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2841  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: IOTA - Unmoderated thread on: February 06, 2016, 07:41:27 PM
AltcoinUK is doing what he thinks is right and ethical.

Posting blatant lies that he can't even fake a proof of? Not sure "ethical" suits here.

He thinks JINN is a scam. Thus he thinks what he is doing is ethical. And again, yes I have explained that he needs to not overstep and commit errors, especially when making such a serious accusation.

And yes the venom doesn't help make the case. He is incited when you attack his reputation (but he attacked yours so you have a right to respond). It is a vicious cycle. And he needs to understand this.
2842  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: IOTA - Unmoderated thread on: February 06, 2016, 07:33:38 PM
which will then lower your own credibility

His credibility can't be lower.

AltcoinUK is doing what he thinks is right and ethical. But he perhaps made some accusations which he could not prove (e.g. that you are anonymous). He does need to be more careful about fact checking.

Some of his points are correct. So I can't agree that his credibility is aweful.

AltcoinUK please be aware that CfB is taking advantage of your weaknesses, which is that you get inflamed and then you overstep from good/strong arguments to weaker or even unsupported/incorrect arguments.

It is difficultimpossible to omniscient. Please remember that the more one asserts, the more odds of being incorrect. I really push that limit. I assert so many things, yet I have reasonably good record of backing up my assertions in fact. And I don't push too aggressively on a vague issue such as CAP theorem applicability to Byzantine consensus.

I just don't think it is worth it for you to go on a vendetta against Iota. But again to each his own. I decided it wasn't worth it for me.

When I state Ethereum failed to solve the fundamental issue for scripting on a block chain, then I am stating a fact. I make sure I fact check. Upthread I hadn't fact checked Iota's signature scheme and so I was in error on the issue of quantum resistance.

Arguing that quantum resistance is not a feature that some people are interested in, is like arguing that females shouldn't like Beanie Babies. People like what they like. I am also interested in quantum resistance, as is the venerable Daniel Bernstein.
2843  Economy / Economics / Re: Economic Totalitarianism on: February 06, 2016, 07:17:32 PM
Quote
But it goes much deeper than that. Include the Western governments propping up puppet regimes in the Middle East which created all kinds of imbalances.

Agree, big part of it, if not the main reason. Sunni minority rule when removed equals chaos. Shia rule when undermined equals chaos. Proxy armies everywhere. Saudi, US, Russia, Iran, Turkey, Lebanon etc etc

I am very curious to hear how you are omniscient[1] because you were able to make the speed-of-light infinite[2] and thus you know what decentralized annealing would have done otherwise.

You won't understand my point, yet it is a rebuttal and I don't have time to teach any more.

[1] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=355212.msg13704711#msg13704711

[2] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=355212.msg13705829#msg13705829

1. Obviously I'm not
2. Ditto


I probably don't, but I'm assuming it is: problems are deeper than geopolitical because of man's attempts to control the uncontrollable. Neither I, nor anyone else, can ascertain what outcome will occur from any given action (and therefore my "when removed = " statement is untrue.) Only the invisible hand can (the decentralised annealing you are referring to?), and Western governments in attempting to control have been supporting countries that are unbalanced (unsophisticated as a whole 'computer', yet making a fortune) and relying on one thing (oil....or mining etc). Like markets they are destined, or rather need, to revert to the mean, hence the chaos as the process takes place.

Good. Thanks.
2844  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: IOTA - Unmoderated thread on: February 06, 2016, 07:10:58 PM
AltcoinUK, I suggest you focus on the message of why you think JINN labs is so unrealistic. And I also think you can refer to my decentralization thread for why (I think) Iota leads to centralization. Those seem to be strong arguments in your favor.

I think if you continue to assert the scam accusation and attack every aspect of Iota as entirely worthless, then you will lose credibility even IF you end up being correct about its ultimate failure. Those arguments appear to readers as vindictive.

But of course I can't tell you what to do. And perhaps I am mistaken about perceptions (but I doubt it).

I support your ethics and I also support your sober analysis of potential markets. I am just hoping you don't let CfB's ribbing incite you to turn it into a vendetta, which will then lower your own credibility. I know it is difficult in the heat of the moment, but try to think about that you can't protect every speculator from everything nor is that your role.

Balance.
2845  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: IOTA - Unmoderated thread on: February 06, 2016, 06:56:13 PM
The two of you got a combined IQ on the left side of The Bell Curve.

