Bitcoin Forum
August 28, 2024, 06:50:38 PM *
News: All versions of Windows are affected by a critical security bug; make sure you update.
 
  Home Help Search Login Register More  
  Show Posts
Pages: « 1 ... 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 [179] 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191 192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 ... 260 »
3561  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 21, 2013, 02:01:34 PM
Thanks for clarifying things Rampion. I've been following the market depth at GOX daily for a month or so now. It has been looking a lot better lately. Though the depth is really an easily manipulated thing and even when it's not I wonder how valuable it is, consistently speaking (as orders are always pulled).

I'm wondering how much business is actually leaving Gox. Any ideas how much the Dwolla thing is really affecting them? I know Dwolla itself was probably not a huge funding source for them (more for small cats), but I think it scared people off Gox anyway, and rightfully so.

Anyone have any ideas on Gox here? I also wonder how much money is moving to Bitstamp. Any ways of seeing this via an order book / market depth comparison between the two?

A lot of coins disappeared from Gox - it looks that almost BTC50k coins vanished from Gox order book just after the Dwolla situation, and obviously that figure does not count all the coins that were sitting on Gox without being on the order book. Anyhow, taking into account that the total amount of coins in the order book went from aprox. BTC170k to aprox. BTC120k, we can estimate that aprox. 30% of the total amount of coins sitting on Gox left that exchange after the Dwolla situation.

This huge amount of coins did not go to Bitstamp - only BTC18k are sitting at Bitstamp's order book, so we can safely assume that the gran majority of the individuals that withdrew their coins from Gox just sent them to a local wallet.

On the contrary, the bid sum increased just after the Dwolla situation (as expected - fearing people converting their fiat to BTC to withdraw it fast), but then it stabilized quite nicely to aprox. $21M, which is still more than x20 times the amount of fiat at Bitstamp order book, and is still a figure very close to ATH ($23M).

In my opinion we are living a "wait and see" situation. The fearful already withdrew their coins from MtGox immediately after the Dwolla thing, and the ones which still have some of their coins and their fiat there (I personally do) are not very worried.

Honestly, I do not see Bitstamp taking away a lot of business from MtGox soon - you have to take into account that verification to deal with significant money is a lengthy process, and Bitstamp does not even allow EUR trades. Then, Gox has a long history and is very trusted - they had customers who dealt with million $ and they never run away with their money, which is a big plus for big-money traders. I really doubt big time investors will run from Gox unless some real, trusted alternative is launched - perhaps an exchange run by some big Wall Street player.

I guess the best thing that could happen to Bitcoin is a very big financial player buying MtGox to run their operations in a 100% legal and professional way, while improving every aspect of their trading engine.

3562  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 21, 2013, 01:42:06 PM
Crazy selling pressure at Bitstamp
It may look bad but $1.1mil takes out the entire red line. Not exactly "crazy"

Very crazy if you consider that a $950k dump (or BTC12.5k, which is nothing) would take us to almost single digits at Bitstamp. How about that?

If you did not get it, the graph means that ATM the total amount of fiat in Bitstamp's order book is not enough to bring the price over $125. On the contrary, the total amount of coins on Bitstamp's order book could bring the price to almost 0.

Obviously money and BTC can enter or vanish from the order book in the blink of an eye, but still one fact remains: the selling pressure is huge compared to the bid side at Bitstamp.


3563  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 21, 2013, 01:04:53 PM
Crazy selling pressure at Bitstamp



Doesn't that mean that the asks (left side) would require light volume to go up and the sells would require heavier volume to move the price due to the steepness of the slope???

It's the opposite. The bids are on the left side, and you would need a heavy volume to take the price up, while you would need a very light volume to push the price down significantly.

Anyhow, it seems that asks are stable, nobody is dumping, everybody is patiently waiting for their asks to be filled.
3564  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Who all has received Jalapenos? on: May 21, 2013, 01:00:03 PM
So, how many Jalapeņos has been delivered so far? 6? 10? 20?

They started "shipping" weeks ago, any idea of how many units are they "shipping" per day?
3565  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 21, 2013, 12:44:45 PM
Crazy selling pressure at Bitstamp

3566  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 21, 2013, 12:43:12 PM
Volume is getting lower and lower at Gox.

