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4081  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: [Announcement] Avalon ASIC Development Status [Batch #1] on: December 06, 2012, 01:12:46 PM
This update is mainly to address the uncertainty that have been surrounding the ASIC scene recently due to the lackluster performance by our competitors. We will be walking you through our process of getting the ASIC fabricated. Unlike our competitors we are a in-house team and everyone is always on the same page.

Another update will address the actual status of our chips as we have obtained word from TSMC whom will offer us weekly updates on their website. All in all, see our arguments below regarding our competitors and wait for weekly updates directly from TSMC.

Anyhow, any of our numbers, estimates, and shipping date have not changed, just in case somebody got the wrong idea about this update.


First things first. the following Gallery is our contract with TSMC with pricing and other sensitive information removed. http://imgur.com/a/DnUNm


Some background information on ASIC production process, before tape out, 3 day before uploading GDS, we fill out a MT form with TSMC detailing the ASIC specific information so they may understand what we are doing. The gallery is here http://imgur.com/a/YOLez


to put simply, to create the physical ASIC goes something like this.

sign contract -> submit GDS for review -> mask making -> wafer making -> ship to packaging company -> packaging -> shipping.
Only then can the chips be in your hands or placed on PCB for finalization.

This whole process will take 30-50 days depending on the processor node technology used, mainly due to the increasing in layer number as you go down in processor size. for example, we have 29 layers, and since TSMC is one of the big companies in fabrication, each layer take 1.2 ( normal lot ) day per layer. in addition, accordingly to friedcat, their fab is producing 4 layers every week [odd, but I guess it is possible if fab is small].

This also means while you wait for the wafer(chips) fabrication you can not do anything else, it is usually around this time you make sure you have everything else ready.

a few things to note is,

1. while this wafer making process is going, you can't cancel it, or make adjustments, and if you wish to change anything, you will have to re-run this whole work flow all over again ( the large amount of the NRE upwards of 6 digits in USD is paid when you make the MASK). so anytime, BFL mention they are waiting for chips to come e.g. next week, but if they are still making adjustments, then this is physically impossible. In addition, fabrication company don't do chip packaging, if they are expecting the chips to arrive next week that means the production is already finished and they are probably in the chip packaging company (it is usually this time you find out if your chips work or not. which can also take some time since you'll have to test each of the chips for defects.)

2. the whole chip fabrication is very mathematically predictable based on the number of layers your ASIC has and the speed which the fabrication company can produce a layer. There is no such thing as a fabrication company giving a "fuzzy" date when it comes to when the chips will come from the assembly line. The only number that can vary is the shipping time from the fabrication company to the packaging company, but even that is no more than a few days of difference, depending on the shipping method.

3.a if bASIC made an MPW to start (which is the correct way to save money, but not time). the cost to get large amount of chips during this time is astronomical, however the average size is about 50. It is unheard of for somebody to only produce 2 chips to built a prototype and now no longer have any chips left over to build another prototype.

3.b. Even after testing MWP and everything is fine, it'll take the same amount of time to produce a new MASK ( cost and everything ) then make wafers, which will take another 30 - 50 days, which I suppose is consistent with bASIC's new mid-Jan shipping date, ( but this is optimistic estimate, the regular workflow is about 2 month)

3.c. what we think that happened is bASIC has licensed a SHA256 core, the IP company has already produced demo ASICs that utilizes this core, and did some math on how many core you can placed in the chip to obtain the 14GH/s estimated hashrate, while regular SHA256 and Bitcoin's blockchain hashing algorithm is not very different but it is not something you can compare via simulation without making an actual chip, and if they made an actual chip, even if it doesn't perform up to specifications you can still demonstrate it and be world first.

the conclusion is as follows.

1. If BFL really have chips coming, then they are not making any so-to-speak "clock buffer adjustments", either that or they don't have any chips coming and have not tape-out at all, it is also entirely possible that they have not make the MASK yet either. I guess we will find out on the week of the 11th, in this month hopefully.

2. we believe bASIC has no prototype, or have any chips. Also we at Avalon have also explored the possibility of licensing an IP core, but after some in-house comparison, none of the core on the market is superior to our own, thus we eliminated that option.

Questions, Comments are welcome.
To better understand what the Avalon team is trying to say in the above points. I have linked to a simple video explanation of how Wafers are made and why it takes such a long time to make Chips (of almost any variety).

