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1361  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Should Casinos Sponsor Sites That Deals With Gambling Addiction on: November 09, 2023, 02:52:45 PM
It's good for the casino to do it. Warms the image, helps get green lights from the government, gives the casino something to brag about in ads, and of course keeps the community healthy. That's of course as long as we believe the sites work, because personally I think they don't. Support groups might be a bit better.
This might seem so nice for academic purposes only but in reality, they might not be committed to such project. They might consider the capital burden it will be on them and marry it with the benefit to their business and this will make them abandon such project. Casinos are not struggling to appear good before the government because they already got licenses and doing their business within the dictates of the law.

On the other hand, they will quickly reference their terms and conditions that already cover things like this even though people hardly read these terms and conditions when registering.

That is also nice for marketing purpose, it's telling the society; "we don't want to rob you, we just want to provide a place to have fun". in business, spending money on something not directly related to the business is not always considered as a loss, it's also an investment. big business need to have good sentiment from public, especially an already unlikeable business.
1362  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2023/24 Season on: November 09, 2023, 02:43:45 PM
Liverpool vs Toulouse today in the UEFA Europa Cup.In the last match of the Premier League, Liverpool draw 1-1 against Luton Town. Liverpool stay in Toulouse to return to winning streak. Three matches were played in Group E in the group stage and Liverpool won all three matches. Toulouse are winless in their last five in the league and have lost all of their last three matches in Ligue 1. The hosts have won one, drawn one and lost one in the Europa League. Liverpool have won their first three matches in the Europa League, including a 5-1 win over Toulouse last time out. Liverpool's win against Toulouse today would ensure qualification for the knock out rounds with two games remaining. I think Liverpool will beat Toulouse 2-1 today to secure the next round.

Liverpool will need to win this game to ensure their spot in round of 16, this scenario will let them focus on Premier league games. but I think Liverpool will still start their backup/young players in this game like how they started their previous games, because they have confidence that they can win the match with those players. this is a chance for backup/young players to proof them self.

but I dont think Liverpool will win comfortably. Toulouse dont wont to end their journey in this competition earlier. they will give a fight to Liverpool to scure their chance for next step.
I predict this game will end with equal score line.
1363  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: November 09, 2023, 02:27:24 PM
It seems nothing can save United this season and now they are last place in their UCL group and with low chances to actually catch Europa League spot. This is also the worst season I do remember for United in the last 2 decades and it's a shame to see such a big club doing so bad.

I must confess that Sociedad is playing the best football on 1st half from all the other teams and I won't be surprise to see them reaching a quarter final at least.  Cool

Manchester United have them self to their chance to progress from the group. it's all on them. Ability and Possibility are still on their hand. They only need to win against Galatasaray away before facing a relaxing Bayern at home. if they win those two games, they will qualify for Round of 16, because Galatasaray and Copenhagen will to face each other.

but seeing their desire to win games, it's understandable that people write them off. it seems like they play just as a job, no enthusiasm. Erik Ten Hag looks frustrating to find solution on how utilize his players capability to play as a team.
1364  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Cash out or keep playing? on: November 09, 2023, 11:15:50 AM
However, there's a crucial moment in every gambler's journey. the moment when you hit that big win. Do you cash out and savor your victory, or do you continue playing in hopes of even bigger winnings?
- Absolutely, I think many gamblers, including myself, have been in this situation. Reflecting on my past experiences, I have to admit that I've been tempted to aim for bigger wins. There were times when I considered cashing out, but I convinced myself that I could manage my funds responsibly and that I'd withdraw regardless of the outcome.
- However, you can probably guess what happened next. Following a loss, I kept thinking, "Just one more try," and that led to me losing everything, including my initial investment. Regrettably, this has happened to me on more than one occasion.

Quote
I've often wondered how many of us can truly stop playing when we are ahead. It's a challenge because the allure of winning more can be irresistible.
Succeeding in this requires a great deal of discipline and a well-thought-out plan. However, there's a paradox I've noticed. Often, disciplined individuals with clear plans may not achieve big wins because they tend to set appropriate risk/reward levels. To win big, one must take higher risks, and those with strict discipline often avoid such risks.

