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2841  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 18, 2015, 08:07:38 PM
Currency is supposed to circulate, not to be hoarded or hidden under the mattress. It's not expected to rise in value.
 

"Supposed to..." shit. What it is *supposed* to be is for one person to exchange a nominal value with another, a placeholder for resources. A promise for value fulfillment deferred.

I talk to farmer Joe. Farmer Joe, says I (in the manner of farming folk), I have baked some fine loaves of bread but I have surplus to my needs. I was wondering if I might make a fair exchange with you, perhaps for a chicken. Farmer Joe observes the bread. "That is some mighty fine bread" says he. "Unfortunately, all my chickens are accounted for right now but I have some chicks which will grow and I can let you have a chicken much like the ones you see before you in about six months if you would let me have one of those loaves of bread today". "Those are handsome chickens" say I "and I am sure would be tasty in my pot. I agree. Let us make notes of our exchange so that our transaction proceeds fairly over time". "Aha" exclaims farmer Joe, "there is no need for that bother since there is this invention. It is a piece of paper with a picture of a dead man on it. One of these is considered fair value for a chicken or a loaf of bread". I trust Farmer Joe so I take his piece of paper as a promise, hand over the bread and return to my homestead.

Six months pass. I return to farmer Joe. "Well met, farmer Joe" I call, "I have returned for my chicken". "Your chicken is well grown and healthy" he says "You'll get a good meal from that one". I hand over the picture of the dead man to farmer Joe. "Well, thing is" says Joe "Squire Sam has printed a whole lot more of these pictures, you'll need one of these and a tenth more for that chicken". "But what of our agreement?" I ask "I don't have a tenth more". "You'll have to speak to Squire Sam about that".

So I head to the castle and confront Squire Sam, "Squire Sam", I begin, "How is it that I make an agreement with farmer Joe to exchange a loaf of bread for a chicken and yet it is broken because you are free to print as many pictures of dead men as you please? Nice castle, by the way". "Well" said Sam, "See this sword?". "Yes", says I. "Well, if you don't shut up and fuck off, you'll be receiving the pointy end of it" said Sam. So I made my excuses and left.
2842  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 18, 2015, 07:39:56 PM
Non-inflationary currency would not get invested during economic downturns.  You don't understand finance, and that's fine--but arguing this is getting a bit repetitive.  Please educate yourself & return when you have something more than your paranoia about banksters to share.
ty

Freaking Keynesians.

Less non-inflationary currency would get invested during economic downturns. Money is a claim on resources. During an economic downturn, resources need to be used more efficiently. Money that would not be used for useful purposes (luxury goods, frivolous projects) would be withheld, resources are freed up and projects which actually benefit the economy move forward with reduced costs.

This "pay one man to dig a hole and another to fill it in" stimulus shit needs to be jettisoned. It only retards recovery (and enriches the guy running the program, of course).
2843  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 18, 2015, 07:23:39 PM
Richy, you simply don't understand how things work.
The dollar is a means of exchange, it is not intended to be a good store of value.  Its value depreciates over time, just as it is meant to do.

Only the illiterate/insane few stuff it in mattresses/jelly jars.  The same sort of people who put unfinished food under their bed, and complain when it's not edible a year later.
How can this be so difficult to grasp?

"Meant"? Says who? The US Govt and friends who benefit from inflation. Fine, if you're happy with that, stick with it.

The uninformed expect a dollar this year to be the same as a dollar next year. These people get robbed. The informed know it won't be and invest in stocks and bonds and get front-run by those who receive early information on the government's inflationary policies. These people get robbed. Instead of money being invested in businesses and technology and making life better for everyone, someone at Goldman Sachs gets to pick the gold-rail option for their yacht. It's time for a change.

And I don't get your point. No one is discussing promises. We are stating what *is*.
2844  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 18, 2015, 07:16:47 PM

@Ricchy_T:  My trust wasn't misplaced--no one ever told me that the USD will not depreciate over time.   My dollar has also never debased itself by 70% in the course of a year.
Your Bitcoin, OTOH...  Someone promised me $30k coins by last Christmas.  What happened Huh

Aren't we over 80% at this point? keep up.

What happened is greed and delusion and China.
2845  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 18, 2015, 07:05:17 PM
PS. Only idiots keep their savings as currency in a high inflation environment.  I wonder if it is genetic?


There, FTFY.

If the government weren't running the presses and skewing the banking market, savings as investment would carry risk and keeping savings as currency would be a safe thing to do and in a mildly deflationary environment (such as the continual technological advancement one we occupy should be) would be advantageous and low risk (though one might choose to pay the bank to hold (not invest) one's currency).

Your unaltered statement points to the outright theft which governments are engaging in.
2846  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 18, 2015, 06:59:24 PM
Aren't you lucky that there is someone in this thread whom you can vent your frustration on when you see your investment do in 1 year what the dollar did in 100 years?

Glad to oblige.

PS. Only idiots keep their savings as currency.  I wonder if it is genetic?