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aWVywhzuHnQ
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xftnhfa-Dmo
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rcYQIhG6d8U

Educate yourselves so that when the "spin" comes [from other vendors], you'll know what they are actually talking about [in their excuses].
4082  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: [Announcement] Avalon ASIC Development Status [Batch #1] on: December 06, 2012, 10:17:39 AM


This price quote is a proof to people who don't believe that ASICs are cheap to manufacture, after NRE costs are recovered. A 12-inch wafer costs $4k for Avalon. They will likely make about a thousand chips per wafer assuming a 50 mm˛ die. Which means each chip technically costs about $4. There is going to be ten chips or so per Avalon device, so $40 of ASIC chips in a device that is sold $1300. That's a profit margin of $1260! (I am simplying here, there are other minor costs: chip packaging, other components, PCB, etc, maybe $100-$200 maximum). Of course this insane profit margin is only valid once NRE costs ($200k+) are recovered. But some/all ASIC vendors will eventually recover them... so expect ASIC prices to eventually drop massively.
I thought they said their chips were 15mm˛?

That would be a boatload of chips on a 300mm wafer.
4083  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: [Announcement] Avalon ASIC Development Status [Batch #1] on: December 06, 2012, 09:32:20 AM
Oh, TSMC is using 300mm wafers. That is good to know.

Edit: Why does it say under one of the (online forms) that it failed the DRC check? (Design Rule Check)

Is that because you did something unusual with the chip that the DRC would fail the automatic checks?
4084  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: [Announcement] Avalon ASIC Development Status [Batch #1] on: December 06, 2012, 08:18:05 AM
and bASIC chips have been done for a while (https://www.btcfpga.com/forum/index.php?topic=203.msg1445#msg1445)



I have orders from all 3...I just want someone to ship, so that I can stop checking the forums every fucking day!
Amen!

That's what I do every day when I am working. Read and wait.
4085  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: bad news for bASIC - not shipping til mid Jan at best on: December 06, 2012, 08:10:38 AM

They'll either be shipped in/on October, November, December 11th, end of December, January, February, or March lol


Exactly.

http://www.technologyreview.com/news/508061/custom-chips-could-be-the-shovels-in-a-bitcoin-gold-rush/

According to this article they will start shipping in "early 2013".
The article should be renamed to "Custom chips might be on the shelves in a Bitcoin gold rush."

@ Nolo
Hilarious, that covers like 2 entire quarters of a year. That is one hell of a spread for a release date...
4086  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: [Announcement] Avalon ASIC Development Status [Batch #1] on: December 06, 2012, 07:58:15 AM
You guys are all excited, but, to me, it sounds like BitSyncom is about to announce a bad news.

"deciding what to say" -> it is only when the news is bad that time is spent deciding how to say it.

"my engineering team has always been very skeptical regarding our competition for various reasons. It is my job not to under estimate the competition, but now I am forced to agree with them" -> the last "them" refer to his engineering team, IOW the engineering team was correct to be skeptical of the competition's power efficiency claim, IOW the engineering team found out their own efficiency is a lot worse than the competition (which makes sense given that Avalon is 110nm, which should be theoretically 3x worse in terms of power efficiency when compared to 65nm (BFL)).

"what I'm talking about is actually the very opposite" -> he was expecting better results, but the engineering team's number look bad.

Oh indeed, some bad news is coming, but who I wonder.
Did some competitors fab or subcontractor company implode or something?

(starts shinning the ol' crystal ball)
4087  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: [Announcement] Avalon ASIC Development Status [Batch #1] on: December 06, 2012, 07:30:33 AM

yeah, some bad news.  Wink
With a smile like that...I am guessing they are about to call BS on certain claims made by other vendors, then list the [technical] reasons why they think it is so?
4088  Other / Off-topic / Re: Should BFL get a scammer tag? on: December 06, 2012, 06:37:33 AM
When is the Jalapeno getting FCC approval?

Maybe two weeks? We are waiting for the test lab to issue the test report.

It has now been more than a month. Who is the test lab? What was the result?
<Face Palm>, I didn't realize this until just now.

But in the response, the statement of two weeks is actually posed as a question rather than a statement....



Lets hope for the best.

Visit the following thread: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=128840.msg1381541#msg1381541
4089  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: bad news for bASIC - not shipping til mid Jan at best on: December 06, 2012, 06:30:39 AM
Joyous moments for some here, again, BFL ain't shipping a thing till somewhere in January, as it seems now.
Surprise?

https://forums.butterflylabs.com/bfl-forum-miscellaneous/492-good-news-good-read.html

Quote
As Debbie from BFL wrote in her last Mail:
We had originally hoped to be shipping by now, but unfortunately, we are still waiting for some parts to come in. We are working to start shipping orders before the end of the year.

You could anticipate your order shipping sometime in February or March. If they are ready sooner, we will ship them sooner.
We appreciate your patience as we are working to bring you the latest in mining technology.

