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5001  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: September 25, 2015, 11:53:52 AM
EXCLUDE low hanging fruits in the diagnosis

I don't understand how an MRI confirmation of effects in the brain would change anything in my treatment options? So what is your point then.

Whether an MRI came back positive or negative wouldn't change a damn thing about what I can attempt to do to treat my symptoms. I won't be taking interferon in any case.

And do you think the welts I am getting on the back of my head and wet towel draped over my head are not autoimmunity then what the hell could it possibly be. Come on.

The diagnostic tools that would be more useful to me are the measurements for leaky gut and also a colonoscopy, etc.. But you think I trust these killers here in the Philippines to do that! Hell no. Even I went to seek an an ophthalmologist on Wednesday and all three were not present at the hospital. The only one that will be available this week, will only be in the office for 2 hours to see 8 patients! Do you think I trust the labs here after I observe a filipino can never do the same task the same way numerous times without making a mistake because they were distracted by some social interaction. Even at the top hospital here in Davao, they don't even have a stool test for E.coli nor Salmonella. We are still in the Stone Age over here.

After my eye incident, I could still see, just the lens had fallen into the eye. After (at St. Lukes in Manila) they gave me an intern to operate on my eye, I was blinded!

The doctor who (mis)handled my acute peptic ulcer had done a J-pop on a foreigner and now that young man will be on morphine for the rest of his life because the doctor butchered him so badly! When I went to followup and was suffering CFS, he remarked, "you look stressed, try to take more vitamins and sleep more". He was going to prescribe NSAIDs which are known to worsen gut dysbiosis. He offered no suggest on diet nor any probiotics or nothing of the sort!

Indeed when I have some money to travel I could consider diagnostic tools. At the moment, I have $5000 left in my entire net worth and once that is gone I can go eat grass.

So there is some reality here which you are not factoring...
5002  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: September 25, 2015, 11:19:45 AM
How is your M.S.? Are you still eating nuts which are a poison? Doctors are really able to help guide you well huh. Just like they did for me.
Lol. You are a clown man.

My PPMS has no official protocol even if I was listening to doctors regarding TREATMENT/THERAPY.

http://www.amazon.com/Hypochondriac-Other-Plays-Absolute-Classics/dp/1870259386

Hypochondriac? Do you not understand what it is like to be sick every day of your life! Fuck man. I don't know what symptoms you are experiencing and how frequently, but my symptoms can be daily wherein I am not only in pain but experiencing such low energy that I can't hold my body up or hold my eyes open. If you don't understand what it is like to grit your teeth every minute of every hour of every day of every week of every month of every year, then I all I can wish for you is to get more sick so that you can be less of an asshole.

I am fighting every day to get cured. I did as much exercise as I could physically do without making myself so sick I might just die on the spot. I literally pushed myself into a fever just recently with a combination of diet and exercise pushed to the extreme. I am giving every thing I have of myself to try to get healthy so I can perform at a high level. I am not leaving any thing on the table. This is like a world championship match and I will not leave the game with anything left in the tank. I am not holding anything back in my effort to be healthy and productive.

Yeah your doctors have helped you precisely how? They can't do a damn thing for you, because modern medicine doesn't understand that immunity and nutrition are interrelated and neither functions without the microflora (which are more numerous than the cells in our body!). If you want to actually cure yourself, you need to change your diet. But yet you continue eating nuts (which are toxic because nature designed them to have a natural pesticide).  Roll Eyes

Note I was hardly ever sick before destroying my gut in the Philippines starting in 1991. I was an Ironman and athletic specimen. So please don't lecture me about Hypochondriac.
5003  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: September 25, 2015, 11:02:33 AM
You do understand that the FED can't say officially that they did not raise the rates because of Deutche Bank?
But the message will find a way to the public.
MA played this role well (with his 'sources').
I see no conspiracy theory.

If you are implying in any way that Marty is not honest and fully transparent, then I think you are very poor judge of sincerity.

Whether the FED used Marty as a pawn to disseminate the real reason for the lack of a rate rise and other theories about geopolitics, is conspiracy theory. I think rather you will find there are vested interests in geopolitics but Marty is correct that no one is really in control.

I do think there are powerful groups that try to corrupt the nations of the world, to protect their business interests. This geopolitics is very complex and it is not some simple thing as Obama vs. Eurobloc. Rather it is multi-dimensional and you'll likely find complicity between Europe elite and USA elite, and Obama is just a puppet.

The populace is complicit too because they love socialism.

Certainly Marty is not complicit in any such geopolitics.

How is your CFS brain cancer MS?

I don't have brain cancer. When I first experienced the M.S. effect of feeling that I had a wet towel draped over my head, I contemplated cancer. That was because I didn't even consider M.S. nor a theory connecting my crazy abuse of my gut over the past years (along with a virulent HPV infection) to the illness I have. I have also experienced regular CFS as another effect of this illness.

I have gut dysbiosys, which is causing autoimmunity of which M.S. is one of the effects of autoimmunity. This is crystal clear because what I eat and how my gut is performing directly correlates to the types and level of autoimmunity dysfunction. And this is correlated down to the 15 minute intervals. It is so damn predictable by now.

