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5021  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: September 21, 2015, 11:24:05 PM
For those in Europe who are in their teens and 20s, the challenge you face is how to reconcile the way you've been taught and brought up, with the reality of the shift you need to make in your understanding of reality in order to maximize your prosperity. This is nearly an impossible hurdle for you, because it is very difficult to break away from everything you are. Stealth communism and stealing from the collective as form of love appears from my distant view to be deeply engrained in European memes and culture by now. Every European I've met sees social welfare and regulation as great invention of refined, modern humanist man, without exception. Even the ones who admit it is a failure, gladly avail of it and when it comes right down to it, they like it.

The difference for me as an X-gen American, I reject it. I don't want it. Offer it to me, and I am too proud of the free market to accept the offer. I will accept individual charity in times of dire need, but not from the State authorizing them to steal for me.

Until you come to grips with the reality of "democratically" transferring power to the State to steal and that no amount of regulatory oversight can ever reign in corruption (never has and never will), then you will forever be in economic collapse mode. Rpietila astutely pointed out that until you promote private ownership of guns, then you are willfully transferring your veto over corruption. You Europeans will soon experience what not having this veto really means.

This is a classic deception case. In the time of the founding fathers, revolution and constitution (2 amendment), it was clear to everyone, even the illiterate, that the reason to have guns is to keep the government in check. Then they had some peripheral uses, now that is pretty much the only use of a gun.

Now, everything the government does related to gun ownership, is to confuse people from understanding and sticking to this fact.

I won't hold my breath to ever see a tax-funded ad promoting gun ownership as a means of keeping the government in check, nor disclosing that the real reason for trying to disarm the people is that the government could grow ever more tyrannical with less and less possibility to be contained. Ever. Prove me wrong, servants of the people!  Roll Eyes


http://www.armstrongeconomics.com/archives/37277

Quote from: Martin Armstrong
Greek Elections – Status Quo

I am here in Parliament Square in Athens for the elections. I have been talking to a lot of people and it is really fascinating. When I ask, “Why are you voting for the same guy when he didn’t do what he was elected for?” the response is shocking, “Yeah — but nobody does what they say they will do.”

Elections seem to be ceremonies rather than something that people really expect to change. Everything was shut down today for the elections. The tourist industry shut down at 3:00 PM for voting.

Greece is an absolutely beautiful country. It is a shame what the politicians have done.

Part of the problem is that the people still expect to be able to get all their services. The people are not willing to make the sacrifices to discard socialism (i.e. stealing from the collective via debt to transfer power to corruption). The problem is the Europeans are themselves stuck in a stealth communist delusion. The powers-that-be know this and thus they know the people can never get organized to change anything. Plus the Greeks don't own guns.

The astute youth of Europe will realize they simply need to depart the morass of Europe.


http://www.armstrongeconomics.com/archives/37285

Quote from: Martin Armstrong
Believing in Nonsense

QUESTION: How can you refute all the evidence that there is global warming and climate change caused by man?

ANSWER: First, you should not be reading this blog for you obviously believe in government propaganda no matter what the field has put out by the academic community. Global warming is on par with Marxism and thinking that handing all power to government will prevent recessions.

Even in economics, I was told to be a good boy and put out studies with predetermined conclusions. If I complied, I would make millions per year for every bill passed by government requires a bogus economic study. Some academics are independent free thinkers, such as Milton Friedman. Those willing to buck government whom are not on the gravy train of government subsidies are the minority. The same is true with this nonsense that man is entirely behind climate change, as natural cyclical forces, such as the energy output of the sun, are not even considered.

If you accept the idea that global warming/climate change is caused entirely by man, please stop reading this blog, for you will also believe whatever government tells you with their equally bogus economic statistics. You are not going to make it to the other side.

The entire theory of man causing climate change is nonsense as if it were something created since the 1920s with absolutely no study whatsoever on the cyclical nature of the climate pre-1920. These bogus corrupt “scientists” (using the word very loosely since they sell out to the highest bidder) do not demonstrate ANYTHING historically, yet you try to put the burden on me to prove a bogus theory is wrong. You begin with accepting whatever they say is true and then demand I prove a negative is negative. These bought and paid for “scientists” have not provided a documented study for thousands of years and they keep manipulating the data to try to pretend they are right when ALL independent research demonstrates they are dead wrong. The North Pole moves, yet their stations are fixed, and they declare it is getting warmer because the pole moved further away. The North Pole is moving to Russia. There is even evidence that the poles flip on Earth just as they do on the sun. Sun poles flip north to south about every 11 years, but on Earth, the pole flips are measure in hundreds of thousands of years, so we are overdue.

The entire theory of greenhouse gases is based upon an assumption that temperature throughout the troposphere would be constant if not for human activity. If they were financial analysts, they would conclude after a three-year bull market that stocks only go up, or like the gold promoters who claim every rally is real and declines are manipulations for they can see only one side. The corrupt pretend scientists assume that carbon dioxide and methane raise the surface temperature of the planet because they assume that temperature would be the same at all levels in the troposphere if there were no greenhouse gases. Of course, they have no data to prove that such a perfect state of equal temperatures ever existed. They are so off the planet, demonstrating that they completely fail to comprehend how a dynamic system works.

So sorry. The burden is yours, not mine. Show me a study that proves these theories for thousands of years. Then and only then is it even worth discussing.

These people flew a plane over the South Pole and said, “OMG, there is a hole in the ozone so we must have caused it!” They are clueless for saying that there was never a hole before. It is just amazing. They have put forth NOTHING to prove their theory before 1900 and attribute everything to human activity. Sure, we do not want to be in a city where you cannot breathe. London used to be that way in the 1980s, but it has been cleaned up as buses where the main culprit.

Now that cars are more efficient and electric cars are starting to take over, states are looking to switch to taxing people per mile driven because revenue has declined from gasoline. Even government realizes the peak in fossil fuel is past us and contributes to why oil has entered a new phase. All the data from satellites proves that temperatures have been declining for almost the past two decades, but academics get checks from government for studies. The last economist who told a government they were wrong after taking the head job to draft the business plan was Kondratieff. If you do not put out studies that say what government wants to hear, you will not get paid. That is the simple fact, and it is the same in every field.



5022  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: September 21, 2015, 10:28:07 PM
You are the generation I want to connect with and wasn't sure if I could. So you post means I lot to me. Thank you. You are the future.
5023  Economy / Economics / Re: Economic Totalitarianism on: September 21, 2015, 10:14:25 PM
Btw, it seems omega-3 is the secret weapon. Might also be in conjunction with the Kombucha tea (and/or coconut meat) which I am "drinking like a sieve" (and eating daily), which is hopefully pumping good microflora into my gut.

When I eat raw tuna or fried fresh small tuna (no farm raised fish such as Norwegian salmon!), I instantly lose all stomach pain and my head plus energy level feels completely normal. After several hours, the stomach pain returns and so do the head effects. I have correlated this several times over the past few days without fail nor deviation! (note nearly none of the head effects have been chronic fatigure since the fasting and radical change in diet)

I believe perhaps I've nailed down my recent decline over the months my gf lived with me and cooking in the home, being due to eating too much meat (other than fish) and omega-6 being an inflammatory toxin (especially for those with leaky guy a.k.a. intestinal permeability). Also noting that all the meat I was eating was perhaps fed grains (perhaps even GMO, and as opposed to grass fed), injected with hormones, and given antibiotics.

