Bitcoin Forum
September 30, 2024, 05:36:01 PM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 27.1 [Torrent]
 
  Home Help Search Login Register More  
  Show Posts
Pages: « 1 ... 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 [100] 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 ... 165 »
1981  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 11, 2017, 10:52:38 PM

Hey, I've just noticed a pattern that this crash fits into, but it's only visible at very long range. (You need a big screen preferably to see this - pull the browser page out wide if you can to grow the image to full size. Sorry I couldn't get the pattern very visible at small scale).

This correction may not be as bearish as we think and seems to fall into a "family" of profit taking moves associated with the rise that started back around July 2015.

It appears that every 7-8 months (every 4-5 months earlier in the rise) there's a big profit take like this which always happens at the top of a spike when the market gets ahead of itself. (I call them "propellor corrections" because they look like an aircraft propellor from side on since the price corrects to about the same distance below the trend line as the 'overheat' got above it). All the same there's a longer, underlying trend where the upwards revaluation grows steadily steeper, even despite these crashes along the way.

When the pressure-relief gasket blows on these bubbles it always corrects to just below the top of the previous propellor pattern. Same every time but increasing in size. Then there's a period of consolidation, followed by a slow rise, then steep rise and another gasket-blow.

Each time the correction gets bigger, but it still seems to stick to the rule of dropping to just below the last spike so that the growth trend isn't broken. I now think I'm not the only one to have noticed this and that big players are actively trading this pattern, watching for the overheat-spike and knowing exactly when to profit take, driving that bubble into full temporary reverse with shorts for maximum profit. But they also must know how far to take it because the last spike gives the reference level.

This one was perfectly timed - 7 months exactly.

Judging by its size and perfectly placed timing, we could be in for a very big rise over the next 8 months if the long term trend continues because the vertical distance between each "overheat" phase increases each time by about 60% to 70%.

Just sayin. Context is everything Wink



This is as good any any TA I have seen here of late, and reassuringly sensible.

None of the risible 'ATH in 30 days shit' just a reasonable term (with backup TA) to suppose the bull run continues over the medium term.

Respect.
1982  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 11, 2017, 06:30:38 PM
The rest of my fiat is waiting for this to finish.  I don't think it has.

My last buy in was at 798.5.  Am now thinking we could see the 600s here.   I will leave a buy at 699.99 and go away for a few hours.  I hope my buy ain't hit, I fear it might be.

Good luck all.
1983  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 11, 2017, 01:55:17 PM
Same pattern as June/July.

Guys, this is going to bounce hard.  820-830 should be a bottom from this point forward.

I would buy if I had any fiat left.  Cry

Half my standby fiat just went back in at 798.5 - if I could have got into Stamp earlier, I might have nicked it lower.

I hope you're right, Sir - next resistance is probably 5000 CNY level - below that...? Jeez!
1984  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 11, 2017, 12:05:29 PM
ive been logged into bitstamp since 1 hour in uk
no problems with trading

No problem with any other sites - but still can't get into Stamp - have fiat there and want to get in...!

Bitstamp said if you change your DNS server to Google ( 8.8.8.8 ), it will work as a temporary solution. Have you tried that?

I will try it, thanks - no-one in my office or on any device / phone can see it.  I guess it's taking time to propogate the new DNS around the net.
1985  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 11, 2017, 11:35:58 AM
ive been logged into bitstamp since 1 hour in uk
no problems with trading

No problem with any other sites - but still can't get into Stamp - have fiat there and want to get in...!
1986  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 11, 2017, 10:34:47 AM
Stamp is down again for me....  (UK)
1987  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero - A secure, private, untraceable cryptocurrency on: January 11, 2017, 09:05:21 AM
Darkmonero.com for sale, let me know if anyone is interested.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1743914.0

Now in AUCTION MODE

Im bidding but not getting any response from you. Why man? Why.

Yeah - you doubled your bid. And it's only you bidding.  I reckon he should snap it up.  I though of bidding 1% over you on your first bid, but $1.01 would have been a little more than I wanted to pay. I decided against it, you're obviously determined to get it.
1988  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 10, 2017, 09:05:44 PM
On Twitte, @Bitstamp says 'up in most regions soon..'

