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Author Topic: Primedice.com | Since 2013 | Longest Running Crypto Casino | 113 BTC Jackpot!  (Read 1986470 times)
vlees
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May 23, 2013, 12:31:22 PM
 #441

Hmmm, just for statistical analysis I threw the dice 1000 times and this is the outcome (with >50.50 as winning operator):

Won 494 times, lost 506 times. Ok, seems fair with a win-rate of 49.5% but, the average rolled number is 49.31007. After 1000 spins I would've expected this to be closer to 50, but whatever. This analysis took 2 minutes which shows that the server is definitely faster now.

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Zaih
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May 23, 2013, 12:42:54 PM
 #442

Hmmm, just for statistical analysis I threw the dice 1000 times and this is the outcome (with >50.50 as winning operator):

Won 494 times, lost 506 times. Ok, seems fair with a win-rate of 49.5% but, the average rolled number is 49.31007. After 1000 spins I would've expected this to be closer to 50, but whatever. This analysis took 2 minutes which shows that the server is definitely faster now.


Hmm. Would you be able to do a simulation like that and print every roll? Then post on pastebin or something with every roll as a new line?

That'd be cool to see. Maybe there's patterns in the random. I heard Vink uses pre rolls a lot.
vlees
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May 23, 2013, 12:53:17 PM
 #443

The outcome is based on the SHA256 from a long string. It is safe to assume that there is no pattern in there. But I can do so in a few mins/hours I guess.

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Zaih
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May 23, 2013, 01:08:16 PM
 #444

The outcome is based on the SHA256 from a long string. It is safe to assume that there is no pattern in there. But I can do so in a few mins/hours I guess.

" To verify your provably fair bet, simply take the sha1 hash of our secret with the client seed and server seed (In the order: Secret, server seed, client seed). Take the first 8 digits of the new sha1 hash and convert it from hex to decimal. You will then need to divide by 42949672.95 [Which is ((2^16)-1)/100] in order to get a 0-100 base 10 numeric value. This value will have been the roll. "

Does that make a difference?
vlees
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May 23, 2013, 01:14:00 PM
Last edit: May 23, 2013, 01:34:53 PM by vlees
 #445

take the sha1 hash

You are right, it's SHA1, even though it is to some extent predictable, doing so is still unfeasible to do so in this case.
To read more about why SHA1 is usually bad: http://www.schneier.com/blog/archives/2005/02/sha1_broken.html

Also currently sampling the data for you.

EDIT:
2827 bets, semi-colon separated. For all bets I picked >50.50 as winning parameter and the client seed was set to 0.

First column: WIN/LOSS
Second column: The roll-outcome
Third column: Server seed used for calculation

http://pastebin.com/1kvzeGtZ
Average roll number: 50.04464803678808

BEEP BEP
Zaih
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May 23, 2013, 01:43:49 PM
 #446

take the sha1 hash

You are right, it's SHA1, even though it is to some extent predictable, doing so is still unfeasible to do so in this case.
To read more about why SHA1 is usually bad: http://www.schneier.com/blog/archives/2005/02/sha1_broken.html

Also currently sampling the data for you.

EDIT:
2827 bets, semi-colon separated. For all bets I picked >50.50 as winning parameter and the client seed was set to 0.

First column: WIN/LOSS
Second column: The roll-outcome
Third column: Server seed used for calculation

http://pastebin.com/1kvzeGtZ
Average roll number: 50.04464803678808

Thanks!
joker_josue
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May 23, 2013, 02:20:50 PM
 #447

Of course it will be hard to be a pattern because all games that work this way, could be addicted.
I will analyze this file. Thank you.



With so many betting, does anyone could give me some coins for me to play?  Roll Eyes

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hasher87
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May 23, 2013, 02:26:10 PM
 #448

User: Zaihed
Free coins are free.. right  Grin


Hey all,


We've updated again, this time rolls should be fixed completely! On my connection they're taking a little under 0.5 seconds. It may be a little slower depending on your internet. This should make playing with PrimeDice a lot more enjoyable since we all know how annoying lag is.


