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1  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: You Can't Mine Bitcoin Profitably (Prove me wrong!) on: December 21, 2021, 07:30:38 AM
You are thinking in hard way.

Forget about the USD price, you dont need it.

Simply consider that:
Cost of hardware + cost of electricity*time / BTC production

Considering:
- 150 EH/s of hashrate growing at 145 PH/s per day.
- 144 blocks per day.
- fee reward is not included.
- 6.25 BTC block subsidy.
- 100 TH/s, one miner.
- 3250 W power consuption.
- 8000 USD cost of hardware.

This give you a graph like this:
https://imgur.com/tsA90ya

*Where Y axis is Price in USD and X axis is days passed since start of mining

When this curve will be UP related to Bitcoin price, then mining will be profitable. You can take a better pic seeing this table

https://imgur.com/LSBI7T1

*Where x is days, X is USD price and B is the amount of BTC obtained at given X value.

As you could see, mining allow you to obtain BTC at a price below to 50k for almost 10 years.

2  Economy / Speculation / What do you think about my prediction? on: October 26, 2020, 04:55:37 PM
I made this in Nov/19. https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/na03w2tl-Bitcoin-Long-term-prediction-2-0/

One year later and this still remain too accurate.
3  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Bitcoin: Long term prediction. on: November 28, 2019, 12:54:27 AM
I improve the original chart, this look more informative and show interesting trends and proportions.

Enjoy!

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/na03w2tl-Bitcoin-Long-term-prediction-2-0/
4  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Bitcoin: Long term prediction. on: November 24, 2019, 01:05:13 AM
Hi everyone!

I made this prediction 3 months ago and I shocked for his precision.

I decided share him with people. Maybe you finds some utility.

https://es.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/HbvGBqZG/

right now I am really waiting for halving, because if you look at previous halving I think it can happen again, and right now before halving occurs the price drops, then 2020-2021 in the end, the price of bitcoin will rise higher and make a new ATH.

Yes, i wait the same.

but unfortunately i was too optimistic when put the ATH line.

if you look the two previous Halving-ATH lines there is a pattern of dilatation.

taked one year for the 1th halving to 1th ATH.

but taked 1.5 years for the 2th halving to 2th ATH.

probably the time of wait for the 3th halving to 3th ATH will take mora than 1.5 years.
5  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Bitcoin: Long term prediction. on: November 24, 2019, 12:58:49 AM
Do you think the price of BTC in August 2021 is around 60k USD?
what about the BTC analysis that will touch 100k to 300k USD in 2021? Do you agree with the analysis or do you prefer your analysis?
if I look at your analysis, there is still a chance that BTC will fall deeper in November or December.

Honestly, i think that the price of BTC never will over 130K.

I think that BTC will stabilice between 90K and 130K.

Wich is a good thing because while more stabilization has a coin, less oportunity cost and better incetive for use how a universal exchange good.

Wich is the principal objetive of BTC.
6  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Bitcoin: Long term prediction. on: November 22, 2019, 03:04:30 PM
I hope he's right again because if BTC dropped below $6K that would look so bad, undoing all big rally since April 2019, and it hurt me so bad lol. $60K after the halving would be cool but I think that's too optimistic. The market has changed a lot, big money is already involved now so I don't think prediction based on past pattern will do.

There is an interesting paralelism related about the chart of the monetary supply of BTC and the logarithmic chart of price vs time.
7  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Bitcoin: Long term prediction. on: November 22, 2019, 02:34:30 PM
but for the short term we must first correct whether this bearish will continue to $ 6000? I'm not expecting Bitcoin at the end of this month and the chart shows that the resistance will go up.

Maybe in the range 6k - 7k all based in the AT of the chart.
8  Economy / Trading Discussion / Bitcoin: Long term prediction. on: November 22, 2019, 01:42:31 PM
Hi everyone!

I made this prediction 3 months ago and I shocked for his precision.

I decided share him with people. Maybe you finds some utility.

https://es.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/HbvGBqZG/

UPDATE: (27/11/2019)

Bitcoin prediction 2.0, more informative about trends and proportions, best technique for the construction of the curve.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/na03w2tl-Bitcoin-Long-term-prediction-2-0/
9  Local / Esquina Libre / Re: Que opinas del ultimo episodio de la septima temporada de Game of Thrones? on: September 03, 2017, 04:08:20 PM
Creo q esta temporada estan metiendo historia demasiado rapido dado el ritmo q han llevado las otras 6 temporadas, y si, opino tambien q Brandon para verlo todo, no ve nada de lo que interesa en el momento que interesa. Esta temporada han tenido algun gazapo o incongruencia en ciertos tramos de la historia, como cuando John sin sentido alguno se pone a matar caminantes para dar pie a que el rey de la noche mate un dragon con un palillo de dientes en lugar de subirse al dragon de su tia y pirarse.