Not for me!  I can see some thin trading going on, but still can't log in (UK)

I guess that will be them partying with all the new money raised.  Might want to spend it on better DNS provision, guys Wink


1989  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: January 09, 2017, 10:06:57 PM
Monero is the ultimate private money, but right now it is hard to keep it that way when you actually want to spend it.

At this point I'd say it's better to spend it transparently than to not spend it at all (assuming the transaction isn't that sensitive). The more the currency is used the more opportunities there will be to spend it, privately or not. Embrace XMR as good money in general, not just good "private money."

Don't get me wrong, I would love to.  Just point me to a place where I am going to see a sign saying 'WE ACCEPT MONERO' and I will be right there for the new wide screen I am looking at, or maybe that dinner.

It's not so easy though. Yet.  I hope it won't be too long until it is easy - supporting cards accepting XMR loading is the best I can do.  I note that some cards offer retailers the option (with BTC) of not cashing to fiat, but accepting it directly... unconverted.

1990  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: January 09, 2017, 09:59:53 PM

...snip

We need instant CC and debit ways to purchase as well as paypal to get unlinked completely and that means we need a very large financial institution that can handle the load and get the insurance for that volume.

We do - and I am gagging for this to happen. I have been looking at prepaid CCs which you can load up directly with XMR - and to a certain extent they do exist (Uquid etc.)  However, anymore than around $2500 (or GBP) in the lifetime use of the card and you need KYC / AML verification, as well as a conversation with your accountant that will mean a proper and difficult audit of your profit and loss after many years in crypto.

I don't really want to convert XMR to BTC and then exit exchanges in USD which needs to be then converted to GBP (for me) to finally end up in my bank account for all who wish to ask me about the BTC I have cashed in. 

I would love to be able to buy directly in XMR, which would be great for developing an XMR real-world economy, but this seems an age away.

Monero is the ultimate private money, but right now it is hard to keep it that way when you actually want to spend it.

Thanks for that info! So If I get a Uquid card and add funds from paypal or one of the other means then it stores XMR or the USD equivalent? IOW If I just want to buy when I feel the market is low can I use this to store XMR and then send it to an exchange immediately?

And your right converting to fiat is not only cumbersome but deanonimizing.

From what they say, you can actually load XMR directly onto this card and it gets converted into currency - choose GBP / EUR / USD.

However, read up - loading up is a window that closes over time, you pay for the physical card (or less for a 'virtual card') and its lifetime use is limited to 2500 USD or GBP and no more.  Fees apply and you need to check them out thoroughly - but it looks like an unverified way to put crypto onto a visa card and simply spend it.  It's not anonymous, but it's not so deanominising, either.  My accountant won't say 'where did this money come from?' so often.

There are other companies and cards - Bitpay do one in the US only etc.  which is no good to me, I am not in the USA.  Uquid claim to take a whole range of crypto directly and convert it to cash on the card - pre-paid.

But note that I have not tried any of these cards YET.   I want to soon, but I am doing more research before I go for it.  All of these card suppliers (I found five or six on a good google search) seem to have Visa network access (very practical), but are not massive companies, often start ups.   Some of them hold crypto in a wallet off-card and some of them put fiat onto the card instantly at rates I cannot see (although they say 'no transaction fees' for load up with crypto).

If anyone else can report back on usage - particularly with XMR as the crypto, I would love to know.  If I take the plunge before I hear, I will pass on what I learn.

The main thing I seek is to spend XMR as frictionlessly as possible on a purchase without going through endless time-consuming transactions leading ultimately to my bank... to THEN spend it. 

At the moment I buy BTC with XMR, sell it - go via a registered exchange to my bank losing on exchanging costs and fees at each step. Also, while I am not necessarily seeking to hide it, it's ironic how 'visible' all these steps are in spite of me starting with 'private money' which I want to simply spend. 

