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1961  Economy / Speculation / Re: This Isn't Manipulation on: January 20, 2019, 07:23:24 PM
Manipulation takes place when some big personalities came here and do business, but it couldn't be enough to make big change and controlled the market. It is just a normal activities around.
That what you consider manipulation is nothing more than people with deeper pockets than you opening and closing positions. If there was more liquidity available the movements wouldn't be as severe.

This market is literally a joke with how institutions can't be bothered to wire tens or even hundreds of millions to an exchange that doesn't know how to take care of that much capital.

I expect the situation to only improve when legacy institutions start their own spot trading platforms, because the exchanges as they are right now are incompetent and shady in most cases.
1962  Economy / Economics / Re: Investing in Bitcoin in 2019? on: January 20, 2019, 06:59:52 PM
Those who will invest now will be the real investors who will hold bitcoins for long term. I do not think short term investments are fruitful in any way these days.
Don't underestimate short term investors. Most of them are pretty happy to sell 10-20% higher, which there have been several opportunities for in the last couple of months, and that's just buy low sell high.

If you also take into consideration the traders who sell 1-5% higher, you'll realize that they are doing a much better job than those who are firmly hodling, which I am part of as well, so there are always two sides to a story.

Overall, the smartest money wins, and right now it plays out in the favor of those who take advantage of the short term ups and downs most people here are sick and tired of by now.
1963  Economy / Economics / Re: First Bitcoin ATM in Venezuela on: January 20, 2019, 04:39:40 PM
I wonder how long this will last, I've heard of government officials confiscating bitcoin miners from citizens already.  I doubt the government will stand by and let people freely convert to bitcoin while they are trying to implement their own state backed cryptocurrency.
I'm not that confident in a good outcome either. Maduro has been signalling that he doesn't like anything related to our crypto currencies, because more adoption here means less interest in his own little toy.

I just hope for the people there that they aren't being punished for using that ATM, because it honestly wouldn't surprise me with how Maduro doesn't give a damn about those who aren't cheering for him....

If you aren't cheering for him, even if you're completely neutral and not necessarily against him, he will make you wish you was. I'm glad that his coin hasn't been listed on an exchange yet.
1964  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Anyone here that experience a long bear market besides this one? on: January 20, 2019, 03:53:57 PM
I won't talk about the s***show we're experiencing right now, going from an overvalued BTC to an undervalued one, but in the 2013-2016 period this is what the chart shows...
I don't see how Bitcoin or crypto in general can ever be undervalued. Most of the demand comes from people speculating about the price to increase, and when they exit the market, the demand exits as well.

In other words, Bitcoin goes down and will be valued to a point where there is enough demand to keep its price above certain levels. People have to accept the cycles we're going through.

People buying in right now hoping for a quick recovery to the $20,000 mark are delusional. Bitcoin currently looks cheap based on its 2017 high, but you can discard that high because of the hype madness we don't have right now....
1965  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: there is no word stopping to trade crypto. on: January 20, 2019, 03:09:58 PM
It's just one part of the equation in my opinion and we al know that TA doesn't sit with crypto because of the price swings, but be application short term though, but past graphs doesn't mean future successes.
Most of the swings or breakouts (whatever you like to call them) have been pretty easy to time with TA, which surprised me because it shows that TA actually matters and you can open up a position in advance.

The only thing you have no control over, is what side it will break out, and this is the part where you have to look at the past and traditional markets to see what the odds on average are, and you open up a position based on that.

I guess that with more and more algorithmic trading activity in this market, TA will become more of a guide than ever before, so those who say that TA sucks will likely be on the wrong side.
1966  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2019-01-19] Binance Sees Massive Uptake on: January 20, 2019, 12:17:57 PM
I think the main reason for them to avoid the licensing/registration part is to onboard as many users as they can, trap them in, and then force them to verify themselves whenever they are ready to become fully compliant in the US.
That makes sense with how their immense growth was solely the result of shitting on local laws. It surprises me that there haven't been more countries following Japan's example to get rid of them....

