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501  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 06, 2024, 07:39:05 PM
Observing 68-ish coffee just emptied and ready to do some CrossFit

Goodmorning gents

good morning WOs.
I woke to pee my panties
so back to bed for me.
FTFY - haiku conversion for uie-pooie.

that's what you get when you leave blanks...  Tongue  Tongue Tongue Tongue
+1 WOsMerit  for the haiku double spend....though...as the victim of a increasingly aggressive prostate all i can say is...laugh it up fuzzball...pissed panties are a thing    Cheesy

I will have to deign a -1 for uie-pooie, especially since you misquoted me, and potentially contributing to wee bit of extra drama (who does not want some drama here and there?), since my haiku conversion had been directed at philipma1957 rather than at dee dude(s)...
502  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy Buy Buy or Sell Sell Sell? on: April 06, 2024, 07:30:46 PM
Ive been hearing about situations where someone buys a coin for a certain rate and not quite long after,  the said coin drops in value, or  someone sells his coin for a certain rate and then it appreciates just after.
What's your take on this? Given the period we're in is it buy time or sell time?
Your topic of discussion is talking more of trading which might not be necessary for some people expecially those Bitcoin accumulators. That is why holding bitcoin is more important. Most people buy and sell due to being afraid of price dip, and they end up losing some reasonable amount. and most times the coin they buy mostly is shitcoin which we all know that they have no potential. They may rise and make people to invest and dump at any given time. What we should be thinking right now is to buy and HODL Bitcoin because bitcoin is the most vital and important asset that everybody needs to have in there wallet. Having a few amount of bitcoin is better than having billions of shicoin without potential.

This post seems to contradict your other post in the Road to $100k thread Pi-network314159, in which I responded in a quite critical way of what I believed you to have been proclaiming in regards to an expectation to a BTC dip in your post therein.. or your therein expressed (seemingly lopsided) expectation that BTC prices could not end up just going up from here without any further price correction.
503  Economy / Speculation / Re: Top 20 days for Bitcoin on: April 06, 2024, 07:13:48 PM
Good we dropped the 2021 number 1 notch  today
Little by little, we are going to eek out those 2021 dates.. .. but I would imagine that the odds are quite high that it is likely to take more than 82 days to accomplish such eekening...

Not impossible to do it in 82 days, but seems like  a long shot-- maybe greater than 90% odds of taking longer than 82 days.

Poor us.

Don't get me wrong.  I am not much of a subscriber to any theories regarding "down before up" since there are several ways in which we might not end up accomplishing ONLY "UP only" from here... so in that regard, I am continuously suggesting that folks make sure that they are prepared for UP.. .. but still, how could we assign less than 90% odds towards ONLY 82 days remaining to knock out the remaining 2021 dates?
so we take off now and smoke them and 82 bagger.

you say 1 in 10

Approximately 1 in 10.. something in that range.. Are you in the mood to bet me, you gambling fool?   hahahahahaha no homo..

I  couldn't resist to address you as a "fool".. it just seemed to fit well.  

By the way, I would not be willing to give anyone the level of odds that I believe to be likely on me, but I might be willing give odds that are slightly greater than 50/50.. .. .. but yeah, so maybe that reflects that I am not as confident that I say, since I am not willing to give the full odds that I ascribe.. so then a balance might be considering what odds I might be willing to give, and surely each day the odds might be different from the previous day (and even changes on the hour could cause the odds to change). so today (or earlier today at that particular moment) I was saying (and still I say, for now) 90%-ish odds..

but with the passage of time and if we were to continue to stay above $67,483, then the odds surely would continue to come down with the passage of each day that we were to stay above $67,483, if such a thing were to happen, and then also questioning how far we might end up going above $67,483 would also likely be a factor and would also end up changing the odds in my own head.. So, for sure, odds are a kind of ephemeral concept that have to be captured at the time that they are proclaimed because various subsequent events could end up changing how they are perceived and assessed and based on the passage of time and event(s) could change such assessment of odds radically and/or materially in one direction or another.
504  Other / Serious discussion / Re: Tomorrow you wake up, You got 50000$ in your hand. What will you do? on: April 06, 2024, 07:10:34 PM
[edited out]
True,  those who have already had strong investment and a  working system that feel they have invested enough won't hesitate to spend the money on consumption, sighting the examples you gave that's example of people who have already accomplished major part of the task.
And we won't expect that other guys who haven't built to that stage would also want to spend as them and the neglect the need for investment.
Before someone would have return of 3x,4x and so on already  plan, had discipline to execute those set target of which he is enjoying the dividend, if the reverse was the case he won't have achieved that or if he prioritize consumption, we can't really determine his capital but surely it was a gradual process over years with dedication. In essence let us not prioritize unnecessary spendings over our investment whether the money was gotten free, you can still invest bit, in building  your portfolio.

I am not presuming that a guy has to have any level of profits, such as 3x or 4x or more before he might come to an assessment that he has accumulated enough BTC and/or he mights start to put systems into place in which he can start to withdraw BTC rather than accumulating it.

Of course, being in profits helps with the assessment of having options, but there still would not necessarily need to be any specific level of profits prior to coming to some kind of an assessment that there is enough BTC and some various withdrawal strategies could start to be employed whether those might be something like sustainable withdrawal or like BTC raking strategies as I get into such discussions in my sustainable withdrawal thread.  Either of those strategies require some kind of a meaningful assessment in regards to having had accumulated enough BTC and perhaps even better to come to an assessment of over-accumulation prior to employing either or both of those strategies to your own BTC holdings.
505  Economy / Speculation / Re: Road to 100k? on: April 06, 2024, 07:01:31 PM
I have high expectations that bitcoin will reach 100k but will it reach 100k without any major decline in price?
Firstly don't put your expectations so high on Bitcoin to reach $100k so soon, because we are dealing with a volatile assets that has ups and down which might not reach where you think it may reach so sudden, but a gradual process will achieve it goal.

You make a good point about not knowing which way BTC might go and/or how rapidly it might go in one direction or another, yet you seem to be suggesting a potential for a gradual rise to $100k, which surely is one of the scenarios, but not too likely to play out in a gradual way.. .. sure it could happen, but still "gradual" is ONLY one of the possibilities.. . and so the ultimate conclusion should be that we have some ideas about various scenarios, but each of the scenarios is currently ONLY a kind of speculation about probabilities in which some scenarios are more likely than others, yet none of them are really knowable in advance.. yet at the same time, even if we cannot really know anything with confidence, still there are ways to directionally prepare financially and psychologically simultaneously for either up or down or for various scenarios to play out... and to still have decent chances to profit even though we might be lacking in confidence regarding short-to-medium term specifics.

Does it seem realistic that from 70k, bitcoin will continuously rise up?
There is no possibility of such. As far as I know Bitcoin must surely have a correction to stablize it growth.

Wow!!!!  You really sound dumb now Pi-network314159 if you really believe what you are saying.  Hopefully you are not preparing your own self for some kind of inevitable need to go down prior to going up.  That seems quite short-sighted.. .and a surely a problem that a lot of folks have when the fail/refuse to sufficiently and adequately prepare for up becuae they believe down has to come first, which truly is bordering upon retarded to have that kind of thinking when it comes to bitcoin, even though it has already gone up quite a bit in the last 17-ish months.

There is no how it will continuously grow from 70k to $100k. Provided that there is demand and supply,  buy and sell Oder. People must sell and people must buy. and when more people sell you will expirence a decline in the market. after which more people will buy the dip and it will increase. So there is no how btc will expirence drastic growth without ups and down movement.