Este mensaje contiene spoilers...En esa escena que mencionas es donde mi amigo se pone de manera ilogica a matar caminantes blancos porque acaba de aterrizar su ahora reina, hermanastra, futura mujer y madre de su futuro hijo que nacera en la siguiente temporada porque esta enamorado de ella y quiere lucirse ante ella para conquistarla. Lo del dragon fue un golpe muy duro para todos, lo estamos pasando realmente fatal  Cry  Cry

Vos estas loco? gracias a eso ahora tenemos a un rey de la noche montado sobre un dragón zombie, que mejor que eso?
10  Local / Esquina Libre / Re: Que opinas del ultimo episodio de la septima temporada de Game of Thrones? on: September 02, 2017, 03:17:49 AM
Creo q esta temporada estan metiendo historia demasiado rapido dado el ritmo q han llevado las otras 6 temporadas, y si, opino tambien q Brandon para verlo todo, no ve nada de lo que interesa en el momento que interesa. Esta temporada han tenido algun gazapo o incongruencia en ciertos tramos de la historia, como cuando John sin sentido alguno se pone a matar caminantes para dar pie a que el rey de la noche mate un dragon con un palillo de dientes en lugar de subirse al dragon de su tia y pirarse.

laikazo! pienso exactamente lo mismo, no tuvo ningún sentido eso. de hecho se podría decir que los caminantes rompieron el muro gracias a John.

Me imagino la cara del tipo cuando se entere que Dany es su tía.
11  Local / Español (Spanish) / Re: Cada vez me gusta menos el bitcoin... on: September 02, 2017, 03:10:33 AM
la blockchain no sirve para micropagos, si queres diseñar una cripto para micropagos tenes que diseñar otra cosa, blockchain ya demostró que no sirve, aunque le hagan cualquier perrería a los bloques y pongan 50 subcadenas la blockchain seguirá dependiendo de los caprichos de los mineros.
12  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: IOTA - The gamechanger? on: September 01, 2017, 12:22:24 PM
I suppose it depends if it the Tangle truly scales like it's supposed to. If it scales, then it wins.

I think the same, the success of IOTA depends on its massive use.
13  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: IOTA - The gamechanger? on: August 31, 2017, 06:13:53 PM
Byteball is different to IOTA, not is better, just different. Byteball has fees for example, this is crucial in the IoT development. the inexistence of fee allow the crypto to exploit a huge abanic of possibilities.

If you think that Byteball is a serious project, there isn't reason to reject IOTA, or call it scam.

Actually i bet by both.
14  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: IOTA - The gamechanger? on: August 31, 2017, 04:31:05 PM
If IOTA was such a game changer, it would have changed the game by now. As this didn't happen I call vaporware. We have far to many coins who's underlying tech solely exists in a whitepaper.

I think that the reason why IOTA isnt fucking everything right now is by the nature of his protocol.

give me explain you, IOTA is a p2p system, like everything p2p system this become faster while more is used.

IOTA actually only have two months of activity in a single exchange (Bitfinex), es very premature.

I recomend you hear and look the video that i put on the bottom of main mensaje, may be more enlightening.
15  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: IOTA - The gamechanger? on: August 31, 2017, 11:49:17 AM
Quote
IOTA doesn't have a blockchain. It is not a currency nor it is not a crypto.

The definition of Cryptocurrency is a digital coin that use cryptography to secure the transactions.

IOTA have cryptography. A blockchain is not a requeriment to be a Cryptocurrency.

Quote
IOTA is FULLY premined, just two years ago this was enough for people to put red flags.

What is the reason to put red flags for this? Everything pre mined currency is a scam for you?

Quote
5. Isn't the development of IOTA centralized? Are you able to contribute to it's development directly? Do you have access to their source code?

https://github.com/iotaledger

Your arguments looks like a trolling. Is hard take your arguments seriously.

I'm a IOTA holder off Course. Actually also run a full node 24/7. Im all in this proyect.







16  Local / Español (Spanish) / Re: Cada vez me gusta menos el bitcoin... on: August 31, 2017, 11:27:52 AM
El asunto es que no veo a varias cryptomonedas sobreviviendo a largo plazo. Creo que prevalecerá la que más ventajas ofrezca y en ese sentido creo que BTC, las ventajas que hoy ofrece se ven opacadas por problemas intrínsecos de su tecnología.

Le veo el futuro negro a todo esto relacionado con la [Suspicious link removed]o ejemplo te puedo mencionar lo que está pasando ahora con el hashpower de BTC que migra periódicamente de BTC a BCH aprovechando el ajuste diferente de dificultad de Bitcoin Cash el cual es mucho más rápido. Esto provoca inestabilidad en ambas monedas. Ahora podemos culpar a BCH de esto? no, la culpa acá la tiene la alta dependencia de los mineros para validar las transacciones, es decir hecha la ley hecha la trampa. No podemos enojarnos con BCH por decidir poner un algoritmo de dificultad más rápido.
17  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: IOTA - The gamechanger? on: August 31, 2017, 11:13:08 AM
IOTA - The Scam changer, a better name for your topic to consider.
If you can take the time to write here why you think this, instead of just writing scam it would be a better comment. So please try again!
Ty

Your ignorance will put you in a grave someday.