Note when I eat the tuna, I feel completely normal in every aspect of my body, except the cramping of my muscles in my feet gets much worse and acute. I have to be very careful where I step (such as on any non-flat surface, e.g. a pipe or rock) or move my feet, because they suddenly go into dystonia. This dystonia is not a spasm nor twitching, but rather the muscle contracts severely (very painful) and won't release (until I breathe slowly and do nothing for several seconds).

My (hopeful) interpretation is these more severe dystonias in the feet are unwinding effect of the disease, because these severe dystonias were the first symptom of my disease back in 2010 or 2011 (actually first symptoms were perhaps as early as 2008 with easily tired feet when standing). The severe dystonias had become much less frequent when the other symptoms of the disease worsened.

Any way, the major thing to share here is that avoiding omega-6 and promoting omega-3 from natural sources seems to be an INSTANT excelsior for M.S. (at least in my case since mine is so highly correlated to leaky gut).

I owe this discovery to Terry Whals and http://gutcritters.com

I also owe this success to the decision to start fasting and attempting radical diet change.

P.S. I am not entirely discounting the positive role of the vegetable diet and only sweet potato and plantains for carbohydrates, but the effect after eating tuna is so INSTANTANEOUSLY correlated to the alleviation of symptoms, that is is astounding.



http://gutcritters.com/dietary-opioid-peptides-antioxidant-status-and-dna-methylation/

Quote
The ability to feel sensation from your gut ultimately depends on the enteric nervous system (ENS). This system, second only to your central nervous system (CNS) in the number of neurons it contains (estimated at between 200 to 600 million), relays sensory information from your gut to your brain via the vagus nerve.

The vagus also works bi-directionally to convey information from your brain to your gut. It explains the butterflies you feel in your stomach when engaging in activities outside your comfort zone.

80% to 90% of the neurons in the vagus are composed of afferent nerves. These nerves are designed to convey information from the gut to the brain. Exciting research is focusing on how gut bacteria, both beneficial and pathogenic, affect these neurons leading to changes in emotion and behavior in both animals and humans. (3) (4)]The ability to feel sensation from your gut ultimately depends on the enteric nervous system (ENS). This system, second only to your central nervous system (CNS) in the number of neurons it contains (estimated at between 200 to 600 million), relays sensory information from your gut to your brain via the vagus nerve.

The vagus also works bi-directionally to convey information from your brain to your gut. It explains the butterflies you feel in your stomach when engaging in activities outside your comfort zone.

80% to 90% of the neurons in the vagus are composed of afferent nerves. These nerves are designed to convey information from the gut to the brain. Exciting research is focusing on how gut bacteria, both beneficial and pathogenic, affect these neurons leading to changes in emotion and behavior in both animals and humans. (3) (4)


And the following is the reason I am going to test raw, unpasteurized, grass-fed goats milk (remember the upthread posts about A1 beta-casein milk being bad and goats are always A2 beta-casein whereas only certain breeds of cows), because the beneficial effects I am getting recently from omega-3 (eating tuna) might be anti-inflammatory only and not sure if it is curing the gut or just masking the inflammation. I'll probably ferment to yogurt and cheeses to avoid risk of bad bacterial contamination with it being raw, unpasteurized. Plus probiotics are even better apparently (although there might be some enzymes in raw milk that are lost by the fermenting process?).

http://gutcritters.com/to-dairy-or-not-to-dairy-that-is-the-question/

Quote
I remember being told this once by a person of the “Paleo-diet” persuasion in-between sips of their cocktail. The lack of archeological evidence for vodka distilleries in the Paleolithic seemed to have escaped the notice of this modern-day alcohol-imbibing “caveman” warning against the “evils” of dairy.

Today I want to review two studies that found that dairy proteins, both whey and casein, strengthen gut-barrier function.

Before I begin, I need to mention that neither study was done in humans. The first was an in vitro study, meaning it used cultured human-epithelial cells and was conducted in a lab. The second was a study done in rats.

It should go without saying that what is true for an in vitro or rodent study is not always applicable to humans. Hopefully, this will soon change as more and more foods are tested for their effects on intestinal permeability in people. Nevertheless, both whey and casein proteins are found in human-breast milk and can be expected to have similar effects in us as they do in other mammals.
5024  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: September 21, 2015, 09:48:29 PM
Exhibit B:

Now lets read together an article of Szabo on this subject:
http://unenumerated.blogspot.fr/2013/11/european-asian-divergence-predates.html

...

Quote
"Higher labor productivity implies higher per capita income"

Exactly what I have written two time already. I will re-quote myself because it's the only thing to do with people who people overlook your wisdom because they think you are dumb:  "Real wage are 100% determined by the labor productivity"

Quote
"the increased efficiency of rice in converting solar power to consumable calories, for example, simply led to a greater population rather than a sustained increase in per capita income."

He says that the East failed to escape the Malthusian trap. He seems to wrongly attribute the cause of this to the rice cultivation, when a more robust explanation is a lack of creativity.
----------------------
So according to Szabo innovations, and therefore the labor productivity, and therefore real wages, were higher in the West before the Black Death.

It's undermine your thesis (high real wages in Europe were not caused by the mortality caused by the plague, but were caused by the innovations which predate the Black Death) and sustain mine (high real wages were caused by the West greater creativity, ie an internal factor whose origin can be found in its culture, not an external factor like the plague).

Yet again you demonstrate myopic selective reading comprehension of your quoted sources and confirmation bias by failing to entertain all of the variables:

Quote from: Szabo
These innovations all long predate the Black Death, except that thereafter this biological divergence, especially in the use of draft animals, accelerated.  After a brief interruption the lactase persistent core resumed its thousand-year conversion of draft power from humans and oxen to horses, including super-horses bred to benefit from good fodder crops -- the Shire Horse, Percheron, Belgian, etc., and of course the famous Clydesdale of the beer ads.  Draft horses figured prominently in the great expansion of the English coal mines from the 14th to 18th centuries.

Greater use of draft animals led to higher labor productivity and larger markets for agricultural output, and thus to greater agricultural specialization. Higher labor productivity implies higher per capita income, even if it can’t be measured. For civilizations outside Western Europe by contrast, much less use was made of draft animals with the result that these effects were confined to within a dozen or less miles of navigable water.

The new innovations and natural shifts before the Black Death you cited were largely ineffective at greatly accelerating the rate of labor productivity increases for Europe pre-Black Death because the economic incentive didn't exist for the land owners, because labor was too abundant. The feudal land owners were apathetic and had no real strong reason not the be. The Black Death shook up the balance-of-power between labor and master owners which accelerated the progress of Europe. Feudalism in Europe is cited to have taken hold in the 10th and not departed entirely until the 15th centuries.

By the way, if you re-read all my up thread discussion with you, I have never argued that the increase in labor productivity was not necessary to escape feudalism. I did however point out that increases in labor productivity do not lead to any one type of outcome, if for example the labor productivity growth among one sector in the domestic economy is offset by another domestic sector (e.g. perhaps Saudi Arabia). So just a warning in advance not to conflate orthogonal points in any future idiotic rebuttal you may attempt.

Quote
"these seem not to have had an anti-Malthusian effect in increasing labor productivity "

He says that the West had start to escape the Malthusian trap before the Black Death because of these innovations.

Your English comprehension is apparently about 7th grade level. That is not the meaning Szabo wrote.

