Nothing is too much in these pools, and I do see a trend of leaders getting points to stay in place for a while, might even see if I would follow your picks for a bit after a couple more races.

And definitely no such thing as too many pools haha. I think if you put in picks way ahead for some of them (football anyway) it becomes more manageable

Hey @rdbase. August is here and that means 2 more months till the end of September, which is the deadline for your original take on the much-vaunted possible match between Izzy and Pereira.

That's plenty of time left and I know I've paid up in advance (just as a show of confidence haha).

What do you say to a doubling down with proper terms? But let's swing it around since the fight is actually already confirmed, it's practically a given, how bout some easy money for you?

15/1 odds with a 10mbtc stake is my offer.

Izzy-Pereira to fight for the title by 30 September: I pay 150mbtc.

Izzy-Pereira do NOT fight for the title by 30 September: you pay 10 mbtc.

Yeah, looking at it as a buy signal in 2018 might not have worked the treat it could in 2020, but still, it would have provided a good bargain price (though not for the serious leveraged buyers I suppose).

I'm still not sure this time around it works the same, but I'd be really happy to be proven wrong -- I still think the macros are a lot more serious now, and with plenty of pitfalls left to come.

Hey darxiaomi very good to see you in here too! In fact, just to mention that for anyone who wants to play but can only pay later, I'll also back Trofo's offer and do the same (pay for you in advance as long as you pay during the campaign). In ALL the football pools except Fantasy (sorry, I wish I could but I might forget about that!).

Can you guys believe I'm likely to miss watching the first 2 games at least? 

Unless I find some dude with something for me to watch ha!

Very pleased to hear, it's the first proper edition of the pool, but arguably the most prestigious tournament of all, and I'm really hoping to see 40 people so we get a good, rip-roaring Champions League! See you all there, I might even consider joining all of the pools next year if I get the time (am in all the Sportsbet one for sure)!

No need to get pants and skirts all tied up and wrung out. Cup games, memecups and so on, you know it doesn't say anything about season performance.

Any of you fancy a French team other than PSG get the Champions League? A new pool with 0.3 BTC is up and running. Less talk more bet eh?

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5408229

^Good to see some familiar faces popping up, and yes, well aware there are already so many pools... Myself am already almost questioning myself on why joining so many haha...

But, this is Champions League! It doesn't get any bigger than this -D

Thanks also for a couple of ppl PMing about participation. Plenty of time left to pay so no worries about it.

Would love to see 40 players here too, get this thing going!

Interesting thread, only as haven't really seen anything quite like this before. At least not with a sort of price barometer in parallel.

Have to say though that last cycle didn't see miner capitulation that would have given much of indication about impending lows though did it? 2020 comes to mind.

Still not sure I understand economics enough to use the full label of inflation hedge.

Agree Bitcoin has deflationary pressures built it or baked in as people say these days. Agree that over medium and long term, it is inflation resistant.

But in my mind a hedge is something that is anti rather than resistant. So I dont necessarily see Bitcoin as a hedge, though perhaps it is semantics I don't get.

Nice going casper! Make it 3 in a row next one maybe eh?

Back to my sub-10 point racing week, but have to admit, my fault for going with even less than gut on that one, you get what you get, deserve it too

Not sure last time I saw over half the table overlapped!

Also, the Brits did do as well as they showed in practice, even better in fact.

Hey guys, this took longer than it should, but it's finally up and confirmed. The thread is here: Betnomi.com ⚽️ Champions League Pool ⚽️ Discussion (Prize Fund 0.3 BTC)

Entry fee: 2.5mbtc
Sponsorship money: 300 mbtc
GTD: Yes
G.PRizes: Top 10
Add-ons: Yes
App: SuperBru
Region: UEFA members

I'm really pleased that UCL finally gets the love it deserves, I hope to see every single one of you there, maybe you too, famososMuertos?

➥ I act as Escrow on this Ethereum address: 0x62992aA9D142a2c01CA4e0B6ff5C0306e8Adfe4d
Signed message verifiable here: https://etherscan.io/verifySig/24638

Please enter your picks for both events. Both event deadlines are kickoff, 19:00 UTC (forum time) on 30 April 2024. Late match submissions won't be counted. Remember to fill in bitcointalk usernames exactly as it is =) For Pot B, Leaderboards will be updated a day or two after final match in the matchday (usually within minutes if I'm online).

⚽Welcome to the UEFA Champions League Football Predictor Pool - 2023/24! The biggest club football tournament on the planet now knows all participants and the competition proper kicks off with Group Stage Match Day 1 starting 19 Sep 2023, with the final at Wembley on 4 June 2024.


