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281  Economy / Speculation / Re: 2011 crash topics on: July 06, 2013, 07:23:41 PM
Awesome, thumbs up !  Cheesy
edit: sent you a little tip
282  Local / Échanges / Re: Coinorama.net - Quelques graphiques autour du cours USD/BTC on: July 05, 2013, 08:19:11 PM
J'adore des fois je suis obligé de faire F5 mais je pense que c'est mon navigateur qui bug !

Salut,
Comment se manifeste le problème (ralentissement, graphiques qui déraillent, ...) ?
Quel navigateur utilises-tu ?
283  Local / Échanges / Re: Coinorama.net - Quelques graphiques autour du cours USD/BTC on: July 04, 2013, 08:23:51 PM
Félicitations.

Très bien fait et très interessant.

Je vais dire aux autres.

Merci. Smiley

Merci ! Le site a pas mal évolué en un mois, j'ai reçu plein de bonnes suggestions !
Si vous avez quelques millicoins en stocks, hésitez pas à contribuer pour m'aider à payer les frais d'hébergement !
284  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 03, 2013, 04:50:44 PM
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1FKoX7u_Jo8&list=FL1P_1oxI07oWp1u_UuRuQBA

Bitcoin going for a tumble... and I held a long position  Cry

I don't Think you know what "Long" means.

That I bought most of my coins over $100 dollars and haven't sold any yet? A couple of 'sure things' for a BTC or two but overall, long. I'm very contrarian to this bear forum.

I think you are getting the wrong idea about this thread, at least a lot of the people on it. There are quite a few of us here that have had a good amount of experience trading stocks. I know a few that are "bearish" are HUGE bitcoin believers. Further, some of us have paid subscriptions and are collecting data not just from what we see, but what we pay for. I know what it feels like to believe contrarian things in the face of evidence. This forum has put out a fair amount of data showing we are going down. Let's just say that I have yet to find one good indicator saying we are going up. (We might have a huge bounce, and we are still in a larger uptrend, but the short to mid term looks to be down.)

I am a HUGE BTC BULL. I can't tell you how much I believe in what it represents and how it can help to change the world. But timing, is EVERYTHING. If you had any idea of the amount of information I convey to quite a few people about BTC, I think your perspective would shift. I'm sure that is true of many of the other "bears". Further, quite a few of the people I've told about BTC have either bought or are looking for an entry and further are spreading the word. Don't let this one "focal point" give you the wrong idea.

Do not confuse Bearism with realism. There is no place for optimism or pessimism when analyzing data, realism is where it is at. If you want to go by what you believe, by all means do so and I'm not being sarcastic. Any of us that are currently bearish know we can be burned if the BTC turns on a dime like it can. But barring that, the direction is extremely clear. My question to you is, why aren't you listening and how are you doing your research, where is your opinion coming from, etc??? I am out to help, not to frighten or the like.

edit - Just to add, I was burned a little by being overly optimistic and not looking at the data, so I know the experience. But I was quick to adapt, well, not real quick, but I adapted.

Data, well, as much data as you can have on such a stock, we are well below the moving averages. We should be trading nearer to $100 and I would have to be left behind on a rally. Looking at the USD as a infinitely reproducible currency, mathematically speaking i'm better off with a useful, finite asset. However, I have only so many USD to pump into this thing before I gotta give.

But yes, the majority of my trading basis is on 'belief', an emotional state which will no doubt lead me to failure.

I love using moving averages, but I don't depend on them. They are more complimentary than they are primary. The 20 day EMA just went below the 100 day EMA for the first time in many many many months. That is pretty bearish (but it doesn't mean we don't break through it anyway!). What was once support is now resistance.

If you are using a moving average as your main indicator, you are missing like 90% of the picture. For example, I called the last 3 moves down and I clearly listed why (and we were hugging the moving averages). Not saying I know what I am talking about, but when you have an upward move in price and a downward move in volume - it is a really really really accurate way (divergence) to predict a down move. Each time the price moved down (and violently.) I wasn't using a scare tactic - I was clearly listing why, sort of in an educational way. I mentioned many many times that the sell sizes are quite large relative to the buy sizes. That means (I think) guys like me and you without a lot of $$$ are doing the buying and guys (like early adopters or rich folk) are doing the selling. They are not attempting to hide their block sizes either (which is easy to see anyway because of the time of the sales being at the same second). When I posted above (and weeks ago) the coinorama chart - it is a nice simple indicator - more sells than buys. A bit complimentary. The bid/ask ratio chart below that is also a good indicator (complimentary) - when it goes below one it is bearish.