Quote from: Szabo
Greater use of draft animals led to higher labor productivity and larger markets for agricultural output, and thus to greater agricultural specialization. Higher labor productivity implies higher per capita income, even if it can’t be measured. For civilizations outside Western Europe by contrast, much less use was made of draft animals with the result that these effects were confined to within a dozen or less miles of navigable water.

Contrariwise, northern Europe has always been at a severe ecological disadvantage to warmer climates when it comes to growing rice, cotton, sugar, and most other economically important crops.  However these seem not to have had an anti-Malthusian effect in increasing labor productivity -- the increased efficiency of rice in converting solar power to consumable calories, for example, simply led to a greater population rather than a sustained increase in per capita income.

Szabo is writing about the acceleration in the use of draft animals post-Black Death and the fact that there never existed any Malthusian trap, rather only the feudal land owners (a Coasian barrier) stomping on the free market.

Exactly what I told you up thread.

Now please STFU. You are wasting my time. Have you no shame?
5025  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: September 21, 2015, 09:22:47 PM
Yes I am French and I am arrogant only when I am talking subjects that I know I master...

Exhibit A:





I don't like misinformation. This graphic is misinformation....

It was used to emphasize a point that imported RAW milk cheeses are illegal in the USA (less than 60 days aged) whereas guns are not.

Of course the Europeans will frame the outrageous USA ban on RAW foods (that have all the healthy enzymes we need for proper health) as one of guns being bad because Europeans are so far into Communism they can't even seem to understand their multi-culturalism is their own Freudian desire to steal from someone while pretending it is love (formerly known as imperialism).

Europe will crash and burn severely. Mark my word.
5026  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: September 21, 2015, 08:08:28 PM
Depeche Mode is an English band. The other singer you're thinking of is Morrissey.

I was really into their album Black Celebration when it first arrived in the 1980s. I wasn't so much into their big hits before that. The music I really find boring is all that repetitive techno that seems to be popular in Europe and sounds the same to me. Other than that, opera, and various folk styles of music, I don't know of much coming out of Europe other than the occasional British band or artist and I shouldn't forget Led Zeppelin (I still have Led Zeppelin - How Many More Times in my regular workout playlist.) and Australia's AC DC which were both big for me as teenager. When I have time, I look into those suggestions you made. Brits apparently inject their nonchalance into their music, which typically is less appealing to me. But Morrisey is just weird (blunt, humor, outlandish, etc) enough to keep it interesting for me. Now when I listen to Elvis he was hard-edged mixed with soulful Deep South and just far enough away from pop R&B and closer to Mississippi delta blues to translate some of the full body aroma. Apparently though he wasn't creative enough to write his own music and looks like creatively he burned out fast and lost his direction as a result. He was all high energy, fan entertainment. When the song writers stopped making new hits for his style, he didn't have anything new to be excited about. Sad for me to see such a vocal and stylistic talent being so high on drugs in his last public performance that he couldn't recite the words of his famous song.

I like the Old America with its nuanced, non-commercialized flavors and blunt, unrefined, hard-edges. I want to listen to some of that new stuff coming out and see if there is still any deep chicory flavor or other influences. Maybe America is not (musically) dead.

The grunge rock out of Seattle in the early 90s produced some good music in my opinion. For example, Alice in Chains and one of my favorites from that period Stone Tone Pilots - Unglued (but the chorus is too bland). Also Nirvana - Very Ape instrumental.
5027  Economy / Economics / Re: Economic Totalitarianism on: September 21, 2015, 07:54:10 PM
Quote from: copy of msg to my father
I want to suggest you get into fermenting your cheeses and grains, e.g. 14-hour fermented sour dough. Seeds (including beans) have poison which cause chronic illness in humans. Also uncooked fermented products are extremely healthy because they promote the good gut microflora. Capsule forms of pre and probiotics don't work effectively. I would like to suggest making your own Kombucha tea. I've been doing this and it is very easy. Just Google for instructions. I know you like tea (I've been using Lipton Green Tea) and this process removes all the caffeine and you end up with a tart delicious (acquired taste). I am also trying to learn how to make my own fermented RAW (no pasteurization which kills the enzymes and promotes anti-nutrients leading to gut dysbiosys) goat cheeses and yogurts.
Lastly, eat wild caught tuna from the Pacific ocean. The mercury scare is nonsense, there is less 1 part per million in the tuna from the Pacific. This is incredibly high in Omega 3 and nearly no Omega 6. You'll sleep like a baby and have more energy than a teenager. Do NOT drink A1 casein cow milk (Holstein breed which dominates due to its superior milk producing ability) because this another poison. All goats are A2 casein. All meat and milk must be grass fed, GMO-free, hormone-free, antibiotic-free. Certified organic does not certify those attributes! Non-fish is high in Omega-6 which is a poison.






I don't like misinformation. This graphic is misinformation....

It was used to emphasize a point that imported RAW milk cheeses are illegal in the USA (less than 60 days aged) whereas guns are not.

Of course the Europeans will frame the outrageous USA ban on RAW foods (that have all the healthy enzymes we need for proper health) as one of guns being bad because Europeans are so far into Communism they can't even seem to understand their multi-culturalism is their own Freudian desire to steal from someone while pretending it is love (formerly known as imperialism).

Europe will crash and burn severely. Mark my word.
5028  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: September 21, 2015, 05:15:55 AM
In regards to your wondering what americans are listening to.

These sets have some amazing rock / jam funk that honor many rock musicians.

Careful , its an aquired taste, real masterful musicians that dont use an autotuner, and sell out every show consistently for years and years. This is not your pop tart music .

http://phishthoughts.com/nospoilers/

I just briefly sampled the first one. Don't worry I acquire music taste nearly instantly. Will need to spend more time on it when I have some more time.

I remember in 2003 in Corpus Christi I heard Zug Izland live and they were not bland (more impressive live):

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CwzWe08iuQM

Also I forgot there is one British performer from The Smiths who is unique (weird) enough for me to feel he is not bland:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TaUUYV7wKos

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7ZQWjKMQsQw

The German band Depeche Mode is very commercialized but they even mixed it up a bit with latest song, and they've been going strong for decades which is impressive:

https://youtu.be/YYtXCxtp6sQ?t=765

I don't know much about folk music in Europe. I've only seen what appears to be very bland what appears to be opera or that sort, which bores me.

I caught a Metallic concert in the early 80s before they became so popular at a small venue in the San Fernando Valley. It was an accident. We were drunk and cruising all around and happenstanced on the venue and landed inside and it was quite impressive the head banging and slam dancing. Pure guy thing:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cgJwXVaXUek&list=PL48E286795E97866B&index=6

Listen to this:

https://youtu.be/9B-qOSEwvxM?t=210

Here it is:

https://youtu.be/fq-oQgpVg4I?t=39
5029  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: September 20, 2015, 10:33:37 PM
Another very interesting revelation. I had traded discussions with this guy in the Scala discussion lists over the years:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_Phillips_(poker_player)

He is extremely intelligent. Apparently he couldn't deal with Martin Odersky's (a German) orderly orderness and refusal to redirect the ship. But then again Paul was sort of crank. Typical American flippant loud mouth at times, but I also liked his humor.

Recently Martin told me to cool it, when discussing potential new directions for Scala in the Scala language mailing list. I just quit as he requested.
5030  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: September 20, 2015, 10:25:37 PM
That's a nice story. That's a shame real wages fell in the aftermath of Black Death  Cheesy

https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/15748/

Read your own source:

Quote
Not until the later 1370s – almost thirty years after the Black Death – did real wages finally recover and then rapidly surpass the peak achieved in the late 1330s.

