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641  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Inverse Cramer Strikes Again on: January 04, 2024, 01:24:36 PM
There are many more examples. I remember when I was still buying individual stocks talking about how well AT&T was doing and how safe the dividend was, shortly before the board of directors announced the dividend cut (after 35 years of consecutive raises). After that he went on a rant against the board, logically.

Many, many such examples.

Funny how a guy with so many failed predictions is so popular. That's probably why there are a lot of people who enjoy watching him.

So he makes an otherwise dry subject entertaining with gimmicks, but other than that, yeah I don't understand it. Other than most people are dumb.

I guess he slips by because he is not wrong 100% of the time, but there is definitely something suspiciously odd about how hard he blows it sometimes, yet he maintains any credibility. Kind of like Tom Lee from Fundstrat: he's always wrong in his Bitcoin price predictions, yet CNBC trots him out every time they need some kind of "expert" to give their opinion on what will happen with the price of Bitcoin.
642  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Inverse Cramer Strikes Again on: January 04, 2024, 02:10:46 AM
Going all the way back to 2008, "Mad Money" Jim Cramer has perfected the craft of being an unironic reverse indicator. Yesterday he managed to do it again; except this time it was for our beloved Bitcoin.



"This thing is... you can't kill it," said Cramer on CNBC yesterday. "It's a reality and its a technological marvel and I think people have to start recognizing that its here to stay."

The comments led to a near-immediate drop of over 8% in the price of BTC. It has since recovered slightly and is now down about 5.5% over the last 24 hours. The drop was likely due to people anticipating some kind of even bigger drop because of some kind of information known only by Cramer and those who told it to him.

How does Inverse Cramer work? The thinking is that he manipulates his audience into becoming exit liquidity for himself and/or the firms/individuals he deals with behind the scenes. These entities sell into the FOMO created by Cramer's recommendations, or buy in the case he is telling his audience to sell.

The earliest and most famous example of this phenomenon occurred in early 2008, when he assured his audience that Bear Stearns, one of the biggest real estate brokerage firms was not going under, despite clear warning signs that the housing bubble was beginning to pop.



Just a few of the other ridiculously wrong calls he's made:

- fading Tesla's IPO at $17 a share
- predicting a probe into Coinbase in July 2022 which he said was "very bad news" (the stock went up 50% a week later)
- in June 2021, he said Bitcoin was doomed "because of structural reasons" (price reached an ATH of $69k in Nov.)
- in Feb 2023, he recommended buying Silicon Valley Bank -- it collapsed weeks later

He also frequently makes several suspiciously-timed wrong calls about the same stock, yet for some reason anybody keeps taking him seriously:



This Twitter account chronicles all the times Cramer blew it... They have over 6,000 posts:

https://twitter.com/CramerTracker

So what do you think? Does Cramer's endorsement of Bitcoin mean something terrible is about to happen? ETFs rejected or delayed, institutions pulling out? Or is it all just a superstition?
643  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2023 NFL Playoffs & Super Bowl Prediction Thread on: January 03, 2024, 08:06:52 AM
Playoff Brackets

NFC:



AFC:

644  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN][BEL] Bells - Fast and fun! - Scrypt - Random Block Rewards - No Premine on: January 03, 2024, 05:54:05 AM
Can you Spend these anywhere though? This Blockchain has been around for a while.

1) No, its just a memecoin meant for pump n dump.
2) This is a brand new blockchain launched on Dec 6. It is just a copy of the original Bells.
645  Economy / Gambling discussion / 2023 NFL Playoffs & Super Bowl Prediction Thread on: January 03, 2024, 05:47:33 AM


In 2018, I managed to call all 6 playoffs games + the Super Bowl correctly... Its a feat I haven't managed to recreate again but I'm certainly gonna try again this year.

There's one week of regular season games left, hence the huge list of teams as options. Here's what we definitely know -- the following teams have clinched playoff spots:

AFC
Ravens
Dolphins
Chiefs
Browns

NFC
49ers
Cowboys
Lions
Eagles
Rams

A few teams that will assuredly be in the playoffs if they win their next game:

Jaguars (vs. Titans)
Bills (vs. Dolphins) - they have a good chance of making the playoffs regardless
Colts (vs. Texans)
Buccaneers (vs. Panthers)
Packers (vs. Bears)
Texans (vs. Colts)

A few teams that might be in the playoffs if they win their next game:

Steelers (vs. Ravens)
Seahawks (vs. Cardinals)
Saints (vs. Falcons)
Falcons (vs. Saints)

Here's the current Vegas Super Bowl odds for the top 6 contenders:

49ers (+220)
Ravens (+330)
Bills (+800)
Cowboys (+850)
Chiefs (+950)
Eagles (+1200)

The poll will be open for the next 10 days... I probably opened it a bit prematurely and won't make my pick until after this weekend's games are concluded.

