I will not encourage newbies to get close to any signals trader or with those groups that promote it. You'll learn the hard way with them and you'll be complete dependent on it and at the same time, you're unsure whether it's going to help you or not.
If they're for free, as long as you won't spend any penny on them I guess it's fine. But when they start to ask you certain amount of money for their signals then you should run away from them.
It takes time to learn trading and to determine whether you're okay to stay on it for so long or you're going to choose other ways of remaining in the market such as holding.
Definitely, especially individuals who have just started trading in the cryptocurrency markets should stay away from channels that claim to make money by sharing signals because many people are often defrauded by these signals and this completely prevents the person from improving himself/herself at the very beginning. Even though there are channels or phenomena that share signals for free, I think that the data obtained from them should never be trusted because there is never anything clear about the experience or accuracy of information of the people sharing these signals. In addition to all this, I would like to add that users who trade in the cryptocurrency markets by following the signals cannot gain real experience and will have difficulty learning how to do research in the market. Someone who trades by following successful and unsuccessful signals will not be able to improve himself/herself in trading in financial markets because he/she will not do research, will not follow price movements and will not be able to face his/her own mistakes for gain an experience. |
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The risk of losing the money you bet is definitely the same as losing in gambling. This cannot be avoided with certainty, because that is the rule in gambling. The gambling that is carried out is expected to be done with money that is ready to be lost, because the risk of losing in gambling cannot be avoided, let alone eliminated. and the amount of risk that will occur depends on the amount of the bet, the higher the bet, the greater the risk, but no one knows about luck maybe everything can turn around instantly, but don't expect too much that winning will be easy to get.
It's clear that in gambling, in my opinion, it's not right to just hope for a win, because the chance of winning in gambling is very slim and different from the big chance of losing, so if you only think about winning, in my opinion that's the wrong thing, because it's impossible to win easily. You also have to accept the reality of losses that inevitably occur in gambling.
You are right, the risk taken to lose or increase the money is actually gambling itself and the exact amount used in the bet refers to this. In fact, I think we both explained our views differently from different perspectives because as far as I understand, what you want to explain is the determination of the amount of money to be used in gambling and the risk posed by using that money in gambling as a result of this decision. What I want to explain is that it depends entirely on the preferences within the gambling itself. I would like to give an example other than sports betting; Let's imagine that there is a wheel game and there are five possibilities in this wheel. Let these possibilities provide a profit of 0%, 25%, 50%, 100% and 500% of the bet amount, respectively. Again, the probability of these possibilities coming is as follows; 0% chance of winning: 35% 25% chance of winning: 30% 50% chance of winning: 25% 100% chance of winning: 8% 500% chance of winning: 2% Using the example here, let's assume that a gambler bets with 10 units of money. In this scenario, your point is that this gambler gambles away 10 units of his/her money and takes this risk to make a profit. The point I want to explain is that this person can win by dividing his/her entire balance into 5 or 10 different games instead of using it in a single game, considering the 500% chance of winning. I continue with the point I want to explain; Let's say this gambler loses all his/her money in a single game with a 0% chance of winning. In this case, he/she took a high risk and aimed for a 500% chance of profit with his/her 10 units of money and took this risk to earn 50 units of money. When the same gambler plays 10 different games with 10 units of money, he/she gets a 0% chance of winning 5 times, a 100% chance of winning 3 times and a 500% chance of winning 2 times. In this case, he/she has ensured the risk of the money he/she risked to spend on gambling through capital management and in return he/she will have 18 units of money. I hope that with this example I was able to accurately convey the points that we both wanted to explain and to compare our thoughts correctly. |
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Funny illustration, but I get the message you are trying to pass. Life itself is filled with risk and I believe that a high percentage of person that succeed very well in life are those that don't fear the risk and take although sometimes it not always positive but there is certainty that one day that risk might yield good results. Another thing is knowing the right time and moment to take such risk because there is also careless risks.