There is the argument that perhaps the autoimmunity is driving the gut dysbiosys, not vice versa. But this doesn't make any sense to me, because what would be the cause of the autoimmunity? My case history is so heavily weighted to gut abuse, it is beyond obvious that is the likely causation. However, the two are likely symbiotic by now, with each driving the other to worsen. Breaking this symbioses is apparently a monumental hurdle (perhaps this is why only repeated fecal transplant can do it).

For example, in the period from 2008 to 2012 where there was a gradual progression in symptoms starting with aching feet when standing more than an hour and sporadic fatigue, I was drinking pineapple juice by the liter daily, eating brown rice that didn't even have the hull removed (fuck!!), and was eating imported beans (red, lima, black, and black-eye peas) daily. I was even eating whole wheat tortillas.

Massive fructose, brown rice hulls poison, legumes poison! No wonder I ended up with gut dysbiosis. The straws that broke the camel's back were two several gut infections I caught (on top of numerous ones I had caught and treated with antibiotics in the Philippines over the years since 1994), one in late 2011 from a girl in Cebu and this one made me so ill than I had ever been before from a gut infection. I was just recovering from that and then another girl in Davao gave me another gut infection circa March or April 2012. That last one lingered and also given my poor diet, then by May 2012 I ended up in ER and ICU with an acute peptic ulcer that had exploded and I was leaking acid into my abdominal cavity and my organs were tearing which means my abdomen bloated up like a balloon.

The stupid doctors here in the Philippines implicated an h.pylori infection (confirmed from stool tests) and they put me on massive doses of antibiotics and PPIs. These atrocities of modern medicine are known to cause gut dysbiosys. I ended up with a fungal infection down in my colon. Briefly I tried antifungal medicines which are very toxic and I had to stop because they were so caustic.

At that same time I was trying to recover from this my ex had arrived in Philippines unannounced and yanked my kids back to the USA, which was added considerable stress such that I was in a constant of "fight or flight" adrenaline rush. This was also the reason I made very chaotic investment decisions right at that time (June - August 2012) which caused me to lose $75,000.

I remember every time I would eat peanuts or cashews around that time, the fungal infection in the colon would flare up really bad.

I did take some priobiotics around August or Sept and also some high dose vitamin D3, and then suddenly I was feeling normal again.

But I guess I stopped thinking I was cured and by November or so 2012, the autoimmunity returned and it was worse with red bumps all over my chest and neck, tinnatus, inability to swallow, etc.. I tried homemade colodial silver thinking it was the HPV infection. I even did massive dose of AHCC during 2013 - 2014 thinking it was HPV. It is possible I still had lingering HPV infection as well as the gut dysbiosys.

But I wasn't exactly eating correctly for the gut dysbiosys. I was eating a lot of spaghetti during 2013 for example. And not enough vegetables. Even when I was eating white rice, I was eating it with chicken which is laden with hormones, and the chicken that is not grass fed is thus even more omega-6 toxic.

I was from November 2012 onwards that I noticed there was this persistent weakness/pain/discoloration in my abdomen that limited for example the former power and energy with which I used to be able to run long distance competitively.

It appears the gut dysbiosys worsened significantly in 2014 in spite of taking various supplements and even experimenting with different foods. I think this was primarily due to eating irregularly and not eating the carefully selected foods needed to correct the gut microflora. And not supplementing with probiotics (e.g. the Kombucha tea I am taking daily now).

Also when my current gf moved in with me several months ago, I began eating regularly but too much on chicken, beef, and pork. We nearly stopped eating fish and vegetables entirely (she doesn't like vegetables). Also I was thinking paleo was all fats and no carbs, so I cut out the white rice and was nearly exclusively eating omega-6 poison meats for the past several months!

So basically up until August 2015, I had done every possible mistake I could do.

I am now at a crossroads. I am doing what I need to do to impact my gut microflora. And I am getting a lot of feedback from my body, including what appears to be recurrent Herxheimer reactions. But I just don't  know yet if I am making progress. There was a long period of destroying my health, so restoring my health may not be instant or may not even be possible. I am still hopeful I can restore my health with diet, but the fecal transplant remains my plan B if diet fails.

How is your M.S.? Are you still eating nuts which are a poison? Doctors are really able to help guide you well huh. Just like they did for me.
5004  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: September 25, 2015, 09:23:09 AM
Nascent block chain technology seems to be outside of Armstrong's radar in terms of a future trend. Martin has noted the move towards digital currency.

What has Armstrong to do with this report?

2024.35 is the last 4.3 year turn date for a private (anti-government) wave on the ECM before the 309.6 year turn at 2032.95 which marks the end of Western civilization as dominant and the maximum move to private before the next 51.6 wave which will be a gradually rising public (government) confidence. We've been in a gradually rising private wave (loss of confidence in government) over the past 51.6 years which will reach its crescendo 2032.95. So yes 2024.35 is very significant because 2020.05 Asia will bottom and so we will see 4.3 years of rising confidence in government in Asia, and the West will fall over the cliff into the abyss and capitulate to decentralized technology by 2024.35.





klee I don't think Armstrong has any agenda. It is all science for him. You look silly to me when you concoct conspiracy theories linking the puppet Obama with Armstrong. The reality is much more sober or plegmatic.

