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2141  Other / Politics & Society / Re: [POLL] What is the value of 2 + 2? on: November 27, 2020, 04:50:54 AM
IMO, in 2020, in the US a politician running on a platform in which they commit to two plus two always equaling four would win in a landslide. I am curious as to what would have happened if Trump had declared that under his presidency, 2 + 2 will always equal 4.

Over the Summer (northern hemisphere), words and meanings were changed by institutions to fall in line with political winds, and the demands of the 'mob'. Few were brave enough to push back against most of this, or even call most of this out.

Obviously, two plus two will always equal 4. In the book 1984, the person who worked for 'big brother' torturing the main character to get him to 'accept' that 2 + 2 = 5 was aware that  2 + 2 actually equals 4.
2142  Other / Meta / Re: Do you want more or less freedom? on: November 27, 2020, 04:39:08 AM

You're unironically arguing for more government. How do additional regulations promote "more freedom"?
In Democracies, the government is accountable to the people. Private companies are accountable to the market, however, if they have a large enough market share, they also control the market. Take YouTube, for example, content creators have to follow YouTube's rules in order to be able to publish their videos and advertise using YouTube's platform (monetize their videos). If YouTube has a rule that you don't like, you have the option to publish your content on another platform, however other platforms do not have the same reach that YouTube has, and you will not earn nearly as much posting on a competing platform. Therefore, content creators will adjust their content to follow YouTube's rules. In effect, YouTube is not accountable for its rules or policies. Modest government regulations could shift some rulemaking onto the government, who would be accountable for bad rules/regulations.


I do not think that the owners want to remain neutral.  Furthermore, with control having been divorced from responsibility in the modern corporation, you are confusing the owners with the managers.
Modern tech companies have their founders have ownership structures in which their founders own a special class of shares that give them control of their companies. They are also the heads of their respective companies or have substantial influence over the heads of their companies.

I would like to believe that Zuckerberg wants Facebook to be a neutral institution so as to maintain public trust in it as an institution. Facebook has a very liberal employee base, so this is oftentimes difficult.

Dorsey on the other hand appears to be using Twitter as a propaganda tool for the far left.


Give the freedom of the authoritarians to impose restrictions on others, while not applying said regulations for themselves.
Isn't that the basis of all restrictions? People cherry pick which rules they follow, whether it's spamming a forum, traffic rules, or murder.
In the US, there are countless local Democrat officials who were telling their constituents not to travel within minutes of traveling themselves. They are imposing restrictions on their constituents, and not following the restrictions themselves, and exempting their own political interests from said restrictions.
2143  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: estimate tx fee in script on: November 26, 2020, 08:07:58 AM

I made a very simple script which will just look at the mempool and suggest the lower fee within the 1 MB blocksize.
The transaction may not be confirmed within the next block.

What do you guys think?
I don't think looking at the current state of the mempool is sufficient. What if for example, 4 or 5 blocks were recent found in a span of 3 minutes? A fee consistent with transactions 1 MB 'deep' in the mempool might not confirm for hours/days. On the other hand, if there have been 2 blocks found in the last 3 hours, a transaction 1 MB 'deep' might confirm in just a few blocks. In all cases, a transaction 1 MB 'deep' is unlikely to be confirmed in the next block.

IMO, any fee estimator needs to have an adjustable parameter that assumes the average block time for the next n blocks. Over the long term, blocks will be found on average, once every approximately every 10 minutes, but at 2:00 on a Saturday afternoon, the time until the next 6 blocks are found could be a wider range of times.

edit:
maybe a better analogy would be the last block was found 10 seconds ago versus the last block was found 90 minutes ago.
2144  Other / Meta / Re: Do you want more or less freedom? on: November 26, 2020, 07:47:24 AM
You are missing one key option:
Give the freedom of the authoritarians to impose restrictions on others, while not applying said regulations for themselves.

The above is reflective of what many leftists are trying to achieve, both here and in various other institutions, such as the education system and colleges.