Overall, I don't think Binance will attempt to offer fiat trading within the US. It's too much of a risk and they definitely don't need to expose themselves to so much risk considering how insignificant the potential benefits are.

Binance is a money making machine already, and more so when ICOs no longer use Ethereum to launch their project on, but Binance itself with how that's the easiest way to get yourself a listing there.
1967  Economy / Speculation / Re: Why the Crypto Market Remains ‘Moderately Bearish’ in 2019 on: January 20, 2019, 12:44:13 AM
If it was not for the whales it is likely the price will be even lower, after all who do you think is buying all the coins of the investors that panicked and were selling their coins? The whales of course, so if anything we should be happy the whales believe in this market and buy so many coins, but whales despite their power cannot make the price of most coins to go up so until more investors decide to come back to the market we are stuck with a market which will not move much.
It's good to see someone defend whales rather than accusing them of manipulating the price downwards to buy in cheaper. There is no shortage of whales are manipulators fools in here....

Most of the people don't provide buy support to an exchange, whales do. The average buyer places an order at market price and have it filled near instantly in most cases.

Whales provide buy support to protect what they hold in Bitcoin, which means that they protect your value as well. It's hard to think of entities who aren't down from +$6000 to where we are right now in terms of USD portfolio value.
1968  Economy / Speculation / Re: Chinese New Year 2019 on: January 19, 2019, 11:54:23 PM
I remember last year, many speculation appears during the season and many says Chinese needs money so they can celebrate and that cause the market to go deeper. I think there will be no major growth simply because of Chinese new year, we need a strong news and not this kind of celeberation to make the price go up again.
I have seen that too, but it's pure nonsense. Every drop last year was linked to a certain event, which just shows that people don't know what's going on. They are going with the flow of what's trending on social media.

We also had a lot of people blaming the social media ad bans for the price to go down, while that was pure nonsense as well. I'm glad that people more or less understand now that it is just the speculative bubble that popped.

As for the good news to make the price go up, don't wait for it. I don't see anything other than an ETF approval be good enough news to initiate a pump, but we have to wait a couple of years for that....
1969  Economy / Speculation / Re: This Isn't Manipulation on: January 19, 2019, 11:25:04 PM
You should be aware that wealthy people easily manipulate Bitcoin. If everyone likes to use Bitcoin and it becomes a global payment solution and who owns Bitcoin in large numbers will become a powerhouse of person? Be aware of this because it significantly affects us.
And there we have another claim of manipulation, but again, without anything to back it up. Mind explaining why you think that people with more money than you 'easily' manipulate Bitcoin?

Owning a lot of Bitcoins as whale doesn't necessarily grant you an advantage here. It does motivate you to contribute to the market in order to protect and maintain value, but manipulation certainly isn't part of that.

To add, with so many different large exchanges, you as whale have even less power to move the overall market, because there is always someone else with deeper pockets than you and with different plans.
1970  Economy / Speculation / Re: Future BTC's price on: January 18, 2019, 09:16:08 PM
Everyone should invest based on what they believe, of course for bitcoin enthusiast, we believe that it will survive and it's the reason why
until now we are still holding it. Not only bitcoin as this market would be boring with altcoins pumping, it's a bigger market now and I want them all to survive.
Everyone should invest based on research and understanding of the fundamentals, and not based on what you believe Bitcoin is or will be. The believe you refer to is what made people lose tons of money with shitcoins and ICOs.

The very reason you consider having only Bitcoin in the market to be boring, and that you want altcoins to pump, proves that you haven't done any research, nor have basic understanding of why crypto exists in the first place.

Get rich quick mentality is what it comes down to, what else do you need here, right?  Roll Eyes
1971  Economy / Speculation / Re: The American doomsday by Tom Lee on: January 18, 2019, 08:39:44 PM
Their people might not use bitcoin as currency for daily necessities, but they can use it to store their wealth unless gold or the US dollar are easier to buy.
I'm sure that there is a small percentage of people there with enough capital to park a chunk of it in gold or Bitcoin, but what can you do with it when you run out of funds at one point?

