[Assets September 14, 2014.]

This is to share that I will publish my real asset allocation live here in a regular basis. I do this as it might be helpful to see for people who also agree that we are just before a major financial turbulence.


My hypotheses are:
1) Stocks will crash by 2016 and will mark new 15-20 year lows.
2) Precious metals will survive better but will also decline first before rallying strongly. It is key to own physical precious metal, not paper certificates.
3) The US Dollar will initially fare better against other currencies (particularly against the EUR), but then crash as well and may disappear in its current form by 2017-2018.
4) Overall asset prices and prices of goods will decline = we are in a unprecedented deflation.

You don't have to agree to this view. Most of these views are also similar to those offered on www.bullbearanalytics.com, but this specific thread is solely based on my personal point of view.


Assets September 14, 2014.

90% Cash (USD)
6% Gold
2% Short Stocks (S&P 500)
1% Bitcoin
0.8% Monero
0.2% DIEM (as a "playground play", no serious fundamentals behind)

We are starting to cover altcoins. For a limited time, we publish technical analysis on selected cryptocoins for free here. We cover the ones that are not in our paid service (BTC, LTC, XMR) http://bullbearanalytics.com/bitcoin-subscribe/

This is the first edition:


Of note: Apart from the regular terms and conditions http://bullbearanalytics.com/terms-conditions-disclaimer/, please note that those altcoins have even higher risk and volatility than bitcoin. We do not give any specific trading recommendations, but solely provide technical analysis on those markets.

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So many people have predicted that bitcoin is in a bubble and is doomed to death.
There are most often the same people who push stocks up into bubble territory.

Now let's get to the bottom of this:

1) Is Bitcoin in a bubble?
Look at that longterm chart. Where is the bubble? I can't see it.
The uptrend is healthy.

2) What are REAL bubbles?
The NASDAQ bubble has already popped 13 years ago
There are some new bubble stocks in there that either have already popped or will do soon (LNKD, PCLN, etc.)

these are the real bubbles

how do other see that?

[Who in the forum has the same problem or managed to withdraw fiat currencies?]

We should get some clarity on MtGox:

Are any fiat withdrawals possible or not? A while ago they suspended USD withdrawals, but mentioned that EUR and other currencies would not be affected.
However, EUR withdrawals seem not to work over the past week.

Who in the forum has the same problem or managed to withdraw fiat currencies?

If anyone from MtGox staff reads this, please be so kind and provide clarity and respond.

thank you

Bitcoin DOWN and Litecoin UP.
This could be a theme for the next months...

What do you think? Discuss.

Dear All,

this is our first litecoin technical analysis.
LTCUSD seems to have completed a 5 wave rally to the 5.9 $ high two weeks ago. The decline back to almost 1$ seems to be only a corrective a-b-c wave. Also, the rise from that low looks impulsive and a rally above 4.5 $ will likely confirm that.
Short term, most likely is a rally to about 5 $.




Your S3052

Poor Cyprus people got stripped off -6 to -9.9% of their savings over the weekend.

This could be the time that they adopt or at least save some of their wealth in bitcoins.

If you like to tweet / retweet / follow and comment on this:

https://twitter.com/search?q=%23bitcoins4cyprus&src=hash

Today, BTC made a new all-time-high versus Gold at 0.0128 (above the June 2011 high of 0.0108).

Could this be the start of more..?

Since I still had a few shares of the USD asset, which I used to hedge BTC long positions : Who is the one created this asset and what happens to those shares?
Nefario has not yet released the shareholder info.

[Silver will move below 10 USD at least intraday before Dec 31, 2016]

This is to continue the thread after the similar one got locked down.

This is about speculation on Silver prices and discuss technical analysis and fundamentals.

I have made my bet official. Silver will move below 10 USD at least intraday before Dec 31, 2016

As I could not find a reliable link for physical Silver prices, I use paper prices. If someone can help me out with physical silver prices, I will add another bet as promised for physical Silver prices.

http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=1044

I want to give some bitcoins to someones as a gift, but he does not know yet about bitcoins.
how can I do it?

EDITED: No trade was registered for many many hours some time. MTGOX was down and is up again.
What happened is now the question.

the 426.7 $ top yesterday will likely be the top that will hold for years to come. island reversal gap down tomorrow.

this was it for Apple stock for a very long time

One question: Would you pay with bitcoins if prices and selection is similar to Amazon?

It would be great if someone could help me with this data, ideally starting from August 2010 to date on MtGox.

I searched, but could not find a clear mention on how to do that.

thanks bitcoiners in anticipation

"coiner" EDIT: "COINED" asked me whether bitcoindeals is really something big.

I can only speak for myself. It is BIG. I have seen alone 20,000 items in the computer and electronics area to buy with bitcoins.



The founders just want to make sure to have all ducks in the row before opening it to real big traffic, but it is very professional - and to me, a breakthrough in trading goods for bitcoins.


www.bitcoindeals.com
https://twitter.com/#!/BitcoinDeals

Hi experts,

I have a withdrawal issue.

I just withdrew 9 BTC to an address from an old computer that I do not
have anymore (I uninstalled the BTC client beforehand)

How can I get the 9 BTC back?

thanks

[Having followed and covered the market since Oct 2010, I am concerned about all people investing / trading / loving bitcoins after what happened today.There are a couple of questions:1) Is it legitimate to rollback trades or should the exchange cover the risks?2) What happens to people trading on the other exchanges who where negatively/positively affected by what happened at MtGox?3) How / when should the market reopen?Should orders of users on MtGox be put back where they were before the crash? or is it fairer to ask them whether they want or not?... many more questions...It would be great to have some people experienced in exchanges helping to get an unbiased assessment quickly - to protect all users, and to at least have a chance to re-establish some trust on bitcoins.I am sad, because this was predictable and many including me have warned that we need better, more secure exchanges.]

Having followed and covered the market since Oct 2010, I am concerned about all people investing / trading / loving bitcoins after what happened today.

There are a couple of questions:

1) Is it legitimate to rollback trades or should the exchange cover the risks?

2) What happens to people trading on the other exchanges who where negatively/positively affected by what happened at MtGox?

3) How / when should the market reopen?
Should orders of users on MtGox be put back where they were before the crash? or is it fairer to ask them whether they want or not?
... many more questions...

It would be great to have some people experienced in exchanges helping to get an unbiased assessment quickly - to protect all users, and to at least have a chance to re-establish some trust on bitcoins.

I am sad, because this was predictable and many including me have warned that we need better, more secure exchanges.

[After 9 months of service since October 2010 (see http://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1493.0), I want to build on it and expand it. .]

All,

some of you have seen my Bitcoin Technical / Market analysis.

After 9 months of service since October 2010 (see http://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1493.0), I want to build on it and expand it. .
I will still plan to keep some regular updates on bitcoinwatch for all people.

What is new is that as some of you have suggested, I will offer a subscription based analysis.

This subscription service provides:

• Weekly in depth Bitcoin (BTC/USD) analysis
• Covers all time frames
• Includes Elliott Wave analysis and trading recommendations based on that
• Offers on top trading alerts
• Allows 1x per month a tailored analysis for your specific trading needs

The subscription will be handled simply by me sharing the analysis with you per email in a pdf format. You can register via PM (S3052@gmx.ch), sharing an email contact, and paying the monthly subscription in Bitcoins. The service will start in June `11. Initially I took 20 people and I am expanding up to 50 subscribers as we added capacity. Price will be 5 BTC / month. Send me a mail to S3052@gmx.ch to register on first come, first serve basis.

For info, I have already given individual, specific trading recommendations to some people tailored to their needs and they are very satisfied.