Happy X-mas 😢

Certainly, the order number is not mentioned. But the January date does not sound incorrect at all.

Called it.

 Cool
You know what is really absurd about this situation?

The vendor with the longest release schedule is now the earliest when compared to the other 2.
4090  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: bad news for bASIC - not shipping til mid Jan at best on: December 06, 2012, 06:17:59 AM
Joyous moments for some here, again, BFL ain't shipping a thing till somewhere in January, as it seems now.
Surprise?

https://forums.butterflylabs.com/bfl-forum-miscellaneous/492-good-news-good-read.html

Quote
As Debbie from BFL wrote in her last Mail:
We had originally hoped to be shipping by now, but unfortunately, we are still waiting for some parts to come in. We are working to start shipping orders before the end of the year.

You could anticipate your order shipping sometime in February or March. If they are ready sooner, we will ship them sooner.
We appreciate your patience as we are working to bring you the latest in mining technology.

Happy X-mas 😢

Certainly, the order number is not mentioned. But the January date does not sound incorrect at all.
4091  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: ASIC Certification Requirements? on: December 06, 2012, 04:13:43 AM
Quote from: Rassah link=topic=128840.msg1380011#msg1380011

I suspect almost no one else on this board does, either, and I only brought up the "Mobos don't require it" point because too many people seem to be so confident in their "BFL required FCC/UL certification!" claims.

If you recall, the BFL rep was the one who brought it up along with someone else. Then, Tom got agitated about it. BFL rep said they had sent "something" to the lab about two weeks at that point. But beyond that nothing else was said.
No, that is not true. It was forum member MeSarah that started the FCC questions in the bctfpga thread. Much after everyone here jumping on him, the "BFL rep" asked, when the smoke was cleared a bit, "well Tom, how about that FCC regulation?"
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=79637.msg1308803#msg1308803
Thats exactly what I said.
4092  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: ASIC Certification Requirements? on: December 06, 2012, 04:09:20 AM
Quote from: Rassah link=topic=128840.msg1380011#msg1380011

I suspect almost no one else on this board does, either, and I only brought up the "Mobos don't require it" point because too many people seem to be so confident in their "BFL required FCC/UL certification!" claims.

If you recall, the BFL rep was the one who brought it up along with someone else. Then, Tom got agitated about it. BFL rep said they had sent "something" to the lab about two weeks at that point. But beyond that nothing else was said.

Maybe they were bragging, like they were about their October release dates? Or just submitted their designs (the computer ones) to check if everything will be ok? Just totally speculating here.
If by "bragging" you mean push the idea of fines as well as inform Tom about it. Then, Yeah, pretty much.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=79637.msg1313908#msg1313908

You can read about it somewhere around these two links (plus or minus several days of messages)

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=119351.msg1314335#msg1314335

@ Slok
Keep in mind the FCC conversation happened in several threads at that time.
4093  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: ASIC Certification Requirements? on: December 06, 2012, 02:20:11 AM
Quote from: Rassah link=topic=128840.msg1380011#msg1380011

I suspect almost no one else on this board does, either, and I only brought up the "Mobos don't require it" point because too many people seem to be so confident in their "BFL required FCC/UL certification!" claims.

If you recall, the BFL rep was the one who brought it up along with someone else. Then, Tom got agitated about it. BFL rep said they had sent "something" to the lab about two weeks at that point. But beyond that nothing else was said.
4094  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: [Announcement] Avalon ASIC Development Status [Batch #1] on: December 05, 2012, 03:38:06 PM
Is update #5 scheduled for this week?

Any updates?
4095  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: ASIC Certification Requirements? on: December 05, 2012, 10:57:00 AM
What do you care for an FCC certificate, your Avalon won't have one? Gonna refuse it now?
These ASIC devices would be unintentional radiators and with all probability would easily pass certification on a technical level.

The bigger concern to me is that a competitor, troublemaker or some FUDge-packing FUDster might complain about a lack of certification and get my ASIC shipment delayed or confiscated.
Precisely, which is my point of asking the Vendors if they are certified!

Otherwise sabotage is pretty darn easy. Which is probably what Tom was so upset about when it was brought up about a month ago. (BFL didn't have [a finished] certification either back then to the best of my knowledge)

So either they do now, or they may run the risk of a snitch. (well, so does Tom but someone has to ask Dave if they know anything about the certification process)
4096  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: bad news for bASIC - not shipping til mid Jan at best on: December 04, 2012, 07:55:53 PM
Why would vendors discount ASIC hardware until they have to? IOW why cut prices until competition and/or slow sales require it? ...and if slow sales require it, isn't the difficulty already too high to expect a rapid ROI? ...and doesn't a longer ROI come furnished with it's own risks? Pre-orders are risky, but if you're even mostly right about choosing a vendor then your ROI should be very short.
Some vendors are probably spending money at a faster rate than others.

