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2521  Economy / Gambling / Re: [ANN] SafeDice.com - 1% House Edge | Optional Variable Edge | Investment on: November 13, 2014, 07:17:21 PM
Impressive job. Minor nitpick, on the splash page you should fill probably prefill the input box with the attribute placeholder="player" instead of: value="player"
2522  Economy / Gambling / Re: MoneyPot.com -- The Social Gambling Game on: November 13, 2014, 04:52:11 PM
How long til the start accepting JD type investors and run with the  "investment"?

That's a reasonable concern, and a concern you should hold to everyone before ever investing money. And it's specifically our motivation for developing an investment scheme (discussed in depth a few pages ago) that allows you to minimize counter party risk by keep your own money where its safest, in your own control.
2523  Economy / Gambling / Re: MoneyPot.com -- The Social Gambling Game on: November 13, 2014, 04:15:18 PM
It's variance, of course, but also the house edge : it isn't 1% like a lot of gambling sites, but is somewhere between 0% and 1%, based on the multiplier you cash out at (the edge is (1 - 0.99*x / (x - 0.01)) * 100 where x is the multiplier):

And for all the people not familiar with money pot: the motivation for that is to provide incentives to cash out early. And when people cash out early, it provides incentives for other people to stay in the game longer to collect bonuses. This interaction provides the core of the money pot player-vs-player play. And of course, the house edge is so low, that in general you can play strategy obliviously and still end up with better odds than any dice site.

Hmm... I think your house edge is too low.

That's one way of looking at it. However, I prefer to look at it as the volumes (and limits) are too low. My goal is to make money pot the bitcoin gambling site, and having crazy low house edge with the possibility of even playing +EV is important to that goal.
2524  Economy / Gambling / Re: MoneyPot.com -- The Social Gambling Game on: November 13, 2014, 03:25:53 PM
I just realized, that a few days back their profits were over 70 btc, and now its so less. Who won most of the coins?

They haven't been at those levels since axedcode and troll~ won 40 BTC a piece. The recent dip is primarily caused by better who has made 14.9 BTC and and indie168 who have won 11.3 over the last couple days.

Better himself is quite the success story, at one time was down 9 BTC, is now up 11.
2525  Economy / Gambling / Re: MoneyPot.com -- The Social Gambling Game on: November 11, 2014, 11:52:02 PM
Looks like the house profit now returns back to a positive number (just barely though) lol. Smiley

Which represents about an 8 BTC loss to the players, which drove the miniwhales home for now. There's quite an interesting relationship between how well people are doing and how much they wager. When the site loses money, the volumes go way up. When the site makes money, the volumes way down.
2526  Economy / Gambling / Re: MoneyPot.com -- The Social Gambling Game on: November 11, 2014, 10:18:42 PM
For all the people interested in the skill aspect, now is a pretty fantastic time to be playing. There's some good competitive play happening with 4 or 5 max-betters, meaning you can get pretty decent bonuses.


Also rather impressively, despite 29,800 BTC being wagered the house is at a loss. It's been a good run for players, to say the least.
2527  Economy / Gambling / Re: MoneyPot.com -- The Social Gambling Game on: November 11, 2014, 02:39:49 PM
I would guess that the average gambler doesn't care too much about house edge, and is more influenced by softer qualities (nice colours, good design, sound effects, smoothness of play, etc.)

The average *Bitcoin* gambler probably cares more about house edge than the average fiat gambler, but not massively more.

While people might not care, I suspect it is the biggest factor of how much people play. For two reasons, one: it hugely increases variance for players, which they love. A concrete example: whitetuxpeng might now have lost a lot of money in the pot, but at a time he had a net profit of over well over 30 BTC. I'm sure those are great memories that keep him coming back.

And secondly, I think people recycle their winnings to a huge degree. So in general, I think it would hold that if you half the house edge, people on average would gamble twice as much, by the mere fact they can.
2528  Economy / Gambling / Re: MoneyPot.com -- The Social Gambling Game on: November 08, 2014, 07:50:10 PM
My best guess is "your bet is relative to the total bet" - but I'm not sure that's right.

Sorry, that is what I meant indeed. I'll edit the post to clarify
2529  Economy / Gambling / Re: SatoshiPop.com I'm unleashing it on the world! on: November 08, 2014, 05:31:40 PM
I guess MB means mBTC? I'd encourage you to use bits. Where you put the decimal place is quite important as it takes a lot of time before people internalize the value of different denomination, and few people want to learn how to convert between satoshis, bits, BTC and SI prefixed BTC.
2530  Economy / Gambling / Re: MoneyPot.com -- The Social Gambling Game on: November 08, 2014, 03:28:38 PM
There's also the 1% chance of an instant crash. Losses occured from the insta crash are supposed to be contributed to the bonuses but the precentage of the crash still adds up to the possibility of losing.

So if someone deposits BTC in there with the sole porpuse of betting it all in a single round looking to double his money he'd be betting against a (~)1.5% edge. The bonuses can wipe out the crash precentage on long term runs but obviously don't favor the hit and run tactic. IMO you'd better bet on a dice if you're going to use that playstyle.

No, not quite. It's a common misconception that there is some sort of "memory" but none exists. When the game instant crashes (1 in 101) the money goes to the house, not an explicit account for the bonus scheme. This means that house can pay out more in bonuses than it receives from instant crashes. Or conversely, it can collect more from instant crashes than it pays out in bonuses.