It's early days, but taking my g/f out for dinner or a weekend away with a little fancy shopping and paying all in Monero via a Visa card would feel damn good... and probably get her to take my screen time a bit more seriously.
1991  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 09, 2017, 12:26:57 PM
If it was a bubble, it was a pretty unimpressive one. A run-up, sure, but nothing spectacular by bitcoin standards. No double top. A crash that burned a good few traders but was underwhelming in the grand scheme of bubbliness. Whatever's going on here hasn't finished playing out by any stretch, and neither have the geopolitics driving it.

I agree with this on the whole.

I think simply put, BTC got fashionable in China as the Yuan's continual devaluation made BTC ever more attractive.  The sudden reverse in the rise was more to do with an unexpected sudden spike in the Yuan's value against USD, which wrong footed the market.  That might have been engineered by the PBOC, but it was a real financial markets event.

It was not FUD, not conspiracy, just plain old speculation, supply & demand and the big factor of... market sentiment

It's a volatile world and the next move is anyone's guess, I am not feeling so bullish that I see the ATH 'within days' but I don't see the long term bull trend as over just because we are back to the prices of a few weeks ago, either.
1992  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: January 09, 2017, 09:04:54 AM

...snip

We need instant CC and debit ways to purchase as well as paypal to get unlinked completely and that means we need a very large financial institution that can handle the load and get the insurance for that volume.

We do - and I am gagging for this to happen. I have been looking at prepaid CCs which you can load up directly with XMR - and to a certain extent they do exist (Uquid etc.)  However, anymore than around $2500 (or GBP) in the lifetime use of the card and you need KYC / AML verification, as well as a conversation with your accountant that will mean a proper and difficult audit of your profit and loss after many years in crypto.

I don't really want to convert XMR to BTC and then exit exchanges in USD which needs to be then converted to GBP (for me) to finally end up in my bank account for all who wish to ask me about the BTC I have cashed in. 

I would love to be able to buy directly in XMR, which would be great for developing an XMR real-world economy, but this seems an age away.

Monero is the ultimate private money, but right now it is hard to keep it that way when you actually want to spend it.
1993  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: January 09, 2017, 08:43:45 AM
Why is Monero following the rise and fall of bitcoin? I thought it was following its own path in this latest rise. Maybe the whales were only using the optimism in bitcoin and had the intention to dump the moment bitcoin started to crash?

Monero is still higher than it was a few weeks ago. As for following Bitcoin, Monero's recent rise during Bitcoin's recent rise showed that XMR's value is not necessarily tied to BTC, although it is to some degree. At least it's not as directly tied to BTC's value as many other coins.

I am very confused with what you posted. What really is it? Is it following bitcoin or not because what you posted does not answer the question. If you do not have a straight answer please refrain from posting.


We used to go up (in BTC terms) when BTC went down and vice versa.

In December we kept up our price in BTC and even increased it (in spite of BTC's rise) which was historically, a change.  The GUI (and new exchanges) were a huge factor in this, akin to the DNM news spike in late August - XMR hit a dollar value ATH. 

If I seem vague, it is because the degree of this 'coupling' is now unclear and it's hard to see what will happen from now on.  We seem to not rise and fall as other alts do and the hedge value we had (inverse moves to BTC rises and falls) is not so obviously there any more. We have dipped in USD terms massively since the peak just after Christmas.

The 'apparent' coupling during the Christmas rise (since we maintained our price in BTC terms relatively well over this period) seems to mean XMR has now lost price against BTC with its drop.  This is different and means a magnification of our value fall in USD terms - that is all I am saying.

TLDR:  I am trying to spot the new paradigm correlation between BTC and XMR price.  This is, after all a speculation thread.

And if that is not clear, you are free to ignore me - but I will not stop posting, sorry. I am interested in trends in the XMR price and discussion of this matters to me.

1994  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: January 08, 2017, 09:23:29 PM

... I give up.


Aw c'mon bro... no sweat, you know better than this, i.e. short term especially: daily swings are all over the map!

Especially lately after all the craziness that's been going on with BTC and so much XMR news on top of it all?  Honestly I'm surprised it's not swung back MORE after the way things were there for awhile, LOL.  Long overdue for short term sanity check but we're still pretty nicely 'up' aren't we?