What people there need is the US dollar, which is easier to buy into, and easier to utilize in case you need it, because it's possible to spend it almost everywhere. Stability is a key element, and that's what the US dollar offers.

With Bitcoin you don't know what its value is going to be tomorrow or next year. People assume it will go up, and it likely will, but what if it doesn't? It's too much of a risk since there are no certainties here.
1972  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: List Exchanges Hacked 2011/2018 on: January 18, 2019, 07:11:20 PM
With this news, it's a lesson for everyone not to trust our money to small exchange, instead put it on big exchanges as they have better security.
Easier said than done. Smaller exchanges list all the shitcoins larger exchanges don't want to list, so there is always an incentive for people to keep using smaller exchanges, shady or not.

If you also add that larger exchanges will more and more subject their users to KYC/AML requirements, people will have even more incentive to use smaller exchanges, because they don't ask for personal information.

History tells us that after so many hacks and inside jobs, people here will keep making the same mistakes over and over again. It's greed that rules here, which we have to accept unfortunately....
1973  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Trade stocks with Bitcoin on: January 18, 2019, 06:27:40 PM
(*) there's one modifier I don't know though: the taxes. You may get into strange situations in some countries (like mine starting this year) that Bitcoin is unreasonably heavily taxed and you may (at the end of the year) get out cheaper via stocks.
At least OP isn't in the US where everything you end up doing turns out to be a taxable event. What shocked me the most is that even spending Bitcoin is a taxable event, which in my case is exempt from taxation.

On the other hand, I am subject to a 0.5-1% annual wealth taxation, which is straight theft, so I am better off getting rid of as much on-paper wealth as possible before we enter a new fiscal year

Overall, there is no legal platform yet that allows you to trade Bitcoin versus stocks. I wouldn't even recommend anyone to use a platform currently offering such services, because regulators will definitely jump in at one point.
1974  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2019-01-18]Daily bitcoin transactions on darknet markets doubled on: January 18, 2019, 05:19:57 PM
No coiners be like: 'I knew Bitcoin is being used by criminals'.

If you look at the total on-chain transaction volume measured in USD in the last 24 hours, these dark net volumes (accurate or not) are nothing but peanuts. It's over $3 billion versus a few million....

Another example of how insignificant criminal activity actually is within the Bitcoin ecosystem. I'm pretty sure that Monero has taken a lot of criminal use away from Bitcoin, which is what it is better served for.
1975  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2019-01-17]Ripple says Confusion on Crypto related holding back Mass Adoption on: January 18, 2019, 04:32:57 PM
People choosing ripple because of company dedication to improve and support of their project becaus ethey have a goal in the world of crypto.
In other words, Ripple's XRP token has the same characteristics of a stock that follows the performance of the main company. I'm sure that the SEC isn't blind and will do whatever it takes to categorize it accordingly.

I must admit that I haven't seen such a dedicated, yet pathetic coin/token community before. They pop up everywhere shilling XRP in every possible way. Must suck to be a bag holder....

The funny thing is that Litecoin generates more volume than XRP, and it has been like that for years. Another example of how useless market caps are. It all comes down to their insane circulating token supply.
1976  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Must we always Preach about Bull Markets? on: January 17, 2019, 10:59:24 PM
What youtubers do is shill their altcoins - I try to tell everybody to stay away from paid marketing but few listen.
That's how things go unfortunately. It's the same with cloud mining, where so many members here warn newbies about the risks and how it's NOT profitable, yet they invest in cloud mining anyway.

People need to get burned before they understand that cloud mining is wrong, some times even more than once. I'm glad that the amount of YouTubers shilling coins or platforms has decreased significantly last year.

