If you're going for a club winning to nil, it's also worth looking at the opposing side's team total under 0.5 goals. And if the line is almost the same as club win to nil, just go for the opposing side's team total under 0.5 goals. Norwich under 0.5's in most match ups were giving me decent results before Dean Smith took over. But yeah mostly City, Liverpool, Chelsea and Wolves are good to have the opposing side to score under .5 goals. And thanks for the tip on Ronaldo. I feel more comfy with the bet now...  You are correct. If I had backed Crystal Palace to score under 0.5 goals against Manchester City instead of Manchester City to win to nil, I would have won a decent amount of money because the game was goalless, and you are correct. Liverpool, Chelsea, Manchester City, and Wolves have very good defense lines and have been keeping clean sheets more often, so they are a good bet for opposing team under 0.5 goals. I'm still in for Ronaldo anytime goal scorer tonight. Edit: Ronaldo benched!!! Shit  Here's another one... Leeds team total could go under 0.5 vs the Wolves at 2.85. Not a bad price tag imho. Leeds hasn't scored a goal in 4 of their last 5 matches in the league, while the Wolves hasn't conceded in two matches out of three. And Leeds scored vs Norwich. Lol. The worse team in the EPL. Anyway, what does everyone think of the Everton vs Newcastle match? Newcastle draw no bet at 2.22 is tempting. Everton lost 5 matches out of their last 6. Newcastle has somewhat of a nice mometum going on rn with 4 wins, a draw and a loss in their last 6. The loss was vs Chelsea which is pretty much expected. |
|
|
|
Manchester City can easily win the UEFA champion's league, what has been against them so far is the lack of experience to compete in the finals stage. The truth is on paper, that team is formidable and having Pep Guardiola as the coach makes it more exciting. In my honest opinion, I think they are ready ; they should have learned from the previous champions league seasons. Remember, Chelsea was once like City in the UEFA champions league before they could crack the code. I would like to give Manchester City a chance to win the title.
On paper, sure. Man City prolly has the best team of players and play the best squad everytime they play in the CL. And Pep is a good manager. But really now, saying that City can win the UCL easily? No... If anything I think in a two leg match vs Bayern Munich or Liverpool, both Klopp and Nagelsmann could outfox Pep too, even if City has the best squad on paper. Here are the lines for the outrights. https://stake.com/sports/outright/soccer/international-clubs/uefa-champions-league/41983969-uefa-champions-league-21-22Just looking at that, you can't really discount any club winning the UCL except maybe Benfica and Villareal. |
|
|
|
|
^ Lewandowski's demand is obv a red flag imo. I think it just gave Bayern the sign it needed to start doubling their efforts in pursuing Erling Haaland so that they depend on Lewandowski less. But so far the lines for Haaland next club is the same. City is the favorite followed by Real Madrid, Barca then Bayern next lined at 16... I think there could be more than a chance Haaland could go to Bayern than the line indicates. IMHO. Bayern has the prestige, the history and one of the best young managers in Europe.
|
|
|
|
|
^ I'd totally love to see AJ McKee in the UFC. I think that guy has legit skills and could carry his own vs the top 15 guys at 145 like Dan Ige, Edson Barboza or Shane Burgos. And I could see him go toe to toe against some of the top 10 guys too like Giga Chikadze or Josh Emmet. I hope the match makers don't move him up too fast tho.
I wonder the lines would be with Nemkov vs Anderson... I'd go with Anderson if he's at least a 2.50 underdog. Anderson's chin is questionable tho. 4 of his 5 losses were via KO/TKO. A violence bet could be in play here.
|
|
|
|
Ronaldo played well against Tottenham, so, Manchester United was able to win. So many people expected Manchester United to win yesterday's match. But United was able to beat Tottenham only for Ronaldo. It is not always possible to win by relying on just one player. Tottenham were able to win against, so the United coach did not change his match strategy. Depends on Ronaldo. Ronaldo did not play well against Atletico Madrid so United lost. This is not surprising. There are a lot of problems inside the United team. This problem will not be resolved until the coach is fired.
I didn't watch the match but looking at the stats, I feel like this is the fault of bad tactics on the part of the manager. The line up says he played the no. 9 role but why did Ronaldo mostly played at the left flank? And it seems like he wasn't even drifitng to the middle... His heat map shows this and his stats says he had zero shots on and off target? And I was sooo confident my bet for Ronaldo anytime goal scorer at 2.85 would hit. Lolol.  Sucks cos I don't think it's his fault, just bad tactics as said. |
|
|
|
|
FJ username: tokeweed
I'm in!
|
|
|
|
Fun degen bet for Ronaldo anytime goal scorer at 2.85 vs Atletico Madrid. And I've just learned that Ronaldo has scored more than any player at the top 4 in La Liga right now. Igehhh gave me the info. I think he's one of the bunch guys who def knows what he's talking about when it comes to football and how to approach these matches from a betting perspective. I think the match could end in something like 0 - 0 tho. |
|
|
|
I'm only now noticing this. The Brighton team 0.5 goals was a hit @ 2.25, and the game ended 2-0 in favor of Liverpool; my single game for the day is Tottenham to win @2.30. What are your thoughts, gentlemen?