For a while I thought Armstrong might be complicit in pushing for world reserve currency and coordinated government nationalizations of stocks for bonds swaps, but later comments by him revealed he is just ignorant about the fact that Euro was a planned failure by the Rockefellers and that he is just advocating any solution which he feels could minimize the suffering and he is well aware that government will never be truly reformed.
5005  Economy / Economics / Re: Economic Totalitarianism on: September 24, 2015, 11:57:49 PM
@TPTB_need_war, have you read the book The Bulletproof Diet?

Check it out, there is a lot of similarities with what you're writing. There is talk of inflammation, sweet potatoes, white rice, grassfed meat...and many other things in that book. Or is that where you're getting all of this perhaps?

https://youtu.be/b88VJpQwa7U?t=550

That is excellent. I suggest everyone listen to that. Yes indeed he and I are considering similar issues w.r.t. to food.

I am eating coconut and he is concentrating the C8 (medium-chain fatty acid) and putting it in coffee that is certified not to contain mold:





http://www.telegraph.co.uk/books/what-to-read/the-bulletproof-diet-simplistic-invalid-and-unscientific/

Quote
The result is a diet high in saturated fat; one which holds that red meat is good, brown rice is bad, cuts out fruit, and that is coming to a bookshop near you on December 2 in the form of a publication called The Bulletproof Diet.

The only problem is, it flies in the face of everything we’ve been taught about what’s good for us and what isn’t. And perhaps unsurprisingly, the science behind it is questionable — at best.

...

He also advocates white rice over brown because brown rice, Asprey says, has more anti-nutrients in it.

“These grains didn’t evolve to be eaten as a food source. They evolved to reproduce; germinate. They cover themselves in naturally occurring anti-nutrients or pesticides. Brown rice has stuff that irritates our gut and that’s not the case with white rice.”



Happy the continuous stinky violent evictions of gas have finally calmed down. That was literally every minute or less over the past day or so.

I may still have a mild fever (no thermometer) but may feel better than yesterday (just woke up so not sure yet).

Since yesterday I've eaten some Mung beans (Asian lentils) with rice at two meals. As cited up thread, these are low in phytates and saponins, plus we soaked them overnight until they started to sprout, cooked them for an hour, and skimmed off the soap film from the top as they cooked. After cooking, topped with those leafy greens that grow wild in the Philippines mentioned up thread. Very delicious, tastes buttery, and with rice then nearly a complete food. But what I like most if they seems to coat and calm my gut. I feel good while I am eating them. Love the taste and texture.

Perhaps I am still low energy. May lay back down again.


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antinutrient

Saponins:


Phytates:



Omega-3 (anti-inflammatory) vs. Omega-6 (inflammatory):



It is possible that gluten is not the culprit with grain flours but instead fructans (FODMAPs). Or it may be that the gluten is a protein that our body can't easily break down to amino acids thus an anti-nutrient. In either case perhaps predigesting the bread by making sour dough bread may resolve the issue. Note how low in phytates above the sour dough bread is. Again the generative essence theory being that rice is only grain that has all its protein and vitamins in the hull which can be removed and other grains the kernel is permeated with these so other grains must be fermented thus predigested by bacteria before eaten by humans:

https://20fourcarrots.wordpress.com/2014/06/24/httpswww-youtube-comwatchv9phiiusvps4featureyoutu-be/

https://youtu.be/wi3CarAakU0

http://www.marksdailyapple.com/soaked-sprouted-fermented-grains/

http://cooking.stackexchange.com/questions/41262/using-sourdough-breads-to-reduce-fructans

http://www.npr.org/sections/thesalt/2014/05/22/314287321/sensitive-to-gluten-a-carb-in-wheat-may-be-the-real-culprit

http://www.gastrojournal.org/article/S0016-5085%2813%2900702-6/abstract

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC143589/
5006  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: September 24, 2015, 11:21:17 PM
Throwing insults instead of engaging with the arguments is a sign either of cowardice, ideological bankruptcy or intellectual limitations. It could be all three.

In this case I rather say it is a sign of exasperation at nonsense and repeating mega death caused by the bankrupt collectivist ideology.

trollercoaster is Australian and I am American. I think these are about the two most blunt and matter-of-fact cultures in the Western world.

America has been drunk on political correctness (and being proper, polite, etc) in recent times, but Trump is displaying that there are many Americans who are "tired of that shit".

Essentially he was stating the fact that it is impossible to have rational discussion with someone who has your mental disease. It is more practical to watch you crash and burn. Yes we humiliate you because what else would be factually proper when dealing with the collectivist ideology? Never have I seen one rational argument that could support one shred of collectivism. I have had numerous analytical discussions on this in the Economic Devastation thread and others.