We may soon have to troll on the "Wall Observer - Bitstamp wall movement tracker - Hardcore" thread?

After the painfully verification/trust process at Gox, it would be major PITA to go through the same process with another exchange - but anyhow we really need to get rid of MtGox's dangerous centralization.

I just hope that better infrastructure arrives ASAP, I'm still not loving Bitstamp too much, and liquidity is still too low (but it is improving).



It looks to me like the price gap between Gox & Bitstamp is closing. Gox is happily soaking up all the "returning asks". Once we are close to parity, the spring will be ready to uncoil...

For bulls only (bears stop reading NOW)

((Stop reading you naughty bear..))


 Grin

I don't see any reason to suggest we're going down.  BitStamp coins are refusing to sell at the lower prices and are just holding.  It's a clear standoff.  It's going up when we breakthough. 

OMG...did I just say....it's going up?   Huh


Who's this guy and what have you done with coinseeker!

(p.s. based on the inaccuracy of your recent predictions I'm taking this as a a bearish signal!)

It is a bearish signal for sure: SELL SELL SELL!!
3567  Other / Off-topic / Re: The Story Game on: May 21, 2013, 12:41:54 PM
<Sticky: One word per post!>

Once upon a time, there was a Jesus. She walked out unadorned. Then, as bagpipes blared and didgeridoos fell, the star exploded.

Enter the vassals, creating comically obscene gestures with cryptocurrencies. Jesus cried!

Andy B. Casagrande immortalized the scene with photography. Space robots had been shoving corn vicariously into other crevices, hoping that Pneumonoultramicroscopicsilicovolcanoconiosis... perhaps silicosis, or QueerOsis, or trees could accomplish impossible synchronizations.

Fifteen wishes weren't exceptionally productive. She touched herself vigorously with tremendous pillows; creaming out butter flavored LiteCoins. Ironically, Bitcoins never lowered the dust limit so that Luke-Jr would be anally probed by martians invading us to steal our fish for little did we know, Fish is the solution to all our global problems! Seamen relentlessly fapped out the next generation of ASICS which actually works without any electricity at all. Powered by shipwrecks, signals meant that mermaids knew cryptographic encryption algorithms' weaknesses in theory but, in reality, Rpietila gave all.

Thursday passed without BFL taking the biggest shit, which when combined with their largest fanboy, Atlas, every miner stabbed Satoshi irregardless. Meanwhile, trolls eating crow poop, crow testicles, and God's vagina laughed.

Artichokes roasted sweetly over flaming gays, joyfully prepared numerously spiced blockchains sacrificing virgins disregarding matter. Therefore Jesus announced peasantry raping holidays. Upon reflection, Jesus quixotically decided retroactively somewhere in Reptilia's bosom to fuck an ant hill and myrkul touched himself feverishly ravishing all pillows! Lophie touched electrically his "contacts", pondering why her earlobes looked so tasty dipped in mustard sauce from Meze's toilet. Meanwhile, under scrutiny from DHS, MTGox got DDOS'ed by CIA bots, Chinese pygmies licked thousands, drooling custard from cracks forgone.

Alas, we combusted gloriously into eternity with malevolent douchenozzles. Faunlets screamed condescendingly into their rapists' buttholes. Nymphet's carefully propositioned orgies began fondling Eminem's mobile phone until climax commenced. Jailbaits serendipitously surrounded Clinton's ASICS with their pussy cats. "STOP!" The sign clearly said across a dark alley. Cheese fell curiously from long faces, inedible, moldy, green, and cheesy testicles blossomed into uncanny tsundoku associations. Yanderes' throbbing cunts glistened against Ripple
3568  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 21, 2013, 12:39:18 PM
Volume is getting lower and lower at Gox.

We may soon have to troll on the "Wall Observer - Bitstamp wall movement tracker - Hardcore" thread?

After the painfully verification/trust process at Gox, it would be major PITA to go through the same process with another exchange - but anyhow we really need to get rid of MtGox's dangerous centralization.

I just hope that better infrastructure arrives ASAP, I'm still not loving Bitstamp too much, and liquidity is still too low (but it is improving).



