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201  Economy / Gambling / Re: BitPimp on: May 13, 2013, 11:59:39 AM
Just created a new chaingame and thought it could use some more advertisement.

BitPimp 100% profit, 1% reset chance!

Try it out now!

so what happens in 27 turns when the bitpimp is worth over 10.5 million BTC?

Wink
202  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Why Ripple™ is against everything Bitcoin on: May 13, 2013, 11:49:18 AM
Less electricity.  Near instant confirms.

An alt coin that operated with both consensus AND proof of work would be *very* interesting.

Is there any reason to use both? Is there any advantage in proof-of-work over consensus?

Yes, proof of work is much harder to game.  Consensus relies on human nature.  And while founders often have the best intention, over time consensus can be won over.
203  Economy / Economics / Re: USA Debt Repayable on: May 13, 2013, 11:43:31 AM
Hi guys

Is USA debt repayable? Or are governments just hiding the truth - that infact western governments can never repay their debts, and that eventually sovereign bonds will collapse.

Does anyone actually have an answer to this? Is USA government heading down a road of responsible payback of its debt, or a road of full-on Keynesianism that will eventually lead to financial catastrophe.

I know that it would be in government's interest to hide the fact that debt was , at current economic growth rates , unrepayable. But I just want to know the truth. Lets assume USA economy continues to grow at current rate and deficit continues to grow/shrink at current rate. Where are we in 10 years? Is the debt repaid, halved or has it grown more?

Side question - If the debt is repayable, panic over. If it's not, how long will it take for markets to reflect this. Also - If anyone has some numbers, all the better.

Cheers

 Grin

Of course it's repayable.

But it requires printing which is going to be politically and socially unacceptable.  Not least because then confidence will be lost in the currency, and top down printing is rarely well distributed.

Debts that cant be paid wont be paid.  There will be haircuts ... the only question is who will be left standing when the music stops .... sadly, it's often the weakest in society ...

204  Economy / Speculation / Re: Where do you think bitcoin will be in about 8 years? on: May 13, 2013, 11:40:26 AM
BTC is in pole position to become the reserve currency of the internet.

But actual 'physical' BTC will be a smaller part.  You will have other coins and derivatives such as contracts for differences based on bitcoin inflating the supply.

Even still I expect it to stabilize around 5000 if it survives in its current form ...
205  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: 51% attack is a myth on: May 13, 2013, 10:46:14 AM
a 10% or 51% attack is possible

Ok, let's clarify one thing.

This claim that getting a miner having 10% of the hashing capacity to be able to reject transactions is referring only to being able to get six blocks in a row.    This is no different than coin flip trials ... yes eventually you will get six tails in a row.  Eventually you will get sixteen tails in a row.    Eventually you will get six thousand tails in a row (though chances are none of us would live long enough to see it happen).

Now, because there is a financial penalty for each failed attempt (as you are using expensive hardware and consuming elecricity, but not earning any bitcoins on the failed attempts) then there is less and less chances that you will make this attempt.  The logic is, if you have 10% of mining capacity you might as well mine and earn 10% of the bitcoins issued.

Next, let's say that someone does take their million dollars worth of ASICs and do this to prove a point.  OK, so they try for an entire month and do actually get six blocks in a row.   They won't get seven though.  Not with only 10%.  So at best, this attack will cause double spending to occur for transactions in the first block for each side of the blockchain fork.     But the attacker is going for an entire month of trials, not knowing which block will be the one that the attacker follows by mining five more in succession.  

So sure, you might get six blocks in a row.  But you aren't going to be causing much financial harm as a result.  Every exchange has AML policies requiring identity for any significant amounts of funds (e.g., amounts over $1K USD per day withdrawal).   You might be able to get a withdrawal out.  It won't be a significant amount though.

So yes, an evil miner with 51% attack with 51% of the hashing power would be terrible for bitcoin.  

But an evil miner with 10% of the hashing power and a good string of luck would simply be providing a learning lesson (e.g., for an exchange/E-Wallet provider to start requiring more than six confirmations for larger transfer amounts ...  something one might realize might have already been put in-place. if you have your ear to the ground.)

Wouldnt it be more profitable for the attacker to be notionally short BTC?
206  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Why Ripple™ is against everything Bitcoin on: May 13, 2013, 10:04:53 AM
Ripple doesn't look like scam, too much effort put into it by quite a reputable community members, they have official company registered to do it, and the idea is very promising.

It's great that more people will understand nature of money they use everyday (most of them are in fact IOUs).

So we have potentially decentralized alternative to the current financial system (IOUs and XRPs are alternatives for fiat money, BTCs - alternative for gold).

I don't quite understand how the Ripple protocol works though, how scalable, secure and reliable it is.

I am curious if there is any advantage of Proof-of-work vs Consensus. Is it possible for Bitcoin to adapt "consensus" mechanism from Ripple to allow instant secure payments?

Less electricity.  Near instant confirms.