Some 'senior' gamblers said to me that one rule at being a gambler is not to be greedy, your win comes form other' losses, you cant be always a winner at every occasion. you cant make a living form gambling, it's just for fun.

if you get a big win which is enough for you to have fun with that money, then just cash out soon. it's the best way to have a good mood of the day, that's the reason/purpose of us having fun.

managing fund is very important, but also managing mood is not less important, especially for gamblers. bad mood can make us so reckless at making decisions that can lead us to a bad situation in life.
1365  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: November 09, 2023, 10:53:52 AM
If you have noticed there is some decline in Real Madrid's performance in the league for a couple of weeks. It is more like an inconsistency actually because there is an example like a win in the El Clasico recently as well. They couldn't beat Vallecano the last time no matter how hard they tried. It was quite unexpected.

Of course top teams don't always win their games. But while Girona are this much dominant in the league I thought Real Madrid wouldn't make a point loss in such game. There must be so many people who bet on Real Madrid for that game and sometimes unlucky things happen.  Sad

Real Madrid's performance in last couple of weeks shows that they lack of clinical forward, they played good and dominated the games, but they struggle to score. we could see that some of their goals come at the last minutes of the games after missing some chances throughout the games. this also related to the opponents who already can anticipate how Real Madrid build attacks which is lack of variations.

the lack of clinical forward makes Madrid struggle to face the low block of defensive line of their opponents. this is one of the reasons that bellingham is their Top scorer right now.
1366  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: November 09, 2023, 10:42:49 AM
Arsenal have suffered some injury crisis of recent,and it has hampared their performances this season.They are without Odegard,Partey,Timber and Gabriel Jesus.These are players who have important and significant impact on and off the pitch.Partey is the engine room to Arsenal's midfield,and when ever they play without him,it seems that midfield doesn't have a good shape.Last night was one of their best games ever because they showed class through out the game.They are leading in their group with 9 points now.It won't be a surprise if Arsenal get to the final or semi final in this Champions league because they are playing beautiful football that can make them to bigger stages in the competition.

Arsenal's injuries have impact on how they play on the pitch, but it's still not right to say that it's a crisis. among all players who are injured, it's only odegaard the one who has impact to the team. in midfield without Partey, they still have Declan rice, Jorginho, Fábio Vieira, etc. and their front line, they still have strong front line to win games.

Arsenal are still favorite to compete mancity at title race this season, because, other than mancity, they have the most complete squad in the league where they have quality backup players at every position. they only need to maintain their good form throughout the season.
1367  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: November 09, 2023, 10:25:39 AM
It seems Real Madrid is not going to make the same mistake they did last summer and they don't want to keep seeking for Mbappe and hope to hire this player in the next transfer window.
Even Real Madrid is choosing alternative options for Mbappe and they want to hire Jamal Musiala.
Jamal Musiala is a young player and he is currently under contract with Bayern Munich and he asked his team to extend his contract and increase his salary.
However, Manchester City also want to hire Musiala.


I believe Real Madrid still put Mbappe in their target list, but they are reluctant to pay the amount of money that PSG demand, because Madrid are desperate for a new world class striker as the replacement for Benzema. PSG use this Madrid's desperation to get the fee as high as possible, PSG also know that they need to sell Mbappe soon before he become free agent that makes PSG experience a big loss of money.

I dont think musiala can be an alternative option over mbappe because they have different profile between them.
1368  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: November 09, 2023, 10:05:18 AM
Man United at best are getting to Europa League and worst is they are out being bottom of the table. I think they have a decent chance to beat Galatasaray in Turkey but their last match is against Bayern. In United's best case, they beat Galatasaray and hope Galatasaray lose their final game in Denmark.
This is a very difficult thing for Manchester United, because apart from having to win against Galatasaray at the Rams Global Stadyumu, Manchester United also still has to hope that Galatasaray will lose again in the last match. It is clear that it is not an easy condition for Manchester United at the moment, which even looks difficult to reach the Europa League even though they still have a chance to do so. However, currently Galatasaray and Copenhagen also look better in the Champions League group.

