https://www.bitrawr.com/difficulty-estimator. Latest Block: 741369 (8 minutes ago) Current Pace: 98.5421% (1498 / 1520.16 expected, 22.16 behind) Previous Difficulty: 29897409688833.63 Current Difficulty: 30283293547736.68 Next Difficulty: between 29883573291861 and 29909637387597 Next Difficulty Change: between -1.3199% and -1.2339% Previous Retarget: June 8, 2022 at 6:46 AM (+1.2907%) Next Retarget (earliest): Wednesday at 11:24 AM (in 3d 15h 16m 56s) Next Retarget (latest): Wednesday at 11:44 AM (in 3d 15h 36m 38s) Projected Epoch Length: between 14d 4h 38m 33s and 14d 4h 58m 15s Copy stats to clipboard The small negative is okay . Miners are finally feeling pain if they are at 8 cents with an s17 doin 50th and burning 2000 watts. burn cost; 50 x 8 = $4.00 USD earnings. 50 x 0.081 = $4.05 USD profit of 5 cents that = pain. they can do under clock to 40th and 1400 watts 40 x 0.081 = $3.24 earned 34 x 0.08 = $ 2.72 burned profit of 52 cents so for the 8 cent miner a paid off under clock s17 squeeze out 50 cent. now think about an s19 not paid off the guy switched out in Jan and owes money on that s19 yeah maybe 100th at 3400 watts so earned 100 x 0.081 $8.10 burned 85 watts x 0.08 = $6.80 profit of $1.70 but he switched in Jan and still owes 5k o the unit 2941 day to pay it off. If diff does not collapse like 2018 there will be a lot of mines closing soon. Just stay in the sub 20k better yet sub 19k zone. I still feel bottom range is 15-17k my partner buysolar thinks 13k I have buys set for 16.9k and 15.9k |
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EDIT: Just got filled @ $18,500. Loading up for next target @ $18,250
EDIT2: Next batch of orders in at $18,250 in $250 intervals down to $15,750
Filled @ $18,250 !!! Wooo you over paid  I just filled in under 18k |
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Also, the casino nature of the "crypto" market, leads to great volitility and the association of Bitcoin as a "tech product" has it firmly in step with the Nasdaq chart at times.
Filed under, “Teach people that Bitcoin is not a stock—Bitcoin is nothing like a stock.” It is a very large file. Its no secret that bitcoin has been tracking the stock market latelty and becoming more and more intertwined with political and macroeconomic factors,So it may actually be beneficial to treat it as a "stock" as this will allow for better models and price predictions. On another note: how long do yall think we can hold this 20k support,and is there any major support under it incase we break it ? Miner support at 15-17k ranges |
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First off this is not a bear market for mining.
3070 130 watts 60 mh = about 96 cents earned pre power. 130 watts is under 4 kwatts say you have 10 cent power. 40 cents. so 96-40 = 56 cents daily profit.
5 cent power 20 cents so 96-20 = 76 cents daily profit.
so while it is not good profit it is profit thus not bear.
btc
s17 on low is $3.50 earned and 3.60 burned at ten cents
it is 3.50 - 3.60 is neg ten cents for ten cent power
and 3.50 - 1.80 = + $1.70 for five cent power
so btc mining has just touched bear.
lastly
L7 burns 85 kwatts or 8.50 at 10 cent power
and 4.25 at five cent power
it earns 17 a day so
17-8.50 = 8.50 at ten cent power
17- 4.25 = 12.75 at five cent power
so for 3070 eth mining not bear yet
for s17 a small bear a teddy maybe
for L7 LTC/Doge ot bear yet.
This means all of above should get worse.
For miners.
AND for traders its bear.
My guess is eth bails into pos and the market tanks bigly. - this has a good chance
of eth bails into pos crashes and burns while pow asics whale - this happen with another coin it think this is what happens.
or ethe bails and whales killing pow coins- not in a million years.
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my thought on usa politics are as follows :
the left is the right and the right is the left.
much like wrestling the good guy and the bad guy are one in the same putting on a show to take your money.
I no longer care about politics. As I know both are simply out to take my money.
The fed will raise rates again. In july.
btw btc was created when the 2008 markets crashed as a way to create value. btc has a real enemy good interest rates are very harmful to btc.
so the next year btc will be down dca and get cheap coins for next rally.
once again usa politics are a show.
think good cop bad cop.
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must be @a1 Hashrate LLC2022/@philipma1957 wallet.... nope wish it was. |
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There's enough fundamental and technical reasons why many think $20K was the bottom.
