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3301  Other / Politics & Society / Re: 2020 Democrats on: April 01, 2020, 01:42:11 AM
It's funny how a lot of Democrats are feeling buyer's remorse with Biden now, and are longing for someone else. On PredictIt's "Who will be President?" right now, the odds are:
 - Trump 50%
 - Biden 40%
 - Cuomo 6%
 - Sanders 4%
 - Pence 3%

That 40% Biden number is pretty shocking, since he's the presumptive Democratic nominee. I wonder if the DNC will actually change the rules at this point in order to pick someone else. It's a wild idea, though they can do it.

How coronavirus will impact the general election is unpredictable. There seems to be a "rally around the flag" effect which is boosting Trump right now, but that won't last until November, and the media is slamming Trump's handling of the virus constantly. Trump has also lost the huge advantage that was the apparently-roaring economy. On the other hand, Biden has been performing terribly.

Trump will claim credit for the $1200 that most Americans will get, and he will claim credit for turning the economy around "even through wartime" if the economy does indeed start to recover by November. The government/Fed actions are pretty terrible long-term, but they may be enough to juice up the economy by November, possibly even to the point where a lot of people feel as if the whole quarantine thing was sort of like a government-sponsored, Trump-led paid vacation for a few months. Keep in mind that in the rust belt, $1200 goes a lot further than in eg. California: $1200/adult may be enough for 3 months' rent in many areas.

If a lot of people in swing states start knowing people who have died from the virus, or if the economy enters a death spiral from which it hasn't even really started to extricate itself by November, or if the holes that have been created in the supply chain start creating serious shortages, then Trump would be in trouble.

Keep in mind those numbers are from a market, not a sports book.  A lot of trades are based on what you think other people will predict rather than what you think will actually happen.

You forget that the market makers are called bookies. Bookies will make the market according to what they see, but mostly according to what they want everyone else to see.

Cool

https://www.predictit.org/support/what-is-predictit
3302  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Coronavirus Outbreak on: March 31, 2020, 09:29:35 PM
Going by past numbers, that means that 8 people died with nothing known wrong except coronavirus, and I'll bet that even that is high.  

99.1% of deaths are from people with pre existing conditions.



I don't see your point though.  What percentage of the world do you think has a pre existing health condition?  It's gotta be 35%+.  You can have a pre existing condition and still live a long comfortable life.  You're acting like they all are about to die anyway.
3303  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Coronavirus Outbreak on: March 31, 2020, 07:14:13 PM
so you think only 56 people DIED in the entire world on march 9th 2020


Actually, this is something that you simply blab without anything to back up why you blab it.

However, CV death numbers are only hearsay so far, mo matter how pretty the graphs and charts are.


The 'official' numbers presented by the fake-news mainstream media are all but known to be fraudulently generated by a number using crude propaganda methods which I and others have documented.  Wouldn't matter if franks-and-beans came up with a link or not.

Franks-and-beans isn't real into documentation and 'science' anyway.  His 'science' would make even Bill Nye blush.



What sources do you consider most reliable for corona-virus data?
3304  Other / Politics & Society / Re: 2020 Democrats on: March 31, 2020, 07:00:29 PM
It's funny how a lot of Democrats are feeling buyer's remorse with Biden now, and are longing for someone else. On PredictIt's "Who will be President?" right now, the odds are:
 - Trump 50%
 - Biden 40%
 - Cuomo 6%
 - Sanders 4%
 - Pence 3%

That 40% Biden number is pretty shocking, since he's the presumptive Democratic nominee. I wonder if the DNC will actually change the rules at this point in order to pick someone else. It's a wild idea, though they can do it.

How coronavirus will impact the general election is unpredictable. There seems to be a "rally around the flag" effect which is boosting Trump right now, but that won't last until November, and the media is slamming Trump's handling of the virus constantly. Trump has also lost the huge advantage that was the apparently-roaring economy. On the other hand, Biden has been performing terribly.

Trump will claim credit for the $1200 that most Americans will get, and he will claim credit for turning the economy around "even through wartime" if the economy does indeed start to recover by November. The government/Fed actions are pretty terrible long-term, but they may be enough to juice up the economy by November, possibly even to the point where a lot of people feel as if the whole quarantine thing was sort of like a government-sponsored, Trump-led paid vacation for a few months. Keep in mind that in the rust belt, $1200 goes a lot further than in eg. California: $1200/adult may be enough for 3 months' rent in many areas.

If a lot of people in swing states start knowing people who have died from the virus, or if the economy enters a death spiral from which it hasn't even really started to extricate itself by November, or if the holes that have been created in the supply chain start creating serious shortages, then Trump would be in trouble.