with the level of squad's mentality right now, Manchester united have slim hope to qualify for round of 16. the loss in Denmark hits their mentality so hard. it seems that Ten Hag still can't find a solution to fix the situation they need on the pitch and off the pitch. this result invites pressure even more for the chance to stay in champions league that makes the next game could be the last meaningful game.
1369  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Gambler avoiding friends after a big win. on: November 08, 2023, 05:08:41 PM
The saying "Money reveal people" is quite common. I usually don't believe this phrase, and I used to imagine that friends would always have nice intentions towards one another, but I later realised that this is not true because life is full of diverse individuals, each with their own personalities and viewpoints.

It's best to never expect anything from anyone because everyone is out for themselves. This kind of behaviour is nothing new to me anymore, and whenever there are three friends, I usually anticipate one of them to have such an attitude. Why should you be surprised if it occurs amongst friends when it has even happened between blood brothers? When you put expectations on people all you will get from them disappointments so i have learned to live on my own and not expect much from people.

I believe there is truth in the saying "Money reveals people", not only about people who have the money, but also the people around the people who have the money. sometimes people have intention towards the people who have the money, and sometimes people avoid other's intensions towards themself because they feel people only want to benefit from their money.

it also reveals that there are people who dont get affected by having big money. but this situation needs to go both ways, the ones who have it and the ones around them. if not, there will still be the affection. and this affection is revealed in the attitude of those people.
yeah.. expectation plays the big part.

1370  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: November 08, 2023, 04:45:18 PM
Man City is a complete team. Man City is showing its strength by winning all matches without losing a single game since the beginning of the season. They have reached the knock-out round. Currently, their strength has remained the same compared to last season. Pep Guardiola and the whole team can firmly defend the championship this season. But are Real Madrid and Bayern Munich the only teams that can stop Man City.
Real Madrid seems to be transforming successfully when young players are the mainstay. Bayern Munich's attack can cause difficulties for any team in the tournament, especially when Harry Kane is scoring as effectively as he is now. Can these two teams stop Man City?

right now, even without Kevin de Bruyne, Mancity are still toughest team in champions league this season. their players quality and their tactics flexibility make them an unstoppable team. I'm not sure Madrid and Bayern are able to stop them, because they still have their own issue to solve.

Madrid have lack of clinical Central Forward (striker) that makes them struggle to score both in La Liga and Champions League. in some games, they need late goals from midfielder to win. that situation is not enough to stop Manchester City.

Bayern have issue with Tuchel struggles to executes his tactics and plan. it's rumored that seniors players dont really like about how Tuchel wants the team to play. but so far, the presence of Harry Kane really helps them massively. but I dont think they are able to stop Mancity remembering Guardiola know very well about Bayern.
1371  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: November 08, 2023, 04:10:40 PM


Source: https://twitter.com/DeadlineDayLive/status/1722202301061017698

The latest rumors regarding Thiago Alcantara's future have not met since the transfer market several seasons ago and now it is reported that Thiago Alcantara is a target for Juventus and Inter after his contract with Liverpool ends next season. Thiago Alcantarra will be a free agent next season and that is why Juventus and Inter are starting to move to compete for this player. In fact, Thiago Alcantara is still quite good, but considering the injury he suffered and finally experiencing a significant decline in performance, he could only serve as a bench warmer at Liverpool.

It seems that Jurgen Kloop can no longer trust Thiago Alcantara's performance and therefore last season they recruited Mac Allister, Dominik Szoboszlai, and even Ryan Gravenberch. It looks like it's time for Thiago Alcantara to leave Anfield and at least his services are still needed at other clubs rather than just sitting on the bench for the season.