P.S. As for roads, one of my favorite retort examples is the toll road from Makati to the airport in Manila. If you pay $1, you can reach the airport in 15 - 20 minutes. Else you can be stuck in traffic on the government roads below for 1 - 1.5 hours. Collectivism is a way of stealing resources from those who can generate the most economic gains and distributing them to those who can't generate enough economic gains to afford to pay $1 to go to the airport on time.
5007  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: September 24, 2015, 03:50:37 PM
Armstrong warns that the final devolution of the British empire may be nigh. Also he writes negatively about socialism in Canada:

http://www.armstrongeconomics.com/archives/37407

Also he is thinking perhaps failure of Deustche Bank and Volkswagen may be the events for the Sept 30/Oct 1 2015.75 turning point on the ECM:

http://www.armstrongeconomics.com/archives/37443

http://www.armstrongeconomics.com/archives/37393

http://www.armstrongeconomics.com/archives/37397
5008  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: September 24, 2015, 03:20:34 PM
Singapore, New Zealand, Chile, Canada, etc..

Australia is a better choice than EU  Cool

Able to continue my study in a different country. Couple of months left to decide. What would be best in the long run? Undergrad applied mathematics.

Canada would in theory allow you to more readily integrate with work opportunities in Canada or USA. Australia would in theory allow you to more readily participate in the boom coming in Asia from 2020 onward. I would think both have good universities. Australia is less cold. Consider cultural differences, even within different cities in the same country.

You might also consider Singapore if you want deeper integration into Chinese Asia and also multiculturalism where harsh discipline keeps its travails muted.

Also I would prioritize not going deep in debt while in school, thus an affordable education and/or some side job to supplement income.

5009  Economy / Economics / Re: Economic Totalitarianism on: September 24, 2015, 03:00:15 PM
fyi, I am experiencing fever, cough, and continuous very stinky violent farting (roughly more than once per minute).

I believe this may be a Herxheimer reaction due to production of toxins in my gut instead of an another infection. Apparently no way for me to know if this is a die off of bad bacteria, or a increased colonization of bad bacteria. I am hopeful this is a turning point towards cure, but I've been hopeful far too many times before. I guess stay alert for sepsis. ER isn't more than 20 minutes from here.

My eyes are burning from the fever. I believe this is Herxheimer because the burning of the eyes started before the cough, after I ramped up the omega-3, whey isolate protein shakes, Kombucha finally brewed correctly, sweet potato for carbs. Also really pushed myself yesterday in the gym. I ran 2.05 kms in 10:30 mins in the morning with the first mile at 8:45 pace. So that means the last portion was at a near 7 minute mile pace. Then at the gym I ran 8 laps on a rubberized oval that is 200 meters in distance (so 9 meters short of a mile) in 8:20 minutes and the oval rises to an elevation of about 5 meters so not flat. Then I did my barbel workout (but much, much weaker than before the fasting). My weight is only 65 kg, so I can imagine immediately after the fasting in late August I was 60 kg and had lost 12 kg or so.

I ran 1.9 kms this morning at a slower pace not feeling well from the cough and not yet realizing I had a fever. So then the fever came on really strong after that and by now I am weak and dizzy.

Pretty much unable to work in this condition, although I did complete a linear probe hash table today (more efficient than bucketized Cuckoo hash for low loads, i.e. when RAM is abundant relative to non-instant transaction rate). I may work on the thread-safe version of it now, before I sleep. I was sleeping all afternoon and woke an hour ago at 10pm to drink water.

http://healingnaturallybybee.com/false-information-about-die-off-symptoms-herxheimer-reactions/

Quote
The term “die-off symptoms” is commonly used to describe symptoms and reactions that occur when large numbers of candida/fungi, viruses, bacteria, and other pathogens [viruses, bacteria, etc. that cause disease] are killed off in the body, releasing a lot of toxins into the system at one time by antibiotics or antifungals, etc.

Such symptoms are described as “flu-like”, the feeling that one gets when parasites, fungi, bacteria, viruses, and other pathogens are killed in the body and being cleaned out of the body. These “flu-like” symptoms are also cleansing (detoxing) reactions, caused by the body isolating and getting rid of toxins.

These symptoms include increased mucus secretions in all mucus membranes (nose, throat, sinuses, lungs, vagina, intestines, etc.) and muscle or joint aches and pains, headaches, brain fog, digestion disturbances and so on. It’s like that “bad all over feeling” you had during a bout with the flu.

Such die-off symptoms are “Herxheimer reactions,” also called Herx reactions.

I do have a lot phlegm when I cough. Increased mucus generation would be ideal, since that is what I need to restore the lining in my digestive tract.
5010  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: September 23, 2015, 11:58:46 PM
Why can't things be created collectively?

After you run a profitable business (without government assistance), then you will know. Until then, you are just blowing snot out of your nose.

You could begin with the Mythical Man Month, as one example. But it applies to every venture. It is very, very difficult to get many individuals into sync and you end up with the LEAST common denominator to make it happen.

You apparently lack a conceptually mathematical mind, which is why this common sense doesn't make sense to you.



I guess different observers can interpret lines on a chart in different ways but I pretty much see the same conclusion. Both show several occasional outlier peaks against a longer term trend of rate declines.