Since 2018, we've had a Bitcointalk predictor pool. The concept is simple: participants pay a fee that goes into a pot. Players predict results, winning points to climb the leaderboard. Winners then share the entire pot among themselves + sponsorship prizes.

Alongside the classic score prediction event on Superbru, this 2023/24 season introduces an odds-based prediction event.

• How to Join?

➥ The entry fee is 0.002 BTC or approx. $50 (September 6th estimate). Payment should be sent to: bc1q3rrxzuknzfvlclprprjshqruvjhp5tettcthea. This is an escrow held by buwaytress.
➥ Participants will be required to create a Superbru account. This is for the score prediction event.
➥ Participants will also need to create a Google account. This is for the odds-based predictions event using Google forms.
➥ After you pay the participation fee to the BTC address above, I will send you an invitation to the Superbru pool(Send me a PM with tx ID and Superbru + Forum username).

• How to Play?

Scores-based prediction event
Score predictions will be made using the Superbru sports prediction website. Why Superbru? It's been around since 2006, has one of the most reliable servers able to handle huge loads, and accepts players from any country. They use a simple leaderboard system awarding points for correct predictions on each game.

The more accurate the predictions, the more points. 3 points for exact scores | 1.5 points for close scores | 1 point for correct outcome | additional 1,2 and 3 points for reaching 5,8, and 10 correct outcomes in a MatchDay. New player? Read about Superbru scoring system here.

Leaderboards are automatically compiled by Superbru. Tiebreakers are automatically calculated -- players higher on the leaderboard are ranked higher.

Odds-based prediction event
1x2 predictions [regular time only] will be made using a Google form each Matchday. Enter precise bitcointalk usernames and check your choices before submitting! This post will always be updated with the current links.

1. Each Matchday, all participants will be assigned 10 points. Think of this as your bankroll to bet on football. They "stake" these points on Moneyline outcomes on any of the matches in that Matchday. Only one ML outcome per match allowed.
2. You can stake 1-10 points per match, or spread the points over many matches, but total staked points cannot exceed 10. Unused points don't carry over, each Matchday starts anew with 10 points per participant.
3. Leaderboard Points are earned on winning outcomes, according to the odds of those outcomes. Wrong outcomes earn 0 points. Tiebreakers are won by the player with the largest points accumulated in a single match. Failing that, earlier submission of that match wins.

Matchdays 1-6 are Group Stage legs (home + away). 16 games each.
Matchday 7 and 8 are the Last 16 legs. 8 games each.
Matchday 9 will be the QF. 8 games.
Matchday 10 will be SF legs + Final. 5 games.

• What are the Prizes?

The total prize sponsorship is $10,000 in stablecoin. This is allocated to two events, each with 10 winners:
a. Prize Pot A: Classic score-based prediction on Superbru - $7,000 + 50% player fees
b. Prize Pot B: Odds-based prediction on Google forms - $3,000 + 50% player fees

Prize Pot A**:

🥇 1st place - $2100 (30% of prize pot A) + 15% fees*
🥈 2nd place - $1400 (20% of prize pot A) +10% fees
🥉 3rd place - $980 (14% of prize pot A) + 7% fees
🏅 4th place - $700 (10% of prize pot A) + 5% fees
🏅 5th place - $420 (6% of prize pot A) + 3% fees
🎖️ 6th-10th place - $280 (4% of prize pot A) + 2% fees

Prize Pot B**:

🥇 1st place - $900 (30% of prize pot B) + 15% fees*
🥈 2nd place - $600 (20% of prize pot B) +10% fees
🥉 3rd place - $420 (14% of prize pot B) + 7% fees
🏅 4th place - $300 (10% of prize pot B) + 5% fees
🏅 5th place - $180 (6% of prize pot B) + 3% fees
🎖️ 6th-10th place - $120 (4% of prize pot B) + 2% fees


*Tx costs, including possible consolidation, will be borne by first-prize winner's portion of player fees.
** Sponsorship fund is in stablecoin. It will be held in escrow by buwaytress and exchanged for Bitcoin at the end of the season prior to disbursement. Final USD value should be expected to be slightly lower after this exchange, details of which will be shared here.

Additionally, Rollbit will pay out $100 in freebets to the top 3 Superbru (scores-based event) players of each Matchday. This happens regardless of how many Yellow Caps (highest scorer of the round) there are, simply the Top 3 players according to Superbru rankings each round.