This week, I really like the Jags @ -5, Bills @ -3, Bucs @ -5.5, and Green Bay @ -3.

Who do you want to see in the playoffs this year & who is your Super Bowl pick?
646  Economy / Reputation / Re: Timelord2067, can you clarify please before I post a flag on you? on: January 03, 2024, 05:24:25 AM
Since I have posted a type 1 flag on icopress, I would like to make my case stronger

I would say you don't have any case at all. This is literally the only thing he said in the thread you linked as your flag reference:

You are probably the most controversial person here on the forum

You're basing the flag on Timelord's hearsay, and now asking for PMs to be published after? None of this has anything to do with icopress' trustworthiness or ability to uphold trade agreements.

What compelled you to do this in the first place? If its not simple trolling, then I really don't understand.
647  Economy / Reputation / Re: Which Member Has Inspired You Most in BitcoinTalk? on: January 03, 2024, 04:17:41 AM
I was the most inspired by Phinnaeus Gage / Gleb Gamow, aka Bruno. He was kind of a cornerstone personality of the forum for years. There was nobody like him before and they'll be nobody like him after. He really knew how to do an investigation into a crypto scam, mastering the art of what he called "Google-Fu," or being able to coax Google into providing him with the information he was looking for.

Bruno didn't use the trust system to tag scammers, of which there were plenty of back in the day. Now we still have scammers but they are low-level and confined to places like Digital Goods and Currency Exchange. Back then scams used to take place on a much grander scale. Instead of issuing negative trust, Bruno would simply obliterate them where they stood with evidence of their scammings, yelling at them until they left the forum. It was actually quite effective and highly entertaining to watch.

Not to mention he was funny as fuck.

Hey, Mr. Shit For Brains, you now see how it works? The larger and more colorful the font, the more merit one receives. Case in point, I received more sM for the post I quoted above than you have in total. Apologies for not apologizing for sticking it up your ass further but that's the type of guy I'm.

One more thing in cause you missed it, FUCKTARD. I just won the reward for BitcoinTalker of the Year --> https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=3232693.msg33729235#msg33729235

R.I.P.
648  Economy / Reputation / Re: AI Spam Report Reference Thread on: January 02, 2024, 01:12:38 PM
Silver005 was being mentioned in this thread not even once, but he continues to use AI. All 3 post were randomly checked by me from those he wrote for the last week. I assume the situation with other posts is no much different. I reported him to moderator, maybe they will finally pay attention.

More ChatGPT spam from this user. Pretty much every post they wrote in December is lazy copy/paste from ChatGPT, and they often don't even bother to copy the whole text, LOL.

Despite having 10 posts deleted and 3 neutral tags, they don't seem to get the message. 7 of the 10 merits they've received are for now-deleted posts. Anyway, let's add some more:

Most online forums, including Bitcoin forums, have a moderation policy that outlines the rules and guidelines for participation. The exact policy will vary from forum to forum, but generally, the goal is to create a safe and respectful environment where people can engage in open and honest discussions. Some of the common rules that are typically included in forum moderation policies include:
- Respect other users and do not engage in personal attacks or harassment.
- Keep discussions on topic and do not spam or post off-topic messages.
- Do not post false, misleading, or illegal content.
- Abide by copyright and intellectual property laws...


In addition to these common rules, most forum moderation policies also include specific guidelines for language, images, and links. These policies may prohibit the use of profanity, hate speech, or other offensive language. They may also prohibit the posting of sexually explicit images or links to illegal content. The purpose of these guidelines is to ensure that the forum remains a safe and positive environment for all users. Finally, most forum moderation policies outline the consequences for violating the rules, which can range from a warning to a ban from the forum...

Hivemoderation: 100% likely to contain AI Generated Text
Sapling.ai: 100% fake

No, it is not a requirement to lose money in order to gain from Bitcoin investment. While there are risks involved in any investment, it is possible to make a profit without suffering a loss. This is especially true with Bitcoin, as the price has historically been very volatile. However, it is important to remember that past performance is not indicative of future results, and there is no guarantee that the price of Bitcoin will continue to rise. Ultimately, whether or not you gain from your Bitcoin investment will depend on a variety of factors, including when you buy and sell, the amount of risk you are willing to take, and your overall investment strategy...