Thiago has never been decline in performance, it's just he rarely has chances to perform because he's always injured. when he's fit, he always starts because he's the only midfielder who is able to control the tempo in liverpool squad. his presence in the lineup helps the team to setup the best option of tactics, because of his flexibility to adapt any tactics.

the trust on thiago in never about his ability, but about his availability. his constant injuries disrupts Klopp's team preparation and tactics, because often he picks injury just a day before the game with the team setup and tactics are already planned. changing player and formation just before the game is a bad idea.
1372  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Do You Believe That Reading People's Bad Experience Will Help You on: November 08, 2023, 03:49:23 PM
If you're starting your journey on gambling do you think reading about people's bad experiences like losing their savings and getting depressed which leads to loss of jobs and livelihood will help new gamblers to become responsible gamblers for fear that what they read will happen to them?

I ask this because, in our country, our government has mandated cigarette manufacturers to post graphic images of those who suffer from the bad effects of cigarettes on every pack of cigarettes like lung cancer pulmonary disease (COPD), which includes emphysema and chronic bronchitis

So do you think it will be the same with gambling?


I dont believe it will help the gamblers at all, because their adrenaline at gambling has make them enjoy it in their heartbeat, they already know those bad experiences are the risk that they may experience by them self. having to risk something they have is a fun for many people, not only gamblers, but also anyone who like challenges.

I do believe it will help people who want to start gambling. those people need to know how gambling works on their life, how gamblers life goes. if they really want to start gambling, they will realize that they need to put limit of the risk they can afford.
1373  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: November 08, 2023, 11:33:58 AM
I think Chelsea would make the match difficult for Man City on Saturday based on the analysis of their performance against top team this season, recall they drew Liverpool and played brilliantly well, they also played Arsenal and we're on the top the game but couldn't hold on to their two goals lead unfortunately drew the match nevertheless they played very well in that match, last weekend they broke the unbeaten run of Tottenham Hotspur these season and earned a well deserve win against them, it's like they always have problems with mid table teams and win other matches, Man City played mid week UCL match against Young Boys while Chelsea squad is rested another advantage for their players to come out fresh in the weekend.
Although Manchester City does have a busier schedule. Like today they just played against Young Boys. And Manchester City can win the match without any significant difficulties. So the time span from today to the day of the match against Chelsea is around 4 days. And I think that's enough time to get the Manchester City players back to their best fitness after facing Young Boys. So this may not be a significant reason to make Manchester City a little weaker. But I am interested in what you said about Chelsea's match record, which always appears more impressive when facing strong teams. So it could be that what you say will become a reality. Namely, Chelsea will make things difficult for Manchester City in the next match. But complicating doesn't mean defeating. But it would be very surprising if Chelsea were able to hold Manchester City to a draw. And even if Chelsea were able to beat Manchester City then it would really make the news media full of news about it. But that's a pretty slim possibility. But as long as there is a possibility then it is not impossible for it to happen.

Manchester City and Pep Guardiola have the best management of gametimes for their players. every player in Manchester City squad have at least 15 appearances a season if they dont get injuries throughout the season. and the quality of their backup players has no big gap to their regular players. That's why they wouldnt have any problem with busy schedule. being trebble winner is the actual proof of this.

I think Manchester City will win comfortably against Chelsea who still havent found their character of their playstyle. a win against 9 men Spurs doesnt proof any progression has been made by Chelsea, even it could be a deceiving factor that can drive Chelsea players to a complacency.
1374  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: November 08, 2023, 10:58:20 AM
Sassuolo is really in a position to be a troublemaker among the big teams in the league. They beat Juventus 4-2, Inter 2-1 and defeated both teams competing for the championship. Sassuolo is probably the only one who has defeated both teams at the moment, but they also lost points against simple teams. If we talk about the Atalanta match, Inter played a successful match and won 2-0. The biggest advantage for the championship is 3 points and they managed to get these 3 points.
It seems that we will not forget the initial incident when Sassuolo defeated the two Serie A giants and in the end they were unable to maintain an advantage like that until now. Most recently Sassuolo lost against Torino and I think it was another defeat they couldn't stop. In the last 5 matches, Sassuolo did not win a single win and now they only sit in 15th position in the standings and are getting closer to the red zone. Regarding Inter, they are different from their city team, namely Milan, and Inzaghi's squad continues to move up the ladder in the race for the Scudetto this season.