[...] so I stick with 15-17k as bottom. ooooh a bottom calling contest! 19k usd. yup. thats it. called it. cuz reasons. Will it be a big bottom or a little bottom? won't be a v more like: |__________ \_______________/ |
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Hi, Can anyone please help me with Avalon 1246 85T? Avalon has 2 operating modes. Normal mod: works with a power of 71.72 TH / s and has lower temperatures High performance: works with a power of 85 TH / s at maximum power. Temperatures are higher. Its normal. I have a problem when I switch to "High performance" so asic achieves a performance of only 71.6 TH / s. That is not enough. Recently, it worked normally and the output was 85 TH / s. Temperatures are as high as at 85TH / s but give little TH / s. (71,6TH/s) Where should I look for a problem? Everything was normal, no conditions changed. Once I switched to normal mode and in a few days "High performance" no longer worked. LOG High performance: {'STATUS':[{'STATUS':'S','When':761,'Code':11,'Msg':'Summary','Description':'cgminer 4.11.1'}],'SUMMARY':[{'Elapsed':764,'MHS av':68435858.00,'MHS 30s':69720557.09,'MHS 1m':70089238.29,'MHS 5m':65230235.80,'MHS 15m':39817332.45,'Found Blocks':0,'Getworks':34,'Accepted':422,'Rejected':0,'Hardware Errors':1,'Utility':33.15,'Discarded':5620620,'Stale':0,'Get Failures':0,'Local Work':12040,'Remote Failures':0,'Network Blocks':3,'Total MH':52364369921.0000,'Work Utility':957735.99,'Difficulty Accepted':13157846.00000000,'Difficulty Rejected':0.00000000,'Difficulty Stale':0.00000000,'Best Share':25711395,'Device Hardware%':0.0000,'Device Rejected%':0.0000,'Pool Rejected%':0.0000,'Pool Stale%':0.0000,'Last getwork':0}
{'STATUS':[{'STATUS':'S','When':761,'Code':70,'Msg':'CGMiner stats','Description':'cgminer 4.11.1'}],'STATS':[{'STATS':0,'ID':'AVA100','Elapsed':764,'Calls':0,'Wait':0.000000,'Max':0.000000,'Min':99999999.000000,'MM ID0':'Ver[1246-N-85-21083001_4ec6bb0_82d9dd1] DNA[020100003f35a110] MEMFREE[1200976.0] NETFAIL[0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0] SYSTEMSTATU[Work: In Work, Hash Board: 3 ] Elapsed[765] BOOTBY[0x04.00000000] LW[728075] MH[0 0 1] HW[1] DH[0.275%] Temp[29] TMax[87] TAvg[75] Fan1[5245] Fan2[4920] Fan3[4896] Fan4[5164] FanR[36%] Vo[356] PS[0 1191 1427 227 3239 1428 3502] PLL0[78 2 8 15272] PLL1[100 3 12 15245] PLL2[89 1 14 15256] GHSspd[72596.37] DHspd[0.275%] GHSmm[72921.44] GHSavg[68446.31] WU[956183.94] Freq[395.62] Led[0] MGHS[23151.18 22583.16 22711.97] MTmax[85 87 86] MTavg[74 74 75] TA[360] Core[A3200] PING[48] POWS[0] HASHS[0 0 0] POOLS[0] SoftOFF[0] ECHU[0 0 0] ECMM[4] SF0[336 356 376 396] SF1[336 356 376 396] SF2[336 356 376 396] PVT_T0[ 72 78 78 76 75 75 79 79 77 76 77 73 74 74 79 84 76 78 76 77 80 83 80 75 77 79 81 79 74 71 74 79 73 74 79 78 73 78 77 85 82 78 77 84 84 82 78 73 76 79 83 78 79 70 69 78 73 76 74 74 66 71 74 71 72 68 71 68 69 71 70 69 69 74 73 74 75 73 74 70 74 73 72 69 73 74 75 74 71 76 72 73 70 70 76 78 78 78 75 75 79 77 71 72 70 75 72 72 71 74 75 71 74 72 69 75 71 68 68 71] PVT_T1[ 74 76 79 82 76 75 75 80 78 76 80 70 73 74 80 83 77 75 78 79 87 85 76 79 73 82 83 83 74 72 76 77 74 77 76 76 72 76 82 82 82 77 74 79 82 74 75 76 77 78 78 82 77 71 69 80 73 73 71 74 68 74 69 72 71 66 72 69 69 67 69 72 71 71 67 71 74 70 74 76 70 69 73 74 72 69 74 75 73 74 73 74 72 72 76 76 78 79 73 76 77 76 69 73 70 76 76 75 73 70 74 72 73 67 74 75 69 71 69 71] PVT_T2[ 73 82 80 83 78 73 77 80 79 77 80 74 76 78 83 81 79 77 80 82 82 85 77 79 74 79 85 84 75 72 74 80 75 78 80 78 71 74 80 86 82 78 73 82 84 81 76 73 77 77 82 79 76 70 71 76 72 77 72 76 71 73 71 74 73 69 74 67 66 69 69 72 72 74 69 76 76 71 77 77 69 71 71 78 72 73 76 76 75 76 