What do you expect short-term for an economy devastated by 40+% population kill off.

Once the crisis passed and the economy got back rolling again, it was the great reduction in the labor supply that allowed wages to rise as they hadn't before when laborers were substitute goods in an oversupply because grains farming other than rice is not as labor intensive.

And that spurned the demand for innovations which could once again reduce labor intensity.

Please do not continue your nonsense. You can protest all you want about me suggesting to you to stop splattering your Dunning-Kruger arrogance all over this thread.

Are you French? (see http://france-bitcoin.net/ in your signature line that makes me think maybe you are). If so, perhaps that might explain your arrogant attitude. I've heard but never experienced personally that the French are quite arrogant.

5031  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: September 20, 2015, 10:07:12 PM
I don't think there is a finer example of the differences between Europe and the USA than to watch this video of Elvis Presley in 1968. If you make it to the 25 minute point you will get a special treat:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-QlliHSRh0A

(I wonder how many votes Clinton got due to his facial structure and mouth resemblance to Elvis)

Dean Martin had that look also (and Johnny Carson resembles POTUS Bush Jr) and he was performing around that same time the music that my grandparents were listening to (as they hadn't racially integrated with the blacks):

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N9yAFE2ccPs
(this music sounds better to me now than when I was in my youth, as I am now the age my grandparents were when they were listening to this)

In 1965 (year I was born) as Elvis was declining, the Beatles (who were inspired by Elvis) visit Elvis and inspire him to comeback which culminates in above 1968 comeback.

Robert Plant of the British rock band Led Zeppelin explains that Elvis was the source of most of the music creativity coming out of England:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gP-zcXtiXhA

So this is why I say this is a fine example of the American melting pot where we not into guilt and collectivist crap, and instead just grabbing the creativity of the moment irregardless of color, creed, etc.. For example, here is the type of people Elvis might have been drawing inspiration from in the Mississippi "delta" (as Plant said):

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wFh-JqxvgMw

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bXZLgJJ7bhQ

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0fa-OhPN3qU

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3sfl9KUBGQg

Here is Mississippi delta music which reminds me of fishing for crawfish with my father in the swamps of Lousiana when I was 5 years old (you can hear the source of British Led Zeppelin's style in this music):

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ucRZmqFxUaE

https://youtu.be/j3AKvDkdG-Y?t=173


Bands that come to mind from that time with this blues sound were Creedence Clearwater Revival and Guess Who:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ulQTazgj9VE

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Aae_RHRptRg




America is unrefined and a melting pot. And that is what makes it creative.

But America has been flattened by the strip mall. It is evolving. I haven't been there for almost a decade. I don't know what is happening now. The music I am getting exposed to coming out of the USA doesn't have the same connection to the blues and realities of the Old South before modern times.

In short I think it is all become too commercialized.

Less prosperous times and people being more in touch with each other and the earth seemed to produce a different quality of experiences and thus music. Music these days doesn't have enough edge for me in most cases. It is lacking deep nuances of flavor. The short word is bland, as I see the British music even the Beatles to me were bland.

It is like mayonnaise has been poured on top.
5032  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: September 20, 2015, 08:00:55 PM

Only because the US stock market is weak waiting for the downgrades and contagion in Europe and Japan to gain enough momentum to send the stampede of capital into the USA. Be patient grasshopper, Oct 1 is laying the ground work...remember Oct 1 is the BIG BANG for the kickoff, not the finale.

I don't have time to dig for my post up thread where I wrote the market would drive the interest rates higher (the Fed isn't in control) when it stampedes out of bonds into US stocks.

Martin Armstrong has just repeated all my points (again I write what he is going to write before he writes it):

http://www.armstrongeconomics.com/archives/37256

Quote from: Martin Armstrong
Yellen Is Trapped in the Worst Nightmare Ever

Yellen has inherited a complete nightmare. Thursday’s decision to delay yet again the long-awaited liftoff from zero interest rates is illustrating that the world economy is totally screwed. There is a lot of speculation about why the Fed seems so reluctant to “normalize monetary policy”. There are of course the typical domestic issues that there is low inflation, weak wage gains in the face of strong job growth, a hike will increase the Federal deficit and then there is the argument that corporations that now have $12.5 trillion in debt. All that is nice, but with corporate debt, our clients are locking in long-term at these levels, not funding anything short-term. Those clients who have listened are preparing for what is to come unlike government which has been forced to shorten the average duration of their debts blind to what happens when rates rise, which will be set in motion by the markets – not Yellen.

Fed is really caught between a rock and a very dark place. Yes, they have the IMF and the world pleading with them not to raise rates for it will hurt other debtors who borrowed excessively using dollars to save money. The Fed is also caught between domestic policy objectives that dictate they MUST raise rates of they will bankrupt countless pension funds and international where emerging markets will go into default because commodities have collapsed and they have no way of paying off this debt that has risen to about 50% of the US national debt.
By avoiding the normalization of interest rates (hikes), the Fed has encouraged government to spend far more than they realize because money is cheap. This will eventually light the fire under the economy helping to fuel the Sovereign Debt Crisis. There appears to be no hope for the Fed and they will be forced to raise rates only when they see asset inflation in equities. Then they will have no choice. This is the worst possible mess and the longer they have waited to normalize interest rates, the worst the total crisis is becoming for they will have zero control over the economy and once that is seen, holy Hell will break lose.



To address your assumption of German = Order. Before the first world war (and still being a very young state) 'Made in Germany' was associated with mass produced crap- not necessarily orderliness and organisation.

You conflated orthogonal issues. The Germans didn't change culture, they just weren't good at manufacturing yet.

I agree about the white guilt though. I believe it was 2% of the American population that even owned slaves, many other whites were conscripted by state law to hunt slaves- I imagine they were not fond of the immoral institution

Your European interpretation of my statements makes me chuckle. You missed my point. I don't care even if every damn American was doing slavery gleefully, I still wouldn't feel guilty. I am not my ancestors. Europeans are so into their guilt with imperialism.



Therefore higher European real wages are not the caused of Industrialization since they are its consequences.

I don't have time to teach someone of your intellectual handicap right now. Sorry.

I already explained that the owners of farms had no incentive to industrialize because labor was too plentiful before the Black Death and thus it was cheaper to use labor than to use any hypothetical industrialization or technical improvement (that couldn't have existed otherwise).

If you can't wrap your mind around that very simple point, then I am sorry I don't have time for you. I'd prefer you shut up (because you are cluttering the threads with noise), but I can't force you too.
5033  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: September 20, 2015, 07:23:25 PM
I haven't done any research regarding the comparative rate of unemployment between Europe and the East but it's irrelevant to this matter because: when you need more labor to produce a given result, it's actually very bad. The incentives to improve were on Asia's side, but they didn't.

You are not considering all the variables. Your view is too simpleton.

Of course the end result was bad after over the hundreds of years that Asia fell behind the West in terms of industrialization. In that sense it was defeating and China ended up killing 57 million in a Cultural Revolution to deal with the adverse effects of the inefficiencies and further retarding their economic development. But now they've suddenly started to catch up, because they had no choice. And they offered the release value for the Westerners to be able to continue to live the high life with the least effort.

