Long term bear market strategy/s



Sit and hold, 80-90% down.

History has shown, that eventually
A bull market will ultimately re-materialise.

Within reason, Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (Eth)
are the strongest of all crypto currencies; esp. re: a rebound.

There it is - I believe it (A Bull, or at least rebound) will realise in just a year or 2 at absolute most.



There is a widely predicted ultimate cap on the amoount of Bitcoins. Laregly predicted to be in the year
2141 at a level of 21 million.

Sorry if I'm revealing many of you investor's strategems, but I'm pretty left-wing,
 and believe in the free availablilty of quality education/info.

IMO threfore, basically (my business basic BA Hons skills are bocoming more and more appropriate),
then, the law of supply and demand, one of the most proven and fundemental economic concepts, will start to apply more,
I propose.

______________________


- To come as a next topic - What happens then? - or what topic would you like me to learn/write about next?!
Future posts are to be far more polished.

 - Be sure to ALWAYS read my posts and absolutely look forward to my next post and progress.

(:

Thoughts, critiques and discussion valued please, if not, MANDATORY.

(:

TC
Spitfire

RE: Prev msg

I used to have the contracts for many companies press releases - Zanussi, AGA, etc (my dad's co.)

- Especially later on, it was me doing the wordsmithing.

The Crypto Journalist position is well suited. Willing to compete against anyone.

RSVP

Regards,

SG

Hy,

How's things?

- there's more than one of those listed positions I know i could do well, and I think you would agree, once evidenced.

Thoughts?

- I'm a decent wordsmith, used to hold the contract (dad's company) for Zanussi, AGA cookers press releases
and I'd do most of them, especially later on.

SpitfireABC (referred you to telegram forum)

- S Gledhill.

Sentiment Analysis - Rough Initial notes by S Gledhill (SpitfireABC)


wiki link: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sentiment_analysis


- Often applies to the attitude of the speaker,
the grammer, cadence, enthusiasm, knowledge level, etc. all the different nuansces of
 'good' language usage = the reaction of the reader.
 -The polarity - positive/negative reaction etc.


- Is the text on the topic reflecting and inducing on the reader, a positive or negative view?
Ultimately, regarding the ICO.


Largely investors are emotional investors - investing based on their belief, their hopes + fears, their exitement, etc. - confidence in certain crypto currencies - BTC and Ethereum have a strong base of supporters believing that they will continually improve and go up in value. At the moment there are very,very few tools/market fundamentals to assess the value such as there are with the stock market.
Just not there yet.

Market movement is laregly based on investors confidence/sentiment/perception. (Like I always said
from the off  - Business IS Trust. (I'm trying to earn it, and learn, and tbh am enjoying it)

- Positive (or negative) social network talk largely drives the perceived value, (Eg Reddit, Bitcointalk, etc)
and therefore outcome of value real and perceived - whether the ICO goes up or down in value.

Sources on Sentiment Analysis - : - white / academic papers

"Stock Trend Analysis Using News Sentiment Analysis" - Department of Computer Engineering in Mumbaii

- Another one - Stock market prediction analysis - Stanford Uni

_____________________

The way it essentially works is that people ARE predictable.(behaviorally) (my psycholgy A level 23 uears ago wasn't a total waste of time! EG, one bad/good rumour, can go viral, and
greatly effect actual value.

_____________________

coingecko lists new icos - as well as otheres, cointracker, etc.

_______________________

Social Mention  - is a very useful tool to use for sentiment analysis.

- To use type in the ICO name.
- It lists a basic Sentiment rating and results listed ie...

Strength - how often * is being talked about
Pashion - If an ICO is being repeadly being talked about
Reach - How many people are actually talking about said ICO

Overall Sentiment - Basic breakdown of ration of how positively people are talking about * ICO

There is further information, on site.

If you then get, say a list of 100 ICOs from coin gecko, run Social Mention Analystics on your spreadsheet,
then sort on dofferent indicators, ie stratify them. via, 'strength'/ 'positive mentions' etc.
and look at these metrics, and start combining these scores, to create your own 'score' metric
and stratify further,

So, say 100 ICO's down to 5 ICO's.

Thus, sorting the ones that are likely to fail or not. I'm doing an experiment using this method,
and so far, using datasets from ICOs that have actually been launched fully, from tracking websites,
- there's many.

SG.

Criticism v welcome,

- As would be getting beyond being a 'Newb' member on here ):: - can't do bounties, etc.

Regards.

Ps. How DO i become beyond a 'Newb' because, I feel that's becoming shall we say an innacurate description of my blooming understanding and enthusiasm -and that would help more.

To: Prospective Employers/Projects/etc
From: Spitfireabc - UK based BA Honours Degree in Business
Re: Work

Hey,

I've been into PC's from the start, building, gaming, and with my business degree a solid all-round understanding of economics and business. worked as various manager positions inc. 10 years govnt. civil service (disabled benefits) work. Ran 30 PC suite and Library at local school.