One of those insults after which the victim can't even suspect that s/he has been insulted? I thought Hague Convention prohibited such things...

I didn't reply to it because it is just another evidence that he lacks reading comprehension. Any one who asserts my IQ is below average has a more than just a few screws loose in their head.
2846  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: IOTA - Unmoderated thread on: February 06, 2016, 06:49:00 PM


I think perhaps you've over personalized your friction with CfB. I understand you feel he is willingly intent on being part of a scam. The way I see it is David is probably the scammer (if there is a scam and I am not asserting there is bcz I haven't studied the JINN aspect) and CfB is an astute developer who is trying to earn money while working on something interesting (so he let's David run the scammy parts and he focuses on the technology). You seem to think CfB has a long history of being involved in pumping half-assed technology (my presumption of your opinion of Nxt) where you claim insiders profited at the expense of the greater fools.



Ugh, I am getting extremely tired of you. Provide me with your real name...

You already have my real name in private message from the last time you threatened me with legal action.

Note above I am not making any accusation. Read it again more carefully. I am just arguing to AltcoinUK that even if JINN labs were a scam (and I state that I don't claim that), that I would think CfB would not be the one in charge of it.

In any case, I have avoided this entire thing because it turns into an enormous time waster for me.

And yes I have stated that Iota brought some innovations. I have no idea about JINN.

David you have a hot head. That will be your downfall. Cool off young man half my age.
2847  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: IOTA - Unmoderated thread on: February 06, 2016, 06:44:10 PM
Note Iota's transaction signatures are not quantum resistant, because they use ECC.

You are wrong, Iota uses Winternitz signing, unfortunatelly, you don't see this message.  Smiley

I stand corrected. I unignored you because it is unfair to post in this thread and not read what you are saying. I don't want to Ignore you if please don't pesker me in my thread so I won't be bogged down (trying to do coding).

Note to readers, this doesn't change my statement about the consensus not converging without centralization.
2848  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: IOTA - Unmoderated thread on: February 06, 2016, 06:42:11 PM
(I am so pleased to see that the NEM developers in Japan make a very good progress in the real adoption, so apart from the scams there is some good progress in real adoption and I have no doubt yours will be the next).

Jabo38 was in my inner circle in 2014 so perhaps some of my ideas rubbed off on him when he saw that my progress was too slow so he found that opportunity and apparently ran with it.
2849  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: IOTA - Unmoderated thread on: February 06, 2016, 06:35:50 PM
...IOTA. It is resistant against Quantum computers.

Quantum computers are a big problem to the existence of bitcoin and other altcoin.

I noted that aspect of Iota's proof-of-work (hash-based) design is clever. Another example to AltcoinUK that Iota has some important ideas. But it doesn't change my conclusion that the consensus algorithm can't converge (will diverge) without centralizing the system.

Note Iota's transaction signatures are not quantum resistant, because they use ECC.
2850  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: IOTA - Unmoderated thread on: February 06, 2016, 06:24:44 PM
AltcoinUK, the problem is that most readers do not understand the CAP theorem conceptualization of consensus problem nor will most users understand that Iota is based on a mathematical model that has to be enforced on all payers on their choices of which branch to attach their txns and on recipients in terms of what recipients compute is a probabilistically confirmed txn. If the Monte Carlo math can be enforced then consensus should converge, but there is no way to force decentralized actors to follow one math model when the system can't enforce it without centralization. Thus I stated Iota/DAG only converges if the system centralizes. As opposed to Satoshi's PoW which always converges because of the longest chain rule.

So it is extremely difficult to take an aggressive position when most readers won't even comprehend. Why is a speculator going to trust my assessment when they can't understand or don't have the attention span to digest my 33 page thread on Decentralization. Also I haven't written a white paper yet, so all that is not well formalized.

As for the JINN labs and trinary logic aspect, I am not involving myself in that at all. I have no interest in hardware other than to read specification sheets for when I am writing assembly language code.

