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2861  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: ETH price soaring. Are you going to move some BTC into ETH? on: March 06, 2016, 10:26:02 PM
Has anyone bought some pizza with ether yet?
2862  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 06, 2016, 10:36:39 AM
Amstrong's blog is from yesterday. Price started retreating three days ago. Perhaps the correct causality is

price retreats --> Armstrong speaks


Armstrong went full Buttcoin weeks ago.

Armstrong running the biggest fiat exchange is like putting Stolfi in charge of Blockstream.  The only question is "malice or incompetence?"

armstrong is the next karpeles and coinbase is the next gox ... no company is bigger than bitcoin, they all seem to want to learn that mistake the hard way ... the warning signs have been there for quite while and the pattern is too familiar to be ignored.

if I was him I'd be making arrangements for what happens while he goes inside.
2863  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 04, 2016, 03:49:57 AM
admit it .. .the whole "blockstream core planners" spiel/spin is lame.

you just choked up your groupthink vomit all over the place trying to justify using such lame language.

[Politely nods.]

If you can't see a conflict of interest glaring you in the face ['cause you chat with the nice fellows in irc], and don't see that conflict manifesting in how this has all gone down over the last year... I really just can't help you, sorry.

'cause arguing on politics, governance, motivations, personalities and social science unquantifiables is riddled with subjective sloppiness ... so that is where the scoundrels and stirrers seek refuge when they run out of technical arguments that can win on merit.

yep, keep running that conflict of interest BS canard up the flagpole, that will definitely get bitcoin working better ... shall we have 8MByte worth of conflict of interest or do you think 20 MByte of conflict of interest  is better? ... hmm let me just a put a thumb up my arse and pull another BS innumerate non-argument out.
2864  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 04, 2016, 03:25:10 AM
admit it .. .the whole "blockstream core planners" spiel/spin is lame.

you just choked up your groupthink vomit all over the place trying to justify using such lame language.
2865  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 04, 2016, 02:53:22 AM
https://blockchain.info/charts/n-transactions-excluding-popular?timespan=all&showDataPoints=false&daysAverageString=7&show_header=true&scale=0&address=
the transaction growth rates are exponential, looking at longer term we are definitely going parabolic, how long does a 4MB can kick really buy?

The doubling from 50k to 100k took ~1yr, the doubling from 100k to 200k took ~6months, the next doubling to 400k transactions will take ~3months (2MByte saturation), the doubling after that will take say 2 months conservatively 800k transactions (4Mbyte saturation) buying a total of 6 months only.

A 4MByte increase in blockchain growth rate, bandwidth, etc to buy 6 months to look for real scaling capacity solutions, is it worth it??
2866  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 04, 2016, 02:19:12 AM
If SegWit is going to be shelved then we'd want a 4 MB hardfork ASAP, just imho.

Nah, if we just have to shelve segwit (which they won't, ever), 1.75MB oughtta cover it.

A can kick hard fork to buy time should be put at the maximum possible limit so we are not tediously going through all this derp molasses again next year.

I can agree with you there [feels weird], miners would soft limit below the hard limit anyway, like they did before we hit the 1MB ceiling. I'm for a fee market, just one determined by the producers, not the planners.

... you need to break your mind free of the Classic groupthink newspeak rhetoric, there are no "planners" just developers providing code that the nodes choose (or not) to run. Attempts at vilification through framing the debate and/or agenda via language (spin) is a sure sign that you are the subject of an attempt to manipulate your opinions and influence your previously independent thought processes.
2867  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 04, 2016, 01:03:28 AM
If SegWit is going to be shelved then we'd want a 4 MB hardfork ASAP, just imho.

Nah, if we just have to shelve segwit (which they won't, ever), 1.75MB oughtta cover it.

A can kick hard fork to buy time should be put at the maximum possible limit so we are not tediously going through all this derp molasses again next year.
2868  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 04, 2016, 12:17:15 AM
If SegWit is going to be shelved then we'd want a 4 MB hardfork ASAP, just imho.
2869  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 03, 2016, 09:27:36 PM
Looks like the anomalous transaction increase that prompted the timely March 1 chaos might have subsided. I predict that in keeping with the problem-crisis-solution spook playbook we will soon see a blog post or tweet or similar controversial statement from Gavin (big block solution now super-duper urgent) with his smiling face promptly upvoted to the top of the front page on r/Bitcoin ... a  silent "beautiful settlement network you got there, be a shame to lose it ..."

https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/

https://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/48srb6/onedollar_lulz_gavin_andresen/

... and just like clockwork there's gavin's smiling dial on the top of reddit with the "solution" to the manufactured "crisis"
2870  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 03, 2016, 12:08:36 PM
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1382884.0

small heads up for anyone thinking of shorting ... i'm getting a bit of 'bolt from the blue' scaling solutions vibe that has been building up recently, not just this paper but there has been some interesting novel approaches increasingly out of left field, only a naive pessimist would suggest upgrading bitcoin's capacity is an intractable problem, be careful what you wish for.
2871  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Using compact indexes instead of hashes as identifiers. on: March 03, 2016, 11:05:04 AM
Quote
What number of blocks is beyond the common sense reorg danger? I know theoretically very long reorgs are possible, but from what I have seen it is not so common for any big reorg. I think by setting a delay of N blocks before creating the most recent bundle, then the odds of having to regenerate that bundle would be very low. Since it takes about a minute to regenerate it, it isnt a giant disaster if it has to, but best to default things to almost never has to do it.