70 78 75 77 75 75 78 78 79 79 79 78 74 74 75 72 75 73 75 72 73 73 75 73 76 77 73 72 75 73] PVT_V0[323 327 327 331 329 328 344 342 341 327 330 329 327 327 331 335 335 335 319 318 314 330 329 328 327 329 329 325 323 325 328 329 329 327 328 330 320 321 321 318 318 318 322 325 319 322 320 321 330 329 327 330 328 328 330 329 326 326 327 332 341 334 335 334 334 334 338 334 338 338 335 335 335 336 334 337 335 334 337 334 331 329 327 327 328 328 331 335 338 334 332 330 331 333 330 334 335 338 338 341 338 338 329 327 327 330 332 331 328 331 330 331 335 334 326 325 326 327 330 334] PVT_V1[323 326 333 325 325 326 338 335 338 331 331 334 328 328 330 327 326 329 327 326 325 328 327 326 335 333 331 329 330 329 326 329 327 334 334 341 321 321 315 314 309 310 325 326 323 327 327 330 330 329 324 333 332 332 331 332 330 318 320 325 342 342 337 330 335 331 329 329 333 334 332 332 330 331 326 325 327 326 338 334 334 332 327 330 331 333 336 337 338 339 323 323 326 330 329 330 338 334 333 334 335 334 327 329 328 334 333 339 333 335 340 331 332 332 331 332 333 327 330 334] PVT_V2[321 326 328 325 323 323 331 332 329 327 332 329 333 336 339 327 323 326 326 322 318 326 326 327 330 332 333 326 323 323 331 333 334 326 327 328 319 318 316 326 326 325 325 327 323 331 331 330 330 328 323 335 334 336 334 331 337 320 329 330 339 334 331 339 335 336 332 334 335 335 335 334 326 328 324 330 333 330 335 335 337 335 334 331 329 329 333 335 334 337 326 325 326 326 326 326 339 339 338 342 342 341 324 325 321 333 329 328 327 329 334 330 330 327 331 331 327 329 332 337] MW[245525 245559 245494] MW0[12 8 14 21 20 18 12 17 14 13 14 24 12 13 23 13 23 18 16 13 16 8 21 13 21 24 19 9 18 21 24 20 15 17 12 19 12 13 14 16 9 16 15 9 11 11 16 14 12 17 15 16 21 18 15 18 12 14 18 13 24 9 13 15 19 16 6 16 21 17 17 9 19 27 16 15 13 24 23 18 24 16 18 17 18 30 14 15 15 21 17 19 19 21 20 22 23 17 15 19 16 17 18 18 21 29 20 17 17 19 16 17 23 16 18 13 15 32 17 17] MW1[17 16 16 15 20 18 20 19 16 22 18 14 13 11 20 10 16 13 19 8 19 13 16 15 20 17 17 19 20 12 17 19 15 19 13 17 22 8 19 19 11 23 16 15 13 14 18 11 18 18 19 15 23 15 15 11 15 10 25 21 18 14 11 16 18 27 17 14 15 18 18 12 13 17 22 13 11 20 15 18 16 21 15 14 21 16 11 18 19 20 15 15 16 7 13 15 16 21 20 21 12 16 17 19 16 16 17 17 16 15 21 18 18 22 24 19 18 11 15 21] MW2[21 16 16 16 19 11 20 24 19 8 23 18 8 17 14 17 11 13 18 15 16 26 13 16 14 17 21 9 26 15 10 19 19 15 20 17 20 14 16 18 14 19 21 21 11 22 18 13 13 14 14 17 18 20 22 18 14 14 23 18 25 15 21 20 18 17 18 10 16 11 16 15 9 17 15 10 18 14 16 10 18 18 18 18 12 11 19 17 21 20 12 17 11 16 12 19 23 18 11 22 16 19 24 13 13 15 16 20 26 14 20 12 18 20 16 17 16 18 18 11] ASICCRC0[0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0] ASICCRC1[0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0] ASICCRC2[0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0] CRC[0 0 0] POW_I2C[OK] FACOPTS0[] FACOPTS1[] ATAOPTS0[--avalon10-freq 336:356:376:396 --avalon10-voltage-level 41 ] ATAOPTS1[--avalon10-freq 336:356:376:396 --avalon10-voltage-level 80 ] ADJ[1] COP[0 0 0] MPO[3250] MVL[87] ATABD0[336 356 376 396] ATABD1[336 356 376 396] ATABD2[336 356 376 396] WORKMODE[1]','MM Count':1,'Smart Speed':1,'Voltage Level Offset':0,'Nonce Mask':25}Thank you so much for any help set it to performance and software boot it 2 times about 1 minute apart. It should clear the caches that way. let us know if it worked. |
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talk has started on a July tighter by the fed. As we approach July 15 if we have a high inflation rate the talk will say .75 looks like the goal. maybe .5 or maybe 1.0 If it is July 5 and that
is the talk about the fed btc will drop under 20k.