Yes, it is a bit of a funny example and its meaning is actually understood more clearly in Turkish which is my native language but unfortunately when I translate it into English it cannot explain its exact meaning. If we talk about people who are successful in life, I definitely agree with what you say. These people generally have a high risk threshold and take high risks in the right way at the right time. Certainly, not every risk taken has negative consequences and each risk in its own way leads to success one day. Every risk taken at the right time, in the right place and in the right way will undoubtedly help achieve success more easily and success can be achieved more easily by reducing the risk rate with other factors. |
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Maalesef her geçen gün orta sınıfın yok olduğunu görüyoruz ve bu oldukça üzücü bir durum çünkü birçok zengin servetini birkaç katına katlarken en azından iyi bir hayat standardına ulaşmayı başarmış orta kesim de maalesef artık fakir sınıfına girme noktasına geldi. Günümüz sisteminde zengin daha zengin olurken orta kesim fakirliğe doğru itilmekte ve fakir kesim ise daha da fakirleşerek artık karın tokluğuna bile yaşayamamakta. Her zaman olduğu gibi TUIK verileri hiç inandırıcı değil fakat bu yalan verilere göre bile pozitif düşünmek veya pozitif bir yorum yapabilmek maalesef pek mümkün değil.
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You can do a lot of stupid things with emotions, and its worth thinking about this in advance, if you know that you are prone to this, then you must have limits on the budget that you can spend per day in order to limit your ability to spend more and then regret it. Excessive emotionality can cause harm not only in gambling, but also in any area of our lives where important decisions need to be made, and this often concerns finances.
Certainly, excessive emotionality causes us to make mistakes not only in gambling but in every aspect of our lives. Knowing that having a character that cannot control your emotions may be a small support to prevent possible mistakes but it cannot fully help. On the other hand, I think that the word "emotions" shouldn't be known only as being affected by certain events because greed is actually an emotion and triggers us to make decisions that we may regret especially in gambling. Therefore, controlling the feeling of greed is absolutely of great importance when gambling. Being able to set certain limits for oneself in gambling is an emotion that is very difficult to control because greed constantly triggers the violation of this rule. For this reason, individuals who cannot control their emotions in gambling should both impose financial restrictions in order not to regret themselves and also be able to control their emotions such as greed very well. |
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I disagree with you. As I said, if the game is played between close friends, money is easily replaced by reputation. Try to play poker with friends without using money and you will realize that you feel the same excitement as if you were playing with money. That is why these games are called gambling, whether you like it or not.
Of course, human nature is always focused on winning and this is also true if a game is played without any prize. From a different perspective, you are absolutely right that players will focus on winning for reputation in the poker game which doesn't have any prize as money but the most important point I want to point out is that it wouldn't be right to consider any game as gambling when there is no money or a similar prize. When it comes to reputation, of course all players will focus on winning but it is important to remember that we act carefully to gain or protect reputation not only in the games we play but in every activity of our lives. It is clear that whatever the name of something that involves money or any item of value and has a value to be bet that will be the object in return as a result of the bet (victory) then clearly it is called gambling, and also if on the other hand the bet does not involve anything that will be used as an object of victory at the end of the session then clearly it is not a gamble because there is no something that is the object of victory and also there is no real possibility of what is called risk, In fact, this context is very simple and on the other hand I hope that everyone, especially those who just want to enter and get involved in gambling, will first understand what gambling really is, especially in terms of possible risks because it is clear that lately the population of gamblers is increasing but most of them are gamblers who have no responsibility for their gambling activities so that this causes a lot of problems, especially in their finances and sometimes even accusations of fraud in some casinos, especially the type of online casino.
Definitely, I think it isn't right to consider it as gambling if there is no money or similar reward to be obtained in case the prediction wins. In particular, since it isn't possible to lose anything in such a situation, people who make predictions don't apply risk management and therefore cannot learn what risk management is. As you mentioned, especially recently, there are many gamblers who cannot manage risk management and liability management well and because of their inability to manage these they face financial difficulties. Of course, due to these financial difficulties, various fraud methods are preferred by these people. |
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Yes taking risks can result in possible rewards, but it's important to note that not all risks are the same. High risk situations don't always mean you'll get bigger rewards. Making not wise decisions means looking downside and thinking about the odds before stepping into uncertain situations. If you gamble on a lower league football team the higher risk could mean a higher reward but it also raises the chance of losing. Finding a balance between risk and careful analysis is key for long term success in different parts of gambling.