Something might have clicked in that United squad and having some action on Ronaldo anytime goal scorer vs Atletico Madrid could be good granting you could get it at plus money odds. I'm going to have him in my next Majestic 7 roster for sure. Edit: Ronaldo anytime goal scorer at 2.85 vs Atletico Madrid. Not bad imho. Lol I lost the ticket Manchester United perform beyond my expectations I was very confident in Tottenham before the game I never knew they are just as inconsistent as Manchester United, the hope of top 4 is gone Ronaldo to score at anytime @2 85 against Atletico is a value bet looking at his previous goals stats against Atletico I think he score more against Aletioco than any other top 4 side in Spain, I'm also looking at today's game between Manchester City- crystal palace. What about Manchester City to win to nil? @1.79 If you're going for a club winning to nil, it's also worth looking at the opposing side's team total under 0.5 goals. And if the line is almost the same as club win to nil, just go for the opposing side's team total under 0.5 goals. Norwich under 0.5's in most match ups were giving me decent results before Dean Smith took over. But yeah mostly City, Liverpool, Chelsea and Wolves are good to have the opposing side to score under .5 goals. And thanks for the tip on Ronaldo. I feel more comfy with the bet now... |
|
|
|
looking to bet it on the season opener. I think it's one of the Ferraris who wins the race. LecLerc at 6, Sainz at 9. Hmmm.. I think Carlos Sainz gets it. What do you guys think?
If I had to put a bet on right now, then I'd go with a Ferrari, yes, or maybe Max depending on what the odds are. But I'm not willing to bet at the moment, as I just don't think we'll have anything like a clear picture until after qualifying. This season is the start of a new era, and there are too many unknowns. I'd go Ferrari if I had to, but that's largely guessing. Decent odds for Max Verstappen actually. He's is at 3.00 the last time I looked with Hamilton around 3.45. And yeah that's the thing, we're all guessing here... Even the sports betting sites are guessing here. It's why I think some value could be had before qualifying. And the sportsbetting sites could also be slow in adjusting the lines for the next couple of races if either of the Ferraris win at Bahrain. |
|
|
|
^ Yup or Barca. I don't think he'll be agreeing on a move to Real Madrid if Mbappe does move to Real Madrid. It won't make any sense for him having some competition imho. Early lines show Man City as the huge favorite: https://www.oddschecker.com/football/football-specials/erling-haaland/club-after-summer-transfer-windowChelsea was second before the whole Russia sanction thing going on with Abramovich. Anyway how is Barca's finances guys? I'd say that Barca has a 50/50 chance against Man City to sign Haaland if they have the cash to splash. |
|
|
|
Yup. I have Topuria high in my parlays and there's a couple others.. I hope the sanction thingy won't spoil this whole event as there are 5 Russians in it.
For now, I am very solid with Ilia Topuria moment the other fights that I am currently looking at I am still getting some research and looking even further for any bet to happen, for now I can be sure in Ilia Topuria at the moment, his wellcounded with both stand-up and the ground, and fighting his opponent with smart decision inside the octagon, his recent match was against Ryan Hall, which he didn't showcase anything in my opinion, he doesn't show any of his cards, they will not spoil the any of the event I guess Dana White doesn't listen to anyone at all. The pick is def Topuria but know that he went into this match up on short notice and in a weight class above his usual one. And notice the height and reach advantage of Jai Herbert. It's an 8 inch reach advantage for Herbert. But I'm not too worried as Topuria will prolly take it to the ground and negate the reach advantage. Herbert's TD defense in the UFC is low. I think around 30%. https://www.tapology.com/fightcenter/bouts/636328-ufc-fight-night-jai-the-black-country-banger-herbert-vs-ilia-el-matador-topuriaI'll post my full card parlay in a couple of days once I figure it out. Some vids... UFC Free Fight: Aspinall vs Arlovskihttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sMFNvSKbeakUFC Free Fight: Volkov vs Overeemhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rIp9OBegqgY |
|
|
|
|
FJ username: tokeweed
I'm in!
|
|
|
|
Just broke even. I didn't watch the matches... How the fk did Norwich score a goal? Lol. But anyway, win the second one with Aston Villa so I shouldn't really complain.