If some ASIC company starts shipping first....who knows how the market will respond?

Keep in mind, the prices we are buying at (pre-orders) is probably very inflated compared to what the actual cost of the hardware may be.
4097  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: bad news for bASIC - not shipping til mid Jan at best on: December 04, 2012, 07:29:38 PM
Until you got what you paid for in your hands, you just paid for lip service. That's all i have seen so far. All the drama associated with this new hardware has taken a lot of the appeal out of mining. Also the unprofessional outbursts that Tom and Inaba have at times just adds to that. Not sure if i want to be held hostage to those types of companies. I got my money back, and i hope they get there acts together.

good decision. If you buy preorder from one of the 3 companies you have a 33% chance that you will be one of the first ASIC miners . Why risk 100% of your money (in the event of fraud or bankruptcy) for 33% chance to earn a bit more money than the others ? If you wait until one of the companies will be the first and you will buy from them ASIC (existing), you have a 99% chance that you will not be scammed and 66% chance that you will not be  one of last ASIC miner .
Because it's not just a bit more.  It's a HUGE amount more.  The people who gets the first asics and mine at a difficulty of 3M will make as much in one week as the people who get ASICs afterward will make in 2 months.  It's a huge sum of money at stake... one for which many people (myself included) are willing to gamble on.

I doubt any of the three are scammers (at least purposefully).  I think they will all deliver.  So in my opinion, it is a 33% chance that I will be one of the first ASIC miners vs a 100% chance that I will not be.

Assuming that no company goes bankrupt, you're right. But I think the risk of bankruptcy / scam is high. What if the company you have chosen will produce ASIC few months later than the other? If you buy from a company that already has an existing ASIC (assuming that other companies have long delay), you'll be one of the first ASIC miners without risk Wink Even if you good predict the company which will be first, you have no guarantee that this company will increase the difficulty before the rig gets to you. For those who like to risk I recommend satoshidice.com. This is better than ASIC preorder because you yourself can choose the level of risk Wink Personally I do not like gambling;) This is why I did not buy preorder from any of the companies. I'm going to buy ASIC from a company that will be the first (if this will still worthwhile).

Now I'm waiting for a wave of criticism Wink
That sounds pretty reasonable, with few actual downsides. (besides some loss of potential profits).

Then again, you'll probably buy the hardware at a steep discount by the time they are actually released.
4098  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: ASIC Certification Requirements? on: December 04, 2012, 07:22:02 PM
The BFL equipment I mine with, and the BFL devices I have ordered, do not need FCC certification.  If you were planning to quote from Title 47 USC Telegraphs, Telephones, and Radiotelegraphs, I can tell you it has not been enacted as Positive Law.  A non-positive law title is "an editorial compilation of Federal statutes."  It's not Congress' exact words, it may vary, and therefore does not apply outside of the federal districts overlaid on the states.  Except, of course, by contract; by agreement.
http://uscode.house.gov/about/info.shtml
http://uscode.house.gov/codification/legislation.shtml
Question: Do you live within the United States?
4099  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: ASIC Certification Requirements? on: December 04, 2012, 06:07:32 PM
How do they all expect to ship those products without the certification? Only time will tell.
What do you care for an FCC certificate, your Avalon won't have one? Gonna refuse it now?
You must actually read what came before this post then, you can post a proper response or even a valid question.

Edit: To answer your question, it would suck if a plane load of Avalon products were confiscated by customs or inspections. They are far more anal at certain things. I'd rather not play with the risk.

-----------------------------

On a different note:

What is there to stop any member of this forum from reporting a manufacturer of a device that isn't certified on a very basic level? See the point?

The FCC can fine or confiscate property that might be illicitly produced.
4100  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: ASIC Certification Requirements? on: December 04, 2012, 04:52:22 PM
The thought (of the 6-8 week delay) had crossed my mind, but I decided to keep that in my back pocket.

It makes me also wonder what this also implies as far as the bASIC modules that Tom was working on.

I looked back on the commentary when it was first brought up. It was about 1 month ago. Tom had said that he wasn't sure that his device needed FCC certification since it probably came within the scope of modules. Though, I do not know if that is true.

BFL said they had sent hardware to some lab and were waiting for the results at approximately the same time (give or take a day or two). What they sent is a mystery as they haven't even finished the outer casing (and don't have the chips).

How do they all expect to ship those products without the certification? Only time will tell.
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