For reference, there is a protocol rule which prohibits generated BTC (coinbase tx) from being spent until it has 100 confirmations. Older Satoshi client had an additional safety margin: it won't let you spend generated BTC until it has 120 confirmations. Discussion surrounding locking coins for sidechains was in the 144-288 blocks depth range.
2872  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 03, 2016, 05:40:10 AM
Well I bought a metric fuckton of futures in the low $430's/high $420's Smiley

See yall in the morning.
We're bleeding but I think you did the right thing at this point. That was an interesting all-in point I must say but we going back up in a large part.

I had it in my head since a few days ago on a solid long + a solid short... going for a hat trick this week.

I wouldn't be overly shocked to see $450's in the near future.

Opened a few shorts and off to bed.

Might be a shit show if there is a dip going into Monday.

Should have a nice buy back in the low $430s. (OKCoin futures)

If I get pwned I get pwned, but someone is buying a shit ton of quarterly futures on OKCoin atm.  

$1,000,000 worth are in the process of getting swapped around @ $428.  $400,000 remaining.



you'll be sweet ... buying in on the classic big-block capitulation point looks like a winning trade to me.
2873  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 03, 2016, 05:38:01 AM


 Cry

2874  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 03, 2016, 04:23:06 AM
It's gonna take some pain to wake up these miners to the fact that they may be relying on their main competitor to plan their own future.

Some times learning is painful, hopefully they realize LN is competition for fees, and while it promises to deliver many more TX/s it has no ability to create demand, quite the opposite relay it appears to erode the ability for individuals to settle with hard money.

... and yet more cluelessness, it appears to be spreading, I wonder why that is?
2875  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: ETH price soaring. Are you going to move some BTC into ETH? on: March 03, 2016, 02:35:06 AM
Well, a large amount of evidence points to Nick Szabo being Satoshi Nakamoto, this is proven with computer text analysis as well as a large and mounting pile of curcumstantial evidence.

Satoshi is not Nick Szabo.  Do some research.

I have done extensive research.  I have read everything there is to read on the subject.

... not him.
2876  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 03, 2016, 01:14:43 AM
doom, lower, lower, lower ... the divide and conquer appears to be working.

and it could have been avoided so easily....

I don't think so ... Gavin is one stubborn SOB aussie
2877  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 03, 2016, 01:12:08 AM
doom, lower, lower, lower ... the divide and conquer appears to be working.
2878  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: If bitcoin ever goes mainstream on: March 03, 2016, 01:08:24 AM
http://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/mar/02/global-super-rich-luxury-goods-yachts-wealth-report-knight-frank

Quote
The number of ultra rich – people with $30m (£22m) or more in assets – fell 3% last year. There are now 187,500 with assets in excess of that benchmark, down from from 193,100 in 2014. This was the first decline since the financial crisis. Between them, they controlled $19.3tn in assets, down from $22tn the year before.

The number of dollar millionaires around the globe also fell from 13.6 million in 2014 to 13.3 million last year. Together, they hold assets worth $66tn – more than the value of all global shares added together.

The vast majority of the planet's wealth is concentrated in the hands of roughly 13 million people.

Wealth and monetary goods are not determined by the "mainstream".
2879  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 02, 2016, 12:39:17 AM

Stop using pseudo-metrics bereft of meaning, sat/byte pls.

good point.

Just for comparison, the reward/blocksize ratio in sat/Byte metric will be;

2500 sat/Byte for current 25 BTC/1MByte
1250 sat/Byte when SegWit delivers effective 2 MByte blocks
625 sat/Byte when reward halves and SegWit
312.5 sat/Byte when reward halves, SegWit and 2MByte hardfork delivers effective 4MByte TX space
156.25 sat/Byte when reward halves again to 6.25 and SW+HF.
2880  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 01, 2016, 11:01:43 PM
Looks like the anomalous transaction increase that prompted the timely March 1 chaos might have subsided. I predict that in keeping with the problem-crisis-solution spook playbook we will soon see a blog post or tweet or similar controversial statement from Gavin (big block solution now super-duper urgent) with his smiling face promptly upvoted to the top of the front page on r/Bitcoin ... a  silent "beautiful settlement network you got there, be a shame to lose it ..."
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