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1221  Economy / Economics / Re: Read this before having an opinion on economics on: April 28, 2011, 02:51:55 PM
But why do the research in the first place.

How many times do I have to explain this to you? They research because there is money to be made, and humans are inherently curious, and because if they don't somebody else will.

Quote
It's like you homestead a house and spend a lot of time and effort on fixing it, and when it's done me and some friends move in and use it as we see fit. You do the work, we get the benefit. Sure, you do too, but we get it for free.

No, it's absolutely nothing like that, information is not an excludable good.
1222  Economy / Economics / Re: Read this before having an opinion on economics on: April 28, 2011, 02:07:51 PM
Just because you are unimaginative does not mean those are the only options.

For instance, there could be competing for profit research organizations who then sell their data to pharmaceutical companies. They might even have arrangements by which they share resources and results, to save costs on very expensive research.

Alternatively, the pharmaceutical companies themselves may pool together for research, perhaps with an internal bidding process to determine which entity gets a short "monopoly" on producing the drug.
1223  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How do we prevent money laundering and assasinations? on: April 28, 2011, 02:01:38 PM
I'm curious if you guys that are "against" an assassination market have read the article.

If not, the gist is that basically, the site is nothing but a death pool. It's just that, if you take matters into your own hands, you're most likely going to win the pool.
1224  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Gavin will visit the CIA on: April 28, 2011, 02:18:15 AM
Undecided

Probably the beginning of the end of Bitcoin as we know it IMO. It continuing to stay anonymous now is almost certainly not going to happen.

The CIA is obviously aware of Bitcoin already, otherwise they would not have contacted Gavin.

What do you fear that they will do, exactly, to make Bitcoin less anonymous?
1225  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Should pr0n be listed at bitcoin.it? on: April 28, 2011, 02:17:12 AM
I'm assuming everyone is in favor of banning links to kiddie porn you can buy with BTC.
I'm sure most were thinking legal porn. Or at least legal somewhere in the developed world.

If we should allow pornography because it is legal somewhere, then we should allow drugs because they are legal somewhere.
1226  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How do we prevent money laundering and assasinations? on: April 28, 2011, 12:25:20 AM
I recommend to read the original Jim Bell's essay: http://www.outpost-of-freedom.com/jimbellap.htm

As he shows, assassination market will make wars impossible (because any government official, who wants to wage a war, will get a bounty for his head). And it will probably make impossible to exist for government, that extort taxes from it's subjects by force (because they will get a bounty for their heads too). Only governments, that provide their services on voluntary contracts will be able to evade such system.

This was a fascinating read. Thanks for the link.

This one is good as well.

I like his ideas on how such a service might establish trust with its userbase. I'm thinking about working on a service similar to this.

Quote
To establish itself as an authentic operation, AP [assassination politics] might be introduced not as a full fledged death machine but instead as a low key betting pool system whereby users could put money on sporting events or guess the day certain celebrities will get divorced, and other trivial wagers. The selling point is the hardcore anonyminity feature for users in harsher nanny states. In this relatively low risk phase, winners could have the option of being publicly announced for ego’s sake, and this would prove the system operated as intended. Then gradually more and more sinister bets would be allowed until it becomes completely un-moderated and AP is born.



1227  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Should pr0n be listed at bitcoin.it? on: April 27, 2011, 11:34:51 PM
Porn is legal. No reason in censoring for the sake of censoring.

Only in some parts of the world. In other parts of the world, drugs are legal, yet they are censored from the forums.
1228  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Gavin will visit the CIA on: April 27, 2011, 11:25:04 PM
The government has many other ways to generate revenue.  The income tax is not small, but has always been more about social engineering than government revenue.

Don't forget that Bitcoin not only threatens taxation, but inflation of the money supply as a source of revenue. Additionally, national debt seems more difficult to accrue without a monopoly on money.
1229  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Article: the Bitcoin Bubble on: April 27, 2011, 11:20:55 PM
It doesn't seem right to me, to call it a bubble.