I reset my coin holdings. I increased all my btc and sold my shit coins. I also have cash and will buy more when we go under 20k. Going under 20k seems pretty certain. Only Putin dying and Russia ending its war with the Ukraine will stop inflation which is very unlikely.
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Long time lurker. With the massive downturn in price, I'm looking to move some ASICs and GPUs online. Got an offer in my email from ebay offering 50% off fees for selling GPUs above $500. Does anyone here have experience selling GPUs on ebay who could get some advice? Best practices to protect myself?
List one card at a time. Try to keep it at under 700 most cards are under that price. Insure it ask for signature. Realize you will get returns yeah it sucks but they can simply break the fan blade and get a return. So offer returns. Or consider seeing if you can sell to trusted people here. There is a marketplace. and there are escrows. I escrow. Escrow is decent as the buyer gets a day or maybe 2 to test but cant claw back later. and escrow fees are lower than ebay by far. what are you selling and what do you think it is worth. |
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LOL.
So Bitcoin is in step with the Nasdaq index like a couple synchronized swimmers...
yep which is why the expected .75 fed move should level it off for some time. I was hoping for the fed to do .50 or 1.00 either one would make more fud and spike btc along with the market a bit more. the .75 will stabilize the fud until more terrible oil gas and inflation news comes along. I am thinking this is a lost summer for a rally and sometime in july we drop again once inflation show zero sign of stopping. If you can buy at dca do so as long as you can. I am set for 2 or 3 100 usd buys weekly for next 10 weeks. |
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Plague of locusts probably. Nothing gets better until we get the current clown-show out. .75 should slow the bleeding for a while. |
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Looking for sub 20k in a few hours or so.
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seems the last low wasn't low enough for some sellers...
I will pick some up in the morning. |
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Here is an 'interesting" suggestion re new poll on WO:
How much are you currently losing "on paper" from the ATH in your current bitcoin position (not counting the profit/loss from earlier sells)
1. less than $1K
2. between $1k and $10K
3. between $10K and 100K
3. between $100K and $1 mil
4. between $1mil and $10mil
5. between $10mil and $100mil
6. Above $100mil
Not sure if people would be honest in their answers, but am curious to see the spread anyway.
1, 1btc=1btc my btc is 1.46 x higher than it was this morning but it is 6x lower then it was when btc was at 67k most sales were from 67 k down to 45k. my gear is 3x what it was since the alltime high. but even though it is all paid off and generates pretty good money my mining earnings are far lower than last year. Way off topic my home value went from 400k to 600k in four months. the wifes safe 401k lost 10% to inflation last year. switching from btc and other coins to gear mitigates this drop in coin value. Hang in there btc will rise again. |
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1% yield is decent it can be worked for profit. Wonder how many new gold scores of that magnitude are out there. Be funny to see four or five spots like that.
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well I mentioned the golden astroid over and over and over. Said if real it could tap gold bigly to under 200 an oz. 31 mill tonnes is a lot less than the asteroid ☄️ amount but it would tank gold if easy to mine. in theory 152,000 tonnes of pure gold is all the was ever mined. so if that gold was 10% yield it would be 3.1 million tons of pure gold which is 20 x what has been mined. https://www.amnh.org/exhibitions/gold/eureka/gold-fun-facts#: source for gold mined |
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So I sold my btc off and bumped my btc up the next day. I have 46% more btc today than sunday.
I have cash ready if we go lower.
I will do a buy when we go under 20k which should be tonight.
After fed does .75 percent jump on weds we will rally
but if fed only does .5 we will crash more.
Mostly issue is we are locked in with stocks at the moment.
