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501  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 02, 2014, 09:36:11 PM
The guy from Vaurum says Brazil is one of their prime targets.  They're coming to get you, Jorge!  Brazil will be assimilated... Smiley
502  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 02, 2014, 07:25:13 PM
For the sake of completeness, you should mention that a stateless world is not just an anarcho-libertarian ideal.  It's also the Marxist ideal.  Mr. Marx says that at the actual Communism stage of societal development there will be no government.


It's not supposed to be a Utopia either. That's something the collectivists tend to strive for. Though I do share some reservations about a completely anarchic system and the likelihood of sociopaths continuing to seek power. Though advancements in weapons technology have leveled the playing field there somewhat.

I agree with you on both points.  Even without sociopaths seeking power, a stateless equilibrium could be destroyed just by natural disasters, I would imagine.  There will always need to be some mechanism in place to maintain that equilibrium, at the very least.  I don't know if it has to be some form of 'government' per se, but something is required.
503  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 02, 2014, 06:26:48 PM
The anarcho-libertarian Utopia, a world without government, would be a Mad Max world, and would not last for a year before a king of some sort would emerge.

For the sake of completeness, you should mention that a stateless world is not just an anarcho-libertarian ideal.  It's also the Marxist ideal.  Mr. Marx says that at the actual Communism stage of societal development there will be no government.

When people with such opposite political beliefs as Communists and Libertarians want the same end, it probably is worth pondering on.
504  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 01, 2014, 08:11:02 PM
There is no doubt in my mind that the US and USD will fall.


It's just the timing that is hard to nail down.  

Is it really?  What is the longest lived fiat debt-based currency in history?  USD, since 1971.  Others more clever than I have made the argument that with a sample size of 1 the most likely future span of an event with duration is the historical duration.  From this we take the least-assumption prior estimate that the central tendency for future lifetime of the USD is 43 years.  Then we observe the likelihood of a terminal event for USD by examining the likelihood of terminal events for comparables, and adjust distribution accordingly.  The likelihood of terminal events for comparables are conditioned on several factors, such as debt/GDP ratio, approval ratings of the central government, employment and real inflation trends, &c.

My best effort result has the terminal point of USD between 2017 and 2025 with 95% probability.  The conclusion is sensitive to the choice of conditioning factors and comparables, however.



I would be interested in seeing more detail on this calculation.

Also, it has been my observation that whenever the current 'reserve currency' is replaced, it does not happen because the old reserve currency suffered a terminal event...  For example, the previous 'reserve currency' was ostensibly the British Pound, which is still considered to be in a non-terminal state, isn't it?





505  Bitcoin / Pools / Re: [600 TH] p2pool: Decentralized, DoS-resistant, Hop-Proof pool on: June 30, 2014, 01:24:43 PM
I think you are just throwing bad money after good if you send him any more donations.

The bounty will only be paid if the new Ants are playing well with p2pool by July 25th, otherwise it will be returned to donators...

I think you missed the main point of my post...  The evidence suggests that forrestv is simply not able to fix the problems.  If I understand your bounty correctly, it can only be collected by forrestv or his 'representative'.  This restriction pretty much assures failure.  There may be someone out there who can fix the problem, and who would be motivated to do so by your bounty - but I feel confident that that person is not forrestv.  These problems are not new, and I'm pretty sure if he could fix them, he would have already done so.

I would be happy to be proven wrong, but I am not holding my breath...
506  Bitcoin / Pools / Re: [600 TH] p2pool: Decentralized, DoS-resistant, Hop-Proof pool on: June 28, 2014, 08:59:05 PM
Again, the my goal is really to create an incentive for forrest to get involved again

I don't think Forrest has been uninvolved because of a lack of donations - I think he has been 'uninvolved' because he simply doesn't know how to fix the problems that need fixing.

He pretty much said as much in his last little diatribe.  Yeah, he hinted at a 'possible breakthrough' in a rather obvious attempt to milk some donation money, but I think you are just throwing bad money after good if you send him any more donations.
507  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 20, 2014, 08:59:42 PM
I´m more and more certain, that the so called "reversal" from 340$ was in fact NOT a real reversal. It looks more and more like a huge bulltrap, i wish i had cashed out and cut my losses when we have been @ 680$. However i think it is NOT too late to sell now. I should have listened to JorgeStolfi and mmitech instead of writing huge amounts of pointless nonsense in the last weeks. I do NOT recommend everybody that he should sell, but in the short and midterm it looks like 680$ or has been the peak for this year.  I will sell half of my stuff now and the other 2 BTC when we eventually reach 600-610$ in the next small bulltrap.




You are quoting the fake JJG here I believe.  Bad form Jorge.


You're quoting the fake Jorge

So I am.  Bad form, Me.

508  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 20, 2014, 08:38:32 PM
Well, I'm pretty sure I nearly got ignored by chalkbot, but my monkey is bearish on almost all timescales now.
Many months?

