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12581  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 07, 2019, 04:41:26 PM
Before I read your above post, my brain looked like image 1a, but after I read your post my brain looked like image 1b.


A festering pus-filled acne boil?

I guess that explains at least some of your behaviour.

You are not making matters any better jbreher.   Angry Angry

You really like to cause peeps to have hurt feelings on the interwebs?




I have clarified my position over and over on this thread. I am ambivalent on the question of ‘is CSW Satoshi?’

I feel better, now... because I recognize that in this application:  "ambivalent = retarded."   Thank you for cheering me back up to "normal" jbreher.  You are such a pal, sometimes.    Tongue Tongue Tongue
12582  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 07, 2019, 04:32:32 PM
Please learn how to resize images. You can thank me later.
Oh didn't know about the width usage until I quoted your post. I'll keep that in mind next time I post.
Anymore suggestions?

Yeah.  You forgot to say "your highness" in your post.    Angry  Angry
12583  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 07, 2019, 03:32:02 PM
Wisdompedia

~Stash Management 101~

Jay, I feel that you should write about this thingy more in Beginners & help or any specific section, this stuff is informative for any reader/newbie. IMHO your content could be lifesaver for some.


Thanks, JSRAW.  I do seem to write about these kinds of portfolio management, BTC trading and/or incrementalism topics frequently, yet my writing in such areas tends to be prompted by the posts of others rather than some kind of sui generis feelings that I champion regarding such topics.

By the way, I don't mind going out there in other parts of the forum from time to time, yet frequently, if there is only 24 hours in a day, I don't always feel that I have time to look for other threads, unless they somehow come to my attention through this thread or some other coincidence.

But, sure, maybe I should periodically browse for some other threads, such as beginner or help threads, to attempt to chime in from time to time.  You are correct with your supposition that I enjoy batting around ideas regarding such topics... or even engaging in various kinds of attempts to impose my views onto others in that direction.    Wink Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
12584  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 07, 2019, 05:59:50 AM
You know breher, for a self-proclaimed bitcoin expert,

I don't think I ever proclaimed myself a "bitcoin expert".

Obviously, your actions unequivocally demonstrate that you are not.

Imagine my chagrin. JayJuanGee passing judgement upon who may or may not be a Bitcoin expert. The rational mind recoils.

My somewhat rational and sometimes irrational mind is chagriningly recoiling too at the very suggestion of your allegedly pure rational mind recoiling.

Go figure.   Roll Eyes  Roll Eyes

Before I read your above post, my brain looked like image 1a, but after I read your post my brain looked like image 1b.


I'm so embarrassing.    Embarrassed Embarrassed
12585  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 07, 2019, 12:18:45 AM
You know breher, for a self-proclaimed bitcoin expert,

I don't think I ever proclaimed myself a "bitcoin expert".

Obviously, your actions unequivocally demonstrate that you are not.

Just like Roach's actions unequivocally demonstrate that he does not understand store of value.


At least here or other area where the Bitcoin-knowledgable assemble. Care to link to proof of your assertion?

On the other hand, the CryptoCurrency Certification Consortium has deemed me a Certified Bitcoin Professional.

Oh gawd........  Roll Eyes  ... you have some kind of certification, you must be really NOT a bitcoin expert if you have something like that.  

 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy



Wow.. the irony, hilariousness and ridiculousness of truth frequently trumps fiction.

Great find, V8.
12586  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 06, 2019, 07:05:35 PM
BALLS??

all kind of Girls are interested in it.  Grin



Looks like a dangerous position to be in.

Definitely one way to get into the shit.

I was thinking about something a bit more violent.   Tongue    Yet, maybe I have been watching too much TV, recently?
12587  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 06, 2019, 07:02:30 PM



https://cointelegraph.com/news/one-whale-was-behind-bitcoins-2017-bull-run-claim-researchers
Quote
“Simulations show that these patterns are highly unlikely to be due to chance. This one large player or entity either exhibited clairvoyant market timing or exerted an extremely large price impact on Bitcoin that is not observed in aggregate flows from other smaller traders.”



Ah, so, that was @market manipulation@ ?

News Flash: Bitcoin market is still so tiny and float so small, that one deep pocket whale can heavily manipulate the market.

Also just in: PMs are suppressed. Equities are manipulated. Stock Market is in a melt up. Economies are crumbling. Corporations and Banks are zombies. Water is wet. Jamie Dimon is a fool. CSW is a fraud conman. Boblawblaw is gay. JJG is still wordy man. R0ach is a nazi.

I largely agree with all your above asserted points, yet I think that it is important to keep in mind that there is a difference between an ongoing ability to manipulate and an ability to manipulate over a longer period of time, and the openness of bitcoin causes it to be a lot harder to manipulated for longer periods of time - as compared with traditional asset classes. 

