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1821  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] [CONCEPT] Anti-Pirate: Bonds for negative BTCST investments on: April 19, 2012, 11:46:23 AM
Yeah, I see how that could pass for an announcement. But you did not even mention then that you intended for this to be used as a vehicle for other people to short. All you said is that you would offer a naked issue comparable to PPT as a way for you personally to short.

For all I know, you only added a comment about the possibility to short your asset after I suggested that there is demand for this.

Edit: And by the way, sportsmanship also means not making a scene when your competitors don't offer you free advertising. I know I didn't waltz in to every mining bond thread and demand they pay tribute to PureMining.

I'm really not trying to provoke you or anything, I think the thread has been hijacked enough. I just wish you to be a bit more civil.
1822  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] [CONCEPT] Anti-Pirate: Bonds for negative BTCST investments on: April 19, 2012, 11:31:16 AM
Quote
I don't know what kind of bubble you live in

If your defense is "oh but I didn't know cause I don't read the forums or mpex or go on IRC or anything else" that means YOU are the one in the bubble. Good luck with that.
I read the forum plenty, please direct me to a place where you announced your offering prior to my own proposal, preferably in a relevant section.

You may be right that I am missing out on IRC, but it doesn't seem like a very productive medium to me. I can usually be found in #bitcoin-il though.

I don't follow mpex closely, nor do I see a reason why I should.

Meni can you create a negative MPEx bond instead? That is, a bond allowing us to short the continued existence of MPEx. I would invest heavily in such a bond
That's... Interesting, I guess.
1823  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] [CONCEPT] Anti-Pirate: Bonds for negative BTCST investments on: April 19, 2012, 11:16:40 AM
There's a very simple path to sportsmanship: Announce your foregoers so that they do not have to do it for you.
I don't know what kind of bubble you live in, but people don't go daily to check Mpex. Bitcointalk announcement or it didn't happen. I did browse this forum and GLBSE to make sure nobody has made a similar suggestion. You announced this here after my own post. When I saw it I thought about giving it a mention, but decided against it because there was no real innovation in your offering - you can do with it exactly what you can do with PPT. And I did mention PPT.

If you must know, I came up with the idea while driving to the train station on my way to work yesterday. Of course, the rigorous mathematical modeling had to wait until I got home. If you are suggesting that I did in fact have knowledge of your own offering while I was making this post, then you are calling me a liar, and I will not tolerate such accusations.

Once again, you are not my foregoer. PPT offered a timed positive bond, you offered a timed positive bond, I offered a perpetual negative bond.

If you must take credit, it is true that I was somewhat inspired by your recent comments in the BTCST thread predicting a default.
1824  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] [CONCEPT] Anti-Pirate: Bonds for negative BTCST investments on: April 19, 2012, 10:50:51 AM
Yes, this was announced in principle two days ago and is now trading on MPEx.

To piggyback you have to be faster and more decided than that.
I beg your pardon?

I'm assuming you're referring to this.

Even if this was announced two days ago as you say I had no knowledge of this when I devised the asset being offered, or when I wrote this post.

More importantly this is completely different. You have basically copied the PPT bond, which is a positive Pirate deposit, and merely stated that it can also be sold short. My offering is the exact opposite, each bond represents a negative investment, in a way which is original (maybe similar instruments exist in the financial world at large, but I have not seen anything like it here). It is much more streamlined and easier to use than any short position that can be taken utilizing PPT or your copy of it.

All that said, both our offerings are valid and investors can choose which they prefer, if any. I just wish my competitors would have a bit more sportsmanship.

What will your anti-pirate bond do in the event of a change in interest rates offered?
In the bond described in the OP, this will have no effect. If investors believe this is indicative of a different default risk (likely reduced), they can react by exercising the right to sell bonds, or to refrain from buying more bonds. And I will also take this into consideration when pricing any newly issued bonds.

Edit: It is also possible that the interest rates would become so low that the bond no longer makes sense; in this case, no new bonds will be issued, and bonds that are not sold back will decay peacefully until they are forgotten. A new type of bond may be offered with a lower effective interest rate.

In the no-sell variant, it is likely that any material change any BTCST will offer bondholders a temporary right to sell bonds. This variant is more flexible wrt pricing, so whatever the new interest rate is, it can be issued at a price that makes sense with the predefined decay rate.
1825  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] [CONCEPT] Anti-Pirate: Bonds for negative BTCST investments on: April 19, 2012, 08:50:54 AM
The above is still a concept; I have not made a final decision whether I would like to offer these bonds. I am writing this to hear any thoughts about the idea and learn if anyone would be interested in buying such bonds.

