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1401  Economy / Speculation / Re: Lower Price Pundits Set Straight on: April 13, 2013, 07:36:16 AM

For those of you who think you can game the system and the market by buying low and selling high, I will reiterate what Cypherdoc has said previously...the risk of selling to buy back in lower and have the market run away from you is too great.


I beg to differ a bit here--I personally don't sell at the dip, but whenever the price increases by a certain percentage, only a small percentage of my holding of course, something like 5%-10%. And it turns out that, bears never disappointed me one time, they always handed back their coins to me cheaper than I sold. Grin But I don't think this is going to work for quite a while--seeing how they fire sale nearly 1 million bitcoins at ridiculously low prices I think their wallets will remain empty for some time. Wink

1402  Economy / Speculation / Guess who's back... on: April 13, 2013, 06:21:57 AM
Back again https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=28488;sa=showPosts

And how can I forget... https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=21082
1403  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: April 13, 2013, 06:09:22 AM
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=28488;sa=showPosts

Everyone, if you haven't paid attention, your overlord is back! Wink
1404  Economy / Goods / Re: SELLING: 30x1oz GOLD; !9 HOURS!; EU ONLY on: April 13, 2013, 05:34:23 AM
Hi

What price for all 3 100g bars ?
Kind regards

PM sent. No trading during weekend, please. I need rest  Wink

And time for trolling. Grin
1405  Bitcoin / Press / Re: 2013-04-12 Business Insider - I tried hacking Bitcoin and I failed on: April 13, 2013, 01:42:47 AM
the other thing he doesn't understand is that the "large actors" that he says could rewrite the "truth" of the blockchain merely consist of individuals who can abandon those pools at the drop of a hat. 

the system is such that it encourages and rewards telling the truth and will punish those actors who try to obscure it.

the quintessential example of this is Eleuthria's latest actions.

it was he who voluntarily decided to revert from 0.8 to 0.7 in reviewing the IRC discussions at the time.  Gavin and other devs did not force him to do so.  he saw that it was in the interest of the network to prevent any single individual from losing money.  he was voluntarily rewarded a few weeks later by Gavin reimbursing him for his gratuity from the Faucet.

the second example is Eleuthria voluntarily limiting the growth of BTCGuild to 40% of the network.  once again, he understands the importance of maintaining confidence amongst the individual, small players in the network.

this is what makes Bitcoin great.  you won't get that shit from Ben Bernanke.

It's the opposite of big government supporters' logic, which is "If we don't tax and regulate the rich guys like hell nothing  can stop them from keeping all their wealth to themselves and abuse their influence and power! They don't care about the poors, and will only try to exploit the whole society as much as possible!"

Why not give the free market a chance?
1406  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: April 13, 2013, 01:34:08 AM
Paper PM is a extremely stupid idea.

That's how countries like China can continue to write covered calls for PMs, with nearly no risk taken.
1407  Bitcoin / Armory / Re: Armory - Discussion Thread on: April 12, 2013, 06:25:55 AM
Did you really mean to post that very relevant picture in this thread?  And if you think this is a ride, try a real crash!  The price "crashed" down to what it was four days ago.  How dramatic!   Wink

Indeed.  I have suspected for a while that the run-up was a bubble, though I expected it to persist a bit longer.  All this media attention came in only last week, and thought there was going to be another couple weeks of people pouring into the system.  Maybe there still will be.  But I'm not afraid of the price "reverting to the mean", only the ensuing media attention which going to cast it into a poor light.  And it's partly justified -- people are going mental, and panicking, and our poor little infrastructure can't handle it!

For reference... 2 months ago I was at about 2,000 downloads/month.  Now I've gotten 2,000 downloads in the last 2-4 days!  I'm also getting a lot more emails and postings about it.  Obvioulsy no one else can respond to the emails, but I request some help responding to postings in the Armory subforum.  I'm going to try to resist the urge to respond to these things immediately, and give others a chance to help me, first.  I'm going to focus on coding Smiley

I don't think the Armory download volume is/was experiencing a bubble, since mostly only people who have done thorough research about bitcoin would be interested in it(many of the long-time bitcoiners I know still have no idea about the advantages of cold storage), it's a sign of growth of educated bitcoin userbase.

I think that was the case before they changed bitcoin.org.  Now, it is parallel to Bitcoin-Qt instead of an alternative you have to go hunting for.  Granted, the description says "advanced", but I'm sure lots of people want to try it out anyway...

There's just no other way to describe a 5x-8x increase in volume (bitcoin.org getting 5x-10x more volume and them featuring Armory next to Bitcoin-Qt).  It's pretty awesome, but it makes these usability issues all the more pressing!

Actually, it's already quite surprising that so many people want to run their own clients, rather than relying on third-party services.
1408  Bitcoin / Armory / Re: Armory - Discussion Thread on: April 12, 2013, 05:27:24 AM
Did you really mean to post that very relevant picture in this thread?  And if you think this is a ride, try a real crash!  The price "crashed" down to what it was four days ago.  How dramatic!   Wink

Indeed.  I have suspected for a while that the run-up was a bubble, though I expected it to persist a bit longer.  All this media attention came in only last week, and thought there was going to be another couple weeks of people pouring into the system.  Maybe there still will be.  But I'm not afraid of the price "reverting to the mean", only the ensuing media attention which going to cast it into a poor light.  And it's partly justified -- people are going mental, and panicking, and our poor little infrastructure can't handle it!