The forum administration appears to be very libertarian. This is generally in line with my worldview. My experience on this forum has shaped my view that libertarianism is good, but the 'state' needs to wield a modest amount of power. If the 'state' is too weak, a quasi-state will form that will impose restrictions and regulations on citizens without any kind of real accountability. A good example of this would be the major tech social media companies. Social media companies today hold an outsized amount of influence on public discourse, in some cases, the owners want to remain neutral, but in all cases, the employees have their own non-business agenda, and are powerful enough such that they are not held accountable for their decisions. A modest amount of state regulations on social media companies would largely solve this issue.
2145  Other / Politics & Society / Re: How will Trump leave the White House? on: November 25, 2020, 05:40:33 AM
it is actually irresponsible for any sane president to leave the whitehouse to the irrespeonsible and corrupt democrats and their puppet biden.

announcing a military dictatorship is the smaller ill than continueing democracy with america's crazy left
If Republicans keep the Senate, which looks likely, the Democrats will be forced to compromise and moderate how they govern.

A military coup would probably not last long because so many institutions are already against Trump.
I wonder if any of our allies would help if our democracy was being seized by an authoritarian.
Probably not. Our military is sufficiently strong enough so that our military would win in a conflict.

Most of the time that countries are seized by dictators, they will first be legitimately elected, and subsequently, make radical changes to the court system, such as packing the equivalent of the Supreme Court (cough cough). Once the courts are on the dictator's side, any other changes made are rubber-stamped by the courts and the Dictator can do as they choose.
2146  Other / Politics & Society / Re: [BET] Trump or not Trump 2020, eddie13 vs suchmoon on: November 24, 2020, 05:13:47 AM

And BTW the reason we have nutjobs like Rudy Giuliani and Lin Wood now on these cases is that reputable law firms don't want to touch this nonsense.
Actually law firms have decided to not represent the Trump campaign because of public pressure against these law firms and their other clients.

The pressure campaign to get law firms to drop the Trump Campaign as a client should be condemned in the strongest way possible. Everyone has a right to legal representation.

Representing a client is not an endorsement of their alleged actions or viewpoints. Representing a client is a means to ensure their rights are not violated and that the law is properly enforced.

You'd be right if we were talking about a criminal case.  Even the worst murderers deserve a vigorous defense, but these are frivolous lawsuits that the Trump campaign is using as a vehicle to raise money, spread disinformation and undermine the integrity of the election. 
I would refer you to the talk about "Russia" if you are concerned about disinformation and the integrity of the election.

We can let the courts decide if a particular lawsuit is "frivolous" or not. Everyone has the right to a vigorous legal team fighting for their rights in court. Putting pressure on law firms because of who they represent is indefensible.
2147  Other / Politics & Society / Re: [BET] Trump or not Trump 2020, eddie13 vs suchmoon on: November 23, 2020, 06:37:41 AM

And BTW the reason we have nutjobs like Rudy Giuliani and Lin Wood now on these cases is that reputable law firms don't want to touch this nonsense.
Actually law firms have decided to not represent the Trump campaign because of public pressure against these law firms and their other clients.

The pressure campaign to get law firms to drop the Trump Campaign as a client should be condemned in the strongest way possible. Everyone has a right to legal representation.

Representing a client is not an endorsement of their alleged actions or viewpoints. Representing a client is a means to ensure their rights are not violated and that the law is properly enforced.
2148  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Are there protections built-in against 51% attack? on: November 23, 2020, 01:18:47 AM
---------------------------------- Copied from another thread -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Unfortunately, there is not anything that can be done on a technical level to prevent an entity with sufficient mining resources from executing a 51% attack.
Not quite true. It has been discussed lately and an ultimate solution has been proposed: put a cap on the depth of chain-reorg attempts.

This would not stop a 51% attack.

There are 'legitimate' situations in which there would be a several-block-deep reorganization. Any cap on chain-reorganization attempts would need to exceed these possible situations.

A 51% attack is not simply one that double spends transactions that were confirmed 20 blocks ago. A 51% attack could also orphan blocks in a shallow chain-reorganization, which would cause the miners to follow the 51% attacker's chain in the future. It could blacklist addresses for arbitrary reasons, or force coin holders to pay an inflated fee to the attacker in order to have their transactions confirmed.

None of the above would require an attacker to execute a deep reorganization.
2149  Other / Politics & Society / Re: [BET] Trump or not Trump 2020, eddie13 vs suchmoon on: November 22, 2020, 11:34:51 PM
The lower court rulings are not going to matter. You should expect at least one PA case to make it to the SCOTUS.