Quote from: Wikipedia
An economic bubble (sometimes referred to as a speculative bubble, a market bubble, a price bubble, a financial bubble, a speculative mania or a balloon) is “trade in high volumes at prices that are considerably at variance with intrinsic values”.

Quote from: Wikipedia
In finance, intrinsic value refers to the value of a security which is intrinsic to or contained in the security itself. It is also frequently called fundamental value. It is ordinarily calculated by summing the future income generated by the asset, and discounting it to the present value.

Does Bitcoin have intrinsic value, in the financial sense? I don't think so.

The other main issue I have with the article is your three possible scenarios. Cosmological ideas don't make very good analogies for markets. There is nothing "infinite" about the idea that due to supply and demand, the price of Bitcoin could be much higher than it is today. Here are a better three possible scenarios:

  • It goes up
  • It goes down
  • It stays the same
1230  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Gavin will visit the CIA on: April 27, 2011, 10:58:18 PM
Why would a government agency create a currency that undermines the government's ability to collect taxes?

For the same reason that a government agency would create a routing protocol that undermines the government's ability to censor and collect information.

The CIA would definitely be interested in a distributed, pseudonymous digital currency, in order to transfer money to assets. In order for such a system to be useful, it would have to be used by many other people (to provide cover) as well as be valuable (in order to be accepted by an asset for payment).

This isn't to say that the government as a whole won't be hostile to Bitcoin, but I think most government employees have a sort of tunnel vision.
1231  Bitcoin / Project Development / Re: Bitcoin Pouch: A Community Driven Bitcoin Service (w/ JS-Remote!) on: April 27, 2011, 10:46:07 PM
One thing I'd recommend is adding some OpenID buttons, like here. I was really confused at first because I'd never had to know the long Google OpenID authorization url.

Also, I had to manually call jsonrpc.getnewaddress() in order to populate an address in my profile. Is that normal?

Other than that, I very much like this, good job!
1232  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Should drugs be listed at bitcoin.it? on: April 27, 2011, 10:22:19 PM
Look at the sub-head, which mentions shrooms, and appears prominently in search engine quotes of the article.

Ok, but the following things you've said are false:

Quote from: xf2_org
Forbes and other media love to point at the drug stuff on bitcoin's "official sites"
Quote from: xf2_org
as has been already illustrated by the press articles, they directly reference the "official" bitcoin wiki prominently displaying drugs

Ditto for the Time article, and other prominent, recent articles in the Bitcoin Press Hits thread.

The Times article does not mention drugs once. Neither of the two articles "point at the drug stuff on bitcoin's 'official sites'". I have not seen an article that paints the availability of drugs in exchange for Bitcoin (which will not change by removing it from the wiki) in a bad light. Which articles in particular are you referring to?

And just about every business owner I poll about bitcoin is turned off by the large contingent of teenagers who naively think that we may evade [tax, drug] laws using bitcoin.

Love the ad hominems. It's completely rational to believe that a decentralized, pseudonymous electronic currency will be a useful tool in the fight against statism. One does not need to be a teenager to hold this view. Are you really that closed minded?
1233  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Should drugs be listed at bitcoin.it? on: April 27, 2011, 07:09:07 PM
+1

Psilocybin made it to the byline of the Forbes article.  That is a big deal for those of us risking our real world identities to help bitcoin succeed.

You guys are killing me with this chicken little bullshit
1234  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Should drugs be listed at bitcoin.it? on: April 27, 2011, 07:07:29 PM
Forbes and other media love to point at the drug stuff on bitcoin's "official sites" (that being a wiki linked via bitcoin.org).  If you know how the press works, you know this causes the press to focus on drugs, rather than bitcoin's revolutionary properties.