A face value equal to half the maturity value was chosen mainly because this leads to an effective interest rate equal to the decay rate, which is intuitive. A greater maturity value can be used, which will allow making an investment with a lower collateral (essentially a higher margin ratio), but this will mean that the decay rate needs to be higher for a given effective interest rate, which is less robust.

The asset as described can be cleanly equated to a negative deposit against collateral. There is an alternative offering I am considering: Dropping the right to sell the bonds at face value (and replacing it with a compensation clause for a scenario that the BTCST program changes materially without defaulting). This allows more flexibility with the pricing, but makes it harder to compare directly with BTCST deposits, except for the fact that this is a bet on an imminent default. Opinions on the preferred variant are also welcome.

Update: No longer just a concept. For now I went with the sell option, 200% maturity variant.
1826  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] [CONCEPT] Anti-Pirate: Bonds for negative BTCST investments on: April 19, 2012, 08:50:30 AM
(reserved)
1827  Economy / Securities / [GLBSE] (discontinued) Anti-Pirate: Bonds for negative BTCST investments on: April 19, 2012, 08:50:09 AM
tl; dr: Each Anti-Pirate bond has a face value that starts at 1 BTC and decays by 7% (multiplicatively) every week. If Pirate defaults, the bonds will be purchased back for twice their face value. Bondholders have the right to sell bonds for their face value at any time. The asset is currently inactive.

Asset page: https://glbse.com/asset/view/ANTI-PIRATE


Introduction. For the past several months, forum member pirateat40 has offered the recently renamed Bitcoin Savings and Trust program (website), allowing investors to deposit funds and receive insanely high interest payments in return. The program is widely suspected to be a HYIP scam, though it has still attracted much interest from investors who believe that, even if the program will eventually default, they will make back their investment by then.

No doubt there are other people who believe that default is imminent and wish to take the opposite side of the bet. So far there hasn't been an effective way to do this. One possibility that comes to mind is borrowing pass-through bonds such as PPT and selling them, but there is no standard platform for this, and this is made cumbersome by the terms of the specific offerings.

The Anti-Pirate bonds offer a streamlined method to short BTCST, and are equivalent to depositing a negative amount in the program (where the payment for the bond acts as collateral, much like when selling on margin). If you believe that investment in BTCST has a net negative expected value, then an Anti-Pirate bond, bought at an appropriate price, will have a net positive expected value.

Method of operation. Bonds will have a face value which starts at 1 BTC and will be sold at a price which is somewhat higher than the face value. The face value of all Anti-Pirate bonds will decay by 7% per week (at 03:30 UTC on Tuesday), multiplicatively (after X weeks, the face value will be 0.93^X BTC). The bond represents a perpetual obligation by the issuer to be bought back, if the BTCST program defaults, at a price equal to the maturity value, which is twice its face value at the time of default. The faster Pirate defaults, the higher will be the return on investment; conversely, if Pirate never defaults or only after a very long time, the investment will be lost entirely.

The issuer is also obligated to buy back bonds at any time, at the request of a bondholder, for their face value at the time. Taking all this into account, buying Anti-Pirate bonds with total face value of 1 BTC is completely equivalent to the following:

1. Depositing (-1) BTC in Pirate's BTCST program at the 7% weekly interest tier;
2. Instead of receiving 1 available BTC, depositing 1 BTC as collateral;
3. Each week, withdrawing 7% of the balance (making the negative balance closer to 0), and correspondingly withdrawing 7% of the collateral;
4. Paying an advance, non-refundable fee for the service equal to the difference between the traded price and the face value. For bonds bought from the issuer, the fee represents a compensation for the risk in offering this bond.

This is because depositing 1 BTC creates a profit of 7% per week, where a default causes a loss of 1 BTC; while buying Anti-Pirate bonds causes a loss of 7% per week (represented as a depreciation in the face value of the owned bonds), a default would cause a gain equal to the negative balance, the scale of investment is reduced by 7% unless new bonds are purchased, and the position can be closed at any time allowing withdrawal of the collateral.

The pricing of any future bonds offered will take into consideration the reduced face value. The asset can be used indefinitely, but requiring ever growing quantities for a given value.

Details on the current face value of bonds is available at http://bitcoinantipirate.com/. This website is informational only and is in no way binding.