There is always a bogey team in a league who konw how to beat a good team but lost to weak teams. This is team setup and mentality factor. They are good at one kind tactics and scrumbles at any other, and also They play good when they are not under pressure and they are fumble in games they are expected to win. in last few seasons, Sassuolo are that team. it used to be Chievo or other. That's the excitement of football that we love to see it if our favorite is not beaten by them.  Grin
1375  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: What conditions might cause you to stop gambling? on: November 08, 2023, 10:41:53 AM
I know that many people try to stop gambling or reduce the intensity of their gambling because of several factors such as running out of money, being scolded by their wife, being scolded by their parents, or piling up debts. Irresponsible gambling will make us have bad conditions. I don't hope we will experience something like that because after all gambling is fun and full of challenges

But let's imagine, what kind of conditions might make you stop gambling?

gambling can be something that brings joy for the gamblers, even they do gambling till a level of addiction. so I think one of situations that make us stop gambling is finding another joy with no risk of losing money. This is about psychology. realizing that we can have joy from something is not gambling the main factor for people to stop gambling. environment is also a key factor. anything around us can trigger us to do what people around us are doing.
1376  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: November 08, 2023, 10:23:34 AM
Looking at what happened to Monaco last season they were always in trouble at the end of the season and now if in the end they want to try better then they should be able to be able to maintain more consistency so that good performance at the beginning of the season does not end in vain at the end of the season for them.
As for Nice, it is still difficult to guess because after all they are the same as Lens last season so the possibility is that if they perform the same as this time then the chance is very large for them to be in the Champions League or Europa League zone but if they return to poor performance after good performance so far then the possibility of them being thrown is also very large.
This week the performance of Nice and Monaco is still very good only this is also still not a guarantee whether they will remain like this or not.
I agree because after all Monaco at the beginning of the season they are always good but when the midseason towards the end of the season sometimes they are always very trouble in maintaining the performance that requires them to currently be able to improve evenmore in order to make a difference. As for Nice at the moment it depends on their efforts. If in the end they can do their best until the end then inded they can achieve positive results even though it is only temporary in this season but I think it is good but indeed until now they  continuw to give positive performances so I still hope a lot for them this season. 

Monaco's issue is always the quality of their squad depth. They can maintain their form when they have injuries and pressure throughout the season running after a good start. Monaco see themself as a big club in ligue 1, but their management and preparation are not getting better all this time. They often have good income in transfer window, they rarely invest it well.

Nice are really having an impressive start this season which is so unexpected. eventhough many people think they wont be able to maintain this form for so long, This already gives them confidence that they can compete at the top if they dont have unexpected problem.
1377  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: November 08, 2023, 09:54:48 AM
Chris Nkumku will return from his knee injury in the second week of November and start playing for the Chelsea squad in the same manner that he did in the team's preseason games.
For the Start, Nkunku and Jackson will be playing separately in  matches until the best-performed player takes the front position.
Pochettino has plenty of work to do in utilizing the Chelsea player in terms of finishing and their defense to achieve the goal of reaching the top 4 spot this season

Pochettino really needs alot of work to do and moreover they need new signings let them sign tactical players that will be good in finishing and their defense needs to perform better, most of their matches they either concede early goals or their goals are being equalized so it is the porosity of the defense that is responsible for that so the need more improvement in their defense.

Chris Nkunku returning from injury may not make any difference to the team if they continue with the pattern they've been playing with. Nkunku performance in the preseason may not be as easy in the premier league because most teams doesn't even take preseason seriously as most teams doesn't play their league with same pattern they play in preseason but whichever way it is we hope he brings his best as he's returning from injury.