Of course, we will see how manipulation is going to play out in bitcoin as the rich (and those with traditional financial stakes) introduce more and more and more instruments attempting to manipulate bitcoin.  That's the million dollar question regarding how much they are going to be successful to manipulate bitcoin on a longer timeline given differences that exist with bitcoin, including a fact that peeps can actually claim immediate possession of their keys, as long as they are investing in financial instruments that allow them to claim immediate possession of their keys.
12588  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 06, 2019, 06:42:05 PM
BALLS??

all kind of Girls are interested in it.  Grin



Looks like a dangerous position to be in.
12589  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 06, 2019, 06:34:57 PM
Ron Paul says:
Quote
Ron Paul is predicting a major economic crash and as host Naomi pointed out; we are no longer at the stage where we can make a lot of money but the stage where we need to protect what we have.

    “It’s not easy, hopefully the crypto market is going to help. Protecting wealth has traditionally been done by owning ‘stuff’. People will want to get out of the dollar and buy assets such as property. Some people, if they’re comfortable with it, will be buying cryptocurrencies,”

https://www.newsbtc.com/2019/11/06/ron-paul-protecting-wealth-in-the-next-crash-will-involve-buying-crypto/

In that interview, Ron Paul is at a litecoin conference, and he had just given a presentation there.

Accordingly, since he is also using gobbledy gook language, such as referring to some amorphous concept such as crypto currencies (does anyone know what that is, exactly?), it appears that Paul might be having some difficulties appreciating important differences between bitcoin and shitcoins, perhaps to the extent that he has looked into the matter. 
12590  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 06, 2019, 06:30:20 AM
I currently expect that bitcoin will continue to be a good investment, even in 2090

Bitcoin will not exist in 2090.


O.k.  Fair enough, but it would be dumb to not invest today based on that kind of conjecture because bitcoin is likely going to serve as a decent hedge against dollar based investments and even other kinds of fiat or assets into the foreseeable future...

how many years do you need for an investment timeline?  20?  30?  Many people invest on shorter timelines and even reassess their investment choices every 3-5 years, and even sometimes more frequently if there are important changes happening with their life or any of their investment choices.


So your pie in the sky speculation does not make too many differences now, you dumbass, and why the fuck am I even talking with you about it, since, if you are investing where your mouth is, then you have not really made very good choices, banking on an Armageddon scenario and overly investing in gold and silver, and probably making a lot of other bad choices, too, so you are not exactly the kind of person to be discussing these kinds of important (adult) matters.
12591  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 06, 2019, 05:41:16 AM
I'm amazed how many people still haven't figured out the 4-year cycle and hang on the daily price movements...  I guess there's some truth to what they say, math is hard.

Og, I’d be interested to get your prediction of a top for the next parabolic pump & an estimated date.

I think $100,000 plus in Q4 2021.

When I do the math, I get a peak of $200,000 in November/December of 2021.  I have gone on record as predicting a high of $222,222 prior to 2/22/2022, but that's a bit tongue in cheek.

I think your estimate is a good one.

My retirement plan is based on the 4 year cycle.

Atleast you can sell at the high range i guess (21/22 25/26 29/30) and the option to buy back some corns later on. (23/24 26/27 31/32).

For the record, I think the 4-year cycle will become less and less relevant moving forward as Bitcoin continues to evolve from a p2p payment network to an asset mainly used by Wall Street investment funds to collect management fees.

Nonsense, p2p will always be dominant. However, what kind of products/services are sitting behind all those fees? Wink

And you, Paashaas, in which cycle do you plan to put the bull out to pasture?

Never, i remain bullish until the day i die. Decades after eveybody here are dead BTC will gradually rise in price just because of all those halvings to come.

Of course it will not be so explosive as it used to be but buying corn in 2090 is still a good buy.

Maybe we are misunderstanding each other to some degree?

You mentioned an ability to plan retirement based on BTC and around BTC 4 year cycles.

So, I was trying to ask you at what point you would be able to retire upon such anticipated ongoing bitcoin price cycles.  

I am NOT trying to suggest that you need to pull any amount of meaningful value out of bitcoin, but instead maybe just saying fuck you to any kind of traditional job obligations and do whatever the fuck you want.


With such bitcoin explosive upwards price movements, none of us who are buying BTC now and HODLing it should have to really plan on continuing to buy it 2090 (though I expect to be long dead by then), even though I currently expect that bitcoin will continue to be a good investment, even in 2090, like you said.

