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1  Economy / Speculation / Re: You guys are doing it wrong ;) on: April 01, 2014, 06:56:43 AM
I must ask what type of trader thinks it's a good idea to start shorting Bitcoin after it has fallen more than 50% from its top... 

My final buy order at $450 has been filled, I now hold BTC and wait for recovery over the coming months. Because, after all, the bull market is about to start! Elliot wave counters would agree - despite the herd disbelief in the coming bull trend and cries of "whale manipulation" as bad news is reiterated for the 5th time, Wave 1 is starting soon.
2  Economy / Speculation / You guys are doing it wrong ;) on: March 30, 2014, 04:52:56 PM
I see many new threads of people shorting Bitcoin at current prices. The time to short was on the way down from $800 to $450, this is supposed to be when those shorts are covered! (At least that's what I'm doing). Judging by the sentiment here and the oscillators on the 1day, 3day and 1week scales, the capitulation bottom occurs within 8 days, then it's all green as bears begin the old denial dance, attributing the rise to "whale manipulation"

Careful out there, don't get fleeced by Mr. Market Wink Wink
3  Economy / Speculation / Re: SecondMarket Bitcoin Investment Trust Observer on: March 29, 2014, 04:43:43 AM
Looks like Wall Street is buying all your coins up for cheap
4  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 28, 2014, 02:37:13 AM


Investors panic as Bitcoin is only up +8000% in 2 years instead of +11000%
 Grin Grin Grin
5  Economy / Speculation / Re: Will we ever see a new all time high? on: February 23, 2014, 10:39:58 AM
If $1200 is the highest bitcoin will ever go in the length of its existence I will sell all my worldly possessions and live as a hermit.
6  Economy / Speculation / Re: By December 31st, 2014 we will have touched $5000/BTC on: February 23, 2014, 10:32:00 AM
By December 31st, 2014 we will have touched $5000/BTC


Could I be right once again???  Grin Grin Grin

Seems a bit too conservative given bitcoin's track record for these types of posts... 2013 was a 6000% year, I think 2014 can be a 2000% year at least.

$16 000!
7  Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis never ends on: February 07, 2014, 08:39:18 AM
Time to buy  (short term) Grin

I agree, price dropped 30% in 3 days.

All indicators agree to buy. In all historical instances price retraces at least 60% of this type of drop

Like a Bungee Jump   Tongue



Was gleefully buying around $640 on Bitstamp  Grin
8  Bitcoin / Meetups / Re: announcement: the international "when-bitcoin-reaches 1000,- $ party" on: December 27, 2013, 09:14:49 PM
Not missing out on this, reserving
9  Economy / Speculation / Re: I've cashed out but this is not the end. on: December 21, 2013, 06:01:45 AM
I SODL at $500

Fiat is king until I can buy back at $400  Grin
10  Economy / Speculation / Re: September and October will be eventful. on: December 20, 2013, 09:59:54 PM
Price is going up and down 10-50% day by day, this is beyond eventful..

I think I'm going to overdose on popcorn

Can't even sleep
11  Economy / Speculation / Re: THESE MARKETS on: December 19, 2013, 11:59:52 PM
This price rise is killing me, I'm sitting on this pile of worthless fiat while the bitcoin train's leaving


but I refuse to buy any higher than $400... however long I have to wait
12  Economy / Speculation / Re: THESE MARKETS on: December 19, 2013, 10:00:52 PM
Still holding fiat from selling at $500... wont buy for the next month. I bet now the market's going to go make all time high in 2 weeks just cause I'm out.
13  Economy / Speculation / THESE MARKETS on: December 19, 2013, 09:40:52 PM
 Angry Angry Angry

You know that feeling? When the market knows what you're doing and does exactly the opposite of what you want it to? When you watch your bitcoins go down down down DOWN DOWN --No I never sell at a loss, these are only paper losses-- DOWN DOWN DOWN $800 $700 -- This has to go back up sometime right?!!-- DOWN DOWN $600 $500 AHRGh I CANT TAKE IT ANYMORE finally you sell at 500 SELL AT 500 FINALLY GO ALL OUT and vow never to buy back until $200 or wherever the bottom is... and BOOM rocket back up to $700

