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81  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: May 06, 2024, 02:52:43 PM
For a reminder, if Manchester City loses or draws any of their remaining matches, their aim to lift the Premier League trophy for the season again will be shattered in Arsenal's favor.

City still have 3 matches left, and it is unlikely from these 3 matches they will lose all the matches. It would make a nonsense to me if that happened, even though it is reality. City will become champions after the last matches on EPL. Compared to City, I am more worried about Arsenal. If City wins the remaining 3 matches, and Arsenal wins the remaining 2 matches, the points for City will be better and Arsenal wouldn't get the title anymore.
82  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: May 06, 2024, 02:09:28 PM
It will be better if Juventus can at least win one of their remaining matches to seal up their champion league qualification next season, because I am not cool with the draws, however it is better to share points than lose all three points. Juventus position is at threat only if Bologna starts performing poorly like them Juventus that is when they can finish at third position. Atalanta still have two outstanding matches, that if they win they will be on the 5th position which is a threat.

CMIIW, if you look at the coefficient points for next season's UCL spots, Italy is currently in number one position with a coefficient of 19.xxx, or 1 point above Germany. This means next season Italy will definitely get 5 spots for UCL. With Atalanta's position only 57 points, if Juventus manages to get just 1 point from the last 3 matches, assuming Bologna and Roma win all the remaining matches, then Juventus will still have the opportunity to play in the UCL Playoffs next season. Of course it would be better if Juventus win, if something bad happens, 1 point is not bad. the important thing is to get to the UCL play-offs.
83  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2023/24 Season on: May 03, 2024, 03:03:20 PM
Leverkusen have sharp and flexible players compare to Roma. Leverkusen is still the strongest club currently in this competition and we ha e seen that from their performance yesterday against Roma, who was unable to score any goal at home. I don't see any club that will win Leverkusen in the finals because this is their season to shine, and win trophies.

Aggregate of 2 goals seems to have ensured their position in the 2023/24 UEL Final. AS Roma must be able to score 3 goals but need to keep a cleansheet to go to the Final, which is difficult or even not possible, considering that Leverkusen is the club with the lowest number of goals conceded in the Bundesliga and UEL. This is a signal that Xabi Alonso's team has a disciplined defense so it is not easily penetrated by opposing players. In other side, Roma, doesn't have a good level of goal productivity this season, will definitely find it more difficult to win the match with 3 goals in the 2nd leg.

well, I think UEL will belong to Leverkusen this season.
84  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Buy a Bonus VS playing Slot on normal Spin - which do you prefer? on: May 03, 2024, 02:45:22 PM
I have tried buy bonus two times before and I lost both. What I noticed was that my losses was very fast. I have heard that it can increase the chance that I can win but it only increased the chance of me losing. I do not use it again. I prefer not to buy bonus but  be using the normal way to gamble. One thing a gambler needs to know is that they should not be greedy and lured into anything by gambling sites. Gambling sites will bring something alluring but they are always earning from people while people lose to them.

Bonus buy features are not to increase gambling wins. This is a shortcut for you to immediately get the freespins feature. The odds if you use the buy bonus and normal spins are actually the same.

If you have ever done a test result. in 100x spins, how often do you get a free spins (scatter) bonus? By purchasing 100x spins for scatter/free spins, you can get it immediately, but not the potential winnings. The results of buying free spins can be as bad as you experienced, and it's not just once or a few times, it depends on your luck.

In the Starlight Princess game, I tested up to 500 spins, with a loss of more than the purchase price of the free spins feature. In those 500 spins, I didn't get even a sigle free spins bonus.

So, this can make you understand that the buy bonus feature is not to increase your winnings, but is just a shortcut to experiencing the free spins bonus feature.
85  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ? Lega Serie A ?? (Italian League) Prediction Thread 2023/2024? on: May 03, 2024, 02:04:35 PM
the Italian championship is the most beautiful of all because it is the one where many teams can win the scudetto, quite the opposite of other championships such as the Brazilian one, where the teams that win are always those two and that`s it, how boring!
instead here you never know how it can end, one season you win the scudetto, the next season you are in mid-table and you don`t even get to the Champions League

Every league have title monopoly.
In the last few seasons, the Scudetto was controlled by Juventus and Inter Milan, while AC Milan won because of Inter Milan and Juventus inconsistencies. Napoli also performed extraordinary last season, so they become team that take over Scudetto from Milan, but now they are on decline. However, overall in the last 20 seasons, there have only been 2 clubs that have controlled Serie A, Inter Milan and Juventus.

