I am truly hoping for Leverkusen to win the title, but my gut feeling is that Bayern will win it again. If you want to, you can turn your bold prediction into a little bet against me I say that Bayern will win the title. I have been disappointed so many teams so many teams when it was looking great for them and then it all fell apart within just a few weeks and Bayern "had to be looked after with binoculars", as Uli Hoeneß once said

No doubt that this is what the owners of Girona are reaching for. I am still on the fence about Girona as I don't know whether they have the quality players needed to compete with Real Madrid until the end of the season, but a top four finish would mean to take it to the next level for them and to also become an option for players who want to play in the Champions League but are not yet ready to take the risk and mess with the best in teams like Manchester City. But Girona is doing some remarkable work in player recruitment and the Champions League qualification would be a serious upgrade for them.

Wobei es schon ein interessanter Aspekt ist, sich mal genau zu überlegen wohin eine weiterhin intensivierte Zentralisierung zu voll regulierten Datenkraken führen würde. So ein wenig geht ja schon dieser libertäre Gedanke verloren, mit dem Bitcoin mal gestartet ist. Wenn sie Binance platt machen, dann wird die Konsolidierung garantiert weiter gehen und ganz klar alles Richtung Börsen wie Coinbase und ähnliche gedrückt. Die EU ist mit ihren Plänen ja auch noch lange nicht am Ende. Deshalb wird es trotzdem ohne Ende Investoren und Spekulanten geben, aber wie du schon sagtest, könnte ein Abschuss von Binance durchaus nochmal richtig reinhauen. Ich stimme aber überein, dass der Preis sich auch davon wieder erholen würde.

There is no need for anyone to contact theymos to pay that fee. Anyone can do that if they wish.


That was obviously written with a sense of humor.

For a small fee you can set up an account that grants you certain functions a newbie account wouldn't have. That way you can post images, like the account did with the website of the seizure. It's almost granted that this person understands Bitcointalk relatively well if you also take into account the timings, like the setup of the account, the paid Copper membership, the post and the publication of the article talking about the seizure. Could be someone from the investigation team that worked on the Sinbad case.

Do you have an idea how much cyberwar is going on? Do you have an idea what North Korea would do if it wasn't for other countries to protect their IT infrastructure? There is one incentive to not do it and that is when a country holds a lot of Bitcoin themselves. Or when a country is an interest in not getting Bitcoin destroyed because it helps them circumventing sanctions. This is what makes Bitcoin more resilient over time because whether different parties or even enemies like it or not, they might have an aligned interest in Bitcoin to not die, or to even increase in value. But if an attack was possible for someone, sure there is potential it would be executed. As if every country wants to be friends with everyone.

I watched and commented on that goal already and I said it wasn't as crazy as the media say it was. It is a ball relatively slowly coming back and a goalkeeper hitting it in a way that makes him look very stupid, but in reality this type of goal has not happened for the first time. Frankly, it does inevitably look stupid for the goalkeeper.

But I was disappointed but St. Pauli to tie the game after that 2-0 lead. It has become some sort of meme that Hamburg messes it up to get promoted into the 1. Bundesliga wherever they can. I anticipate that meme to still be of relevance in 20 years from now.

Any team that was interested in Mbappe was valuing him very highly, but what PSG did was in fact drive his price up by offering him hundreds of million for another signature for an additional year. That was PSG's calculation. They paid him so much money that he couldn't resist but sign an extension for 12 months. Then apparently Real Madrid knew that the transfer would cost them several hundred million or otherwise it won't happen. The case seems to be the same in the upcoming summer I believe. I am sure we don't know all the details of the new contract, but from what I have heard Mbappe can again freely decide whether to stay or to leave.

But as PrivacyG said this is just the beginning. It has nothing to do with "mixers", it has to do with the government not being able to trace down transactions. And this is where the whole thing we are discussing here doesn't make sense, it doesn't add up. Leave aside the payments from signature campaigns, but if Monero is allowed and if some other form of exchange(s) that essentially enable(s) mixing without calling it that way is allowed, wouldn't it make much more sense to comply with the law by immediately banning any mixing service that has been caught or suspected for facilitating illegal transactions?

It is as if Bitcointalk would be the only place for the Lazarus Group to go and find a mixer because some of the people here wear the signature, but this is so nonsense. And if the idea was that the IRS has less work to do because people with plans to evade taxes now don't know what to do without mixers, how ridiculous would that be?