Well, you do seem to know what you are saying when you proclaim that buys have to be greater than sells in order for the BTC price to go up, yet your assessment about down before up comes off as quite lame, as if you really have any fucking clue in regards to whether the sells are outstripping buys.

You seem to be assuming that the BTC sells are outstripping the buys merely because the BTC price has gone up a lot in the past 17 months.. which seems to show that you don't really have much grasp upon various aspects of reality of what is going on with BTC and its place in the world of assets and/or currencies.

Hopefully, no one is following your own suggestions, and even on a personal level, hopefully you are not so dumb as to believe your own nonsense.. and especially you have ONLY been registered on the forum for around 6 months, so it well could be the case that you have hardly any clue about what bitcoin is except that maybe you bought some and you sold all of what you bought and you are hoping to buy back cheaper, which likely you are going to have fun staying poor if you have those kinds of perspectives in regards to what is king daddy cornz (aka dee honey badger). 

Good luck in the event that you are actually putting your seemingly lame and lacking in perspective beliefs into practice, you are likely going to need it.
506  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy Buy Buy or Sell Sell Sell? on: April 06, 2024, 06:42:36 PM
What's your take on this? Given the period we're in is it buy time or sell time?
You buy Bitcoin, sell Bitcoin, not buy time or sell time.

This bull run will last many months and it's time for you to buy if you react as an investor and plan to spend your money for investment in more than 6 months or 1 year.

Buying and holding it, don't selling it around this time. It's not time for selling Bitcoin.

Don't sell your Bitcoin to Wall Street.
Yes, if we already know what investment is, especially a strong asset like bitcoin. Of course, I personally will hold it as long as possible and there is no need to panic if there is a big decline. I will buy it again every month or with the dca technique I don't think about today but how I think about the future for my descendants in the future.

If you sell it and panic in a falling price position, the more profitable are big investors, they will buy or buy back this asset and add to their assets, they don't care about other people's things. What they think about is how they can have as many of these assets as possible for them. They understand this asset is very rare.
In this context I can say that we should learn from past experiences. Those who failed to hold Bitcoin in 2018 realized in 2021 what level of assets Bitcoin is. And those who will make mistakes in 2024 despite knowing the fact, they will be understand their mistakes by 2025. But Bitcoin is not for 1 or 2 years profit hunting assets but a potential asset for long term. People who hold bitcoins for small profits never realize the importance of long term bitcoin holdings. None of us know when Bitcoin will be at its most bullish, but only long-term holders will have that chance. Accumulating bitcoins for the long term with DCA is the only way through which investors will be able to realize their goals.

You are correct about the need to continue to accumulate BTC through whatever methods that you can, including but not limited to DCA - yet I am not sure about your assessment that normies learn their lessons by witnessing various kinds of past BTC price moves, because it seems that there are a decent number of folks who continue to fail/refuse to learn lessons in regards to BTC accumulation and that is part of the reason why anyone getting into bitcoin and continuing to accumulate BTC until he has accumulated enough (or more than enough) are still early to the whole assessment regarding where bitcoin is in the world as compared to other assets and/or currencies.

The correct lesson to learn seems to be to accumulate BTC and/or to get started ASAP accumulating BTC, yet I expect that the overwhelming majority of the world's population have not figured that out, even though some of them have actually witnessed some aspects of BTC past price performance.
507  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 06, 2024, 06:34:53 PM
maybe I'd better scan back before being my usual asshat self

You said it.


 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy


better you than me.

 Tongue Tongue Tongue Tongue

Earthquake (4.8 mag) in New Jersey/NY!?
I would never thought that this area is active, seismologically.
Wow.

checks in for latest bitcoin blah blah blah.
yawn...memes... yawn..... jay talk ....yawn... bitcoin... buddy....yawn

Oh wow... an earthquake!  cool!  

(ok, maybe I'd better scan back before being my usual asshat self)
Well...bitcoin "announced" that it wants to sleep a little bit before the halving battle (or excitement).
Any good music for it to sleep tight?

Do you really think so?

I have my doubts.

Yeah, sure we are going through a bit more stickiness within this no man's land territory than I had expected to play out, yet I would hardly even anticipate that we are in any kind of boring price territory, and so in that regard, it seems that anyone who has been in bitcoin for a while (and has some clues about what it is) would be too complacent if we were to even contend that there is any kind of absence of a battle going on in these here price territories (even if on the surface we have the appearance of such apparent peace and tranquility).

Well...bitcoin "announced" that it wants to sleep a little bit before the halving battle (or excitement).
Any good music for it to sleep tight?
Queen's song We Are the Champions I think is enough for bedtime before the actual halving party celebration begins

There is some truth in a claim that "we have already won," and so in that regard, there are still a quite a few others still trying to figure out that part.

I am not going to battle you in regards to the substantively correctness of that chosen melody.

Observing 68-ish coffee just emptied and ready to do some CrossFit

Goodmorning gents

Interesting description of life activities.. and surely not exactly clear about whether coffee before exercising is a good thing..

I am merely pointing out the matter (observing coffee status), and I am not going to say that I know about the goodness, badness or even neutrality of such.. even though there can be questions (and even differing opinions) regarding such a practice/habit (not that I even know enough in regards to your coffee/exercise practices/habit).

Observing 68-ish coffee just emptied and ready to do some CrossFit

Goodmorning gents
good morning WOs.
I woke to pee my panties
so back to bed for me.

FTFY - haiku conversion for uie-pooie.

that's what you get when you leave blanks...  Tongue  Tongue Tongue Tongue


Just playing with some AI tools and ChartBuddy. Wink

Oh wow!!!!!

That's what chartbuddy looks like from the neck down.

Personally, I wouldn't want to meet CB in a dark alley.


He has already done enough.
Let him have a rest before he wake up for next bull run.

oh?   Shocked Shocked   

You really believe that be what "he" be doing right now?
508  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL! on: April 06, 2024, 05:40:39 PM
And maybe because there are some shitcoins that are tempting, but if you don't do a thorough analysis and don't do it well and don't follow it from the start it will be in vain and very risky.
Come on mate, there are no amounts of researches that can be convincing enough to get involved in shitcoins, they are just there for distractions, Bitcoin has proven to be the best in all ramifications and there is no way we can make any form of comparisons or make it looks like Bitcoin irrespective of the level of researches and analysis. Don't forget that supply has a major role to play in the market, Bitcoin has a limited supply of only 21million,  Bitcoin stability and entrepreneurship are far better than any other coins or is it about it's network effects and security Bitcoin are far better than then all,  but however as JJG will always say that don't do more than 10% involvement in to shit coins as compared to the size of your Bitcoin investment which is a very nice advice at that. There is no degree of researches and analysis that will make shitcoins involvement any less risky as when compared with Bitcoin.
Even though shitcoins only exist to divert attention, they have given people the opportunity to own Bitcoin by trading Bitcoin altcoin pairs or stable coins so they can buy Bitcoin. However, Bitcoin has proven to be the best compared to altcoins, so Bitcoin is still someone's main investment target.

They can use shitcoins only for smaller portions or for daily trading while they invest in Bitcoin by accumulating it using DCA. They can use the profits from trading altcoin pair Bitcoin or stablecoins to buy Bitcoin. That is one way to own Bitcoin, and it can also be used to carry out the DCA method.

But we have to remember that using shitcoins has a big risk because we don't know which shitcoins can provide profits, even though we can analyze them one by one. Not many shitcoins are able to survive for a long time while Bitcoin has proven to be able to survive for a long time.

You are making a difficult to justify argument michellee.

You are correct that in theory there could be opportunities available for some people to make money by trading shitcoins that would not otherwise be available to them in terms of their being able to earn money in other kinds of ways in terms of opportunities that might otherwise be available to them.