Milan has never won in 2 consecutive seasons, so it is not considered a top team that monopolizes the Scudetto. In fact, Serie A was completely controlled by Juventus for 9 consecutive seasons. This change in the championship cycle has only occurred in the last 4 seasons.
86  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: May 03, 2024, 01:50:18 PM
OFFICIAL: Reus has decided not to renew his contract with Dortmund. This was conveyed through the club's official Reus' video statement on the X platform[1].

[2]

Dortmund has a chance to get to the UCL Final, if Dortmund surprisingly wins the UCL, then this will be Reus' last season with Dortmund that will not be forgotten. 12 seasons with several trophies that he gave for Dortmund is not a bad achievement. We will see the new adventure from Reus, is he will stay at Bundesliga or move to other league next season.

[1] : https://twitter.com/BVB/status/1786365272145744290
[2]: https://twitter.com/BlackYellow/status/1786368802294317092

87  Local / Altcoins (Bahasa Indonesia) / Re: Berburu Airdrop Hasil Gede on: May 03, 2024, 01:40:43 PM
Saat ini sangat susah untuk mendapatkan hadiah airdrop yang gede, sekarang hadiah nggak transfaran, kadang bisa bisa juga nggak di bayar, kadang ada juga yang naga, ada yang jadi cacing.
Itulah pentingnya menyeleksi airdrop seperti apa yang akan diikuti. Sebagian besar proyek akan memberikan informasi tokenomic dan pendistribusian token. Misal, alokasi 15% untuk komunitas, ini bisa menjadi anggapan bahwa setidaknya 50% dari 15% alokasi tersebut akan diberikan dalam bentuk airdrop. Airdrop ga di bayar itu adalah risiko bagi kita, toh nothing to lose. Tugasnya pun hanya dalam bentuk satu kali klik, misal repost/quote di platform X, mengikuti testnet, pada dasarnya selama bukan retrodrop itu tidak bermodal. Paket data mau ikut airdrop atau tidak pasti butuh, anggap saja itu bukan modal, hanya untuk ngabisin sisa kuota yang ga kepake.
88  Local / Topik Lainnya / Re: Diskusi Timnas Indonesia on: May 02, 2024, 04:22:17 PM
Namun apapun hasilnya saya tetap mengapresiasi mereka sebesar besarnya karena mereka berhasil berada di final bahkan bisa lolos dari grup yang dianggap grup neraka  juga. Target PSSI sebenarnya hanya bisa lolos fase grup saja, namun mereka berhasil melampaui target itu dan berada di semifinal. Kini selangkah lagi kita akan pergi ke Olympiade Paris dan peluang itu sangat terbukan, jikapun kita kalah dalam pertandingan perebutan tempat ke 3, kita masih memiliki kesempatan melalui jalur playoff. Namun saya berharap mereka bisa menyelsaikannya dalam pertadingan ini.

Tentu saja, saya selalu mengapresiasi penampilan timnas Indonesia apapun hasilnya, tidak mudah bagi timnas untuk lolos ke Piala Asia, dan kita sudah mendapatkan kesempatan untuk melihat momen ini. Indonesia masih butuh proses, kita sebagai pendukung tentunya harus sabar menunggu peningkatan dari pemain timnas kita. Selama PSSI bisa mendatangkan pelatih yang bagus untuk Indonesia, maka kita mungkin bisa menjadi raja setidaknya di ASEAN.


Pertandingan antara Indonesia vs Irak sudah berjalan 45 menit pertama dengan skor 1 - 1, namun ada beberapa hal yang saya perhatikan sejauh ini,
1. Umpan pemain Indonesia akurasinya kurang baik, dan terkesan terburu-buru hingga mudah dipatahkan oleh pemain Irak.
2. Kurang memperhatikan umpan silang dari sisi kiri yang menjadi andalan pemain Irak.
3. Koordinasi saat melakukan serangan di depan kotak penalti kurang terkoordinir dengan baik.