I think perhaps you've over personalized your friction with CfB. I understand you feel he is willingly intent on being part of a scam. The way I see it is David is probably the scammer (if there is a scam and I am not asserting there is bcz I haven't studied the JINN aspect) and CfB is an astute developer who is trying to earn money while working on something interesting (so he let's David run the scammy parts and he focuses on the technology). You seem to think CfB has a long history of being involved in pumping half-assed technology (my presumption of your opinion of Nxt) where you claim insiders profited at the expense of the greater fools. Yes David threatened me with legal action, but he can't touch me. I am some guy with no money who lives in Mindanao. His attorney will advise him that they can't sue to draw blood from turnip. Besides offering my opinion in a forum is not slander. I am just not interested in adding more fights to my plate. I am interested in coding and doing my own project. If I waste my time by creating more fights, I will never accomplish anything.

Nxt got a lot speculators excited about investing in altcoins. For anyone who ever does produce an altcoin that has the adoption and capability of overtaking Bitcoin, then that interest in altcoin stoked by Nxt is perhaps actually helpful.

In other words, I think we have to accept speculation markets are what they are, an imperfect Wild West system of stimulating R&D.

I haven't been able to pin anything on CfB specifically that would tell me he is nothing but a douche bag scammer. I rather see him more as developer trying to find a way to earn money in crypto. My ethics and standard for my work is higher. I have set the bar that I have to achieve via real adoption, not speculation alone. But I can't expect that every person is as crazy risk taker as I am.
2851  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: How many of you have actually used Ethereum as a smart contract system? on: February 06, 2016, 05:55:10 PM
1. It is relying on IPFS, which is a decentralied file storage system. IPFS is interesting for orthogonal reasons (which I will discuss below), but there is an insoluble flaw of decentralized file storage in that copyrighted content illegally distributed without compensating the copyright owner, can't be forceably removed from all nodes, and thus the protocol ends up banned by hosts[1].

[...]

[1]https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1340057.msg13670558#msg13670558
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1344997.msg13730325#msg13730325
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1342065.msg13782055#msg13782055 (alternate copy: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=355212.msg13782246#msg13782246)

I received a reply from Juan Bennet (author of IPFS) and he referred me to the following:

  • IPFS has as a design requirement that nodes be able to only store and/or distribute content they explicitly want to store and/or distribute. This means that computers that run IPFS nodes do not have to host "other people's stuff", which is a very important thing when you consider that lots of content in the internet is -- in some for or other -- illegal under certain jurisdictions.
  • IPFS nodes will be able to express policies, and subscribe to network allow/denylists and policies that express content storage and distribution requirements. This way, users and groups can express what content should or should not be stored and/or distributed. This is required by users to (a) comply with legal constraints in their respective countries, (b) required by users with stricter codes of conduct (i.e. content that is legal but undesired by a group -- e.g. a childrens website).

Question and Answers:

    Q: When I add content, what happens?
    A: It is stored in your local node, and made available to other nodes in your network, via advertising it on the routing system (i.e. the IPFS-DHT). The content is not sent to other nodes until they explicitly request it, though of course some content may already exist in the system (content-addressing).

I don't see how that solves the problem that IPFS is a protocol that enables people to advertising the availability of illegal content on the DHT, and then illegal content can move to new ephemeral nodes, i.e. Whack-A-Mole. Thus authorities are eventually very likely to regulate Hosts and tell them that by running IPFS they are providing hosting for a DHT which routes illegal content. IPFS can infringe the millions of indie artists who struggle to earn an income.

Also as pointed out in that thread, then there is very low guarantee that any data is backed up by the system or that the other desired properties of content being cached closer those who need it will be achieved.

Decentralized file storage requires fungibility of data, but this can't be attained without BOTH a block chain for recording the policies of content owners and algorithms that automatically detect which content infringes other content.


IPFS looks great - and yes, I see the legal aspect - but once the idea is there & great, I just imagine the hunting - but then there will be an IPFS_1, _2,.... and you need to close the internet.

Huh  Huh

And he will not also admit the following is why he incorrect about stealing content.

Governments are organizing now around controlling the internet. The illegal activity through Bittorrent (which also steals from ISPs which have higher upload bandwidth allowances) is helping the governments feel they are justified in regulating the internet via Net Neutrality and other measures. You young fellow feel free to pursue theft of music and other content which deprives the millions of artists of income to pay their rent. You are not going to create the new Knowledge Economy with your theft model. And by advocating theft, you are helping the NWO totalitarianism to take form by providing an economic incentive and political support from millions of artists who are violated by piracy. Dumb. But I expect that from you.
2852  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Thoughts on Zcash? on: February 06, 2016, 05:50:04 PM
yep, hard fork, airdrop, and instant true anon glory

and thank you zcash team for your contribution to the bitcoin network

bitcoin is just a group of equity owners agreeing to transmit said equity over an agreed upon protocol

such is the nature of open source

Be careful with assuming anyone can apply the Zcash open source. Zcash has the zk-snarks inventors on their team and there may be not so trivial tweaks that need to be made over time.

