You should add a history of previous bucket falls on the game webpage, and perhaps estimate of when the next round will decide(assuming all buckets are funded).
I added a round timer! Everytime I press F5 it just starts from 5:00 again. |
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Small analysis of the data above:
After 1: 25.04% win vs 24.94% loss: 49.98% win chance
-more data-
How to read? So, you have won the last round, you want to know what the chance of winning after 5 spins is. So in the row: After 5, you see it's 25.4%. Was your last round a loss, then after 5 it will be 24.51%.
(this is done with winning with 50.00 and higher).
What does this show? Nothing, it's random.
Hey vlees, what does the 25% chances relate to? I know you've probably clearly explained it however I'm still a little confused. Shouldn't it be 50% win 50% loss after losing x amount irregardless? I don't see how the 25%'s come in is all. Also Namworld, I understand your a large investor in Coinroll judging by the trust you gave them (regarding the 200 BTC investment or what not), but I don't think Stunna would appreciate you advertising on his thread. Then again I might be wrong, sorry Stunna if you don't mind ^_^ It means that if you have previously won, the chance for the next roll to be a win is 25.04%. If you have previously lost, the chance for the next roll to be a win is 24.94%. Together this is 49.98% and the other 50.02% are the chance of losing the next round. |
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Forgot to post the 10k sampleset. Just as the 2827 one: Client seed is always 0. Serverseed is from 5/24/2013. WIN/LOSS is on numbers higher than 50.50. So in case anyone thinks he can do some statistical analysis (it's useless, don't bother), you can use this data instead of fetching it yourself and possibly cause lots of bandwidth for the operators. http://pastebin.com/izFyaPX5 |
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Got a sample of 10000 bets. Everything goes more towards the 50% so it's safe to say you can't get any useful results out of this at all.
first char of seed: average result
0: 49.080218408736
a: 48.701245791246
b: 49.849823717949
c: 49.888300153139
d: 49.371416666667
e: 50.917332317073
f: 49.339418803419
1: 51.733227848101
2: 49.121016949153
3: 51.416147260274
4: 52.11574500768
5: 48.82887254902
6: 49.755745682889
7: 52.135947204969
8: 49.58690515807
9: 50.77830455259
seed length (character count):average result
15: 51.61267496112
16: 48.760823699422
17: 51.207788161994
18: 48.414152139461
19: 51.505313531353
20: 48.237534456355
21: 49.627721943049
22: 51.495929054054
23: 50.0434375
24: 49.0425
25: 50.176607717042
26: 50.311447811448
27: 49.464100156495
28: 51.805440677966
29: 50.097420382166
30: 51.328808446456
and a last one:
the chance of the next outcome being the same as the current outcome (win with 50.00 or higher):
1. 25.06%
2. 12.81%
3. 6.27%
4. 3.14%
5. 1.59%
6. 0.69%
7. 0.32%
8. 0.17%
9. 0.08%
10. 0.03%
11. 0.02%
Opposite: 49.82%
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fokyou sukkels
En nu verwacht je dat iemand je nog gaat helpen? |
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why anybody would bid so high either.
Well, it's a sure 0.001 BTC win  |
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Also some random data which does not say anything at all:
at a distance of 472 spins there is always a win in my data.
Why is this useless? There were other spins inbetween.