Thanks for waiting, I deposited 0.01 to your account Zaih btw. Seems you were only one who posted their username/bet id/account id, reminder to all to set a unique username for themselves.. Thanks for waiting!
can i have a free coin as well? User: Shah  Grin
vlees
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May 23, 2013, 02:39:45 PM
 #449

Small analysis of the data above:

After 1: 25.04% win vs 24.94% loss: 49.98% win chance
After 2: 25.33% win vs 24.66% loss: 49.98% win chance
After 3: 24.83% win vs 25.11% loss: 49.95% win chance
After 4: 25.89% win vs 24.05% loss: 49.95% win chance
After 5: 25.4% win vs 24.51% loss: 49.91% win chance
After 6: 25.36% win vs 24.58% loss: 49.95% win chance
After 7: 25.33% win vs 24.66% loss: 49.98% win chance
After 8: 24.73% win vs 25.29% loss: 50.02% win chance
After 9: 25.01% win vs 25.01% loss: 50.02% win chance
After 10: 24.73% win vs 25.26% loss: 49.98% win chance
After 11: 25.01% win vs 24.94% loss: 49.95% win chance
After 12: 25.29% win vs 24.62% loss: 49.91% win chance
After 13: 25.26% win vs 24.62% loss: 49.88% win chance
After 14: 25.29% win vs 24.62% loss: 49.91% win chance
After 15: 24.66% win vs 25.26% loss: 49.91% win chance
After 16: 24.66% win vs 25.29% loss: 49.95% win chance
After 17: 25.61% win vs 24.3% loss: 49.91% win chance
After 18: 25.47% win vs 24.41% loss: 49.88% win chance
After 19: 25.19% win vs 24.69% loss: 49.88% win chance
After 20: 25.01% win vs 24.9% loss: 49.91% win chance

How to read? So, you have won the last round, you want to know what the chance of winning after 5 spins is. So in the row: After 5, you see it's 25.4%. Was your last round a loss, then after 5 it will be 24.51%.

(this is done with winning with 50.00 and higher).

What does this show? Nothing, it's random.

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joker_josue
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May 23, 2013, 02:44:10 PM
 #450

EDIT:
2827 bets, semi-colon separated. For all bets I picked >50.50 as winning parameter and the client seed was set to 0.

First column: WIN/LOSS
Second column: The roll-outcome
Third column: Server seed used for calculation

http://pastebin.com/1kvzeGtZ
Average roll number: 50.04464803678808


I did an analysis very quickly, and can conclude:

When the SHA1 is 15 to 23 characters, the probability of a victory is greater over 50.50.

When have 16, 17, 20 and 27 characters, the probability of being a win is greater below 50.50.


This does not mean anything, but it gets the note.

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vlees
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May 23, 2013, 02:51:36 PM
 #451

Also some random data which does not say anything at all:
at a distance of 472 spins there is always a win in my data.

Why is this useless? There were other spins inbetween.

To complete the post above me:

hash-length: average number rolled
15: 54.120054054054
16: 51.2192
17: 50.179170984456
18: 48.816395348837
19: 52.845977011494
20: 45.63138121547
21: 48.448666666667
22: 52.210787878788
23: 50.801513513513
24: 50.751578947368
25: 49.8788
26: 48.504971428571
27: 47.38226519337
28: 50.687590361446
29: 47.8068
30: 51.374390243902

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joker_josue
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May 23, 2013, 03:04:34 PM
 #452

Another note:
When the SHA1 starts with "3" are 56% of wins above 50.50

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Boelens
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May 23, 2013, 03:25:25 PM
 #453

User: Zaihed
Free coins are free.. right  Grin


Hey all,


We've updated again, this time rolls should be fixed completely! On my connection they're taking a little under 0.5 seconds. It may be a little slower depending on your internet. This should make playing with PrimeDice a lot more enjoyable since we all know how annoying lag is.


