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161  Economy / Securities / Re: [Mpex.co] The Scientology of Bitcoin Finance? on: March 06, 2014, 11:41:14 PM
Yes, if you go by just the amount of trading done right now, and a PE of 10 you would get a price of 0.0000086 (compare to the current price of about 0.00086, that is a difference of two orders of magnitude). But the system which MPEx has set up is secure and useful, so it is reasonable to expect the amount of trade to go up in the future.


Edit: My calculation: 36010 (monthly volume) * 12 (months) * 0.002 (trading fee) * 10 (PE estimate) / 1 billion shares

Alternatively, and perhaps much more rationally, 0.00086 (share price) / 36010 (monthly volume) / 12 (months) / 0.002 (trading fee) *  1 billion shares would yield a PE of 995, which seems to be what a well run, trusted Bitcoin business trades for.

One can't ignore the market indefinitely. For the past two years MPEx has been practically without exception the largest venture in Bitcoin. Others have come and gone, be it Satoshi Dice, Asicminer or what have you. At times of crisis the entire rest of the Bitcoin economy collapsed into nothingness, leaving MPEx to stand in excess of the sum of everything else. At times of (irrational) exuberance drastically inflated market caps on the basis of narrow available "investment" Bitcoin made competition seem possible, in aggregate, but still left MPEx the largest one Bitcoin business (with week or month-long interruptions here and there, sure).

The fact remains that Bitcoin isn't here to adapt to the needs, desires, or expectations of the fiat world. Bitcoin is here to force --with its consent, no matter how enthusiastic, or against its will, no matter how empathic-- the conformation of the fiat world. Consequently...1k PE is just what PEs are in Bitcoin, if the company doesn't suck. If it does suck...well...a fraction thereof.

This isn't nearly as unreasonable as it seems once you realize that Bitcoin, unlike fiats, is noninflationary. In 1965 a gallon of gas cost $0.31, today almost fifty years later it costs ten times as much. That's roughly 20% each year (0.2 * 50 = 10) and if you compound it yearly this comes to a whooping 9100x. Meanwhile in the same interval Berkshire Hathaway went from $14.86 per share to $182,175, which is roughly 12,259x. Not that much better (and for that matter if you compound quarterly rather than yearly, the gasoline figure is 17,292 rather than 9100). In this perspective, Berkshire has barely kept up with inflation (a little above if you compound yearly, a little below if you compound quarterly). What is the real (ie, Bitcoin-equivalent) PE of Berkshire? About 1000x, at least as degree of magnitude. Once you wash away all accounting inflation caused by fiat monetary inflation even the best of fiat companies appears quite MPEx-ish. And this as to the exceptional, the outstanding, the one-of-a-kind. God help you should you consider the merely competent, such as for instance Buffett's competitors Burlington Industries (actually, he spells it out himself).
162  Economy / Securities / Re: [IPVO] [Multiple Exchanges] Neo & Bee - LMB Holdings on: March 06, 2014, 10:19:11 PM
What we are witnessing now with MtGox is further cleansing of the Bitcoin ecosystem. The odds are that MtGox is beyond repair in every aspect. Whether the coins are missing or not remains to be seen, as little solid information has been released. Luckily the Bitcoin space is now witnessing serious investors and business people developing infrastructure to utilize the technology in a more professional capacity. The time of garage companies, shady operators and teenage hackers has passed. The time of seriously funded, professionally operated, responsibly executed, carefully planned and diligently tested businesses is here. This new crop of businesses is more transparent, more secure and more professional than those of the first generation. Here at Neo and Bee and Neo EasyCoin, we are making great progress towards higher levels of transparency and professionalism. The willingness of other businesses such as Coinbase, Bitstamp, Coinkite, Circle and Blockchain.info to provide transparency
  and accountability is encouraging.

Our customers can always independently verify their Bitcoin holdings on the blockchain. We voluntarily subject ourselves to external audit with one of the Big Four audit firms, and we make painstaking efforts to remain on the forefront of physical and software security to ensure we do not become the next MtGox.

Bitcoin is here to stay and it will only become stronger through more professional infrastructure.

Or maybe just see here and take it down a notch. Or five.
163  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: So do Bitcoiners actually claim the foundation wasn't infiltrated? on: March 06, 2014, 05:03:14 PM
Is there an alternative full client?