But over the 1000 or so years that it worked for China, it was because it provided social harmony. Rice production requires communal irrigation and thus very strong local social integration, sharing, and harmony. This is why the Chinese are innately collectivist and into political connections as a method of production.

You are not factoring in the geography of China. China can't be attacked from the West, only from the North (and of course Japan from the East), and thus the Great Wall. China was mostly isolated from the rest of the world by the Himalayan mountain ranges. It is impossible to run military supply lines over those mountain ranges. Thus it was sheltered from the relative competition, until finally in the modern era it no longer is and had to open up because the Chinese people could see on TV what they were missing.

Not incorporating geography[1] and all factors leads simpletons to their Dunning-Kruger behavior.

And I assure you I could refute all your other statements resoundingly, but I don't have time to devote to this.

I suggest you do more studying. And open your mind to many more variables than you are considering before you jump to erroneous simpleton conclusions.


[1] Don't forget my up thread point about the USA having the most ideal geography in the world for physical trade being bissected by navigable from North-to-South Mississippi River and having coasts on both Atlantic and Pacific. This advantage will fade as we grind into the Knowledge Age with localized production with 3D printing.




I address a few real quickly...

When you produce something efficiently that means that there is labor available to produce something else in the economy (a nascent new market) and that the output is cheaper so their is savings available to buy the products of the nascent new market. It's not bad, it's good.

Not at all. You follow Karl Marx in that you focus only on the labor value of an economy. You could have only 20% of the population producing 80% the GDP (most efficiently) and that wouldn't necessary make the rest of the people in the country more productive. They may instead become wards of the State. Saudi Arabia is perhaps an example.

Chineses and Europeans both lived in squalor because they where, as the whole wold, under a Malthusian economic reality (GDP per capita stagnant despite growth in GDP), until Europe starts to escape the Malthusian trap because of its creativity.

You've made no point.

Also Armstrong's chart that you have posted is misleading because it makes a comparison based on the GDP and not the GDP per capita. Under the Sung dynasty (from 950 to 1250) GDP per capita was higher in China than in Europe, but after China GDP per capital stop improving and soon Europe took the lead on that metric (the only relevant one).

GDP per capita is not the relevant statistic on which region becomes the next financial capital of the world. In fact, the very high GDP per capita of Europe is precisely what is enabling this dysfunctional outcome which I somewhat explained in my prior post about cultural stereotypes.

Europe's population is much higher now than it was then before the Black Death, so there wasn't any Malthusian check.

Europe's population right after the Black Death was much lower than before, so there was a Malthusian check.

Ahem. Do you not see your error in logic?

Mathusians claim the natural resources can't support a greater population. Yet the population is now higher than it was and we are not mining resources from outside planet Earth.

Please I am not going to respond any more to people who have such poor logic skills that I will end up in noisy nonsense.

The resource problems are always due to Coasian barriers (to human innovation and expansion of the entropy in the human economy) and there has never been and never will be a Malthusian point of truth. I wrote an essay about this:

http://unheresy.com/Information%20Is%20Alive.html
5034  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: September 20, 2015, 06:13:54 PM
By your logic, there is no science because nothing can be determined. Planck's constant, the speed-of-light, the Heisenberg principle, and the Shannon-Nyquist sampling theorem all tells us that objective reality would only exist at infinite samples, but I have explained ad nauseum that if the speed-of-light was infinite (and thus Planck's constant infinitesimal) then the past would collapse into the present and nothing could possibly exist because there would be no relative perspective. You must have Ying to have Yang.

I am not going to go further into this with you now. Our universe is relativistic. This means reality is in the eye of beholder. Relativistic determinism exists at differing perspectives.

Again by your oversimplification, the sun wouldn't certainly rise tomorrow and no science could ever be tested and trusted.

Note from the perspective our humans, we all share the perspective of the reliability of the sun, but from the perspective of the Milky Way galaxy, I am confident the sun is quite a chaotic blip.

There's a whole bibliography of Physics behind this conversation and I can accept that you have a lot under your arms now to address certain scientific theories that will make you understand my point of view (clearly it's a bit confusing, even for someone like you). Other than that, I pretty enjoy such conversations with people who can understand what they're talking about. So pause it is. Smiley


Well the Greeks are known for being extremely hard-headed, that doesn't mean you are correct. And properly refuting you is going to take more effort and time than I want to put into this right now. I entirely disagree with your characterization above. (this doesn't mean I don't appreciate your efforts, sentiments, etc in other areas, I simply disagree with you on the science of chaos and relative determinism. You also in private can't seem to agree my M.S. stems from gut dysbiosis and you believe the crap they are teaching you at the university instead)

My simplest, best attempt would be to tell you again that just because there is indeterminism introduced in the microstates (i.e. that thermodynamics/entropy is not reversible), this says nothing about relative determinism in the macrostates relative to the perception manifested.

The fundamental matter of the universe is cyclical. Chaos can be viewed merely as the inexorable expansion of entropy interleaved with (layered within) the cyclical matter of the universe (the future rhymes with the cyclical past but is never an exact copy). Thus the strange attractor. As Armstrong has stated, "we are truly interconnected". He discovered the similar insight that I did. He apparently discovered it empirically and I discovered in my mind with some inspiration from other theoretical physics discoveries.

You are not factoring in the fact that perception is resonance for example. Without any cyclical repetition, i.e. patterns, nothing would be perceived. What is chaotic alone is statistically deterministic in the aggregrate, otherwise we'd have no macro state. A proper interpretation of Schrödinger’s Cat thought experiment applies in spades[1].

To review all the literature and formalize this (as much of it has already been done by others) is much more than I can possibly add to my plate right now.

[1] The point Eric makes is that a macro state such as the Cat can't exist without decoherence. Thus it can never exist in both states. There is an example of the determinism.
5035  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: September 20, 2015, 06:09:05 PM
Help me stereotype.

American (USA)I Did It My Way.
BritishSpot of a bother, how about a cup of tea?
FrenchSoufflé à la crème.[1]
GermanMy steadfast orderly orderliness.[2]
ItalianViva romántico!
SpanishFiesta, siesta, dinner at midnight.[3]

[1] And off with their heads if our Marxist paradise goes awry and end up with the same again.

[2] Regardless how it has gone awry, it steadfastly must be followed to its million eugenics end game.

[3] Immigrant peasant laborers working the fields.

It is clear that the Americans have the most disrespect for class structure and authority (perhaps the Aussies at par but seems they retained too much of their heavily British influence). Even the Brits love status and orderly class structures. This European tradition of admiring authority stems from the various empires such as Rome, then the Vikings, then Spain, and finally England (France in competition). Germany is still trying, lol. Ditto China, empires, and admiration of authority. This may also explain the laziness (laid back, longer vacations, shorter work weeks, more time for culture and idealistic nonsense, more guilt and thus embrace of multiculturalism) of Europeans.

This is probably why the USA is one of the few states remaining in the world where the government could only confiscate guns from millions of cold dead hands.

The concept of authority and centralization of decision making power is so alien to me as I identify more as native being than as a person of European ancestry. This probably explains why I didn't always get along well with my relatives who were more into admiring social status. They never did quite understand me. I am the quintessential American of yore, cut from the chord of Thomas Paine or my ancestor Isaac Shelby.