Determining a default scenario. The contractual payment in the scenario of a BTCST default will require a community consensus that a default has taken place. A partial default will count as a default for this purpose; on the other hand, a single person claiming he is unable to withdraw funds is not sufficient evidence. The time of default for the purpose of determining the effective face value is the time that real evidence first comes to light, which in retrospect will lead to a conclusion of default. Any isolated incident will not count for the purpose of locking the face value.

The issuer can also choose at any time to buy back the bonds at the maturity value (equal to twice the face value), even if there is no default.

Timing. The issuer will keep as reserves, in either a local machine or a GLBSE balance, an amount of bitcoins equal to at least the face value of all outstanding bonds. Should any loss or theft of the reserves occur, the issuer will make a best effort to quickly replenish them.

The issuer will maintain bids on the GLBSE platform for the bonds, at a price equal to at least their face value, in a quantity which is expected to be sufficient for the demand to sell back bonds. If the bids are executed, the issuer will make a best effort to place new bids quickly, which will usually take no more than 2 days. Contacting the issuer can help expediting this.

The issuer is not obligated to keep in immediately available reserves the due payment for a case of BTCST default. However, the issuer has more than enough assets to be able to cover the obligation, and these will be liquidated as necessary to fulfill the obligation. Said liquidation is expected to take several days.

Trustworthiness. I, Meni Rosenfeld, am issuing the Anti-Pirate GLBSE asset, and committing to fulfilling the terms of the bond as described. I am a veteran of this forum and other Bitcoin communities, and own a Bitcoin business. I am using my real name which can be linked to my identity via my extensive online presence, and I have verified my identity with GLBSE.

The only way I can conceive not honoring the terms is if a malicious cracker hacks into my GLBSE account and issues new bonds on my behalf. The obligation thus created is arbitrarily high and there is no way to commit to it (of course, if the damage is within reason I will absorb the losses). I am using a strong password for GLBSE and keeping my computing environment reasonably secure, but cannot absolutely preclude this scenario. Do not buy newly issued shares unless I announce them on the forum, and in case of suspicious activity you would do well to verify via additional channels. Going forward I will look for robust ways to limit the plausibility of this scenario.
1828  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: GLBSE IPO Handling and Interaccount Transfers Discussion Thread. on: April 19, 2012, 03:42:40 AM
For these reasons, and more, I recommend the immediate closure of GLBSE and any other issuers of counterfeit securities.
To paraphrase Einstein: If GLBSE is illegal, then I would feel sorry for the dear law. GLBSE is correct.
1829  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Newbie with some questions and comments on: April 18, 2012, 04:05:49 AM
We can't expect people to carry their computers around as they go shopping.
Of course.

Smartphones maybe, but I hate the damn things because they feel like "big brother is watching".
That depends on the smartphone. There's no reason why there shouldn't be smartphones that maintain a tolerable level of privacy, though I don't know if any are currently available. It can also be a dedicated Bitcoin storage device, which doesn't need to be connected to the internet, a cellular network or anything - it can connect wirelessly to the merchant to send a transaction, and at your home to synchronize. Such a device can also be smaller than a smartphone, possible comparable with a CC.

I did see that physical bitcoin idea, but the cards with 5 or 10 bitcoins in them can't be divided if I'm not mistaken, and anyway there is no infrastructure to swipe cards like visa does. I suppose visa and mastercard will still be with us, and maybe at some point they will accept bitcoins as payment for the visa bill.
Just like banks, credit cards etc. exist to overcome the limitations of traditional physical cash, so can services exist to overcome whatever limitations Bitcoin has (which are much milder than for cash). You can have Bitcoin credit cards and physical tokens, either including a private key or not - the latter would require more trust in the issuer, but will allow smaller denominations (in both cases the issuer will need to be trusted and have an infrastructure to prevent counterfeiting).

Maybe we shouldn't worry about a substitute for cash because society is going cashless anyway.
Right. On one hand I like cash, on the other I find it archaic to have to mess with composing amounts from various coins and/or receiving change rather than simply having a digital representation of the exact amount. I wouldn't mind paying by pulling out a device and entering a PIN.
1830  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Newbie with some questions and comments on: April 17, 2012, 04:21:02 PM
I'm wondering how shop owners can use it when it takes an hour for a transaction to complete. I suppose one can just assume it will complete for small purchases. But the mechanics of someone going in and buying a cup of coffee with bitcoins escapes me for the moment. I will have to dig some more.
It's very difficult to reverse a transaction even with 0 confirmations. Shop owners can be completely safe accepting payment immediately for most purchases.