The Bank of England liar chart attempts to paint the picture that interest rate declines have been decelerating (with significant outliers thus dominating more) by packing a shorter time period into most of the chart.
5011  Economy / Economics / Re: Economic Devastation on: September 23, 2015, 07:08:46 PM
Interesting long-term economic charts here starting on page 25:

http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/Documents/speeches/2015/speech797.pdf#page=31

The interest rate chart on page 31 lies to our eyes. The x-axis is non-linear and crams all the history before 1575 A.D. into a very small space, and the chart does not reflect the difference between maximum and minimum rates, nor reflect a weighting due to capital concentration.



Armstrong again exhibits that he has the most thorough and accurate databases of world history as follows. Armstrong's more accurate chart imparts a different conclusion, which is that interest rates are on an inexorable decline. I have related this to the empowerment of individual human knowledge and thus the reduction of importance of usury in the economy.



Below Armstrong related lower interest rates to greater confidence where capital can concentrate. Or let's put it another way, where capital doesn't have to fear return of capital. But either way, what is capital concentration? Capital concentration is an excess of savings w.r.t. to those activities which require financing. Again this is the advancing individual knowledge age where as production requires less fixed capital and more individually accessible knowledge creation and creativity, then finance concentrates in excess because the economy is very productive but at the same time needs less and less finance. So as I have pointed out, we are not only headed to the death of Western governments and the concomitant Industrial Age, but also the death of nomimal interest rate returns on monetary savings. Since productivity can increase significantly in the Knowledge Age over what we had in the Industrial Age because of the greater degrees-of-freedom which is potential energy (see how in the above linked PDF, productivity increased from 0.1 to 1% per annum upon the dawn of the Industrial Age), then savings will gain purchasing power without earning any interest. The era of loans is coming to end.

http://www.armstrongeconomics.com/research/a-brief-history-of-world-credit-interest-rates/3000-b-c-500-a-d-the-ancient-economy

Quote from: Martin Armstrong
A history of credit and interest reveals one major trend that has been consistent through all time. The stronger an economy the lower the rate of interest. Interest rates are always at their lowest level internationally when capital reaches its point of maximum concentration. This normally results in a strong currency and high levels of confidence in general.

Interest rates also remain substantially above world rates in nations where confidence is low. Currently, this is true for South and Central America as well as in most third world nations. This observation does not arise merely from the events of today. Even during the days of Babylon, we find the same variance in rates with the lowest rate dominant in the strongest economy, which was the center of the Babylonian Empire. However, interest rates were usually much higher in neighboring nations which at times were more than twice those in Babylon. As the decline of Babylon came about during the fourth and fifth centuries B.C., interest rates soared with minimum rates reaching around 40% on silver loans. During the sixth through ninth centuries B.C., silver loans in Assyria and Persia were often in the 40-50% range.
5012  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: September 23, 2015, 07:04:59 PM
Interesting long-term economic charts here starting on page 25:

http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/Documents/speeches/2015/speech797.pdf#page=31

The interest rate chart on page 31 lies to our eyes. The x-axis is non-linear and crams all the history before 1575 A.D. into a very small space, and the chart does not reflect the difference between maximum and minimum rates, nor reflect a weighting due to capital concentration.



Armstrong again exhibits that he has the most thorough and accurate databases of world history as follows. Armstrong's more accurate chart imparts a different conclusion, which is that interest rates are on an inexorable decline. I have related this to the empowerment of individual human knowledge and thus the reduction of importance of usury in the economy.



Below Armstrong related lower interest rates to greater confidence where capital can concentrate. Or let's put it another way, where capital doesn't have to fear return of capital. But either way, what is capital concentration? Capital concentration is an excess of savings w.r.t. to those activities which require financing. Again this is the advancing individual knowledge age where as production requires less fixed capital and more individually accessible knowledge creation and creativity, then finance concentrates in excess because the economy is very productive but at the same time needs less and less finance. So as I have pointed out, we are not only headed to the death of Western governments and the concomitant Industrial Age, but also the death of nomimal interest rate returns on monetary savings. Since productivity can increase significantly in the Knowledge Age over what we had in the Industrial Age because of the greater degrees-of-freedom which is potential energy (see how in the above linked PDF, productivity increased from 0.1 to 1% per annum upon the dawn of the Industrial Age), then savings will gain purchasing power without earning any interest. The era of loans is coming to end.

http://www.armstrongeconomics.com/research/a-brief-history-of-world-credit-interest-rates/3000-b-c-500-a-d-the-ancient-economy

Quote from: Martin Armstrong
A history of credit and interest reveals one major trend that has been consistent through all time. The stronger an economy the lower the rate of interest. Interest rates are always at their lowest level internationally when capital reaches its point of maximum concentration. This normally results in a strong currency and high levels of confidence in general.

Interest rates also remain substantially above world rates in nations where confidence is low. Currently, this is true for South and Central America as well as in most third world nations. This observation does not arise merely from the events of today. Even during the days of Babylon, we find the same variance in rates with the lowest rate dominant in the strongest economy, which was the center of the Babylonian Empire. However, interest rates were usually much higher in neighboring nations which at times were more than twice those in Babylon. As the decline of Babylon came about during the fourth and fifth centuries B.C., interest rates soared with minimum rates reaching around 40% on silver loans. During the sixth through ninth centuries B.C., silver loans in Assyria and Persia were often in the 40-50% range.
5013  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: September 23, 2015, 06:07:40 PM
http://www.armstrongeconomics.com/archives/37383

Quote from: Martin Armstrong
What we have to grasp here is that this is a well organized collapse. Each sector will collapse and set in motion the next. If we get this week-end closing below 16280, then we may be heading for a retest of the August low going into October.