I don't feel any guilt about what some of my ancestors did with slavery. They were not me and I am not them. The quintessential American of yore believes so much in the power of individualism that the errs of the past are not be idolized in either form (guilt nor admiration). The Europeans appear to be still caught lying to themselves that they want their cake and eat it too (i.e. they admire the benefits of imperialism yet want to pretend it can be all love and nirvana). The dependence on the excesses of imperialism is for example what retarded Spain's incentive to industrialize and thus set them back 400 years and they declined from the greatest world empire to a third world country! Amazingly I wrote the above on my own intuition then after writing the above, I found that Wikipedia supports my intuition:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spanish_Empire#The_Spanish_Habsburgs:_The_Sun_Never_Sets_.281516.E2.80.931700.29

Quote
Matters began to change in the 1520s with the large-scale extraction of silver from the rich deposits of Mexico's Guanajuato region, but it was the opening of the silver mines in Mexico's Zacatecas and Potosí in Upper Peru (modern-day Bolivia) in 1546 that became legendary. During the 16th century, Spain held the equivalent of US$1.5 trillion (1990 terms) in gold and silver received from New Spain. Ultimately, however, these imports diverted investment away from other forms of industry and contributed to inflation in Spain in the last decades of the 16th century: "I learnt a proverb here", said a French traveler in 1603: "Everything is dear in Spain except silver". This situation was aggravated by the loss of much of the commercial and artisan classes with the expulsions of the Jews (1492) and Moriscos (1609). The vast imports of silver ultimately made Spain overly dependent on foreign sources of raw materials and manufactured goods

The wealthy preferred to invest their fortunes in public debt (juros), which were backed by these silver imports, rather than in production of manufactures and the improvement of agriculture. This helped perpetuate the medieval aristocratic prejudice that saw manual work as dishonorable long after this attitude had started to decline in other west European countries.

I see frivolous yet extremist (even pompous) idealism in mainland Europe. The grandiose culture of imperialism lingers in Freudian dysfunction in Europe.

Interestingly the Brits managed their colonies by using the locals to do it for them and they had the smallest armies relying on the English Channel and the largest Navy, thus again we see the culture of the Brits of being more isolationist and less moved to drastic action. They want to get the results with the least effort. In fact, I encountered this British trait recently with the author of the Confidential Compact Transactions white paper. I was trying to get him to work with me back in June, but we just couldn't identify with each other on the level of effort versus the level of guaranteed reward. I just fling myself into it. Brits are much more calculating and cautious and want a certain large ROI. This explains why Americans are always going to statistically (after many failures) overall kick butt on the Brits in terms of entrepreneurialism. Americans are risk takers. We sailed across the ocean to reach the new World!

P.S. It will be interesting to see if Chinese can overcome English's momentum as the common language of international business.

Also this article from the perspective of a French lady shows how different the culture of Latin America is from Europe in terms of the woman's role. I remembered I was bothered by the staring too. By now I have learned to laugh. European women are married to this concept of egalitarianism as a natural right. This is some Frankenstein invention of culture that results from being able to conquer the world and live beyond your means. In a very competitive environment, sorry females are more productive producing male offspring. This is reality and Europe will have an ideologically difficult time adjusting to the reality coming.

Also note the differences in sequential versus synchronicity cultures.
5036  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: September 20, 2015, 03:28:33 PM
No it doesn't make sense to me, once you've entirely understood how I rebutted mascga upthread (with links off to prior discussion in his thread on chaos). I will not repeat myself again. One day I may have the free time to make it more formal.

A quick example of why you two think nonsense, is because I want you to tell everyone the probability the sun doesn't rise tomorrow.

Truly makes me wonder why a person of such enormous intelligence like you, has such a determined view for something that is PROVEN to be undeterminable in quantum scale? I believe you're somewhat into a Stockholm syndromic loop that enforces your mental conceptions towards what M.Armstrong predictions, without taking even for one moment the chance to test them thoroughly prior accepting them.

I will say it again; a chaotic system includes nondeterminism. You cannot determine what's undeterminable no matter how hard you try. To put in on another scale, it's dualism represents a QM state of an electron that at the same time can be conceived as a wave, but also as matter. It's like trying to determine what it truly is! It's both, and nothing of them at the same time!

Have you considered that we QM represent a dualism in our views that are both right and wrong? Not everything is 1 and 0s. Wink

I had pointed out your myopia in your thread and then expanded on it up thread. I don't have time to go digging for the post. I also don't want to clutter my archives with another post on this topic now. I am simply ignoring most everything now even I might have something to say.

By your logic, there is no science because nothing can be determined. Planck's constant, the speed-of-light, the Heisenberg principle, and the Shannon-Nyquist sampling theorem all tells us that objective reality would only exist at infinite samples, but I have explained ad nauseum that if the speed-of-light was infinite (and thus Planck's constant infinitesimal) then the past would collapse into the present and nothing could possibly exist because there would be no relative perspective. You must have Ying to have Yang.

I am not going to go further into this with you now. Our universe is relativistic. This means reality is in the eye of beholder. Relativistic determinism exists at differing perspectives.

Again by your oversimplification, the sun wouldn't certainly rise tomorrow and no science could ever be tested and trusted.

Note from the perspective our humans, we all share the perspective of the reliability of the sun, but from the perspective of the Milky Way galaxy, I am confident the sun is quite a chaotic blip.
5037  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: September 20, 2015, 01:27:19 PM
I think Armstrong is wrong in all of his formulas.

I don’t know how to get you to understand that tomorrow impedes the today from ever happing with thought having to first remember the future past thing you were thinking about when talking about the thing to were supposed to say when you never said it. This has the disparency of never acting the way we said we were going to do we did, except we’ve already done it and now we are re-enacting in a way that should never have been.

Does that make sense?

Ah! The voice of reason! Congratulations sir, you're spot on! Either you understand the above quote or you blindly fall for Armstrong predictions. Let me clarify ONCE MORE that I don't berate the guy, nor I say that EVERYTHING he predicts is bogus. His model may be very well designed but IMHO falls into the initial conditions of deterministic chaos tampering error, which is broadly discussed here.

...

No it doesn't make sense to me, once you've entirely understood how I rebutted mascga upthread (with links off to prior discussion in his thread on chaos). I will not repeat myself again. One day I may have the free time to make it more formal.

A quick example of why you two think nonsense, is because I want you to tell everyone the probability the sun doesn't rise tomorrow.



Remember when Western Rome collapsed, then the centers of power moved East for 1000 years (the Dark Age in Western Europe where only the Black Death was able to solve the problem of massive unemployment). After that, the centers of power moved back West again for another 1000 years (because labor became more expensive after the Black Death so then Europe was forced to industrialize whereas Asia didn't need to because rice is labor intensive). Looks like we are ready to shift to another 1000 year trend.

White guys. This is your swan song. Sorry it is going away and there is nothing you can do to bring it back.

That's a very, verry narrow view of history.

The development of the law, the autonomy of universities, Colombus, Vasco de Gama and Magellan, the Scientific Revolution, the Military Revolution, the Reform, the liberal institutions... all of that's account for nothing in the rise of the West and its industrialization... it was actually just the plague Smiley Great history lesson courtesy of Armstrong!

Actually that primarily derives from some blog posts by Nick Szabo (who invented bitgold before bitcoin) which I had read years before Armstrong echo'ed any similar theme.

And my knowledge about the impact of rice vs. wheat on unemployment was also an independent research discovery of mine.

If Asia followed a labor intensive growth path whereas Europe followed a more efficient growth path it's not because of fortuitous and external factors. Humans have the ability to make choices and thereby to act on their environment.