1) IOTA doesn't have a blockchain. It is not a currency nor it is not a crypto.
2) IOTA is FULLY premined, just two years ago this was enough for people to put red flags.
3) IOTA already has 2,779,530,283,000,000 coins, not distributed almost at all.
4) IOTA had a ICO, this solo is enough to put a red flag on this shit, not even a shitcoin.
5) IOTA is highly centralized, this solo is enough to put a red flag and mark it as a scam.

Good luck, "investors" shills and ignorants.

Please. Read the Whitepaper. Or hear the video. The Unique scam here is your argument.
18  Local / Altcoins (criptomonedas alternativas) / Re: [ANN] DeepOnion TOR Integrado, No ICO/Crowdfund, 7ª ronda AIRDROP 1 de sept. on: August 31, 2017, 05:40:45 AM
Me meti en el foro solo por el airdrop. sin embargo le estoy agarrando el gusto, se aprende mucho de los post. es lo que no tiene facebook que los post se pierden rapidamente.
19  Local / Español (Spanish) / Re: Cada vez me gusta menos el bitcoin... on: August 31, 2017, 05:25:17 AM
Bitcoin NO nació para ser una moneda de ahorro a largo plazo.

en el whitepaper decía bien claro, Bitcoin es una red P2P de pago, el objetivo final de Bitcoin es reemplazar al dinero, no convertirse en el nuevo oro.

Por eso Bitcoin está fracasando, está perdiendo su eje.

El problema para mi es insalvable, la arquitectura blockchain no está diseñada para escalar, y para hacer escalable hay que modificar nociones básicas del BTC tal como ya no hay una sola cadena, habrá una auxiliar (Lightening networks) o para escalar requerirá aumentar el tamaño de bloques (Segwit 2x, BCH).

Además esta el asunto de los mineros, que son gente que sencillamente quiere ganar plata, mientras que el resto de usuarios quiere que les validen la transacción lo más rápido posible.

Esto genera una ley de oferta y demanda que concluye en comisiones cada vez mas altas porque los mineros solo pondrán en los bloques las comisiones mejor pagas. Esto se soluciona parcialmente aumentando el tamaño de bloques, pero bloques más grandes conllevan una mayor dificultad de la red para leer esos bloques y aumenta la probabilidad de bloques huérfanos.

Veo el panorama muy negro para Bitcoin.
20  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / IOTA - The gamechanger? on: August 31, 2017, 05:10:45 AM
Good Morning! I want to talk about this coin and because I think it's going to be a gamechanger in the world of cryptos.

If we look at history we are always interested in developing ways to exchange goods. First we started with barter, a cow in exchange for 100 kilos of bread, everything seemed perfect until someone thought that he did not want 100 kilos of bread but only 10. Did we change a piece of cow? It did not seem like a good idea.

Then the money was born! Which solved this problem, now you could change the cow for its value in coins, (which were of a material resistant to the passage of time and also were scarce). Now the cow could be exchanged for 100 gold coins and with them buy as much bread as you wanted.

Money was with us for a long time, until major events such as world wars caused many countries to abandon gold in order to be able to print real-money tickets, now the only currency with real support was the dollar, backed by the Federal Reserve of USA, full of gold.
But in 1980 the US president also decided to charge the last gold standard and then for the first time we based our concept of value on nothing, the reputation of the banks was the only thing that supported the coins.

But this had its disadvantages, the first is that money was not finite like gold, could be printed infinitely, so there was a problem of real loss of value, what we know as inflation.

Then there was the problem that the owners of the printing machine were governments, all the power in very few hands, no transaction could be validated without going through a bank.

That is why in 2009, just like to the barter, the solution to money arrives! The Bitcoin and blockchain technology.

Bitcoin was able to develop a decentralized and finite currency, just like gold. However bitcoin and blockchain also have problems.

These are scalability, the notion of transaction fees, and the seemingly unavoidable trend toward centralization.

And here is where IOTA appears, which offers?
This currency is one of the first that offers a totally different technology, to begin with we do not have a blockchain, since there are no miners that make blocks and in which to place transactions. The transactions are confirmed by confirming two previous ones, your transactions will be validated by the tangle, which is roughly the blockchain of IOTA. This means that there is no cost for transactions. because there isnt miners to incentive.

Then there is the issue of scalability, in the blockchain the scalability is limited to the number of transactions that enter by block and the speed that these are undermined. In IOTA there is no concept of blocks, each new transaction that validates two older transactions, so that the bottleneck of the network is network activity. If there are few new incoming transactions, the older transactions will not be validated.

This is currently a problem however this is diluted as the number of users increases, ie IOTA scales naturally over time, while Bitcoin and blockchain in general need modifications in block size or frequency to maintain a reasonable approved transaction time, in addition this limitation also affects the cost of the commissions.

Well this is my post about IOTA. I want to share with you the knowledge of this wonderful coin and discuss it.

Hear more about IOTA here!
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