Last 4 months devoted 3-4 hours daily to learning blockchain, BTC, and also a bit of Linux, Parrotsec (White hat only) Pentesting, via Nmap, etc, etc.

I just want to prove my good work ethics, and get an 'in' as a moderator or similar, considering my skillset, and excellent rapid learning ability.

Then I can refer to turning (logging) up 5 mins early and beiing an intelligent, FRIENDLY (I think this is important when working with people) teamplayer.

So to gain either a job, straight continuing from the back of the volunteering (free) week of work, or, my beginnings of an online CV, reputation. Trust IS businesss, as is reputation.

Please message me, if you have any opportunties. I always remember those who help me.


Best Regards,
Spitfire.

RE: IBM *FREE* Course Modules

Again,
Thankyou.

It's so enthusing me to get the old grey matter working again (always top sets at school ( and, after a period of downtime. (Health, now fine)
Friends and family have noticed the change.

I can't thank you enough for this steer. I've worked as an educator, ran a 30 plus PC suite and Library in a secondary school, 'Learning Resource Manager' and knowledge is the most valuable thing to give. Far more than cash. Disseminisation of knowledge should be free. IMO.

From: One very enthused newbie.

Spitfire.

 

To: Replies/Memeber Replies
From: Spitfireabc
RE: Replies to my post


Many Thanks.

I find this so very interesting, come what may, I'm going to follow your pointers (much appreciated) and continue my education. When I did my E-commerce module in my degree in 2004 (!) the E-Commerce landscape is unrecognisable. So very dynamic. That's part of what enthuses me. To engage myself in something I enjoy.

I'll take the due dilligence time to absorb the links and resources you have given me. Then in a week or 2 repost, from my improved perspective.

Best Regards,
Spitfire ABC.

From Spitfire
RE: Position offered

Hi,

Very Interestred, Business management (BA Hons) from Lancaster UK University, built and gamed on PCs since a Spectrum 48k. Currently building a Be Quiet cased 600 window, AMD Ryzen build, 5, or 2400g. 1060gtx 3-6gb, etc. currently have decent laptop and netbook/windows smartphone.

Been monitoring BTC prices etc for a year, serious research, educating myself for last 3 mo. Member of the Telegram Bitcointalk investment group. Working relationship with Parodium.

Daily learning more about ICOs Blockchain, Ethereum, BTC Smart contracts, etc.

This is what I want to do.

I would like to be considered.

Regards,
Steven Gledhill.

Hi all,

Re: Blockchain and learning


Hey,
I'm Spitfire, been on the site for about 3 months now. Business management degree from Lancaster UK (top 5 of all business unis in UK) 40 yro, gone from a BBC acorn electron, Spectrum 48k, all the way to the dawn of PC's built all my own (I know its not hard) was a major Warcraft tank nerd (:


My current understanding of the blockchain: (BTC)

3 elements

- data - sender, receiver and amount
Hashes - previous and current eg 1h3h1j234j31h43j

Decentralisaion

A modern take on the old ledger

transparency

50% of about 4000 PC's around the worl, update transfers every 10 minutes, if the transfer meets that
criteria (legit) - it goes through.

Has wider implications for business in general.

- What am I missing/ wrong on please pps?

Best Regards,
Spitfire.

From: Spitfire
Re: The most cost effective initial bitcoin mining rig.

Firstly,

Thankyou for viewing my post and all, esp. quality replies are very appreciated.

I'm starting out bitcoin mining and really need a good steer on an initial setup. My current take on it, is to view the most up to date cost/return GFX card site projections, and go with, say; a quality 1200w psu, and a 6 card rig. Not 7. Not 8. Not 45.
 - 6  or multiples of 6, separately.

Is this correct?

2. What, when it comes to an initial rig, is the consensus on second hand, but only just, IE 'as new' GFX card utilisation on said 6 card rig?
 - I know they take a beating, but on just a starter rig, would it be worthwhile forfeiting warranties, etc. 
for the saving and potential better ROi? IE a 3 month rig, say, to break even then, say again?

Again,
Thankyou for replies.
Spitfire.

Hy there,

I can see, (I've had a look at some of your post's to others) you are more than likely, through chance or providence, the right person to work with.

To give you some more personal background I've been into sailing yachts for 20+ years, dinghies, windsurfing etc. At my local yacht club, as a member for 10 years, where my Jaguar 25 'Tico' is tied up to my handbuilt jetty. In Morecambe bay area.

That's how mostly, combined with post iniversity and work colleugues, I've met with people with what in the UK we'd call people who have 'a few quid.'

As mentioned it's them i've helped, not one flop. I'm sure you agree, have money = make money = make more money = diversify, portfolio etc.

I'm giving you this background on me, all checkable, to show I'm genuine lad, hard working and want to do it absolutely 'right.' - You give off the same notion to me.

