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601  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 20, 2014, 07:29:23 PM
$580 is bitstamp bottom?
602  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 20, 2014, 07:23:09 PM
I'd like to suggest some calming music during these crazy Bitcoin times:

Elvis Costello - I Can't Stand Up For Falling Down

Tom Petty - Freefalling

Tom Waits - Down Down Down

and when it gets really bad:
the doors - this is the end
and when all your btc are worthless / have been lost / bitcoin is dead: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X2WH8mHJnhM
603  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 20, 2014, 07:10:56 PM
Tom Petty - Free falling
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1lWJXDG2i0A
604  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 20, 2014, 07:00:27 PM
Do you have any proof of sending 50k to mtgox? This is not speculation is throwing money off the window. You might win, but still it's stupid to do.


Did you make that deposit today and got it in instantly?
Yes I made this today and it should arrive tomorrow based on my previous transactions. It takes about 1 business day for money to arrive.

Well done. You will probably buy more than 500 BTC with that amount.. If Gox can pull their shit together you will be looking at a huge instant profit.

In other news: my concern is not Gox being insolvent "because they lost the coins". My concerns is they are in VERY deep shit for various reasons and funds might be stuck in there for very long.

EUR withdrawals still worked you say? Only smallish ones and VERY slowly. When it takes 6 weeks to process a fiat withdrawal, then something VERY bad is happening. I mean... If I tell to my bank to do a 300k transfer, they do it immediately, and in max. 2/3 days the money arrives to the account where I sent it. If they have to wait WEEKS to be able to send the money, then there is a serious problem somewhere. They won't tell us what is the problem and they make up BS excuses about their "huge volume" overwhelming the banks. In my book, that's very worrying.
From what I understand their bank account has limits of say 200k EUR per day. That means waiting queue. They may be incompetent dealing with the legal issues, (e.g 5m USD frozen in US) and are stuck with these low limit bank accounts. I can see mtgox slowly losing it's market share due to their inability to take care of these issues, but as long as they're not arrested (and I do realize this is a risk so I try to limit my exposure to any exchanges) they will keep pumping funds out slowly, but surely imo. Long story short I don't believe Mark has some evil masterplan to run off with all the btc, nor do I believe they are insolvent. They just can't deal with the "real world".

I am of this opinion as well.  I think incompetence is driving this situation more than anything else.

Please care to explain how do you see the difference ?

From outside, just no way, same symptom for both
Don't get me wrong it's my bet also but before more information both are correct working hypothesis
As a 2011 kid I've seen gox incompetence for years. It's nothing new and this is just another chapter in the book of gox. Newbies don't see the difference because they don't know the history. It's like they open the last chapter in the book and at that point it has turned really ugly, but they need to have read the whole book to get a full picture of why things are looking so ugly.
605  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 20, 2014, 06:50:08 PM
Do you have any proof of sending 50k to mtgox? This is not speculation is throwing money off the window. You might win, but still it's stupid to do.


Did you make that deposit today and got it in instantly?
Yes I made this today and it should arrive tomorrow based on my previous transactions. It takes about 1 business day for money to arrive.

Well done. You will probably buy more than 500 BTC with that amount.. If Gox can pull their shit together you will be looking at a huge instant profit.

In other news: my concern is not Gox being insolvent "because they lost the coins". My concerns is they are in VERY deep shit for various reasons and funds might be stuck in there for very long.

EUR withdrawals still worked you say? Only smallish ones and VERY slowly. When it takes 6 weeks to process a fiat withdrawal, then something VERY bad is happening. I mean... If I tell to my bank to do a 300k transfer, they do it immediately, and in max. 2/3 days the money arrives to the account where I sent it. If they have to wait WEEKS to be able to send the money, then there is a serious problem somewhere. They won't tell us what is the problem and they make up BS excuses about their "huge volume" overwhelming the banks. In my book, that's very worrying.
From what I understand their bank account has limits of say 200k EUR per day. That means waiting queue. They may be incompetent dealing with the legal issues, (e.g 5m USD frozen in US) and are stuck with these low limit bank accounts. I can see mtgox slowly losing it's market share due to their inability to take care of these issues, but as long as they're not arrested (and I do realize this is a risk so I try to limit my exposure to any exchanges) they will keep pumping funds out slowly, but surely imo. Long story short I don't believe Mark has some evil masterplan to run off with all the btc, nor do I believe they are insolvent. They just can't deal with the "real world".
606  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 20, 2014, 06:35:32 PM
Do you have any proof of sending 50k to mtgox? This is not speculation is throwing money off the window. You might win, but still it's stupid to do.


Did you make that deposit today and got it in instantly?
Yes I made this today and it should arrive tomorrow based on my previous transactions. It takes about 1 business day for money to arrive.
607  Economy / Exchanges / Re: MtGox withdrawal delays [Gathering] on: February 20, 2014, 06:32:44 PM
I have quit reading this thread due to high volume and very low signal to noise ratio.  Just stopping by announce that my 10k EUR withdrawal from January 4th changed to pending today, and will arrive tomorrow.  I have cancelled my other withdrawals to buy BTC.
Please re-consider. There needs to be a voice of reason in this mad house. I'm sure I'm not alone in appreciating your input.