On a monthly scale is he as bullish as a really bullish thing -- bullish out 9 to 15 months.  It would take a lot of damage to change that.
He is still bullish on a weekly scale, with a 4 to 16 week horizon.  It would take less damage to change this view.
It's daily and shorter scales where he is all hunkered down and puckered up.



509  Economy / Economics / Re: The United States has finally recovered the jobs lost during the Great Recession on: June 20, 2014, 08:33:34 PM
2008... the great recession....  :S..  The 30's would be dumbfounded at us calling that a recession.. The media has really hyped up a lot of crap lately.

A recession is just 2 or more consecutive quarters of negative growth.  If they were calling it a 2nd Great Depression, I'd agree with you.


So you think it was a great recession or a recession?.. I think it was a recession...

Oh, yeah, I agree...  If you look at the list of all US recessions on Wikipedia http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_recessions_in_the_United_States , you can see that the recession of 1973-75 was at least as bad as this one.

510  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 20, 2014, 08:08:27 PM
I´m more and more certain, that the so called "reversal" from 340$ was in fact NOT a real reversal. It looks more and more like a huge bulltrap, i wish i had cashed out and cut my losses when we have been @ 680$. However i think it is NOT too late to sell now. I should have listened to JorgeStolfi and mmitech instead of writing huge amounts of pointless nonsense in the last weeks. I do NOT recommend everybody that he should sell, but in the short and midterm it looks like 680$ or has been the peak for this year.  I will sell half of my stuff now and the other 2 BTC when we eventually reach 600-610$ in the next small bulltrap.




You are quoting the fake JJG here I believe.  Bad form Jorge.
511  Economy / Economics / Re: The United States has finally recovered the jobs lost during the Great Recession on: June 20, 2014, 08:06:24 PM
2008... the great recession....  :S..  The 30's would be dumbfounded at us calling that a recession.. The media has really hyped up a lot of crap lately.

A recession is just 2 or more consecutive quarters of negative growth.  If they were calling it a 2nd Great Depression, I'd agree with you.
512  Economy / Economics / Re: The United States has finally recovered the jobs lost during the Great Recession on: June 20, 2014, 07:57:04 PM
The US economy added 217,000 jobs in May. The unemployment rate held steady at 6.3%, a five-and-a-half year low.

With last month’s job growth, the US has finally recovered all of the jobs it lost during the Great Recession. (That’s without adjusting for population growth; economists estimate there are about 7 million more working-age Americans today than there were at the previous employment peak in January 2008.)
http://www.dailykos.com/217695/the-...reat-recession/


DAT MY PRESIDENT!!

Just out of curiosity, what are the specific actions on the part of President Obama that you believe have positively impacted job growth?

It is believed by some that job creation and economic growth can occur even without the direct intervention of a politician - and, perhaps in this case, in spite of it.

513  Bitcoin / Mining software (miners) / Re: BFGMiner 4.2.0: modular ASIC+FPGA, GBT+Strtm, RPC, Mac/Lnx/W64, RockMiner R-BOX on: June 20, 2014, 05:49:47 PM

I don't know if this is what is causing your problem, but port 8332 is the default port for the bitcoin daemon - so anything trying to connect to bitcoind may instead connect to your BFGMiner instance.

Just as an experiment, try using port 8330 instead and see if the problem persists.

Port 8332 is what I used in BEB config page.
BFGminer 4.0.0 runs ok using port 8332. Only shows BFL 0 + PXY 0, and PXY 1 doesn't appear.

I tried port 8330 with bfgminer 4.2.0 but shows BFL 0 only, PXY 0 does not appear.
Then I tried port 8330 with bfgminer 4.0.0 but does not shows both devices, BFL 0 only.

Don't forget to aim the blade at port 8330 also.
514  Bitcoin / Mining software (miners) / Re: BFGMiner 4.2.0: modular ASIC+FPGA, GBT+Strtm, RPC, Mac/Lnx/W64, RockMiner R-BOX on: June 20, 2014, 05:12:29 PM
Hi there.

I used to run a BFL jalapeño with bfgminer, and a block erupter blade with miningproxy.

Now I'm running both (BFL jalapeño + BEB) with bfgminer as follows:

Code:
bfgminer --http-port 8332 -o stratum.btcguild.com:3333 -u Qu4k3r_A -p mypass

After begin to run bfgminer it shows both devices (BFL 0, PXY 0) but few minutes later a third device (PXY 1) shows up which is sick most of time and a little bit later is dead. Sometimes bfgminer shows three devices at once.



¿Is this normal, should I worry about it?

Thanks in advance.   Wink

I don't know if this is what is causing your problem, but port 8332 is the default port for the bitcoin daemon - so anything trying to connect to bitcoind may instead connect to your BFGMiner instance.