Thanks for waiting, I deposited 0.01 to your account Zaih btw. Seems you were only one who posted their username/bet id/account id, reminder to all to set a unique username for themselves.. Thanks for waiting!

Oh, never saw the post stating that. My name is Boelens if you're still up for it =P.
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May 23, 2013, 04:18:47 PM
Last edit: May 23, 2013, 04:32:37 PM by vlees
 #454

Got a sample of 10000 bets. Everything goes more towards the 50% so it's safe to say you can't get any useful results out of this at all.

first char of seed: average result
0: 49.080218408736
a: 48.701245791246
b: 49.849823717949
c: 49.888300153139
d: 49.371416666667
e: 50.917332317073
f: 49.339418803419
1: 51.733227848101
2: 49.121016949153
3: 51.416147260274
4: 52.11574500768
5: 48.82887254902
6: 49.755745682889
7: 52.135947204969
8: 49.58690515807
9: 50.77830455259

seed length (character count):average result
15: 51.61267496112
16: 48.760823699422
17: 51.207788161994
18: 48.414152139461
19: 51.505313531353
20: 48.237534456355
21: 49.627721943049
22: 51.495929054054
23: 50.0434375
24: 49.0425
25: 50.176607717042
26: 50.311447811448
27: 49.464100156495
28: 51.805440677966
29: 50.097420382166
30: 51.328808446456

and a last one:
the chance of the next outcome being the same as the current outcome (win with 50.00 or higher):

1. 25.06%
2. 12.81%
3. 6.27%
4. 3.14%
5. 1.59%
6. 0.69%
7. 0.32%
8. 0.17%
9. 0.08%
10. 0.03%
11. 0.02%
Opposite: 49.82%

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joker_josue
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May 23, 2013, 05:06:16 PM
 #455

the variables are endless ... is difficult to find a pattern

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.BLACKJACK ♠ FUN.
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joker_josue
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May 23, 2013, 05:10:04 PM
 #456

Can you tell me what was the bitcoin address that was in the game when I made this transfer?
https://blockchain.info/pt/tx/a3a3a9d78f4a7fc7368d6fe978066f558bf861cd5b34ffa9ac28a1c9ae7c1bac

It's just that I do not remember what was the address I used ... and wanted to continue playing ...  Undecided


Stunna... anything I can do?


What was your balance when you left it overnight? Also, do you have your ID?

I did not deposit and then played ... so it should be 0.0001 btc

My problem is that I do not remember what my ID ...  Undecided

Feel free to put in a new address and make a new account. I'd be happy to credit you a corresponding amount.

Thank you.
I have created a new account.

BTC Address: 1HLWN3sdTc2gnzQrsk5tF1ysjwmGynFNSd

ID Game: 26e338fe6f1d3ffe020f711b45c4be69

Just to inform you that due to the situation that said I had, was reimbursed by the PrimeDice! Thank you!
I'll have fun in the game.

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Saitekman12345
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May 23, 2013, 05:51:32 PM
 #457

I won BTC and cashed out but it hasn't shown up in my Blockchain wallet yet?
Stunna (OP)
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May 23, 2013, 06:11:28 PM
 #458

I won BTC and cashed out but it hasn't shown up in my Blockchain wallet yet?


You should receive it as soon as your deposit reaches the proper number of confirmations. If it does not please inbox me.

Stake.com Fastest growing crypto casino & sportsbook
Primedice.com The original bitcoin instant dice game
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May 23, 2013, 08:31:10 PM
 #459

You will then need to divide by 42949672.95 [Which is ((2^16)-1)/100]

It still says that?  2^16 = 65536.  It should say 32 not 16.  I reported this error quite some time ago.

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May 23, 2013, 09:25:55 PM
 #460

I just played a few rolls to see how fast it plays now, and I have to say it's much better.  My Internet speed here is horrible, but I still get my rolls done about as quickly as I can do anything else online.

Just-Dice                 ██             
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