The bonus scheme is pure EV0 for the house, but the house does expose itself considerably. Which is good for the players, and bad for the house.

Actually as your bet increases relative to the total amount bet, the closer you bonus approaches 1% regardless of game crash. Which means the effect of the bonus scheme goes away, and your house edge approaches 0.5%. This is because no matter when you cashout you will get a bonus.

So assuming the limits were higher, money pot is pretty much the BEST site I'm aware of to do a YOLO style bet.


Edit: fix incomprehensible grammar
2531  Economy / Gambling / Re: The Gambling Bank on: November 08, 2014, 05:07:10 AM
Good point Dooglus, a 3rd party is not required.  All you really need to do is write a script that:

1. Generates a private key
2. Displays the address
3. Asks the user to send coins to the address, and specify exactly how many coins they sent, what txid they sent it with, and what output they used.  (If you were advanced, you could programatically get it, blockexplorer makes this easy)
4. Ask the user for a receiving address and when they want the transaction
5. Send a transaction to the receiving address, using nLockTime
6. Output the transaction. The user would have to push this to the network themselves when its eligible
7. Delete the private key





2532  Economy / Gambling / Re: The Gambling Bank on: November 07, 2014, 11:20:00 PM
Quote
Between steps 6 and 7 there's the possibility that the gamblebank goes rogue.

You don't need to broadcast your spend transaction until the gamblank gives you the returning transaction (to do so, you'll have to provide them with the txid, outputs and amounts). Only once you have the refunding transaction do you actually broadcast your funds to the multisig address.


This reduces your risk to quite simply: "They might keep their private key, and release the funds (with your consent) before they promised to"
2533  Economy / Gambling / Re: [HOT] SATOSHIDICE - Negative rolls bug. User makes around 15+ BTC from 1k satos on: November 07, 2014, 07:26:05 AM
SatoshiDice asks you for a client seed, and then adds it to their server seed, modulos it by some number to generate the roll result. Instead of picking a positive client seed, someone picked a negative client seed, which invalidates the scheme as it shifts down the range. If the seed is negative enough, the roll will even be negative. Negative is less than any target, so the bet always won.

In short, SatoshiDice didn't validate the client seed, which their scheme requires it to do.
2534  Economy / Gambling / Re: MoneyPot.com -- The Social Gambling Game on: November 07, 2014, 03:48:56 AM
Maybe you should try going to the print page of the post, hit F3 and search whatever was written in this post yourself.

I did the same thing, and searched for keywords like 'offsite' and read around there. I also followed a link to a thread where there was a poll from an angry investor with a appetite for variance upset about the change to a 0.25% max profit per bet.
2535  Economy / Gambling / Re: MoneyPot.com -- The Social Gambling Game on: November 07, 2014, 03:11:13 AM
...and we're routable again. It looks like it was just a hiccup with our provider. I'll chase it down with them to see if they can provide me with more details. I intend to make the most of this experience and setup a warm fallback game server for issues like these.

Sorry to everyone who was effected by this brief outage.
2536  Economy / Gambling / Re: MoneyPot.com -- The Social Gambling Game on: November 07, 2014, 02:59:04 AM
The game server is done right now. Or rather, it's not routable from the outside world -- but still online. Looking into it right now, it's not clear if it's because of an abuse claim, or null-routed by our hosting provider because of DoSes. We're preparing the move to a new game server, please have patience while we make the move. In the mean time you can still deposit (or more likely) withdraw your money
2537  Economy / Gambling / Re: The Gambling Bank on: November 07, 2014, 02:12:52 AM
In combination with multisig, that's probably a fine solution.

Yeah, I never meant without multisig. It's actually exactly how GreenAddress.it already works, and they already refuse to sign a transaction unless it meets certain requirements, and give you the time locked release transaction.

Someone should contact them and ask them to create a "vault mode", where they will refuse sign the transaction releasing some money up until a certain amount of time.
2538  Economy / Gambling / Re: MoneyPot.com -- The Social Gambling Game on: November 07, 2014, 02:04:22 AM
I posted my idea about "off-site investment" to one of the JD threads about a year ago.

Use it if you like.

Took me a while to find, but it was a very interesting thread. It seems you proposed it during the time when investors lived in fear of Nakowa and wanted to be able to configure different risk profiles. I had mistakenly believed I had some part to do with its creation, when trying to explore a good way to allow investors to minimize their counter-party risk, but it was fully explored a long time ago. I apologize about not giving you full credit when it was due.
2539  Economy / Gambling / Re: The Gambling Bank on: November 07, 2014, 01:52:20 AM
It's possible that a decent solution could be found using multi-sig addresses. For example, if you make a 2-of-2 address with the "bank", where you each control one key, the bank can simply give you their key when it's time to release the funds and you can combine the two to access your fund, but the bank isn't able to spend the coins at any point or have them stolen.



Bitcoin supports time locked transactions, so the bank can immediately return you an unspendable transaction. This solves most of the issues. Now you don't need to worry about them losing your key, or otherwise never giving it to you.
2540  Economy / Gambling / Re: MoneyPot.com -- The Social Gambling Game on: November 05, 2014, 05:09:07 AM
So is the site still payin?

Yes. Processed over a 1000 bitcoins of withdrawals without issue.
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