Some schoolboy defending from Chalobah, he was caught pushing out the ball with his arm in the box, so a penalty was awarded and Pukki buried it at the far corner right, I knew we were going to muck up our clean sheets anyhow, I'm glad you made some money on the Aston Villa game. Excellent game. What I think looks good is Brighton team total under .5 goals at 2.25. Brighton is at the bottom three for goals scored for, while LFC is top three for the least goals conceded. Looking good imho.
What do you guys think?
I'm only now noticing this. The Brighton team 0.5 goals was a hit @ 2.25, and the game ended 2-0 in favor of Liverpool; my single game for the day is Tottenham to win @2.30. What are your thoughts, gentlemen? I would've said go for it before kick off tbh. But in hindsight a good note to self after the match would be to 'never ever bet against Man United at Old Trafford.'. Lol. Something might have clicked in that United squad and having some action on Ronaldo anytime goal scorer vs Atletico Madrid could be good granting you could get it at plus money odds. I'm going to have him in my next Majestic 7 roster for sure. Edit: Ronaldo anytime goal scorer at 2.85 vs Atletico Madrid. Not bad imho. |
|
|
|
Daniel Ricciardo is positive to COVID.
If he can't recover Oscar Piastri will be probably his substitute for the race, borrowed from ALPINE.
He is an elite driver.
I think it's unlikely that Ricciardo won't recover until the new season, though it would be interesting to see Piastri. It's a bit shity situation to get Covid and miss tests with completely new car, but still, it's probably better than getting Covid during the season and miss race because of it. Covid is mostly overrated although there are strains that really could knock you down more than the flu. I had a couple of friends and their families who had it. Symptoms were mostly mild but the couple of people who had it like a really bad flu and they couldn't get out of bed for a few days or so. But all in all nothing life threatening. Anyway, just claimed my free bet at Sportsbet and looking to bet it on the season opener. I think it's one of the Ferraris who wins the race. LecLerc at 6, Sainz at 9. Hmmm.. I think Carlos Sainz gets it. What do you guys think? |
|
|
|
|
1. Draw - 1:1
2. Middlesbrough - 0:1
3. Draw - 0:0
4. Bournemouth - 3:0
5. Fulham - 0:2
6. Draw 1:1
7. Cardiff - 2:1
8. Coventry - 1:0
9. Luton - 1:0
10. Draw - 1:1
11. Nottingham - 2:0
12. Swansea - 0:1
Sportsbet username: tokeweed
|
|
|
|
Waited for the early kick off match to start before sharing my Majestic 7 picks. This weekend I got Saka, Havertz, Mahrez, Jimenez, Raphinha, Kane and Coutinho. Leeezz gooo! Who you guys got? It's safe to share them now as nobody could copy each other's picks anymore. And... Why is it that everytime I play this, I really think that I'm gonna win 10k? Lol. @tokeweed you have selected well, but I have my doubts about Havertz and Raphinha scoring and don’t get me wrong they could definitely score, but looking at their stats I feel that they won’t be able to score. Lastly don’t we all feel that way each time we submit the picks, but let’s wait and find out if you have finally cracked the majestic 7 and won the big price. I had to play them. I mean I knew Leeds would have a good chance to win vs Norwich and Raphinha is the most prolific goal scorer in that squad if Bamford isn't playing. As for Havertz, I was somewhat confident he would start and had the best chance to score a goal for Chelsea. But even then I felt less confident for Havertz than say someone like Coutinho who had a good couple of matches before the West Ham one. Lol. But yeah, I had a couple of hits but the most were misses... On to the next. |
|
|
|
~
Edit: Another fighter to watch is Dan Hooker who moved down to 145 for this event.
So Dan Hooker moved down to 145 pounds and with his long reach and frame, he could really bully the division if he could cut the weight healthy and able to hydrate back and not compromise himself. The fight cards right now is hard to predict, Paddy Pimblett is talking well and making a lot of noise and if he could perform at the same level then it would be great and since you mentioned Dan Hooker moved down to 145 pound division, i might place a bet on him and finally Gunnar Nelson is back and i am not sure what kind of performance can be expected from him. Hooker was actually fighting at 145 around 5 - 6 years ago but had some tough weight cuts that forced him to move up at 155. And even then I think he had a couple of somewhat tough weight cuts at the higher weight class. And Arnold Allen is no slouch. He should be a tough match up for Hooker imho. I think I have more confidence in putting some action for Paul Craig as the underdog than betting on Hooker as a coin flip. There are questions for Hooker in moving back down. I'm pretty sure that flight from NZ to London wouldn't help either if he decides to fly somewhat late.