Afaics, if they play their cards well (e.g. no 11% premine for private placement investors), they should be in the driver's seat on their technology.
2853  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: soros bass and banano share worlds greatest BTC investment oportunity with forum on: February 06, 2016, 05:42:09 PM

thank you for honesty in your investing strategy TPTB

you are smart

what do you think of Kyle Bass and George Soros

world greatest investment opportunity today

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1354286.msg13786959#msg13786959

I follow http://blog.mpettis.com/ and Martin Armstrong. Armstrong has consistently said China will have a crisis starting 2017 and bottom in 2020 (but I don't know about Yuan and FX crisis), as well that oil will rise again in 2017 as the War Cycle heats up to hot wars. Pettis has argued that China needs to rebalance from manufacturing to services and they would need < 3% growth for a decade. Both have made the point that China has refused to revert to the mean and thus will suffer Waterfall collapse 2017 - 2020. Armstrong has noted $850 billion of capital exodus from China just within the past year, as the wealthy diversify out of China and into SE Asia and more so luxury investments in the USA and USD denominated investments.

Note China and India will rise up and be the financial leaders of the world from 2032 onwards.

Edit: http://www.bbc.com/news/business-35516054
2854  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: February 06, 2016, 05:40:50 PM

thank you for honesty in your investing strategy TPTB

you are smart

what do you think of Kyle Bass and George Soros

world greatest investment opportunity today

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1354286.msg13786959#msg13786959

I follow http://blog.mpettis.com/ and Martin Armstrong. Armstrong has consistently said China will have a crisis starting 2017 and bottom in 2020 (but I don't know about Yuan and FX crisis), as well that oil will rise again in 2017 as the War Cycle heats up to hot wars. Pettis has argued that China needs to rebalance from manufacturing to services and they would need < 3% growth for a decade. Both have made the point that China has refused to revert to the mean and thus will suffer Waterfall collapse 2017 - 2020. Armstrong has noted $850 billion of capital exodus from China just within the past year, as the wealthy diversify out of China and into SE Asia and more so luxury investments in the USA and USD denominated investments.

Note China and India will rise up and be the financial leaders of the world from 2032 onwards.
2855  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: MAIDSafe coin to launch in this month! on: February 06, 2016, 05:33:00 PM

thank you for honesty in your investing strategy TPTB

you are smart

what do you think of Kyle Bass and George Soros

world greatest investment opportunity today

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1354286.msg13786959#msg13786959

I follow http://blog.mpettis.com/ and Martin Armstrong. Armstrong has consistently said China will have a crisis starting 2017 and bottom in 2020 (but I don't know about Yuan and FX crisis), as well that oil will rise again in 2017 as the War Cycle heats up to hot wars. Pettis has argued that China needs to rebalance from manufacturing to services and they would need < 3% growth for a decade. Both have made the point that China has refused to revert to the mean and thus will suffer Waterfall collapse 2017 - 2020. Armstrong has noted $850 billion of capital exodus from China just within the past year, as the wealthy diversify out of China and into SE Asia and more so luxury investments in the USA and USD denominated investments.

Note China and India will rise up and be the financial leaders of the world from 2032 onwards.

Edit: http://www.bbc.com/news/business-35516054
2856  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: IOTA - Unmoderated thread on: February 06, 2016, 05:17:14 PM
So maybe stick to something you understand, because you clearly have no idea about trinary logic nor what we are actually developing. We are developing a processor for Fog and Mist computation in Internet-of-Things. IOTA is a transactive layer for this vision of Fog and Mist computing, that is the connection. We are not developing some trinary supercomputer or high-end desktop processors.

Some startups have succeeded in producing new architectures in what were (at least initially) vertical markets. I haven't studied these markets and the concept of a trinary logic process, so I can't comment meaningfully other than in any case I would tend to agree that 9/10 of startups fail in general and not to mention the very high capital intensive arena of custom hardware architecture.