So, collecting all of these complimentary and primary indicators are tell me the same thing. It isn't hard to see. The hard part is loving what BTC is but knowing it's not the right time to be holding it.

IF you want to lower your risk, just don't cash out completely. Keep 30%, or 50% or whatever you feel comfortable with and then use the fiat to buy more if it goes lower. You cut your losses and increase your upside. You can limit your upside too, but when all the indicators are saying down, you have something substantial (and not just emotional) on your side.

You may really come out on top by just holding. Actually, you probably will but the ride to point B, will be a bit rougher. (Not that this ride is smooth for me.)

Good luck,
IAS

Thanks for the very professional, almost nurturing response. It was honestly the last thing I expected from this forum full of Polish Politicians.

You're alright man and best of luck to you too. You seem to know what you are doing.

+1 to IAS, thanks for sharing Smiley
285  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: July 03, 2013, 02:05:05 PM
I can feel the dump approaching...



Does anyone know if this is the furthest apart bids/asks and the price have ever been, while the price is higher than bids/asks? It looks a bit that way from the long term data....that's got to be (really) bad hasn't it?

(Noob) It´s a long time I see this chart and I still don t understand it... Can someone explain me what are the 4 lines ? (Sorry) Or giving a link if there is an explanation somehere else

green squiggly line = dollars trying to be bitcoins
yellow squiggly line = bitcoins trying to be dollars

the ratio between them gives you an indication of whether folk are keener to sell or buy (red  squiggly line). And it has a tendency to lead the price (blue squiggly line). Least, that's how I understand it.

If you want, you may watch this ratio live on Coinorama.net !
Have a look at the help if you need explanation, and play with some preferences to find your way Smiley
286  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Coinorama.net - Charting USD/BTC (MtGox, Bitstamp, BTC-e, Kraken) on: July 02, 2013, 02:31:04 PM
Hey. Just wanted to report back and say that your site, in it's current form, is fantastic. Not much more I could think of to improve, expect maybe for the still sometimes hard to read font (then again, I work on a pretty small screen).

One minor bug report, I think: all settings are stored correctly by your cookie other than the "merge multiple exchanges" button. Unless that's on purpose.

Finally, I'll see that I'll get to make a donation as soon as I hold btc again. Well worth it!

Thanks Smiley

About that bug, I checked the code and tried to reproduce it, but it works fine on my side.
Can you hit "Reload" a couple of times so that your browser gets the most up-to-date files ?
Cheers !
287  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Coinorama.net - Charting USD/BTC (MtGox, Bitstamp, BTC-e, Kraken) on: July 02, 2013, 11:18:42 AM
Hi everybody,

I just uploaded a new version of the website with a new feature : the highs and lows of the rate are now displayed.
This feature is enabled by default, but you may turn it off in the Preferences. Don't forget to reload the page in your browser !

A few days ago, Coinorama celebrated its first-month anniversary. It has been an exciting and hard-working month, I hope you're enjoying it as much as I do Smiley
Well, it seems like it as the website currently receives between 150 and 200 unique visits per day !

A quick note about donations. Until now, I have received two donations for a total amount of 95 mBTC, many thanks to the donators !
I really count on your generosity to help me pay hosting fees, I hope we can achieve that goal by the end of this summer.
288  Local / Discussions générales et utilisation du Bitcoin / Re: Bitcoin-Central : Achetez/Vendez facilement en EUR ! on: June 29, 2013, 12:22:27 PM
http://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/2013/06/29/bitcoin-exchange-gains-clearance-to-operate-as-a-real-bank-in-france/
Quote
Bitcoin-Central is set to become the first Bitcoin exchange to operate as a real bank, thanks to new approvals from French regulators. Run by Paymium, Bitcoin-Central partnered with two French companies — the payment processor Aqoba and bank Credit Mutuel — to create a payment service based on Bitcoin.