- bitcoind
- Bitcoin-Qt
- Gocoin

Both bitcoind and Bitcoin-Qt are the main backbone of the Bitcoin network. I'm not sure what ratio of nodes are bitcoind or bitcoin-qt.

I would actually say the bitcoind is more important because this is the one all the services would use.

Versions are much more important. Basically, stuff after about 0.7 or so supports the wallets of everyone owning less than a Bitcoin or thereabouts.
164  Economy / Securities / Re: [Mpex.co] The Scientology of Bitcoin Finance? on: March 06, 2014, 05:02:12 PM
Too funny. Despite the incoherence of his blog post, at least MP has finally stepped up and conceded the incompetence of his former approach to options market making. For finally admitting that and quitting the business of options market making without being adequately prepared, he deserves a positive acknowledgement.

It's ironic that it was just a few months ago I warned about the risks of MP's approach to market making and even spelled it out for MP's PR lackey, but since she seems to have trouble with words of more than two syllables, all we got in return at the time was an unflattering spectacle of her flailing about in her own misunderstandings. Fortunately, MP's actions in quitting the business speak louder even than the PR lackey.

Now back to something more interesting.

What are you, stupid or something?
165  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: So do Bitcoiners actually claim the foundation wasn't infiltrated? on: March 06, 2014, 04:07:03 PM
Kinda why nobody serious actually follows the Foundation client anymore.
166  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: [FREE] Tao of Bitcoin #2 now on tap! on: March 06, 2014, 03:43:13 PM
Why're you selling something so hard if it's "free"? Oh right, mailing lists.

Here's a tip: do something actually useful. Plastering a buncha ginormous "digital product impressions" and dangling lame carrots in people's faces is obnoxious as all get out and firmly pegs you as someone who's here for the sole purpose of milking noobs (and no, it doesn't matter whether that's "your intention". It's what you're doing).

Alternatively, you can just derp on back to the warrior forum.
167  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Yet another pseudo-Satoshi, or just how derpy is this Gavin character? on: March 06, 2014, 02:41:02 PM
Or what you understand of it, at any rate.
168  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: Calling out the Bitcoin Foundation Scam. on: March 06, 2014, 02:15:59 PM
So the transactions to price growth ratio is even worse than we thought or was this all internal trades not on blockchain? The chart is in my archives at the Ponzi thread. Don't feel like digging it up.

The "transactions" thing is meaningless anyway.
169  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Yet another pseudo-Satoshi, or just how derpy is this Gavin character? on: March 06, 2014, 02:09:37 PM
Don't you find it just a little odd that as the Bitcoin Foundation is being reamed into oblivion, some floozy comes up with a repackaging of Gavin's self-aggrandizing nonsense? (Really, you nearly broke it, fuckwit? Aren't you a Super Power-Ranger of Cool.)

I get it, a certain group of not particularly smart but definitely dedicated twerps would very much like to hold on to their always overstated and currently fading relevancy in this space. Gavin happens to work for them (tho' according to him, he could afford to retire, so he doesn't really need to be paid, which conveniently explains why the Scam Foundation isn't going to be paying him anymore. Well done). The why is quite clear.

The how is quite problematic, however. This fiat-style attack on Bitcoin is poorly thought out and ultimately fails to deliver. For one thing, the identity of Satoshi isn't going to be established by random twerps opining and being interviewed on the topic of "what they think". That's not how Bitcoin works, we have signatures for a reason, there's this entire structure built exactly so as to avoid the sort of inept, blathering nonsense Gavin's girlfriend bathes in. You don't need to "ask people" what "they think" about any incoming transaction, you just look for the signature. That's all there is, and that's all there is for good reason.

And since we're on the topic of fiat attacks upon Bitcoin: Hey Gavin? Leadership is not "having to make appearances and presentations and comments to the press". That's PR. And leadership sure-as-fuck-on-wheels isn't going over to the CIA to reassure them about how your life goals are to continue sucking government cock. That's being a fifth column, not being a leader.

You are becoming more and more of an embarrassment, both for this project and for your own family. How about that retirement? They say the wiser men quit before becoming Taaki.
170  Economy / Services / Re: Project Abro on: March 06, 2014, 08:31:40 AM
It's posts like this that makes me glad to have MPOE_PR around...