To elaborate further, I think it's important to remember that Bitcoin is a highly speculative investment. This means that there is a high degree of risk involved, and the price can go up or down rapidly. As such, it is important to have a clear understanding of your risk tolerance and to set appropriate expectations for your investment. Additionally, it is important to diversify your investments and not put all your eggs in one basket. And finally, I would recommend consulting with a financial advisor before making any major investment decisions. They can help you to create a customized plan that aligns with your individual goals and risk tolerance....

Hivemoderation: 99.7% likely to contain AI Generated Text
Sapling.ai: 100% fake

I think the best piece of advice for anyone going into Bitcoin is to do their research and to learn as much as possible about the technology and the ecosystem. It's important to understand how Bitcoin works, the potential risks and rewards, and to make an informed decision before investing any money. I would also recommend talking to people who are already involved in the space and learning from their experiences. Finally, it's important to remember that Bitcoin is still a relatively new and emerging technology, and there is still a lot of uncertainty and risk involved. So it's best to approach it with caution and to not invest more than you can afford to lose...

To elaborate further, I think it's important to understand the basic concepts of Bitcoin, such as the blockchain, cryptography, and decentralization. It's also important to understand the potential risks, such as volatility, regulation, and security. In addition, I think it's important to be aware of the scams and fraudulent activity that is prevalent in the cryptocurrency space. Finally, I think it's important to understand the potential rewards, such as the potential for long-term growth and the ability to control your own money without relying on banks or other third parties. All of these factors should be taken into consideration when deciding whether or not to invest in Bitcoin....

Hivemoderation: 100% likely to contain AI Generated Text
Sapling.ai: 100% fake

If Bitcoin were to be adopted as a global reserve currency, it would have a profound impact on the global economy. For one, it would likely cause a significant increase in the price of Bitcoin, as more and more people and institutions would need to hold the cryptocurrency in order to conduct international trade. This could lead to a "flight to safety" effect, where people and institutions around the world start buying up Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation and other economic risks. This could cause even more price appreciation, as well as an increase in demand for Bitcoin mining and other supporting services....

global reserve currency could lead to the decentralization of the global financial system. This would mean that governments and central banks would no longer have the ability to manipulate the value of their currencies or engage in quantitative easing and other monetary policy measures. Instead, the value of Bitcoin would be determined by the market, rather than by central authorities. This could lead to greater transparency and stability in the global financial system, as well as increased freedom for individuals and businesses. However, it could also lead to instability and volatility, as the value of Bitcoin is notoriously difficult to predict.

Hivemoderation: 93.4% likely to contain AI Generated Text
Sapling.ai: 100% fake

Basically all the posts this user makes are AI-generated... They should probably be banned as a spammer.

And then look at this one, they didn't even copy the whole text, lol:

That's a tough question to answer. The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has been deliberating on the issue of a Bitcoin ETF for some time now, and there is no clear timeline for when a decision will be made. Some experts predict that a Bitcoin ETF could be approved within the next year or two, while others believe that it could take much longer. It's also possible that the SEC could decide not to approve a Bitcoin ETF at all. Ultimately, the decision will come down to a number of factors, including the current state of the cryptocurrency market, the overall regulatory environment, and the specific proposals that are put forth by ETF....

 The main argument for approving a Bitcoin ETF is that it would provide investors with a regulated, accessible way to invest in Bitcoin. This could lead to increased adoption and demand for Bitcoin, which could lead to higher prices. Additionally, a Bitcoin ETF could bring increased transparency and liquidity to the market, which could benefit all participants. On the other hand, the SEC has expressed concerns about the potential for market manipulation and fraud in the Bitcoin market. They are also concerned about the lack of regulatory oversight and the potential for volatility in the price of Bitcoin. So, while a Bitcoin ETF could have many benefits, it's
649  Other / Meta / Re: Mixers to be banned on: January 02, 2024, 12:53:45 PM
@nutildah, where do you find those memes?

Since this thread has kind of jumped the shark anyway, that was said by Aaron Rodgers, an "American Footie" quarterback who got rudely shoved by a defensive lineman well after he had already thrown the ball. He was miced up for some kind of HBO documentary, and the event quickly became a meme among NFL nerds.