_________________________

Property - of course it would be a rental, I know of some excellent areas locally to me, that being far from rough areas, have cheap rental properties. Ok, the way it's most efficient to power yachts, and friends who have locally had holiday caravans, is by far, wind generators. Rutland make the ones to have, they are clutched (if it blows hard) and the modern setups have an electronic regulator, going to 12v batteries. you than have a invertor, bringing it up to 240v, the UK normal supply. Ie It's very, consistently windy here. we have a microclimate, as most places do. - westerlies 10-15knt almost daily.

Does this element (wind geneys) interest you. one for a good 5 man yacht 30 ft, with tv, oven, etc and can run a mains drill off, would be about a thousand - £1500 new, for a Rutland, with stainless support (essential £150 alone) and the ecu/clutch, ie everything bar batteries. that's new. £5-600 would get you an as new one that would, with a 6 battery bank and £300 inverter (I'd only go new on that), have a constant supply for a single 6 card rig. I could have that on my chimney breast, I'm 2 streets away from the sea.

I know friends who have their flat with electricity thrown in, which I briefly considered; but I'm not having any of my/our IT assets anywhere but either in my house, or in one only I or we have access to.

I take it you're from somewhere sunny, yes there's houses here with solar roof arrays, but like you say, expensive and v long term proposition. But not unviable.

It's clear, as I'm only doing this once and doing it right, I've more research to do.
Can you tell me details and the cost of current best rigs are for efficient ROI - multiple, 6 gfx card rigs yes? or one behemoth 42 card rig? If you can tell me the power requirements, if known off hand, or I'll research it, and the most efficient hardware, it would be appreciated. IE I need the right data to crunch to give you the projections accurately.

I think with my business investment experience, qualifications, local knowledge, working ethics, etc, and your experience; once we get the numbers, I'll draft (by all means plz help edit) a business plan to bring investors without issue.

regards.
sg.

Hy Perodium.

First thanks for the timely response.
I've only recently become aware of the still, if done right potential ROI re: crypto mining. I though it was gone the way of the dodo. I'm looking for a new venture, but syndicated, but with the 'right' people. Ie I'm interviewing as much as being interviewed re candidacy. Once that group is formed, that's it, the metaphorical doors come down on new entrants and we all get into gear, collectively. I've made a fair few quid for other people, simply using the investment fundamentals, while being happy to live humbly myself. At 40, now's the time I want my turn, but all the people i've helped over the years, had it to loose, (but never did, I've helped people i know make more than a few hundred thousand GBP in profits using simple principles.)
 
This is the first forum i've voiced this, after a fortnight, i'm going to consider crowdfunding/circles, and other startup avenues.

Also, that somewhat, there seems to be a consensus that the peak of 'home' mining has beeen and gone. However, done right, there's still scope for dedicated miners. My initial proposition to get one or multiples of 6 card setups. 7, 8 or more card setups are generally viewed as unstable, and ready to pop. better to get multiple 6 card setups, with the best ROI cards.

Electricity - I can cover it for now. Bujt no, It's not going to be for nothing, atm, but now mentioned I've some ideas how it would be possible re rental properties etc.

I'd be team leader, but £500, fairly put on paper through a solicitor, if needed, would that be sufficient.

I'll be honest, I never thought of being an investor, being the facilitator/CEO. But it would only be fair, and show my commitment.

- What would your involvement be?
- What would you bring to the table
- please tell me a little on yourself pertinent to this of course, because i've been totally straight up honest.

Many thanks.
Mr. Steven Gledhill.

From: Mr. SG. (Real details on request)
To: Potential Investors/Colleagues
Re: Initial Bitcoin mining, then diversification syndicate


Hy,
I'm a fair, honest, experienced business manager, ran an IT suite and library at local school - (verifiable)
10 years in local government management and have a BA Honours Degree in Business Management from Lancaster University, St. Martins Campus.

- My proposal in brief:

To setup a, or several, efficient on R.O.I. crypto currency mining rigs, at my house.
After breaking even, profits will then be reinvested, using the tried and tested
investment triangle.
- Most assets in low risk, some in medium risk, few in high risk.

This will be a medium - long term proposition. So if you want to simply want to get a R.O.I. in a week, this isn't for you. But, you can cash out at any time. Everything will be done properly, in writing, at my local solicitors. - Cobain's Blackpool.
I have built all my pc's for the last twenty years, yes was a dedicated Warcraft warrior tank on ghostlands server EU (Cartmandwarf).

So once we get in front, we buy other finite resource commodities, namely silver, gold, possibly property. This would all be done democratically, but although this will be a flexible business model, I would have ultimate say, but I am a team player.
On your own you're good, with others you're great, I believe.

With regard to investment level/percentage stake-hold, I am open to reasonable offers; and discussion.

But as a starting point, if someone was to make the whole investment initially on the mining rig, the percentage stake would be in double figures in percentile. So, the more you invest, the more you get, I think that's only fair.

However, for a smaller stake, I am willing, as a relative newcomer to bitmining to give a small, very small, return for proven, solid advice. Not on Business, that is my area of expertise, but on the bit mining and hardware that will provide most efficient ROI for my investors. You will all find I'm a genuine Lancashire lad and a real good team player/team leader.

RSVP
Many Thanks,
SG.