Very well done! I would say "be careful with those sorts of gambits". But the reason is I am not good at doing exactly what you did.  So I would only really be saying it to me. Yea, this kind of moves are always very risky. You can't predict where the turn would be. In fact, saying that it was 21K does not make it so. Seems a bit "artificial". 75 points are already 'priced' in. no way they would do only 50 now. In 6 mo my cash lump would earn 4% more or less...woo hooo. We shall see what the price would be during and after those 6 mo. . but you need to understand the old btc had a cost basis close to 50k the new btc now has a cost basis of 21.9. My buy back was funded by sale of hodled btc and mined eth and mined ltc and mined doge. I created a good cap gains loss. Plus have more btc and less mined shitcoins. For a fuckup to happen btc would need to moon instantly as I sold the btc. I still would have been able to buy more then the sale of the btc As I was adding the sale of the mined shit coins. so no shit coins to worry about crashing. more btc 146% vs 100% a good loss in cap gains and cash left over if btc tanks. lets pretend it was 1 btc at 50k cost basis. sold for 21.9 k a cap loss short term of 28.1k sold 15k in eth ltc doge a loss of 15k so I now have 43.1k in losses and 36.9k cash. buy 1.46 btc at 22k comes to 32.12 k leaves me 4.78k cash and 1.46 btc vs 1 btc. new btc has a cost basis of 22k not 50k and I have 43.1k in losses short term that last for a year. so if btc gets back to 66 k . I sell a coin and use the entire cap loss thus all taxless 66k cash and I have .46 btc sitting worth around 30 k. the spike that could hurt me would be sell at 21.9 and jump to 24 in under 1 minute. then buy. I can do this because i hold portions of the mined shit coins in reserve in case this dump shit happens. |
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So I sold my btc off and bumped my btc up the next day. I have 46% more btc today than sunday.
I have cash ready if we go lower.
I will do a buy when we go under 20k which should be tonight.
After fed does .75 percent jump on weds we will rally
but if fed only does .5 we will crash more.
Mostly issue is we are locked in with stocks at the moment.
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Bitcoin blockchain is not like password or characters that someone can brute force using a special equipments and tools, only what can happen is miners with over 50% mining hashrate to take advantage of chain reorganization to make 51% attack possible.
To mine bitcoin, with the present difficulty adjustment, you will need powerful ASIC miners like Antminer S19j Pro, Antminer L7, Antminer Goldshell KD6 to mine bitcoin. You will have to join a mining pool. To summarize this, you will need to make sure mining bitcoin is legal in your country, calculate the electricity cost and also if your area have cold weather.
I hope people like philipma1957 will give you better options to go for about this.
Okay as you requested I will direct a few guess at Ms milf or mrs majestic Newer machines that hash at a profit are bitmain s19s they are a bit more reliable then bitmain s17 pros and a bit more efficient you must use 200-245 volts to run them. avalon 1246 are decent and whatsminer m30 or m31 gear is good. all of the above pull a lot of power and are very loud but they make a profit at 8 cent power. an s19 burns 3.4 x 24 = 80-85 watts 85 x 8 cents = 6.80 usd burnt in a day and some do 100th which is about 9.1 x 100 = $9.10 profit of 9.10-6.80 = $2.30 a day which if steady means it earns only 840 in a year considering bitmain wants like 5.4k it is too fucking costly canaan.io is blowing out their best gear https://shop.canaan.io/products/canaan-avalon-miner-a1246-96tso 96 x 9.1 cents is $8.73 a day burns about 85 kwatts or $6.80 so it nets 8.73-6.80= $1.90 a day and costs 3831 they cost more as shipping and import tax is not included so both would take 7 years to pay at current rates. a fucking joke. I found used s17pros with heatsink mods on ebay https://www.ebay.com/itm/403701589089?these sold out yesterday I would argue if the seller is honest this is the best deal around. But still over priced. you can clock this to 1100 watts which is about 28 kwatts or $2.24 a day burnt they would earn 40 x 9.1 = 3.64 so 3.61 - 2.24 = 1.37 a day so on 1000 days you make 1370 which is almost break even. still not good. deal but the best I could find in the last two days. I would not buy an asic that needs 1000 days to break even but it is better than buying an asic that need 2000 days to break even. I freeze daily numbers to get the days to break even sometimes it stays very flat sometimes it gets better some time it gets worse. that's why I like ASICs at 300 to 400 days to break even not 1000 to 2000 gear is stupidly over priced for an 8 cent miner btw it is over price for a 7 cent miner and it is over priced for a 6 cent miner if you were a 5 cent miner the sold out s17 pro on ebay would pay off in 700 days if you were a 2 cent miner (very rare) it would take 459 days to pay off still shitty. I am a low power cost miner but closer to 5 cents not 2 cents. So I did not get those units. |
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