C'est confirmé ?  Shocked

edit: erf, apparement, c'est une news de décembre 2012  Angry
289  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Coinorama.net - Charting USD/BTC (MtGox, Bitstamp, BTC-e, Kraken) on: June 28, 2013, 08:04:48 AM
Hi,
I just re-enabled Kraken. They were running a trading tournament last week, the data feeds took a couple of days to return to service.
Don't forget  to reload the page so that your browser fetches the updated files.
Greetings !
290  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: June 27, 2013, 08:31:09 AM
1000, time for something interesting to happen.

IMHO, it may stay the same until Mt Gox makes a statement about the US $ withdrawal situation (hopefully, next week).

Imagine Gox says that all USD withdrawals are indefinitely stopped. I guess we would have quite a lot of panic buying.

And if they resume USD withdrawals ?
We may expect a massive sell... But on the other hand, it would also be a positive signal regarding Mt Gox (and BTC exchanges) reliability ...

Anyway, end of the month is near (so are paychecks), anyone expecting more cash to flow into exchanges ?
291  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: June 27, 2013, 08:08:59 AM
1000, time for something interesting to happen.

IMHO, it may stay the same until Mt Gox makes a statement about the US $ withdrawal situation (hopefully, next week).
292  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: June 27, 2013, 07:50:50 AM
http://www.coinorama.net/ ratio still dropping (bearish)

Indeed, the ratio is slowly decreasing on Mt. Gox. However, it keeps going up on BTC-e (asks/bids are really really unbalanced on this exchange).
293  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Coinorama.net - Charting USD/BTC (MtGox, Bitstamp, BTC-e, Kraken) on: June 23, 2013, 06:39:20 PM
Hi everybody,

Here comes another update for Coinorama !
Changes include :
  • Configuration saving with a cookie
  • Optional merging of the selected exchanges (not fully complete)
  • Improved volume chart when showing multiple exchanges

Unfortunately, I didn't have enough time to improve the live rate display for multiple exchanges, sorry joesmoe2012  Embarrassed

Enjoy !
294  Economy / Speculation / Re: I believe panic selling on Mt. Gox will ensue within 2 weeks on: June 21, 2013, 01:21:08 PM
Mt. Gox just put a message on reddit : http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1gsiwy/an_update_from_mt_gox/

Quote
Dear Mt. Gox Customers and Bitcoiners,

The reaction since yesterday’s statement regarding the temporary suspension of U.S. dollar withdrawals has had mixed reactions, and raised more than a few questions about why we had to take this step right now. Rather than be subject to inaccurate speculation we’d like to clarify some points here. Due to pending matters we are unable to get into everything in great detail, though we’d certainly love to and are looking forward to the opportunity.

1) The problem with the U.S. withdrawals (and even other currencies for that matter) is that our bank can no longer handle the volume of withdrawals. They struggled in the last two months, and the increase due to the Dwolla separation has made it increasingly more difficult. The pressure we brought onto the bank’s resources finally gave in, and we are now working with them to find an alternative method (hence the suspension). We would have preferred to give notice if we were able to, but it was sudden for us as well.

2) We are now working with new banks and alternative methods for transmitting money to our customers. This does not mean we are stopping entirely within the next two weeks, but it will be slower than we would like. We are literally going to use our manpower to process withdrawals ourselves, manually. This will take more time, but we are dedicated to doing as many per day as possible. We announced a suspension in order to manage expectations while we deliver at a temporary reduced rate. Our goal is to have a new system set up in the next weeks with clarity for both the banks and for our customers.

3) Our previous release was rather vague, but for a reason. Mainly, we don't want to upset our bank! They do great work, but our kind of business is completely new to the banking industry. Processing international wires does not just involve pushing a button. It requires real manpower processing everything individually, even in this modern computer age. While Bitcoin's power lies in its ability to transfer fast and securely through software, the rest of the financial world does not operate like that (contrary to popular opinion). Money is surprisingly analog in many ways, and scarily digital in others. 

4) Every customer’s funds are safe, sound, and accounted for. In fact, in our dealings with the Japanese financial regulators we have been assured that we are not under local pressure or suspicion and can operate as usual within normal legal frameworks.

5) Mt. Gox is certainly not a martyr, but it would be hard to argue that we aren’t "taking one for the team" as far as Bitcoin is concerned. We are a big target, and are absorbing the frustrations of Bitcoiners, regulators, banks, and a media that still doesn't quite understand what Bitcoin is. This is a job we are happy to fill, and not just because we are compensated for it. Our hope is that, once Bitcoin finds its place, we will be able to say that we made a difference in sorting it all out in the early days. New exchanges, business models, merchants, traders, and consumers  are rising up to innovate and create a whole new way of doing business. A lot of lawyers are getting new cars in the meantime too.