It would have made so much more sense that Bitcointalk warns mixers that want to advertise their services here, get immediately banned if some strong evidence emerges. Or what about the US glorifying their justice system for the "being innocent until proven guilty policy"? Why can't Bitcointalk also stick to "being innocent until proven guilty" policies and react immediately when a case has been concluded by prosecutors?

Someone drew a comparison between Silk Road I think and how someone was sentenced to life in prison, but come on. Nobody here is trading weapons, drugs, or contracting assassinations. Mixers are one of those things that some will use for good, and some will use it for evil.

I believe that casinos will be the next because everything else would make zero sense. Casinos can be launched with bad intent and relatively low funding, be operated with high risk, ran into the ground and then pull the rug. Advertise gambling with no KYC, and ultimately function like a mixing service.

I fully concur with you and it gets more complicated than that. I shared a post a while ago where they did a breakdown about the wallets that bought all the way down from the last peak to the last low and how it is turning into a net positive, not on the individual level, but collectively. But I still think that the point you mentioned about not knowing exactly about the number of 60k buyers and their sentiment once we get back to that range. Will they turn into selling pressure because they are happy to have made back what they "lost" on paper? Or will they remain or become true believers because they never intended to sell anyway? There are some interesting infographics about that, but I would have to go through my post history and search for the links. I will do that if I find some time and share it here.

Short selling Bitcoin can be fun, but only when you are ok with losing money and consider it gambling. I have my own experiments and burned my fingers a couple of times, but with relatively low amounts just to get a feeling. Leverage is really gambling unless you have inside info or are big enough to move the market yourself. Neither of both applies to me

Haha ich habe erst aus 80 Metern gelesen, aber so spektakulär finde ich das Tor gar nicht. Weil der Kommentator meinte, vielleicht wäre es das verrückteste Eigentor der Bundesligageschichte. Also ich kann jetzt keins direkt aus dem Kopf sagen, aber da waren schon einige dabei, die einem durchaus zu denken gegeben haben Das hier war doch fast noch ein Klassiker.

Bochum macht ordentlich Druck und vielleicht geht mein 2-2 noch auf. Das würde noch einiges auf den Kopf stellen in unserer Kicktipp-Spieltagstabelle. Mal schauen, ob die Wolfsburger noch zurückkommen.

Ok but the truth is that this is way more complicated and unpredictable than to just say "losers suffered from FOMO" and "low-to-no winners suffered from FUD". Nobody really catches highs and lows perfectly. But was the decision to buy at 60k wrong if someone truly decided that this is a long-term thing and was fine with the price going down perhaps for a while? The market was heated up, but I couldn't have predicted whether it is definitely about to stop. I didn't think 100k would be impossible.

In plain numbers you are right, someone who bought at 60k is now at a loss - unless that person went for DCA all the way down to 16k afterwards and then up to 38.5k these days. That's why the FOMO guys who lost are really those who went all in on 60k without any backup plan whatsoever for what should usually be deemed a long-term investment. Bitcoin is too susceptible to many exogenous effects to rely on a short-term flip (as very likely many were hoping for).

I 100% agree with you on that one and in fact I have posted about this I think in the past. There has never been harmonization possible on a global scale when it is about politics, law, economics, trade or whatever you can come up with. I was more referring to this idea that "Bitcoin can be shut down" as if it was possible to pull the plug. No, it is not possible, but that is mainly because there will always be a copy of the blockchain, a node that can't be shut down, etc.

I really think that the only effective action to take Bitcoin down would be to successfully attack it on a massive scale. And of course innovation, maybe one day there is a solution that convinces investors to shift their wealth from the Bitcoin network to whatever that newly emerged, trusted thing could be.

No, you can sue and punish people for using it if you can prove the case as a law enforcement agency, but the government can't shut it down in the sense that they can literally pull the plug. There are countless of copies of the Bitcoin blockchain and even in the early days the government would have been forced to find every single copy out there, every single download of the blockchain and then delete it. This is what makes Bitcoin so resilient. The most promising way to shut down the network would be to successfully attack the network, hacking private keys and letting the public know that there will be a file dropped in a few minutes where everyone gets access to everyone's keys. That would lead to the price dropping like a rock if it were proven to be true.

It is Real Madrid after all and they can cope with injuries against a lot of the other teams. Napoli isn't the best test to see how far Real Madrid can go despite injuries. I think if they have to deal with injuries in a game against some of the Champions League favorites, it might be more difficult for them to get away with it as well as they did against Napoli.