Kalau misalkan Indonesia bisa memperbaiki 3 hal tersebut, sepertinya kita bisa kembali mencetak gol. Akan sangat disayangkan jika harus menunggu lemparan ke dalam dari Arhan untuk menciptakan peluang. Indonesia sebenarnya cukup mampu mengimbangi permainan Irak, hanya saja Irak memiliki pola koordinasi dan umpan yang lebih baik daripada Indonesia di babak pertama ini.
89  Local / Bahasa Indonesia (Indonesian) / Re: [DISKUSI] Daftar Negara Pemegang Bitcoin Terbanyak? on: May 02, 2024, 03:57:07 PM
-snip
Walaupun negara tersebut menjadi negara yang memiliki jumlah Bitcoin terbanyak, tetapi penggunaan Bitcoin pada masyarakat hanya 12% saja di tahun 2023. Itupun turun gan dari tahun 2022 dengan jumlah 24,2%. Walaupun begitu kualitas hidup keluarga semenjak legalitas Bitcoin cenderung naik dari 3% pada tahun 2022 menjadi 6,8% pada tahun 2023. Untuk masyarakat dapat merasakannya pun brarti juga memerlukan proses yang cukup panjang gan. Mungkin harapan saya agar Indonesia bisa menjadi salah satu negara pemegang Bitcoin terbanyak gan. Mungkin pemerintah Indonesia sekarang sudah tepat untuk fokus kepada regulasi, dengan tujuan untuk keamanan dan keteraturan. Semoga nanti setelah regulasi sudah jadi dan berjalan dengan baik, pemerintah harus fokus pada penyebaran Bitcoin di Indonesia. Tidak harus menggantikan Rupiah, cukup berdampingan saja menurut saya sudah bagus. Karena melihat potensi dari Bitcoin yang sangat baik pasti akan berdampak baik juga untuk Indonesia Smiley

Jika ada pertumbuhan kualitas hidup warga di El Salvador pasca Nayib Bukele memutuskan untuk berinvestasi di Bitcoin, maka investasi ini bisa dibilang, kalau ini adalah kesuksesan yang dicapai oleh Nayib dalam membangun ekonomi di Negaranya. Bitcoin yang di Miliki oleh El Salvador masih belum dijual sama sekali, ada kemungkinan kepercayaan investasi ke negara ini sudah mulai meningkat.

Rupiah berdampingan dengan Bitcoin seperti apa maksudnya mas? Kalau misalkan dijadikan alternatif pembayaran sudah pasti tidak akan bisa. Kalau misalkan Indonesia berani mengambil langkah investasi di Bitcoin, mungkin akan berbeda cerita. Walaupun resmi sebagai aset komoditas, pemerintah sepertinya masih belum berani berinvestasi di Bitcoin.
90  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: May 02, 2024, 03:32:10 PM
That is not the right thing. Jorginho is staying for another season, that's it.

Yesterday I read in one of the media which stated that there had been no offer from the club. Maybe I read an old news. I have also compared your news with other news, and indeed there has been a contract extension offer from Arsenal for Jorginho.

Yes, of course Tuchel will leave Bayern Munich after finishing this season because Bayern Munich's current failure is due to Tuchel's failure to manage players who cannot maintain consistency and weaknesses in the defensive line that have not been corrected even though Tuchel should have known about these weaknesses but since then nothing has changed which made Bayern Munich management have to decide to fire Tuchel.
I'm not really sure if Bayern Munich will keep him but I think there are already other clubs who already have an interest in signing Tuchel and I heard that Manchester United is trying to make an offer to Tuchel.
Tuchel only lasted 1 season with Chelsea because he was deemed to have failed to improve Chelsea. With Munich, Tuchel is quite good in the UCL, but In Bundesliga, too much points lost and have 12 points gap with Leverkusen. If, MU believes in Tuchel, MU should have a better reason. because I'm not sure about Tuchel, even though I know he's not a bad coach at all.
91  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: May 02, 2024, 02:59:48 PM
There are only four matches left and also, at this moment Sassuolo has a five-point gap with Empoli who is just above the relegation zone and thus, I think Sassuolo does not have a good chance of being able to get out of the relegation zone. Indeed, about the five-point gap it is still fairly close but even so, considering Sassuolo's trend this season is bad then yes, even though it only has a five-point gap it will still be difficult for Sassuolo. Because after all, at the same time also Udinese and Empoli certainly have good efforts also to be in a safe position and thus, it seems that Sassuolo has lost the chance to get out of the relegation zone.

Yes, it seems like it is very difficult for Sassuolo to survive in Serie A. Despite trying to say they have opportunity, I can't say this opportunity can save Sassuolo. 5 points is not a small number of points, we still have to see the results of other matches. Inter, who are the next opponents, will definitely not give Sassuolo an easy win.

Reportedly currently Italy has 5 tickets to go to the Champions League

From current coifficients
1. ITALY, 19.428
2. GERMANY, 18.357
3. England, 17.375
4. France, 16.083
5. Spain, 15.437
Source: ESPN

It's mean, Serie-A currently on top pole to get 5 UCL spot.
92  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2023/24 Season on: May 02, 2024, 02:25:50 PM
The same thing can happen to the leverkusen although it's still unbeatable this time. Who knows if roma can repeat the same thing that happens to the liverpool vs atalanta. Roma is an underrated team this time. It's hard to imagine leverkusen to get draw or lose against roma without even scoring.
I'd liked to take BTTS for this game. This is a sense choice for me considering they are all the same strong. Lukaku is gonna play soon along with dybala. I remember the day when roma beats leverkusen.