For large purchases you can either wait for a confirmation or two or use a layer on top of Bitcoin, such as a split-key eWallet with a green address. There will also be insurance services and so on.
1831  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] PureMining: Infinite-term, deterministic mining bond on: April 17, 2012, 11:42:13 AM
Congratulations Meni on your continued success with Puremining!
Thank you, I'm glad to offer a valuable service.
1832  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] PureMining: Infinite-term, deterministic mining bond on: April 17, 2012, 10:38:27 AM
That presale was done @0.4 too?
Essentially yes, though there was a token discount.
1833  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] PureMining: Infinite-term, deterministic mining bond on: April 17, 2012, 10:00:25 AM
I have been contacted (by one who also happens to be a Bitcoil customer) to make a presale of 5500 bonds, and I agreed. Because of this, and to stay with round numbers, I will issue 6000 new bonds (total of 10000 so far), of which 500 will be publicly offered at 0.4 BTC.
1834  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Newbie with some questions and comments on: April 17, 2012, 07:50:30 AM
On the "new wallet that has never been connected to the network" issue, I now understand, thanks for clearing this up. It's sort of a black hole though, isn't it? Eventually you are going to want to spend those coins. But I suppose if you wanted to spend 10%, you could go online and do so, then immediately send the remaining 90% to yet another new wallet that has never been connected to the network?
That's one way to do it (with the current standard client), but as I said, in principle (using Armory offline wallets etc) to send coins you don't need the computer with your private keys to be connected to the internet or any network. That's the beauty of digital signatures.

But yes, the more secure and inconvenient the wallet, the more it is suitable for long-term savings rather than a spending wallet.

That Armory Offline Wallet is pretty cool. I'd feel a little nervous transferring a file from the online to the offline computer, but I suppose if nothing on the flash drive is executed that would work, and you could use a freshly formatted flash drive with just the one file on it. Even better if the offline computer has an encrypted system; then physical access by an attacker does not gain him anything, again outside the hardware keystroke logger problem.
Don't the same risks exist with whatever medium you use to install the OS?

Anyway, with split keys you can make this even more secure. Have one computer in your house with one OS installed with some medium, another at a friend's house (which could be on the other side of the globe) with a different OS and installation medium. Have both of them offline, collect the public keys to generate the address, then manually input transactions and output signatures from both computers. Stealing your coins would require compromising two offline computers with different systems in different locations. I'm sure that's pretty hard.
1835  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: change language to english in official bitcoin client on: April 17, 2012, 05:44:43 AM
The english language in Bitcoin uses the code en only. If you try to tell Bitcoin to load en_US it will not work as it won't recognize the language you're asking it to load.
It definitely does work and it's what I'm using.
1836  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: change language to english in official bitcoin client on: April 17, 2012, 05:32:38 AM
I've started this related thread for discussion of ways to solve this problem going forward.

As for the current situation: The default language is determined by the dates format. Many people have their OS with an English interface but use the local format for dates and stuff. (eg in Israel we use d/m/y rather than m/d/y). So this means that many people will encounter an unwanted translation; and that resolving it doesn't require "removing languages", just setting the defined format language to US (and the formats themselves can be customized for this language to match the local style).

Alternatively, you can use psy's suggestion of editing bitcoin.conf (haven't tested this), or simply add -lang=en_US to the target of whatever shortcut you are using to launch Bitcoin.
1837  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: GLBSE IPO Handling and Interaccount Transfers Discussion Thread. on: April 17, 2012, 05:16:05 AM
Also note that the service you are providing is not a stock exchange. Your service is a weird hybrid put together by someone with very little knowledge of how capital markets actually work.

A stock exchange only facilitates the matching of buyers and sellers. These parties are brokers, not the beneficial owner of the security.

The buyers and sellers arrange the transfer outside of the exchange, typically through a clearinghouse. The records of ownership are taken down by the issuer or a transfer agent. Each of these parties are seperate and distinct for some very good reasons.
It may or may not be factually true that Nefario has "very little knowledge of how capital markets actually work". This has no relevance on whether GLBSE (or the ecosystem GLBSE is a part of) should be an exact copy of traditional markets. There's no problem with providing a service that serves multiple functions.

In the future, assets in the Bitcoin world will be based on a decentralized blockchain like Bitcoin itself; issuing, transferring and even atomic Bitcoin-asset trades will be done on this blockchain. Matching buyers and sellers can also be done on a p2p network if there is no problem with fake orders. There will be separate services that allow continuous trades and guaranteed orders.

But right now the Bitcoin market is too small for a separation of powers with multiple competing offerings for each function.
1838  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Newbie with some questions and comments on: April 17, 2012, 04:32:39 AM
Ah, clearly I was getting mixed up between "address book" and "receive coins". But I wonder why I see only 1 address in "receive coins"? I have read somewhere that there are supposed to be 100.
As others said, the 100 are in reserve and not displayed.