$1,000 Freebet distribution per Matchday:
🥇 1st place - $60
🥈 2nd place - $20
🥉 3rd place - $20

Finally, all paid Bitcointalk participants of this pool will gain exclusive access to Rollbit's UCL sportsbook specials — details/links to be shared. Players must sign up to Rollbit and submit their username to receive these freebets and take advantage of Rollbit promos.

Paid participants:


Please enter your picks for both events. Both event deadlines are kickoff, 19:00 UTC (forum time) on 30 April 2024. Late match submissions won't be counted. Remember to fill in bitcointalk usernames exactly as it is =)
====

• Season 2022/23 Results:

Manchester City defeated Inter Milan on 10 June 2023 for the title. Prizes (0.3875 BTC) were disbursed on 13 June 2023. Details here.

• Season 2023/24 Results:

Real Madrid defeated BVB on 1 June 2024 for the title. Prizes (0.25054321 BTC) were disbursed on 4 June 2024. Details here.

I will regret this, but I've just joined this pool. I mean, why not, dumb luck has won me stuff before, maybe here too? Have a seriously hectic next few weeks so forgive me if I don't get my early picks in =D

GL all, I know only 2 guys I'm having in my team, the rest I'm going to try and be real smart about.

Hey, hey, we probably deserved it, didn't we? Adrian really is not our 3rd choice keeper for nothing, but glad we completed the final piece of the puzzle with this meme trophy heh.

Let's do another silly trophy on Nantes, cause why not? PSG aren't invincible...

100 units at Fairlay on Nantes to WIN vs PSG @8.65. Other odds: 8.55
Units advantage: 10



Thank you! Odds really were great value, but against City, it always is, and happy to start yet another campaign with a City loss in Community Shield. I'd have added Bayern easily but for the next couple of weeks I'm not going to be able to do accas (probably for the better), so singles on Fairlay's the easiest as am on mobile...

Slightly agree with Harko that both teams didn't need to delay the ref -- I don't understand how teams still think they can influence a decision (or is it because they actually can?).

But fine, first VAR took a long time because they had to overturn the linesman (I thought it was maybe a foul def not offside). 2nd one, honestly, we've gone way past the need to argue for THAT kind of handball. Consistently, it's a pen, any day, any time.

I know I'm not just whining because it's England, I watch Serie A, La Liga, other tourneys and VAR's usually quick and decisive. 7 minutes injury time when there wasn't any injury. That tells you VAR gonna give us another poor season.


Thanks, and good luck to you too... though I have to insist not every prediction is 50/50.

Our confidence in Spurs (the actual underdog at the time) didn't make them the favourites. Odds and probability are, quite literally, evidence for what make a favourite, not confidence!

That said, the odds gap between the two has been slimming... some sites now I notice do put Spurs above Chelsea. Thank pre-season for that.

Another weird shift for me is odds on Forest... generally more favoured at books than the likes of Brentford and Bournemouth.

First games are never good enough to tell a team's expected performance throughout the season, and Championship is even more of an anomaly in that regard I think, mainly because the season's a little longer in terms of games. Give it 5 more games to get a sense of who knows what they're doing, who's going to run themselves into the ground, and who's got hungry players

1) LVR
2) No
3) Over
4) 2nd
5) Even
6) Odd
7) LVR
LVR

Final Score prediction  19-16 LVR

It's pretty scary to admit it but I think I'm one of the oldest forum users, at least in the gambling circle haha. Have yet to meet anyone older when meeting up (not that I've met many). And playing football for the past 6 years, always oldest on pitch. Last year, accepted an invite to play with some guys... the gap between me and the oldest player in the pitch was 8 years. And it showed!

Agree if we don't get him it's not game over, just annoying he's been on radar for so long and still not coming over haha.

@morvillz7z Notifications work for me, I mean, I don't rely on them but if I open the tab, everything's there. Clubhouse, transactions, betslips winning/pushing.

Pretty clear for me to not use Wasabi, but I also wouldn't strongly be against someone else using it, if they understood what they were getting into. Same thing about someone using an exchange or a custodial service -- suits their purpose and their needs.

Unfortunately (or thanks to Bitcoin non-discrimination), we will have people who want or hope for Bitcoin to be used in certain ways we don't agree with, and they will use whatever feature is available to meet their needs.

So agree with nullius here. I don't see the point of hating on exchanges and Wasabi and expecting them to fall in line with ideologies they're legally bound to go against. Well, okay, Wasabi's complicated in a way, they probably only used privacy as a marketing tool while wanting to keep their friendships with old money.

Despite the "caught between a rock and a hard place"  argument, I'll probably never have a shred of sympathy for corporate entities or their leaders/owners. Even less when they try to explain their actions.