By the way, when I get into a kind of cashing out phase of bitcoin, I still do not expect to cash out all of it.  I will just cash about 1% per quarter or maybe sometimes I will cash out more because I do feel some preference to spend a decent amount of my BTC rather than carrying my private keys to my grave or even passing my private keys through my death onto people, such as relatives, who are less deserving to spend those BTC that I have spent so much time and energy accumulating than myself.
12592  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 06, 2019, 05:14:36 AM
I'm amazed how many people still haven't figured out the 4-year cycle and hang on the daily price movements...  I guess there's some truth to what they say, math is hard.


Holding during rough patches is hard when you were not fortunate enough to get in at the beginning so maybe that is the view you should use when judging.

No one got in at the beginning.

though some people got in earlier than others.

And some of those who got in early did not appreciate the concept of never going full fiat.

12593  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 05, 2019, 08:41:13 PM
I'm amazed how many people still haven't figured out the 4-year cycle and hang on the daily price movements...  I guess there's some truth to what they say, math is hard.

Og, I’d be interested to get your prediction of a top for the next parabolic pump & an estimated date.

I think $100,000 plus in Q4 2021.

When I do the math, I get a peak of $200,000 in November/December of 2021.  I have gone on record as predicting a high of $222,222 prior to 2/22/2022, but that's a bit tongue in cheek.

I think your estimate is a good one.

My retirement plan is based on the 4 year cycle.

Atleast you can sell at the high range i guess (21/22 25/26 29/30) and the option to buy back some corns later on. (23/24 26/27 31/32).

And you, Paashaas, in which cycle do you plan to put the bull out to pasture? -----also (question 2) considering the further comment from OgNasty in which there might be less ability to rely as much on the 4 year cycle in the coming years (coming cycles)?
12594  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 05, 2019, 05:54:21 PM
JayJuanGee, can you stop pretending to be a real person instead of a bogus Google AI algo?  You do not pass a Turing test.  To pass a Turing test people have to believe you're a normal human and not insane, otherwise any type of RNG spam bot could pass a Turing test.

Are you trying to categorize yourself as a kind of "people" who need to believe me, when you have the level of abstract thinking of someone who is in the arena of thinking abilities of a two year old?  

You been on and on about physicality of PMs, such as gold and metal, for years and years (even demonstrated in this thread), and even after all of your exposure to bitcoin ideas, you still can't seem to wrap your lame-ass less than developed lil noggin around what the fuck bitcoin is?  Who the fuck takes that long to actually understand what it bitcoin?  Apparently you do.

In other words, TLDR, don't be trying to represent what the fuck "people" need to be able to believe in respect to me or anything else, when you are not representative of an actual quasi-normal adult.. or even a normal teenager.... You dim-witted fucktwat.   Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

^The r0ach confederacy......

What the fuck is that?  An assembly of two year olds? where each two year old tries to act like he is the one in charge, but instead it is a conglomeration of each lame little brat trying to conquer more milk and cookies (or dolls, or whatever you happen to be playing with) than the other brats who happen to be in the area?
12595  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 05, 2019, 05:23:00 PM
Why are people posting that chart like it means something when it looks identical to the price chart?  It's as if transfer units are a static variable (well duh, finite blocksize and all + LN is garbage) and...you just multiply the price times that static variable to create...a useless chart.

Yes.  I am people, and yes you are in denial of the greatness of bitcoin.  Still wishing for something more "tangible" like a 2 year old who does not understand abstraction.   Roll Eyes Roll Eyes
12596  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 05, 2019, 05:21:34 PM
Hi guys,
do you know how much I like PlanB.

Yes.  I noticed that you guys seem to have a kind of thing, but maybe you are conceding that it is a one way infatuation?    Shocked

Once PlanB learns about you properly, and you receive a proper introduction, I am sure that the feeling will evolve into mutuality.   Tongue
12597  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 05, 2019, 05:15:11 PM
$5,000,000,000 worth of value is transfered everyday using the Bitcoin Network.

No government, bank or third party had to verify the transactions, nor could they have stopped any of them if they wanted to.

That should blow your mind. 🤯
Source: https://twitter.com/Rhythmtrader/status/1191723141065781251


Corrected later in the thread by Julian Hosp to be more than $2billion per day rather than $5billion per day (and acknowledge to still be a lot of censor resistant power)

https://twitter.com/julianhosp/status/1191748283833692165

12598  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 05, 2019, 05:02:32 PM
Well waiting for bullish confirmation ..

Quote
$BTC - not really updated the Renko chart, because nothing has changed. Still one solid level that needs to be flipped until I can get excited. $8.6k remains the level that would need to hold if downside pressure is applied. Advantage for bulls, HULL says uptrend.


Source: @ColdBloodShill

Quote
According to a recent Renko candle chart from analyst Cold Blooded Shiller, Bitcoin remains in an uptrend formation. While they argued that the chart implies that Bitcoin will need to flip a resistance level in the high-$9,000s into a support level, they noted that the HULL implies that the uptrend for the cryptocurrency is still intact, even in spite of the slowdown seen over the past few days.