For reference... 2 months ago I was at about 2,000 downloads/month.  Now I've gotten 2,000 downloads in the last 2-4 days!  I'm also getting a lot more emails and postings about it.  Obvioulsy no one else can respond to the emails, but I request some help responding to postings in the Armory subforum.  I'm going to try to resist the urge to respond to these things immediately, and give others a chance to help me, first.  I'm going to focus on coding Smiley

I don't think the Armory download volume is/was experiencing a bubble, since mostly only people who have done thorough research about bitcoin would be interested in it(many of the long-time bitcoiners I know still have no idea about the advantages of cold storage), it's a sign of growth of educated bitcoin userbase.
1409  Economy / Speculation / Re: 2011 survivors club on: April 11, 2013, 12:13:55 PM
I was born from 2011, basically.

Given what you said back then, why are you still making statements about what could hurt Bitcoin in the long term, like you have ever cared?
1410  Economy / Speculation / Re: 2011 survivors club on: April 11, 2013, 12:08:16 PM
I am still around, not a lot of bearish trolls who were all over the place.
1411  Bitcoin / Project Development / Re: [BETA]Bitfinex.com first Bitcoin P2P lending platform for leverage trading on: April 11, 2013, 10:47:14 AM
Hi folks, is everything OK? Given the current situation, I hope there was no delayed margin calls/negative balances, etc?
1412  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: April 11, 2013, 07:35:04 AM
Jesus, I used to be able to follow this thread, now there is no chance. I leave for a few hours last night and 40 more pages appear o.0


Would have hardly worth the time anyway, I'm sure 90% of them is "get me out of this place! I want my Mom!"  Wink
1413  Local / 中文 (Chinese) / Re: 投资比特币一年内赚了100万 on: April 11, 2013, 07:32:24 AM
币值稳定,比特币目前并没有做到这一点。但这只是发展中的问题,当全世界的人都知道有这么一个东西存在,当用户群体已趋近饱和时,它的币值就会稳定下来。
___________________________________

那个时候再囤积就没多大意义了。
问题是趋近饱和的过程!
当所有人都hoarding的时候,一丁点需求都会使价格窜高很多,造成泡沫假象,等到一破灭,大家会纷纷撤出,这个货币就死了
比特币的问题在于没有解决hoarding的问题
前几年在推广期要强制流通啊

泡沫破灭不会导致比特币死亡,而只是先行者降价抛售,事情的奇妙之处就在这里。 Wink
未必哦,如果很多人都发现比特币木有价值了他们就会放弃,就会大量出售,从而价格崩溃,接受比特币的商家也会发现无法定价从而拒绝比特币,比特币就会玩完了

跌到2美元的时候你不在吧? Wink

这个项目刚创建的时候就是没人当回事的,别说商家了,大家就是玩玩而已,如果没人挖矿了,难度就会跌得很低,大家就又可以用CPU挖矿了,没什么差别。一切重新开始,可能又会有人发现有用了,于是价格又涨上去。

奇妙之处就在这,比特币不是股票,发行股票的公司一破产,股票就彻底没用了,比特币不是。
1414  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Bitcoin is already illegal in China on: April 11, 2013, 07:18:39 AM
We would already be living in Utopia if the idiotic bureaucrats in Beijing are smart enough to somehow figure out how Bitcoin works and what's effective against it.
1415  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Please check my math! on: April 11, 2013, 07:09:01 AM
Exactly why the "ASIC is harmful to Bitcoin" talk is nothing but bullshit.
1416  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: April 11, 2013, 06:59:32 AM
My routine question: did you pick up anything in the fire sale? Wink
1417  Local / 中文 (Chinese) / Re: 投资比特币一年内赚了100万 on: April 11, 2013, 06:41:32 AM
币值稳定,比特币目前并没有做到这一点。但这只是发展中的问题,当全世界的人都知道有这么一个东西存在,当用户群体已趋近饱和时,它的币值就会稳定下来。
___________________________________

那个时候再囤积就没多大意义了。
问题是趋近饱和的过程!
当所有人都hoarding的时候,一丁点需求都会使价格窜高很多,造成泡沫假象,等到一破灭,大家会纷纷撤出,这个货币就死了
比特币的问题在于没有解决hoarding的问题
前几年在推广期要强制流通啊

泡沫破灭不会导致比特币死亡,而只是先行者降价抛售,事情的奇妙之处就在这里。 Wink
1418  Economy / Speculation / Re: Financial Risk Analytics-Subscription Service on: April 11, 2013, 05:53:05 AM
BTFD

Come on cypher, this is too obvious. Cheesy
1419  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: April 10, 2013, 03:48:54 PM
Who did you think were the early adopters/programmers/activists of Bitcoin? Kids born with silver spoon in their mouth?

Exactly. US and EU white, male, middle- to upperclass, high school kids.
Not necessarily silver spoon, but shiny metal spoon at least.

It's funny that you mentioned nationality, skin color and gender, while we were talking about economic status.
1420  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker on: April 10, 2013, 03:24:07 PM
Can we have a CRASH already??? Angry

Buy as soon as possible or regret for the rest of your life.

this +1000000


getting a welfare payment from the government tomorrow and the whole thing is going into btc
hahaha the poorest man in the street is now buying bitcoins and people saying 'not in a bubble' lmao

Who did you think were the early adopters/programmers/activists of Bitcoin? Kids born with silver spoon in their mouth? Whether you can recognize the value of BTC has very little to do with your material well-being.
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