Keep in mind those numbers are from a market, not a sports book.  A lot of trades are based on what you think other people will predict rather than what you think will actually happen.
3305  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Coronvirus Easy Cure. on: March 31, 2020, 06:48:52 PM
Prevention is better than cure.
Some zinc rich food

Oysters
Lamb
Firm Tofu
Pumpkin Seeds and oil
Hemp Seeds
Grass-Fed Beef
Chickpeas (all legumes)
Lentils
Cocoa Powder
Cashews Nuts
(Shiitake) Mushrooms
Spinach
Avocado
Almonds
Brazil nut
Oatmeal

Zinc is needed daily same as Vitamin C
Magnesium and Vitamin D also importend but not on daily base


Also water is very important.
3306  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Coronvirus Easy Cure. on: March 31, 2020, 04:59:29 AM
Why do you need the cure when you could have prevented it in the first place.

Desire to live could be one reason.
3307  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Coronvirus Easy Cure. on: March 31, 2020, 02:51:02 AM
there he goes again trying to sell off his swimming pool bleach
i used to think badecker was on drugs. but now i think he swallowed too much bleach and it affected his mind

by the way.
bleach goes into the stomach.. not the lungs
corona goes in the lungs, not the stomach

you cant wash corona with bleach in your body

There's still a part of me that thinks there's a chance BADecker is just a character invented by someone involved in all those ads on fake news sites for books that will heal your chronic illness or  $59.99 $29.99 (Save $30, limited time offer!) bottles of ground up multi-vitamins that will make you live longer and fuck harder.
3308  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Coronavirus Outbreak on: March 30, 2020, 08:23:39 AM
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/south-korea/

South Korea is about the only developed country that has nailed the response to coronavirus and it's mind boggling considering they haven't shut down the entire country.



Pretty incredible what social distancing + mass testing will get you.

deaths till on an incline. there is a possibility that they just ran out of tests so just not recording as many new cases




Single digits.

They did something right.
3309  Other / Meta / Re: Bitcointalk blocked from Russia on: March 30, 2020, 07:32:35 AM
Is there any other country where bitcointalk.org is banned BTW ?
May be North Korea A country that shot dead its first Coronavirus carrier can do anything inhumane.

DPRK has the entire internet blocked. Literally.
3310  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Coronavirus Outbreak on: March 30, 2020, 06:13:45 AM
...

Do you really know that nobody has died from Covid-19?  How could you know that?

I don't 'know' almost anything, and I am naturally suspicious of people who claim they do.

I have run across a lot of tid-bits of information which seems credible and which are very well explained by the hypothesis that at this point in time there is a political will to make the 'pandemic' as scary as possible, and using shenanigans with reporting is one of the ones which is a very good match.

As an example, when Italy was reporting over 3,000 covid-19 deaths, only three of them were noted in people who had no other known medical condition.  Certain highly qualified medical professionals have pointed out the same thing.

I am not at all adverse to listen to the minority opinion in the medical profession.  It is in fact nearly universal that things which are accepted as medical fact now, such as the importance of sterilizing surgical equipment, were for many years vigorously and viciously rejected by the medical establishment.  This even in the presence of observable and amazing evidence of the 'outcast' doctor's success.



Something like 25% of Americans have a pre-existing health condition.

I don't why why it's such a red flag that pretty much everyone that's dying had some sort of health condition to begin with.
3311  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Coronavirus Outbreak on: March 30, 2020, 05:40:53 AM

Prior to the Wuhan release the CDC wouldn't allow a death to be attributed to coronavirus.  Now the CDC is instructing that every person who died with coronavirus in their system, no matter how they died, to be labeled a coronavirus death.  And at any given time a sizable percentage of humans will have some SARS-cov-2 in their system.

As with most things in our phony world, it's all about how to massage numbers on a graph or spreadsheet.  The very same event (like any other coronavirus infection which makes a pass every year) can be either something which nobody even knows or thinks about to the biggest pandemic in 100 years just by playing with some numbers and seeding some social media outlets at just the right time.

Note that the CDC will and has happily labeled a shotgun blast to the head to be a 'kratom death' because the deceased had kratom in his system if there is a political reason to do so.


If the world went through a real pandemic, what would be different from whats happening right now?

For one thing, some people would be dieing from the disease rather than people dieing from something else being labeled as dieing from the disease.

Do you really know that nobody has died from Covid-19?  How could you know that?
3312  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Coronavirus Outbreak on: March 30, 2020, 05:26:04 AM
If people think this is bad, wait until they hear about influenza

Since October 2019:

13,000,000 – 18,000,000
flu illnesses

5,900,000 – 8,500,000
flu medical visits

120,000 – 210,000
flu hospitalizations

6,600 – 17,000
flu deaths

corona - v has crushed this and you spoke far too soon.

Prior to the Wuhan release the CDC wouldn't allow a death to be attributed to coronavirus.  Now the CDC is instructing that every person who died with coronavirus in their system, no matter how they died, to be labeled a coronavirus death.  And at any given time a sizable percentage of humans will have some SARS-cov-2 in their system.

As with most things in our phony world, it's all about how to massage numbers on a graph or spreadsheet.  The very same event (like any other coronavirus infection which makes a pass every year) can be either something which nobody even knows or thinks about to the biggest pandemic in 100 years just by playing with some numbers and seeding some social media outlets at just the right time.