You're either mistaken, or full of shit. The word "drug" only appears twice in the Forbes article (not at all in the Times article), both instances are in the following paragraph:

Quote
Also drugs. Particularly illegal ones. Since Bitcoins can be spent on the Internet without the use of a bank account, they offer a convenient system for anonymous purchases. There's no centralized storage of funds, so accounts can't be frozen by law enforcement or PayPal administrators. "Illegal stuff will be a niche for Bitcoin," admits Andresen. "That bothers me, but it's just like any currency. You can't stop dollar bills from being used for the drug trade either. That's an unfortunate feature of any cashlike system."

So... who's the one making a big deal about drugs again? Forbes, or you?

Quote
I want bitcoin to be a success.  Unlike some on this forum, I do not want bitcoin to be marginalized into being used only for drug transactions.

Nice try painting those against censorship as being for the failure of Bitcoin. Might want to turn down the crazy there, buddy...  Roll Eyes
1235  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: omg why are drug dealers using bitcoin?!?! on: April 27, 2011, 09:15:39 AM
There is a pretty easy way to buy coinbase transactions that requires little trust and only the exchange of a public key. I'll leave the rest as a thought experiment, but there will probably be an implementation soon.
1236  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: What would you change about the Bitcoin protocol? on: April 26, 2011, 06:02:02 PM
Satoshi hasn't visited the forums since December, I wouldn't count on an answer.

I just hope that someday, when Bitcoin has either succeeded or failed, Satoshi can reveal him/her/themselves and take credit for his/her/their work (if he/she/they so choose).
1237  Economy / Marketplace / Re: Donate to WikiLeaks on: April 26, 2011, 04:15:34 PM
While this is exciting to me (it was only a matter of time IMO), I urge everyone to be cautious. This could just as easily be a scam as the real thing. Wait until WikiLeaks posts a Bitcoin address on their site and just use that address.
1238  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: What would you change about the Bitcoin protocol? on: April 26, 2011, 04:08:34 PM
Wow. Most constructive first post ever. Thanks, realnowhereman.

Or is satoshi airing his regrets? Smiley
1239  Economy / Economics / Re: Private banking and fractional reserve on: April 26, 2011, 03:45:11 PM
I'm fine with fractional reserve banking, as long as there is no central bank. If people understand the drawbacks of fractional reserves, I think most will naturally gravitate toward banks with high reserve ratios, and only those that understand the risks will keep their money with a lower reserve bank. The threat of runs will serve as a market regulator of the reserve ratio.
1240  Economy / Economics / Re: A modest amount of inflation should be part of bitcoin on: April 26, 2011, 03:33:49 PM
Ok. Again, I'm not saying that hoarding could ever stop commerce, just slow it down. Because not everybody is going to hoard the money.
There's 21 million bitcoins out there.
There's a 3% annual deflation.
Nobody will start a business that doesn't give him more profit than the 3% that he is getting for just hoarding his money.
What is better for society?
Someone living from doing nothing or someone investing the money in some enterprise at a risk?

If you're going to continue to call it hoarding, can you please define the difference between "saving" and "hoarding"? To me, there is no difference, hoarding is merely someone saving more than you think is proper. Which is to say, it's none of anyone's business but the saver. Smiley

Anyway, I still disagree that hoarding/saving is detrimental. The key factor is "time preference", in almost every case, humans prefer to have things now instead of later. Think of it like two opposing forces, one is "if I wait until later, I can buy more things", the other is "I want things now". There is a different point for every individual at which these two forces cancel out. This cancelling results in trade. Now imagine you place everyone on a one dimensional graph represented by this function. There would be people scattered all over. Some will trade their Bitcoins when they reach $0.10/BTC, some at $1/BTC, some at $10/BTC. There is never going to be a point where a significant number of people are not willing to engage in trade. The more people unwilling to engage in trade, the more incentive there is for everyone else to trade, as their money has that much more purchasing power.

If you think about the two forces in an inflationary money supply, it's obvious why we are such consumers today. Inflation discourages savings, so the forces are "if I wait until later, I can buy less things" and "I want things now".
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