The upcoming game is a rematch from roma vs leverkusen.

Leverkusen's unbeaten status currently, made people thing if Leverkusen will easily win the match against Roma. Of course, I can't say this assumption is wrong, because Roma is currently inconsistent, but still their performance after De Ressi become coach is better. Agree or not, the chance to win the match still exists for Roma, even if it is only 10%. We can't make mathematics as exact value in sports, because something can happen on the field. fouls, red cards, penalties, injuries can cause a consistent team to lose, and this is not in the mathematical formula and analysis.
93  Local / Trading dan Spekulasi / Re: [Diskusi] Prediksi Harga Bitcoin on: May 02, 2024, 05:23:53 AM
Saya sependapat kalau kemungkinan mulai berangsur naik lagi mendekati akhir tahun. Mungkin di bulan Agustus atau Sepertember mulai ada reli naik lagi.

Kalau diperhatikan memang, sering kali kenaikan dimulai pada semester 2 di tahun ke-4 untuk menuju ATH, jadi pada rentang Juli - Desember, kita bisa melihat tanda-tanda pergerakannya, biasanya demikian.

2. Mantap tuh untuk mulai buy back lagi, namun saya optimis kalau harga tidak lebih di bawah itu, kalau penerawangan saya paling mentok di 50k.-snip
3. Pola 5 tahun kemungkinan masih related, atau mungkin bisa melebihi expektasi kita karena ada ETF
Yup, mungkin tidak akan lebih rendah dari $50K, hanya saja saya lihat dari monthly chart, resisten di masa lalu ada di rentang $48K - $44K, jadi ini bisa menjadi support pada saat koreksi kali ini, dan diharapkan cukup kuat untuk bisa bertahan pada momen koreksi kali ini. Jika Grayscale memilih instrument ke altcoin, kayanya beberapa yang perlu diperhatikan adalah history altcoin yang pernah dihold Graysclae sih.tapi itu hanya perkiraan saya saja, karena saya kurang ngikutin portfolio mereka.

Jika misalkan masih related, maka dip $55K dan lebih rendah sepertinya sudah bisa menjadi zona akumulasi sih.

NFA/DWYOR/DYOR
94  Local / Topik Lainnya / Re: Diskusi Timnas Indonesia on: May 02, 2024, 05:03:01 AM
Terlepas dari masalah keputusan wasit, saya pikir tim kita pada saat melawan Uzbekistan peluang untuk menangnya sangat kecil. Ini terlihat dari pola serangan dari pemain Uzbekistan yang begitu rapi. Gol yang dianulir sedikit banyak memengaruhi mental pemain, ditambah kartu merah yang menurut saya pribadi itu kejadian tabrakan yang tidak disengaja. dari video VAR, kaki Ridho seperti terpental karena benturan dengan paha pemain Uzbekistan, itu bukan kesengajaan melainkan insiden tak bisa dihindarkan. Kalau soal potensi Penalti justru dianggap tackling bersih, saya juga kaget sih dengan hal tersebut. Setelah beberapa kejadian tersebut, pemain Indonesia memang sudah menunjukkan kurang konsentrasi, hingga serangan pasca gol Indonesia yang dianulir, Uzbekistan justru berhasil mencetak gol. Moga saja, pertandingan hari ini tidak seperti kemarin. Jika Indonesia bisa memenangkan pertandingan ini, bagi saya Indonesia sudah sukses dengan pencapaiannya kali ini. STY tentunya perlu memperbaiki mental pemain timnas agar tidak mudah tersulut emosi saat ada keputusan wasit yang tidak sesuai harapan dan juga lebih siap dengan keputusan apapun, agar ritme permainan tidak goyah dengan hal-hal tersebut.
95  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: May 01, 2024, 05:33:58 PM
PSG's performance some time can't predictable, in quarter final first leg match had bad result after defeating by Barcelona and I sure against Dortmund will get difficulty for winning the first leg match indeed has chance come back at second leg match or not.