Trump is challenging the election results in court. Expect there to be multiple lawsuits and SC rulings.

The lower court rulings are a pretty good indicator of whether or not there's a valid legal argument being made.  In most cases, it doesn't appear there is - the arguments are basically nonsense.

I doubt SCOTUS even bothers with most of the ones that haven't been dropped and the lower court rulings will stand. 


The lower court rulings have nothing to do with how higher courts will rule.

Case in point, how many lower (and appellate) courts ruled against Trump regarding his travel ban? How many times has the SC struck down lower courts who have ruled against Trump in the last 4 years?
2150  Other / Meta / Re: [TUTORIAL] ᗌ Embed GIF's in your own articles (Easy way) ᗏ on: November 22, 2020, 10:30:38 PM
This is not a problem today, but I can potentially see gifs becoming disallowed if enough people are sufficiently annoying with their GIFs.

This is after all a discussion forum, not a place that people should primarily be posting memes.
2151  Other / Politics & Society / Re: How will Trump leave the White House? on: November 22, 2020, 10:28:16 PM
it is actually irresponsible for any sane president to leave the whitehouse to the irrespeonsible and corrupt democrats and their puppet biden.

announcing a military dictatorship is the smaller ill than continueing democracy with america's crazy left
If Republicans keep the Senate, which looks likely, the Democrats will be forced to compromise and moderate how they govern.

A military coup would probably not last long because so many institutions are already against Trump.
2152  Other / Off-topic / Re: GitHub is shitty, why not a decentralized solution? on: November 22, 2020, 10:13:27 PM
A year later and GitLab now comply with U.S. regulation. It's even worse since there's no way to download your code (while GitHub still allow you to download code if you make the repository public).

https://ahmadhaghighi.com/blog/2020/gitlab/
Both GitLab and GitHub allow you to download your code. Most commonly, repositories will be managed with git, with a copy of a repository being on your computer at all times.

I personally have some repositories on GitHub that is private, and routinely download code in my repos (I update code with multiple computers).
2153  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: The Lightning Network FAQ on: November 22, 2020, 10:04:21 PM
I believe the "race to the bottom" hypothesis holds IF capital is unlimited, and if there wasn't an opportunity cost.

neither of those things matter, that's like saying "people avoid keeping cash in their pockets when they leave the house, because they could've invested it better and made more money"

people selling newspapers in kiosks don't accept ACH transactions from your savings account, because it's inconvenient.

Lightning is about convenience of use, not optimum investing.


and so, if this means big nodes can't ever make money, and the LN will just be like the cash system (people transferring around everything from their weekly takings, down to the pennies lost under their couches), again, what's not to like?
People will typically carry around modest amounts of money in their pockets, and not significantly more than they expect to need. One reason for this is the risk they will lose some or all their money.

I believe the same principle applies to LN node operators. There is not a zero risk of running a LN node. The risks are similar to having a hot wallet on their computer. Many businesses and bitcoin holders will keep their coin on an offline wallet, sacrificing convenience for security.
2154  Other / Politics & Society / Re: US Elections 2020 - very self such moderated on: November 22, 2020, 09:54:15 PM
Apparently some Trump supporters in Georgia are upset enough to boycott the Senate runoffs:

https://www.newsweek.com/georgia-trump-supporters-destroy-gop-boycott-senate-runoffs-1549245

That can't be real, can it?
Trump underperformed the down-ballot candidates almost everywhere. If the election stands, voters will have voted against Trump, rather than for Biden.

Loeffler should handily win as her opponent is especially radical in a Red state. Loeffler and Collins received a total of ~56% of votes, while her opponent only received ~32.9% of the vote.
2155  Other / Politics & Society / Re: How will Trump leave the White House? on: November 22, 2020, 09:44:50 PM
Trump will leave, but on a tangent - this was very satisfying: https://twitter.com/DailyCaller/status/1329563673917009920 Question, has anyone ever seen journalists this deranged before? Is this the type of professionalism that's always demand of Trump by critics? Whining like children because you didn't have your way and get to ask a question?

Compare their reaction to Pence leaving the briefing room without taking questions about how the media was interacting with Biden at his press conference.