It is precisely for the reasons I said. Before the Black Death, labor was too abundant, thus wages were too low, thus Europeans lived in squalor. After the Black Death, industrialization first of agriculture (e.g. breeding of stronger horses) was induced by needing to lower labor costs. Economics drives everything in nature, because economics is just another thermodynamic phenomenon in the abstract.

Again you have shown how deeply European you are. Caucasians think man can control nature and that life is a line that is always improving. Asians think nature is in control and life is like a circle where you come back to where you started from (in some altered state of course because a thermodynamic system is irreversible thus not precisely repeatable in the microstates).

The Black Death was just a Malthusian check like had happenned every where in the world before that and have happened thereafter (Malthusian checks can take the form of disease, famine or wars). To answer the question of "why the West was the first to escape the Malthusian trap" by "because it underwent a Malthusian check" is deeply flawed.

The truth is the West didn't rise because of an external factor such as the plague (or the presence of coal in England or because of its geography or wathever such nonsense), but because of an internal factor: the creativiy of its people caused by its culture which fosters individualism.

Europe's population is much higher now than it was then before the Black Death, so there wasn't any Malthusian check. Rather the economic thermodynamics were stuck in a Coasian barrier. It required the Black Death to dislodge the barrier so that the innate capability of humans to compete could be unlocked.

Europeans are not any more creative and innovate than Asians innately. For example, China invented gun powder.

Rather it is that Asia had always been in the past less incentivized to invent certain things.

If you think Asians are innately inferior engineers and innovators to Europeans, then you are lacking knowledge in this area (don't feel bad, I lacked knowledge in many areas such as food which nearly destroyed my life). Let me give another example. Recently I was researching what would be the ultimate sports car I'd like to have if ever I regain my wealth. Reminiscing about the brief love affair I had with my convertible top Triumph TR7 in my early 20s (before I bought a Suzuki 550 GS ES and doing 185 kph on Highway 101, and also I because my father always had the better cars than I've had, e.g. Corvette, Miata, Alfa Romeo, Jaguar and I'd still like to have a better car than he ever had so I will have bragging rights) I realized that I'd want the lightest car with an open top with the highest power-to-weight ratio. A heavier car just isn't as much fun to drive because it doesn't handle as well regardless how much engine power it has. Watch this video and this one. Then compare to this video. Those are guy videos. All men should really enjoy those linked videos. Indulge yourselves. The Lotus Elise weighs even less than the new Alfa Romero 4C.

Any way, it turns out that absolutely highest power-to-weight ratio in the lightest street legal topless sports car would be a Lotus Elise converted to a Honda K20 or K24 4-cyclinder engine invented more than a decade ago, because the British engines have always sucked. With a Rotex supercharger (and engine upgrades such as Eibach springs and titanium rods to raise the redline limit up to 8500 - 9000), the little beast will throw out 425 HP (from a street legal 4-cylinder Japanese engine!) in a car that can be made to weigh less than 750 kgs (1650 lbs) if you pull out the air bags, air conditioning, ABS brakes, electric windows and get some $4800 forged wheels (to cut wheel weight down from 10 kg to 5 - 6 kg per wheel). The Rotex won't make that annoying supercharger whine inside the cabin and it forsakes some of the lower rpm torque to give you a perfectly rising torque for as high as you can make your redline, meaning it is even more powerful than a turbo. You will be talking a sub-3 second 0-60mph (1-100kph) car! Throw in a $20,000 sequential shifter and you'll be eating Ferraris, Lamborghinis, and Porsches for breakfast on any road straight line or curvy, except not at top speed. And your car will be more fun and with steering that lets you feel the wheels. And your car will still get gas mileage in excess of 30 mpg when you are not driving it hard. Note it won't sound as nice as the big V-8s, but still an interesting sound.

P.S. check out this Lotus Elise with a Suzuki motorcycle engine! That video is apparently shot in rural UK. Also note the Nissan GTR consistently the faster car when put up against American muscle cars and any car in its price range (except the modified Elise which will kick the GTR's ass). Nissan has made a GTR Alpha 9 that beats the $million Bugatti Veyron. The Corvette Z/06 needs Hennessey's 1000 HP upgrade to compete. Btw the fastest car in the world is based on a British Lotus Elise with American (Texas no less!) engineering. Brits and Americans still have something going.

You see that Texas pride. You see the Welsh cultural values. Seems to me there is something still very pragmatic in the USA and UK that will break away from the morass of idealism at some point. Look at that Hennessey Venom GT video. The beast is not refined. Europeans prefer cars that are cultured and idealistic. Americans (and Brits apparently, e.g. Lotus and recent Jaguar F-type) prefer crude cars that do something that really matters, e.g. light+fast with audible and tactical steering wheel feedback. Note the American cars lagged primarily because the USA was historically more about going fast in a straight line. We didn't have all those mountain roads of Europe. So again it is environmental conditions (nature) that drives the areas where man competes.
5038  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: September 20, 2015, 04:17:33 AM
Overall though, surely the roots of this migration issue lie in imperialism?

Not so simple as that. As Armstrong wrote recently, the Middle Easterners were twice before defeated from overrunning Europe. Maybe the third time is the charm.

Empires rise because they have an economic justification. For example, the Roman empire facilitated trade that didn't exist before Rome organized the building of the roads.

What we have in Europe appears to me to be more the insanity of the death of 1000+ year rise and fall of Western civilization giving way to the rebirth of Eastern civilization. The idealistic nonsense is just part of "It is Just Time" (to self-destruct):



Remember when Western Rome collapsed, then the centers of power moved East for 1000 years (the Dark Age in Western Europe where only the Black Death was able to solve the problem of massive unemployment). After that, the centers of power moved back West again for another 1000 years (because labor became more expensive after the Black Death so then Europe was forced to industrialize whereas Asia didn't need to because rice is labor intensive). Looks like we are ready to shift to another 1000 year trend.

White guys. This is your swan song. Sorry it is going away and there is nothing you can do to bring it back.
5039  Economy / Economics / Re: Economic Totalitarianism on: September 20, 2015, 02:42:52 AM
Just a precaution with eating large carnivorous reef fish such as mackerel, they are common carriers of ciguatera.

You can test for it by allowing ants to eat a small portion of the flesh, they will drop dead fairly quickly if contaminated.

Thanks for that! Very helpful to me because I can't risk that neurotoxin poisoning as it would devastate me. Also I read that 35 - 75% of Pacific Islanders will have some form of the poisoning in their lifetime, so eating reef fish often sounds too risky to me (more risky perhaps than eating shell fish frequently).

That ant test has been rebuked as not reliable, because for one reason the toxin can be in only in certain areas of the fish in some cases.

I think I better switch to tuna and risk the mercury poisoning instead!

http://www.diversalertnetwork.org/health/hazardous-marine-life/ciguatera

Quote
Ciguatera toxins rarely contaminate pelagic fish such as tuna, marlins, dolphinfish or other ray-finned fish.

If I stick with smaller than Yellow Fin, I shouldn't have a problem very soon with mercury poisoning:

http://www.latimes.com/science/sciencenow/la-sci-sn-mercury-pacific-tuna-20150202-story.html

Quote
None of the measured levels of methyl mercury, the kind that is absorbed by the body, are likely to be a current hazard to health, and they probably don't outweigh the health benefits of a fish-enriched diet, according to the researchers.

...

The FDA has found slightly higher levels in "white" or albacore tuna, but still below one part per million.