Chelsea are building or finding a character of the team, so I dont think new signing is the solution for Mauricio Pochettino right now. without solidity, adding more new players could mess up the compactness which is already built. before they sign new players, they need to improve, build a character as a team and maintain the progression. that's the only right way for now, unless they would start rebuilding from basic again.

all the players in the squad more or less are a level in quality, it's a matter of gametimes for them to improve their quality and chemistry in the team which are starting to progress and getting results. Chelsea will be top competitor again if this plan of rebuilding is not having setback, and adding new players will be inevitability needed.
1378  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: November 08, 2023, 09:30:48 AM
Real madrid didn't have someone like him at this moment but the club is still able performing better like when benzema was there. There is no a lot of change even when the club without him. Some players are capable enough in scoring so many goals like bellingham.
The only last piece to complete the puzzle of real is having a great striker who can perform as good as benzema. Real madrid will become unbeaten team with a great striker like benzema.
If Real Madrid continues to chase players like Benzema forever, they will not be able to make it happen. I know people still haven't moved on from Benzema, but demanding that clubs look for someone with those exact abilities is not realistic. Like it or not, Madrid must develop whether or not a figure like Benzema exists.

It would be strange to have to look for the exact player Benzema is and reject other players with different abilities. I mean put aside demanding that Madrid look for a player with Benzema's qualities, and provide opportunities for different striker playing styles so that the attack system will adapt. Each player has different characteristics and abilities, so it's better to stop making these demands and take a look at the strikers that Madrid will bring in next season.

totally agree..
chasing the same profile like Benzema is almost impossible. I think that's not what Real Madrid are doing. They need new striker, but whatever profile of a player/striker they sign will need to be fit to their system, no need to be the same like Benzema. Ancelotti knows this very well.

Osimhen is the only hot target for any club in europe who desperate for a striker right now. he's more likely to leave his club in winter or next summer window. if madrid come for him, they will get him, but the thing for Ancelotti is that whether he's fit to Madrid's system or not.
1379  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: November 08, 2023, 09:01:27 AM
Some of the matches last night are over, what surprised us was that Barcelona lost away against Shakhtar Donetsk actually this is not a surprise anymore in UCL matches because anything can happen, we only see from the statistical opportunities Barcelona is bigger but the reality is never imagined.

Next up is tonight's match, but I'm keeping my eye on Copenhagen Vs Manchester United - here we understand how Erik Ten Hag's team still find it very difficult to perform consistently well sometimes they lose to lowly teams from the domestic league and UCL, if they win they clearly have a chance to take second place because it is certain in my guess that Galatasaray will lose to Bayern Munich, maybe we will see that Manchester United can secure their points tonight.

The Barcelona's loss to Shakhtar Donetsk didn't surprise me at all, because Spanish teams have not too good records against Shakhtar Donetsk away, including Real Madrid, and Barca's form lately are a bit erratic as we can see in their last la liga games where they struggled to win and Shakhtar Donetsk home is never an easy game for any team.

and tonight Manchester United will play their deciding game. if they win they open a chance to qualify for R16, if They lose, it's over for them. This puts big pressure on Then Hag and the players. all individuals in Manchester United realize this and they need to give their best if they don't want to invite more pressure for the rest of the season.
1380  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: November 08, 2023, 08:39:17 AM
Leverkusen will gets easy match on week 11 Union Berlin and this season was very special for Union Berlin because finally they can able to playing at Champion league but i don't know why since Union Berlin playing at that competition they were unable to performing well for each matches and at Bundesliga Union Berlin last win was happened on August and since that month Union Berlin always be lose on champion league, DFB pokal and Bundesliga even against weak teams such as Heidenheim or Darmstadt they have to lose and in the last 5 matches in all competitions Union Berlin has poor records because they were unable to scores so these records makes me sure Leverkusen will be able to resumes their winning streak and possibly win with big scores from Union Berlin

Union Berlin messed up their strategy of recruitment. They signed well-known names as their preparation of their champions League campaign which is not their usual recruitment strategy. This affects the squad's mentality, especially players who fought for Champions League spot last season. the desire of some players to play for the club decrease significantly as we can see the games they are starting lost the scheme of the play and compactness.

on the other hand, Leverkusen are on fire. Xabi Alonso is able to maintain his team's form very well. Leverkusen in the last two season play an attractive football due to tactics and team setup by Alonso that gets much appreciated many football experts.
I think Leverkusen will win comfortably since they are well-prepared and in-form.
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