I am not going to say that it is impossible to build your BTC stash by trading shitcoins since there are likely some ways to accomplish that without gambling and/or risking too much of one's capital.. .. yet if there are ways that guys are able to earn money and put that into bitcoin, then that may well be a better way to continuously stack sats.. ..

Another problem is that if a guy might have figured out some way to stack sats, and maybe he has decided to use up to 10% of his bitcoin holdings, and so maybe he starts out with $10k of BTC holdings, and he is using around $1k of that amount to trade shitcoins, and so every month or so, he moves his profits from his shitcoin trading into bitcoin.. and so is this going to make any kind of meaningful difference to his bitcoin holdings versus getting some kind of job and trying to make as much as he can in order to buy bitcoin every month.. and yeah, maybe he can do both, but he is also engaging in various kinds of trade-offs in terms of how he is using his time (and perhaps to corrupt his brain) by fucking around with shitcoins.

Yeah, surely this thread is not about trading and/or fucking around with shitcoins, so maybe we are already getting too off topic and too distracted in terms of delving into the practicalities that some guys might be tempted into thinking that they are able to leverage some of their value and to put into various shitcoins to be able to earn more bitcoin than they might have had been able to just buy bitcoin through more normal and regular income-producing practices (such as earning income from working - whether in your own business or working for someone else)...   

Yeah, but if you did not have any BTC, then how are you going to know to wait before you buy?

Even if you started buying $100 per week of BTC on December 19, 2017, by now you would have had invested $32,700 and you would have accumulated 2.66 BTC (currently worth about $186k), so you would be right around 5.7x in profits... so there is no reason to be greedy or to be trying to second guess these kinds of matters.  The main thing is to get the fuck started and to establish a position, and surely a guy with 2.66 BTC is in a good place right now, but he still might feel that he does not quite have enough and he might feel that he needs to continue to invest at $100 per week or maybe even to be more aggressive in his weekly DCA amount.
I just have a small point that today bitcoin price is around $70k and if we are comparing last 7 years DCA till today then it looks good. But few months back price of Bitcoin was under $20k and at that spot thing might not look as ideal as they are today.

Part of the idea of the asymmetric bet to the upside and the fact that there is a lot of ongoing and inevitable volatility in bitcoin, those people who are trying to be too smart about the situation and to fuck around with trying to play BTC's inevitable price waves, they likely are going to end up getting caught on the wrong side of one wave or another and they should have had just stopped fucking around and concentrated on accumulating bitcoin until their BTC holdings get to a largely unambiguous state of overaccumulation. .. and so it is going to be more difficult to valuate these kinds of matters by getting sucked into watching BTC's spot price rather than attempting to put into practice more sound ways of valuating your BTC holdings and making sure that you are ongoingly accumulating it rather than fucking around with price waves that might end up contributing to your selling way too many BTC too soon and then you are not able to get those BTC back.... and just think about how many folks likely ended up selling too many of their BTC too soon in the last 6 months or so because they speculated that they might be able to buy back cheaper, including that there are likely going to be guys selling between current prices and $100k and maybe even up to $180k and thinking that they are smarter than everyone else, and so they end up selling too many BTC too soon becuase they conjecture that they have BTC's price waves all figured out rather than spending more time concentrating on their own personal situation and making sure that they continue to stack sats in a more consistent and persistent kind of way, even if they might end up buying some of their sats for way higher prices than what they might have had otherwise been able to do.

If BTC prices get up to $200k, would you rather have 10 BTC with an average price of $100k per BTC or 2 BTC for an average price of $40k?

Maybe this example is not that great, but there are a lot of variations of the same example in which you are going to be way the fuck better off to be continuing to accumulate BTC rather than fucking around trying to play waves and trying to get better prices or to try to get some sats for free because you bought lower than you sold... Yeah do what you like, but it you are not able to keep your eye on the prize and to keep focused on accumulating BTC through persistent and consistent buying of it, then you are likely going to end up not helping yourself in terms of your own approach to BTC.. especially since there are so many examples of BTC accumulators (and HODLers) doing way better than guys fucking around trying to trade BTC price waves in which they may or may not end up getting lucky... when dealing with an asset like BTC that we already have some pretty decent ideas to be the best asset known to man, so why fuck around with it, rather than staying focused on persistently and consistently accumulating it?

There is consent that some investment is better then zero investment. If I talk about myself then if I have been investing into bitcoin since 2017 then I might be in some good position. But since I started investment quite late so I have to wait for a while to see my portfolio in good position.

Hopefully you are not waiting too much, but instead you are persistently and consistently buying.

Otherwise I agree with you that it tends to take a long-ass time to build up any kind of investment portfolio, and if you have at least figured out that bitcoin is a good place to concentrate your efforts, then you are likely going to be in a better position from having that knowledge, even though you also realize that there are no guarantees in regards to your efforts to invest into bitcoin, so you have to figure out ways to balance your own ongoing consistent and persistent investment into bitcoin in such a way that you are able to survive the various inevitable BTC price waves without putting your BTC at risk or being forced to sell any of it absent your having had already reached some kind of level of over-accumulation that is a reasonable assessment based on your own circumstances and hopefully coming up with some system to measure the value of your BTC from bottom prices rather than from top prices (such as using the 200-WMA) as a means of making such value assessments.

[edited out]
......I don't know if you were trying to say that if we must indulge in shitcoins that it should be at most 5-10% of our portfolio and this was only suggested for those that can't bear to stay away from shitcoins and at times people can't control themselves and would also want to invest more and more until they may find themselves investing more to shitcoins than even Bitcoin.

Exactly!!! Investing into shitcoins - and/or trying to trade for the purpose of generating capital in order to invest (or accumulate) bitcoin is such a slippery slope that we can question the extent to which those kinds of folks are delusional in terms of their supposed abilities to actually make progress in stacking sats rather than ongoingly putting their capital at risk which sooner or later is likely to bite them in the ass, especially if they attribute skill to luck and don't really know how to employ sound practices to ensure that they are sufficiently/adequately hedging their bets, which is not easy to accomplish even for folks who spend a lot of time developing various kinds of trading skills/practices.

I won't be advising anyone who is just starting out his investment journey to be induging in this kind of activities cause it could be a major distraction for him and also wreak him if not careful,

That is part of the problem of the nutjob folks advising trading.  They try to present trading as if it were either a sure thing or as if it were a great place to spend time, energies and resources, and even though I am not opposed to ideas of guys learning new skills; hopefully they do not get so lured into beliefs that trading (and/or getting involved in shitcoins) is a good way to spend their time, energies and values rather than approaching their bitcoin from a more realistic perspective that has way greater chances of building value with the passage of time and ongoingly investing time, energies and value into bitcoin.. and yeah none of it is guaranteed, so each of us has to figure out our own balances... and hopefully we don't end up being either too dumb and/or greedy in our own ways of reaching our personal balances.

a better advice would be stay away from shitcoins and focus on building a solid portfolio with bitcoin and if you hold for long term you could well get even more profits than you could have made from investing or trading shitcoins, although they is no accurate guarantee that it might work out, but least it has a better chance than any shitcoin.