This will be the most difficult period ahead to forecast, so pay attention. We are entering a period of chaos that BEGINS with 2015.75; it does not end there with some crash. THIS IS THE BEGINNING, not the END.

Remember, if stocks decline into 2015.75, that should push more and more capital into government bonds completing the BUBBLE. This is by no means a BUBBLE in stocks, commodities, or the dollar. This is a peak in GOVERNMENT. This is not even a Kondratieff Wave based upon commodities. This is the 309.6-year cycle in government and, unfortunately, the other side of 2015.75 is not looking very pretty. This not about just the collapse of Europe, this is the collapse of Western forms of government that will aid the shift in the financial capital of world to China by 2032. These shifts in global economic trends are measured in hundreds of years and, unfortunately, we have a front row seat. It’s Just Time.


http://www.armstrongeconomics.com/archives/37321

Quote from: Martin Armstrong
It is nice that we have social programs, but that came at a huge cost. Families were once tight groups for your children were your retirement since they took care of their parents in old age. Today, children no longer save to take care of their parents — that’s government’s job. Consequently, Eastern Europe and Asia (excluding Japan) are far better situated to cope with the future for they do not rely upon government. The distrust of government in former communist areas is many times as much of what you will find in Europe or North America, and indeed the majority rather than a minority. This will greatly insulate those regions from the worst decline compared to Europe and North America.
5014  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: September 22, 2015, 09:31:52 PM
...

I think they think we spend our time poncing around in beautifully studied and staid poses, that we're fey and fairy-minded, that we are masters of melody and pop but lacking in vital energy. Maybe living in a monarchy and being basically "nice" people (though much less now than before it seems) makes us like harmony, balance and being reasonable in life and art. It could seem to the yanks that we're too peevish and ashamed to put our balls on the table.

My boomer mother (age 70) never did get into any music that doesn't have the melody of the Beatles's Strawberry Fields Forever. She is apparently not much of a music aficionado. And being proper, nice, and socially respectful is an important priority to her. And she ideologically approves of the Nanny State (except where it conflicts with some value she has) and feminist movement. For her melody is more important than bite and drama. She is extremely, flippantly sarcastic especially about any drama or hard-edge which goes against her core values of what is right and proper. And must have her daily tea. My mom explains it as having a strict German descent father. Sounds more British now the way you describe it.

So as you can imagine my mother and I can very easily get into horrible arguments where we won't even talk to each other. She so easily gets offended and I get really pissed off when someone tries to cage me. But also she is intelligent so we can enjoy some stimulating discussion as long as it is within the parameters of what is acceptable to her worldview. And lately I've learned to keep it more in that limited range, because it is a better feeling to share some empathy and good feelings with my mother than to display my full range of personality where it won't matter any way. But it also means I am not deeply driven to get back over to the USA to see my mum. But OTOH, its been more than a decade since I hugged my mum.

My father is the opposite when it comes to music. He recently had Little Boosie on his Facebook. He was usually listening to new styles of music before I did, I can say for example I got into Peruvian flute music and punk rock which he didn't seem to like much. I even went through a phase where I was listening to Mozart and Beethoven. My father was also much more permissive of my different modes through my life, but I think the Philippines jaunt exceeded his reasonable range of what was sane.

I think Americans wouldn't take the time to criticize Europeans (other than the stereotype that French can be arrogant as I guess experienced by Americans who vacationed there and had a romantic, idealized expectation of France) because they are so focused on the local affairs in their life, they haven't even taken the time to think about or experience what it means to be European. My mother had a fantasy about France (I assume her entire life) and last year finally did the vacation to France. She left thinking it was far too socialistic and plastic niceties for her taste. Even with her attitude which is I think less Americanized than I am, she still misses the black lady driving the public bus in New Orleans who'll stop the bus, fling open the door and remark, "hey darling, you need to get on this bus". So she has that American edge (unrefined, improper) in some facets.

I was exposed to Europeans in my travel to the Philippines and that is where I learned they (especially Germanic) look down on Americans, but don't entirely dislike us. Then again, I think Americans have adopted a similar attitude recently deviating from isolationism to thinking they have to fix everyone's lives (which I one reason I hate to be in the USA!!!). But it is more of a personal level thing than a nationalist projection of culture aspect (for that we delegate to the US military, which many of us Americans hate but some others admire it).

I think Americans oscillate throughout their lives between their Europeans roots and their American independence. I know there were times I was into melody and harmony. The past couple of decades have been really hard on me. Always fighting for my independence. Always gritting my teeth. And the struggle doesn't seem to lessen. When one goes too extreme, there are costs to bear which may be incompensable and unconquerable.