To complete the post above me:
hash-length: average number rolled
15: 54.120054054054
16: 51.2192
17: 50.179170984456
18: 48.816395348837
19: 52.845977011494
20: 45.63138121547
21: 48.448666666667
22: 52.210787878788
23: 50.801513513513
24: 50.751578947368
25: 49.8788
26: 48.504971428571
27: 47.38226519337
28: 50.687590361446
29: 47.8068
30: 51.374390243902
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Small analysis of the data above:
After 1: 25.04% win vs 24.94% loss: 49.98% win chance
After 2: 25.33% win vs 24.66% loss: 49.98% win chance
After 3: 24.83% win vs 25.11% loss: 49.95% win chance
After 4: 25.89% win vs 24.05% loss: 49.95% win chance
After 5: 25.4% win vs 24.51% loss: 49.91% win chance
After 6: 25.36% win vs 24.58% loss: 49.95% win chance
After 7: 25.33% win vs 24.66% loss: 49.98% win chance
After 8: 24.73% win vs 25.29% loss: 50.02% win chance
After 9: 25.01% win vs 25.01% loss: 50.02% win chance
After 10: 24.73% win vs 25.26% loss: 49.98% win chance
After 11: 25.01% win vs 24.94% loss: 49.95% win chance
After 12: 25.29% win vs 24.62% loss: 49.91% win chance
After 13: 25.26% win vs 24.62% loss: 49.88% win chance
After 14: 25.29% win vs 24.62% loss: 49.91% win chance
After 15: 24.66% win vs 25.26% loss: 49.91% win chance
After 16: 24.66% win vs 25.29% loss: 49.95% win chance
After 17: 25.61% win vs 24.3% loss: 49.91% win chance
After 18: 25.47% win vs 24.41% loss: 49.88% win chance
After 19: 25.19% win vs 24.69% loss: 49.88% win chance
After 20: 25.01% win vs 24.9% loss: 49.91% win chance
How to read? So, you have won the last round, you want to know what the chance of winning after 5 spins is. So in the row: After 5, you see it's 25.4%. Was your last round a loss, then after 5 it will be 24.51%.
(this is done with winning with 50.00 and higher).
What does this show? Nothing, it's random.
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take the sha1 hash
You are right, it's SHA1, even though it is to some extent predictable, doing so is still unfeasible to do so in this case. To read more about why SHA1 is usually bad: http://www.schneier.com/blog/archives/2005/02/sha1_broken.htmlAlso currently sampling the data for you. EDIT: 2827 bets, semi-colon separated. For all bets I picked >50.50 as winning parameter and the client seed was set to 0. First column: WIN/LOSS Second column: The roll-outcome Third column: Server seed used for calculation http://pastebin.com/1kvzeGtZAverage roll number: 50.04464803678808 |
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The outcome is based on the SHA256 from a long string. It is safe to assume that there is no pattern in there. But I can do so in a few mins/hours I guess.
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Hmmm, just for statistical analysis I threw the dice 1000 times and this is the outcome (with >50.50 as winning operator):
Won 494 times, lost 506 times. Ok, seems fair with a win-rate of 49.5% but, the average rolled number is 49.31007. After 1000 spins I would've expected this to be closer to 50, but whatever. This analysis took 2 minutes which shows that the server is definitely faster now.
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Our current profit is negative 260 Bitcoins,
I'm still wondering how this is possible, with a 1% house edge it seems unlikely you lose so much?! Edit: AWESOME, site speed is insanely good for me now! |
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Grrr, my username is some arbitrary random string since I never changed it so I don't know it...
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I want to congratulate you on the first auction that made a profit for you guys (the 1 BTC thing).
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It would also allow new people to get a feel for the game before depositing.
You can bet 0 BTC and it will roll for free. Yes, of course, but it's a lot different using real BTC's then none. For getting a feeling on how the game works it isn't IMO since the game outcome is not depending on the bet-amount at all. |
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It would also allow new people to get a feel for the game before depositing.
You can bet 0 BTC and it will roll for free. |
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You deposit money.
You bet on the outcome of a dice that rolls between 0.00 and 100.00 and you get paid out if you give the correct lower bound (so if you say it will be higher than 50.50 and you roll 60, you win the shown multiplier of money (2.00)).
You are done and your balance is over 0.0005? Click checkout and you get your money put in your Wallet.
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 Grats to new winner! Certainly brings the light the fact that we require 4 confs for 20+ bitcoin transactions. Anyone think this is excessive? I thought your max payout per bet was 5BTC. Not > 24BTC?! |
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