IMO Trump is avoiding interacting with the media to control the messaging regarding contesting the election. It will already be difficult to govern if he can prove fraud sufficiently in court and end up staying President in 2021. If he cannot control the messaging of his administration, he might as well concede even if there are sufficient irregularities that would overturn the election.
2156  Other / Politics & Society / Re: [BET] Trump or not Trump 2020, eddie13 vs suchmoon on: November 22, 2020, 09:39:20 PM
The lower court rulings are not going to matter. You should expect at least one PA case to make it to the SCOTUS.

Trump is challenging the election results in court. Expect there to be multiple lawsuits and SC rulings.
2157  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Stop orders what is the differance in limit price and stop price on: November 18, 2020, 07:31:26 AM
You will set a two prices here, if the price you set in stop price will reach the current price, it will open another order with price you set in stop limit.

Example: You set stop limit with price at 12,000 and limit at 11,900.
This mean, if the price will reach at 12,000 it will open an order with the price of 11,900.

It's two prices because it is Stop limit, not stop market.
In stop limit, you will set two prices, the stop price and the stop limit.
Using the stop market, you will only set 1 price here, where if the price you set will reach the current price, it will create an order based on the current price, it may not exactly not the same price you set.

So its a way of hedging your bets if the market starts to crash you can "Detect it" with your stop limit price, then you can dump all your BTC at a lower price. Why wouldnt you just sell at 12,000 and not 11,900?
Say for example that the order book is as follows (for buy orders):
Price Amount
12,001 1
12,000 2
11,950 4
11,900 2

In the above example, if someone were to place a market sell order for 5 BTC, the highest bid price would be 11,950 and any limit sell orders above that price will not immediately execute. Someone with a limit sell order of 11,950 or below will have their order execute at 11,950 provided their order is for no more than the bid amount at that price.
2158  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Trump has conceded oh wait he’s not!!! on: November 16, 2020, 05:48:21 AM


I fully expect Trump to concede soon though. The lawsuits won't be going anywhere and even if he did score some victories, it won't be enough to flip entire states.
He doesn't need to actually flip any states. All he needs to do is have state presidential elections invalidated due to problems with enough votes. If Trump can prove more ballots were illegal (due to one of many reasons) than Biden's margin of victory, the courts will either call another election or prevent the state from casting their electoral votes.

The only way I can see him actually flipping a state is via a recount, or if there was problem software used such as Dominion, and a 'manual' recount shows the vote totals were incorrect.

The chance of this happening is so insanely slim. I've tried reading into the legal arguments the Trump campaign is making trying to invalidate votes and there is just nothing there. Think Trump is more about having his lawyers go on TV prime time instead of articulating legal cases tbh. Ted Cruz has a podcast called Verdict and he said he directly called the President and advocated that he beefs up his legal team bc it's a joke.
Trump does not need to immediately make strong legal arguments, although the longer the delay, the harder it will be for him to govern if he ultimately stays president in 2021.

Trump needs to have strong legal arguments in place long enough before when the EC meets such that cases will have been able to reach the Supreme Court, and they make a ruling in his favor. Trump may make a case that would result in an initial ruling in his favor today, but Democrats might be able to find additional evidence over three weeks and make a compelling argument for an ultimate ruling in their favor.

Trump does need to have messaging to support the legitimacy of his second term if he ends up winning reelection in court. He needs to have proxies do this for him because doing so himself would expose himself to the propaganda arm of the Democratic party (the media).
2159  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Technical Support / Re: Bitcoin exchange wallets - How do they know on: November 15, 2020, 11:52:14 PM
Many exchanges have made their cold storage addresses public. Blockchain analysis companies can look at transactions to/from cold storage addresses (which will typically be addresses controlled by the exchange and not customer addresses).

Blockchain analysis companies will 'cluster' groups of addresses together using a variety of techniques. The simplest of which is looking at inputs to transactions, and connecting the addresses together. More advanced techniques involve looking at change addresses plus other criteria to add addresses to a cluster.
2160  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Technical Support / Re: Recovering lost private keys, pywallet no results, hex editor 70+ on: November 15, 2020, 11:45:11 PM
Don't boot from the disk you are using, and don't add any files/programs to this disk.

I am not sure what "quickformatted" means, but its name implies that references to all the files have been removed, and the allocation for disk space for your files has been removed. If this is true (or something close to true), you can use file recovery software to recover the wallet files.
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