An alt coin that operated with both consensus AND proof of work would be *very* interesting.
207  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Why Ripple™ is against everything Bitcoin on: May 13, 2013, 08:55:26 AM
Ripple is not a scam, but my contentions with Ripple are the following:
<snip>
Ultimately, competition in cryptocurrency land is good. I have great respect for the OpenCoin developers, and Ripple is certainly not a scam, but I remain unconvinced of the system's ultimate merit.
All of your criticisms are factually accurate, and I agree that these are the strongest negatives that Ripple has. I think the positives outweigh the negatives and that there are ways to mitigate all of these issues. But these are definitely fair points as Ripple currently stands. For many of them, my response would be -- wait and see.


At last some rational discussion.

Im a fan of the ripple protocol and OpenCoin's implementation so far has exceeded expectations.  Ripple and bitcoin and OT solve different problems.

The strongest criticism of XRP is that it's 'solution' to double spend is largely untested.  

I see two issues which are somewhat related.  

There is little or no incentive to run rippled and very much a disincentive given that the ledger size will grow in a non linear fashion.  It stands to reason that those that run rippled will be the incentivized by holding large numbers of XRP.  It's unclear that this will prevent the formation of a cartel that can be influenced to favour those that already are large holders of XRP.  ie Centralization comes in via the back door, and the consequences of this mean it's easier for central authorities to control or regulate etc.

Perhaps the more dangerous problem is that is much easier to black swan ripple and introduce measures that are inconsistent with previous behaviour.  Barings bank was the most trusted name in finance for 100 years until it had it's own black swan.  Ripple's trust model relies on consensus.

I'm pleased that OpenCoin is doing well and they deserve success for bringing ripple to a wider audience imho.  Concerns exist over its incentive model and scalability, some of which could be mitigated with careful management.  We'll know more when we get to see the server code.
208  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin and Trust on: May 13, 2013, 05:48:08 AM
People are always hesitate to fully accept bitcoin because of lack of trust.

Ripple tries to solve this by developing a p2p IOU mechanism. (..., which seems to me an immature solution).

However, it is often neglected that a trust involves two parts: trust between users and bitcoin, or trust among bitcoin users..

As for trust between users and their preferred currency, no solution is better than bitcoin. Bitcoin solved the problem of "double spending" by creating a universal account book (block) with p2p network, by which books, coins, transactions are all unable to counterfeit. No currency in the history does that. Therefore, bitcoin is now perhaps the single currency that users can absolutely trust.

What is uncomfortable is the trust among currency users, which, in my opinion, is in fact out of realm of technology. No technology can force a fraud to be a honest individual, or vice versa. For centuries, people have been trying to solve this problem, by building bank, issuing credit cards, and only end up to little.

In a word, people just blame bitcoin with a flaw that doesn't belong to bitcoin at all.

However, there is a possible solution: time. One day, when there're enough users who openly use bitcoin with their true identities and do not care about alleged "anonymity of bitcoin", trust would be prevalent.

yes it's a good idea you can be anonymous or public with bitcoin ... just add property="account" to your home page in HTML5 (a very nice feature!)

trust is a complex topic ... what you must do is break it down into reputation (the data) and trust (the calculation) but bear in mind that people are normally very bad at calculating trust at the extremes (black swans) and this can lead to spectacular fails such as the subprime crisis
209  Economy / Goods / Re: Casascius coin reseller in Sweden and EU. on: May 11, 2013, 04:46:43 PM
Hello!
I have decided to become a re seller of casascius coins.
Currently I offer shipping within Sweden and EU, I am looking into shipping worldwide as well.
I have a order of 100 0.5 BTC coins and 50 1 BTC coins that will arrive sometimes next week.

If you want to buy some coins head over to
http://physicalbitcoins.openbtcshop.com/

My current plan is to ship smaller amounts in envelopes and bigger amounts in packages.
If you have any suggestion of suitable packaging then PM me Smiley

If you have any questions,comments or feedback please respond in the thread, this is my first time in retail business so any help is appreciated Smiley
//DeaDTerra

If you're going to the bitcoin conference in vienna ... ill buy one!
210  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: A new Catchy name for 0.0001 BTC? on: May 11, 2013, 04:42:38 PM
1 bitcoin = 100 bitcarat
1 bitcarat = 100 bitgrain
1 bitgrain = 100 bitnano
1 bitnano = 100 satoshi

I think you mean

1 bitcoin = 100 bitcent
1 bitcent = 100 bitgrain
1 bitgrain = 100 microbit
1 microbit = 100 satoshi
211  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: What company is in charge of the Bitcoin network? on: May 11, 2013, 04:38:27 PM
Who manages all the funds that go through it?

ICANN
212  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: A new Catchy name for 0.0001 BTC? on: May 11, 2013, 11:31:11 AM
0.0001 BTC (Bitcoin) =  1 NAK (Nakamoto)

1 mBTC = 10 NAK



that's a good one

in financial terms 1/10,000th is normally referred to as a "basis point" or bp (pronounced "Bip")

maybe just Bip with the fancy B would be universal ...
213  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Why Ripple is Superior to Bitcoin... on: May 10, 2013, 06:47:54 PM
and they can make another ton of 100 billion xrps..