Based on my knowledge of your skills as a ‘software engineer’ I invite you to review IOTA and if you find any errors or problems, please do share. But again IOTA has already been reviewed by reputable developers, we have a whitepaper that has been submitted to academic journal and the concept of DAG/Tangle has been explored by other people in the space, so I’m not concerned.

You are ignoring my expert review of Iota's consensus algorithm. That is fine with me.
2857  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: IOTA - Unmoderated thread on: February 06, 2016, 05:00:25 PM
Looking through your post history is equal parts depressing and hilarious. How can anyone be so absolutely pathetic to author things like:

"I have APEX from the very beginning and I have a direct interest in its success so lets hope the market cap will get to 1 million sooner than later, but the market cap means nothing really, it reflects nothing else then the current coin price multiplied with the number of coins rather than the real strength of the coin, and such market cap calculation results in nonsensical number like the Cloak's $300k market cap. Cloak could have a $300k market cap, but the viability of the coin is zero and you correctly said it is dead, while APEX is progressing."

or shit nuggets like

"Yes, Min is a great coin and a long term investment opportunity. That doesn't mean one should follow IconicExpert's tips. Quite the opposite, when IE promote a buy you should sell (because if you buy he will dump the coin in your face) and when he says sell then buy is the logical action."

or my favorite:

"I disagree with that. Just like IBM and later Oracle couldn't own the database market and there are places for many database solution provider lately even many non-relational databases like Mongodb can have a market share, just like Apple could not own the smart phone market and HTC, samsung, etc. came, one player is not going to own the blockchain 2 decentralized app market. There are always place for multiple players who provide a good solution.

The Skycoin dev seems incredible knowledgeable in this field so if the solution is working there is a good chance that Skycoin will be one of the players."


I mean seriously, I would probably want to kill myself if I had invested in those coins myself. But you would think you would have learned after the 3rd dog you thew money at. It's like you have mental problems.  I would feel genuinely bad for you if you weren't such a shitty person.

What amazes me is that you stick to your account even though your history reads like someone who keeps barebacking crackwhores and is surprised every time his piss burns.

Actually I think those comments are reasonably good. He is trying to articulate that he wants to invest in projects that could or do have technology viable to some market strategy other than just mining the speculators.

AltcoinUK's disadvantage above is that he can't quite evaluate some aspects of obscure software technology research as well as I can. I was in the Skycoin thread back when the hope was great, and I was pointing out realism that others hadn't. Afair (vaguely), I was vindicated when Skycoin released their consensus white paper and it was a dud. Skycoin was attempting to solve for consensus basically what Stellar's SCP (created by a Stanford U. professor with a PhD in CompSci and author of a very popular Kademlia DHT) ended up being and SCP will centralize in order to guarantee against Sybil preemption.

Come-from-Beyond has delivered products that do evolve some technological innovation and has produced products which get speculators excited which has brought money into our altcoin space, which thus attracts people like myself who do other fundamental research (and hopefully development too  Embarrassed). There is a synergistic effect.

Of course the JINN aspect appears to be quite dubious, and I am not claiming CfB is the most awesome programmer the world has ever seen (neither am I, but I bet I am pretty far up there... we'll see), but I find it difficult to criticize him on his efforts technologically. Yeah I have concluded that Iota can't converge on consensus without centralization, but that doesn't mean our altcoin sector hasn't gained anything from that technological endeavor. I separate in my mind the JINN aspect from the technological and development work done. Don't throw the baby out with the bathwater so to speak.

CfB is not normally shrilling in threads but he lost his cool with me recently wherein I am trying to shift from "discuss" mode to implementation and white paper writing mode. Nevertheless the above is how I stand on the issues.

I wish AltcoinUK and CfB will stop fighting. I understand the JINN aspect needs to be explained to investors. I have too have done my share of attempting to explain what I think are limitations and flaws in altcoins. I done a small amount of "scam" accusation posting, but for the most part I try to not repeat that endlessly (except perhaps in the case of Dash I need to it seems repeat that every once in a while because their shills are so persistent).

I don't know what to say other than to admit the altcoin arena is a hornet's nest of snake oil. There is some minor amount of valid R&D being done, and for me that is worthwhile.