I think he was being sarcastic.

I hope he was being...

I....

As usual, MP has the story. The strange case of the delusionist and later stories:

171  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: Calling out the Bitcoin Foundation Scam. on: March 06, 2014, 08:28:57 AM
OK, that is what I thought.

I wonder how much of the volume reported at exchanges is real, and how much is just them trading with themselves to make themselves look more respectable? With all the shit that went down from MtGox, can we really trust the numbers they self-reported?

Indeed not. "We" now know Gox mostly traded with itself, and MP sez the price signal is pretty much RIP these days.
172  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: Calling out the Bitcoin Foundation Scam. on: March 05, 2014, 10:15:04 PM
Out of curiosity, how do you reliably measure the amount of bitcoin exchange going on OTC?

Obviously you don't reliably measure it, you're stuck guessing. Otherwise you'd have exact %s.

Depending on how well connected you are that guess is going to be more or less accurate (which is why the guesses of the unconnected are so way off the mark).
173  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: Calling out the Bitcoin Foundation Scam. on: March 05, 2014, 09:43:04 PM
hell, i'm still in the denial phase 'what do you mean you sell bitcoins on an exchange???!!!'

decentralise. do it now.
+1+1+1+1+1

Actually the majority of Bitcoin trade has happened OTC since forever. In 2011, in 2012, in 2013. That a majority of Bitcoin's periphery (ie, people interested ideally but not invested significantly) don't know about this is neither surprising nor terribly relevant.
174  Economy / Securities / Re: [Cryptostock][Havelock]Mining mini enterprise pre-IPO on: March 05, 2014, 07:32:38 PM
You are free to choose to participate in the poll or not. Nobody is begging you for your money and I wish we could avoid asking for anyone's money at all to avoid dealing with investors such as yourself. Hopefully if we succeed in listing IPO we will not have you on our investor's list.

The problem is you are not free to pass off your bullshit as something that belongs in a bitcoin securities forum. Plenty of others have made the same mistake, and plenty of others have imploded spectacularly. Go crowdfund on a corner somewhere. You'll find the gutter has the sort of "investors" you're after anyway.
175  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Stateless Sweets -- Not replying to communication on: March 05, 2014, 06:55:05 PM
I am quite disappointed.

No kidding. Sorry to hear about this but thanks for taking the time to document it.
176  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: Calling out the Bitcoin Foundation Scam. on: March 05, 2014, 06:35:30 PM
Welcome to the forum. MPOE is our most accomplished scumbag, a rumored child pornographer and a confirmed idiot. His business model is exceedingly simple: talk shit about everyone else to avoid scrutiny. Because he has no dignity or good breeding, he basically sells stock in himself, a sadistic, sexually confused Romanian Mafia reject. Anything he says can be disregarded, you won't miss anything valuable.

Whose scammer-I-exposed sock are you?
177  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: Calling out the Bitcoin Foundation Scam. on: March 05, 2014, 05:55:54 PM
Oh, and there was me thinking that Bitcoin is meant to be owned by, well, everybody who uses it.

Apparently seniority based on your posting count at this forum is the rule. My bad.

BTW, telling people to just STFU when they raise a valid a point is real fucking mature. Well done OP, a masterful thread, superbly crafted with your reasoned assertions and rebuttals.

Problem is you did not raise any valid points, and from the manner in which you raised those invalid pseudopoints it became apparent there's no practical, cheap, or easy way to correct you. So...what's one to do.
178  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: Calling out the Bitcoin Foundation Scam. on: March 05, 2014, 05:07:07 PM
OP, how about you come to us with a solution instead of a problem?

How about you shut the fuck up and get lost? Twelve post "we" indeed, get a load of that.
179  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: The Cryptocurrency Analytics Company: Build Your Personal Bitcoin Hedge Fund on: March 05, 2014, 03:08:16 PM
Most definitely get yourself in the WoT.
180  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: Tinkercoin: Buy $20 worth of Bitcoin with a credit card on: March 05, 2014, 03:06:18 PM
The service is targeting newcomers to Bitcoin primarily, in order to help them get their first Bitcoins.

Beyond that I can't really speak to the internal workings of the system.

So noobs are encouraged to send money in and we can't say anything else about it. Why do you think this belongs in "service announcements" as opposed to "scam accusations"?
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