two shits about making the world a better place, and those who do tend not to agree on what that means.  And all this matters relatively little since an even smaller number of us have the native ability to contribute anything of substance anyway.

In the mean time, I see all the trading and scheming as quite useful as a means of stress-testing the system and exploring facets of it which might not be thought of by the more capable developer class.  I think that it is a huge net positive for the network as a whole at this time particularly as the economy is much smaller than I would have imagined given it's (what I consider to be) quite revolutionary nature.

In order to explain the lack of interest and 'success', I have settled on the philosophy that the current state sanctioned currency systems are working fine and actually work much better than Bitcoin ever could (for now.)  Whether my explaination is correct or not, it is hard to deny that if the world population cannot absorb the current rate of inflation with more ease than seems to be the case, there seem to be issues.  Again, I see it as a big net positive that there is fair amount of trading interest and activity and that at least one example of the system making people $$$RICH$$$ at one time as psychological tool, at least, and one which is likely to pay off going forward if the system hold together.  And speculative interest can be thanked for that I think.
10534  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Wikileak's Survival now Depends on Bitcoin on: October 25, 2011, 12:54:06 AM
...
My payment never reached WL, and I never got it back. It happened two days before they were blacklisted by the payment processors. So I've got reason to be mad.
...

More than likely your $100 was diverted to a fund to support US Secret prisons that hopefully Jullian Assange will be in shortly.

The cool thing about that would be that I could finally see what is in the 'insurance.aes256' file.  That could be a very nice x-mas present.  Or it could be nothing.  Maybe we'll find out one of these days.
10535  Economy / Speculation / Re: Manipulator pulled out at $2.00, he has given up, $1.00 he we come on: October 24, 2011, 09:26:12 PM
its pretty obvious that due to recent events there will be a shortage of new money coming into bitcoin. anybody genuinely wanting to buy would be insane to buy now or even leave there bids active.

 

Remember this post?  It's your own.
Quote: 322i0n {
Quote: {
- give short sellers a painful and swollen rectal area.
}
i'm in
}

Doogie Coder seems to have that one covered.
10536  Economy / Speculation / Re: Manipulator pulled out at $2.00, he has given up, $1.00 he we come on: October 24, 2011, 09:23:26 PM
I dearly hope you are right since I'll do some serious buying in the mid 1.xx's, but it looks to me like the sellers blew most of their wad clawing down through 2.90 so a wall at 2.00 is not worth the bother.

---

On a unrelated topic, and as a point of reference, Tradehill took 1.1 business days for my domestic (US) wire.  Their newest claim is 2-5 business days for this.
10537  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Tradehill Down? on: October 24, 2011, 07:26:54 PM

Yes, Jered did post in the main forum on this. We did get several DDOS attacks in a row. Its now been over 48 hours without an issue/attack so it seems the perps have left.


Kinda makes one wonder who did Tradehill piss off and how did they do it?  Or maybe the DDOS was just an artifact of a general strategy...it sounds like Mt. Gox was hammered pretty hard too.  These things are kinda fun to muse about.

Again, Tradehill, I would hope that the cost savings in DDOS mitigation investment are eventually passed down to your customers in some tangible way.  Although we don't (necessarily) lose the kinds of money you guys do we are still inconvenienced by the disruptions.
10538  Bitcoin / Project Development / Re: mtgox requires physical identification on: October 24, 2011, 07:30:05 AM

I'm doing an interview with Mark Karples on BitTalk.TV regarding these ridiculous issues, claims of insolvency, etc etc. Would you mind messaging me and providing me with the proof of this claim?

P.S. posting it here because people deserve to know what I'm doing and MtGox deserves to know that people are watching.

I'm baffled at the continued support for Bruce Wagner's show by Mt. Gox (as is claimed by Bruce at least.)  It would be interesting to hear some discussion of that if you guys have the time.
10539  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Robert Prechter calls Bitcoin "Brilliant" on: October 24, 2011, 05:09:59 AM
in the article, Prechter thinks Bitcoin could be shut down by gov't regulatory bodies simply by declaring it illegal.  i think he's wrong about that too.  there are no regulatory bodies for Bitcoin.

I think he may or may not be right on this one.  It would not surprise me in the least if it was declared illegal in the US to use Bitcoin (all the talk of 'freedom' here being mainly a lot of piffle...)  A cool thing about Bitcoin, however, is that one need not be physically anywhere near where you 'use' it.  So unless all the countries clamp down and clamp down hard on Bitcoin and do so more or less simultaneously, what's to stop me from paying someone to keep a client or even an FPGA miner which I control online in, say, Vietnam?  Or Greece should the Greeks tell the EU to piss up a rope a-la Iceland?  Venezuela?  Or any number of countries which are not completely under the US/EU sphere of influence?

It would be quite interesting to see what happens to BTC demand if Western governments start to crack down on Bitcoin use.  I have no idea really and could see it doing all kinds of interesting things, particularly if it coincided with other shifts asset values, regulations, etc.
10540  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Robert Prechter calls Bitcoin "Brilliant" on: October 24, 2011, 04:28:05 AM
Seems like Prechter has been calling for a 40% correction in gold every year for about 8 in a row now.  It's hard for me to shake the term "Idiot Wave Analysis" from my mind such has been the magnitude of his fail on this one.
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