In this last paragraph, you captured the main thrust in regards to how any of us might want to attempt to focus ourselves.   Wink
509  Other / Serious discussion / Re: Tomorrow you wake up, You got 50000$ in your hand. What will you do? on: April 06, 2024, 04:38:37 PM
If I were to suddenly receive a windfall like that, my approach would depend on my financial goals, risk tolerance, and current circumstances. I might allocate a portion to savings or investments for long-term growth, diversifying across assets like Bitcoin or stocks. Additionally, I'd consider using some funds for experiences or enjoyment, such as travel or personal development. It's important to balance prudence with seizing opportunities and enjoying life, so I would likely create a well-thought-out plan to make the most of the unexpected wealth.
Now, this is a good idea. Start out by developing a plan that has potentially investment components and also consumption components and then figure out how much is going to go towards each broad category and then thereafter narrow it down to more narrow ideas within each of the categories.. .. that sounds good.. ... part investment and part consumption, and how you divide up the investment versus consumption would depend in part upon how far you already are in your investment journey..
I buy this idea, firstly having a set plans and following through, using scale of preference, of which you start from the most prioritize one which for me is building a solid bitcoin portfolio first because I haven't accumulated much neither have I tried enough in respect to my bitcoin investment after that I can diversify after calculating  certain percentage that would be allocated from my finances monthly into Real Estate, buying of shares, and also owning a physical business.

Over the years I found out that the wealthy keep growing, and maintaining there wealth which is as a result of prioritizing growth, personal development over self-pleasure. The reason some are still stuck is because they are blind to recognize opportunities and make good use of it, they feel the right time is not now or they will need to have $1m before they think of something which I reality is far from the truth. Life is funny because it won't present opportunities the way you want it, everyone wants to live a happy lif but just few understand the system, I would invest the $50K, its worth it, because I know this $50k can worth $150k or more overtime than eating snacks, pizzas, going on vacation that I would spend instead of gaining especially in this my growth stage. Common on that's will be a mess. Am not saying doing all this is bad, but with proper planning you will know how to go about it,don't give room for Mediocrity.
In as much as everyone is entitled to there opinion, decisions likewise everyone will enjoy the dividend of there action.

Surely you seem to be justifying the deferred gratification idea, which also seems to imply a kind of situation in which you already have a system in place in which you are sufficiently gratified, so when you receive an additional $50k by surprise, you are able to pretty much dedicate all of it towards investing rather than consumption, since presumptively you are suggesting that you already have your consumption systems in place...

Even having had said all of that, I cannot really blame guys who want to dedicate a certain percent of the new value to consumption, but yeah, since the value is a surprise amount, it is difficult to consider that it would be necessary to dedicate very high amounts of that new surprise value to consumption rather than to investing... and perhaps one of the ONLY exceptions would be if your investment situation is already in a very strong place, so then when the $50k comes in, you do not feel any need to add  it to your investment, since you already have a very strong investment situation.. ..so then in that kind of a situation, you end up allocating more of that $50k towards the consumption side rather than towards the investment side..

So for example, if a guy had established an entry-level fuck you status of $2 million,** yet he finds himself with around $10 million in value of his various investments (whether bitcoin or otherwise), so since he is around 5x higher than his goal, then he might already feel that he is overly invested, and so in that kind of a circumstance, he might end up putting most if all into the consumption side of the equation rather than in the investment side.

** Note:These numbers should largely work the same if we were to consider $200k versus $1 million (1/10th the above-described amount).. in terms of whatever a guy might consider his own idea of entry-level fuck you status... yet of course, $50k ends up being a way higher relative amount in terms of a guy who considers entry-level fuck you status as $200k versus the guy who considers entry-level fuck you status as $2 million, yet similar principles would still apply in regards to a guy who finds himself some proportion of multiples above his entry-level fuck you status tending to give lower priority towards needing to invest with any new amount as opposed to being o.k. with any decision to allocate that amount towards consumption
510  Economy / Speculation / Re: hold is gold on: April 06, 2024, 04:21:49 PM
Dont forget the most vital of all, Hold Hold Hold.  Its literally gold standard advice that you will just do better holding onto something rather the constant speculation as to buy or sell.  Very few people should speculate rather then hold because not many of us are of that caliber to do better then the market.   Also you will just have your own priorities when to buy or sell which conflict with the actual best timing in the cycle, your ability to be objective is unlikely to remain intact unfortunately.

The best advice is certainly hold onto a well performing asset, despite all the steep negative declines BTC has had along the way its overall done incredibly well.  It does not make sense to sell a high performing asset in order to hold Dollars which are like candy floss in the rain comparatively.  If you mean to consume it immediately then sure people I get bills have to be paid but in general dont sell dont imagine you are a great speculator of assets, commodities or anything in particular.
Holding would really be just that totally be depending on the coins that you are holding whether it would really be worth the hold or not, we do know that when it comes to long term then we would really be definitely
be going for Bitcoin and some top L1's that we do have currently on the market on which it would really be that something that depends into your choice but we arent that not numb on not to see on how these coins
fly out with colors all over the years that has passed.It is really just that there are really those people who cant really be able to bare up on holding up for too long.
This is why they cant really be able to hold up their position for too long and when market did have that kind of bullish run then this is where they would really be starting on sharing up their
regrets and those sad words that they should have done this and that.

There is no such thing as "top L1s" except for bitcoin.  So hopefully members are not so retarded as to hold any more than 10% of the size of their bitcon holdings in various shitcoins .. and 10% would be the max for guys who cannot resist but to gamble, which is what you are doing with any shitcoin(s) that you choose to hold..

and another thing, don't be trying to cheat by continuing to invest into shitcoins (by reallocating and engaging in various other potential loopholes to put more value into shit that you are not even able to name - except for claiming that they are "top L1" which is just a bullshit kind of an idea anyhow) when they are losing value unless you might be injecting new money into shitcoins, then surely you could buy up to 10% with your new money for any amount of shitcoins that would be measured from the new money that you would end up putting into bitcoin and then allowing yourself to put up to 10% of that new money value into various shitcoins... .and surely with any gambler, they may well find ways to  allocate more into their gambling habit than they should be doing, so hopefully, for your own good, you are able to figure out ways to limit your temptations to gamble into the shiny objects that are known as shitcoins... but yeah, shitcoiners and gamblers are going to shitcoin/gamble.
511  Economy / Speculation / Re: 100 Push-Ups A Day Until Bitcoin Is $100K Challenge on: April 06, 2024, 03:52:38 PM
I haven't tried to go beyond 50 at a time yet and it's been a week or two probably since I went to 50.  40 has gotten pretty normal and 20 feels like nothing now.  I should probably try pushing myself to see how many I can do just to get a feel for how far away I am from 100 at once, but I'll wait until after the halving for that.

I should probably write my push-ups down too.  This has become just as much an exercise of my memory recall as it has been my chest muscles.  

I will say that I'm a bit surprised at the visual effect this has had on my core.  I didn't expect to build *** gutters from this challenge.
You do it gradually it's good enough, if you want to exceed the number of push-up sessions you do, it may take time to repeat.
When I first did push-ups, I did at 5 sessions of 10/10/10/10/10 with a rest gap of 1-minute to rest the muscles.

Don't push too hard if you can only afford 40 at a time in one session.
If 40 is done quite easily and quickly, then increase it.

100 at a time I did, but it was quite heavy for the first time I did.
And the effects of bibs such as burning and some back injuries can also occur if not done properly

I did it for 3 months and already seen the mass of bibs increasing and the visual shape of the body changing.

Surely if you are fairly young and somewhat athletic, then you are more likely able to build your muscles more easily than an older person, yet I don't know how any member would expect to be able to just double his pushup plateau point.. When I was in the practice of training for running marathons, I would frequently assert that if any regular runner has a training distance that is regular, he should be able to double such distance for a one time kind of event.. such as a marathon and still be able to get through the whole distance with a matter of pacing himself..

Yet the same thing is likely not even close to true with something like pushups.. You cannot just double your amounts, even if maybe you are regularly not doing them to a point of failure.. and if you are continuously doing your pushups to a point of failure, then I have difficulties understanding how you would just be able to increase the amount.. because your body is going to fail..