6) As risky as it is to invoke the name of Litecoin (LTC???), we must apologize for not keeping everyone up to date. The fact is that the current situation means a continued delay, but for good reasons. We’re looking at July right now, though that depends on a few things. Mainly, we want to do things correctly from the beginning.

7) The new trading engine is finished, is smokin’ fast, and is currently undergoing bench tests. We’re looking forward to deploying it very soon.

While not the most in-depth update we'd like to give, we hope that it has at least clarified a few things. In the next few weeks we are planning to do another AMA on Reddit when we’ll hopefully be able to answer many more questions and also shed some light on what’s been going on at Mt. Gox these past months. Thank you for your patience and support.
295  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Coinorama.net - Charting USD/BTC (MtGox, Bitstamp, BTC-e, Kraken) on: June 20, 2013, 05:21:35 PM
Maybe add the price for multiple view in big numbers on each exchange so it's easy to see with just a glance.

Sure, thanks for the suggestion. I added it to my todo-list Smiley
Man, that's one busy week-end ahead of me !
296  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Coinorama.net - Charting USD/BTC (MtGox, Bitstamp, BTC-e, Kraken) on: June 20, 2013, 01:04:00 PM
yea, thats not hacking. You designed a website. How in the world can you call it hacking?

Design is a really small part of Coinorama... (actually the whole thing was designed offline, by playing with the Gnuplot software)
Please visit this thread to learn about the birth of this project : https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=210202.0

What you don't see behind your browser is the whole infrastructure to :
  • fetch data from exchange
  • store and aggregate data to form the different views (1 hour, 1 week, etc.)
  • serve these data so that the website can draw charts

This infrastructure is made of two components : Coinwatcher and Coinrefd.
Coinwatcher fetches and store data from exchanges (actually, one coinwatcher instance per exchange). Currently, it is about 1500 lines of Python code.
Coinrefd receives new data from Coinwatchers and serves them via the web server. Currently, it is about 2500 lines of C code.

Working on such stuff, as oda.krell replied, is named (since the early '80s) : hacking.
If you want to know more, I strongly advise you to read books about the history of Unix, Linux and Free Software Smiley
297  Economy / Speculation / Re: BitcoinMoxy.com looking for day trader input on: June 19, 2013, 04:18:55 PM
Hi,
Regarding Charts & Stats, could you add my service : http://www.coinorama.net
Cheers !

Done.

Thank you (if you don't mind, putting a capital C for Coinorama would make it perfect!)
298  Economy / Speculation / Re: BitcoinMoxy.com looking for day trader input on: June 19, 2013, 02:03:23 PM
Hi,
Regarding Charts & Stats, could you add my service : http://www.coinorama.net
Cheers !
299  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Coinorama.net - Charting USD/BTC (MtGox, Bitstamp, BTC-e, Kraken) on: June 19, 2013, 11:35:42 AM
Looking better and better Cheesy I like the "merge price&ask/bid ratio" option.

Still think it would be nice if there would be the option to *sum* the exchange data. With the current mtgox dominance, that probably means the resulting graph will only be slightly different from the mtgox chart alone, but it'll become more useful as mtgox loses market share. Mainly the combination chart of price + bid/ask ratio would be very useful to see summed up (weighted by volume, obviously).

EDIT: wait, one thing: is there a chance to store the user choices (time frame, choices under settings) in a cookie? Whenever I re-open the site, it goes back to default view (1h interval, show moving averages). Don't know if fiddling around with cookies is non-trivial or not :/

Thanks again for your nice feedbacks and comments !
I plan to implement those features (exchange data sum + cookies) this week-end, it will mark the first month anniversary of Coinorama Smiley
300  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Coinorama.net - Charting USD/BTC (MtGox, Bitstamp, BTC-e, Kraken) on: June 17, 2013, 09:00:22 AM
The Kraken exchange is organizing a trading tournament to test its infrastructure.
Thus, their trading data are off the main market and should not be compared to others.
I put Kraken out of the multiple exchanges display, but its single view is still available for tournament participants.
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