I think the exact situation you are explaining here actually has something to do with capital management because calculating possible risk possibilities and using the budget effectively accordingly actually means capital management. For example, using a budget of 5,000 units for a sports bet with odds of 1.01 and using a budget of 0.5 units for a sports bet with odds of 100 will result in the same profit at the end of the day. The most important point here is to use a high amount of budget to evaluate a low-rate possibility and this is actually related to budget management. Moreover, according to the example here if both possibilities don't come true, there will be a loss of 5,000 units with one bet and 0.5 units with the other bet. So, as I mentioned you are talking about capital management in conjunction with risk management. The example with teams in a cup match is so simple, firstly, it will not be easy for a weak team to win such a match, so the risk in this case is too great to risk a lot of money.
There is always enough risk in gambling, every time we play, we take risks, no matter which team you bet on in this cup match, there will be a risk of losing. And in a cup match this can happen more often than usual, because coaches of strong teams often give players from the bench the opportunity to play in cup matches in order to prove themselves on the field.
Of course, the probability of the weak team winning this match and naturally the probability of betting on this team to win is quite low but in such a case I don't think that any gambler would use his/her entire budget or a large part of his/her budget in favor of this team. For example, let's say a 20 odd bet is placed on the weak team. Someone with a budget of 100 units will definitely not use more than 10% of their budget for this option. This means earning more profit by taking high risks with a low budget. For example, let's say there is a match between Barcelona and a third division team and the odds are 1.02 for Barcelona and 25 for the opposing team. In this case, you would choose to bet 5,000 units on Barcelona to get a profit of 100 units while a bet of 4 units on the other team would be sufficient. So, using a much higher risk and a much lower budget will also help increase the potential profit. I love the first statement you made if you do not take risk then you should not bother coming to gambling when you take high risk then you get a very high potential and does risk the kind of risks that can make you a millionaire, i gamble without been scared and I don't bother or care about what people will say and precisely i gamble on my phone so you wont know whether am gambling or not. and with the example you gave there are some games that you don't need a magician to tell you whether they will win or not there is assurance on a particular clubs you will know that they will win, with games like this you can stake high and get good money out of it. selecting games that am sure of makes everything more easy for me then I don't fear while gambling. and always gambling with fear wont help anyone in this journey of gambling. cross the limit and i assure you will make your money back, with time.
Certainly, especially in sports betting the possibility of potential winnings increases by choosing teams with low odds and high popularity and such options generally make the gambler feel that he/she is gambling more safely. Of course, there is never a certain outcome in gambling and therefore there is no guarantee of winning but profit can be targeted by minimizing potential risks with the choices made. |
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With the inflation, the 100 dollar bill, does actually look like it was 10 dollars only 😃. The OP only think about the positive result or if we invest it the said amount. But, what if not? The increasing inflation will again eat most of its value. That should be the real meaning of playing safe OP. To not invest.
I agree about teaching the young ones to save and invest as early as possible. This is what many of us adults regretted. It's either our parents didn't teach us about it, or they do but we don't take it seriously. Now, we don't want the same mistake to happen to our kids or to the other young people. They will surely thank us for this one day, once they follow it strictly.
Certainly, considering the economic conditions we are in, it is much more logical to invest instead of saving because fiat currencies are losing value against inflation. Moreover, this is unfortunately the case with strong currencies and any state-owned currency will unfortunately not have its current value in the future. For this reason, I think it would be better to invest as well as save because an investment with good risk management gains significant value in the long term. Teaching younger generations the importance of saving is of course very important but in today's conditions I think it would be more beneficial to teach younger generations how to invest correctly and evaluate these investments efficiently. Especially for children, teaching investing is as important as family and social education. For this reason, I think it is the responsibility of every family and teacher to teach their children how to invest in the right way. |
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Yes, it is true that if we want to win something, we have to take risks to get it. We also need to realize that the higher the risk, the more likely we can win something, but that does not guarantee that we can get it because, in gambling, there is no certainty after playing gambling. In the example you gave, the popular soccer team will only sometimes be able to win if the underdog soccer team has something that can turn the direction of the match so that they can win the match. This has often happened to many teams, so we must understand that a match will have a surprise factor. If we want to avoid higher risks in gambling, we don't need to place bets with a lot of money and only use enough money so that if we lose, we won't lose quite a lot.