What in his input do you appreciate the most? Surely you understand that by following his advice, I would have lost about 1 million dollars compared to my biting the bullet and losing "only" 150k?

Of all the people outside Mt.Gox, sturle bears perhaps the most responsibility of the untold millions that ordinary people lost by listening this lulling voice of "reason".
I'm not going to look through his post history to find any exact quote, but I usually find that he has some interesting thoughts and input. What he says makes a lot of sense most of the time. While on the other hand there is a mad house of people going on and on about how mtgox is broke & other FUD. Sturle is not a shill, why is that being repeated over and over? How about some proof?

As far as losses is concerned, nobody has lost anything yet. A temporary pause in withdraw is not equal with insolvency. Let's see how this turns out before we start making assumptions. In hindsight it would have been sensible to sell BTC on gox and buy back now. But you can't put price fluctuations down as a loss, you are free to trade however you please and could have made a killing from gox being gox.

I'm not sure how you lost 150k, but surely it did not happen because mtgox stole your money but rather through you making trades that where not in your best interest.
gox ransomed my funds on jan 27 when bitcoin was trading at 850 or so now it is trading at under 600 how have people who have had their money tied up on gox not lost anything ? constant lies about being able to withdraw  are a pretty goodindicators of insolvency. I am again relieved that gox has their priorities straight and is putting thier security by moving offices at the forefront of any activity.
Friends of mine in RL have been able to withdraw EUR just fine, again and again. There are issues with USD only, and withdraws are slow, but they do occur.
608  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 20, 2014, 06:26:19 PM
He doesn't need to withdraw them.
Sell 50% of them @ bitcoinbuilder.com

The rest is riskfree and 100% profit (if he is ever able to withdraw gox coins)
I can certainly do that too, but I'll probably keep the BTC and bet on gox being solvent. I do take some risk by selling btc and transfering usd to mtgox, the price could go anywhere while I'm waiting and I have to trust an intermediary (which is why I won't transfer too much per batch).
609  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 20, 2014, 06:23:29 PM
Do you have any proof of sending 50k to mtgox? This is not speculation is throwing money off the window. You might win, but still it's stupid to do.


Just wondering, no offense intended, what makes you think you will be able to withdraw these newly bought btc, before others get their withdrawals?

And based on the accusations of MtGox running fractional reserve, do you believe you can withdraw those btc you buy?
I sold at ~$580, assuming I get to buy in at $130 thats 4.46x my investment. In other words: mtgox must have lost 75% > of their BTC for me to lose. Not a bad bet. I don't believe the accusations that they are running fractional reserve in the first place, so I'm obviously hoping that I will be able to withdraw all.
610  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 20, 2014, 06:20:07 PM
Do you have any proof of sending 50k to mtgox? This is not speculation is throwing money off the window. You might win, but still it's stupid to do.


That's amazing. You're willing to risk all that money?
This isn't my only deposit to gox recently and may not be the last one either. I simply do not buy the idea that mtgox is insolvent. They have made far too many BTC since they came online in 2010. I don't feel like I'm taking much risk and if mtgox has lost 50% of their BTC I still win. Honestly, what are the odds mtgox has lost 50% of their bitcoin?
611  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 20, 2014, 06:11:08 PM
Do you have any proof of sending 50k to mtgox? This is not speculation is throwing money off the window. You might win, but still it's stupid to do.
612  Economy / Exchanges / Re: MtGox withdrawal delays [Gathering] on: February 20, 2014, 06:02:00 PM
I have quit reading this thread due to high volume and very low signal to noise ratio.  Just stopping by announce that my 10k EUR withdrawal from January 4th changed to pending today, and will arrive tomorrow.  I have cancelled my other withdrawals to buy BTC.
Please re-consider. There needs to be a voice of reason in this mad house. I'm sure I'm not alone in appreciating your input.

What in his input do you appreciate the most? Surely you understand that by following his advice, I would have lost about 1 million dollars compared to my biting the bullet and losing "only" 150k?

Of all the people outside Mt.Gox, sturle bears perhaps the most responsibility of the untold millions that ordinary people lost by listening this lulling voice of "reason".
I'm not going to look through his post history to find any exact quote, but I usually find that he has some interesting thoughts and input. What he says makes a lot of sense most of the time. While on the other hand there is a mad house of people going on and on about how mtgox is broke & other FUD. Sturle is not a shill, why is that being repeated over and over? How about some proof?

As far as losses is concerned, nobody has lost anything yet. A temporary pause in withdraw is not equal with insolvency. Let's see how this turns out before we start making assumptions. In hindsight it would have been sensible to sell BTC on gox and buy back now. But you can't put price fluctuations down as a loss, you are free to trade however you please and could have made a killing from gox being gox.