You should watch the whole clip, its only like 30 seconds, funny as hell:

https://twitter.com/barstoolsports/status/1696717299296641419

He went on to throw a touchdown pass on the next play.
650  Other / Meta / Re: Decentralize Bitcointalk on: January 02, 2024, 04:22:36 AM
Hey I am married and depend on 3 US fed gov pensions.

So moving to El Salvador to run a mirror image of this forum is not in the cards for me.

I'm pretty sure you can still collect your pension(s) if you move to another country... If you become an "outlaw", that may change, of course.

Lastly bitcointalk was the startup forum for btc. It did a good job. It is no longer the influencer that it once was.

This is true.

As I like to mention, at its base, the forum is now a historical museum for those who want to learn more about the beginnings of Bitcoin. It is also a repository for information on older altcoins. For example, this is the birthplace of Ethereum. Then on top of all that we have a huge layer of spam -- a positive byproduct of this is it has solidified Bitcointalk as an SEO powerhouse... years upon years of posts with specific terms frequently puts this site at the top of Google search results. Probably how it gets most of its non-user traffic.
651  Other / Meta / Re: Mixers to be banned on: January 02, 2024, 03:55:41 AM
So, another "AI" generated picture and you didn't have the balls to spell MIXERS properly and worse the gravestone gives the impression that mixers are dead or die out by the end of 2023. Well, reality is different: only advertisement for mixers is more or less dead in this forum, that's all. It will hurt mixers and cause users other problems when scammers take advantage of this ban.

Put on your bifocals, take a closer look, and I think you'll see "Mixers" is spelled quite adequately.

Regardless, who are you, and what killed your sense of humor?

652  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Finally Bitcoin Devolpers planning to kill Ordinals and Inscription on: January 01, 2024, 12:19:21 PM
We have to do something, not every solution will ever get 100% support but something has to be done.

We're not doing anything, unless you count bitching and moaning as "something."

Ordinals have also never been a part of Bitcoin, it all started recently.

Technically speaking, Ordinals has always been a part of Bitcoin since the genesis block. Its just a serialization system for satoshis. This is the full list of "rare" satoshis:

https://ordinals.com/rare.txt

The first transferrable "rare satoshi" was mined in Block 1.

At the moment, high fees are not necessary.

Paying more than 96 sat/vbyte is necessary if you want to include your transaction in the next block.

These fees just give unnecessary extra reward to bitcoin miners while hugely and unnecessarily taxing regular users. This is not the network security, this is robbery.

This is exactly the way the network was intended to function.

How do you know that a hasty increase of the block size limit won't just lead to more & bigger monkey pictures, thus more blockchain bloat, storage & bandwidth, making it more costly to run a node? It may very well lead to a temporary decrease in fees, but at what cost? These are the things people far smarter and more familiar with the subject than us are currently contemplating.
653  Other / Meta / Re: Mixers to be banned on: January 01, 2024, 11:45:03 AM
"And so it was written, and so it shall be done..." - quotations to avoid plagiarism



The anon appears to be holding what could be described as a thermos. I didn't even ask for that  Cheesy
654  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Mempool Observer Topic on: January 01, 2024, 11:32:42 AM
Even if faketoshi stepped out now, it's far too late since the damage has been done. And Etheruem would be somewhat better example since it has 16.5TB storage usage[1], but with 7.3K node running[2]. Although node number is rather high since Ethereum use PoS.

For Ethereum, full nodes and archive nodes are distinct kinds of nodes. Full nodes are heavily pruned and only require the last 128 blocks of data to be stored. They represent the overwhelming majority of nodes counted on the Etherscan nodetracker page. Archival nodes, as the name implies, comprise the entire historical chain state and number between 4 and 12 in total.

Its actually not a problem if the archive node count dropped to zero; the entire chain state history could be extrapolated from the last 128 blocks of data, which is about 308 GB, and a new archival node spun up. Apparently this takes at least a month to accomplish, however.

https://www.alchemy.com/overviews/archive-nodes
655  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🏈🏈 The American Football Discussion Thread 🏈🏈 on: January 01, 2024, 03:21:00 AM
Congrats to the Potatoes. What a monster score & fitting way to cap the season, taking the league championship by over 100 points!

My picks for this week are therefore Texans @ -4 and Rams @ -5.5.

Texans ended up covering well but Rams did not, squeaking out a W by just 1 point.