Also the entire mercury scare may be a farce, so maybe I am safe to go ahead and eat the more delicious Yellow Fin:

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/25/health/25iht-tuna.4.9503826.html

Quote
Kaneko noted that the Japanese Ministry of Health allows higher limits still "and yet still no outbreaks of mercury poisoning from eating open ocean fish have occurred in the land of sushi."

The average Japanese person consumes 135 pounds of fish per year, compared to 16 in the United States. The only outbreak of seafood-based mercury poisoning occurred in Japan, associated with industrial waste being poured into a Minimata Bay three decades ago. That resulted in fish mercury levels averaging between 9 and 24 parts per million, far higher than New York's sushi samples.

Research also suggests that the toxic effects of mercury is canceled out if it is ingested alongside selenium - and most ocean fish contain both elements. There's now a lot of evidence to suggest that "excess selenium over mercury equals healthy food; excess mercury over selenium equals potentially harmful food," Dr. Kaneka said.

"We shouldn't focus just on the negative risk of eating fish - yes, there are these contaminants, but there are also huge benefits. This is a work in progress and it's a very complicated risk/benefit analysis," Valdimarsson said.




- quails are farmed in the Philippines and most likely fed with feeds..i don't know if there are organic farmers of quail eggs around.
- ampalaya are also farmed and sprayed with pesticide

But let's hope at least the quails aren't injected with hormones and antibiotics. And let's hope the species is more native/wild origin than the egg-laying chicken breeds. I nary see a brown chicken egg in the Philippines. Why is that?


information and connections to sellers of better meat might take time to acquire. Here are the pictures of native chicken and native pig
most likely these animals had eaten palay (rice with husk still intact),rice bran and maybe leftovers..but this is still way better than the factory farmed pigs and chickens.

and more grasses.. for your palate, these are not sprayed and they grow wild.

saluyot

alugbati

camote leaves

chili leaves

kangkong

I am eating all those wild leaves. Good point that they grow wild. I knew that also, but didn't register it as a significant point to make in their favor over other leafy greens which are farmed (e.g. cabbage and pechay).

Agreed many animals here in Philippines fed what ever is cheapest, and rice husk is a waste product.

I've eaten wild pig. It is more like a red meat. Tastes very different. Gave me gas.

Native chicken is available. I just have to make the effort to find out where to buy it regularly. The native chicken here is so lean. You don't get much meat relative to bone. Any way, my priority isn't on high omega-6 meats yet (chicken, pig, beef). I am trying to sort out my emergency fix diet first (my M.S. emergency).
5040  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: September 20, 2015, 01:29:42 AM

Only because the US stock market is weak waiting for the downgrades and contagion in Europe and Japan to gain enough momentum to send the stampede of capital into the USA. Be patient grasshopper, Oct 1 is laying the ground work...remember Oct 1 is the BIG BANG for the kickoff, not the finale.



You want to believe in God, Allah, Buddha, whatever? Alright! But do it at home!

Practices like sharia has no place within a western culture country. At least not out in the open! I once saw a man hitting his wife in plain sight on the street! Could you tolerate this?

If you force a fundamentalist muslim citizen man to only beat his wife at home and try to reduce his control over his wives in public, he will declare jihad. Therein lies Pandora's box which you dumb ass fucks opened with your mainland European cultural idealistic insanity about equality and fairness for all.

Yeah we'd all like nirvana in our dreams. Those of us who are sane don't for delude ourselves into opening Pandora's box.

USA immigration as it formed was hard working European (some Chinese) and predominantly Christian (or agnostic) and everyone melted into English within one generation. Also hard working black slaves. The immigration into the USA now is mostly hard working Latin Americans (and other hard working non-extremist cultures).

1. Was the Syria/Iraq crisis pre-organized?
2. Were the migrants forced to leave their houses and cities?
3. Were they "indulged" by the Europeans to "join" their "promised land"?

Who indoctrinated the Europeans to favor egalitarianism? Oh yeah that Athenian democracy shit.

What I am getting from this is Americans are somewhat fiercely independent and isolationist. We are not idealistic. Yet we are more revolutionary in spirit then the Brits. In short, the Americans have a shorter fuse on their patience and willing to act. Expect political fireworks in the USA. Mainland Europe will descend back into extremism. The UK will likely muddle through again (be the most stable). After all is said and done, the USA will fragment into regions (maybe not within my lifetime though). Europe will sink to third world country lows. Asia will march on to its destiny to be the shiniest of the world in the 21st century.

its manufactured to break the identity of the old <christian> EU countries.

You mean the identity of hard working people who stay out of politics, don't whor(e)ship a king, don't believe in socialism, collectivism and just want to live in a reasonable society of other like minded individuals. That sometimes happens to coincide with Christians.

Watching this YouTube video that you posted TPTB of George Galloway owning a University Student, I couldn't help but be moved to believe him.  I *do* believe that Chavez was elected under valid democratic conditions, and *also* that he may have honestly given fair weight to his opponents.  Unfortunately, the population's love of him was too strong.  
  
So what happens next?  Something that most humans would agree is the "right course" (socializing aspects of the country to bring everyone out of poverty) takes its toll on a country's economy, especially when that economy is based on a fleeting representation of generating power that is neither scarce, nor is future proof.  
  
What happens next!?  We know already; it's the future:
"The Thread By Which Venezuelan Socialism Hangs May Soon Snap"
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-01-29/thread-which-venezuelan-socialism-hangs-may-soon-snap  
  
And it only got worse from there:
Venezuela's currency collapse picks up speed
http://www.ft.com/fastft/356181/venezuelas-currency-collapse-picks-up-speed

Venezuelan mobs take law into their own hands, beating and lynching thieves
http://www.collapse.news/2015-09-11-venezuelan-mobs-take-law-into-their-own-hands-beating-and-lynching-thieves.html  
  
Holy SHIT.   Shocked  Shocked  Shocked  
  
This is a long way to fall from a country that championed the power of socialism just a couple of years previous....  
  
Do you believe that this is the fate of the first world as well?

The idealistic societies (extremists) always become the despots (extremist) on the other side of the business cycle.

The level headed like the Brits don't self destruct.

The revolutionaries like the Americans go isolationist and break into regions of shared cultures.



Commercial property values in the US are now about 30% above the 2007 peak.

With Asia's GDP growing at 5 - 10% per annum since that time, the commercial property is still negative in the USA in terms of international opportunities.

Also the reason for your nominal gains there are mostly because building basically ceased for some years thus supply lagged far behind actual demand as the economy deadcat rebounded somewhat. And this deadcat bounce from 2011.45 to 2015.75 is on Armstrong's chart of the model.

Also as you said, this is most an interest rate effect and thus will reverse as the Fed begins to raise interest rates.

So don't worry, it isn't really a positive gain and it is very temporary any way.

http://www.wsj.com/articles/SB10001424052702304231204576406000741760990

Quote
But after bottoming in 2009, strip-center valuations have jumped 45% and are now just 10% below their 2007 peaks, according to Cedrik LaChance of Green Street Advisors.

A big reason for the rebound: declining interest rates. Rather than settle for paltry bond yields, some investors have chosen real-estate investment trusts (REITs) that derive cash flows from long-term leases. The Bank of America-Merrill Lynch index of "BBB"-rated corporate-bond yields has dropped from about 8% in mid-2009 to just more than 4% today. In turn, REIT valuations have risen.
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