The bear market made a lot of them delete their content and leave YouTube. I remember having read an article last year where the SEC would do more to combat them, which I very much welcome.
1977  Bitcoin / Wallet software / Re: Hodler wallet on: January 17, 2019, 10:02:01 PM
I also use a combination of various cold wallets including Ledger Nano S devices as well as Electrum to store my coins, but I'll consider using this as a hot wallet in the future.
I would definitely wait like a couple of months, maybe longer, to actually give it a go. Most people haven't heard of it yet, so let the risk takers--non caring people go first and see if they go through problems or not.

I still believe that for utter shitcoins Coinomi is the best reputable mobile wallet client available, especially with all the features they offer and how fast they add more coins on a regular basis.

Coinomi has served me well with shitforks throughout 2017 and 2018, and I'm happily looking forward to the next wave during a bull run. By that time it could be worth my time to claim them as their current value definitely isn't motivating.
1978  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Reason Why Cryptopia Is SCAM on: January 17, 2019, 09:37:49 PM

Cryptopia Hack Update: While Police Investigation Continues, People Demand Refund from Hacked Exchange

Accordingly, on January 15, 2019, police have locked down Cryptopia’s Colombo St headquartered office and published an initial report on its official website. However, police examined the office yesterday but no comments from the company’s officials are available yet. Further, the police are doing its best and in talks with the relevant agencies to partner within the country and overseas as well.

this problem is going to make a lot of noise

The main problem I see here is that the authorities might end up seizing assets, either because the exchange has been fraudulent in one way or another, or the fact that it isn't registered as exchange.

I am sure that most people expect such a shady exchange to participate in fraudulent activity, so it's going to be interesting to see where this goes. After BTCe went down I haven't had any interest in using similar exchanges anymore.

I get it that people don't want to walk themselves through KYC/AML verification requirements, but playing Russian roulette with your funds on exchanges such as Cryptopia isn't a good thing either....
1979  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2019-01-15]Bakkt Acquires Certain Assets Of Rosenthal Collins Group on: January 17, 2019, 07:29:52 PM
What makes you say that? The CFTC approved LedgerX's physically settled markets in 2017. That those markets have been live and running smoothly for 1.5 years now only makes approval of Bakkt more likely.

People are talking about Bakkt like it's an ETF, but I don't see any indication that commodity futures markets are so difficult to launch. The recent delays probably have more to do with the US government shutdown than anything else. The entire process has grinded to a halt.
LedgerX has little mass appeal, while Bakkt has so much more to offer, and at the same time is planning to build further on Bitcoin to expand that what governments don't want to see gain ground.

I don't think that many of you guys take it serious enough. The US doesn't want to pump your bags, it wants more cash settled products to have big money buy into that instead of the asset itself.

I think that it isn't a matter of Bakkt not being able to get their platform approved, but more so that they are toying around with everyone by coming up with launch dates that don't make any sense. You can't say that you will launch this or next month when the possibility is there that the CFTC might need like 6 more months to properly look into it to make a decision.

Bakkt makes people have false hopes, so it's better to blame them rather than the CFTC. The only thing they do by throwing around with launch dates is hope that the CFTC approves them before that, which clearly isn't happening.
There definitely is a degree of truth in that, but still, this doesn't change much to what I said above. I am open to be proven wrong, but that only happens when the CFTC ends up approving Bakkt.
1980  Economy / Economics / Re: Russia Prepares To Buy Up To $10 Billion In Bitcoin To Evade US Sanctions on: January 16, 2019, 09:32:45 PM
Basically, this is a good method (perhaps not with BTC) but it would be nice if more countries did the same.
They can always choose to launch their own crypto currencies that are backed by something to make it have some form of a base value. Venezuela did it already, and I'm sure more will follow in the coming years.

I actually hope they avoid Bitcoin. The less government involvement the better it is for everyone. Bitcoin could be sucked into a war that it has nothing to do with, all because a certain country owns dozens of billions worth of it.

We have never seen any government actually attempt to attack Bitcoin, and I prefer to have everything stay like that. I rather see them stick to gold and other means of preserving value over longer periods of time.
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