Maybe you can squeak out an additional 5% or 10%, but if you are continuously carrying out a certain quantity of pushups to failure, you are not going to just automatically be able to either double the amount or even to just squeak out another 30% to 50%, and surely 5% to 10% is more realistic, even though surely every once in a while you might be able to level up a bit higher amounts such as in the range of 20% or so.. but it seems unrealistic to be expecting abilities to just ramp up your pushups by greater than 30% in any short-period of time merely due to will power, especially if you are already working yourself to failure points.. and more so for more elderly people even though younger folks in their 20-40 range might be able to have a lot more hidden underlying muscle potential that previously they had not realized that they had.

I believe the push ups is now having a positive effects on those of us who're taking it seriously and I wish the market price would take us as serious as we're taking this challenge to elevate to a new ATH.
A new month and another new week which is coming to an end with no positive movement of Bitcoin price, still roaming around $60k to the current price which is $68k, I feel that next week is going to be another new beginning with the price going back up to $70k+ to boost the hope of getting to $100k, let's see what this month has in store for us.
There are a lot of ways in which we could look at the matter, including that the BTC price is not really correcting greatly, so it could be the case that our pushups are contributing to the Bitcoin price's refusal to correct greatly.
Honestly I thought about that but it seems things was going to be in good shape and we could have another positive movement but it seems like the correction isn't having any effect in a very long time. I still have that hope of seeing the price to take a new turn, I feel like if we add up the number of push up Bitcoin price will rise again.

Of course, I have been playing along with your little funzies, yet for sure, I have noticed quite a few of your posts in recent times, and surely you seem to be lacking in terms of your long term commitment to BTC, including that you seem to be wanting to shave off some profits rather than continuously buying BTC and/or taking advantage of BTC price dips.

So, I get the sense that you are not even close to a point of over-accumulation but instead you are wanting to sell BTC to be able to buy back cheaper, which is not a good way of thinking about BTC and it is likely going to continue to contribute to your own stress based on your lack of an approach to BTC that focuses further into the future.

You are ONLY able to help yourself in regards to the extent that you are able to figure out some long term approach to bitcoin rather than getting worried about short term price moves and probably your desire to shave some BTC off (and perhaps all (or too much) of your BTC holdings) so that you can buy more back cheaper (which may or may not end up working out).  

You have been registered on the forum for almost a year and a half.. but you probably need to just continue to figure out ways to accumulate BTC and don't get so worried about BTC price and/or points in which you can sell some of your holdings, and perhaps after 10-15 years or longer, you will start to feel that you really have ended up building a lot of options for yourself with both the amount that you put into BTC and its likely appreciation during the time of your building your holdings of it..

Of course, there are no guarantees in whatever we do, but each of us needs to figure out some kind of a strategy that allows us to actually benefit from BTC rather than fucking around with trying to trade the best asset known to man and widely available to anyone who is able to recognize, appreciate and adequately build their own BTC stash to improve their own life during this seemingly ongoing greatest transfer of wealth in history and preference to be on the receiving side of such wealth transfer rather than either being disconnected or even ending up on the giving side or it.

..... because we all believe that after the halving , Bitcoin next ATH would be around price range of $100k and above.

You seem to be low balling BTC if you are keeping $100k as your framing of the next ATH.. even though you mentioned $100k and above, your mindset is surely lowballing the idea.. even though surely we might ONLY end up with lower numbers, and there is also no guarantee that BTC will go up from here.. but still the base case is likely way the fuck greater than $100k-ish, even if the base case still might ONLY have 30% or so odds of happening, the idea of a base case is that it is the most likely of any of the possibilities, at least at the time that the assertion is made.

I should probably write my push-ups down too.  This has become just as much an exercise of my memory recall as it has been my chest muscles
lol that would actually be a great idea , keeping note of your pushups by writing it down, that where kinda messed up I wasn't keeping proper note of my pushups and I endup forgetting some ,

Any of us who makes a plan to do something like this every day likely is going to be advantaged in terms of keeping track by writing it down.. helps to both keep us serious, but also gives a more accurate ability to verify the extent to which progress is being made or not..

Surely, we can see if we are able  to increase the amount of pushups that we do if it goes from 20, 35 to 50, etc, but there can be a lot more granular ways of measuring progress that might not be very apparent without some kind of note taking.

I know a category that I could include would be regarding which parts of my body hurt and how much, since that has also seemed to have had changed over time... but I am not keeping track of body pains in my notes.. but it could help when something so intense like this is playing out.. 5 times per day.. holy shit.. for 62 days so far.. that is a lot of activity and time spent with this.. even though I started out with 2-3 times per day and the got to 4 times per day and I ONLY have been doing 5 times per day in the last 41 days.. but it is still a lot.

Another thing that I just realized in regards to writing down your quantity of pushups for each set, perhaps what time you did them, how long it took you to do them and perhaps how you felt (areas of pain), there can also be some difficulties in keeping track of how many pushups you are doing while you are doing them because sometimes you might be trying to breath, or thinking about the pain and the exertion, but then you also might lose track of the count.. so even then, there is likely some value in terms of both knowing that you are going to be writing it down to contribute towards your attempt to keep track of it and also your writing it down right away so that you don't forget and/or mix up what you had actually done since you might have other things going on in your life and distracting you from remembering and/or keeping track of whichever kinds of specifics you determine to be important to you now and/or what specifics you might want to have in written form when you are reviewing what you had accomplished when it comes to time passing down the road.. which I would have hardly any clue regarding the specifics of what I had done in regards to daily pushups one or two months ago, even though maybe I have some vague memory of it.. but writing it down causes it to be a much more reliable reference point..

but I do remembered that at first I was not hitting 100 daily , at that time hit my pushups depending on Bitcoin recent price , like now Bitcoin around $67k , i would hit 67 pushups because that time was trying to get used to it . Then started using set to hit 100 pushups daily but to be honest I was not being consistent with it .now I'm just doing some warmup pushups not upto 100 though , like 50 and sometimes when am feeling stress out I will just do 30 . But i believe that after the upcoming halving , I will definitely begin my 100 pushups again but this time I will make sure I note down my pushups after hitting it daily. And I also believe that after the upcoming halving this thread would be more active with alot of users wanting to participate in this challenge because at that Bitcoin movement would be our motive.

I am not sure how the halvening is going to affect participation in this thread.  I would imagine that the longer the thread lasts, the more and more guys are going to drop off from doing their pushups daily and several guys will lose interest, without necessarily writing to tell us that they had lost interest... It is not an easy task to both keep up doing the pushups and also to talk about it.. and perhaps talking about it does help to keep it going - even though even ongoing talking about it might still not be enough to motivate everyone to do their pushups even if they want to do it, it hurts to do them.. and to continue to do them several times per day and consistently do them.. ouch!!!.. having said that, I am going to do my second set for today.. .. right around 2 hours after my first set for today..
512  Economy / Speculation / Re: Road to 100k? on: April 06, 2024, 03:11:25 PM
-
The reason that the price tends to go up after a halvening is that it might take a bit of time for the lowering of the new supply to be felt, yet this time around, it appears that there is an ongoing pressure on the BTC supply that had not been so much present in earlier halvenings, so if the ongoing pressures continue to be put on the existing BTC supply, then surely the BTC price will go up and it will allow for more BTC to be available for sale, yet it if the buying pressure is greater than the amount of coins that existing BTC holders are ready, willing and/or able to sell, then the BTC price will go up until a sufficient amount of BTC supply is made available for the various ongoing new BTC buyers are able to get their BTC (in this case quite a bit still seems to be coming from the new BTC ETF issuers).
In addition, prices tend to rise because this is the reward miners deserve so they can maintain their business. If prices don't rise, I really believe that many miners will have to go out of business because they can't afford the mining industry because of the lower reward they get per block. I'm not sure about how much it will affect miners, but it will definitely have an impact.