I'm not sure how you lost 150k, but surely it did not happen because mtgox stole your money but rather through you making trades that where not in your best interest.
613  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 20, 2014, 05:55:58 PM
Wait a sec, so people just sold because they thought bitstamp disabled withdrawals??
They sold because they think people will sell because bitstamp disabled withdraws.

Dumps on Gox, I wonder if we'll see double digits today? Grin
I sure hope so. I just sent ~50k to mtgox. Would be a dream come true to buy in double digit.

To buy back in double digits and never be able to withdraw them again?
That's what I'm betting against. Observe the masses and do the opposite. The herd is panic selling so I'm buying their panic sold coins. If I'm wrong, well, at least I will have had the odds on my side.
614  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 20, 2014, 05:26:01 PM
Wait a sec, so people just sold because they thought bitstamp disabled withdrawals??
They sold because they think people will sell because bitstamp disabled withdraws.

Dumps on Gox, I wonder if we'll see double digits today? Grin
I sure hope so. I just sent ~50k to mtgox. Would be a dream come true to buy in double digit.
615  Economy / Exchanges / Re: MtGox withdrawal delays [Gathering] on: February 20, 2014, 05:19:40 PM
I have quit reading this thread due to high volume and very low signal to noise ratio.  Just stopping by announce that my 10k EUR withdrawal from January 4th changed to pending today, and will arrive tomorrow.  I have cancelled my other withdrawals to buy BTC.
Please re-consider. There needs to be a voice of reason in this mad house. I'm sure I'm not alone in appreciating your input.
616  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 20, 2014, 02:23:55 PM
Can we get a poll about what people who have btc trapped on gox are doing ?

Like my btc on gox was

1. Sold at 140 and I'm in fiat
2. Bought in with remaining goxbux balance
3. Taken by unicorns which mark is riding to the moon

And we'll have lots of people who haven't got a single coin or cent at gox voting 3 Smiley
and then we have people like me who deposit fiat and buy more btc.

At what price did you start to buy?
~$330, but only about 20k, working on depositing more now. Did a few trades on bitcoinbuilder too, but the rate there isn't good enough compared to fiat deposit.
617  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 20, 2014, 02:04:43 PM
Can we get a poll about what people who have btc trapped on gox are doing ?

Like my btc on gox was

1. Sold at 140 and I'm in fiat
2. Bought in with remaining goxbux balance
3. Taken by unicorns which mark is riding to the moon

And we'll have lots of people who haven't got a single coin or cent at gox voting 3 Smiley
and then we have people like me who deposit fiat and buy more btc.
618  Economy / Currency exchange / Re: MTGOX <-> BTC BID/ASK on: February 20, 2014, 01:55:27 PM
I'm willing to buy up to 1000 BTC worth of goxBTC. Offering 50%.

Another option is that I sent you BTC-E coupons, up to 300k USD.

Minimum: 100 BTC or USD equivalent (I will have to open cold storage so won't bother with less)
I'm still looking to buy 1000 BTC worth of goxBTC, my offer however is now lowered to 25%.
619  Economy / Speculation / Re: (Poll) Do you have money in Mt Gox? on: February 19, 2014, 11:42:26 PM
Yes, BTC only.

Been depositing and buying some more BTC last few days, also converting with people selling goxBTC. I think I'm about to become a little too overexposed to gox, but I really can't imagine them being insolvent considering all the money they have made throughout the years.
620  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 16, 2014, 05:05:02 PM
Is Mark Karpeles the officially the most hated person in the bitcoin community now?
my reaction to mark kerpeles

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GA7v1qDfkhw
I would have absolutely no surprise or remorse if something happened to him.  This is people's livelihood he's messed with, for too long, and at this point - he deserves whatever's waiting for him

Come on guys, isn't this a little harsh?

What are you basing all this on? The FUD being spread by 2013-2014 users about mtgox being insolvent?

Mtgox has had quite a few fuck-ups throughout the years, but they have always refunded users and mtgox even bailed out other hacked exchanges. The amount of money they have made in fees is likely hundred thousands of BTC. I just don't see how they can be insolvent at this point.

Some incompetence, or maybe just stubbornness of Mark to do all the programming himself? I don't know, but I can't really hate him for it. As long as I am given my BTC within a reasonable time (few weeks) I don't really see an issue. Friends of mine received fiat withdraws this year. It doesn't scream scam to me, just a lot of trouble, maybe a CEO who can't handle it all.

But calling for somebody dropping him dead, wishing him ill etc is really not the time, if he end up scamming / not giving back funds then fair enough, but too soon imo.

I think this will blow over within the next few weeks, when bitcoin withdraws are enabled and the mtgox price is sky high again everybody will be happy again (except those doing stupid trades right now).

I'm buying with both hands on gox, we should cheer Mark for gifting us these very cheap bitcoins.
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