This is really the biggest problem because the forum might turn into a place for those being good at acrobatics in legal rhetoric. If two people mean exactly the same and one can get banned and the other can't, aren't we going the wrong way then? Because I think this is what all of this will result in.

Do we get warnings before we get banned? Will everyone be treated the same? Who decides who gets banned for imprecise/dumb/unintended "illegal" wording? And what is even illegal wording because that is again the issue. It will all be about the wording.

For instance, I like to use swapspace.co. Now I have never checked whether they have the word "mixer" somewhere on their website. They don't ask for KYC and I have used it in the past because sometimes it is quick and simple and not too expensive to get some USDT (for example). They also offer BTC->XMR. You can use them to mix coins not in the form of BTC to BTC, but you could use two steps and go from BTC->USDT->BTC.

The worst thing would be that someone really unintentionally uses some wrong wording and finds themselves banned the next morning. I am also wondering whether someone with 5000 merit would be treated the same as someone with 500 merit.

If we go this way, we should have some transparent process and something like a jury because if this is nontransparent and an account can be nuked with one click because not every single word was thoroughly reconsidered five times before the message was sent, it would be really bad. There could be delicate topics and many slippery slope decisions along this way.

The thing is that someone asking for a good and reliable mixer is still not the same as someone asking for a reliable heroin source or for someone who sells automatic machine guns without questions asked. It would totally make sense to ask a community that knows what's going on in the mixing business where to find a reliable service with good experience and lower counterparty risk.

So is Reddit also going to announce free speech restrictions? maybe I don't know enough about Reddit, but they should have probably been taken down before Bitcointalk decides to restrict free speech. You can find all kinds of shit there.

Refreshing to see someone approach the whole Elon Musk saga with a differentiated point of view.

Just look what our friend fmr. SEC Chair Jay Clayton had to say about Elon Musk. I thought he would be ranting about Elon Musk at least to a certain degree, but he took a very differentiated stance on some of the statements Elon Musk made. I watched the entire interview with Musk and as you correctly said, this is not about arrogance when he said "GFY" (as he repeats a couple of times). He explains that there is no reason for anyone to respect people who want to see you dead. Like literally destroyed. He is also making a lot of respectable points that I could not verify, like complying with a hundred millions of regulations etc., but I think this is why the follow up talk with Jay Clayton brings some value here. He did not contradict Musk and I was a bit impressed because the SEC and Musk have a nice relationship with each other

I liked the part when Musk said that his life is about physics and that is mostly what counts, not whether someone likes him or hates him because when you break physics, it breaks you. Opinions can break without collateral damage. He said if he shoots a rocket to the moon, it all is about whether it explodes or not. That's all people will be interested in once they use a rocket. Not whether he is an asshole. And he has got a point there.

I think many Bitcoiners are spoiled because of those unrealistic gains we have seen during the early days. In reality Bitcoin has made about 130%+ over the last 12 months. Wouldn't that be called bullish for almost any other asset? Taking into account that interests will be dropping as inflation is dropping and that the next halving is around the corner, I am quite optimistic that it would not be wrong to say we are all set up to keep the momentum going. It is just not as realistic to go from 40k to 80k in the same amount of time we went from 4k to 8k.

It is halftime and St. Pauli is leading 2-0 against Hamburg. This win would be huge for St. Pauli and since Hamburg isn't really into it so far, this one is probably going to end with 3 points for Pauli.

In the other game Schalke has the lead! But they are experts in flushing leads down the toilet so let's see where this is heading. This game would still not get them out of a the relegation zone, but they are about to keep Osnabruck at distance.

Their Bitcoin experience might not have been as great if you look at it from price performance only, but it taught them some things about cryptocurrency, market sentiment, all the regulatory complexity coming with Bitcoin, crashes of centralized exchanges and many other important things that can create FUD when you are brand new in the market.

For those who thought they'd quickly double up money they needed two month later at $60k, it went wrong. But for those who used money that was only dedicated to a long-term investment horizon, there is already a learning curve as Bitcoin went quite low from $60k and is now on the right path for recovery. With all the news going on about the financial industry getting involved now, I think most longer term investors get a feeling of where this could be going very soon.

When OP asks whether to buy at 35k when he or she bought at 25-30k, I wonder why someone would fear to buy at 35k and what the initial investment objective was.