I so far agree that bitcoin will get more expensive over time, but I have to ignore short-term volatility and set targets in the long term. Of course $100k is on the way, but we never know how quickly $100k can be reached after the halving.
Yes the halving event has an impact on the miners such that their rewards for mining new btc reduces by 50% and this will affect more on miners that has high production cost while those with lower production cost will not feel much of the impact as compared with those that has higher production cost because the rewards for mining a block will be half.

Generally what you are saying Tmoonz is correct, but you said it in a way that is not technically correct - especially since all miners are going to end up feeling the impact of the halvening, yet some miners who are more efficient are going to be able to survive the halvening more easily, and it is quite likely that some of the less efficient miners are going to end up getting forced out of business, but it is also possible that the fact that the BTC price has largely already more than doubled over the past 6 months so several of the less efficient miners will still be able to continue to survive, including if the BTC price continues to go up, then the rising of the BTC price will end up contributing towards less efficient miners to continue to survive when they might have been forced out of business if the BTC price had not gone up as much.

Another simultaneous mining dynamic is the ongoing and persistent rising of the difficulty level and the amount of hashpower that has to come into play in order to be able to have some chances of winning some blocks, which surely raises the costs of operating miners and also there likely are some real world dynamics that have to do with ongoingly seeking out low energy costs and potentially jurisdictions that are not hostile towards mining in terms of either putting more costs on miners or even potentially not honoring their property rights so putting their equipment and even their freedom at risk if they were to choose to operate in certain jurisdictions as opposed to other jurisdictions.

The opportunity for bitcoin's price to reach $100k is very close and I believe that price target can be achieved in the middle of the year or after the halving occurs, but it is possible that it can be achieved before the halving too if for example the current correction occurs, because bitcoin has not experienced a significant correction after the market increase from the beginning last February, so make sure you wait for lower prices to start investing in your portfolio.
I disagree with you on this and I think waiting for a lower price has not been the best advice unless you are a trader and not an investor, because you might wait and missed out of buying opportunity and you can't determine how much low or high is going to be , you can be waiting for a lower price and Bitcoin will surg higher and never come back to that very price you saw it, but with your dca strategy you don't wait for any lower price rather you buy with a fixed amount of money at different intervals either weekly or monthly irrespective of the price point and as well make an arrangement to buy wholesomely or lump sum buying when ever the price is lower which gives you an opportunity of buying more Bitcoin at a lower price.

You are correct that it is not a good practice to wait for down before up, when down may or may not end up happening.. sure it might happen, but it might not.. so therefore, erep's proclamation is erroneous when he is asserting that bitcoin has high chances of correcting merely because it had gone up a lot in recent times.   

I do find it problematic for members, such as you Tmoonz, to continue to conflate the terms of lump sum buying and buying on dips, since there are meaningful differences in the concepts and the practices and the reasons why someone might lump sum invest versus buying on dips... In other words, there is no need to refer to some form of buying on dips as lump sum merely since you might be buying more BTC than what you would usually buy...

The idea of lump sum is having some amount of BTC that you are holding right now (whether you got it from surprise source or you made such amount available to you by moving it from some other location or if you take out a loan), and you decide right now in regards to how much of that amount that you are going to invest right now with that amount that is currently available to you... so that amount that you would use to buy right now is not necessarily connected with whether or not there is a dip, but instead connected with your own decision regarding how much of that amount that is available right now that you want to use to buy BTC right now in order to prepare for UP that may or may not end up happening.

Anyhow, the main thing I am continuing to suggest is that lump sum and buying on dips is different.
513  Economy / Speculation / Re: Top 20 days for Bitcoin on: April 06, 2024, 02:36:36 PM
Good we dropped the 2021 number 1 notch  today

Little by little, we are going to eek out those 2021 dates.. .. but I would imagine that the odds are quite high that it is likely to take more than 82 days to accomplish such eekening...

Not impossible to do it in 82 days, but seems like  a long shot-- maybe greater than 90% odds of taking longer than 82 days.

Poor us.

Don't get me wrong.  I am not much of a subscriber to any theories regarding "down before up" since there are several ways in which we might not end up accomplishing ONLY "UP only" from here... so in that regard, I am continuously suggesting that folks make sure that they are prepared for UP.. .. but still, how could we assign less than 90% odds towards ONLY 82 days remaining to knock out the remaining 2021 dates?
514  Other / Serious discussion / Re: Five best nuts that works for anti- aging on: April 06, 2024, 01:28:09 AM
According to dietitians, there are nuts that are anti-aging and keeps you young looking. These nuts are all over the place in our environment but we hardly discover their importance. They are,
Almonds, Walnuts, Pistachios, Cashews, Brazil Nuts

I miss pecans in that list.

Nuts are also helpful to control type 2 diabetes.

The bad thing about nuts is that they contain carbohydrates and also that it's easy to overdue them. I take them from time to time but they are not part of my daily diet. Fatty meats, eggs and butter are the basis of my diet.

I question if there might be a bit of propaganda going on in these here parts trying to steer folks away from the actual benefits of natural saturated fats and the fats in meats, eggs, bacon etc...  .. sure nothing wrong with a few nuts here and there, but there might be a bit problematic to be eating too many nuts and getting led into beliefs and/or propaganda that   animal fats and proteins are not as good for you when animal fats and proteins might even be better.. yet even that is not clear about the benefits of ruminants over other kinds of animal meats..
515  Other / Serious discussion / Re: Tomorrow you wake up, You got 50000$ in your hand. What will you do? on: April 06, 2024, 01:02:24 AM
If that's enough to buy me a comfortable house, I'd love to do it. It's been one of my goals to have my own house of my design but I don't think that's going to be enough considering the inflation and cost of materials have been increasing.

So, as a solution, I'll just put it all in to Bitcoin and the roller coaster ride determine its future use and that might be my ticket to that house that I have been dreaming of designing.

And if there are some excess, some vacation to release the stress hormones that I have acquired all of these years.

Well, just think at the time of the start of this thread, investing a good amount of the $50k into bitcoin would have done quite well for anyone with such insight in terms of investing rather than strict consumption.  Surely there is nothing wrong with consumption, but if you think about the thrust of the responses in this thread, it is not easy to figure out how so many guys seem to first think of consumption and many also talk about investing into various other things that are not called bitcoin, even though surely we are in a bitcoin forum and many of us should have already come to the conclusion that bitcoin is a good investment....

Think about the hypothetical one more time.. it is an extra $50k that you had not otherwise expected to have.  

So surely there should be differences in the financial status and/or the financial preparations of guys in regards to their buying bitcoin, yet might we not already assume that guys in this forum already have some kind of bitcoin related investment plan that also may well involve a kind of projection in regards to where the guy is going and how long it might take to get there, so then $50k should advance the journey, so surely it could be possible to divide the $50k into four quarters, and so then maybe 1/4 goes into bitcoin right away, 1/4 goes towards buying on dip and DCA, maybe another 1/4 goes into shoring up cash reserves and other aspects in which a guy's finances might be coming up short. .and maybe another 1/4 could go towards consumption - though that seems a bit much.. maybe just 1/10 goes towards some various kinds of consumption.

Compare investing into bitcoin at the time of the start of this thread in August 2023, and so at the time of the starting of this thread there would have been considerable opportunities to buy bitcoin between around $26.2k and perhaps $27.5k depending on how the timing of the BTC buys went.