It looks to me like the price gap between Gox & Bitstamp is closing. Gox is happily soaking up all the "returning asks". Once we are close to parity, the spring will be ready to uncoil...

For bulls only (bears stop reading NOW)

((Stop reading you naughty bear..))


 Grin

I don't see any reason to suggest we're going down.  BitStamp coins are refusing to sell at the lower prices and are just holding.  It's a clear standoff.  It's going up when we breakthough.  

OMG...did I just say....it's going up?   Huh

3569  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 21, 2013, 11:11:25 AM
Gotta love stability

3570  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 21, 2013, 11:11:01 AM
The boost in price after Cyprus was just driven by a few individuals holding fiat in BTX exchanges, who considered this was "positive" news for BTC, and started buying more BTCs driving the price up.

It certainly wasn't driven by anyone in Cyprus as the bank accounts were all frozen. We can be 100% sure of that.

Yeah, that's for sure, not only because the bank accounts were frozen, but also because you just do not quickly throw significant money to BTC if you never bought BTC before - you just don't have the means to do it.
3571  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 21, 2013, 10:56:29 AM


Makes you wonder what it's gonna take to get the price moving up. If this, Webmoney, paypal founder's investment, and gyft among other good news didn't do much, what do we need?

Really, it seems at this point we are waiting for an Amazon/Paypal or the like to jump on. The China news and Russian Pay pal will probably affect the volume some.

A sure fire thing, which is inevitable imo, is another Cypress like event happening. When that happens we probably don't look back...

There was no Cypress event.

People in Cypress with over 100k in their banks are having their money stolen at a rate of around 80% - 90% (not clear yet). Further they took 400 million of their gold (an artificially reduced rate due to the naked short selling). In addition the people of Cypress are STILL not allowed to withdraw more than 300 Euros a day. Hey mom, can I have some more money? LOL

Cypress was merely the canary in the cage falling over. Now, are the miners listening or watching CNN and seeing that the economy is all well?

I agree with most of your posts in here, but not regarding the Cyprus situation - I'm sure that the Cyprus (not Cyprees, BTW) impact on the BTC price was just speculative mania. I can guarantee you that a negligible amount of Cyprus citizens were able to throw money to BTC. You know, BTC is a lengthy process: first you need to understand, and then you start to use a little money to buy BTC. It's not an easy process, as there are both intellectual and technical barriers.

The boost in price after Cyprus was just driven by a few individuals holding fiat in BTX exchanges, who considered this was "positive" news for BTC, and started buying more BTCs driving the price up.
3572  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: BFL is shipping on: May 21, 2013, 10:06:32 AM
So... BFL started "shipping" weeks ago... How is that we are not flooded by ecstatic posts of Jalapeņo users receiving their machines?

Any word about how many units are their "shipping" per day?
3573  Other / Off-topic / Re: WARNING: FORUM IS LOGGING IP FOR CONFISCATION, THEYMOS UNDER PLEA BARGAIN on: May 21, 2013, 09:59:29 AM
Oh no! This user account was hacked - the original user has no control now (just read by looking up his posts). Mod alert ?
Yeah my account has being hacked..

Not sure what I can do about it

Change the motherf***ing password
3574  Other / Off-topic / Re: WARNING: FORUM IS LOGGING IP FOR CONFISCATION, THEYMOS UNDER PLEA BARGAIN on: May 21, 2013, 09:37:15 AM
What a coincidence that this moron is posting his FUD also in all Ripple thread.

Trying to pump the Ripple prices?

You are so blatantly failing that you do not even need to be banned.
3575  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: 1+ free Ripple BTC giveaway - just post address! (Over 455 BTC gaveaway) on: May 21, 2013, 09:22:54 AM
Shibaji, I have to differ: this thread is very much needed as it exposes blatantly a huge flaw in debt-based systems, including Ripple.

Or Ripple system changes radically, or this is what we are going to get over and over as soon as Ripple opens to the "great public".

Just check this thread: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=145896.0

"Hero" members of these forums granting trust to each other, like there's no tomorrow. There is a too big incentive in creating money out of thin air, as bankers actually do.