Society has a purpose. Isn't there a song, Get the Balance Right. I was always full speed to wall, bang, back up, bang again. Lol.  Embarrassed  Cool  Cry  Undecided
5015  Economy / Economics / Re: Economic Totalitarianism on: September 22, 2015, 09:22:25 PM
Singapore jails filipino nurse for writing on his Facebook, “Singaporeans are loosers (sic) in their own country, we take their jobs, their future, their women and soon we will evict all SG loosers (sic)out of their own country hahaha.”

http://globalnation.inquirer.net/128688/singapore-jails-filipino-nurse-for-seditious-posts

UN prepares the world government:

http://www.armstrongeconomics.com/archives/37314
5016  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: September 22, 2015, 08:16:21 PM
Atm we are all contributing 20% of our wage. Bluntly speaking, the moment my dad finished fucking my mom, I was saddled with a 6-digit debt. Declining birth rates will shake its foundation, but hey, lets get reelected.

And as the global economy turns down 2016 forward and European deflationary contagion accelerates, the European governments only have two choices:

  • Cut pensions (either nominally, raising the retirement age, or by printing money via the ECB)
  • Expropriate more money, i.e. raise tax rates and bail-in savings accounts when the overleveraged banks go belly up.

Either of those will depress the economy further (i.e. spiraling the toilet bowl contagion), thus the productive youth will leave because Europe does not tax foreign earned income nor wealth tax of middle class levels. The unproductive youth will stay and suckle the nipple of social welfare.

So then (mainland) Europe will have only two choices:

  • Cut pensions (either nominally, raising the retirement age, or by printing money via the ECB)
  • Institute international taxation enforcement and capital controls copying the USA's FATCA system.

Given the retiring WW2 boomers hold the political power (they are more numerous and hold more political positions), which outcome do you think will be most likely (Hint: it is in red color I think).

France has been a case exhibit. The retirees have rebuffed against raising the retirement age and cutting their benefits.
5017  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: September 22, 2015, 07:46:54 PM
Why promote a delusion?

...Only schools can do that.... You should see their faces!...

And their castrated clitorises.

Do you think a Muslim will allow you to teach his child heresy in a public school. Of course they will home school or form their own cultural schools.


In a free country, everyone must be free to move around, to eat anywhere they want and go everywhere they want, wearing whatever they want...

And violently discipline their many wives when and where they want. And carry out jihad when required. All these required by adherence to Allah, besides the male chauvinist culture being highly valued by the males and worth strapping bombs to one's chest to die for a heaven filled with virgins.

See men are castrated in Europe. They have no more control over their culture nor children. Muslim men don't agree to be castrated. Who you think will win the cultural battle? (of course the men who are not castrated)

Any society which castrates its men and tries to delude itself into regulating that women are equally productive as as men, is doomed to overthrow by the Barbarians.

There can be a better balance between men and women, that respects the virtues of the genders (e.g. Philippines and Latin America). But never can you have women and men equal without destroying your society. Inequality doesn't always mean one gender has less power. Men can never bear offspring. The man inherently has a lot more power because of this, but the men who don't take care of the women, end up with nothing (no future for their offspring). Of course if you are Genghis Kahn, you plant your semen in 100s or 1000s of women and let the odds play in your favor for your genetic dominance. But I think his satisfaction and motivation in life had more to do with ending the tribal strife and unifying Mongolia. Then he had to extend his empire in order to protect it.

What I am saying is that each person had to decide their evolutionary and life satisfaction strategy.

But if you are analyzing what is "right" instead of what is "plausible", then you are not employing strategy, rather just delusion.


Also this article from the perspective of a French lady shows how different the culture of Latin America is from Europe in terms of the woman's role. I remembered I was bothered by the staring too. By now I have learned to laugh. European women are married to this concept of egalitarianism as a natural right. This is some Frankenstein invention of culture that results from being able to conquer the world and live beyond your means. In a very competitive environment, sorry females are more productive producing male offspring. This is reality and Europe will have an ideologically difficult time adjusting to the reality coming.
5018  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: September 22, 2015, 06:56:57 PM
And when our (America's) turn arrives, the young Muslim males will not assimilate here either.  Would bringing in their women and children help that?  No, current evidence is that it would not.  See Muslim women who dress in their hijabs.

But the Muslim immigrants don't dare do any shootings or other violent nonsense in Texas, or they will find out there is a gun under ever rock. Perhaps they can make a mess of NYC.

And Southwest, the Latinos (Hispanics) will take care of the problem if they get too bothersome in the inner cities. In Mexico, you can see the local Mexicans are starting to take matters into their own hands and arming themselves and forming community patrols.

America is inherently more immune than Europe, because Europe has this Freudian disease where they disarm themselves, have some noble arrogance about the virtues of socialism to cover up for their guilt about their addiction to imperialism.

From my perspective, the USA's main problem is that a large percentage of the population is undisciplined and has lost the core values (don't work hard, don't know how to survive off the land, addicted to their cell phones, shopping, and McFat). But the ones who retain such core values will break away from the rest. This is why the USA will split into regions as Armstrong's model predicts (might not be within our lifetime though for those of us in our 50s). Whereas, Europe will sink into a Orwellian morass and be run top-down from Brussels with massive chronic social issues and economic decline.