Quote
...an address for each customer, etc., but I don't demand a new address for every transaction
OK, makes sense, however this means since you don't do a new address for every transaction that the gui cannot be used for keeping track of things like rent payments? Or are individual payment stored in the block chain? I guess it must be. So one could in theory just receive coins from someone making payments and never keep any other record of payments, because it is all out there in the block chain. Cool.
Not only are individual transactions stored on the blockchain, they are displayed in the client in the "Transactions" tab. So you can have a "rent for tenant A" address (or from the sender's side, this address will be called "rent to landlord"), and you can track the payments to this address every month.

I read this comment in another thread:
Quote
1. Put all your coins in a new wallet that has never connected to the network
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=33835.0

The context is maximum security. I don't quite understand the comment. Even if you sent all your current bitcoins to a new wallet of yours that you had created offline, isn't the transaction incomplete until the wallet has been connected to the network? For at least an hour or so?
No. Once the transaction is out in the open, it's final and cannot be reversed (up to some technical issues). They don't need to be "received" by the beneficiary. In fact you don't even need to connect the computer with the wallet to the internet to send these coins, you can just have it create signatures and pass these manually to a connected computer. With this method, there's no way to compromise your wallet without physical access.

For maximum security, Split keys / multi-signature transactions are an important part of the solution.
1839  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Newbie with some questions and comments on: April 16, 2012, 07:12:05 PM
First thing I ran onto was the concept of addresses. This wiki article suggests going to bitcoin faucet to get a fraction of a coin and see the client do its thing. I did that, gave it my google login and it asked for my bitcoin address. It said, "Download and install the Bitcoin program from bitcoin.org. At the top of its main window it will show you Your Bitcoin Address." Well, no it doesn't. The client shows only "Bitcoin Wallet" at the top. So somewhere I either have to generate an address, or recognize I already have one. I looked at the address book in the client and there found a single address with no label (I had not clicked the "new address" button). I wondered if that's my address? Then I got out of there, and just went back into the address book and found no address at all. Appears to be a bug...
This description is based on Bitcoin's old wxWidgets GUI that was used before version 0.5. Starting with 0.5 there's a QT GUI which is quite different. You could contact Gavin about updating the faucet description.

In the "Receive coins" you have your own addresses which people can use to send to you, pick one or generate a new address to give to the faucet. It should have one address to begin with. In "Address book" you have other people's address which you can send to, if you haven't added anything it will be blank.

Then I am wondering about this concept of addresses. It appears to be a destination for payments, so it's like a home address in a way, but then people are advised to create a new one for every payment received as a crude bookeeping device apparently, so it's a bit like an invoice number (or at least, the label part is like an invoice number). If you don't generate a new address, and throw several payments into an existing one, that's like money that comes in that you don't care to keep track of? Such as minor donations, as opposed to a rent payment?
The most common practice is to use an address for each purpose, this has both bookkeeping and privacy implications. So I have an address for forum donations, a different address for donations from Wikipedia, and I have an address for each eWallet of all sorts (including exchanges and mining pools), and an address for each customer, etc., but I don't demand a new address for every transaction.
1840  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] PureMining: Infinite-term, deterministic mining bond on: April 16, 2012, 06:38:40 PM
I have issued 2000 new bonds (a total of 4000) at 0.4 BTC each.

Nefario has also finished verifying my account.

About "only 1 block per week": that's why I suggested Eligius + P2Pool, as these pools pay out via coinbase transactions, so you could even prove that you own a single GH/s quite well, as these pools solve blocks much faster.
I'm not going anywhere near Eligius, I'll think about P2Pool.
I have been reminded that BFL singles don't work with P2Pool because of the frequent LP, so that's off the table.

I'll proceed with my original plan - which is to use whatever combination I see fit of physically operating hardware, colocation, mining contracts, mining company investments or hedging on available markets, which I deem will provide me with the best combination of profit and risk. I will divulge information on my course of action for the sake of transparency, but this is irrelevant to my unconditional obligation to fulfill the deterministic terms, and I will not go out of my way to prove that I have the stated backing.

As a reminder, in the short term there are 13 BFL single units on the way to be colocated with Inaba (which may be absorbed into his BFLS offering), who will operate them utilizing GPUmax and the last fortress of hoppability, Deepbit. I'm also waiting for news from Largecoin, I have the deposit money ready.
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