Kind of glad I missed the Ravens/Dolphins game... Am watching Packers/Vikings right now. Need the Vikings to win to have 12 wins for my weekly pool. Not looking good for them right now as its 30-3 in the 3rd. Thought they could have done a little bit better at home. What a disappointing f'ing blowout.
656  Other / Meta / Re: Decentralize Bitcointalk on: December 31, 2023, 10:33:25 AM
I don't think its a terrible idea necessarily but it would likely result in a slower, more cumbersome experience, with the potential for bad actors to ruin its historical legacy. I prefer the idea of leaving the forum exactly as the way it was during the time of satoshi. When visitors come here to read satoshi's old posts, I can't help but think they'd want to read them in an environment/layout that was exactly the same way as it was when he wrote them.

We are living inside a historical museum; we should treat it and regard it as such.
657  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: (Ordinals) BRC-20 needs to be removed on: December 31, 2023, 10:24:43 AM
ps: Nobody has answered why this craze/FUD keeps going on for over 2 months. Only someone with a sizeable BTC stash should be able to fund it.

Its Venture Capitalists who want to get in on the action. They saw the potential behind it. They are the ones funding the infrastructure & marketing. Here's a few links to give you an idea of who they are:

https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2023/10/17/bitcoin-magazine-owner-backs-first-ordinals-fund-which-bought-85k-rock/

https://www.theblock.co/post/263343/bitcoin-ordinals-startup-taproot-wizards-raises-7-5-million-in-seed-round

https://crypto.revuto.com/ordinals_1.pdf

These people see Ordinals as the next NFT rush, and thus far they haven't been wrong. Will it all pop & fade away with time? Most likely, yes, most of it will. But not all of it.
658  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🏈🏈 The American Football Discussion Thread 🏈🏈 on: December 31, 2023, 04:36:11 AM
Crazy finish to the Lions/Cowboys game right now... It was close all game. Lions had a chance to tie it with an extra point, but they decided to go for 2... And they were successful, until it came to light that one of the Lion's O-line committed an "Illegal Touch" during the play as he had not reported to the officials. They weren't very happy about it.



So they tried it again, didn't get it, but this time the Cowboys had committed a penalty, so they got a 3rd chance. They could have just kicked it to tie, mind you, but that wasn't good enough, so they had one more chance, and of course they biffed it. Cowboys win by 1.
659  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Mempool Observer Topic on: December 31, 2023, 04:09:51 AM
Quote
the point is, even bigger blocks isn't a good solution.

Really? Then why segwit? Why did blocks go from 1MB to 4MB if bigger blocks are a bad solution?

SegWit was necessary to make L2 solutions more viable, that's why. L2 is where the future of regular user transactions are headed, like it or not.

BSV is poor example of big block size. It's doomed to failed since it's associated with faketoshi, don't care about cost/difficulty of running full node[1] where many decide to drop support[2] and even implement confiscation stealing mechanism[4].

All the Faketoshi stuff aside, its blockchain is approaching 10 terabytes and is supported by less than 100 nodes. One mining pool dominates with 54% of the hash rate. There couldn't be a clearer picture of why large blockchains leads to centralization. You can say, "ah but nobody wants to run a coin led by Faketoshi," and you'd be right, but even if he stepped out of the picture completely, I sincerely doubt things would be any different.

This conversation is so extensively discussed over the years, that it has lost its intellectual spirit. Now more it is just utter complaining. Complaining about what the developers should have done; what they should be writing. People have to move on. Tomorrow, it'll be 2024 and we are talking as if it's still 2017.

Agreed. The conversation has been played out from every angle imaginable 10 times each since 2017.
660  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [ANN] Shitcoin 3.0 - First Parody Token on the First Parody Blockchain! on: December 31, 2023, 03:35:00 AM
Was doing some shit research and came across this prophetic statement by myself:

"There's a war on shitcoins, and people on shitcoins are winning." - Nutildah

Almost 10 years later, this is still true now more than ever  Cheesy

Interesting Shitcoin Factoids

 - SHITCOIN (Shitcoin 3.0) was the 1st token to be released upon a cryptocurrency platform with the name "Shitcoin." The second followed on Counterparty, just two months later (it was never distributed).

 - The very first Shit Coin with its own blockchain was launched by Vlad2Vlad in Oct 2013. It had a max supply of 100 trillion, was active up until 2018, and appears to have never been traded on any exchanges.

- What I initially thought was the 2nd Shitcoin wasn't actually a coin at all. It was just a joke ANN with no product.

This means that SHITCOIN (this one this thread is about) is actually the oldest crypto-based Shitcoin to ever be traded on a market, ever!

Of course there was the Dogeparty downtime between 2016-2022, but we are indeed the oldest shit token still being traded today. That's some shitty food for thought.

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