FUCK

What do I do now, buy back? --- No I never buy back at a loss, that's the rule. -- And so watch it go back up up up up up UP UP UP finally can't take it anymore this thing is crazy going to the MOOOON I'm goign to miss the TRAIN and buy in BUY BUY BUY and BOOM splat it goes right back down wtf

I swear these markets are being manipulated there are whales that keylog me and the GRAND MANIPULATOR is out there watching my every move and making the market do exactly the opposite taking all my bitcoins and fiat and laughing in my face


i cant breath
14  Economy / Speculation / Re: Mystery Chart Says to Buy Btc now and sell in ~115.2 Days ( .1 BTC Reward) on: December 17, 2013, 05:51:11 AM
Apophenia until proven otherwise... Nonetheless very interesting chart. Would like to know more.
15  Economy / Speculation / Re: Serious bitcoin price discussion. Bears only please. How far will it drop? on: December 12, 2013, 08:48:01 PM
The question to ask is if bears are true long term bears or long term bulls. Whether the aim is to sell BTC for good and return to fiat forever as a true long term bear, or whether the aim is to buy back in at a lower price point because of a future price rise.

If the latter is true, the USD demand curve for BTC remains constant. The prevalence of such (long term bull, short/med term bears) actually helps to stabilize the price by catching price dips.
16  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin will be 10k+ Q1 2014. on: December 12, 2013, 04:23:24 PM
Given BTC rose from $13 to current prices in the span of less than a year this is completely possible. Sprinkle in some irrational exuberance and we have 30k noproblem.
17  Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis never ends on: December 09, 2013, 09:57:35 AM
Didn't Lucif mention a final wave 5 euphoric push to the moon before the bear market starts?
18  Economy / Speculation / Re: buy high, sell low - the proven strategy that guarantees negative returns on: December 09, 2013, 09:51:08 AM
more of a reminder that if anyone bought at a higher price that they will be selling it at - you should think about it a bit more.
nothing guarantees you a loss like a real, realized loss.

nothing has changed in the last week. the china news isn't bad no matter how you spin it. since nothing has changed keep in mind that most people who panic and sell at a loss later buy it back (after already taking a loss). if you are new then hopefully you thought about what you were doing when you bought in. think some more about realizing a loss.

it's happened many times. the results are always the same. most people who utilize the buy high sell low strategy aren't usually happy with their results.

a friendly reminder.

Folks, just buy and hold. The emotions can cloud rational thought without warning. Take it from this guy, http://np.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1r88vl/need_advice_on_inheritance_arbitrage_family_etc/ he lost $410k in the +6000%/year biggest bull market in history because he thought he could make money daytrading.
19  Economy / Speculation / Re: The bitcoin crash of 2013: Don't you feel silly now? http://www.latimes.com/bus on: December 08, 2013, 04:54:34 PM
You have to sort through the Bear journalists from the Bulls

He probably had the chance to buy them at <$13, instead he held onto his worthless USD and is now a perma-bear denial seeking every chance he gets to rationalize his past mistakes!

"BTC crashing 50%! USD holders were right! Hah!"
20  Economy / Speculation / Re: Analysis never ends on: December 08, 2013, 09:37:23 AM
I don't make trading decisions based on news )) Never, ever. News follow waves, not visa versa.

If you scroll back topic you will see first warning from me was previous higher high overlap from China on 01 Dec. Sold there about 70%. Second confirmation I got when price hit negative BB zone on China 05 Dec. This is outstanding. Sold all other coins on rebounce. Then hourly sma200 was failed on retest from bottom. This insured me completely. And I wrote about bubble end.

No  mystery here. TA and observance.


Wholeheartedly agree. As Lucif says, news follows waves. The predominant shapes found in speculative markets reveal themselves regardless of news, and news stories are but the tiny gusts of wind that knocks down the first domino. The chart patterns repeat themselves nearly perfectly regardless of the news that is the catalyst.

Coinbase lawsuit didn't cause the $140-$70 crash. It was due to happen. Gox ddos did not cause the $266-50 crash. It was building up for weeks. Only when the dominoes have been setting up in the correct position can they fall down perfectly from that gust of wind.

Ferdinand’s assassination was not the cause of WWI.


Due to waves I have bought back in at these beautiful $700 prices and await the final euphoric spike due to push us above $3000 in late January.
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