Of course, as with anything that takes risks it is never possible to achieve a successful outcome in gambling. The point I want to explain here is that if bets with low odds are preferred the potential probability of winning will be higher but the gain will be lower. On the contrary, the risk rate increases and indirectly the winning possibility decreases. For example, a sports bet with odds of 1.01 has a very high probability of winning but the return is 1% and there is a low probability of not winning. However, in a sports bet with 5 odds, the probability of winning is low but the amount of winnings is quite high. Again, in this case there is no guarantee of winnings. As someone who has previously lost a huge amount of money in sports betting with odds of something like 1.10, I make this comment with confidence. That's right, because to win you have to be brave enough to take risks, but you need to pay attention to this, don't dare to take risks but don't consider them well. Most gamblers dare to take risks but don't think about the future, where they can't accept the reality of the loss that will occur. They tend to only think about winning, by placing large bets because they think that way they can get a bigger win, but they don't think about losing money which might be faster.
The risks involved in gambling are certain, and victory is also certain, but victory will not be easy to obtain. The bigger the bet they make, the bigger the risk, everything in gambling is related to risk so it is not surprising that many losses occur in gambling because it is bound to happen.
True, it is necessary to take more risks to earn more but managing this risk correctly is of great importance. Chasing bets with high odds and evaluating all possible bets isn't a correct risk management because in case all of them lose, the loss amount can be very high depending on the number of bets. Also, just as you mentioned, it is important to remember that there is always the possibility of losing when taking risks in gambling. For this reason, it would be a huge mistake to bet by only thinking about the profit to be achieved depending on the winning rate. |
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Son birkaç gündür dağıtımın gerçekleşmesini beklediğim bir airdropdu ve bugün Türkiye saati ile 18:00'da claim edebilme sürecinin başlaması ile ilk cüzdanımdan 1.200 adet claim edebildim. Daha sonra claim edememe sorununun başlaması ile birlikte yaklaşık yarım saat sonra ise ikinci cüzdanımda bulunan 200 adet JUP'u claim edebildim. Henüz satış yapmadım ve fiyatı takip ediyorum çünkü birkaç gün önce dağıttıkları WIN token birkaç saat sonra oldukça ciddi değer kazanmıştı ve çok ciddi bir hype olması sebebi ile JUP'un da aynı şekilde değerlenebileceğini düşünüyorum. Tabii ki, bu sadece benim düşüncem. Elde ettiğim kazançtan da bahsetmek gerekirse anlık olarak 950 USD gibi bir değere sahip JUP token tutuyorum ve maliyetin sıfır olması sebebi ile risk iştahım da oldukça yüksek. Birkaç gün sonra yeni bir ülkede yeni bir ev kiralayacak olmam sebebi ile bu airdropbun bana şeker gibi geldiğini de belirtmeden geçmek istemiyorum. Neredeyse evin bir depozitosu buradan çıkmış oluyor şu anki fiyat ile. Ek olarak, Solana ağında airdroplardan faydalanmak için sürekli bir şey kilitlediğini belirten arkadaşlardan da bu konu hakkında bilgi bekliyorum çünkü aktif olarak Solana cüzdanı kullanan birisi olarak JUP ve WIN airdrobu için herhangi bir şekilde token kilitleme veya benzeri bir işlem yapmadım. Ayrıca, konuyu açtığım zaman gözümden kaçmış JPL yerine JUP olarak kripto para birimini belirtmişim. Bunu da konu üzerinde hemen düzenliyorum ilerleyen zamanlara hatalı bir veri olmaması adına. Son olarak, Solana ağında benim gibi aktif işlem yaparak 1.200 adetin üzerinde JUP token kazanan oldu mu? Ve, bu airdrop ile iyi olarak nitelendirebileceğimiz kazanç elde eden kaç kişi oldu? Dün 40 milyon dolar gösteriyordu eski Jup tokenı. Eski coin elinde olanlara ne verdiler acaba üstadım?
Herhangi bir kaynakta elinde $JLP bulunduranlara dağıtım yapıldığına dair bir bilgi göremedim fakat yapılmamış olması durumunda muhakkak ilerleyen günlerde bunun için de bir dağıtım olacaktır. Sonuçta havadan para dağıttıkları şu süreç içerisinde eski yatırımcılarını da memnun etmek için bir şey yapacaklarını düşünüyorum. |
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Fed in para basmak için 2024 yılındaki yeni bahanesi ne olacak ?