Of course your response to this thread (jossiel) was in early November 2023, so even then, BTC prices had largely been bouncing around in the price range of $36k to $38k, so it might have been perceived that some of the bitcoin opportunities had gone, but then again, where are we trying to go with our investment and what is our timeline, so if we put some or most of the money into bitcoin, since we conclude that it is not quite enough to invest it into something that costs way more capital, such as a personal property, then we might consider the personal property as one of our aims, yet it still seems problematic to sacrifice investing too much into property and to deplete our BTC investment, so there could surely be ways to attempt to achieve both, yet we would still need to build our BTC and also hope that our BTC is growing alongside with the investments that we put into it. with the time of your post.

Even with your March 2016 forum registration date, jossiel, you may well could be in a position in which you might have already built your own amount of BTC that some day you might use some portion of your BTC to buy a house, even though I question anyone who supposedly knows about bitcoin and who feels compelled to rush into real estate and/or concluding that it is better to be in real estate than it is to be in bitcoin... so there likely is some need for balance in terms of how much value to keep in various kinds of assets that are not bitcoin... and which place is going to be better to hold your value and/or how to balance those various interests.

Of course someone investing $100 per week into bitcoin for the past 8 years would have had invested around $42k and would have had accumulated nearly 12 BTC, which surely should give more options for buying a house, even if it might be just shaving off some portion of those BTC to invest into a house.

Getting the money today, would not necessarily materially change the kinds of weighing of the decisions and the balancing as compared with mid-August 2023 or early November 2023, even though there is a real life fact that BTC prices have come up around close to 2.5x since August 2023 and around 1.8x since November 2023, yet I am not sure if the mere appreciation of BTC prices would necessarily change the allocations, yet no matter what the amounts are still getting plugged into systems that the guy is already following, so likely there would be areas in which the cash side of his budget could be buttressed and other areas in which the investment side of his budget could be buttressed.. . .so sure there could end up being some differences based on differences in the BTC price, yet we are also ONLY able to act from today (or tomorrow, since OP mentions that we would be receiving the $50k amount "tomorrow.") , we cannot turn back the clock.

Set aside money for taxes, no-one mentioned that yet.

After I set aside 35% for taxes, I would first max out my roth IRA

Taxes                            17500
Roth IRA                       6000
Fix my fucked up car      5000
Home repairs                10000

Keep the remainder as an emergency fund.
Continue life as normal

How did no one else mention setting aside money for taxes?

The example did not say anything about having to pay taxes, and so the hypothetical seems to be that you have $50,000, so maybe you need to get some tax consulting with that money, but I would not assume that it would necessarily be the case that the amount is taxable, so in that regard, I am having trouble presuming that there is going to be a necessity to pay taxes on the amount received...  

Another thing you mentioned some places that you would put the money, yet you did not say anything about investing into bitcoin - which surely seems surprising.

Of course, I look at your forum registration date and I see that you have been here since October 2012 - so surely it could be that you did not mention buying any bitcoin since you already have enough bitcoin or you have too much bitcoin, so yeah, that could be understandable in terms of a possible explanation why you did not mention anything about buying any bitcoin with the extra windfall money, namely the $50k freebee money that rolled into one of our accounts.

If I were to suddenly receive a windfall like that, my approach would depend on my financial goals, risk tolerance, and current circumstances. I might allocate a portion to savings or investments for long-term growth, diversifying across assets like Bitcoin or stocks. Additionally, I'd consider using some funds for experiences or enjoyment, such as travel or personal development. It's important to balance prudence with seizing opportunities and enjoying life, so I would likely create a well-thought-out plan to make the most of the unexpected wealth.

Now, this is a good idea. Start out by developing a plan that has potentially investment components and also consumption components and then figure out how much is going to go towards each broad category and then thereafter narrow it down to more narrow ideas within each of the categories.. .. that sounds good.. ... part investment and part consumption, and how you divide up the investment versus consumption would depend in part upon how far you already are in your investment journey..
516  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 05, 2024, 06:13:38 PM
$BTC Alert  🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

Be careful, the cycle of history repeats itself! Remember 2022 when $BTC  dropped from $48,200 to $16,500 in just a few weeks?
Now, in 2024, many expect the value of Bitcoin to skyrocket to $150,000, but let's learn from the past.
Big whales manipulate the market by using mainstream media to attract optimistic investors.
When profits reach their peak, they quickly retreat and leave others in the dust.
Don't fall victim to their game!Act wisely.
Consider securing your funds now as the Bitcoin price hovers around 70k.
History shows us that Bitcoin may not break $75,000 this year. Protect your investments,

You sound like a dumb little twat.

Most people need protection in order to make sure that they have enough BTC, and your drawing attention to some possible fall of BTC comes off as someone who does not know anything.

Yeah, maybe there is a need to be ready to buy any dip that might come, but the mere fact that BTC prices are breaking new ATHs does not necessarily mean that any meaningful correction is going to happen.. yeah, it might, but it might not, so hopefully dumb little twats like you realize that it is good to make sure that you are prepared for either direction and not just overly preparing for one direction that may or may not end up happening and end up under-preparing for another direction that may or may not happen too, but you still better make sure that you are sufficiently/adequately prepared for UP, which seems to be amongst the greatest problems that an overwhelming number of normies still face.. they are either no coiners or they are low coiners and they might be low coiners without actually realizing it.. .
517  Economy / Speculation / Re: 100 Push-Ups A Day Until Bitcoin Is $100K Challenge on: April 05, 2024, 05:58:17 PM
Sure, no problem.  Doing pushups seems to be a good thing to continue... and I doubt any has proposed that we should stop doing them, even though of course on an individual level, there are frequently assertions that it remains difficult to continue to do the daily pushups.  I am currently on day 61 and I will be going over 10,000 pushups at some point today.  Probably my next set, since my exact number is 9,965 right now, and I have ONLY done my first set for today..  I was thinking about only doing 35 pushups for each set today, but then when I went to do my first set, I ended up doing 50 pushups.... so yeah, sometimes there can be feelings about not wanting to do so many pushups. but at teh same time some difficulties in stopping too.. .. so yeah, it looks like by the end of today, my average quantity of pushups per day is going to be at about 166 pushups per day.. .. and so it works.. but it still can feel a bit physically and psychologically draining to continue to do 5 sets of pushups every day.. at least for the past 40 days..
Exercise is fun, especially when you are used to it. If you have not done your exercise, before you know it your muscles will be motivating you to do it. After if you have not done it yet, it will look like you are weak, not until you are done doing your exercise. I don't have a specific amount of push ups that I do everyday, because sometimes my muscles will allow me do more than expected, and sometimes they will be weak, and I would not be able to reach my expected numbers.

One good thing is that, you will always be fit at all time, as long as you continue with your push ups. Burning fat is the most achieved in exercise.
but it still can feel a bit physically and psychologically draining to continue to do 5 sets of pushups every day.. at least for the past 40 days..
No pain...no growth.

Mostly the amount of pushups per day has been growing, even though I have been feeling some stagnation in the quantity of pushups per day, but if I look at my chart, the quantity is still growing. and sure I have a cushion, so I could choose to do fewer pushups per day, just to take a rest.. and maybe other guys are going through similar kinds of questions regarding if they are liking the quantity of pushups that they continue to do.. or if they need to adjust upwardly or downwardly.

Today marks 6,400 push-ups for me.  I'm glad I pushed through the pain as I'm feeling much better these days.  I've even had to add in more workout routines as only doing 100 push-ups per day has gotten too easy.  Now to see if I can replicate the same type of success with the rest of my body.  I still haven't done more than 50 in a single set yet, but I probably could if I wanted to.  I'm switching up my reps every day.  Usually it's something like 25/25/25/25 or 40/30/20/10 but I've found when I was doing the same thing every day it got more difficult to remember, so I try to keep things unique daily.  I still like the idea of doing 100 push-ups in a single set when BTC hits $100,000 and will make a solid effort get there.