These are all pretty good match ups with most of them close to 50/50 on paper and some of them could even see the dogs winning imho. Match ups like Jack Shore vs Timur Valiev should be closer imho. So is Krylov vs Paul Craig... And I know the roster was made months prior to the date of the even but man it looks like there could be 5 matches either canceled or with those Russian fighters replaced on short notice. Sucks if so because this is a banger of a card. Fighter to watch is Topuria and of course Aspinall. Aspinall could challenge for the HW title in a year or so.
Edit: Another fighter to watch is Dan Hooker who moved down to 145 for this event.
It is, there are many good matches, and yes the Jack Shore VS Timur Valiev could be an interesting match to watch, but what I like in this event is the Short notice Ilia Topuria fighting Jai Herbert, in my opinion this is an easy win for Topuria, Gunner Nelson taking the short notice Takashi Sato, Arnold Allen VS Dan Hooker, and after this event the next event will be the UFC Fight Night: Blaydes VS Daukaus, unfortunately the Jan Blachowicz VS Aleksander Rakic and Michelle Waterson VS Amanda Ribas got canceled but I will surely put my eyes on some fights and that is the Neil Magny VS Max Griffin, Tucker Lutz VS Choi Seung Woo, then the UFC 273, these are the events I am most excited of, Yup. I have Topuria high in my parlays and there's a couple others.. I hope the sanction thingy won't spoil this whole event as there are 5 Russians in it. |
|
|
|
Now that the UFC Fight Night: Santos VS Ankalev has finally settled, I didn't make a bet or watch the event yet, because I was bored and busy, but another event has emerged and this is UFC Fight Night Volkov vs. AspinallMarch 19, 2022, The O2 Arena in London, England.  Main CardHeavyweight Alexander Volkov vs. Tom Aspinall Featherweight Arnold Allen vs. Dan Hooker Lightweight Paddy Pimblett vs. Rodrigo Vargas Heavyweight Shamil Abdurakhimov vs. Sergei Pavlovich Light Heavyweight Nikita Krylov vs. Paul Craig Welterweight Gunnar Nelson vs. Takashi Sato Preliminary CardLightweight Jai Herbert vs. Ilia Topuria Flyweight Muhammad Mokaev vs. Cody Durden Featherweight Mike Grundy vs. Makwan Amirkhani Women's Flyweight Molly McCann vs. Luana Carolina Bantamweight Jack Shore vs. Timur Valiev Women's Strawweight Cory McKenna vs. Elise Reed Bantamweight Nathaniel Wood vs. Vince Morales All Information was from WIKIThese are all pretty good match ups with most of them close to 50/50 on paper and some of them could even see the dogs winning imho. Match ups like Jack Shore vs Timur Valiev should be closer imho. So is Krylov vs Paul Craig... And I know the roster was made months prior to the date of the even but man it looks like there could be 5 matches either canceled or with those Russian fighters replaced on short notice. Sucks if so because this is a banger of a card. Fighter to watch is Topuria and of course Aspinall. Aspinall could challenge for the HW title in a year or so. Edit: Another fighter to watch is Dan Hooker who moved down to 145 for this event. |
|
|
|
Everybody made weight but it seemed like Damon Jackson looked a little woozy on the scale when he was flexing in front of the cameras. You know how it feels like when you haven't slept for three days or so and you feel a little dizzy and wobbly at times? He looked something like that. Here are the weigh in vids and face off. Perriera is yuuuge and Dober prolly has the biggest chin in the UFC. Lolol. UFC Vegas 50: Weigh Inhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XemaVT5a4pUUFC Vegas 50: Face Off https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nfNgVrm7wgYThiago Santos (205.5) vs Magomed Ankalaev (205) Marlon Moraes (135) vs Song Yadong (135.5) Alex Caceres (145) vs Sodiq Yusuff (145.5) Karl Roberson (203) vs Khalil Rountree (205) Drew Dober (155) vs Terrance McKinney (156) Alex Pereira (186) vs Bruno Silva (185.5) A.J. Fletcher (170) vs Matthew Semelsberger (169) JJ Aldrich (125.5) vs Gillian Robertson (125.5) Javid Basharat (136) vs Trevin Jones (135) Damon Jackson (145.5) vs Kamuela Kirk (145) Miranda Maverick (125.5) vs Sabina Mazo (125.5) Cody Brundage (185.5) vs Dalcha Lungiambula (186) Guido Cannetti (136) vs Kris Moutinho (135) Azamat Murzakanov (205.5) vs Tafon Nchukwi (205.5) |
|
|
|
|
Show Posts