They would need to start a new ledger for this. It is not improbable.


why couldnt there be a new reward on a ledger entry crediting opencoin with a second 100 bn, if they achieved consensus in the unique node list?
214  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Why Ripple is Superior to Bitcoin... on: May 10, 2013, 06:45:15 PM
"they are already used to (by partnering with banks and other financial services)"
now I am pretty new to all of this and dont really know what I am talking about. But isnt one of the major things that is great about bitcoin the fact that banks dont have anything to do with it?

That is one of the great things about Bitcoin.  You can be your own bank.  This is useful in the same way it would be useful to have a vault under your house to store gold and a Star Trek transporter to send that gold to whomever you wanted to instantly.   Very useful.

However, as an everyday way of making payments to other people, not very useful (unless you already have tons of them and your friends and vendors have tons of them).   In order to buy a pizza with Bitcoin, I need to find a merchant that accepts Bitcion, and then I need to find a way to get my money to an exchange (at a fee), then buy Bitcoin on that exchange (at a fee).    That's a lot of work and expense to buy a pizza.   Now I might be ideologically inclined to go through that work, but most people won't be.  Most people are going to whip out their debit card and make a payment to the pizza guy with their fiat currency.   That simple.

Whatever the legal tender of the land is, is what people will use, unless their is a reason not to (ie - transactions that are illegal with the legal tender, etc.).  The only way to get a new currency to move with existing currencies is to make the addition of those currencies TRANSPARENT to the majority of the people involved (not the hard-core people like Bitcoiners).   This is what it will take for mass adoption.   To avoid this issue is folly.



Wrong way round.  With bitcoin you can operate the warehousing function of a bank, but not the more important money creation function.  With ripple you can be your own bank by creating IOUs that are backed by something.  Whether anyone would want to use it is a different matter.  You can *almost* do this in bitcoin, but it's very tricky.  Bitcoin and ripple in theory should be complimentary ... in theory ...
215  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Why Ripple is Superior to Bitcoin... on: May 10, 2013, 06:19:32 PM
Opencoin says Ripple is open-source, but there are no sources in public. They should replace all "open" with "close", until that Ripple is scam.

The client is open source ... the server is in beta

Ripple and bitcoin solve different problems, ripple is clearing.  Bitcoin is the reserve currency of the internet.

Both are needed.

The jury is out on opencoin's implementation.  

But it's probably the best implementation to date.
216  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: A new Catchy name for 0.0001 BTC? on: May 10, 2013, 05:19:15 PM
Maybe a mbtc (which already exists)? 0.001 btc is 1mbtc.



The new minimum will be 10% of an mBTC (sometimes called a millibit)

.01 is often called a "bitcent"

I think people are OK with slang terms ... consider the USD, people use the term "buck" "dime" "quarter" "penny" comfortably etc.

In the UK the term "quid" means 1GBP and "monkey" means 500 GBP

Dealing with fractions is mentally taxing, having easy to remember terms can help ... and maybe even get into the bitcoin dictionary! Cheesy
217  Bitcoin / Press / Re: 2013-05-09 FORBES: Bitcoin is a junk currency on: May 10, 2013, 04:53:33 PM
Quote
Today, you could peg the bitcoin to the dollar. Of course, this is rather pointless, as we could just use dollars instead.

Or, you could peg the bitcoin to gold. That would be rather more interesting, as it would provide a genuine high-quality alternative to the U.S. dollar.

Shows a complete lack of understanding on how Bitcoin (or more generally crypto-currencies work).  One can't "peg" anything without centralized control.  If you have centralized control you have no need for the overhead of the blockchain and you now must have implicit trust in the issuer/controller.

An order to buy 21 million bitcoins at $100 each would be an effective lower bound
218  Bitcoin / Press / Re: 2013-05-09 FORBES: Bitcoin is a junk currency on: May 10, 2013, 04:49:21 PM

Aren't JUNK currencies supposed to go DOWN in value? Tongue
219  Bitcoin / Press / Re: 2013-05-10 FORBES: Bitcoin is a junk currency on: May 10, 2013, 04:47:06 PM
I saw this article yesterday.  Roll Eyes

I thought maybe we should start an archive of articles to pull up if and when BTC becomes mainstream.  It could be really funny to read then!

+1
220  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / A new Catchy name for 0.0001 BTC? on: May 10, 2013, 04:18:49 PM
Since the new update will make it impractical so send one "Satoshi" it looks like the lowest practical amount to send will be:

0.0001 BTC

Many people have come to me saying they like bitcoin but find the fractions hard to deal with.

Is there a name for one tenth of a "millibit"

If not, can we think of a new catchy name?

"One Andresen"? Tongue
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