I have only been able to 55 pushups 4 or 5 times and 54 pushups once.   Frequently I try to push to do as many as I can, and I tend to end up in the 40-45 range, so every once in a while I can do more than that.. .pretty rare as you see..   there may have been a few times that I still have gas in the tank, but I don't necessarily want to push it.. or there might be other times that I cannot even do 40 pushups.. but that is also starting to be pretty rare too..

As far as remembering, I just write it down right away.. so that I don't forget.
518  Economy / Speculation / Re: Buy Buy Buy or Sell Sell Sell? on: April 05, 2024, 05:54:08 PM
Quote from: Ricardo11
Bitcoin is always the best currency to invest in. If you invest in Bitcoin now, you will forget about that investment for some time after the investment. And only keep an eye on bitcoin price when it crosses 100k, because we all know and believe that bitcoin price will definitely go above 100k. If you look at the Bitcoin price chart for the last few days, you can see that the price of Bitcoin has increased amazingly in the last few days. So you invest and hold without panicking. And never think to selling.
BTC Still remain the king among other cryptocurrencies, buy it when the price is low and hodl it for long like 2 or 3 years before you can sell and, it will make you to achieve a big reward from your hodling.

You are likely thinking more like a trader rather than an investor if you believe that 2-3 years is "long term."

You have been registered on the forum for nearly 3.5 years, so you are coming upon a full cycle, and there could have had been ways that you establish a bitcoin position in less than a full cycle, but if you are building your BTC holdings for the long term, it could take you years and years and years to build a bitcoin position.

Even if you had started buying BTC at $500 per week at around the time of your forum registration date, you would have invested nearly $90k and you would have accumulated slightly less than 3 BTC, and financially you would not necessarily be in a bad place, and sure there could have had been ways to better accumulate your BTC position and/or to buy BTC on dips and/or lump sum and front load your investment, but it still can take a while to build your bitcoin holdings, even if you might happen to be able to figure out when the dips are. 
 
This bull run that happened last month made many hodlers

Bull runs do not happen like that.  You are using the wrong term.

We have been in a bull market since about late 2022, even though we might not have had realized it until mid to late 2023.

to believed that $100k will hit the market before the end of this year

Sure it might and it might hit before the halvening. though the odds for before the halvening is not looking as good.. but it is looking a lot better than it did last October when Adam Back had made the bet about $100k prior to the halvening.. he kind of appeared like a nutjob, but not so much now.. especially now that we are ONLY around 30% to 35% from $100k as I type.
 
because, the price of BTC was close to $80k  last month to make some hodlers to released their BTC but some hodlers believe that the price will still go higher to reach $100k before they can sell to make profit that will make them to increase their capital in the next bear season.

Have you been trading the whole time that you have been in bitcoin?  Do you think trading outperforms buying and accumulating? 

Personally it seems problematic from my perspective for guys to believe that they can accumulate more BTC by selling BTC rather than by buying... but sure everyone has their techniques and hopefully you are able to reach your goals and/or to build your BTC stash, but yeah if you don't recognize BTC as valuable, you might be spending too much time stacking dollars rather than stacking sats and that is likely NOT going to end up being as good of a place to be, even if it may well take a bit of time to build up a decent-sized BTC stash.
519  Economy / Speculation / Re: Road to 100k? on: April 05, 2024, 05:32:22 PM
If I'm not mistaking, the historical ATH performance hitted around $76,000 plus. Op you need to understand that the season that approaches the halving periods is usually a valuable where the market price goes higher and then befalls in a slash of half during the halving.
What I don't understand is if did you expects a higher increments in the market cap as you may feel so excited about the market increase in value even before the halving. Be assured that during this halving, the value of bitcoin Will depreciate effectively so, don't expect high or higher prices.

To me, it sounds like you don't know what the halvening is.

It is the halvening of the new issuance of bitcoin, so instead of 6.25 BTC rewarded every 10 minutes it is only 3.125 BTC every 10 minutes, which also could be translated as a reduction from 900 new BTC per day to 450 new BTC per day.. It does not effect the existing supply, except perhaps to put more pressure on the existing supply since fewer amounts of new BTC is coming onto the market.

Another thing that is NOT of immediate effect is that there is something like 100 blocks, so the miner cannot spend the newly minted coins until the next day.. so it is not a very long delay before the newly issued coins can be spent.

The reason that the price tends to go up after a halvening is that it might take a bit of time for the lowering of the new supply to be felt, yet this time around, it appears that there is an ongoing pressure on the BTC supply that had not been so much present in earlier halvenings, so if the ongoing pressures continue to be put on the existing BTC supply, then surely the BTC price will go up and it will allow for more BTC to be available for sale, yet it if the buying pressure is greater than the amount of coins that existing BTC holders are ready, willing and/or able to sell, then the BTC price will go up until a sufficient amount of BTC supply is made available for the various ongoing new BTC buyers are able to get their BTC (in this case quite a bit still seems to be coming from the new BTC ETF issuers).
520  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: April 05, 2024, 05:11:48 PM
Speaking of fillippone, I am pretty sure that he is also expecting a gift from proudhon somewhere upon bitcoin reaching the early 6 figures, and it might have even been something like 0.1 BTC, but I cannot recall exactly..
Exact reference:

<...>Target price: 170,000 USD

Not bad.
Bullish.
My body is ready.
Money is going to leave the bitcoin ecosystem over the next 12 months (and forever after on average). Bitcoin will never reach that price. If it does, I'll buy $10k worth and give it to you.
Quoted for reference.
Please someone help me remember when it happens!
Still pretty confident I will eventually cash in those SATs in a very short time. On a “great scheme of things” scale.

It is a bit funny in regards to how he said it, and especially saying that if the BTC price reaches $170k, then he will buy $10k and give them to you, so in essence that would be $170k/$10k = 0.05882353 BTC - and yeah of course, he seems to be wanting to create an impression that he is not holding BTC, and maybe it does not matter if he were to just send you 0.05882353 BTC or if he were to buy them with dollars first.   

When you take a look at the some forum posts, you will be amazed at how many people are wondering if the bull run is over and if they should sell their BTC - which means that they have no sense of the times they are in.

But it makes me sad when I know who is going to buy theier BTC if those people are selling.
If people haven’t figured out the four year cycle by now, it’s sort of their own fault. It should have been obvious to everyone by 2018 what was going on.

It is good to know about the four year cycle, but not necessarily to get too attached to them or to try to play them unless you have already determined that you have enough BTC or more than enough.. ..

yet, I know guys are going to try to play the cycle and they might not necessarily yet be in a position in which they should be either selling their BTC or discontinuing in buying BTC.

Now that Genesis is done selling, GBTC sales will slow and with the halving closing in, we could see another move upward coming soon. Mtgox is almost done distributing USD to creditors though, which means BTC distributions are right around the corner. Those are expected to be done by October at which point it will be time to launch. I’m expecting us to all be very excited watching the price head to the moon around Halloween, which could end up being a 6-12 month trip to $200K+.

Maybe it could end up playing out like that?  I have my doubts about MTGOX coins contributing much if anything to downward pressures or even failure to go up pressures.

There maye be some time in which the UPpity between now and October might get to be too much.. so maybe there will be a correction somewhere along the way between here and October.. and still expecting a kind of fair range of $120k to $180k for 2024. before figuring out whether MOAR Uppity might be necessary or not (necessary to accommodate the likely ongoing buying pressures from BTC spot ETF buyers and various copy-cat buyers)..
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