Just as an experiment, try using port 8330 instead and see if the problem persists.
515  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 20, 2014, 02:45:19 PM
Anyway, I don't see why my stubborness should bother people so much.  The longer I persist in my negative view, the greater will be your fun when I will be finally proved wrong.  Wink

If it makes you feel any better, your "stubborness" doesn't bother me at all.  I'm not one of those guys who can't sleep when 'someone is wrong on the internet' Wink  You made it pretty clear that you would not be swayed by mere logic and reason some time ago, but I still read your posts because they occasionally contain actual information of interest, regardless of your prejudices.

I don't hope to have fun from seeing you corrected by the marketplace...  I am not much into schadenfreude myself.  It is certainly true, though, that if you are proven to be a fool, you will be a very well-documented fool Smiley
516  Bitcoin / Pools / Re: [460 TH] p2pool: Decentralized, DoS-resistant, Hop-Proof pool on: June 20, 2014, 01:33:11 PM
Truthfully, no-one knows anything. Forrest could have been hit by a bus in February.

Looking at his forum profile reveals that he was last active June 19, 2014, 09:33:14 PM - so if he was hit by a bus, it is not stopping him from reading the forums.
517  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 20, 2014, 01:29:05 PM
Jorge will go down in history as one of the most successful trolls to have ever lived. Intelligent people here still don't understand he's a troll.

Is there anyone who ever said Jorge is not a troll Huh

Oda for one.

There goes the old " takes one to know one" theory.

Cheesy
518  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: June 20, 2014, 01:28:02 PM
Jorge will go down in history as one of the most successful trolls to have ever lived. Intelligent people here still don't understand he's a troll.

Is there anyone who ever said Jorge is not a troll Huh

Oda for one.

I don't think Jorge is a troll, per se -I think he just decided on the thesis for the book he plans to write about The Great Bitcoin Ponzi Scheme long before he showed up here to start doing research - so now he cannot allow himself to be swayed.

Sad because he would probably make more money investing in bitcoin than he is ever likely to make from any such book.
519  Bitcoin / Mining support / Re: Hacking The KNC Firmware: Overclocking on: June 20, 2014, 11:32:07 AM
Can someone give me a link to where I can download the 'Padrino' firmware?  Thanks in advance.


There is a link to it on page 50

Awesome, thanks Smiley  I had seen that link, but in context it was not clear if that was the real f/w or not.  Thanks for the confirmation Smiley


Well, apparently, this image linked on page 50 does not support October units.  My Oct Jupiter works fine with the unified 1.01 from the KnC website, but if I install this f/w image, the miner won't start - and if I start it by hand it complains of EEPROM errors or something to that effect.

Oh well Sad


sorry but ya either had a bad flash or did something wrong cause i have 2 oct jups on that fw from that link Smiley cheers

Well, I tried reflashing it 3 times with identical results, whereas reinstalling the official release version works like a charm every time.  I don't know what the issue is, but it definitely doesn't work with my hardware.


I can confirm it works with my October jupiter.  IIRC it works with both October and November. 

Once installed you'll see in the web ui under the 'Advanced' tab the October and November settings examples like below

Code:
General 4 Module Jupiter guidance:

       October: -0.0879 and 0x231 - 680Gh/s

       November: 0.0000 and 0x335 - 940Gh/s

When using custom clocks in the 0x range, from time to time
applying settings can result in VRM faults on the Status page, if so
please reboot miner to test settings.

do you have any other mods or files changing any setting?  if so restore to stock and try firmware again.

another download link to the exact same custom firmware as page 50 http://www.megafileupload.com/en/file/543339/kncminer-1-01-custom-bin.html

It works now - I just had a stupid configuration error.  When I tried to start the miner by hand the hardware errors came from the fact that it tries to probe 6 boards, and I only have four in this unit.  I could have saved myself a lot of time and avoided unnecessary traffic here by reading more carefully Smiley

520  Bitcoin / Mining support / Re: Hacking The KNC Firmware: Overclocking on: June 20, 2014, 01:32:13 AM
Can someone give me a link to where I can download the 'Padrino' firmware?  Thanks in advance.


There is a link to it on page 50

Awesome, thanks Smiley  I had seen that link, but in context it was not clear if that was the real f/w or not.  Thanks for the confirmation Smiley


Well, apparently, this image linked on page 50 does not support October units.  My Oct Jupiter works fine with the unified 1.01 from the KnC website, but if I install this f/w image, the miner won't start - and if I start it by hand it complains of EEPROM errors or something to that effect.

Oh well Sad


sorry but ya either had a bad flash or did something wrong cause i have 2 oct jups on that fw from that link Smiley cheers

Well, I tried reflashing it 3 times with identical results, whereas reinstalling the official release version works like a charm every time.  I don't know what the issue is, but it definitely doesn't work with my hardware.
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