As for my work on yet-another-coin, I won't be announcing it here on Bitcointalk, so if I succeed with my ambitious (delusional?) gambit then it will be in the user adoption markets. So I will try to do something different than has ever been done with an altcoin.
2858  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: How many of you have actually used Ethereum as a smart contract system? on: February 06, 2016, 10:04:32 AM
1. It is relying on IPFS, which is a decentralied file storage system. IPFS is interesting for orthogonal reasons (which I will discuss below), but there is an insoluble flaw of decentralized file storage in that copyrighted content illegally distributed without compensating the copyright owner, can't be forceably removed from all nodes, and thus the protocol ends up banned by hosts[1].

[...]

[1]https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1340057.msg13670558#msg13670558
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1344997.msg13730325#msg13730325
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1342065.msg13782055#msg13782055 (alternate copy: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=355212.msg13782246#msg13782246)

I received a reply from Juan Bennet (author of IPFS) and he referred me to the following:

  • IPFS has as a design requirement that nodes be able to only store and/or distribute content they explicitly want to store and/or distribute. This means that computers that run IPFS nodes do not have to host "other people's stuff", which is a very important thing when you consider that lots of content in the internet is -- in some for or other -- illegal under certain jurisdictions.
  • IPFS nodes will be able to express policies, and subscribe to network allow/denylists and policies that express content storage and distribution requirements. This way, users and groups can express what content should or should not be stored and/or distributed. This is required by users to (a) comply with legal constraints in their respective countries, (b) required by users with stricter codes of conduct (i.e. content that is legal but undesired by a group -- e.g. a childrens website).

Question and Answers:

    Q: When I add content, what happens?
    A: It is stored in your local node, and made available to other nodes in your network, via advertising it on the routing system (i.e. the IPFS-DHT). The content is not sent to other nodes until they explicitly request it, though of course some content may already exist in the system (content-addressing).

I don't see how that solves the problem that IPFS is a protocol that enables people to advertising the availability of illegal content on the DHT, and then illegal content can move to new ephemeral nodes, i.e. Whack-A-Mole. Thus authorities are eventually very likely to regulate Hosts and tell them that by running IPFS they are providing hosting for a DHT which routes illegal content. IPFS can infringe the millions of indie artists who struggle to earn an income.

Also as pointed out in that thread, then there is very low guarantee that any data is backed up by the system or that the other desired properties of content being cached closer those who need it will be achieved.

Decentralized file storage requires fungibility of data, but this can't be attained without BOTH a block chain for recording the policies of content owners and algorithms that automatically detect which content infringes other content.
2859  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: February 06, 2016, 09:39:48 AM
Disclosure: I have no problem with anyone posting here and saying whatever they want.  I would not mind if someone wants to do some REAL WORK (= a lot) to take, say, the last 6 months of MA's predictions, post the results, and run a statistical analysis on them.  Granted, a lot of work for an uncertain value.

No one here can do that because they don't comprehend his writings. They pull phrases out-of-context of the conditions that Armstrong placed on the contingency and also they don't incorporate a holistic understanding. MA tends to write blog posts that follow on from prior blog posts, and you need to follow them as a conversation in his mind to understand what he is thinking.

I understand his writings and his statistically accuracy is 100% on the long-term trends since I've been following him intently starting 2012. I followed him a bit before that, but his prison writings were incomprehensible for me at that time.

Note he has not stated a 100% certainty that gold drops below $1000 between this March and May. His models say it is very likely, but I doubt he would argue 100%  certain. Perhaps 80% or 95%. Regardless, his long-term prediction on gold has been true, which was a PHASE TRANSITION after breaking above $1500 in summer of 2011, then a decline to a low by 2015.75. Gold fell from 1900 to 1050 as predicted.
2860  Economy / Economics / Re: Economic Totalitarianism on: February 06, 2016, 09:36:51 AM
Quote
But it goes much deeper than that. Include the Western governments propping up puppet regimes in the Middle East which created all kinds of imbalances.

Agree, big part of it, if not the main reason. Sunni minority rule when removed equals chaos. Shia rule when undermined equals chaos. Proxy armies everywhere. Saudi, US, Russia, Iran, Turkey, Lebanon etc etc

I am very curious to hear how you are omniscient[1] because you were able to make the speed-of-light infinite[2] and thus you know what decentralized annealing would have done otherwise.

You won't understand my point, yet it is a rebuttal and I don't have time to teach any more.

[1] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=355212.msg13704711#msg13704711

[2] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=355212.msg13705829#msg13705829
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