If the Federal government wasn't so strong in the USA, I would consider returning there and making the good fight. The problem is it is going to be quite the battle to diminish the Feds. Going to play out over some decade(s). I don't have time for that, I am already 50. For example, if I owned some land out in the boonies, the BLS can fuck with me such as in the Bundy Ranch case. Of course it will be same any where, but I'd much prefer a weak Federal government such as Argentina. For example in the USA it will increasingly become impossible to just walk across the border. If Trump has his way, the'll build a wall along the entire border.

But if I was a young person who is not yet independently wealthy (or who doesn't want to live like a hippie with no material wealth), I might consider immigrating to the USA (but make sure you understand the tax implications) if you select an area that has good opportunities that match your skills. It has more upside than Europe. Argentina would not be a good choice for a young person, because the economy is so restricted by corruption and basically a feudal system of agriculture (some think that might change with the current election, but it is doubtful that Perónism can die that quickly). Chile would be better if you prefer South America. For a 20-something man, all the first world options would be probably be better than Chile, such as Canada, USA, Singapore, New Zealand, and Australia. But again, I am talking about young men who want to forsake the Nanny State and work hard for their future. Note they may be able to squeeze more economic results out of Europe yet, so might not yet be the ideal time to emigrate yet being early does have the advantage of acting while being viable.

Australia's pretty fucked too, it's just a slightly different flavour of shit compared to Europe  Wink

Ha! Thanks for the heads-up.

But didn't you just overthrow the current party that was headed down the wrong direction and isn't there a lot of land out in the boonies to get away from the daily interaction with the Federal government and isn't there likelihood of a burgeoning economy in the major cities after China bottoms in 2020 and the Asians investing big time in Australia over the next decades.

For a young person, Australia looks a lot better than Argentina. Ideologically I hate the socialism and totalitarianism that is developing in Australia, but they don't have the insoluble economic situation of Europe. Europe has been working on fucking itself up and addiction to imperialism for 1000s of years. Australia is still developing its capabilities for self-destruction.

No doubt Australia is a 5 Eyes country and the Orwellian tracking and dog tagging of humans will be pervasive, but I am speaking about a young European who already agrees to being a tagged dog any way.

For you and I, we want an escape. That is a different priority set.
5019  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: September 22, 2015, 07:06:30 AM
Remember up thread some Europeans arrogantly tried to imply that Asians were less innovative. Ha!

http://www.science.ph/full_story.php?key=6176:best-filipino-inventions-for-2012

How about filipinos improving the economics of rennet— the key ingredient in cheese production! Tropical third-world asians out innovating Europe on cheese! Deal with the irony.

http://ovcre.uplb.edu.ph/index.php?option=com_k2&view=item&id=135:biotech-wins-2012-nice-likha-award&Itemid=101

http://businessdiary.com.ph/925/how-to-make-white-cheese-kesong-puti-using-biotech-rennet/

http://affleap.com/locally-produced-rennet-a-big-lift-to-filipino-dairy-farmers/

http://biotech.uplb.edu.ph/index.php/en/products/food-and-feed-enzymes






Quote
The astute youth of Europe will realize they simply need to depart the morass of Europe.

... at the same time a flood of migrant youths is washing in from Arabia?

Something doesn't add up here.

Seems to compute perfectly. Morass ingress, those who wish to escape morass egress.

I understand you were attempting to imply that immigrants think Europe is better than where they are coming from. Well in the short-term and given they were escaping ISIS torture, yes. I presume skilled European youth have better opportunities for their emigration, e.g. Singapore, New Zealand, Chile, Canada, etc..
5020  Economy / Economics / Re: Economic Totalitarianism on: September 22, 2015, 12:13:29 AM
If you are able to source your tuna from a fish market go with that over the canned variety, I found the canned stuff sold here contains Escolar in some cases.
It has a buttery flavour, the other give away was a nearly instant laxative effect.

Nearly all canned food has a BPA lining which is toxic.

It would be a shame to buy canned tuna when I am in the tuna capital of the Philippines— Mindanao. The daily caught tuna here is fabulous. So fresh. I can put it on my nose and I don't smell anything at all, not even fish.

Kinilaw (raw fish) dish I shared up thread is so very delicious. Highly recommended and so easy to make. Usually the part of the tuna from the neck is preferred, which is red color and is normally used in Japanese sashmi.

http://www.healthworks.my/raw-fish-sushi-tapeworms/

Quote
Most sushi and sashimi in traditional Japanese restaurants are made from marine fish like tuna, yellow tail, red snapper, salmon, and flatfish, which are usually parasite-free. (Read: safe to eat)

Of these fishes, salmon is the most probable host for a fish tapeworm called Diphyllobothrium latum. Some marine fish could be home to the Anisakis larvae, but these fishes are less commonly found served raw in Japanese restaurants (cod, herring, mackerel, squid etc).

Freshwater or brackish water fish however, are large hosts of parasites so you should avoid eating those raw

Also vinegar kills parasites, and note Kinilaw is made with vinegar which actually appears to cook the fish even though no heat is employed.
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