As it is, Ripple is scammer paradise, and in some way "democratizes" the very characteristics of the financial system that Bitcoin was designed to address.
3576  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 21, 2013, 09:16:25 AM
Volume is getting lower and lower at Gox.

We may soon have to troll on the "Wall Observer - Bitstamp wall movement tracker - Hardcore" thread?

After the painfully verification/trust process at Gox, it would be major PITA to go through the same process with another exchange - but anyhow we really need to get rid of MtGox's dangerous centralization.

I just hope that better infrastructure arrives ASAP, I'm still not loving Bitstamp too much, and liquidity is still too low (but it is improving).

3577  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: May 21, 2013, 08:59:29 AM
Let that spring coil just a little longer. Note how amazing a buying opportunity we have now with this shower of continuous good/great news and minimal price reaction. This time you don't even need to try to catch a falling knife. Easy, low-risk gains for the non-clueless.

I think it's just going to take one big buy to push people off the edge... I smell a panic buy coming on...

$70k would take us to $123 and wake up the bulls a bit, but we really need to see $125 fall if we want things to get exciting.

$90k to $123 ATM
3578  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: The True Explanation of Ripple for Bitcoiners on: May 21, 2013, 08:32:38 AM
Frozenlock: you got a point there Smiley

I guess that I'm oscillating between two approaches:

A) Ripple is the reproduction of a flawed, debt based system, willing to parasitize Bitcoin to ultimately compete with it through a pre-mined crypto controlled by a handful of individuals

B) Ripple is really everything stated in a),  but their crypto has no real potential to compete with Bitcoin

I have to also admit that this heavy promotion among bitcoiners kinda irritates me.  I'm testing Ripple intensively, and as you all know you do not hold BTC in Ripple, you hold BTC IOUs. This kinda defeat the whole purpose of using BTC's. What would Satoshi think about people trading BTC IOUs? Heck, you can also create more BTC IOUs inside Ripple than the total amount of Real BTC existing.
3579  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: The True Explanation of Ripple for Bitcoiners on: May 21, 2013, 07:41:34 AM
I believe we are overreacting to Ripple.

I will ask you a question: when you first heard about Bitcoin, why did you fall in love with it?

Maybe because is decentralized. Or because the inflation is built into the system to pay miners, who secure the network. Or because you do not need to trust any third party.

We all know Ripple has nothing in common with Bitcoin, except that it uses cryptography too. Ripple is a debt based system, you hold and trade IOU's, and in fact Ripple takes to a distributed level all the flaws of the banking and financial system that we bitcoiners dislike.

I would say this is not a Ripple fault - it deals with fiat currencies, and the flaws of a trust and debt based system are inherent to fiat currencies.

Then, Ripple has his own crypto, but it's 100% premined and controlled by a private company. I think everybody interested in cryptos will agree that this fact is a huge drawback, and quite the opposite of the cryptocurrency philosophy founded by Bitcoin. I myself would be very worried about transferring significant value to a currency with XRP's characteristics, as a single player has too much power from the very beginning. We could say that is the "get rich tool" of a handful of individuals who control the immense majority of it, this is its purpose, and everybody can see it.

Last but not least, I have security concerns with Ripple. I still do not get what is the incentive of validators to run the nodes. Mining in bitcoin has a very clear purpose and a very clear reward everybody understands almost immediately - and everybody would have the motivation to mine under the correct circumstances. But what about validation nodes in Ripple? Their security model is still unclear to me - maybe mrbigggg can shed some light?

Making a long story short: I can understand the accusation of Ripple wanting to "profit" from Bitcoins appeal, but I do not think they will be able to harm it. At least I hope XRP's won't be able to harm Bitcoin, because as a crypto currency Bitcoin is superior in so many ways and everybody can see it.
3580  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Ripple explained for Bitcoiners! on: May 20, 2013, 11:25:27 PM
Quote
Having lots of random validators doesn't help Ripple. Having reputable validators (where reputation is defined as "not colluding with a significant fraction of other validators) does.


Who decides who is a reputable validator and who is not?
Pages: « 1 ... 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 [179] 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191 192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 ... 260 »
Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!