It's only taken the dollar about 50 years fwiw.
2847  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 18, 2015, 06:53:47 PM
Is there some fiattalk.org forum? Where we can go make fun of the bulltards, because their precious dollar lost 98% of value since 1913...

Average income in 1913: $400
Average income in 2010: $33,000

Perhaps that is relevant?

http://www.politifact.com/virginia/statements/2010/nov/24/virginia-tea-party-patriots/virginia-tea-party-says-dollar-has-lost-98-percent/

Fantastic. Now do that again for savings.
2848  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 18, 2015, 06:49:21 PM

Helps when the initial value is nothing (ZERO) Cheesy


Doesn't help when initial value is backed by something that is known to have worth which is later taken away with the promise "trust us" to the background sound of the printing presses being fired up.

2849  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 17, 2015, 03:48:53 AM
And if Mark Karpeles is Satoshi Nakamoto AND Dread Pirate Roberts it would be really fucking hilarious!

In a surprising twist, he is also Charlie Shrem
2850  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 16, 2015, 07:08:31 PM

Bah.  If a hacker can install malicious software in the offline computer where you generate keys and sign transactions, it can steal your coins in several ways.  That was well known (although many bitcoiners, and makers of hardware wallets in particular, will call you paranoid or worse if you dare to point that out.)

Well, a large part of hardware wallets is that you generate keys and sign transactions within the (hopefully) more secure wallet rather than on the potentially compromised computer.
2851  Economy / Speculation / Re: Automated posting on: January 16, 2015, 07:01:33 PM

Are any of the other exchanges more reliable?

Maybe it's time to go old-school and progress localbitcoins to the way stocks used to be traded in coffee houses.

2852  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 16, 2015, 05:52:26 AM
sry Sad
(away from the box where all my pictures are stored, right on the HD, the old school way, before we had clouds)

No-no. Keep up! It's not a hard drive, it's a "personal cloud".
2853  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 15, 2015, 12:00:13 AM
BTC is only 50x my entry price (about 3 years ago). Like now, that was a major bottom. Should I buy more? Thoughts?

I don't think we're quite at the bottom yet but we're close to where I stopped buying on the way up so I think we're about in the right ball-park.
2854  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 14, 2015, 11:19:22 PM
5. I dont have the post off hand, but even the fear of speculators of other impending bail ins was not a contributing factor. The run up to the April high started well before and just coincidentally peaked at around that time. The whole Cyprus thing was just a convenient and lazy media connection to bitcoin.


ITYM "Just coincidentally went into overdrive less than 48 hours after bail-ins were announced as under consideration"
2855  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 14, 2015, 11:13:29 PM
Many people have told me that.  But "many" may be a thousand bitcoiners, perhaps, who care for the Core Values; and they may not include any big holders.  The other 99% of the bitcoin community (including the Chinese day-traders, who may still be setting the price) probably don't understad why a change in the protocol would be a bad thing, or don't care.

Note that increasing the supply of bitcoins is bad for the price only if the demand remains the same.  If there were enough new demand, increasing the supply would not prevent the price from increasing, too.


The traders are not really important for this question, only the miners who are already in competition with each other for a bigger slice of the pie.

Increasing the supply would not prevent the price from increasing but it would prevent the price from increasing *as much*.

As a miner, if you allow the pie to grow, you probably just end up with a smaller slice percentage-wise. Unless you're thinking of such smoke-and-mirrors tricks as moving the decimal place to the right.
2856  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 14, 2015, 11:07:35 PM
I never seen any evidence that Cyprus was the reason for Bitcoin to go up even 1 dollar.
And nobody in Greece is stupid enough to put their money in a highly volatile hard to use currency that has been going down for a year.

No? I guess I can agree to disagree on that. Correlation is not causation and all.



And maybe with the Greeks. Though of course, the first thing that will happen is capital controls. Dollars, Pounds and Yen will not be available from the banks.
2857  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 14, 2015, 09:47:52 PM

Yes but what does this have to do with Bitcoin. I seriously hope you don't believe that these people then would move to Bitcoin or something.

The question was merely what would be the most bullish for Bitcoin. I believe the collapse of the Greek economy would most definitely be that. I would expect some to move (some of) their money to Bitcoin but the majority movement would be speculators as it was with Cyprus.
2858  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 14, 2015, 09:42:50 PM
Yes, and that is what I meant: if someone with billions to spare offered to buy 25 million bitcoins, the protocol would be immediately changed to create them, with the full cooperation of miners AND approval of developers.

I disagree. It would damage the reputation and hence value irreparably. But there's no way to prove either way.
2859  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 14, 2015, 09:30:55 PM
What's the most bullish thing imaginable? I would like some brainstorming please.

Greece.

Not wishing for it though.

Huh? Why?

Cause it's going to cause misery and strife for a whole lot of people.

I support Bitcoin because I'm hoping we can move away from the systems that cause that kind of thing.
2860  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 14, 2015, 09:28:38 PM
Asks flat but nobody buying, Stamp effectively out of the game...

The next 24 hours are critical.
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