Soon enough we'll be in the $50+ era, and looking back at this time saying wow remember when we all freaked out on one-dollar moves in the ten buck range?

It's Sunday, go pour your favorite kind of drink and relax a while Smiley

HoneyPony will still be here doin' his (her?) thing... Cheesy


Yep, having that beer now. I am not pissed off at XMR price, it's way less stressful than watching the BTC price!

I was just hoping to see we might have 'decoupled' from Bitcoin and go up when it goes down (and vice versa) as it used to.

But my little theory we might now do this is unprovable (Grrr...) so we're kind of more dependent on BTC.

For now... Wink
1995  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: January 08, 2017, 05:27:14 PM
4 hours later, BTC dumps and we rise....

Better   Grin

EDIT: Nope we are not climbing inversely to the dip, still somewhat 'pegged'. I give up.
1996  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 08, 2017, 01:27:06 PM
Stamps books look thin on both sides.   1000 BTC dump takes us down to the mid 800s, the same as a buy is way up in the mid 900s.

Which way, I have no idea - but it doesn't look that bullish to me.   Am all fiat on Stamp, waiting to see what happens.
Are you sure that you've updated your charts? Someone placed a wall at 900 right now:



Quote
Bitstamp | There are currently 4213.2586 bitcoins demanded at or over 800.0 USD, worth 3640500.55521 USD in total. | Data vintage: 49.0603 seconds
Bitstamp | There are currently 3327.3893 bitcoins offered at or under 1000.0 USD, worth 3202731.91053 USD in total. | Data vintage: 75.3432 seconds

Update: It was just removed.

It's just looking uncertain - volume is picking up - but not nearly enough to break out.  If the whales refilled from 812-ish up, we still need to be wary of thinking 'it's over'.  Not that I don't want it to be!
1997  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 08, 2017, 01:05:43 PM
the bears are mounting an attack. Seems bitstamp is the leader of the pack, already < $900

seems $900 is holding for now.

makes me happy because it lessens the danger of $780 being broken to the downside.

on the other hand: maybe the bears are just reloading...

anyway... I could live with another half or full year of consolidation between $500 and $1000, but that'd be fucking boring as hell.


Stamps books look thin on both sides.   1000 BTC dump takes us down to the mid 800s, the same as a buy is way up in the mid 900s.

Which way, I have no idea - but it doesn't look that bullish to me.   Am all fiat on Stamp, waiting to see what happens.

EDIT: order books fattening up and as it's green all the way back to the daily, we should go up.  Just hope there isn't a whale waiting for the moment to go for one more dump into the order book.  Volume is still low.
1998  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero - A secure, private, untraceable cryptocurrency on: January 08, 2017, 10:57:38 AM
Darkmonero.com for sale, let me know if anyone is interested.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1743914.0

Kamma. How much?

Sorry, what does "Kamma" mean? Smiley

Price is undefined, I will check offers...

ok I offer $2

Whats your counter.

Ha!  +1

Classy negotiation.
1999  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: January 08, 2017, 10:26:49 AM
Why is Monero following the rise and fall of bitcoin? I thought it was following its own path in this latest rise. Maybe the whales were only using the optimism in bitcoin and had the intention to dump the moment bitcoin started to crash?

Being pegged to BTC in the rise was a pretty good thing. It was possibly XMR being used to shuffle money in and out of BTC at certain points.

But I think you will see XMR doing its own thing again a little more....

EDIT: Nope - BTC dips, and so do we.   Damn.

2000  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 08, 2017, 09:42:59 AM
If there was anywhere as much manipulation as I get suspected of, I'd be way richer. It's far harder than you'd think.

That I do believe.

Also, I'm hammered.

Ha!  And still watching the screens on a Saturday night - join the club


In 13 it was fun.

Yep, it was - this time we are a little more hardened and we know how the party can stop and be over very quickly.

Good luck out there, nice to see you're still in the game.
Pages: « 1 ... 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 [100] 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 ... 165 »
Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!