Source: https://en.ethereumworldnews.com/bitcoin-uptrend-intact-price-needs-to-flip-high-9000s-resistance/

I am a little puzzled about why ethereum folks are wanting to write about bitcoin?  Coattail hanger on-ers?

Everyone, even the shitcoiners, know that they have to watch bitcoin first?
12599  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 05, 2019, 03:15:40 AM
Currently testing the descending triangle resistance on the 4 hr, therefore next hours candle close will be important.
Bare in mind the 1 hr will be on a TD 9 so don't be surprised by any big price moves...



Please note, I'm not getting "rekt" at the moment. This was a neutral call due to the 200 Day MA support invalidating the bearish setup for me.
I'm posting this for benefit of seeing if we invalidate the bearish pattern of a descending triangle, and return to the classic bull flag.


"Please note, I'm not getting "rekt" at the moment."

Good for you.  Tongue


I am also going to note that you should not be relying too much on stupid-ass charts that attempt to treat bitcoin as if it were a mature asset and fail and refuse to incorporate either bitcoin's currently low level of adoption and underlying s-curve exponential components that bias UPPITY rather than other scenarios (such as flat or downity).

In other words, TLDR, you deserve to get rekt (even if you are not) if your chart relies on too many incomplete presumptions.    Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

Too many assumptions, not enough logic. FYI my trading account is only ever 10-15% of my BTC holdings, so go figure  Roll Eyes
If I get "rekt", is because my BTC hodl is going up. If I win, it's because I'm losing overall BTC value.
Some people  Tongue

Hey.  Fair enough if your trading portion is only 10-15% of your total holdings.  That is decently prudent, so I find difficulties criticizing you on that aspect.

Your remaining assertion about the meaning of "getting r3ckt" is quite a puzzle.  Roll Eyes  You seem to be trying to suggest that either there is NO way for you to get r3ckt or that getting r3ckt means something other than a traditional understanding of it.

I do agree that if you are trading with ONLY about 10-15% of your total holdings then it becomes quite difficult to get r3ckt in any traditional understanding of the r3ckt concept.

Now, get out there trooper, and trade some BTCs!!!!!!!!!  That's an order.    Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

You're right it's possible for me to get r3kt™️, probably from fakeouts where I was in the right short trade but got tapped out at a loss prior to my hodl position continuing to lose money after I've lost my hedge. When it comes to bull traps I generally try and avoid them, as if I'm already 85-90% long, I don't want to increase my risk. It's worth considering though.

This probably explains my natural trading bias to some degree, maybe my TA requires a disclaimer because of it. But ultimately I apologize for being the pessimistic bull, that by your standard deserves to get rekt™️, but so far hasn't and is otherwise unlikely to happen due to position sizing, risk management and generally avoiding bull traps. The only way I will get truely rekt™️, is if BTC goes below $4K. Then I iz a r3kt™️ moonboy like any other post-2017 moonboy hopes and dreams getting r3kt™️ r3kt™️ r3kt™️.

To let you down even more, I won't be going out there to trade any satoshis, I'm avoiding buying resistance that's a big open space of bull trap, as well as avoiding any foolish bear traps wicking under the 200 Day MA. I'm remaining neutral, believe it or not. Even if I'll retain my bearish bias regardless of lack of confirmation.

Just got a new job to start dollar-cost averaging though, hope that makes you feel better.

Ultimately, it sounds as if you have some kind of system that gives you comfort, and yeah the dollar cost averaging portion can be a good supplement to your other trading strategies.

Now, get out there trooper, and trade some BTCs!!!!!!!!!  That's an order.    Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

My bad, I'm waiting for confirmation, but planning to short the bullish broadening wedge with a tight stop loss if that's ok with you?
If you could confirm within the next 96 minutes before the close it'd be appreciated  Cheesy
I drew this chart just for you. To show you that we're in a bullish pattern, but I still want to short it  Tongue



I'll long again at the 200 Day MA (the support trend-line) I promise  Wink

Most of those lines are gobbledy gook to me, and when I said get out there and trade I was suggesting that you follow your own system, whatever that may be.

My system hardly ever makes any changes based on my anticipations of BTC price direction, which is good for me, because I rarely, if ever have much of any kind of anticipation of BTC's short-term price direction that would take me more than 5% or so off of my usual 50/50 disposition.
12600  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 04, 2019, 09:17:44 PM
seasteading -no
overpriced ranch -no
houseboat?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k58GhBzPJz4 Inside a $5.5M Floating Mansion in Miami | On The Market | Architectural Digest

Very affordable, and practical, too.  Better make sure that you have at least double that amount in your bank, though, before you go out and buy that baby.
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