Özellikle son yıllar içerisinde edindiğim tecrübelere göre yorum yapmak gerekirse FED'in para basmak için artık pek bir bahane aramadığını söylemek mümkün. Amerikan ekonomisinin kötüye gitmesi, olası yeni bir mortgage krizi, savaş içerisinde olan ülkelerin iflası veya yeniden enflasyon oranında kontrol edilemez bir yükselişin gözlemlenmesi olası ihtimaller arasında yer alıyor. Tabii, bir de Covid sonrasında oluşan pandemi algısı sebebi ile oluşabilecek yeni bir pademi yeniden bahane edilerek para basımı da söz konusu olabilir. Ayrıca, her ne kadar tam anlamı ile dünya bunu hissetmiyor olsa da 2008 krizinden daha büyük bir kriz içerisindeyiz ve bu kriz aniden patlak verebilir. Bu da, para basmak için oldukça geçerli bir sebep olacaktır FED için. Küçük bir düşünme sonucunda bu şekilde sebepler aklıma geldi ama söz konusu FED olduğu için saçma sapan bahaneler veya ilk cümlemde de belirttiğim gibi herhangi bir bahane olmaksızın para basımına devam edilmesi de oldukça yüksek ihtimaller arasında yer alıyor. Bu durumun bu şekilde devam etmesi durumunda tüm dünyayı çok büyük bir ekonomik krizin beklediğini tartışmaya gerek yok diye düşünüyorum. Kötü günlerin geride kaldığı ve sürekli daha kötü günlerin yaşandığı tarihimizde böyle bir ihtimalin gerçekleşme ihtimali de tahminlerime göre kuvvetle muhtemel. |
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We need to take risks to win something, not only in gambling but in every aspect of our lives and the higher the risk ratio the higher the gain if the result is achieved successfully. To give an example specific to gambling, let's imagine that a popular football team competes with a lower league team in any event or cup match. In this case, since the winning rate of the popular and strong football team will be quite high, the winning rate of someone who bets with this option will also be low but the probability of winning for someone who bets by choosing the lower league team will be higher because the risk will be higher. In the shortest way possible, I can give an example of "the more bread, the more meatballs".
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In my opinion, any activity that requires a player to predict the outcome of an event and risk his money is gambling to a greater or lesser extent. If the activity takes place among people who know each other, then money can be excluded from this system, because reputation is used instead of money. Betting on some event among friends, betting on the next president, playing cards with neighbors - all these are gambling.
I definitely think that any activity and prediction of potential possibilities is gambling especially where money is involved. If a prediction is made between two friends without any product or money involved, it wouldn't be right to call it gambling but if a prediction is made between two friends for a product or money, this will be gambling. So, although it is possible to state that a prediction between two people without any reward or money is not gambling, it would be very correct to state that it is gambling if the person who guesses correctly will win something depending on the outcome. In short, if there is a prediction and a reward or money that promises winnings it can be easily said that it is gambling. |
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Being emotional in gambling and making decisions based on your emotions will always cause you to lose because gambling is something that allows you to win with proper control not emotionally. Although gambling is never a method of income that can be your focus, it is very important to be able to control your emotions when gambling, maintain personal discipline and perform risk management correctly.
Although our emotions cause us to make wrong decisions in every aspect of our lives, our emotions also cause us to make mistakes more easily in gambling. Therefore, one should always act dispassionately when gambling and should never become emotionally attached to a game, team or choice depending on the type of gambling preferred.
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I think the reason why many people fail in trading is because they think they can get rich very easily and quickly by trading. For this reason, investments made without any research often lead to problems such as not meeting expectations in a very short time, not knowing how to be patient, not managing capital well and as a result cause that person to face failure. On the other hand, many people especially those who trade in cryptocurrency markets make risky choices to earn more as well as using high leverage to maximize this risk ratio which is among the factors that cause failure.
So, basically I can say that the reason why many people fail in trading is the dream of making very high profits very easily and quickly. As I mentioned, this causes the person to be affected in many different ways and always loses through a series of mistakes. Anyone who sees trading as a means of making simple and fast money is doomed to lose money and unless he/she changes his/her mind, he/she will build on his/her mistakes, repeat them and continue to lose.