Note that the CDC will and has happily labeled a shotgun blast to the head to be a 'kratom death' because the deceased had kratom in his system if there is a political reason to do so.



If the world went through a real pandemic, what would be different from whats happening right now?

Or do you think all the other pandemics throughout history were phony also?
3313  Economy / Gambling / Re: CryptoSlots Now Featuring slot machine with Putin, Trump and the Queen! :-) on: March 30, 2020, 02:06:11 AM
Thank you for your question. We pre-generate 9 winnings states and we guarantee that AT LEAST one is a winning one.

You can check all the 9 pre-generated results at the end of the spin (in the Last Game tab).

Robert
CryptoSlots Team

Do you post the RTP for your slots?  
The only thing that system is proving is that there's at least a 1 in 9 chance that each spin will not result be a loss.  Does that mean it's fair?  Not really.  You aren't proving that there's no manipulation going on.  You're only proving that your RTP is at least 11.12% Most slots return at least 95% to players though, and I imagine yours do also.  So, why are you proving that it's at least 11.12%?


I've also just checked your provably fair system for video poker, it's not provably fair. : https://www.cryptoslots.com/en/provably-fair/video-poker

If you get to put the cards in any order you like, allowing the player to 'cut' them doesn't accomplish much at all.
The most cards you will ever get through is 10 cards So, for example, if you don't want the player to get a royal flush, all you have to do is make sure that there aren't any 5 royal flush cards of the same suit within any 10 card span of the deck and boom, the game isn't fair and the player would never know.
3314  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Wha if corona virus is design to reduce human populations on: March 29, 2020, 09:09:40 PM
Covid-19 is basically the common cold.

The common cold is actually caused by a corona virus and most people get it 2-3 times a year.

If it had a 1% mortality rating like Covid19, and everyone got it twice a year, over 150 million people would die each year.

For reference, there are about 140 million children born each year.
3315  Other / Politics & Society / Re: [BET] Trump or not Trump 2020, eddie13 vs suchmoon on: March 29, 2020, 08:36:44 PM
First time Trump hasn't been a favorite on predictit:



https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/3698/Who-will-win-the-2020-US-presidential-election

Even before all the money against Trump was consolidated into one candidate Trump was selling for more than 50 cents.




Predictit is swinging a lot.



Found a pretty good site for electoral math: https://www.270towin.com/

Here's what Consensus 2020 has right now:


Been looking through various state by state polls and I think it's very likely Florida, NC go to Trump.  He's also a small favorite in AZ.
PA and MI seem very likely to go Blue.  I'm surprised PA is a toss up.

Here's my current prediction:


Whoever wins WI will win the election.
3316  Other / Meta / Re: for fix it on: March 29, 2020, 08:09:50 PM
Please look for the open threads on the same topic before posting: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5235401.0

Else we will have numeral threads discussing why there are numeral threads on Corona.

Corona is such a big deal that soon there will be multiple threads complaining about multiple threads about Corona.
3317  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: Warning: fake Microsoft channel on YouTube (with 568k subscribers) on: March 29, 2020, 07:31:15 PM
Pretty mindblowing youtube is just letting these obvious scams stick around for so long.  I guess the scammers figured out a way around the secret algorithm and it just takes forever for an actual human to go over a report.
3318  Other / Meta / Re: game-protect, is he permanently banned? on: March 29, 2020, 07:20:25 PM
    just don't bother...
    Actually its kinda pain in the eyes. Though I have Other feedbacks on my account that are also nonsense... So I really wished I/we can get rid of it.  
    Just apply a friendly splash of cognitive dissonance sauce!

    • I have red trust from game-protect
    • I don't like red trust on my page I like having red trust on my page

    And join me in the martyr-like nature of collecting negative feedback. Consider it a badge of honor for all the bullshit you deal with (:
    I'm going to actually say that game-protect won't make an astounding return. Anything that comes out of them on the forum will be in the form of dribbles - posts that most of us will never see - gp is most likely going to move on to another, more susceptible forum. Sunken cost fallacy subjected them to continue the facade here, but now that the bridge is fully burned... well, there's no reason to continue the illusion of control.

    After he got banned on twoplustwo he made a new account and just went around recommending people check out his site.[/list]

    edit: wtf it keeps adding
    Code:
    [/list]
    to end of my post
    3319  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: Warning: fake Microsoft channel on YouTube (with 568k subscribers) on: March 29, 2020, 12:16:16 AM
    I reported it, and when I clicked 'report' after filling everything out, the modal just froze.  I don't think it's submitting.

    3320  Other / Politics & Society / Re: Coronavirus Outbreak on: March 29, 2020, 12:04:25 AM
    I can't stand to keep up with reading on this virus shit every day anymore..
    I have been drifting off to fantasy land (watched all the lord of the rings) and just self quarantining as much as I can in peace and comfort..

    Watch Tiger King on Netflix.  Incredible.
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