After they become champions of the French league season 2023/2024, PSG players confidence will be increased. This is could become a motivations for PSG to win this match. i know, Dortmund is a team that PSG cannot be underestimate, they are in the same group in the qualifying round and the match was very hard for both.  but on this matches, I think PSG has a better chance of winning the match.
96  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: May 01, 2024, 03:53:38 PM
Jorginho will be an Arsenal player that may become some European clubs targets, and they can compete for in the summer transfer market. Until now, Jorginho has not received a contract extension offer from Arsenal. No linked clubs so far, but i believe, there will be several Italian clubs will try to sign him if Arsenal no longer wants to make him an option. 32 year old, he can still play well in Italy considering that the tempo of the game in Serie A is not like the EPL.
97  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: May 01, 2024, 03:04:47 PM
But Sassuolo is definitely relegated even though it is still mathematically possible to get out of that zone, but seeing next week playing with Inter Milan I think defeat is the fate he must accept because against the top team leader standings serie a this season, it is not an easy thing to get a victory over Inter Milan, they may only hope that the goddess fortuna is on them next week on the field of the Mapei stadium or at his own home, Sassuolo must really be able to take advantage of this opportunity, if he can hold a draw or win against Inter Milan most likely the future will be brighter than what is most feared.

That's right, Sassuolo doesn't have much of a chance to out from relegation zone. Inter Milan is a team that has been very consistent this season and is unlikely to let Sassuolo take even if it is only 1 point. However, I hope that Sassuolo's magic will return on this match. Even though they lost 5 goals to Fiorentina, I hope Sassuolo can show better or even extra hard performance like the history of the match against AC Milan which made Milan ended the matches with draw 2 - 2.
98  Local / Trading dan Spekulasi / Re: [Diskusi] Prediksi Harga Bitcoin Bulan Mei 2024 on: May 01, 2024, 02:57:01 PM
Untuk diskusi prediksi harga Bitcoin, saya membuka 3 pertanyaan.
  • Kemana arah Bitcoin akan bergerak selama bulan Mei ini menurut agan-agan?
  • Apakah keadaan harga pasar Bitcoin tidak akan berbeda dari yang terjadi selama bulan April?
  • Menurut anda, mungkinkah terjadi kejadian yang bisa meningkatkan harga Bitcoin?

Sebelumnya disclaimer dulu, ini sebatas mengacu pada pandangan saya pribadi. sudut pandang member tentu berbeda  Wink
1. Mei bisa menjadi bulan koreksi, karena jika kita lihat di monthly data, BTC naik sejak september 2023 dan mencapai ATH pada April 2024, bisa dikatakan selama periode tersebut minim koreksi, candle masih hijau di Januari walaupun ada penurunan harga di akhir bulan. Jadi, menurut saya ada kemungkinan BTC mengalami koreksi mulai dari bulan ini, kemudian berangsur naik lagi pada akhir tahun (jika mengacu pada pola 5 tahunan dan jika terulang)

2. Bisa lebih dalam koreksi kali ini, tapi selama tidak jebol di bawah 45K, kayanya masih ada peluang tidak terjadi FUD. Hari ini saya menemukan info pemindahan sebanyak 2100 BTC oleh Graysclae ke Coinbase, mungkin ini penyebab turunnya harga Bitcoin.

3. BTC terkadang tidak butuh suatu fundamental, tapi kenaikan terjadi lebih organik. jadi tunggu saja, siapa tahu pola 5 tahunan masih related dengan kondisi saat ini.

DYOR/DWYOR/NFA
99  Local / Altcoins (Bahasa Indonesia) / Re: Hati hati membeli koin meme, sekarang banyak koin meme scam! on: April 30, 2024, 10:19:58 PM
bukan hanya sekarang saja sih, scam memetokens atau shittoken sudah ada sejak lama, disemua jaringan selalu ada token scam. yang paling perlu diperhatikan adalah potensi drain. Ini bukan hanya yang berkedok token meme, namun token-token dengan iming-iming utility pun memiliki potensi nge-drain isi wallet.

BTW, saran saja sih mas @OP, mungkin akan lebih baik threadnya dibuat jadi satu thread panjang, beberapa thread yang mas buat sepertinya akan lebih bagus dalam satu tempat sehingga tidak terkesan buru-buru bikin thread dan terlihat spammy. ini hanya saran, bukan untuk mengurangi semangat mas dalam membuat thread. Karena menurut saya threadnya ini dengan yang lain masih related,
100  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: April 30, 2024, 03:55:58 PM
Another day and surely another super and mighty night of Champions League and of Real Madrid doing some black magic in this tournament.

I dont think this Bayern stand a chance against Real Madrid, maybe in his home game can do anything but for me Real Madrid is already in the final of the tournament without doubt.

I think on this matches, Munich will play attacking to get the score first, this is a normal thing that the hosts do. Because of the away atmosphere, it is very different to home. The mentality of European players is already very strong, even though it is a small team. I think in this match, who is the first goal scorer, they are the ones who are most potentioal for this result, so the women's potential is likely to qualify for the final.
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