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is arbitrage still possible in crypto ? anyone has any luck with this method ?
Yes, arbitrage in the cryptocurrency markets is possible today but it is also quite difficult. This is because there are many more people trading in the cryptocurrency markets today, AI bots evaluate such opportunities very quickly and prices are generally very close to each other in many exchanges. In addition, since the transaction volume in the cryptocurrency markets is quite high today, it is unfortunately not possible to carry out arbitrage transactions with a significant difference as before. In other words, trading with arbitrage in the cryptocurrency markets is still possible today but it doesn't have a serious earning potential and is quite difficult due to today's technology and the increasing number of cryptocurrency traders. I can easily say that it is a truly competitive. |
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1) How's the price of land in your country? 2) Have you ever thought been in the time where land was cheap and bought a lot? 3) Are you boarding the train(cheap) of Bitcoin holders or you want to wait for private jets?  1) Land prices have gained significant value in my country especially in the last five years because I live on a small island country and it is a paradise in terms of tourism. Although a significant increase in value has been observed especially in locations very close to the sea (Mediterrenian) land prices have also increased significantly in urban areas. Although current land prices are quite cheap for many foreign investors unfortunately they aren't easily accessible for local people. 2) Yes, exactly as I mentioned in the previous answer I had such an analysis and thought approximately five years ago. Accordingly, I researched some of the regions where I would purchase in detail and purchased land from several different locations. I keep all of them up to date and they are quite valuable. 3) Of course, I think I got on the Bitcoin train from a very cheap point because even though I don't have a very serious Bitcoin savings, I have been making small purchases for the last few years. Nowadays, when I think about the future, I think that the price of Bitcoin has not increased significantly yet, so I increase my spot balance in Bitcoin by buying whenever I get the opportunity. |
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Paying house rent with Bitcoin is definitely not a bad idea because Bitcoin is a cryptocurrency that manages to maintain its value against inflation and allows very easy and fast money transfer between people. In other words, Bitcoin is a financial asset that can be used not only as an investment instrument but also as a means of payment.
Yes, perhaps the amount of Bitcoin that must be paid for 1,000 units of fiat currency today may be equivalent to 10,000 units of fiat currency in a few years but as long-term investors we also know that none of us will do something like not selling our Bitcoin investments until we die. For this reason, it shouldn't be forgotten that the person in question may earn his/her monthly income in Bitcoin or pay his/her house rent in Bitcoin as the investments he/she has previously made are highly valued.
Moreover, when I consider that as someone who earns income by trading short-term cryptocurrencies I regularly exchange a portion of my earnings every month for fiat currency and cover my life's expenses with the income I earn from this, there is also a reason why the house rent expense is paid with Bitcoin. I don't think there is a problem or mistake about this. So, I don't see any difference between a trader who trades short-term cryptocurrency and converts his/her earnings into cash and someone who pays his house rent with Bitcoin.
Finally, if the person I rented my house from offered to pay me the rent with any cryptocurrency I would accept it without hesitation because if the passive income gained increased in value, passive income would be created and earned through passive income.
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The term gambler can be used specifically for anyone who gambles regularly and doesn't have a bad connotation. I think it is possible to use this term for anyone who is addicted to gambling, who gambles with certain frequency and regularity, who gambles occasionally and who gambles very rarely. The reason for this is that this term is used for people who gamble. Although some people use the word "gambler" in a bad way for individuals who are addicted to gambling, in my personal opinion I claim that this isn't the right thing because as I stated the use of this word is appropriate for everyone who has gambled and it definitely doesn't have a bad meaning. For example, as someone who gambles periodically, I'm not disturbed if a friend or anyone around me calls me a gambler.
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Remember, there would be a winner to be rewarded and a looser to lost the stakes.
It is possible to answer yes to the question you asked just with the sentence you stated here. If a bet is made on possible possibilities and as a result one side loses money while the other side wins money, this is definitely a gamble. For example, in a football match there is a possibility that one of the two teams will win the match and the possibility that the match will end in a draw. Betting money on any of these possibilities and losing or winning multiples of that money depending on the outcome is strictly gambling. To summarize, anything that involves making money through possible possibilities can be considered gambling because the goal is to make money through an unclear possibility or it is possible to lose all the money staked for that possibility. |
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